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    IISSBBNN::997788--997799--006644--008833--22

    INDONESIA 2005INDONESIA 2005

    STATISTICS INDONESIA

    2009

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    FINANCIAL SOCIAL

    ACCOUNTING MATRIX

    INDONESIA 2005

    BPS - STATISTICS INDONESIA AND BANK INDONESIA

    2009

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    FINANCIAL SOCIAL ACCOUNTING MATRIX

    INDONESIA 2005

    BPS Catalogue : 9503004

    Publication Number : 07230.0901

    I S B N : 978-979-064-083-2

    Edition : Indonesian Edition, May 2008

    English Edition, July 2009

    Book Size : 21 cm x 29.7 cm

    Number of Pages : 100 pages

    Manuscript : Directorate of Expenditure Account - BPS

    Directorate of Production Account - BPS

    Directorate of Economic and Monetary Statistics - BI

    Cover Design : Eko Ariantoro and Fayota Prachmasetiawan

    Published by : BPS - Statistics Indonesia and Bank Indonesia

    Printed by : Directorate of Economic and Monetary Statistics - BI

    May be cited with reference to the source.

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    FSAM INDONESIA 2005

    COMPILERS

    BPS-STATISTICS INDONESIA BANK INDONESIA

    BOARD OF ADVISORS

    Slamet Sutomo 1. Triono Widodo2. Halim Alamsyah

    PROJECT EXPERTS

    1. Supriyanto2. Abdul Rachman3. Nursinah Amal Urai

    1. Mohammad M. Toha2. Wijoyo Santoso3. Wiwiek Sisto Widayat

    WORKING GROUP

    1. Sri Soelistyowati2. Setianto3. Nina Suri Sulistini4. Sodikin Baidowi5. Dianawati

    6. Emil Azman S.7. Buyung Airlangga8. Yomin Tofri9. Rudiansyah10. Budi Cahyono

    1. Eko Ariantoro2. Prijono3. Pujiastuti4. Widyastuti Noviandari5. Wishnu Mahraddika

    6. Nurcholis7. M. Anwar Bashori8. Aulia Fadly9. Ganjar Wicaksono

    TECHNICAL STAFFS

    1. Widodo2. Wikaningsih

    3. Joni Kasmuri4. Triana M. Aritonang5. Erlia Rahmawati6. Ika Virnaristanti7. Fayota Prachmasetiawan8. Suryani Widarta9. Pipit Hely Sorayan10. Dyah Soendhari11. Wisnu Winardi12. Hadi Susanto13. Niti Rosika Febriyanti

    14. Tantri Herawati Lestari15. Wembri Suska

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    16. Budhi Wibowo17. Lilia Endrian18. Muhammad Irkham19. Puji Agus Kurniawan20. Eko Oesman

    21. Widdia Angraini22. Murdiono23. Lien Suharni24. Endah Riawati25. Suryadiningrat26. Budi Prawoto27. Muji Lestari28. Margo Yuwono29. Rerta Mastiani30. Sri Setyarini31. Etjih Tasriah

    32. Tri Isdinarmiati33. Fathi Ilhami34. Urip Widiyantoro35. Deden Achmad Sunarjo36. Yezua Harnold F. Hermanus37. Harni Dwi Prikasih38. Ratih Widayanti39. Busminoloan40. Suryadi41. Ari Sugih Mulia

    CONTRIBUTORS

    1. Slamet Sutomo2. Supriyanto3. Abdul Rachman4. Nursinah Amal Urai5. Sri Soelistyowati6. Setianto7. Emil Azman S.8. Buyung Airlangga

    9. Rudiansyah10. Yomin Tofri11. Sodikin Baidowi12. Nina Suri Sulistini13. Widodo14. Joni Kasmuri

    1. Triono Widodo2. Wiwiek Sisto Widayat3. Anni V. L. Herman4. Eko Ariantoro5. Prijono6. Pujiastuti7. Nurcholis8. Netri Yunera

    9. Widyastuti Noviandari10. Wishnu Mahraddika11. Ganjar Wicaksono

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    FOREWORD

    One of the tasks of the BPS-Statistics Indonesia, as the agency officially

    mandated with providing statistics in Indonesia, is to disseminate a variety of

    statistical information that has been comprehensively collated and compiled into

    publications. The publication of this Financial Social Accounting Matrix (FSAM) of

    Indonesia 2005 is just one example of information propagation as mentioned.

    This publication is a collaborative effort between BPS-Statistics Indonesia

    and Bank Indonesia (BI) to compose Indonesias FSAM 2005 or FSAM Indonesia

    2005. FSAM is translated in Indonesian as Sistem Neraca Sosial Ekonomi

    Finansial (SNSEF). A joint team from BPS-Statistics Indonesia and BI prepared the

    2005 FSAM covering two time horizons, namely 2006/2007 and 2007/2008. The

    data framework of FSAM was built to explain interdependency between financial

    sector performance and real sector performance. The condition of the Indonesian

    economy, particularly in recent periods, has been greatly influenced not merely by

    real sector performance, but also financial sector performance. By integrating

    financial sector performance into a data framework of real sector performance, a

    range of financial transmission channels from the financial sector that shape real

    sector performance can be inferred and analyzed through a more inclusive

    structure.

    At the operational level, the data framework of FSAM integrates two existingframeworks compiled and published by BPS-Statistics Indonesia, more specifically

    the Social Accounting Matrix (SAM or Sistem Neraca Sosial Ekonomi) and Flow of

    Funds Accounts (FoF or Neraca Arus Dana). By inserting the FoF framework,

    particularly into the capital sub matrix of SAM, the data framework of FSAM can be

    formulated. However, developing FSAM data framework requires further

    complementary measures, such as adjustments to classifications and figures,

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    among others, as well as the reconciliation of SAM and FoF accounts. A data

    framework for SAM has been periodically compiled, every five years, by BPS-

    Statistics Indonesia since 1975; whereas the data framework for FoF has been

    compiled with data support from BI, the Ministry of Finance (MoF) and other

    relevant institutions or agencies, annually and quarterly.

    The publication of Indonesias FSAM 2005 or FSAM Indonesia 2005 is

    expected to enrich the variety of data sources and assist the analysis of statistical

    information and policy analysis. Through this medium, the Chairman of BPS-

    Statistics Indonesia would like to convey heartfelt gratitude and sincere

    appreciation to BI, which facilitated this collaboration, Prof. Iwan J. Azis from

    Cornell University who generously provided technical assistance, and also to all

    members of the team of contributors and editors, from BPS-Statistics Indonesia

    and BI, as well as to all who have poured their most diligent efforts in to publishing

    the original data framework of Indonesia FSAM. We genuinely expect that this

    publication will benefit data users, especially for the government, academics,

    research agencies and other stakeholders.

    Jakarta, July 2009

    BPS Statistics Indonesia

    Chief Statistician,

    Rusman Heriawan

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    PREFACE

    Providing proficient data and information is pivotal for the compiling of

    macroeconomic assessments to support economic and monetary policy

    formulation. As one provider of statistical information, BI continuously strives to

    improve the quality of data and information, by improving more sophisticated and

    integrated system and methodologies in data collection. Through collaboration with

    other relevant institutions, BI regularly conducts various statistical analyses todevelop new indicators in order to yield comprehensive, reliable, accurate, timely

    and accessible policy indicators.

    The Indonesian FSAM 2005 publication represents one tangible result of

    collaborative efforts between BI and BPS-Statistics Indonesia. The compilation of

    Indonesias FSAM was initiated by BI and BPS-Statistics Indonesia through a pilot

    project in constructing Indonesias FSAM 2000, with technical assistance from

    Prof. Iwan J. Azis of Cornell University, USA. Over the subsequent two years, thepublication of Indonesias FSAM 2005 was organized into two stages, namely

    Stage I (2006) in which the concept was prepared and primary data were collected

    through surveys; and Stage II (2007) during which the Indonesian FSAM was

    finalized.

    FSAM is the result of a balanced and consistent integration between data

    from the SAM, which describes real sector activities, and the FoF that explains

    financial sector activities. In the future, FSAM is expected to assist the structural

    explanation of monetary policy transmission channels to the real sector and

    distortions that may happen. Consequently, FSAM can be utilized to support

    monetary policy formulation effectively.

    FSAM 2005 is the first FSAM publication. In subsequent periods, the

    Indonesia FSAM will be compiled and published every five years. Hopefully, this

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    publication can complement the wealth of statistics in Indonesia and extensively

    benefit policymakers, academicians and practitioners in related fields.

    Jakarta, July 2009

    Bank Indonesia

    Acting Governor,

    Miranda S. Goeltom

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    PREFACE

    In the early 2000s, while conducting research in Tokyo I was approached by

    Bank Indonesia (BI) to help improve their research and teaching quality. One of the

    main topics being suggested was about the link between financial sector and the

    real sector. Indeed, like many other emerging markets, Indonesia experienced a

    disconnect between the two sectors: lower interest rate with a lack of credit growth

    (e.g., 2002-2004), and growing output with low employment elasticity (since 2004),

    making it more difficult for the countrys socio-economic conditions to improve, i.e.,

    unemployment rate continued to be high, the rate of poverty reduction slowed. A

    standard credit-channel problem, disproportional investment in financial sector, and

    the analytical link between macro policy and unemployment and poverty

    immediately came to mind. This suggests the importance of establishing a

    connection between credit-channel problems and the countrys socio-economic

    indicators that include welfare and incomes of different household groups (urban-

    rural, poor-rich, skilled-unskilled etc). It was at this juncture BI came to realize that

    in conducting monetary policy a financial social accounting matrix (FSAM) is

    needed. As a data system, FSAM connects the real sector, macro-financial sector,

    and social variables in a systematic and highly consistent manner. Soon a joint

    project with BPS was set up. This document is the final product of that joint project.

    Broadly speaking, information in the FSAM is derived from three sources:

    the input-output table, the socio economic survey, and the flow-of-fund. Realizing

    their comprehensiveness, the difficulty and the tedious work required to link them

    systematically, the joint project was rather large scale and time-consuming. It took

    more-than two years before this 2005 FSAM was finally published. Given all the

    energy, time, expertise, and resources spent, those involved in the project can

    stand proud of this publication. But more importantly, the quality of research,

    analysis, and policy debate can now be enhanced by utilizing the incredibly

    important information contained in this FSAM.

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    I feel fortunate to have the opportunity to advise on the technical substance

    of the project and interact with many bright, hard-working and dedicated colleagues

    at BI and BPS during the period. I hope this publication is useful not only for BI and

    BPS but also for a wider audience in general. It is critical to realize, however, that

    this should be seen as the beginning of a process whereby Indonesian FSAM will

    be produced on a regular basis.

    Ithaca, July 2009

    Professor and Director of Graduate Studies

    Regional Science Program

    Cornell University,

    Iwan J. Azis

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    TABLE OF CONTENTS

    FOREWORD ............................................................................................................. i

    PREFACE ............................................................................................................... iii

    PREFACE ................................................................................................................ v

    TABLE OF CONTENTS ......................................................................................... vii

    LIST OF APPENDIXES ........................................................................................... ix

    LIST OF TABLES ..................................................................................................... x

    LIST OF FIGURES .................................................................................................. xi

    ABSTRACT ............................................................................................................ xii

    CHAPTER I - INTRODUCTION ...............................................................................1

    1.1. Background ............................................................................................... 1

    1.2. Goal and Objectives .................................................................................. 4

    1.3. Publication Outlines ................................................................................... 4

    CHAPTER II - DESCRIPTION OF THE INDONESIAS FSAM 2005 ........................ 6

    2.1. FSAM: Integration of SAM and FoF ........................................................... 6

    2.2. Country Experiences in FSAM Compilation ............................................. 10

    2.3. Basic Framework of Indonesias FSAM 2005 .......................................... 11

    2.4. Classification of Indonesias FSAM 2005 ................................................. 13

    CHAPTER III - COMPILATION METHOD OF INDONESIAS FSAM 2005 ............18

    3.1. Transformation of SAM into FSAM .......................................................... 18

    3.2. Inserting FoF Data into FSAM Framework .............................................. 19

    3.3. Supporting Surveys ................................................................................. 20

    3.3.1. Household Savings and Investment Survey (SKTIR-Survei

    Khusus Tabungan dan Investasi Rumah Tangga) ............... 20

    3.3.2. Input-Output Survey (SKIO-Survei Khusus Input-Output) .... 21

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    3.3.3. Trade and Services Sector Survey (SKSPJ-Survei Khusus

    Sektor Perdagangan dan Jasa) ............................................ 22

    3.3.4. Private Non Financial Corporation Survey (SKPS-SurveiKhusus Perusahaan Swasta) ............................................... 22

    3.4. SAM and FoF Reconciliation .................................................................... 23

    CHAPTER IV - ANALYSES OF INDONESIAS FSAM 2005 ................................. 25

    4.1. The Result: Indonesias FSAM 2005 ........................................................ 25

    4.2. Descriptive Analysis ................................................................................. 25

    4.2.1. Indonesias Economic Structure 2005 .................................. 25

    4.2.2. Structure of Income and Expenditure by Institution .............. 28

    4.2.3. Saving Rate .......................................................................... 33

    4.2.4. Saving-Investment Gap ........................................................ 34

    4.2.5. Financial Analysis Based on Indonesias FSAM 2005 .......... 36

    4.3. Application of Indonesias FSAM in Economic Analysis ........................... 39

    CHAPTER V - CONCLUSION ............................................................................... 41

    REFERENCES ...................................................................................................... 43

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    LIST OF APPENDIXES

    Appendix 1. Country Experiences in FSAM Compilation.. A1-1

    Appendix 2. Classification of The Indonesias FSAM 2005.......... A2-1

    Appendix 3. Concepts and Definitions Used in The Indonesias FSAM 2005 A3-1

    Appendix 4. The Indonesias FSAM 2005 (79x79 Matrix)................ A4-1

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    LIST OF TABLES

    Table 4.1. The Indonesias FSAM 2005 (22x22 Matrix) ......................................... 26

    Table 4.2. Indonesias Economic Structure 2005 .................................................. 27

    Table 4.3. Production Structure by Industrial Sectors in Indonesia ....................... 28

    Table 4.4. Income Allocation by Institution ............................................................ 30

    Table 4.5. Share of Sources of Income by Institution ............................................ 31

    Table 4.6. Saving Rate by Institution ..................................................................... 34

    Table 4.7. Gross Saving and Physical Investment by Institution ........................... 35

    Table 4.8. Domestic and Rest of The World Financial Accounts ........................... 37

    Table 4.9. Financial Account of Households .......................................................... 38

    Table 4.10. Financial Account of Other Institutions ............................................... 39

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    LIST OF FIGURES

    Figure 2.1. Basic framework of SAM ........................................................................ 7

    Figure 2.2. Inter-account Relationships in SAM .......................................................8

    Figure 2.3. Basic Framework of The Indonesias FoF ..............................................9

    Figure 2.4. Basic Framework of The Indonesias FSAM ........................................ 12

    Figure 2.5. Data Format of The Indonesias FSAM 2005 ....................................... 13

    Figure 3.1. The Construction Process of The Indonesias FSAM 2005 .................. 24

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    ABSTRACT

    In various discourses of economic policy analyses, decision-makers are

    often confronted with difficult task of explaining the impacts of a certain monetary

    or fiscal policy on the behavior of economic agents. Accordingly, it highlights the

    importance of filling the research needs in this area which is currently limited. But it

    should be noted that such studies require accurate information regarding the

    transaction channel, including its transmission mechanisms to provide a

    comprehensive macro analysis. Therefore, it will not only enrich the analysis

    conducted by policymakers but also contributes, more broadly, the efforts to

    improve social welfare.

    Based on this specific requirement for information, BI and BPS-Statistics

    Indonesia collaborated to establish a data system known as FSAM. It comprises of

    a matrix that provides comprehensive and consistent information on the

    interdependency between the financial and real sectors based on available

    statistical data. The provision of FSAM data for Indonesia corresponds to the long

    standing efforts taken by BI to seek information concerning monetary policy

    transmission to the real sector through financial transaction channels. The

    publication of FSAM is based on the idea to provide a data framework that can

    relate economic variables in the real sector to variables in the financial sector.

    Statistically, FSAM data represents an integration of SAM data, which

    portrays real sector data, with the FoF that records financial activities in an

    economy. The BPS-Statistics Indonesia officially has made available these data

    sources at regular intervals. However, to integrate both data sets into one

    statistical product that provides comprehensive information involves a complicated

    process and requires proper resources.

    Efforts to compile FSAM began in 2005 through a FSAM pilot project using

    simulations based on data for the year 2000. Simulation results from the FSAM

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    2000 were considered successful despite several limitations, in particular the

    unavailability of specific data needs, for example the holding of financial

    instruments by households and non-financial institutions, as well as data on the

    allocation of domestic real investment. Therefore, to fill the gaps, proxies were

    used.

    Then in 2006 and 2007, BI again collaborated with BPS-Statistics Indonesia

    to compile the Indonesias FSAM 2005. In general, the FSAM was compiled by

    integrating SAM and FoF data into a comprehensive, balanced and consistent

    FSAM matrix using the Saving-Investment Gap mechanism, reconciling between

    gross savings data and domestic real investment data. The mechanism represents

    a key in understanding of how information from the real sector is transmitted to the

    financial sector, and vice versa.

    The FSAM framework is compiled in the form of a symmetric matrix

    classified into nine components, namely Production Factors, Institutions, Industrial

    Sectors, Trade and Transport Margins, Commodities, Capital, Indirect Taxes and

    Subsidies, Financial Instruments, and Rest of the World. Disaggregation of the

    individual components is conducted depending on analysis needs and the

    availability of supporting data. The resulting disaggregation is Indonesias FSAM

    2005 framework which has 79 component dimensions.

    The primary data sources used to compile FSAM 2005 are the Input-Output

    (I-O) Table, SAM and FoF, which were supported by the results of specific surveys,

    such as Survey on Input and Output (SKIO-Survei Khusus Input-Output), Survey

    on Household Savings and Investments (SKTIR-Survei Khusus Tabungan dan

    Investasi Rumah Tangga), and Survey on Private Businesses (SKPS-Survei

    Khusus Perusahaan Swasta).

    Macroeconomic analyses can be performed based on the results of FSAM

    in order to describe the interdependency among economic sectors, as well as

    among institutions, economic variables, and financial instruments. FSAM based

    analysis can be conducted in three forms according to level of complexities,

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    starting from: 1) descriptive analysis to describe the static phenomena of the

    economy (economic structure) in 2005; to 2) behavioral analysis to explain the

    impacts of a particular economic policy on various economic variables (often

    described as policy analysis); and 3) economic modeling and forecasting, which

    applies FSAM to develop economic models, for instance a model of general

    equilibrium.

    As experienced by other economies which have started to prepare FSAM

    data (Euro Area, China, Cameroon, Turkey and Pakistan), the compilation of

    FSAM data in Indonesia is facilitated by the availability of SAM and FoF data as

    well as the need to better understand the interactions between such data. The

    FSAM 2005 is the first FSAM published in Indonesia. Compilation of the FSAM

    based on data from the year 2005 was only conducted in the year 2006-2007 due

    to complexity of data needs. Going forward, it is expected that FSAM can be

    routinely produced in every five years, in conjunction with the availability of I-O

    table and SAM publications.

    The Indonesias FSAM 2005, a collaborative effort between BI and BPS-

    Statistics Indonesia, is published to serve wider publics interest. It is expected that

    FSAM data can be used by policy-makers and academics alike in various analyses

    and policy simulations such as Structural Path Analysis (SPA) and Financial

    Computable General Equilibrium (FCGE) model.

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    CHAPTER I - INTRODUCTION

    1.1. Background

    Some issues that plague economies, particularly in developing countries

    including Indonesia, are the prevailing disparity in income distribution and still high

    the unemployment rate despite continued economic growth. There have been a

    number of researches in this area to address these issues, such as the ones

    conducted by Kutznets (1956, 1963), Adelman and Morris (1971, 1973), Ahluwalia

    (1976), etc.

    To unravel the interrelations between economic growth on the one hand and

    the twin issues of unequal income distribution and unemployment on the other,

    experts specializing in economic development and statistics have devoted their

    efforts into building a data framework that can provide better insight into the

    interdependency among these three issues (economic growth, income inequality

    and unemployment). A data framework that can explain such critical issues is

    SAM.

    Through joint cooperation among three institutions, namely BPS-Statistics

    Indonesia, the Institute of Social Studies (ISS) in The Hague as well as Cornell

    University in Ithaca, USA, a SAM for 1975 and 1980 was successfully compiled for

    Indonesia. Afterwards, composing a SAM for Indonesia has become a regular task

    for BPS-Statistics Indonesia every five years. The most recent publication of SAM

    by BPS-Statistics Indonesia is for the year 2005.

    In the aftermath of the economic crisis that hit Indonesia in 1997/1998, one

    of the economic phenomena that have occurred is a disconnect between the

    financial and real sectors. On the one hand, financial sector indicators

    demonstrated positive performance, for instance growth in the equity and money

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    markets, yet on the other hand, this growth did not subsequently translate into real

    sector growth.

    This paradox spurred interest in exploring the interdependency between the

    financial sector and real sector in a comprehensive and integrated data framework.

    The data framework is expected to better explain the transmission channels from

    the real sector to the financial sector, as well as the impacts of the financial sector

    on the real sector.

    Conceptually, SAM data framework is capable of explaining all

    interconnected economic activities in a country, both real sector activities andfinancial sector activities. However, SAM framework has its limitation especially

    when explaining financial sector activities. Under this framework, the relationship

    between real sector and financial sector performance is explained using capital

    account that records the gross saving information of institutions (households, the

    government and businesses) operating in an economy. Gross saving is the

    difference between income and expenditure available for financing physical

    investment.

    In practice, however, the gross saving of economic actors is not only spent

    on financing physical investment, such as building a house, office space, main

    roads, warehouse, etc. Saving could also be spent on financing non-physical

    investment (portfolio investment), such as purchasing stocks, time deposits, foreign

    exchange, etc. The source of funds for real and financial investment not only stems

    from gross saving but can also originate from other sources, such as loans, bond

    issuances, or the raised from another source, for instance the withdrawal of

    deposits held at a bank. Such interaction requires transactions, which stimulates

    dynamics in the asset and liability in the balance sheets of economic actors.

    If the relationship between gross saving and real investment, as well as

    between financial sources and uses within SAM framework can be obtained, this

    will provide more comprehensive understanding of the movement of financial

    sector in relation to real sector activities, and vice versa. This fundamental notion

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    provides the basis for the compilation of an FSAM, a term widely known in the

    International Best Practices. FSAM data is compiled to explain interactions

    between the financial and real sectors, by disaggregating the capital account in

    SAM. Hence, FSAM data framework is expected to elucidate interdependency

    between the financial and real sectors in an effort to clarify a range of financial

    transmission channels in the economy. FSAM data framework is expected to allow

    better understanding over the impacts of various monetary policies on real sector

    performance, and vice versa, as well as the possibility of identifying more structural

    distortions.

    Capital account is rearranged in SAM to better elaborate information on

    saving and investment, as well as the assets and liabilities of economic actors.

    This is performed by incorporating FoF data into capital sub matrix of SAM. It is

    worth mentioning that the FoF data in Indonesia have been compiled through

    cooperation among BI, MoF as well as BPS-Statistics Indonesia on quarterly and

    annual basis.

    Acknowledging the importance of an FSAM data framework, BI and BPS-

    Statistics Indonesia launched an initiative to construct an FSAM data in 2005

    through an FSAM simulation pilot project using the year 2000 data. These

    simulation results were completed despite several limitations due to

    data/information unavailability; therefore, a number of proxies were used to fill in

    the gaps. Efforts to compile FSAM were continued through cooperation between BI

    and BPS-Statistics Indonesia using 2005 data, which was conducted in two

    phases, namely 2006 (Phase I) and 2007 (Phase II).

    Phase I focused on formulating the concept, acquiring primary data through

    surveys and consolidating secondary data. This resulted in limited and partial data

    for the FSAM 2005 (temporary data). There were limitations stemming from

    incomplete data sources, particularly data unavailability on Non-Financial

    Corporations and the Structure of Industrial Input-Output. Therefore a proxy from

    the available data was set up for the estimations. Another work to be done is

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    reconciling macroeconomic equilibrium in FSAM with other aggregate macro data,

    such as the I-O Table. Consequently, statistical discrepancies are put in the

    balancing items.

    Phase II focused on the Phase I FSAM data continuation, to produce final

    FSAM 2005. In addition, some descriptive analysis simulations are performed. The

    Indonesia FSAM 2005 represents a final, comprehensive, balanced and consistent

    result that covers all transactions among sectors related to the I-O Table, including

    the distribution of income and expenditure from SAM data, and financial

    transactions from FoF data. All data were reconciled into an integrated matrix that

    kept its consistency and balance. The integration of I-O Table, SAM and FoF data

    was performed through the reconciliation of saving and domestic real investment

    data. Such data integration provides a comprehensive picture of the

    interdependency between the real sectors and financial sectors.

    1.2. Goal and Objectives

    The publication of the Indonesias FSAM 2005 is aimed at providing

    data/information on interdependency between the real and financial sectors as wellas explaining the transmission mechanism of a particular policy on economic

    structure and vice versa. Data included in the Indonesia FSAM 2005 is presented

    in a comprehensive, integrated and consistent data framework.

    It is hoped that this publication will meet the general public best interest,

    more specifically provide the long awaited tool to assist policy analysis as well as

    better equip deeper economic study.

    1.3. Publication Outlines

    This publication consists of five chapters that generally cover the following

    areas of interest:

    1. Chapter I: Introduction, explaining the background, goal and objectives of the

    publication as well as the outlines.

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    2. Chapter II: Description of the Indonesias FSAM 2005, including the concept of

    SAM and FoF integration, the form and meaning of the FSAM 2005 framework

    as well as its classifications.

    3. Chapter III: Compilation process of FSAM 2005.

    4. Chapter IV: Analyses of FSAM 2005.

    5. Chapter V: Conclusion.

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    CHAPTER II - DESCRIPTION OF THE INDONESIAS FSAM 2005

    2.1. FSAM: Integration of SAM and FoF

    The FSAM data framework represents integration between SAM, which

    covers transactions in the real sector, and FoF that reflects financial transactions

    among institutions. In order to get better grasp of FSAM as an independent matrix,

    at first the basic concepts of each data system used to build FSAM should be

    described. The capital account components consisting of investment and saving

    serve as the building block primary connecting two data systems in such a way that

    SAM and FoF are integrated and consistent.

    The core data required to construct SAM comes from the Indonesia I-O

    Table of 2005. Several adjustments are made to industrial classification to make it

    in line with the SAM classifications which had been made consistent earlier with

    the FSAM data framework. In addition, supplementary data sources related to the

    account information of institutions was also included (see SAM publication and

    Indonesia I-O Table for detailed explanation).

    As with other statistical products of national accounts, the concept of SAM

    and FoF publications are also based on the System of National Accounts (SNA)

    1993. However, as the concept of FSAM publication is not explicitly explained in

    SNA 1993, the current compilation was compiled with reference to international

    best practices, namely those from the European Union, Cameroon, Turkey,

    Pakistan and Peoples Republic of China.

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    Figure 2.1. Basic framework of SAM

    Source:Adapted from Indonesian FSAM Technical Assistance material by Prof. Iwan J. Azis, CornellUniversity.Note:

    Economic transaction flowsXij Notation of expenditure transaction from column j received by row i.

    The notion that SAM is a data system that can be used as an economic

    analysis tool is based on the economic circular flow concept. As shown in Figure

    2.1, production activities generate value added as a production factor income at

    the amount (X13). Thereafter, production factor income will be distributed to the

    institutional sectors in the form of income distribution (X21), which is further used by

    the institutional sectors to consume commodities produced by industrial sectors

    (X32). Meanwhile, in terms of production activity, there are transactions among the

    industrial sectors (X33), and in the activity of income distribution there will be

    redistribution (transfer) transactions among the institutional sectors (X22). Such a

    circular flow of economic transactions forms the basis of SAM analysis to facilitate

    the study of interdependency among industrial sectors, production factors and

    institutional sectors due to production, income distribution and transfer activities, as

    well as consumption, saving and investment.

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    The SAM data framework system provides picture of transactions in the real

    sector. In general, SAM is a square matrix that describes linkages between

    production factor accounts, institutional accounts, industrial sector accounts and

    other accounts. Rows in the SAM matrix indicate income and columns show

    account expenditure. Therefore, the contents of a SAM matrix can highlight inter-

    account relationships. The descriptions and meanings of inter-account

    relationships under the Indonesian SAM framework are explained in Figure 2.2.

    Figure 2.2. Inter-account Relationships in SAM

    FoF is a data system designed to show financial transactions among various

    institutional sectors, for example the government, state-owned companies,

    insurance agents, commercial banks, non-financial private companies, etc.

    Monetary and Financial Statistics Manual (MFSM) 2000 states that FoF is a

    consolidated account of the financial institution sectors which also records financial

    activities of other institutional sectors.

    Each sector in FoF has a set of sources and uses of funds, which are

    reflected in the activities of buying and selling financial instruments, such as time

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    deposits, bonds, loans, etc. These instruments represent either assets or liabilities

    of each sector. As the system also includes the rest of the world sector, it is also

    known as an open system for each transaction. In other words, each financial

    instrument bought in one sector will have a mirror image in the form of selling

    activities in another sector. FoF can also be viewed as a data set designed to show

    how saving is connected with surplus and deficit sectors (Figure 2.3).

    FoF data is presented in matrix form. The columns represent sectors and

    the rows identify various types of financial instruments. In the FoF, sectors are

    institutions that perform financial transaction activities. Each sector has two

    columns, the first describes changes of assets (uses of funds) and the second

    shows changes of liabilities (sources of funds). Increases in assets or liabilities of a

    sector are portrayed by a positive financial flow, whereas any decreases are

    indicated by a negative financial flow. In general, the FoF scheme is outlined in

    Figure 2.3.

    Figure 2.3. Basic Framework of The Indonesias FoF

    Remarks:Financial flows from surplus sectors (net lending) to deficit sectors (net borrowing)Inter-sectoral financial flows through financial instruments

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    2.2. Country Experiences in FSAM Compilation

    As discussed earlier, FSAM is relevant in explaining the relationships

    among variables related to financial and non financial sectors. FSAM as a data

    framework, reflecting an integration of data systems deriving from SAM and FoF,

    had been developed in a number of countries/regions such as Europe, Turkey,

    China, Pakistan, and Cameroon, just to name a few. (see appendix 1)

    For Europe region, it is known as Euro Area Accounting Matrix (EAAM).

    EAAM provides a picture of production structure, inter-institutions flows and

    financial flows within Euro region. The first version of annual EAAM was completed

    using 1999 data. EAAM can be used to analyze economic structure, including the

    development of financial transaction. EAAM helps provide a better understanding

    of the transmission mechanism of monetary policy in the Euro region. EAAM also

    offers a consistent and uniform statistical framework both for real and financial

    sector economic activities, supported by harmonious statistical concept and proper

    classification of economic activities and financial assets.

    FSAM based analyses using EAAM revealed that financial institutions

    constituted the largest institution to pay and earn interest and hold more than half

    of financial assets and liabilities. Meanwhile, non financial institutions are reported

    to have financial investments largely in the form of debt securities and stocks.

    Meanwhile, Turkey had developed FSAM using its 1996 data. The FSAM

    compilation is conducted using a range of data sources, among others, input-

    output table, household income and consumer survey, income distribution survey,

    banking sector balance sheets, and the balance sheet of Turkeys central bank.

    The purpose of FSAM compilation is to build various models for their economy.

    Likewise, Cameroon employed FSAM to develop an Integrated

    Macroeconomic Model for Poverty Analysis (IMMPA), as a part of an integrated-

    quantitative model of macroeconomic analysis to help investigate the impact of

    external shocks and government policy on income distribution, job creation and

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    poverty. Additionally, IMMPA is also utilized to support and evaluate the strategy of

    poverty alleviation.

    Meanwhile, Pakistan used 1999/2000s data to develop FSAM. The aim of

    constructing FSAM is to produce a core database for an FCGE model applied

    specifically to analyze the behavior of public debt.

    The construction of FSAM in China began by conducting a broad review on

    changes on financial sector, which results in the establishment of a consistent

    accounting system for Chinese economy. This study moves further in which

    Chinas FSAM is used as an analytical tool in formulating economic policy in China.

    The study used multiplier analysis with the major finding was the links between real

    economy and financial sector, as well as the contribution of modern financial

    system development to economic growth.

    The Chinas study uncovered the growing role of households in countrys

    asset accumulation especially financial asset. In addition, it was found that non

    financial institution met their financing needs through financial system notably in

    the form of bank loans. The substantial amount of capital transfers by government

    to non financial institutions suggests that government remains a major player in

    allocating financial resources in China. Lastly, it showed that financial sectors

    continued their leading role in intermediating capital from household sector to non

    financial institutions.

    2.3. Basic Framework of Indonesias FSAM 2005

    The building blocks of Indonesian FSAM 2005 are classified into Production

    Factors, Institutions, Production Sector, Capital and Financial. The details aredescribed in Figure 2.4.

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    Figure 2.4. Basic Framework of The Indonesias FSAM

    FSAM is a data framework that can bridge the limitations found in SAM and

    FoF because FSAM presents integrated real and financial sector information. In

    general, the format of Indonesian FSAM data framework is classified into nine

    components (9x9 matrix), namely: Production Factors, Institutional Sectors,

    Industrial Sectors, Trade and Transport Margin, Commodities, Capital, IndirectTaxes and Subsidies, Financial Instruments and Rest of the World (Figure 2.5).

    Further disaggregation of the Indonesian FSAM building blocks, from

    dimension of 5x5 (Figure 2.4) into 9x9 (Figure 2.5), is aimed at providing better

    perspective on the structure of the economy regarding the trade and transport

    margin, and taxes and subsidies, as well as separating industries and

    commodities. Therefore, transaction interdependency between industries and

    commodities can be observed more closely.

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    Figure 2.5. Data Format of The Indonesias FSAM 2005

    2.4. Classification of Indonesias FSAM 2005

    The data framework of Indonesias FSAM 2005 emphasizes interlinkages of

    economic activities among institutions (financial and non-financial), with further

    emphasis on income distribution. For this purpose, the classification of institutions

    in the FSAM framework is further disaggregated into poor and non-poor

    households in rural and urban areas. Meanwhile, financial transactions do not

    differentiate between transactions in rupiah and foreign currencies.

    Even though the basic framework of FSAM is derived from SAM, the

    classifications of SAM adopted in the construction of the Indonesias FSAM 2005

    are slightly different than the SAM classifications published by BPS - StatisticsIndonesia in the following senses:

    The capital account in FSAM was compiled by disaggregating the SAM

    capital account and aggregating the financial instruments in the FoF

    framework.

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    Institutional account was disaggregated to central bank, bank and non bank

    financial corporations, non-financial corporations, government and

    households. Furthermore, households are classified as poor and non-poor

    households in rural and urban areas.

    In more detail, the classification of Indonesia FSAM 2005 consists of a 79 x

    79 matrix (row x column) are as follows:

    1. Production Factors:

    a. Labor (1)

    b. Non-Labor (2)

    2. Institutional Sectors:

    a. Central Bank (3)

    b. Corporations:

    i. Financial Corporations

    1. Bank (4)

    2. Non-Bank (5)

    ii. Non-Financial Corporations (6)

    c. Government (7)d. Households

    i. Rural area

    1. Poor (8)

    2. Non-Poor (9)

    ii. Urban

    1. Poor (10)

    2. Non-Poor (11)

    3. Industrial Sectors

    a. Agriculture, Livestock, Forestry and Fishery

    i. Formal (12)

    ii. Informal (13)

    b. Mining and Quarrying

    i. Formal (14)

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    ii. Informal (15)

    c. Manufacturing Industries

    i. Oil and Gas

    1. Formal (16)

    2. Informal (17)

    ii. Non-Oil and Gas

    1. Formal (18)

    2. Informal (19)

    d. Electricity, Gas and Water Supply

    i. Formal (20)ii. Informal (21)

    e. Construction

    i. Formal (22)

    ii. Informal (23)

    f. Trade, Hotels and Restaurant

    i. Formal (24)

    ii. Informal (25)

    g. Transport and Communication

    i. Formal (26)

    ii. Informal (27)

    h. Finance, Real Estate and Business Services

    i. Formal (28)

    ii. Informal (29)

    i. Other Services

    i. Formal (30)

    ii. Informal (31)

    4. Trade Margin and Transport Cost (32)

    5. Commodities

    a. Domestic Products

    i. Agriculture, Livestock, Forestry and Fishery (33)

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    ii. Mining and Quarrying (34)

    iii. Manufacturing Industry (35)

    iv. Electricity, Gas and Water Supply (36)

    v. Construction (37)

    vi. Trade, Hotel and Restaurant (38)

    vii. Transport and Communication (39)

    viii. Finance, Real Estate and Business Services (40)

    ix. Other Services (41)

    b. Import Products

    i. Agriculture, Livestock, Forestry and Fishery (42)ii. Mining and Quarrying (43)

    iii. Manufacturing Industry (44)

    iv. Electricity, Gas and Water Supply (45)

    v. Construction (46)

    vi. Trade, Hotel and Restaurant (47)

    vii. Transport and Communication (48)

    viii. Finance, Real Estate and Business Services (49)

    ix. Other Services (50)

    6. Capital

    a. Central Bank (51)

    b. Corporations:

    i. Financial Corporations

    1. Bank (52)

    2. Non-Bank (53)

    ii. Non-Financial Corporations (54)

    c. Government (55)

    d. Households

    i. Rural

    1. Poor (56)

    2. Non-Poor (57)

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    ii. Urban

    1. Poor (58)

    2. Non-Poor (59)

    7. Taxes and Subsidies

    a. Indirect Taxes (60)

    b. Subsidies (61)

    8. Financial Instruments

    a. Official Reserves Assets (62)

    b. Currencies (63)

    c. Demand Deposits (64)d. Saving Deposits (65)

    e. Time Deposits (66)

    f. Bank Indonesia Certificates (67)

    g. Government Bonds (68)

    h. Other Long-Term Securities (69)

    i. Short-Term Securities (70)

    j. Working Capital Credits (71)

    k. Investment Credits (72)

    l. Consumption Credits (73)

    m. Non-bank Credits (74)

    n. Trade Credits (75)

    o. Shares and Equities (76)

    p. Insurance and Pension Fund Reserves (77)

    q. Others (78)

    9. Rest of the World (79)

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    CHAPTER III - COMPILATION METHOD OF

    INDONESIAS FSAM 2005

    3.1. Transformation of SAM into FSAM

    As a data framework that integrates the SAM matrix and FoF table into the

    FSAM format, at first SAM must be transformed according to the classifications of

    FSAM data framework. The SAM data framework used to compile FSAM was

    transformed to correspond to the purposes and objectives of FSAM.Transformations were predominantly made to the classification of production

    factors, institutional sectors, industrial sectors, commodities (domestic and import)

    and capital account. No changes were applied to other accounts (foreign account,

    indirect taxes and subsidies).

    Production factor account used in FSAM compilation was divided into two

    types of account, namely labor and capital account. Institutional sectors

    classification was expanded, particularly for institutions and household accounts.Institutional sector accounts in SAM classification were specified as financial

    corporation accounts and non-financial corporation accounts. Financial institutions

    are described as central bank, banks and non bank financial corporations.

    According to SAM, households are classified as agricultural and non agricultural

    households; also as rural and urban households. Meanwhile, in FSAM, households

    are classified into poor and non-poor (based on poverty criteria from BPS -

    Statistics Indonesia) as well as rural and urban areas.

    As a data framework that will be used as a tool to guide policy formulation in

    alleviating poverty and empowering the informal sector, therefore, the classification

    of production sector in FSAM was capable of providing accurate picture of the

    informal economy. To this end, the production sector under SAM classification was

    grouped into ten sectors, namely: Agriculture, Livestock, Forestry and Fishery;

    Mining and Quarrying; Oil Manufacturing Industry; Non-oil Manufacturing Industry;

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    Electricity, Gas and Water Supply; Construction; Trade, Hotel and Restaurants;

    Transports and Communications; Finance, Real Estate and Business Services and

    Other Services. These sectors are further disaggregated into formal and informal

    sectors. As regards to the classification of commodities, they were grouped

    according to their sources (domestic and import), consistent with the nine

    commodity groups categorized in the production sectors.

    3.2. Inserting FoF Data into FSAM Framework

    As an extension of SAM, FSAM derived by disaggregating the capital

    account and inserting intra-institutional financial transactions from FoF. For thepurpose of compiling FSAM, adjustments were made to several sectors and

    financial transactions. Several sectors/institutions were merged even though data

    for each sector was available, whereas certain sectors were disaggregated to

    make it in line with FSAM classifications.

    Financial transactions in the Indonesias FoF generally include all financial

    instruments available in the current Indonesia economy. Most of these financial

    instruments are traded in the market, while others are not. In FSAM compilation,

    some financial instruments are presented individually, some are presented in

    aggregates of similar instruments, and others will be merged as one instrument.

    Financial instruments used in FSAM are slightly different than those used in

    FoF. This was to avoid misinterpretation in the analysis. Financial instruments

    presented in detail are:

    Other Securities: Short-term and Long-term Securities

    Non-bank Credit: Other Institution Credit and Trade Credit

    FoF components that have been adjusted according to FSAM classification

    then inserted into Capital Account, Financial Instruments and Rest of the World.

    The intersection of Capital Account row (including Rest of the World) with Financial

    Instruments column shows the existence of sources of fund (liabilities) according to

    the financial instruments of each institution (including Rest of the World).

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    Meanwhile, the intersection of Financial Instrument row with Capital Account

    column (including Rest of the World) evidences uses of funds (asset) or financial

    investment by each institution (including Rest of the World). The difference

    between financial assets and liabilities represents the difference between savings

    and physical investment, which in turn reflecting capital outflow/inflow with the Rest

    of the World sector.

    3.3. Supporting Surveys

    Several supporting surveys were conducted to complement the information

    and data requirement in FSAM 2005 compilation are:

    3.3.1. Household Savings and Investment Survey (SKTIR-Survei Khusus

    Tabungan dan Investasi Rumah Tangga)

    SKTIR was conducted to obtain data on household transactions, seeking

    the ways households create and manage their savings. The survey is also used to

    gather information on household investment, both in physical and financial terms.

    Household institution concept applied in Indonesia FSAM 2005 covers all

    household income (wage/salary and mixed income from a business venture with

    inseparable financial reports).

    The SKTIR 2006 was conducted in ten provinces: Riau, South Sumatera,

    West Java, DKI Jakarta, Central Java, DI Yogyakarta, Bali, West Kalimantan,

    North Sulawesi and Central Sulawesi. The sample size for the SKTIR was 5,000

    households.

    Sampling framework used to select the census block originated from the

    National Socio-Economic Survey (SUSENAS-Survei Sosial Ekonomi Nasional)

    2005, which differentiates urban and rural areas in each selected regency/city.

    Meanwhile to select the households, sample household cluster was classified into

    high, middle and low income category (recipient of the government cash transfer

    program or BLT-Bantuan Langsung Tunai).

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    A household was classified as poor if its expenditure fell within the poverty

    threshold established according to their residences in either urban or rural areas.

    The poverty threshold, taking the consumption module panel of SUSENAS in

    February 2005 as a reference, was set at the expenditure of Rp150,799 for urban

    areas and Rp117,259 for rural areas per capita per month.

    The SKTIR results were used in FoF and SAM construction. In FoF

    compilation, SKTIR results were used to calculate saving ratio and to gain

    information on changes in financial instrument, either in assets or liabilities. In SAM

    construction, SKTIR results were mainly used to identify income allocation of labor

    and non-labor production factor to households (income from factors ownership) as

    well as household transfers, saving and physical investment.

    3.3.2. Input-Output Survey (SKIO-Survei Khusus Input-Output)

    SKIO was conducted to obtain basic data required in Input-Output Table (IO

    2005) compilation, including data on input structure (costs), allocation of goods and

    product distribution for particular economic activities, information on employment

    structure, production indicators, prices and other supporting information.

    Business activities covered in SKIO 2006 include several activities in goods

    and services industry by legal entities (formal industry) and non-legal entities

    (informal industry) or non-directory corporations (PND-Perusahaan Non-Direktori)

    and cottage industries. Activities in the goods industry consist of agriculture,

    mining, unincorporated enterprises and construction. Meanwhile, activities in the

    services industry consist of supporting transportation services (loading docks,

    terminal/parking lots, travel agents), business services (advertising, consultancy

    and legal), private community and social services (hospitals, clinics), private

    entertainment and recreation services (recreation parks, nightclubs and karaoke),

    individual and household services (hair salons, beauty salons, laundry, tailors and

    household appliances repair).

    SKIO 2006 was conducted in 15 provinces, namely North Sumatera, West

    Sumatera, Riau, South Sumatera, Lampung, DKI Jakarta, Central Java, DI

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    Yogyakarta, East Java, West Nusa Tenggara, West Kalimantan, South

    Kalimantan, Central Sulawesi and South Sulawesi. Sample consists of 3,100

    respondents, of which 2,200 were from the goods industry and 900 from the

    services industry. Sample distribution was based on population activities

    information from the Agricultural Census (ST-Sensus Pertanian) 2003 for

    agriculture related activities and Integrated Business Survey (SUSI-Survei Usaha

    Terintegrasi) for mining, manufacturing and construction related activities. This

    survey was used particularly to complete the data for the IO table.

    3.3.3. Trade and Services Sector Survey (SKSPJ-Survei Khusus Sektor

    Perdagangan dan Jasa)

    SKSPJ data collection began in 1994 but the activities involved changed

    every year due to the numerous activities classified as trade and services industry.

    The objective of SKSPJ was to improve coverage, methodology, quality of

    production and price indicators, input structure and output allocation, revision of

    GDP (annual and quarterly) estimation and initial IO table preparation for 2005.

    SKSPJ data was used to fill the gaps in commodity margin and total margin in

    FSAM 2005.

    3.3.4. Private Non Financial Corporation Survey (SKPS-Survei Khusus

    Perusahaan Swasta)

    SKPS was conducted to figure out the role of economic players/private

    institutions in production, consumption and investment activities in the national

    economy, by compiling the year-end balance sheets, as well as profit and loss

    statements from private institutions.

    The objective of SKPS is to identify information on private non-financial

    corporations characteristics, namely: type of business, structures of assets,

    liabilities, input, output, etc. In addition, SKPS was conducted to elicit information

    on the business transactions of private non-financial corporations through financial

    reports including the year-end balance sheets and profit and loss statements.

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    SKPS, performed from February to December 2007, was intended to

    complete private corporation data in FoF compilation, namely structure of

    corporate sources and uses of funds. By using SKPS results, we could observeprivate non-financial corporation primary balance sheets structures classified

    according to their type of business. SKPS results are used in constructing FoF

    structure for private non-financial corporation, which is subsequently consolidated

    into FoF.

    3.4. SAM and FoF Reconciliation

    FSAM construction was preceded by SAM and FoF compilation; meanwhile

    SAM construction was preceded by IO table construction.

    Following the completion of SAM and FoF 2005, and both were successfully

    balanced, they were transformed into a 79 x 79 FSAM framework. Reconciliation is

    performed by integrating both matrices to make the FSAM matrix balanced.

    Data from SKTIR was used to calculate savings data and the formation of

    gross fixed capital for households. Some adjustments were applied to SKTIR

    results, using several related data sources. For example, the subsidies/transfers

    received by households were reconciled with Government Budget, and transfers inthe form of interest received on savings by households were cross checked with

    bank data.

    In FSAM, rest of the world savings in the FoF table, consisting of net export

    revenue plus net factor income, were added with net transfer value originating from

    Balance of Payments data.

    Balanced FoF data is subsequently integrated into the FSAM framework.

    The value of gross savings is placed at the intersection of capital account rows (51-59) and institution account columns (3-11), whereas investment data is located at

    the intersection of commodity account rows (33-50) and capital account columns

    (51-59).

    Financial instrument data, originating from uses of funds in FoF, is located

    at intersecting cell between financial instrument account rows (62-78) and capital

    account and rest of the world account columns (51-59 and 79). Financial

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    instrument data from FoF sources of fund is located at the intersection of capital

    and rest of the world account rows (51-59 and 79) and financial instrument account

    columns (62-78). Next step is to sum all cells in each columns and rows. Totalvalue of each row and column in FSAM must be balanced and consistent.

    Compiling process of Indonesia FSAM 2005 as previously described,

    generally performed in three stages, namely data collection, tabulation and

    reconciliation (Figure 3.1). Data is collected from readily available sources such as

    GDP, Government Budget and other regularly issued data. In addition, FSAM data

    is also supplemented by supporting surveys for which the results are subsequently

    tabulated and adjusted according to the data requirement of FSAM.

    Figure 3.1. The Construction Process of The Indonesias FSAM 2005

    FLOW OF

    FUNDS

    INPUT OUTPUT

    TABLE

    SOCIAL

    ACCOUNTING

    MATRIX

    CENTRAL BANK

    ACCOUNT

    GOVERNMENT

    ACCOUNT

    BANK ACCOUNT

    OTHER DOM.

    ACCOUNT

    REST OF THE

    WORLD ACCOUNT

    FSAM 2005

    Specification of

    FSAM Indonesia

    RECONCILIATION

    INCOME

    DISTRIBUTION

    R

    E

    C

    O

    N

    C

    I

    L

    I

    A

    T

    I

    O

    R

    E

    C

    O

    N

    CI

    L

    I

    A

    T

    I

    O

    N

    National Socio-

    Economic Survey

    Survey of Large and

    Medium

    Manufacturing

    Industry & Survey of

    Small Scale &

    Household Industr

    National Labor Force

    Surveys

    WagesSurvey

    Intercensal

    Population Survey

    Gross Domestic

    Product

    Input Output

    Survey

    Private

    Corporation

    Survey

    Household

    Saving and

    Investment

    Survey

    Capital Formation

    Integrated Business

    Surve

    Trade &

    Services Survey

    Primary Data SUPPORTINGSURVEY

    Agriculture Census

    Government Budget

    International

    Investment Position

    Financial Statement

    DATA COLLECTION TABULATION

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    CHAPTER IV - ANALYSES OF INDONESIAS FSAM 2005

    4.1. The Result: Indonesias FSAM 2005

    The Indonesias FSAM 2005 is published in two versions, namely an

    aggregated 22x22 FSAM matrix (Table 4.1) and 79x79 matrix (Appendix 4). The

    22x22 matrix is the aggregated version of the 79x79 matrix with classifications that

    can be found in Appendix 2. Despite its more aggregated form, the 22x22 matrix

    nevertheless provides complete macro descriptions of Indonesias economicstructure. For those interested in exploring the more detailed descriptions of

    Indonesias macro economy, they can look at the 79x79 matrix.

    Disaggregation of the 22x22 matrix into 79x79 matrix is conducted by

    elaborating the institutional components (banks, non-bank financial corporations

    and non-financial corporations), households (rural or urban; poor or non-poor),

    production sector (formal or informal), commodities (domestic or import) as well as

    17 financial instruments.

    4.2. Descriptive Analysis

    For a complete descriptive analysis, derivative tables were produced as can

    be seen below.

    4.2.1. Indonesias Economic Structure 2005

    Indonesias economic structure based on FSAM 2005 revealed thateconomic output in 2005 was primarily used for intermediate input. The remaining

    was gross value added (GVA) on production at factor costs, which consist of

    payments for labor (wage and salary) and operating surplus.

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    Table4.1.

    TheIndone

    siasFSAM2

    005(22x22Matrix)

    ()

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    In 2005, total output based on FSAM stood at Rp5,637.7 trillion. From that

    amount, Rp2,760.8 trillion (48.97%) was intermediate input and Rp2,876.9 trillion

    (51.03%) was GVA (see Table 4.2). Therefore, GDP can be calculated by adding

    GVA with import duties in the amount of Rp62.3 trillion and subtracted by import

    subsidies in the amount of Rp42.2 trillion. Hence, the difference between FSAM

    and data published on GDP value which was recorded at Rp2,896.9 trillion is 4.4%.

    This difference is largely attributable to the broader coverage of GDP data in FSAM

    compared to the published GDP.

    Table 4.2. Indonesias Economic Structure 2005

    ItemsAmount

    (Billions of Rp)%

    Intermediate Input 2,760,764 48.97

    Factor Income of Labor 1,486,179 26.36

    Factor Income of Non-Labor 1,344,475 23.85

    Indirect Taxes 112,164 1.99

    Domestic Subsidies -65,926 -1.17

    Total Output 5,637,656 100.00

    In Indonesias FSAM 2005 framework, labor factor income consist of

    compensation of employees covering wages and salaries of paid workers as well

    as imputed wages and salaries from unpaid workers, including farmers (owners of

    farm), self-employed entrepreneurs assisted by permanent workers or temporary

    workers, and self-employed entrepreneurs helped by their family. Around 26.36%

    of total output or Rp1,486.2 trillion is compensation of employees, meanwhile non-

    labor factor income (e.g. rent, interest) is recorded at Rp1,344.5 trillion or 23.85%.

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    Table 4.3. Production Structure by Industrial Sectors in Indonesia(Percentage)

    Industrial Sectors IntermediateInput

    ValueAdded

    Total

    Agriculture, Livestock, Forestry and Fishery 26.41 73.59 100.00

    Mining and Quarrying 18.73 81.27 100.00

    Manufacturing Industry 62.63 37.37 100.00

    Electricity, Gas and Water Supply 64.40 35.60 100.00

    Construction 65.08 34.92 100.00

    Trade, Hotels and Restaurants 41.69 58.31 100.00

    Transport and Communications 51.53 48.47 100.00

    Finance, Real Estate and Business Services 32.49 67.51 100.00

    Other Services 40.73 59.27 100.00

    Total 49.38 50.62 100.00

    Looking at economic structure from production side, it is found that the

    share of intermediate input especially in the secondary and tertiary sectors could

    exceed 50%, such as construction (65.08%); electricity, gas and water supply

    (64.40%); manufacturing industry (62.63%); and transportation (51.53%).

    Whereas, the share of intermediate input in the primary sectors is less than 50%.

    The two smallest share of intermediate inputs occurred in mining and quarrying

    sector (18.73%) and agriculture, livestock, forestry and fishery sector (26.41%)

    (see Table 4.3).

    4.2.2. Structure of Income and Expenditure by Institution

    Income received by institutions such as households, financial and non-

    financial corporations as well as the government is originated from wages and

    salaries, operating surplus, capital ownership and transfers. Households as owners

    of the labor factor income received all the incomes in the form of wages and

    salaries as well as imputed wages and salaries. Labor factor incomes as a

    compensation of employees (paid and unpaid) cover gross wages and salaries (in

    cash or in kind) as well as imputed wages and salaries. Income from capital comes

    from economic activities performed by the respective institution. Other incomes

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    come from production factor ownership operated by other institution or other

    transfers. Institutional income includes rest of the world income sourced from

    production factor ownership abroad or transfers.

    Total income received by institutions is subsequently spent for consumption

    (final consumption is conducted by households and government) and other

    expenditures such as interest payments, dividend and other transfers, for both

    domestic or foreign institutions. The difference between total income received by

    each institution for expenditure consumption and other expenses represents

    institution saving.

    Labor factor income including compensation of employees working abroad

    amounted to Rp1,487.4 trillion, whereas non-labor factor income as a production

    factor, including rent from abroad amounted to Rp1,364.4 trillion (total income of

    non-labor factor).

    Labor factor income in domestic economy is received mostly by households,

    totaling Rp1,484.0 trillion. The remaining is recorded in the income side of rest of

    the world account, as foreign labor factor income. Wages and salaries are mostly

    received by non-poor households. Non-poor urban households accounted for more

    than half of total wages and salaries of Rp923.2 trillion, whereas non-poor

    households in rural areas received Rp526.3 trillion. In contrast, poor urban

    households received only a minor fraction, more specifically at Rp11.0 trillion,

    whereas poor households in rural areas received Rp23.5 trillion.

    Meanwhile, allocation of non-labor factor income received by households

    was Rp436.0 trillion. The disparities, as for labor factor income, also occurred for

    the income allocation of non-labor factor income, precisely between poor and non-

    poor households. Non-poor urban households received non-labor factor income of

    Rp239.3 trillion, whereas non-poor households in rural areas received Rp176.6

    trillion. Poor households in both urban and rural areas received the lowest income

    for non-labor factor totaling Rp8.3 trillion and Rp11.8 trillion respectively (see Table

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    4.4). It can be observed that the inequality in the ownership of labor and non-labor

    factors among households is responsible for such an income disparity.

    Table 4.4. Income Allocation by Institution(Billions of Rupiah)

    Corporations as producing institutions that utilized production factors, which

    are self-owned or owned by other institutions received the largest chunk of

    allocation, amounted to Rp802.0 trillion. Most of the non-labor income received by

    corporations was received by non-financial corporations totaling Rp738.4 trillion,

    whereas financial corporations (excluding the central bank) received Rp63.6

    trillion. The central bank received Rp17.0 trillion from non-labor income. Non-laborincome is the primary input for corporations in running their business. Government

    only receives income allocation from transfer.

    Meanwhile other income, such as investment income (shares, capital and

    other non-labor factors) invested either domestic or abroad as well as transfers, is

    mostly received by government (Rp655.3 trillion). In comparison, corporations

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    received other income totaling Rp202.1 trillion. Most other income received by

    corporations is reallocated to other financial corporation (insurance, finance

    company, etc) amounted to Rp144.1 trillion, and non-financial corporations

    received Rp57.9 trillion.

    It is worth noting that other income allocations and transfers received by the

    urban non-poor exceeded those received by poor urban households. Households

    received transfer amounted to Rp271.3 trillion which mostly received by urban non-

    poor households at Rp200.8 trillion. On the other hand, urban poor households

    only receive a mere Rp6.5 trillion, representing the smallest share of allocation

    among all households. Other incomes, such as transfers, received by poor

    households in rural areas were Rp11.4 trillion. Rural non-poor households received

    Rp52.7 trillion (see Table 4.4).

    Table 4.5. Share of Sources ofIncome by Institution(Percentage)

    Income allocation by institution in percentage terms, particularly households,

    showed disparities in income structure among households, reflecting transfer

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    dependency of the poor. The share of transfer income for poor households was

    larger than that received by non-poor households, in both rural and urban areas.

    Approximately 25.19% of urban poor household income stemmed from other

    income (transfers) and poor rural households was 24.46%.

    It is interesting to note that other income of non-bank financial corporations

    represented 69.38% of total income, whereas other income of the central bank was

    44.64% (see Table 4.5).

    Government does not generate operating surplus from its public services,

    since it engages in non-market production. Hence, all government revenue

    originates from transfer. Such sources include tax, interest income, dividend, inter-

    governmental transfers and other transfer, such as fine and duty.

    Income of each institution is used for final consumption activities

    (particularly for households and government) and other expenditures such as

    dividend payment and other transfer, for instance cash transfer (government

    transfers to households), tax payments, etc. The difference between income and

    expenditure for consumption and other expenses represents the institutions

    saving.

    Institutions considered as final consumers are households and government.

    The largest portion of consumption expenditure is for non-poor urban households

    with the consumption amounted to Rp1,111.4 trillion. Whereas the poor urban

    spent some Rp23.8 trillion on final consumption, reflecting the smallest expenditure

    as compared to other household groups. Consumption expenditure by the

    government for services to the general public was recorded at Rp141.0 trillion.

    Besides consumption, household income is also spent on transfers (tax

    payment, fine, duty, etc) as well as interest payments, etc. The largest other

    expenditure was attributed to urban non-poor households, amounting to Rp106.0

    trillion. In comparison, rural non-poor households spent much lower at Rp26.7

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    trillion. The smallest other expenditure was done by rural poor households and

    urban poor households totaling Rp1.1 trillion and Rp1.7 trillion respectively.

    Other expenditures by institutions, financial and non-financial, were used to

    pay debts, dividends, taxes, and other transfers. The largest portion of those

    expenditures was originating from non-financial corporations amounted to Rp432.8

    trillion, followed by financial corporations at Rp151.4 trillion, and central bank at

    Rp13.7 trillion. Institutional savings (including retained earnings) were generated

    by subtracting the expenditure from total income of each institution, which is

    elaborated further in subsection 4.2.3.

    On the rest of the world side, Indonesias exports reached Rp977.1 trillion in

    2005. In the same year, total imports were Rp974.2 trillion, which consisted of an

    import value of Rp820.1 trillion, import margin of Rp91.8 trillion and import tax of

    Rp62.3 trillion. Therefore, there was a surplus of Rp2.9 trillion or around $303.6

    million (see Table 4.1).

    4.2.3. Saving Rate

    Saving rate is an important variable for the economy as it opens the way forgreater potential investment (physical and financial), which can increase economic

    capacity and in turn stimulate economic growth.

    In 2005, the saving rate of all institutions reached 20.79%, suggesting that a

    large portion of income (79.21 %) is used for consumption. Gross saving primarily

    stemmed from the corporate sectors at the amount of Rp489.1 trillion, accounting

    more than 50% of economys gross saving. Relative to their income, the saving

    rate of corporations stood at 48.71%. Meanwhile, the saving rates of governmentand central bank were recorded at 16.60% and 55.66% respectively.

    Households generated saving worth Rp191.8 trillion, reflecting a saving rate

    of 8.75%. In the household groups, urban non-poor households had the highest

    saving rate (10.70%), whereas rural poor households had the lowest saving rate

    (0.37%) (see Table 4.6).

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    Table 4.6. Saving Rate by Institution

    4.2.4. Saving-Investment Gap

    Gross domestic saving in 2005 was recorded at Rp806.8 trillion. On the

    other hand, physical investment, as indicated by gross fixed capital formation and

    changes in inventory, was only Rp734.9 trillion. As such, there was an excess or

    net lending in the amount of Rp71.9 trillion or 8.92% of gross domestic saving. The

    figure represents net exports not including import margin and tax. By including

    import margin, tax, net current transfers and net factor income, the current account

    (CA) was actually in a deficit of Rp82.2 trillion (USD8.4 billion). This figure

    contrasts with the CA reported in the Indonesia Balance of Payments (BoP) that

    showed a surplus of USD0.3 billion, primarily due to differences in the export and

    import calculation methodology. Such conditions indicate that as a whole physical

    investment of all institutions in 2005 can be financed by domestic saving. From

    different perspective, however, it is revealed that domestic saving was not

    optimally disbursed to stimulate the real sectoractivities.

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    Table 4.7. Gross Saving and Physical Investment by Institution(Billions of Rupiah)

    As regards total gross saving, more than half originated from financial and

    non-financial corporations in the amount of Rp489.1 trillion. This saving came from

    an increase of retained earnings plus depreciation.

    In addition to non-financial corporations, households also recorded relatively

    large gross savings amounting to Rp191.8 trillion. The gross savings of households

    were in large part contributed by urban non-poor households of Rp145.8 trillion.

    Meanwhile, rural non-poor households saved Rp45.6 trillion. This clearly indicates

    that nearly all household savings were contributed by non-poor households, both in

    rural and urban areas.

    Meanwhile, financial corporations (including banks, insurance companies,

    finance companies, pension funds and pawn shop) booked gross saving amounted

    to Rp56.3 trillion. In the meantime, government and central bank contributed

    Rp108.8 trillion and Rp17.1 trillion respectively (see Table 4.7).

    Of the total investment, Rp610.7 trillion came from financial and non-

    financial corporations, while the government contributed Rp90.2 trillion.

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    Several institutions experienced net borrowing as their saving was falling

    short of their financing needs for physical investments, those are non-financial

    corporations and poor households in rural and urban areas.

    Net borrowings of corporations sectors reached Rp121.6 trillion, while poor

    households both in urban and rural areas recorded Rp0.4 trillion and Rp0.5 trillion

    borrowings respectively. Meanwhile, urban non-poor households experienced net

    lending of Rp120.5 trillion. This highlights the role of urban non-poor households as

    the largest contributor to the surplus in 2005.

    The government and central bank booked domestic savings of Rp18.6trillion and of Rp16.6 trillion respectively. The total surplus for 2005 stood at

    Rp71.9 trillion, which was spent for reducing foreign liabilities and acquiring foreign

    financial assets.

    4.2.5. Financial Analysis Based on Indonesias FSAM 2005

    Financial investment by economic agents reached Rp814.1 trillion, whereasthe economy only generated sources of funds amounted to Rp742.2 trillion.

    Therefore, the domestic financial sector experienced a deficit of Rp71.9 trillion that

    was financed by domestic real sectors net lending (see Table 4.8).

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    Table 4.8. Domestic and Rest of The World Financial Accounts(Billions of Rupiah)

    Total domestic financial investment, amounting to Rp814.1 trillion, were

    primarily in the form of credit (Rp172.5 trillion) consisted of working capital,

    investment, consumption, non-bank and trade credits, and followed by time

    deposits (Rp148.7 trillion) and shares and equities (Rp121.3 trillion). Based on

    institutions, financial investments were dominated by non-financial corporations

    (Rp220.2 trillion) (Table 4.10), urban non-poor households (Rp212.5 trillion) (Table

    4.9) and banks (Rp196.8 trillion) (Table 4.10).

    Non-financial corporations financial investments were largely in the form of

    shares and equities (Rp75.5 trillion) and time deposits (Rp34.0 trillion). Similarly

    urban non-poor households investments were mostly in the form of shares and

    equities and time deposits amounted to Rp49.9 trillion and Rp83.5 trillion

    respectively (Table 4.7).

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    Meanwhile, banks financial investments mainly in the form of credit and

    savings amounted to Rp145.0 trillion and Rp42.4 trillion.

    Table 4.9. Financial Account of Households(Billions of Rupiah)

    Financial investment by rural and urban non-poor households was mainly in

    the form of time deposits (amounting to Rp17.2 trillion and Rp83.5 trillion

    respectively) and other long-term securities (Rp15.1 trillion), which were entirely

    owned by urban non-poor households (Table 4.9).

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    Table 4.10. Financial Account of Other Institutions(Billions of Rupiah)

    Financial investment was mostly generated by non-financial corporations

    amounted to Rp220.2 trillion, primarily in the form of share and equities and time

    deposits (Rp75.5 trillion and Rp34.0 trillion respectively). Meanwhile, banks

    financial investment reached Rp196.8 trillion, mostly in the form of credit (Rp145.0

    trillion) and savings (Rp42.4 trillion). (see Table 4.10).

    4.3. Application of Indonesias FSAM in Economic Analysis

    As explained in previous chapters, FSAM is a data system capable of

    providing an economic analysis in explaining the impact of a particular monetary or

    fiscal policy on the behavior of economic agents. Using FSAM data, more accurate

    information can be presented regarding transaction channels, including the

    transmission mechanism, to enable more comprehensive macroeconomic analysis.

    Analytical tools that typically use FSAM data are multiplier analysis,

    Structural Path Analysis (SPA) and Financial Computable General Equilibrium

    (FCGE) models. Multiplier analysis is an analytical tool that is used for describing

    the impacts of particular economic shocks or policies on the behavior of economic

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    agents. While SPA presents various possible linkages that connect one component

    to others, followed by one or more changes in other components originating from

    economic shocks or policies. Furthermore, direct, indirect and the resulting total

    impacts can be measured for every path.

    FCGE is a more comprehensive model that can be applied to describe the

    behavior of each economic agent if a complex economic phenomenon occurs.

    FCGE can also explain structural changes in the real and financial sectors

    attributable to some alternatives economic policies (counterfactual analysis).

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    CHAPTER V - CONCLUSION

    Constructing FSAM represents major stride for statistical work, as it is

    expected that with FSAM we can move further in our pursuit of conveying more

    comprehensive and integrated information regarding the real and financial sectors.

    As experienced in other countries/region that have published FSAM (Euro Area,

    China, Cameroon, Turkey and Pakistan), FSAM needs first the availability of SAM

    and FoF data and the researchers need to learn further the interactions between

    the two data sets. For Indonesia, FSAM 2005 is the first FSAM to be compiled and

    it took more than 30 years after the availability of SAM data (first published in

    1975) and around 15 years after the first FoF data (first published in 1991). Given

    the complexity of data requirements, such construction could only be worked out in

    2006-2007 for FSAM 2005. In addition, due to heavy reliance of FSAM on the

    availability of I-O data and SAM data which were prepared on a five-yearly basis,

    FSAM can only be compiled in every five years.

    The process of reconciling savings and investment data with SAM and FoFdata systems has been the most crucial stage in the compilation process of the

    FSAM data framework. Methodological differences in compiling SAM and FoF

    resulted in saving