full year results to 31 december 2015 · shopping centre valuations were $1.5bn higher, reflecting...
TRANSCRIPT
FULL YEAR RESULTS
TO 31 DECEMBER 2015
Scentre Group Limited ABN 66 001 671 496 All amounts in Australian dollars unless otherwise specified The financial information included in this release is based on the Scentre Group’s IFRS financial statements. Non IFRS financial information included in this release has not been audited or reviewed. This release contains forward-looking statements, including statements regarding future earnings and distributions that are based on information and assumptions available to us as of the date of this presentation. Actual results, performance or achievements could be significantly different from those expressed in, or implied by, these forward-looking statements. These forward-looking statements are not guarantees or predictions of future performance, and involve known and unknown risks, uncertainties and other factors, many of which are beyond our control, and which may cause actual results to differ materially from those expressed in the statements contained in this release. You should not place undue reliance on these forward-looking statements. Except as required by law or regulation (including the ASX Listing Rules) we undertake no obligation to update these forward-looking statements.
Scentre Group’s strategy is to create extraordinary places connecting and enriching communities by owning, managing and developing the best retail assets in Australia and New Zealand
Asset Management
Own the highest quality shopping centres and focus on maximising the operating performance of centres via ongoing portfolio review and development of long term asset plans
Developments
Invest in the Group’s centres at attractive total returns to ensure the assets continue to represent extraordinary retail spaces for retailers and shoppers
Capital Management
Focus on optimising cost of capital and maintaining conservatively positioned funding and liquidity
Retailer and Shopper Initiatives
Focus on the integration of food, fashion, leisure and entertainment experiences in each of its shopping centres to curate a retail environment that connects shoppers with our retail partners, goods and services that will resonate with the local community
STRATEGY
Since the establishment of Scentre Group: Asset Management - disposition of seven assets in Australia
and New Zealand; introduction of joint venture partner into five assets in New Zealand; resulting in further improvement in operating metrics of the pre-eminent portfolio of shopping centres in Australia and New Zealand
Developments - the Group has commenced projects of
$1.3bn, and has completed developments at Garden City, Miranda, Hurstville, Kotara, Chatswood and North Lakes (Stage 1) achieving IRRs of at least 15%.
Future development pipeline in excess of $3bn Capital Management - at 31 December 2015: gearing of
33.3% within target range of 30-35%; liquidity at $3.7bn; credit rating A1 (Stable) from Moody’s and A (Stable) from Standard and Poors; weighted average debt maturity 5.6 years; interest cover 3.5 times
Retailer and Shopper initiatives - recently-opened developments featured new experiential precincts and offerings for shoppers. In-house digital advertising network successfully launched with 1,200 SmartScreens providing retail and brand partners with a sophisticated promotional channel for brands and offers
Scentre Group - Full Year Results 2015 // Page 2
Key highlights for 2015 include:
Earnings – FFO of $1.199bn or 22.58 cents per security, representing growth of 3.8%, above previous market guidance of 3.5%.
• Strong underlying operating performance has more than offset the FFO earnings impact of asset sales
• Excluding the impact of transactions, underlying FFO increased by approximately 5%
Comparable NOI Growth of 2.6% above forecast range of 2.0 –
2.5% Commenced $830m (SCG share $583m) of developments in
2015 with four openings at Chatswood, Hurstville, Kotara and North Lakes all trading well. In 2016 has already commenced $495m (SCG share $425m) of developments at Chermside and North Lakes Stage 2
Shopping centre valuations were $1.5bn higher, reflecting growth in shopping centre NOI, increase in value post completion of developments and capitalisation rates firming by 38bp to 5.57%
2016 FFO forecast to increase by approximately 3% with
distribution forecast to increase by 2% to 21.3 cents per security. Underlying earnings increase approximately 5% if
full year impact of asset sales taken into account
HIGHLIGHTS
1. Assets under management at year end is pro forma post sale of 2 New Zealand assets 2. Comparable NOI growth for the 12 months to December 2015 is pro forma post sale of four
Australian assets and three New Zealand assets 3. Pro forma post sale of two New Zealand assets, gearing would be 32.3% 4. FFO/Contributed Equity
Overview 12 months to 31 December 2015
Assets Under Management 1 $42.1bn
Profit $2,708m
Funds from Operations (FFO) $1,199m
FFO per security 22.58 cents
Distribution per security 20.90 cents
Return on Contributed Equity 4 11.4%
Comparable NOI Growth 2 2.6%
Gearing 3 33.3%
Outlook 2016 Full Year Forecast
Funds from Operations Approximately 3% growth
Distribution per security 21.3 cents
2% growth
Comparable NOI growth 2.5 – 3.0%
Full Year Results 2015 // Page 3
FUNDS FROM
OPERATIONS FUNDS FROM OPERATIONS
$m 12 months to 31 December 2015
Net Property Income
- Australia 1,668
- New Zealand 156
Total Net Property Income 1,824
Management income 46
Project income 85
Gross income 1,955
Overheads (91)
EBIT 1,864
Net interest (499)
Earnings before Tax 1,365
Tax (72)
Minority interest (94)
Funds from Operations 1,199
DISTRIBUTION
$m 12 months to 31 December 2015
Funds from Operations 1,199
Retained earnings (89)
Distribution 1,110
Number of securities (million) 5,311.6
Funds from Operations per Security (cents) 22.58
Distribution per Security (cents) 20.90
Full Year Results 2015 // Page 4
BALANCE
SHEET BALANCE SHEET - PROPORTIONATE
$m 31 December 2015 31 December 2014
Cash 153 190
Property investments
- Shopping centres 29,513 28,920
- Development projects and construction in progress 565 374
Total Property investments 30,078 29,294
Assets held for sale 417 1,005
Deferred tax assets 83 98
Other assets 1,217 833
Total assets 31,948 31,420
Interest bearing liabilities
- Current 1,713 579
- Non-current 9,391 11,316
Finance lease liabilities 54 57
Deferred tax liabilities 236 314
Other liabilities 1,492 1,316
Total liabilities 12,886 13,582
Net Assets 19,062 17,838
Minority interest (1,422) (1,667)
Net Assets attributable to Scentre Group 17,640 16,171
Full Year Results 2015 // Page 5
OUR OPERATIONS
The portfolio remained in excess of 99.5% leased
2.6% Comparable NOI Growth for the 12 months to 31 December
Comparable Specialty Retail Sales Growth of 5.3% in Australia to $10,826 psm, and 6.6% in New Zealand to NZ$12,117 psm
17.8% Specialty Store Occupancy Cost
As at 31 December 2015 1 Australia New Zealand Total 2
Centres 34 6 40
Number of Retail Outlets 10,693 977 11,670
Gross Lettable Area (m sqm) 3.3 0.3 3.6
SCG Interest (bn) 3 $28.9 NZ$1.3 $30.1
JV Partner Interests (bn) 3 $11.0 NZ$1.1 $12.0
Assets Under Management (bn) 3 $39.9 NZ$2.4 $42.1
Weighted Average Capitalisation Rate 5.51% 6.98% 5.57%
1. Pro forma post sale of two New Zealand assets 2. Period end exchange rate AUD/NZD 1.0665 3. Includes construction in progress and assets held for development
Full Year Results 2015 // Page 6
COMPARABLE RETAIL SALES GROWTH
Pro forma post sale of four Australian assets and three New Zealand assets
Full Year Results 2015 // Page 7
COMPARABLE RETAIL SALES GROWTH
Pro forma post sale of four Australian assets and three New Zealand assets Total stable portfolio including mini majors and specialties
Full Year Results 2015 // Page 8
OPERATING PERFORMANCE
12 months to 31 December 2015 Australia New Zealand Total
Moving Annual Turnover (incl. GST) bn $20.6 NZ$1.9 $22.3
Specialty Store Retail Sales (incl. GST) (psm) $10,826 NZ$12,117 $10,867
Specialty Store Rent (psm) $1,606 NZ$1,289 $1,569
Comparable NOI growth 2.7% 0.9% 2.6%
Portfolio Leased >99.5%
Specialty Store Occupancy Cost 17.8%
Lease Deals Completed Number 2,432
Lease Deals Completed Area (sqm) 341,773
Pro forma post sale of four Australian assets and three New Zealand assets
Full Year Results 2015 // Page 9
The Group is undertaking pre-development activity on future development opportunities in excess of $3bn. Albany (NZ) Knox (VIC) St Lukes (NZ) Carousel (WA) Marion (SA) Tea Tree Plaza (SA) Coomera (QLD) Newmarket (NZ) Warringah Mall - Stage 2 (NSW) Innaloo (WA) Plenty Valley (VIC) Whitford City (WA)
PROJECT DETAILS ACTIVE PROJECTS Total
Project $m
SCG Share
$m
Project Yield Range
Anticipated Completion
Scentre Group
2016 Starts
Chermside 355 355 2017
North Lakes – Stage 2 140 70 2016
495 425
2015 Starts
Warringah Mall 310 155 2016
Casey Central 155 155 2016
465 310
960 735 7.0 - 7.5%
Third Party
Pacific Fair 670 - 2016
Total 1,630 735
- Commenced $830m of developments during 2015 (SCG share: $583m) - Completed developments at Hurstville, Chatswood, Kotara, North Lakes and Miranda during 2015 - 2016 commenced developments at Chermside and North Lakes with a combined value of $495m (SCG share: $425m)
FUTURE PIPELINE
Full Year Results 2015 // Page 10
Scentre Group - Full Year Results 2015 // Page 11
APPENDICES
Full Year Results 2015 // Page 11
DEVELOPMENTS
WESTFIELD CHERMSIDE
The $355m redevelopment of Westfield Chermside includes the construction of a second level gallery mall that will connect with the upper levels of Myer and David Jones department stores, and a new lifestyle and entertainment precinct. The gallery mall will be home to approximately 95 retailers including a number of large-format tenancies with local and international mini-major stores, providing a point of difference in the Brisbane market. More than 12 large restaurant tenancies and 13 small-format street food stores will form the basis of a lifestyle and entertainment precinct that links directly to an existing Event Cinemas complex with 2 Gold Class, 2 Vmax and 12 standard auditoriums. On completion of the redevelopment, which is the first major project since 2007, Westfield Chermside will be 156,643sqm retail GLA. The new gallery mall is scheduled to open in April 2017, with the entertainment and lifestyle precinct to follow some months after.
ACTIVE PROJECTS
Full Year Results 2015 // Page 12
DEVELOPMENTS
WESTFIELD NORTH LAKES - Stage 2
A $140m redevelopment of Westfield North Lakes is underway with the construction of a new 60-store retail mall that will link the new 29,000sqm IKEA-owned store currently under construction with the existing centre. The new retail mall will also be anchored by a Kmart discount department store and JB Hi-Fi HOME. The redevelopment will improve North Lakes’ customer offer, creating one of the most comprehensive retail centres in Brisbane’s north. Construction of the IKEA store is progressing on schedule and is due for completion in late 2016 to coincide with the opening of the new retail mall. On completion of the redevelopment Westfield North Lakes will be around 113,000sqm GLA. In November 2015 Stage 1 of Westfield North Lakes’ redevelopment opened with two new precincts – The Marketplace fresh food and The Laneway al fresco dining – as part of the $80m project, which also includes a brand new Event Cinemas complex due to open at Easter. The Stage 1 project included 17 new specialty retailers and a state-of-the-art children’s playground serving the centre’s local family-based community.
ACTIVE PROJECTS
Full Year Results 2015 // Page 13
DEVELOPMENTS
WESTFIELD WARRINGAH MALL
Construction at Westfield Warringah Mall is progressing well and on track to open in 2016. A new two-level parallel mall, anchored by a reconfigured Myer department store and large format mini-major retailers across both levels, will connect through to Woolworths on Level 1 and BIG W on Level 2. Myer’s reconfiguration and refurbishment is a key part of the $310m redevelopment with the former three-level 21,822sqm store to be transformed into a new two-level 15,000sqm store. Approximately 70 new retailers will be introduced to the centre, complemented by the refurbishment of the existing fresh food precinct. The project’s design will highlight the outdoor elements with a roof-top canopy providing ambience and protection over parts of the centre’s open areas. A number of dedicated spaces will be created for hosting events and installations. Westfield Warringah Mall will be 134,000sqm GLA on completion.
ACTIVE PROJECTS
Full Year Results 2015 // Page 14
DEVELOPMENTS
CASEY CENTRAL
Work is progressing well on the $155m project at Casey Central which is on track for completion with the first stage opening in March and final stage in September 2016. Casey Central, in which the Group acquired its initial interest in 2006, will transform from a small neighbourhood centre with a total GLA of 6,500sqm, 23 shops and a Coles to a 28,700sqm retail centre with northern and southern pavilions linked by a retail mall, a new full-line Coles supermarket adjacent to a fresh food precinct, a Woolworths supermarket (opening September), an Aldi supermarket and a new-format Target discount department store. Casey Central is located on a 10-hectare site in Narre Warren in Melbourne’s south-eastern growth corridor. On completion in September, Casey Central will comprise 84 retail stores and will also feature a casual dining precinct adjoining an external children’s play area.
ACTIVE PROJECTS
Full Year Results 2015 // Page 15
DEVELOPMENTS
WESTFIELD HURSTVILLE
In November 2015 Westfield Hurstville’s $105m redevelopment opened with a full refurbishment, an ambience upgrade and the introduction of ticketless parking. A highlight of the project is the rooftop dining and entertainment precinct which has a range of late-trading casual dining outlets. The new precinct links directly to the refurbished Event Cinemas that now features one of the largest Vmax screens in Australia. New retailers to the centre include a Woolworths supermarket, BIG W discount department store, JB Hi-Fi HOME, Cotton On Mega Store and Rebel Sport.
COMPLETED PROJECTS
Full Year Results 2015 // Page 16
DEVELOPMENTS
WESTFIELD CHATSWOOD In November 2015 the first stage of Westfield Chatswood’s $125m redevelopment opened with a new five-level mall on Victoria Avenue replacing the existing two-level mall, and a reconfiguration and upgrade of two levels of the existing multi-storey mall. The Asian dining market Hawker Lane also opened with 14 street-food style operators trading in an open kitchen late night environment. Hawker Lane links to an outdoor laneway decorated with public artwork and activated with food truck vendors. The redeveloped centre’s improved fashion offer features four new large-format tenancies including the newly opened Uniqlo and H&M stores, a relocated Rebel Sport and the flagship two-storey Topshop Topman facing Victoria Avenue. Existing major tenants Target and Hoyts are currently undertaking full refurbishments to their latest model stores. Around 45 new retailers, including the international mini-majors, have been added to the centre which has increased to 80,000sqm GLA. WESTFIELD KOTARA In November 2015 Westfield Kotara’s $55m redevelopment opened with a new rooftop dining and entertainment precinct set in an open-air landscaped garden space with nine restaurants and food outlets. The precinct has transformed Newcastle’s family entertainment options with a new eight-screen Event Cinemas complex with Gold Class and Vmax auditoriums, creating a genuine entertainment and lifestyle addition for the local community.
COMPLETED PROJECTS
Full Year Results 2015 // Page 17
DEVELOPMENTS
WESTFIELD MIRANDA
COMPLETED PROJECTS
Westfield Miranda opened in October 2014 with the launch of a gourmet fresh food market and a three-level galleria fashion mall and an al fresco dining precinct with nine restaurants, cafes and food operators set around a landscaped public space. Opening at the same time was the providore-style food market with 20 specialty suppliers, a state-of-the-art demonstration kitchen and the most comprehensive selection of fresh food in Sydney’s south, in an environment representing the very latest in food retail design. During 2015 a rooftop dining precinct with six restaurants opened, linking directly to the relocated ten-screen Event Cinemas complex with Gold Class and Vmax auditoriums. Later in the year a Coles supermarket was introduced to the centre, anchoring a fully refurbished fresh food precinct on Level 2. The project’s final precinct, in the former cinema space, is scheduled to open around Easter 2016 with the addition of Skyzone; Playtime and a range of family dining options. Westfield Miranda is now 129,000sqm GLA with an additional 100 specialty retailers on completion of the redevelopment.
Full Year Results 2015 // Page 18
FINANCING
FACILITIES FACILITIES
Diversified funding including bonds and bank facilities from 19 banks
As at 31 December 2015 with foreign currency bonds at fully hedged A$ equivalent face value
MATURITY PROFILE
Total Committed $14.0bn
Amount Drawn $(10.4)bn
Undrawn $3.6bn
Cash $0.1bn
Liquidity $3.7bn
LIQUIDITY
Full Year Results 2015 // Page 19
KEY RATIOS
86% Hedged at 31 December 2015 74% Hedged on average for next 3 years 1 INTEREST
HEDGING
PROFILE
KEY METRICS 31 December 2015
Gearing (look through basis) 33.3% 1
Weighted Average Debt Maturity 5.6 years
Investment Grade Ratings A1 (Stable) Moody's A (Stable) S&P
BOND COVENANTS Requirement 31 December 2015
Net Debt/ Net Assets Not greater than 65% 34.6% 2
Secured Debt/ Total Assets Not greater than 45% 0.7%
Interest Coverage At least 1.5 times 3.5 times 3
Unencumbered Leverage Not less than 125% 285%
31 Dec 1
$ FIXED RATE DEBT DERIVATIVES HEDGING FLOATING RATE $ & NZ$ DEBT
$ debt payable $ swap payable NZ$ swap payable NZ$ collar payable
$m Fixed Rate $m Fixed Rate NZ$m Fixed Rate NZ$m Strike Rates
2015 (1,380.0) 4.70% (7,122.5) 2.93% (435.0) 4.07% (70.0) 3.39%/5.25%
2016 (580.0) 3.25% (7,717.5) 2.92% (320.0) 4.00% (70.0) 3.39%/5.25%
2017 (580.0) 3.25% (7,508.5) 2.90% (230.0) 3.80% (70.0) 3.39%/5.25%
2018 (580.0) 3.25% (7,095.0) 2.89% (150.0) 3.62% (70.0) 3.39%/5.25%
2019 (430.0) 3.31% (5,730.0) 2.86% (150.0) 3.62% - -
2020 (430.0) 3.31% (3,960.0) 2.96% (100.0) 3.68% - -
2021 (30.0) 3.81% (2,260.0) 3.06% - - - -
2022 - - (750.0) 3.10% - - - -
1. On a pro forma basis post sale of two New Zealand assets gearing would be 32.3% 2. On a pro forma basis post sale of two New Zealand assets Net Debt/ Net Assets would be 33.7% 3. For the 12 months to 31 December 2015
1. As at 31 December 2015. All rates exclude borrowing margin
Full Year Results 2015 // Page 20
PROFIT
AND FFO PROFIT AND FFO
$m PROFIT 12 months to
31 December 2015
FFO Adjustments 1
FFO 12 months to
31 December 2015
Financial Statement Notes
A B C=A+B
Net Property Income
- Australia 1,632 36 1,668 Note 4(a)(iv)
- New Zealand 154 2 156 Note 4(a)(iv)
Total Net Property Income 1,786 38 1,824 Note 4(a)(iv)
Management income 2 46 - 46
Project income 3 85 - 85
Gross income 1,917 38 1,955
Overheads (91) - (91) Note 4(a)(i)
Revaluations 1,539 (1,539) - Note 4(a)(i)
Gain in respect of capital transactions 19 (19) - Note 4(a)(i)
EBIT 3,384 (1,520) 1,864
Net interest 4 (613) 114 (499)
Currency derivatives 103 (103) - Note 4(a)(i)
Earnings before Tax 2,874 (1,509) 1,365
Tax (38) (34) (72) Note 4(a)(i), Note 9, Note 16(a)
Minority interest 5 (128) 34 (94)
Profit after Tax/ Funds from Operations 2,708 (1,509) 1,199
Retained earnings (89)
Distribution 1,110
1. FFO adjustments relate to revaluations, mark to market of interest rate and currency derivatives, tenant allowance amortisation, deferred tax benefit and gain on sale of capital
transactions. 2. Management income $57m less management expenses $11m = $46m. 3. Project income $683m less project expenses $598m = $85m. 4. Financing costs $727m (Note 4(a)(i)) less interest income $8m (Note 4(a)(i)) less interest expense on other financial liabilities $81m (Note 7) less net fair value loss on other financial liabilities $25m (Note 7) = $613m.
5. Minority interest $22m (Note 4(a)(i)) plus interest expense on other financial liabilities $81m (Note 7) plus net fair value loss on other financial liabilities $25m (Note 7) = $128m.
Full Year Results 2015 // Page 21
BALANCE
SHEET
BALANCE SHEET PROPORTIONATE 1
$m Consolidated Equity Accounted 31 December 2015
A B C=A+B
Cash 143 10 153
Property investments
- Shopping centres 27,161 2,352 29,513
- Development projects and construction in progress
494 71 565
Total Property investments 27,655 2,423 30,078
Assets held for sale 417 417
Equity accounted investments 2,333 (2,333) -
Deferred tax assets 83 - 83
Other assets 1,211 6 1,217
Total assets 31,842 106 31,948
Interest bearing liabilities
- Current 1,713 - 1,713
- Non-current 9,391 - 9,391
Finance lease liabilities 39 15 54
Deferred tax liabilities 180 56 236
Other liabilities 1,457 35 1,492
Total liabilities 12,780 106 12,886
Net Assets 19,062 - 19,062
Minority interest 2 (1,422) - (1,422)
Net Assets attributable to Scentre Group 17,640 - 17,640
1. Period end AUD/NZD exchange rate 1.0665 at 31 December 2015
2. Includes $1,155m of Property Linked Notes shown in minority interest given their equity characteristics, and $267m relating to Carindale
Full Year Results 2015 // Page 22