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FUTURE PLANS AND DEVELOPMENT OF SOUTH AFRICA’S PORTS - Logan Naidoo, GM Capital Projects, Transnet Port Terminals 23 May 2012

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Page 1: FUTURE PLANS AND DEVELOPMENT OF SOUTH AFRICA’S PORTS Paper... · 2013-09-03 · FUTURE PLANS AND DEVELOPMENT OF SOUTH AFRICA’S PORTS - Logan Naidoo, GM Capital Projects, Transnet

FUTURE PLANS AND DEVELOPMENT OF SOUTH AFRICA’S PORTS

- Logan Naidoo, GM Capital Projects, Transnet Port Terminals

23 May 2012

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2 PAGE

SA PORTS – FUTURE DEVELOPMENT PLANS Presentation Content

Company Overview

Recent Port Investment Achievements

Transnet Market Demand Strategy (MDS)

Future Port Investment Plans

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3 PAGE

delivering freight reliably

TRANSNET STATE OWNED COMPANY (SOC) LTD

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4 PAGE

SA PORTS – FUTURE DEVELOPMENT PLANS

Company Overview

Recent Port Investment Achievements

Transnet Market Demand Strategy (MDS)

Future Port Investment Plans

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5 PAGE

TPT 10-YR CAPEX HISTORY (Rm) Investment climbed from R131m in 2001/02, peaking at R3.2bn in 2008/09

TPT Investment (R2,363m) (5 years: 2001/02 to 2005/06)

TPT Investment (R10,277m) (5 years: 2006/07 to 2010/11)

2004/05 2003/04 2002/03 2001/02 2005/06 2009/10 2008/09 2007/08 2006/07 2010/11

131 492 380 584 776 1740 2087

3200 2337

913

Port concessioning

dilemma

Infrastructure backlog catchup & expansion drive

Global recession & investment

cutbacks

RMG – Pier 1 (2007) Auto-gate – NCT (2009)

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6 PAGE

MEGA PROJECTS UNDERTAKEN AT TPT OVER PAST 5 YEARS Each project increased port capacity

• Pier 1: 720K TEU RTG/RMG Terminal, commissioned in Durban [R1.9bn]

• DCT (P2): Expansion and Re-configuration up to 2.9M TEUs [R1.5bn]

• CTCT: Expansion up to 1.0M TEUs and conversion to RTGs [R4.3bn]

• Ngqura: Greenfields port and terminal development. 800K TEUs, 2-berth, deep water CT [R8bn]

• SLD IOT: Expansion up to 60mpta. Transnet investment is R8.1bn, TPT’s investment is [R1.2bn]

• RCB DBT: Partial refurbishment programme, limited by terminal viability [R800m]

• PE Bulk: Refurbishment of manganese plant to 4.2mtpa. [R600m]

Page 7: FUTURE PLANS AND DEVELOPMENT OF SOUTH AFRICA’S PORTS Paper... · 2013-09-03 · FUTURE PLANS AND DEVELOPMENT OF SOUTH AFRICA’S PORTS - Logan Naidoo, GM Capital Projects, Transnet

7 PAGE

SA PORTS – FUTURE DEVELOPMENT PLANS

Company Overview

Recent Port Investment Achievements

Transnet Market Demand Strategy (MDS)

Future Port Investment Plans

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8 PAGE

MARKET DEMAND STRATEGY IN SUMMARY The impact of infrastructure development will be felt nation-wide

R300bn Transnet-wide capital investment

programme over next 7-years

Expanding rail, port and pipeline infrastructure

Increase in capacity to meet market demand

Continued financial stability and strength

Significant productivity and operational efficiency

improvements

Shift from road to rail – reducing the cost of

doing business and carbon emissions

Enabling economic growth

Job creation, skills development, localisation,

empowerment and transformation opportunities

TPT will invest R33bn

Commodity split (Rbn)

Divisional split (Rbn)

11

33

47

4

201 4

Other

TPL

TPT

TNPA

TRE

TFR

Other

30

26

3 9

24

25

32

151

Other Bulk

Break Bulk

Piped Products

Containers (Ports)

Export Iron Ore

Export Coal

GFB

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9 PAGE

MDS will enable growth in key commodities and will position South Africa globally as…

…a key thermal coal exporter

…an increasingly important 4th largest supplier of iron ore to China

…the leading manganese exporter globally

…the leading logistics hub for sub-Saharan Africa

…a globally recognised benchmark for container and heavy haul operations

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10 PAGE

MARKET DEMAND STRATEGY (MDS) Total Transnet ZAR300bn, TPT ZAR33bn 2012/13 - 2018/19, peaking to ZAR9.5bn in 2016/17

Sishen -Saldanha Export iron ore ZAR25.4bn

Port Terminals: ZAR5.82bn

Cape Town Port Terminals: ZAR465ml

7

Durban Multi Product Pipeline ZAR9.4bn Port Terminals: ZAR7.4bn

Richards Bay corridor Export coal line ZAR32.1bn Port Terminals: ZAR12.4bn

2012/13 2011/12 2010/11 2008/09 2013/14 2017/18 2016/17 2015/16 2014/15 2018/19

3200 2337 913 1137 2551 4138 3492 7670

9545

2812 2670

2009/10

Boom-time Ends

Global recession Market Demand Strategy

R33bn TPT 7yr Investment Plan

Eastern Cape Dry Bulk ZAR25.5bn

Port Terminals: ZAR6.7bn

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11 PAGE

MDS INVESTMENTS FOR TPT Port View, Replacement Vs Expansion, Infra Vs Equipment

6%

TPT 7-year Capex Plan: R 33bn

Total ETC

7 Year Plan

Year 1

2012/13

Year 2

2013/14

Year 3

2014/15

Year 4

2015/16

Year 5

2016/17

Year 6

2017/18

Year 7

2018/19

Total (R'm) 32 878 2 551 4 138 3 492 7 670 9 545 2 812 2 670

Civil / Infrastructure vs Cargo Handling Equipment:

Replacement: R 9 591m (29%)

RBY: R 12 419m (38%)

EL: R 332m (1%)

NCT: R 5 877m (18%)

PE: R 527m (2%)

CTN: R 465m (1%) SAL:

R 5 819m (18%)

Cargo Handling Equipment: R 11 758m (36%)

Civil / Infrastructure: R 21 119m (64%)

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12 PAGE

SA PORTS – FUTURE DEVELOPMENT PLANS

Company Overview

Recent Port Investment Achievements

Transnet Market Demand Strategy (MDS)

Future Port Investment Plans

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13 PAGE

MDS - PORT EXPANSION PLANS Port of Saldanha Bay

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14 PAGE

Bulk Terminal: Phase 1 60 mtpa (complete)

Break-Bulk Terminal 3.0 mtpa

Bulk Terminal: Phase 2 Increased stack; new Tipplers & Berths + Ship Loader (83 mtpa)

Break-Bulk Terminal 1x new Berth

4.0 mtpa

-

500 000

1 000 000

1 500 000

2 000 000

2 500 000

3 000 000

3 500 000SLD MPT (Demand vs Capacity - Tons)

0

10 000 000

20 000 000

30 000 000

40 000 000

50 000 000

60 000 000

70 000 000

80 000 000

90 000 000

Iron Ore Bulk (Demand vs Capacity - Tons)

Phase 1c complete

Phase 2

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15 PAGE

MDS - PORT EXPANSION PLANS Port of Cape Town

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16 PAGE

Agri Terminal 0.4 mtpa

Break-bulk Terminal 0.4 mtpa

Container Terminal Phase 2a: 1.0m TEU Phase 2b: 1.4m TEU

Container Terminal Phase 3a: 2.0m TEU

Phase 3b: > 2.0m TEU

-

200 000

400 000

600 000

800 000

1 000 000

1 200 000

2011/12(LE)

2012/13 2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 2016/17 2017/18 2018/19

CT Containers (Demand vs Capacity - TEUs)

Phase 2a T/S > 14days

Phase 2a T/S@ 10days

Phase 2b 1.4m TEUS >

2020

16

0

100000

200000

300000

400000

500000

600000

700000

800000

900000 CT Agri RORO(Demand vs Capacity - Tons)

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17 PAGE

MDS - PORT EXPANSION PLANS Port Elizabeth

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18 PAGE

0

1 000 000

2 000 000

3 000 000

4 000 000

5 000 000

6 000 000

2011/12

(LE)

2012/13 2013/14 2014/15 2015/16

PE Bulk (Demand vs Capacity - tons)

0

20 000

40 000

60 000

80 000

100 000

120 000

140 000

2011/12 (LE) 2012/13 2013/14 2014/15 2015/16

PE RORO (Demand vs Capacity - units)

Container Terminal

0.5m TEU’s

Bulk Terminal 4.2 mtpa

(5.5 mtpa with reduced dwell time)

Break-bulk Terminal 0.9 mtpa

RORO Terminal

150 000 FBU’s

0

200 000

400 000

600 000

800 000

1 000 000

2011/12 (LE) 2012/13 2013/14 2014/15 2015/16

PE Break-Bulk (Demand vs Capacity - tons)

-

100 000

200 000

300 000

400 000

500 000

600 000

2011/12

(LE)

2012/13 2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 2016/17

PE Containers (Demand vs Capacity - TEUs)

4-high straddles to increase stack

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19 PAGE

MDS - PORT EXPANSION PLANS Port of Ngqura

AFTER: 2010

Ngqura Container

Terminal

BEFORE:

Coega River mouth

Nov-2002

Futuristic

Expansion Options

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20 PAGE

0

200 000

400 000

600 000

800 000

1 000 000

1 200 000

1 400 000

1 600 000

1 800 000

2011/12(LE)

2012/13 2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 2016/17 2017/18

Ngqura Containers (Volume Forecast)

Container Terminal 2011/12: 0.660m TEU 2012/13: 0.800m TEU

New Manganese Terminal 10 - 12 mtpa

Container Terminal 2013/14: 1.260m TEU 2014/15: 1.500m TEU

Phase 2a 1.5 m TEU

Phase 2b trigger (2MTeus)

20

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21 PAGE

MDS - PORT EXPANSION PLANS Port of East London

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22 PAGE

Container Terminal 0.15m TEU’s Break-bulk Terminal

0.2 mtpa

RORO Terminal 139 000 FBU’s

Bulk Terminal 0.5 mtpa 0

100 000

200 000

300 000

400 000

500 000

600 000

2011/12(LE)

2012/13 2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 2016/17 2017/18 2018/19

EL Bulk (Volume Forecast - Tons)

0

50 000

100 000

150 000

200 000

250 000

2011/12(LE)

2012/13 2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 2016/17 2017/18 2018/19

EL Break-Bulk (Volume Forecast -

0

20 000

40 000

60 000

80 000

100 000

120 000

140 000

160 000

2011/12(LE)

2012/13 2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 2016/17 2017/18 2018/19

EL RORO (Volume Forecast - FBUs)

- 10 000 20 000 30 000 40 000 50 000 60 000 70 000 80 000 90 000

100 000

2011/12(LE)

2012/13 2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 2016/17 2017/18 2018/19

EL Containers (Volume Forecast - TEUs)

Port of East London

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23 PAGE

MDS - PORT EXPANSION PLANS Port of Durban

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24 PAGE

Pier 2 Container Terminal 2.5m TEU

Pier 1 Container Terminal 0.76m TEU

Break-bulk Terminal 1.3 mtpa

Break-bulk Terminal 0.4 mtpa

Agri Terminal 1.47 mtpa

0200 000400 000600 000800 000

1 000 0001 200 0001 400 0001 600 000

Durban Agri (Volume Forecast – tons)

0

500 000

1 000 000

1 500 000

2 000 000

2 500 000

2011/12(LE)

2012/13 2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 2016/17 2017/18 2018/19

DBN Break-Bulk MW & Point (Volume Forecast - tons)

Container Terminal 0.230m TEU

0

100 000

200 000

300 000

400 000

500 000

600 000

2011/12(LE)

2012/13 2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 2016/17 2017/18 2018/19

DBN RORO(Volume Forecast vs Capacity)

-

1 000 000

2 000 000

3 000 000

4 000 000

5 000 000

6 000 000

2011/12(LE)

2012/13 2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 2016/17 2017/18 2018/19

Durban Container Terminals (P1 & P2 demand combined)

2012/13: 2.86m TEU - P1 = 0.76m & P2 = 2.1m (crane rails)

2013/14: 3.26m TEU - P1 = 0.76m & P2 = 2.5m (Berth Deepening)

2017/18: 4.50m TEU - P1 = 2.0m (Salisbury Island) & P2 = 2.5m

2018/19: 5.00m TEU - P1 = 2.0m & P2 = 3.0m (BD completed & N/Q lengthened)

Pier 1 expansion into Salisbury Island

Pier 2 Berth Deepening

RORO Terminal 520 000 FBU’s

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25 PAGE

Durban Containers - Current Layout - 2012

DCT Reconfiguration Study 2011

DCT Pier 1

DCT Pier 2

Salisbury Island Navy Base

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26 PAGE

Durban Containers – Future Layout - 2019

DCT Reconfiguration Study 2011

Pier 1 with new Salisbury Island infill and deep-water berths

Total cost: R 6.3b

Pier 2 with deepened berths 203-205 and new tandem cranes Total cost: R 5.6b

Consolidated Salisbury

Island Navy Base

Interim upgrade of Pier 1 + 2 Rail

Terminals

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27 PAGE

Durban Containers – Long Term Potential Layout

DCT Reconfiguration Study 2011

Infill between Pier 1 and Pier 2. Durban Container Terminal

reconfigured to RMG operation

New rail terminals and back-of-port

facilities

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28 PAGE

MDS - PORT EXPANSION PLANS Port of Durban: Dual-Hoist Tandem-lift STS Cranes on order Manufactured by ZPMC in Shanghai, China

STS Crane #3 (under construction)

STS Crane #1 & #2 (Final Assembly)

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29 PAGE

FUTURE EXPANSION PLANS FOR DURBAN Ex Durban International Airport (DIA) Site

Port of Durban

Isipingo

Sapref Refinery

Old Durban Airport

Toyota Factory

N2 Freeway

Mondi

Umlazi

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30 PAGE

FUTURE PLANS FOR DURBAN Artist’s View of the new Dig-Out Port at ex-DIA Site

Port of Durban

Container Terminals

New Dig-Out Port

Automotive Terminal

Liquid Bulk Terminal

Breakwater and Entrance Channel

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31 PAGE

MDS - PORT EXPANSION PLANS Port of Richards Bay

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32 PAGE

Break-bulk Terminal 7.4 mtpa

-

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

8

9

11/12 (LE) 12/13 13/14 14/15 15/16 16/17 17/18 18/19

Mill

ion

s

R/Bay DBT Imports (Forecast vs Capacity)

-

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

11/12 (LE) 12/13 13/14 14/15 15/16 16/17 17/18 18/19

Mill

ion

s

R/Bay DBT Mineral Exports (Forecast vs

0.0

0.5

1.0

1.5

2.0

2.5

3.0

11/12 (LE) 12/13 13/14 14/15 15/16 16/17 17/18 18/19

Mill

ion

s R/Bay DBT Woodchip Exports (Forecast vs Capacity)

CD West Development Chrome (1.6mtpa)

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

11/12 (LE) 12/13 13/14 14/15 15/16 16/17 17/18 18/19

Mill

ion

s

Volume forecast R/bay Break-Bulk

R/Bay Break-Bulk

MPT has 6 dedicated berths (3 each at 6 & 7 Series).

Terminal uses Berth 804 (woodchip) & 705 (DBT exports). It is assumed that

these 2 additional berths will be used 25% of the time, resulting in an additional

half berth .

Based on current cargo dwell time, additional storage may be required in 2013.

Dry Bulk Terminal Imports: 8.3 mtpa

Exports: 12.9 mtpa • General: 6.3 mtpa (incl 2.0mt of Coal) • Magnetite (801): 4.0 mtpa • Woodchips (804): 2.6 mtpa

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33 PAGE

RICHARDS BAY – EXPANSION PLANS

Feasibility Studies Underway – R12.4 bn investments expected

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34 PAGE

MDS – SOME KEY EXECUTION CHALLENGES The R300bn investment programme will be felt nation-wide

Caring for the

Environment

Safety is #1 on Projects

Global Market Stability

Access to Skills & Job

Creation

Stimulation of Local Business

Stakeholder Management

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35 PAGE

MARKET DEMAND STRATEGY (MDS) Total Transnet ZAR300bn, TPT ZAR33bn 2012/13 - 2018/19, peaking to ZAR9.5bn in 2016/17

Sishen -Saldanha Export iron ore ZAR25.4bn

Port Terminals: ZAR5.82bn

Cape Town Port Terminals: ZAR465ml

7

Durban Multi Product Pipeline ZAR9.4bn Port Terminals: ZAR7.4bn

Eastern Cape Dry Bulk ZAR25.5bn

Port Terminals: ZAR6.7bn

Richards Bay corridor Export coal line ZAR32.1bn Port Terminals: ZAR12.4bn

2012/13 2011/12 2010/11 2008/09 2013/14 2017/18 2016/17 2015/16 2014/15 2018/19

3200 2337 913 1137 2551 4138 3492 7670

9545

2812 2670

2009/10

Boom-time Ends

Global recession Market Demand Strategy

R33bn TPT 7yr Investment Plan