fy 2016 consolidated results (unaudited, ifrs) · 2020-01-06 · fy 2016 business highlights –...
TRANSCRIPT
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Excellent 2016 supported by strong loan growth and one-off
effects
28 February 2017
Česká spořitelna -
FY 2016 consolidated results
(unaudited, IFRS)
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-6%
-2%
2%
6%
10%
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
GDP (y/y, %)
Household consumption (y/y, in %)*
Fixed investment (y/y, in %)*
Executive summary –
Czech economy development remains
favourable
2
• The GDP growth arrived at 2.3% y/y in 2016 as there
was a temporary slowdown in foreign demand. However,
cyclical position improved at the end of 2016. GDP
growth is being supported by solid domestic and foreign
demand
• Stable households consumption, which is the main
GDP growth contributor, reflects strong labour market
and positive sentiment of households
• Headline inflation arrived at 2.0% in December mainly
due to a higher than expected increase in food prices.
However, core inflation (1.6% y/y in December) reflects
improving domestic demand pressures
• The EUR/CZK is still close to the level of 27. The ČNB
had to intervene to avoid a potential break in its FX
commitment
• We expect exit from the FX commitment in Q2 2017.
However, the timing will depend on economic data
• The Czech banking sector is well capitalized and
profitable, and the ČNB stress test shows that it is
highly resilient to potential adverse shocks
0%
0.5%
1%
1.5%
2%
2.5%
12/2
01
4
06/2
01
5
12/2
01
5
06/2
01
6
12/2
01
6
CPI Core inflation
ČNB inflation target
Growth of GDP, household consumption and investments
*For 2016 ČS estimates
Page
Executive summary – Financial results benefit from growing Czech economy
3
In 2016, Česká spořitelna boosted net profit by 8.1% to CZK 15.5 bn,
benefiting from favourable economic climate mirrored in strong growth
of lending and continuing improvement of loan portfolio quality • Net profit supported also by one-off items, mainly by income from sale of equity stake
in VISA Europe (CZK 1.4 bn pre-tax)
Operating result decreased by 5.1% driven by drop of net fee income • Net fee income from payment transfers hit by EU regulation in payment cards business.
However, net fee income from asset management was higher than in FY 2015
• Net interest income ended only 1.4% below FY 2015 level despite still adverse interest
rate environment
Operating expenses were reduced by 2.4% y/y due to lower contribution to
Deposit Guarantee Scheme and strict management of costs
Capitalisation of ČS Group is very strong, total capital ratio stands at
20.1%,Tier 1 ratio at 19.5%
Net profit
Operating result
Operating expenses
Capital ratio
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Executive summary –
Strong loan growth with further improved loan portfolio quality
4
Gross volume of customer loans increased by strong 8.0% in 2016 and
outperformed the whole market in both retail and corporate segments
• Newly granted private mortgages in 2016 increased by 16% y/y and exceeded
CZK 57 bn which is the historically highest annual volume. Mortgage loan outstanding
increased by 12.2% y/y
• Declining trend in consumer loans was reverted after 1.1% increase in 2016,
cash loans (outstanding) increased even by 4.0% supported by 20.7% higher new
volumes than in 2015
• Wholesale loans* (outstanding) boosted by 12.8% y/y driven by large corporate
clients
Risk costs dropped by 33% to 32 bps y/y reflecting decreasing default rates
and recoveries in private individuals and corporate segments
• Share of NPLs reduced to 3.2% (from 4.1% in December 2015)
• NPL coverage by credit risk provisions at strong 83%, total coverage at 116.0%
Increasing demand for more advantageous investment products evidenced
in growing assets in pension funds of ČSPS (up by 9.3% y/y) and in
domestic and foreign mutual funds (up by 9.9% y/y) * Wholesale defined as Corporate and Group Markets customer segments
Lending
Risk costs
Investments
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FY 2016 business highlights – Retail
5
Our Transparent Credit Card offers
new simple interest calculation and
interest-free period including ATM
withdrawals. The card account is free
of charge with monthly payments of at
least CZK 3,000. We issued 69,903
transparent credit cards in 2016
ČS Real Estate Fund managed by
REICO investiční společnost České
spořitelny closed one of the most
significant transactions in CEE -
acquisition of the highest building in
Prague – the City Tower – for CZK
4.4 bn. Aggregate volume of funds
in REICO exceeds CZK 13 bn
We provided to our clients over
28,000 mortgages for more than
CZK 57 bn and 168,000 consumer
loans in total volume of almost
CZK 34 bn in 2016
With the new award-winning* Friends 24
app, our clients can make small
payments via standard email, SMS or
messenger apps without knowing
account numbers. Our internet service
PLATBA 24 can now be used in more
than 1,800 e-shops. New e-Faktura
and e-Inkaso services allow easier
payments to number of companies and
municipalities
We launched free internet access in
all of our branches. We also
introduced biometric signature with
signpad or tablet. Since April clients
have biometrically signed over two
million documents
ČS connected fans with Olympic
athletes in our Fingers Crossed
project and through support of
Olympic Parks across the Czech
Republic. Earnings from featured
Paleček’s Café were donated to anti-
drug charity SANANIM
*Finparáda award
Almost 163,000 clients are saving
money with the My Healthy Finance
service. Through this service we help
our clients to reduce their regular
expenditure such as household
utilities and to appreciate resulting
savings
Around 50 000 people also activated
application My Healthy Finance and
approximately 15 000 people are
actively using it. Thanks to the app
our clients can track the structure of
their expenses and set up their
budget. They can also file their own
saving envelopes and to monitor how
they are drawing closer to assigned
amount
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FY 2016 Business highlights – Corporates
Investment loan, refinancing,
IR hedge
EUR 9,781,000
CZK 251,380,000
Sole Lender
Club financing
EUR 25,000,000
Mandated Co-Lender
Acquisition financing
EUR 68,500,000
Mandated Lead Arranger, Sole Lender
Syndicated Acquisition Financing and
Refinancing
EUR 165,000,000
Original Lender, Escrow Agent
Senior Secured Bond Issue
CZK 2,700,000,000
Joint Lead Manager, Lender, Fiscal and
paying agent
6
Syndicated Investment Loan
EUR 720,000,000
Mandated Co-Lender
For corporate clients we introduced Easy
Loan - a package of simple products
with rapid approval process. SME
companies can now get working capital
financing approved within just 2 days
and receive the money within 5 days
With the new Smart City package, we
assist towns and cities in implementing
smart solutions in areas such as
municipal waste collection, cashless
payments in public transport and
intelligent street lighting
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Sdružení Neratov employs 110 people with mental
disabilities. The bank perceives it as a long-term
partner: we work together on various levels from
volunteering over donations and grants to financial
consulting and loans. Sdružení Neratov was
among the first clients to appreciate the option to
take out an investment loan, which will be used
to build a brewery, a new sheltered workplace
Social banking of Česká spořitelna in 2016
Organisations can test the viability and financial
sustainability of their business plan in the Impact
First accelerator. We organise three rounds a
year, and 10 finalists can work on their projects at
a time. The first winner of our accelerator was the
project Social Trade by Prostor Plus, an
organisation that operates in Central Bohemia and
employs socially excluded people
The unique FRIN fundraising academy offers
to non-profits a way to financial independence
from subsidies and grants. 80 organisations
signed up for the 6-month acceleration program,
and 10 finalists had a chance to work on their
campaign. Nadační fond UPOL won the main
prize for its campaign that targets selected
graduates of the university
The three main winners of the Social Impact
Award include the NáZnak project, whose
objectives are to foster interest in sign language,
to improve the integration of the deaf and to
eliminate the fear of people to communicate with
them. It is one of the most extensive acceleration
and educational programs in the area of socially
beneficial business in Europe and targets
university students
Since 2015, social banking of Česká spořitelna has
been helping non-profits and social enterprises
to stand on solid ground and to grow steadily
In the course of 2016, we granted 74 loans with
aggregate value of CZK 209 m. The average loan
amounts to CZK 2.8 m and is granted for 4 years.
Together, we bring a new dimension to money
Development and accelerating programs Impact
First, Social Impact Award and FRIN support
socially oriented profit and non-profit organisations
to grow, develop and multiply their positive impact
on the society. 50 participants were involved
during 2016
The Smíšek non-profit organisation helps
children from socially disadvantaged
background and runs four integration-focused
kindergartens in Prague. It is one of the
organisations whose continuous operation we
have ensured by pre-financing their grants.
This is one of the way to help non-profits to
maintain a balanced budget
7
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Presentation topics
8
• Česká spořitelna
• Financial performance analysis
• Macroeconomic developments
• Economic trends in details
• Banking market
• Czech banking market developments
• Česká spořitelna market shares
• Awards, CSR
• Appendix
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Financial statements – Income statement (CZK m)
9
2015 2016 Change
Net interest income 25,864 25,512 -1.4%
Net fee and commission income 10,254 9,308 -9.2%
Dividend income 70 86 22.9%
Net trading and fair value result 2,823 2,853 1.1%
Net result from equity method investments 0 -10 -
Rental income from investment properties & other operating leases 732 478 -34.7%
General administrative expenses -18,586 -18,146 -2.4%
Gains/losses from financial assets and liabilities not measured at fair value through profit or loss, net 449 1,421 >100%
Net impairment loss on financial assets not measured at fair value through profit or loss -2,648 -1,905 -28.1%
Other operating result -1,018 -672 -34.0%
Pre-tax result from continuing operations 17,940 18,925 5.5%
Taxes on income -3,645 -3,470 -4.8%
Post-tax result from continuing operations 14,295 15,455 8.1%
Net result for the period
Net result attributable to non-controlling interests 2 -2 -
Net result attributable to owners of the parent 14,293 15,457 8.1%
Operating income 39,743 38,227 -3.8%
Operating expenses -18,586 -18,146 -2.4%
Operating result 21,157 20,081 -5.1%
Cost/income ratio 46.8% 47.5%
Return on equity 13.0% 12.9%
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Financial statements – Balance sheet I (CZK m)
Assets
10
Assets Dec 15 Dec 16 Change
Cash and cash balances with central banks 111,027 173,100 55.9%
Financial assets - held for trading 14,725 20,944 42.2%
Derivatives 13,995 13,357 -4.6%
Other trading assets 730 7,587 >100%
Financial assets - designated at fair value through profit or loss 907 423 -53.4%
Financial assets - available-for-sale 78,053 81,274 4.1%
Financial assets - held to maturity 160,988 167,899 4.3%
Loans and receivables to credit institutions (net) 34,717 22,328 -35.7%
Loans and receivables to customers (net) 532,524 577,453 8.4%
Derivatives - hedge accounting 663 519 -21.7%
Property and equipment 12,318 10,456 -15.1%
Investment properties 4,949 2,390 -51.7%
Intangible assets 3,966 4,284 8.0%
Investments in associates and joint ventures 0 753 -
Current tax assets 740 611 -17.4%
Deferred tax assets 146 136 -6.8%
Assets held for sale 0 320 -
Other assets 3,861 3,636 -5.8%
Total assets 959,584 1,066,526 11.1%
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Financial statements – Balance sheet II (CZK m)
Liabilities
11
Liabilities and equity Dec 15 Dec 16 Change
Financial liabilities - held for trading 14,956 17,982 20.2%
Derivatives 14,944 13,877 -7.1%
Other trading liabilities 12 4,105 >100%
Financial liabilities designated at fair value through profit or loss 4,019 1,997 -50.3%
Deposits from customers 4,019 1,997 -50.3%
Financial liabilities measured at amortised cost 811,679 911,350 12.3%
Deposits from banks 83,915 114,282 36.2%
Deposits from customers 709,817 786,876 10.9%
Debt securities issued 15,493 9,173 -40.8%
Other financial liabilities 2,454 1,019 -58.5%
Derivatives - hedge accounting 496 452 -8.9%
Provisions 2,584 2,909 12.6%
Current tax liabilities 100 109 9.0%
Deferred tax liabilities 621 188 -69.7%
Liabilities associated with assets held for sale 0 125 -
Other liabilities 5,166 9,684 87.5%
Total equity 119,963 121,730 1.5%
Equity attributable to non-controlling interests -23 166 -
Equity attributable to owners of the parent 119,986 121,564 1.3%
Total liabilities and equity 959,584 1,066,526 11.1%
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3,686 3,534293 -465
-473
-18
508 3
Q3 16 Operatingincome
Operatingexpenses
Netprovision
creation
Other result* Taxes onincome
Minorities Q4 16
-4.1%
14,293 15,457-1,516
439 7431,318 175 4
1-12 15 Operatingincome
Operatingexpenses
Net provisioncreation
Other result* Taxes onincome
Minorities 1-12 16
8.1%
Financial performance – Executive summary
Net profit increased by 8.1% y/y in FY 2016
Q/Q net profit reconciliation (CZK m) Y/Y net profit reconciliation (CZK m)
12
• Operating income increased by 3.1% driven by 33% growth
of net trading income due to better result from interest derivatives
and FX swaps and by 7% growth of net fee income related
to seasonality in securities and insurance business
• Operating expenses went up by 10.4% mainly due to seasonality
visible mainly in marketing and property management and due to
creation of restructuring provision
• Growth of net provision creation caused by several individual
cases in corporate segment
• Positive development of income tax relates to created deferred tax
asset resulted from impairment of buildings.
• Net profit supported by one-off items in other result (sale of equity
stake in VISA Europe CZK 1.4 bn pre-tax, sale of Acquiring
business CZK 1.1 bn and impairment of buildings CZK -1.3 bn)
• Decline of operating income caused mainly by drop of net fee
and commission income (CZK -0.9 bn), net interest income
(CZK -0.4 bn) and rental income (CZK -0.3 bn)
• Further improved customers´ rating and lower volume of risky
loans led to further reduction of net provision creation (-28.1%)
P/L positive
P/L negative
* Includes Gains/losses from financial assets and liabilities not measured at fair value and Other operating result
P/L positive
P/L negative
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Positive
Negative 959.6
1,066.5
3
30
75 -6 3 2
Dec 15 Trading
liabilities
Bank
deposits
Customer
deposits
Debt
securities
Other
liabilities
Equity Dec 16
11.1%
959.6
1,066.5
62
16 -12
45 0 -4
Dec 15 Cash andbalances
with ČNB
Trading,financial
assets
Loans tobanks
Netcustomer
loans
Intangibles Other assets Dec 16
11.1%
Financial performance – Executive summary
Total balance sheet boosted by 11.1% in 2016
YTD total asset reconciliation (CZK bn) YTD total liability reconciliation (CZK bn)
13
• Cash and balances with ČNB increased by CZK 62 bn in 2016
driven by overnight deposits with ČNB (placing overliquidity
with ČNB)
• Net customer loans increased by 8.4% in 2016
• Driven by loans to large corporates and by private mortgages
• Trading assets grew by 42.2% due to reverse repo operations
with ČNB
• Group customer deposits rose by 10.5% since YE 2015
• Deposits in parent bank up by 11.3% (CZK 73 bn), driven by deposits
from private individuals (CZK +53 bn) and corporate deposits
(CZK +13 bn)
• Bank deposits rose by 36.2% in 2016
Increase
Decrease
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Financial performance – Executive summary
Strong capitalisation and ROE, branch network optimization
Cost/income ratio
14
Loan/deposit ratio Number of branches
ROE Total capital ratio Number of employees (eop)
44.3%46.8% 47.5%
1-12 14 1-12 15 1-12 16
14.5%13.0% 12.9%
1-12 14 1-12 15 1-12 16
644621
561
Dec 14 Dec 15 Dec 16
10,504 10,501
10,299
Dec 14 Dec 15 Dec 16
73.5%74.6%
73.2%
Dec 14 Dec 15 Dec 16
18.5%
21.3%20.1%
Dec 14 Dec 15 Dec 16
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Operating result –
Declined due to lower operating income
• Operating result declined given drop
of operating income (-3.8%); operating
expenses went down by 2.4% y/y
• Net fee income dropped by 9.2%,
net interest income declined only slightly
• Rental income was the main contributor
to decline of other income due to
reduction of real estate investments
• Net trading and FV result increased
by 1.1%
• Negative y/y impact of the change in
methodology adopted in 2015 for valuing
derivatives successfully outweighed by
increasing profit from foreign currency
transactions and trading
in securities
Operating result (CZK m)
15
22,90521,157 20,081
1-12 14 1-12 15 1-12 16
-5.1%
Operating income structure (CZK m)
26,673 25,864 25,512
11,30610,254 9,308
2,2872,823 2,853
873 802554
1-12 14 1-12 15 1-12 16
Net interest income Net fee and commision Net trading and fair value result Other
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26,673 25,864 25,512
1-12 14 1-12 15 1-12 16
-1.4%
Net interest income –
Only slightly lower than in FY 2015
• Negative impact of historically low
interest rates and maturing bonds
with higher yields partly mitigated
by accelerating growth of loans,
repricing of deposits and maturing
own issued mortgage bonds
• Yields of Czech government bonds
were at lowest levels in 2016
• Higher margin cash loans increased
by 4% in 2016
• Net interest margin decreased
to 3.12%
• Caused by declining yields from interest
bearing assets
16
Net interest margin
Net interest income (CZK m)
3.53%3.31% 3.12%
0.62%
0.13% -0.06%1-12 14 1-12 15 1-12 16
Net interest margin 5Y CZGB yield; FY AVG
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11,30610,254
9,308
1-12 14 1-12 15 1-12 16
-9.2%
2,608 1,986 1,689
6,2755,591
5,017
1,3991,781
1,921
1,024896
681
1-12 14 1-12 15 1-12 16
Lending Payment transfers Securities transactions Other
Net fee and commission income –
Declined by 9%, without regulation effect by 4%
• Development of net fee income
negatively influenced by EU regulation
in payment card business and by
growing customer preferences of
advantageous products and services
• Fee income from payment transfers
declined by 10%
• Excluding effect of regulated interchange
fee (CZK 0.5 bn) total net fee income
would decline by 4%
• Income from securities and asset
management rose by 8% as a result
of growing asset management and
securities business
• Clients assets in pension funds grew
by 9.3%, assets in domestic and mutual
funds increased by 9.9%
17
Net fee and commission income structure (CZK m)
Net fee and commission income (CZK m)
*
* Including fees from account maintenance and payment cards fees
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8,632 8,804 9,169
7,331 7,628 6,863
2,271 2,154 2,114
1-12 14 1-12 15 1-12 16
Personnel expenses Other administrative expenses
Depreciation and amortisation
18,234 18,586 18,146
1-12 14 1-12 15 1-12 16
-2.4%
Operating expenses –
Reduced by 2.4% y/y
• Other administrative expenses down
by 10.0% driven by lower contribution
to Deposit guarantee scheme and lower
costs for business operations and office
space (optimization of branch network)
• Personnel expenses rose by 4.1%
especially due to creation of restructuring
provision (for a reorganization of the
Bank’s redundant activities), regular
increase in wages and full year impact of
updated fringe benefits
• Depreciation down by 1.9% y/y affected
by decline in depreciation of buildings
Operating expenses (CZK m)
18
Operating expenses structure (CZK m)
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Group capital adequacy –
Total capital ratio at strong 20.1%
• ČS Group total capital ratio above 20%,
slight decrease compared to YE 2015
attributed to higher risk weighted assets
• Risk exposure to credit risk up
due to strong growth of retail and
corporate loans
• On the other hand, total capital
(Tier 1+Tier 2) grew by 2.0% in 2016
due to strong net profit
19
Tier 1 capital thereof: 99,405 98,832
CET 1 capital 91,298 90,725
Additional Tier 1 8,107 8,107
Total capital 99,859 101,886
Risk exposure to credit risk 405,856 424,863
Risk exposure to market risks 5,475 8,361
Risk exposure to operational risk 56,919 73,913
Total risk exposure 468,250 507,137
Tier 1 ratio 21.2% 19.5%
Total capital ratio 21.3% 20.1%
ČS Group, CZK m 31/12/2015 31/12/2016
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Balance sheet development –
High growth in loans and even faster growth in deposits
Group net customer loans (CZK m) Group customer deposits (CZK m)
20
• Group net customer loans increased by 8.4% in 2016
driven by loans to large corporate customers
and by retail mortgages /details in the lending part of the
presentation/
• Customer deposits added 10.5% following persisting
inflow of deposits from private individuals and corporate
clients (placing their overliquidity with ČS)
713,836 726,618 763,076 772,283 788,873
Dec 15 Mar 16 Jun 16 Sep 16 Dec 16
10.5%
532,524 543,240 553,224 570,344 577,453
Dec 15 Mar 16 Jun 16 Sep 16 Dec 16
8.4%
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IFRS, in CZK bn Dec-15 Dec-16Change
(y/y)
ČS - customer deposits 640.7 713.4 11.3%
SSČS - building society 74.6 77.1 3.3%
ČSPS - pension company 64.4 70.4 9.3%
Dom. and foreign mutual funds 108.4 119.2 9.9%
thereof Reico - investment company 8.2 13.1 60.0%
Asset management 71.0 75.2 5.9%
Total 959.1 1,055.2 10.0%
959.1
1,055.2
Dec-15 Dec-16
Asset management
Dom. and foreignmutual funds
ČSPS
SSČS
ČS
Total
ČS Group deposits – Organic growth in alternative deposit products
• Customer deposits in parent bank grew
by 11.3% y/y • Private individuals and corporate clients were the main
contributors to the overall growth of customer deposits
• Assets in pension company increased by 9.3%
• Organic increase of volumes split between
transformed and participants´ funds
• Domestic and foreign mutual funds added
almost 10% in 2016
• Low interest rates support higher clients´ demand
for alternative higher-yielding products
• In Reico investment company customer assets
increased by 60% in 2016
• Assets under discretionary management
rose by 5.9% in y/y comparison
ČS Group deposits (CZK bn)
21
10.0%
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Group loan portfolio – Summary
Portfolio growth accompanied with better quality and lower risk costs
22
• Gross loans to customers in ČS Group increased by strong 8.0% y/y to CZK 593 bn
• Favourable macroeconomic framework and expected growth of interest rates in mortgages led to outstanding
demand for private mortgages, resumed consumer lending appetite and growth of corporate exposure, mainly
to largest clients
• Detail segment figures are affected by internal resegmentation of public and non profit sector
(CZK 9.1 bn moved from retail to corporate in Q4 2016) and reshuffle in corporate itself (transfers among sub-
segments following a new corporate strategy)
• Record sales of private mortgages in accord with recommendations of ČNB towards prudent LTV limits
• Risk costs reduced by 33% from 48 bps to 32 bps y/y
• Decreasing default rates and recoveries in private individuals
• Significant recoveries and low NPL inflow in Corporate
• When including provisions for guarantees, risk costs would decrease from 51 bps to 38 bps y/y
• Portfolio quality further improved and NPL ratio declined from 4.1% to 3.2%
• Portfolio quality upturn driven by successful solution of old defaults and low new NPLs inflow combined with
loan portfolio growth especially in safest ratings
• Provision coverage increased to strong 83%, total coverage (provisions+collateral to NPL) improved
to 116.0% (from 105% in 2015)
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Group loan portfolio –
Group loans increased by strong 8.0% y/y driven by Parent Bank and Leasings
ČS Group loan portfolio (gross) Loan book by Group members as of Dec 2016
23
• ČS Bank dominates the ČS Group
• Interest rates at bottom for housing markets and strong economic growth for large corporate further
accelerated growth in ČS bank and its leasing subsidiaries. Stavební spořitelna (building society) recorded
loan portfolio growth
in CZK m, IFRS 31/12/2015 31/12/2016 Y/Y Change
I. ČS Bank 509,874 551,947 8.3%
II.1. Stavební spořitelna ČS 35,387 35,989 1.7%
II.2. Leasing (sAL, EL) 14,885 15,782 6.0%
II.3. Factoring ČS 4,817 5,106 6.0%
III. Other subs and Consolidation items -16,127 -15,831 -1.8%
Total Loans (consolidated) 548,836 592,992 8.0%
Bank90.7%
Stavební spořitelna
5.9%
Leasing subs.2.6%
Factoring0.8%
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Bank loan portfolio –
Total growth balanced by both retail as well as wholesale* business
Loan portfolio development - ČS Bank Loan portfolio by customer segments
as of Dec 2016
24
• Loans to retail rose by 5.2% y/y (excluding
resegmentation of CZK 9.1 bn by 8.2%)
• Driven primarily by private mortgages +12.2%
• Commercial loans when excluding
resegmentation of public sector grew by 2.8%
• Loans to wholesale added 12.8% y/y
(excluding resegmentation of CZK 9.1 bn
+8.4%)
• Growth driven mainly by large corporates
in real estate, automotive and natural resources
sectors * Wholesale defined as Corporate and Group Markets.
302.3 304.7 310.9 319.5 318.0
206.6 212.5 217.4 226.6 233.1
5.8% 6.6% 7.4% 8.8% 8.3%
0%
10%
20%
30%
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
Dec 15 Mar 16 Jun 16 Sep 16 Dec 16
in C
ZK
bn
Retail loans Wholesale loans Total loan growth (y/y)
Large corporates
13.6%
SME23.7%
Consumer,
private credit
cards,
overdrafts and
home equity
11.7%
Mortgage & real est.45.3%
Others 5.7%
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Bank loan portfolio –
Mortgages accelerated at year end, pick up in consumer lending
Private mortgages development Consumer lending development*
25
• Private mortgages accelerated
to CZK 209.6 bn (+12.2% y/y)
• Strong demand culminated in Q4 2016, when first
interest rate hike was announced
• Despite outstanding sales, quality is kept stable with
whole portfolio LTV ratio at safe 64.3%
• Consumer lending* at CZK 64.5 bn (+1.1% y/y)
• Higher sales of cash loans enabled by growing
household income and very low unemployment rate
finally reversed long term decline of consumer
lending already on y/y basis
*Consumer lending here includes Cash loans, home equity loans,
private credit cards and private overdrafts. Social loans are excluded.
186.8190.1
196.0
203.0
209.6
11.8% 11.9% 11.5% 11.9% 12.2%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
160
170
180
190
200
210
Dec 15 Mar 16 Jun 16 Sep 16 Dec 16
in C
ZK
bn
Private Mortgages Private Mortgages growth (y/y)
63.8 63.5 63.5 64.2 64.5
-3.7% -2.5% -1.8% -0.3% 1.1%
-20%
0%
20%
40%
60%
0
20
40
60
80
100
Dec 15 Mar 16 Jun 16 Sep 16 Dec 16
in C
ZK
bn
Consumer Lending Consumer Lending growth (y/y)
Page
Group asset quality Improving risk profile and coverage, decline of risk costs
NPL ratio and NPL coverage Risk costs development
26
• Group NPL share further declined to 3.2%
• Driven by low NPL inflow, recoveries and write offs
across segments
• Provision coverage at strong 83%, total coverage
(provisions+collateral to NPL) improved to 116.0%
• Annualized group risk costs declined to 32 bps
• Positive development from Q2 and Q3 2016 was
partly held back by single larger default and additional
provision creations on already defaulted corporate
clients in Q4 2016
4.1% 3.9% 3.6% 3.3% 3.2%
73% 73% 76%80% 83%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
0.0%
2.0%
4.0%
6.0%
8.0%
10.0%
12.0%
14.0%
16.0%
Dec 15 Mar 16 Jun 16 Sep 16 Dec 16
Group NPLs Risk Provisions / NPLs
48
33
24 24
32
-32.9%-50.2% -53.6% -47.8%
-33.4%
-100%
0%
100%
200%
300%
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
Dec 15 Mar 16 Jun 16 Sep 16 Dec 16
in b
p
Group risk costs Y/Y change
Page
Presentation topics
27
• Česká spořitelna
• Segment financial performance analysis
• Macroeconomic developments
• Economic trends in details
• Banking market
• Czech banking market developments
• Česká spořitelna market shares
• Awards, CSR
• Appendix
Page
Macroeconomic developments –
GDP growth remaining solid
Real GDP growth y/y Components of GDP
28
• The GDP growth slowdown to 2.3% in 2016 is being driven by
extraordinary volume of public investment in 2015 (utilisation
of EU funds) and temporary slowdown in foreign demand in H2 2016
• Real economic activity is still solid, favourably influenced by both
domestic and foreign demand
• Domestic demand is being influenced by labour market strengthening
and positive sentiment of households; foreign demand is affected
by the economic recovery in the Eurozone (mainly in Germany), low
oil prices and the weak EUR/CZK exchange rate
• Relatively stable growth of household consumption is the most important
GDP growth contributor. It is being supported by a strong labour market and
positive sentiment of households
• Decrease in fixed investment in 2016 affected by significant public
investments financed by EU funds. In 2017, fixed investments will increase due
to improved economic development and higher public investment expenditures
• The manufacturing sector, supported to a large extent by continuing
expansion in the automotive industry, remained the most significant contributor
to GDP growth on the supply side (adding 1.1pp in Q3 2016)
Note: Source for historic figures is Czech statistical office. Figures for forthcoming years are ČS forecasts
-0.5%
2.7%
4.6%
2.3%2.7%
3.2%
2013 2014 2015 2016 2017e 2018e
0.5%1.8%
3.1% 2.7% 2.9% 3.0%
-2.5%
3.9%
9.1%
-1.3%
2.8% 3.1%
2013 2014 2015 2016 2017e 2018e
Private consumption growth
Fixed capital formation growth
Page
Macroeconomic developments –
The lowest unemployment rate in the EU
Unemployment and inflation General government debt and government balance
29
• Average CPI arrived at 2.0% in December and thus reached the ČNB target.
Significant unexpected increase in food prices was the main driver of this
development
• We expect a gradual increase in CPI inflation during this year due to solid
domestic demand and wage growth, fuel and food prices and also lower
anti-inflationary pressures from the Eurozone
• The general unemployment rate (ILO) reached 3.6% in December
and is the lowest in the EU
• The strong growth of the Czech economy and high inflow of EU funds positively
affected the central government’s cash flow-based budget, which reached a
surplus in 2016
• In 2017 and 2018, we expect a slight deficit in general government balance
due to higher public consumption and investment expenditures
• The share of public debt to nominal GDP is anticipated to further decrease,
mainly thanks to the favourable development of the Czech economy
Note: Source for historic figures is Czech statistical office. Figures for forthcoming years are ČS forecasts
6.8%
5.9%
4.6%
3.7%4.0% 4.0%
1.4%
0.3% 0.3%0.7%
2.2% 1.9%
2013 2014 2015 2016 2017e 2018e
Unemployment rate (eop)
Consumer price inflation (avg)
44.9% 42.2% 40.3% 37.2% 35.7% 35.9%
-1.2% -1.9% -0.4%
0.5%
-0.6% -0.6%
2013 2014 2015 2016e 2017e 2018e
General government debt (share of GDP)
General government balance (share of GDP)
Page
Macroeconomic developments –
Yields of Czech T-bonds are expected to remain low in 2017 despite recent uptick
• Domestic demand pressures strengthened
at the end of 2016. Core inflation contributed
approx. 0.8pp to overall inflation in December
• The ČNB will not abandon the FX
commitment (EUR/CZK above 27)
before Q2 2017
• Due to inflation at the target, positive inflation
outlook and high inflow of foreign capital, we
expect the exit from the FX cap in Q2 2017
• However, the timing will be dependent on
economic development in the Eurozone
and the Czech Republic
• The possibility of negative ČNB rates
is still relatively low, in our view
• Yields of government bonds increased
reflecting higher pro-inflationary pressures
30
-0,5%
0%
0,5%
1%
1,5%
1-1
5
2-1
5
3-1
5
4-1
5
5-1
5
6-1
5
7-1
5
9-1
5
10-1
5
11-1
5
12-1
5
1-1
6
2-1
6
4-1
6
5-1
6
6-1
6
7-1
6
8-1
6
9-1
6
10-1
6
12-1
6
1-1
7
10Y T-Bond Yields CZGB10YR Index
GDBR10 Index
GTATS10Y Govt
-1
0
1
2
3
2015 2016
Break-down of CPI
Regulated prices Indirect taxesFood, beverages and tobacco CoreFuel CPI
Page
Presentation topics
31
• Česká spořitelna
• Segment financial performance analysis
• Macroeconomic developments
• Economic trends in details
• Banking market
• Czech banking market developments
• Česká spořitelna market shares
• Awards, CSR
• Appendix
Page
17.1 16.818.2
20.2
15.5
18.9
0
5
10
15
20
25
Q3 2015 Q3 2016 Q3 2015 Q3 2016 Q3 2015 Q3 2016
Large banks Medium-sized banksbanks
Small banks
T1 Capital ratio Total capital ratio
• According to latest ČNB stress tests the Czech banking sector has
a strong capital adequacy, liquidity and robust profitability
• The counter-cyclical capital buffer rate for exposures located in the
Czech Republic is set at 0.5%, applicable as of January 2017. In
December 2016 the ČNB decided to keep the rate at this level also after
January 2018
Czech banking market –
Sufficiently capitalized and resilient, with low and falling NPL share
Capital ratios of Czech banks* (%) Non-performing loan ratios (%)
• The share of non-performing loans (NPL ratio) in the retail
sector has been falling since 2013 in line with the improving
economic situation
• Corporate NPL ratio has been oscillating around 5% over the
last two quarters
32
* Compliant with ČNB segmentation of banks, data for Dec not available yet
4.4%
5.7%
4.1%3.6%
5.0%
3.2%
0%
1%
2%
3%
4%
5%
6%
7%
Total Non-financialcorporations
Households
Dec 15 Dec 16
Page
Czech banking market –
Prevailing growth in retail loans and deposits, optimization of corporate deposits at YE
Retail and corporate loans (y/y growth) Retail and corporate deposits (y/y growth)
33
• Total loan growth was 6% y/y in December 2016. The main driver
was the growth of retail loans. In the last two quarters this growth rate
was mostly around 7%
• In 2017, ČS expects client loans to grow at a pace of about 6%.
The growth of retail loans will ease a bit compared to the levels
up to now. Housing loans will grow at the rate of roughly 7%, while
for corporate loans ČS expects increase slightly below 5%
• The pace of y/y growth of retail deposits increased during 2016
to levels above 8%. Conversely, growth of corporate deposits
gradually fell to zero (likely in connection to optimisation of charges
to Resolution fund)
• In 2017, ČS expects the growth rate of total deposits to be slightly
below 7%
7.6%
6.4%6.9% 7.3%
8.5%
6.7%5.9% 6.0%
Mar 16 Jun 16 Sep 16 Dec 16
Retail loans Corporate loans
6.3%
7.3%7.7%
8.4%
6.5% 6.5%5.9%
0.0%
Mar 16 Jun 16 Sep 16 Dec 16
Retail deposits Corporate deposits
Page
Czech banking market –
Limited exposure of clients to FX risk
Customer loans (December 2016) Customer deposits (December 2016)
34
59.1%
29.4%
0.1%
11.3%
LC retail loans LC corporate loans
FX retail loans FX corporate loans
67.7%
22.8%
2.8%6.7%
LC retail deposits LC corporate deposits
FX retail deposits FX corporate deposits
Page
Banking market –
Market shares of ČS (December 2016)
Asset side Liability side
35
• Market leadership in:
• Number of customers (4.7 m)
• Total mortgages (market share of 26%)
• Consumer loans incl. credit cards (market share of 29%)
• No. 2 in:
• Total loans (market share of 20%)
• Total assets (market share 19%)
• Private mortgages (market share 25%)
• Market leadership in:
• Total deposits (market share of 21%)
• 25% in retail deposits, 12% in corporate deposits
• Mutual funds with market share of 25%
19% 18% 19% 19% 19%
23% 23% 23% 23% 23%
19% 19% 19% 19% 20%
Dec 15 Mar 16 Jun 16 Sep 16 Dec 16
Total assets Retail loans Corporate loans
25% 25% 25% 25% 25%
12% 11% 12% 12% 12%
Dec 15 Mar 16 Jun 16 Sep 16 Dec 16
Retail deposits Corporate deposits
Page
Presentation topics
36
• Česká spořitelna
• Segment financial performance analysis
• Macroeconomic developments
• Economic trends in details
• Banking market
• Czech banking market developments
• Česká spořitelna market shares
• Awards, CSR
• Appendix
Page
The ČS Foundation awarded the Floccus
Awards to 6 organisations and 3 individuals
who support people on the fringe of society.
The ČS Foundation distributed CZK 2 m among
the 24 most successful non-profit projects in its
Grant Programme for ČS’s Clients and also
Employees
2016 Making Good Things Happen
Through the new mobile donor application
Melinda people contributed CZK 380 thous to
various charitable non-profit organisations
projects. Bank clients are donating 10 thous per
week now
ČS developed financially-educational online
game „Mysterious Journey“ for primary and
secondary schools.
As a part of its promotion ČS cooperated with
youtuber Vidrail which was very successful and
made this game more popular
ČS is already the main partner of six
universities: Česká zemědělská univerzita v
Praze, Univerzita Hradec Králové, Univerzita
Jana Evangelisty Purkyně, Univerzita Karlova,
Univerzita Palackého v Olomouci, Vysoká škola
ekonomická v Praze
The NDB introduced an unique one year
training program for future teacher Učitel
naživo (Teacher Live).
The Foundation was founded in order to
administer the extraordinary yields from
anonymous pass-books in 2012 with CZK 1.45
bn. The rest of the money, CZK 121 m, will be
transferred to the NDB
ČS launched an unique ambassadorial
programme. The concept is based on several
surveys among students, and the outcome is a
one-year internship for students of partner
universities who will help with communication
between students, universities, and ČS. The
communication channel is Facebook page
Making Good Ideas Happen
37
Page 38
2016 Awards from Prestigious Institutions
• International finance magazine The Banker named Česká spořitelna Bank of the Year for the
Czech Republic for the ninth time. The distinction of "bank of the year" was awarded by a jury
in which CEOs and managers of British companies, as well as several editors from The Banker
magazine
• Česká spořitelna defended the Zlatá koruna award for Corporate Social Responsibility
• SERVIS 24 Mobile bank gets points in Mobile application of 2016 awards
• Second position in Client service category and first in Banking applications category
• According to the public, the Servis 24 mobile banking is the best banking app in the Czech
Republic
• Česká spořitelna won the title as the Best Card Acquirer and Proposition of 2016 in the
fourth annual Visa Awards
• Our good knowledge of clients was confirmed by the prestigious PR prize Zlatý středník
awarded for the publication called Etapy where the bank mapped the behaviour of its clients
from student years until the death
Page
Presentation topics
39
• Česká spořitelna
• Segment financial performance analysis
• Macroeconomic developments
• Economic trends in details
• Banking market
• Czech banking market developments
• Česká spořitelna market shares
• Awards, CSR
• Appendix
Page
40
Structure of ČS Group loan portfolio (gross) –
Group customer loans
* Wholesale defined as Corporate and Group Markets.
*
Outstand. Share Outstand. Share Outstand. Rate
RETAIL 302,303 55.1% 318,003 53.6% 15,699 5.2%
Overdrafts 5,964 1.1% 5,725 1.0% -239 -4.0%
of which non-private (MSE, Muni) 1,574 0.3% 1,697 0.3% 123 7.8%
Credit cards 3,401 0.6% 3,054 0.5% -347 -10.2%
of which non-private (MSE, Muni) 15 0.0% 15 0.0% -1 -6.2%
Cash loans 51,885 9.5% 53,968 9.1% 2,083 4.0%
Private social 952 0.2% 776 0.1% -176 -18.5%
Home equity mortgages 4,103 0.7% 3,453 0.6% -650 -15.8%
Private mortgages 186,813 34.0% 209,568 35.3% 22,755 12.2%
Commercial loans 49,185 9.0% 41,459 7.0% -7,726 -15.7%
WHOLESALE 206,600 37.6% 233,138 39.3% 26,539 12.8%
Corporate 205,696 37.5% 226,803 38.2% 21,107 10.3%
Group Large corporates 27,489 5.0% 36,206 6.1% 8,716 31.7%
Local Large corporates 35,606 6.5% 39,006 6.6% 3,400 9.5%
SME 91,316 16.6% 89,244 15.0% -2,071 -2.3%
Real estate 38,366 7.0% 40,523 6.8% 2,156 5.6%
Public sector 12,918 2.4% 21,824 3.7% 8,906 68.9%
Group Markets 904 0.2% 6,336 1.1% 5,431 >100%
OTHER 970 0.2% 806 0.1% -165 -17.0%
BANK: LOANS TO CUSTOMERS 509,874 92.9% 551,947 93.1% 42,073 8.3%
SUBSIDIARIES 55,089 10.0% 56,877 9.6% 1,787 3.2%
CONSOLIDATION ITEMS -16,127 -2.9% -15,831 -2.7% 295 -1.8%
GROUP: LOANS TO CUSTOMERS 548,836 100.0% 592,992 100.0% 44,156 8.0%
31/12/2015 31/12/2016 YTY changein CZK m, IFRS
Page
Ratings of Česká spořitelna
Status as of 31 December 2016
41
Fitch A- F2 a- 2 stable 20/05/2015
Moody's A2 Prime - 1 stable 17/03/2015
Standard & Poor's A- A-2 negative 09/06/2015
OutlookRating Agency Long-term Short-term Viability SupportLatest
actions
• Latest rating actions
• Rating agency Standard & Poor´s confirmed all ČS ratings on 1st August 2016
• Fitch confirmed all ČS ratings on 16th May 2016
• Moody´s revised the outlook for LT rating of ČS from negative to stable on 17th March 2015
Page
Macroeconomic figures –
Historical and forecasted macroeconomic data
42
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017e 2018e
Population (avg, m) 10.5 10.5 10.5 10.5 10.5 10.5 10.5 10.5
GDP/capita (EUR thsd) 15.6 15.1 14.6 14.1 14.9 15.4 16.0 16.9
Real GDP growth 2.0 -0.7 -0.5 2.7 4.6 2.3 2.7 3.2
Consumer price inflation (avg) 1.9 3.3 1.4 0.3 0.3 0.7 2.2 1.9
Unemployment rate (eop) 6.5 7.3 6.8 5.9 4.6 3.7 4.0 4.0
Current account balance (share of GDP) -2.1 -1.6 -0.5 0.2 0.9 2.1 1.2 1.4
General government balance (share of GDP) -2.7 -3.9 -1.2 -1.9 -0.4 0.5 -0.6 -0.6
Public debt (share of GDP) 39.9 44.5 44.9 42.2 40.3 37.2 35.7 35.9
Short term interest rate (3 months, eop) 1.2 1.0 0.5 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3
EUR FX rate (eop) 25.8 25.1 27.4 27.7 27.0 27.0 26.4 25.8
Page
Financial statements – Quarterly development (CZK m)
43
Q4 15 Q1 16 Q2 16 Q3 16 Q4 16 Q/Q %
Net interest income 6,435 6,379 6,396 6,412 6,326 -1.3%
Net fee and commission income 2,724 2,282 2,364 2,252 2,410 7.0%
Dividend income 3 3 51 6 26 >100%
Net trading and fair value result 584 633 604 692 924 33.5%
Net result from equity method investments 0 0 3 -4 -9 -
Rental income from investment properties & other operating leases 151 131 127 123 97 -21.1%
General administrative expenses -4,950 -4,369 -4,413 -4,450 -4,915 10.4%
Gains/losses from financial assets and liabilities not measured at fair value through profit or loss, net 127 2 1,421 -1 -2 100.0%
Net impairment loss on financial assets not measured at fair value through profit or loss -765 -460 -235 -369 -842 >100.0%
Other operating result -138 -396 -148 -57 -71 24.6%
Pre-tax result from continuing operations 4,171 4,206 6,170 4,607 3,941 -14.5%
Taxes on income -1,011 -831 -1,305 -921 -413 -55.2%
Post-tax result from continuing operations 3,159 3,375 4,864 3,685 3,530 -4.2%
Net result for the period
Net result attributable to non-controlling interests 2 0 1 0 -3 -
Net result attributable to owners of the parent 3,158 3,375 4,863 3,686 3,534 -4.1%
Operating income 9,898 9,427 9,546 9,480 9,774 3.1%
Operating expenses -4,950 -4,369 -4,413 -4,450 -4,915 10.4%
Operating result 4,947 5,058 5,132 5,031 4,860 -3.4%
Cost/income ratio 50.0% 46.3% 46.2% 46.9% 50.3%
Page
Segment financial statements –
Segment Czech Republic - income statement (EUR m)
44
2015 2016 Change
Net interest income 923.0 914.3 -0.9%
Net fee and commission income 375.8 344.3 -8.4%
Dividend income 2.5 3.1 na
Net trading and fair value result 103.5 105.5 2.0%
Net result from equity method investments 0.0 -0.4 na
Rental income from investment properties & other operating leases 26.8 17.7 -34.2%
General administrative expenses -681.2 -671.2 -1.5%
Gains/losses from financial assets and liabilities not measured at fair value through profit or loss, net 16.5 52.6 219.4%
Net impairment loss on financial assets -97.1 -70.5 -27.4%
Other operating result -37.3 -24.8 -33.5%
Levies on banking activities 0.0 0.0 na
Pre-tax result from continuing operations 632.6 670.6 6.0%
Taxes on income -128.9 -122.8 -4.7%
Post-tax result from continuing operations 503.7 547.8 8.8%
Post-tax result from discontinued operations 0.0 0.0 na
Net result for the period 503.7 547.8 8.8%
Net result attributable to non-controlling interests 5.4 5.8 7.7%
Net result attributable to owners of the parent 498.3 542.0 8.8%
Operating income 1,431.7 1,384.5 -3.3%
Operating expenses -681.2 -671.2 -1.5%
Operating result 750.5 713.3 -5.0%
Cost/income ratio 47.6% 48.5%
Return on allocated capital 29.5% 31.1%
Page
Segment financial statements – Quarterly development
Segment Czech Republic - income statement (EUR m)
45
Q4 15 Q1 16 Q2 16 Q3 16 Q4 16
Net interest income 236.0 226.9 228.7 230.9 227.9
Net fee and commission income 100.6 84.4 87.4 83.3 89.2
Dividend income 0.1 0.1 1.8 0.2 1.0
Net trading and fair value result 21.7 23.4 22.3 25.6 34.2
Net result from equity method investments 0.0 0.0 0.1 -0.2 -0.3
Rental income from investment properties & other operating leases 5.6 4.8 4.7 4.6 3.6
General administrative expenses -182.8 -161.6 -163.2 -164.6 -181.8
Gains/losses from financial assets and liabilities not measured at fair value through profit or loss, net 4.7 0.1 52.6 0.0 -0.1
Net impairment loss on financial assets -28.2 -17.0 -8.7 -13.6 -31.1
Other operating result -5.2 -14.6 -5.5 -2.0 -2.7
Levies on banking activities 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Pre-tax result from continuing operations 152.5 146.5 220.2 164.1 139.8
Taxes on income -37.3 -29.5 -46.7 -32.9 -13.7
Post-tax result from continuing operations 115.2 117.0 173.5 131.2 126.0
Post-tax result from discontinued operations 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Net result for the period 115.2 117.0 173.5 131.2 126.0
Net result attributable to non-controlling interests 1.4 1.3 2.0 1.3 1.2
Net result attributable to owners of the parent 113.8 115.7 171.6 129.9 124.8
Operating income 364.0 339.6 345.0 344.4 355.5
Operating expenses -183 -161.6 -163.2 -164.6 -181.8
Operating result 181.2 178.0 181.8 179.8 173.7
Cost/income ratio 50.2% 47.6% 47.3% 47.8% 51.1%
Return on allocated capital 26.0% 26.8% 41.5% 29.3% 27.5%
Page
Investor Relations contacts
46
Česká spořitelna Miloš Novák
Tel: +420 956 712 410
E-Mail: [email protected]
Eva Čulíková
Tel: +420 956 712 011
E-mail: [email protected]
Josef Boček
Tel: +420 956 712 461
E-mail: [email protected]
Erste Group Thomas Sommerauer, Head of Group Investor Relations
Tel: +43 50100 17326
E-Mail: [email protected]
Peter Makray, Investor Relations Manager
Tel: +43 50100 16878
E-Mail: [email protected]