forex exchange
DESCRIPTION
Students can get Basic about Forex Exchange.TRANSCRIPT
Meaning of Foreign Exchange
According to Hartly Withers, “ Foreign exchange is the art and science of international monetary exchange”
The forex market is the world’s largest financial market. Over $4 trillion dollars worth of currency are traded each day. The amount of money traded in a week is bigger than the entire annual GDP of the United States.
The main currency used for forex trading is the US dollar.
Meaning of Foreign Exchange
The term Foreign exchange implies two things: a)foreign currency and b) exchange rate
Foreign exchange generally refers to foreign currency, eg for india it is dollar, euro, yen, etc… &
the other part of foreign exchange is exchange rate which is the price of one currency in terms of the other currency.
Forex is the international market for the free trade of currencies. Traders place orders to buy one currency with another currency.
Forex Trading in India – Legal or Illegal
In India, Foreign Exchange or Forex trading is not allowed. If someone is found trading Forex instruments on the forex market by the Reserve Bank of India’s representatives, he/she is immediately charged of violation of law. Hence it is legally a crime to involve in Forex trading and the charges of the crime are imprisonment in jail in this country. The offence is considered immense, the prediction of intensity can be deduced from this fact that it has been labeled to be non-bail able.
Forex trading in the world
Foreign exchange market
Foreign exchange market is that market in which national currencies are traded for one another..
The major participants in this market are commercial banks, forex brokers, and authorised dealers and the monetary authorities.
Besides, transfer of funds form one country to another , speculation is an important dimension of foreign exchange market.
Its where money in one currency is exchanged for another
Advantages of Forex market
It’s already the world’s largest market and it’s still growing quickly
It makes extensive use of information technology – making it available to everyone
Traders can profit from both strong and weak economies
Trader can place very short-term orders – which are prohibited in some other markets
The market is not regulated
Brokerage commissions are very low or non-existent
The market is open 24 hours a day during weekdays
Terms related to Foreign Exchange
Foreign exchange reserves- holdings of other countries' currencies
Foreign exchange controls- controls imposed by a government on the purchase/sale of foreign currencies
Retail foreign exchange platform- speculative trading of foreign exchange by individuals using electronic trading platforms
Foreign exchange risk- arises from the change in price of one currency against another
International trade- the exchange of goods and services across national boundaries
Foreign exchange company- a broker that offers currency exchange and international payments
Bureau de change- a business whose customers exchange one currency for another
Currency pair- the quotation of the relative value of a currency unit against the unit of another currency in the foreign exchange market
Digital currency exchanger- market makers which exchange fiat currency for electronic money
Exchange rate
According to haines, “Exchange rate is the price of the currency of a country can be exchanged for the number of units of currency of another country.”
Exchange rate is that rate at which one unit of currency of a country can be exchanged for the number of units of currency of another country.
It’s the the price for which one currency is exchanged for another
Factors influencing Exchange Rates
As with any market, the forex market is driven by supply and demand:If buyers exceed sellers, prices go upIf sellers outnumber buyers, prices go down
The following factors can influence exchange rates:National economic performanceCentral bank policyInterest ratesTrade balances – imports and exportsPolitical factors – such as elections and policy changesMarket sentiment – expectations and rumoursUnforeseen events – terrorism and natural disasters
Despite all these factors, the global forex market is more stable than stock markets; exchange rates change slowly and by small amounts.
Types of exchange rates
Fixed and Floating exchange rates
Fixed exchange rate is the official rate set by the monetary authorities of the Governance for one or more currencies.
Under floating exchange rate, the value of the currency is decided by supply and demand factors
Direct and indirect exchange rates
Direct method - Under this, a given number of units of local currency per unit of foreign currency is quoted. They are designated as direct/certain rates because the rupee cost of single foreign currency unit can be obtained directly. Direct quotation is also called home currency quotation.
Indirect method – Under this, a given number of units of foreign currency per unit of local currency is quoted. Indirect quotation is also called foreign currency quotation
Buying and selling
Exchange rates are quoted as two way quotes –
for purchase
and for sale
transactions by the Bank
Spot and forward
The delivery under a foreign exchange transaction can be settled in one of the following ways
Ready or cash – To be settled on the same day
Tom – To be settled on the day next to the date of transaction
Spot – To be settled on the second working day from the date of contract
Forward – To be settled at a date farther than the spot date
Theories of exchange rate determination
Meaning:
Theories which determine the prices of forex rate considering inflation, interest rate, and elasticity of price etc..
Methods:
a) Long run theory
b) Short run theory
Long Run Theory of Exchange rate Determination:
This are the theories which predominately take into account the fundamental changes of economy. Here fundamental changes refers to the change which are going to change the economic performance of the economy Purchasing power for all times to come.
Types of theory:
Purchasing power parity.1) Absolute purchasing power parity.2) Relative purchasing power parity.
Interest Rate parity1) Covered Interest Rate parity2) Uncovered Interest Rate parity
Short Run theory of exchange rate determination
This theories are based more on current information or immediate performance of economic variables.
This theories try to take into account the short run factor which may be eliminated in the long run.
Purchasing power parity theory
Founder –Swedish economist Gustav Cassel in 1918.
Meaning : According to this theory ,the price levels and the changes in these price levels in different countries determine the exchanges rates of these countries currencies.
The basic principle of this theory is that the exchange rates between various currencies reflect the purchasing power of these currencies .This theory is based law of one price.
Absolute form of PPP Theory
If the law of one price were to hold good for each and every commodity then the theory is termed as Absolute form of PPP Theory.
This theory describes the link between the spot exchange rate and price levels at a particular point of time
Relative form of PPP
This theory describes the link between the changes in spot exchange rate and in the price levels over a period of time.
According to this theory ,changes in spot rates over a period of time reflect the changes in the price level over the same period in the concerned economies.
This theory relaxes three assumptions of PPP ie Absences of transportation cost ,transaction costs and tariffs.
Interest Rate Parity Theory
Definition :
The process that ensures that the annualized forward premium or discount equals the interest rate differential on equivalent securities in two currencies.
International Fisher effect:
Expected Rate of change = Interest rate of the exchange rate differential
Interest Rate = Real Interest Expected Differential Rate + inflation rate
Modern theory: demand & supply theory
The most satisfactory explanation of the determination of the rate of exchange is that a free exchange rate tends to be such as to equate the demand and supply of foreign exchange..
The intersection of supply curve and demand curve gives the equilibrium price
Modern theory also called balance of payments theory of foreign exchange
Foreign Exchange Risk
Exposure to exchange rate movement. Any sale or purchase of foreign currency
entails foreign exchange risk. Foreign exchange transaction affects the
net asset or net liability position of the buyer/seller.
Carrying net assets or net liability position in any currency gives rise to exchange risk.
Risk management
Controlling losses
You could control your losses, by mental stop or hard stop. Mental stop means that you already set you limit of your loss. A hard stop is your initiative to stop when you think you must to stop it.
Using correct lot size
As a beginning just use smaller lots you could stay flexible and logic than emotions while you trade.
Tracking overall exposure
sample: you go to short on EUR/USD and long on USD/CHF, you exposed two times for USD in the same direction. If USD goes down , you have a double dose of pain. So, keep your overall exposure limited, it keeps you for the long haul for trading
The bottom line
Trading is about opportunities, you must take action while the opportunities arise.
References
http://www.forex.com/uk/index.html
http://www.forex.com/uk/trading-platforms/forextrader.html
http://www.marketcalls.in/forex/forex-trading-in-india-legal-or-illegal-a-critical-analysis.html