football basketball pythagoras

2
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50 51 52 53 54 55 56 57 58 59 60 61 62 63 64 65 66 67 68 69  A B C D E F G H I J K L M N exp 2.37 0.06 Predicted NFL Winning Percentages:2005-2007 Year Team Wins Losses Points for Points against Ratio Predicted win Percentage Actual win Percentage abserr 2006 New England Patriots 12 4 385 237 1.624 0.76 0.75 0.01 2006 New York Jets 10 6 316 295 1.071 0.54 0.63 0.08 2006 Buffalo Bills 7 9 300 311 0.965 0.48 0.44 0.04 2006 Miami Dolphins 6 10 260 283 0.919 0.45 0.38 0.07 2006 Baltimore Ravens 13 3 353 201 1.756 0.79 0.81 0.02 2006 Cincinnati Bengals 8 8 373 331 1.127 0.57 0.50 0.07 2006 Pittsburgh Steelers 8 8 353 315 1.121 0.57 0.50 0.07 0 2006 Cleveland Browns 4 12 238 356 0.669 0.28 0.25 0.03 2006 Indianapolis Colts 12 4 427 360 1.186 0.60 0.75 0.15 2006 Tennessee Titans 8 8 324 400 0.81 0.38 0.50 0.12 2006 Jacksonville Jaguars 8 8 371 274 1.354 0.67 0.50 0.17 2006 Houston Texans 6 10 267 366 0.73 0.32 0.38 0.05 2006 San Diego Chargers 14 2 492 303 1.624 0.76 0.88 0.12 2006 Kansas City Chiefs 9 7 331 315 1.051 0.53 0.56 0.03 2006 Denver Broncos 9 7 319 305 1.046 0.53 0.56 0.04 2006 Oakland Raiders 2 14 168 332 0.506 0.17 0.13 0.04 2006 Philadelphia Eagles 10 6 398 328 1.213 0.61 0.63 0.01 2006 Dallas Cowboys 9 7 425 350 1.214 0.61 0.56 0.05 2006 New York Giants 8 8 355 362 0.981 0.49 0.50 0.01 2006 Washington Redskins 5 11 307 376 0.816 0.38 0.31 0.07 2006 Chicago Bears 13 3 427 255 1.675 0.77 0.81 0.04 2006 Green Bay Packers 8 8 301 366 0.822 0.39 0.50 0.11 2006 Minnesota Vikings 6 10 282 327 0.862 0.41 0.38 0.04 2006 Detroit Lions 3 13 305 398 0.766 0.35 0.19 0.16 2006 New Orleans Saints 10 6 413 322 1.283 0.64 0.63 0.02 2006 Carolina Panthers 8 8 270 305 0.885 0.43 0.50 0.07 2006 Atlanta Falcons 7 9 292 328 0.89 0.43 0.44 0.01 2006 Tampa Bay Buccaneer 4 12 211 353 0.598 0.23 0.25 0.02 2006 Seattle Seahawks 9 7 335 341 0.982 0.49 0.56 0.07 2006 St. Louis Rams 8 8 367 381 0.963 0.48 0.50 0.02 2006 San Francisco 49ers 7 9 298 412 0.723 0.32 0.44 0.12 2006 Arizona Cardinals 5 11 314 389 0.807 0.38 0.31 0.06 2005 New England Patriots 10 6 379 338 1.121 0.57 0.63 0.06 2005 Miami Dolphins 9 7 318 317 1.003 0.50 0.56 0.06 2005 Buffalo Bills 5 11 271 367 0.738 0.33 0.31 0.02 2005 New York Jets 4 12 240 355 0.676 0.28 0.25 0.03 2005 Cincinnati Bengals 11 5 421 350 1.203 0.61 0.69 0.08 2005 Pittsburgh Steelers 11 5 389 258 1.508 0.73 0.69 0.04 2005 Cleveland Browns 6 10 232 301 0.771 0.35 0.38 0.02 2005 Baltimore Ravens 6 10 265 299 0.886 0.43 0.38 0.05 2005 Indianapolis Colts 14 2 439 247 1.777 0.80 0.88 0.08 2005 Jacksonville Jaguars 12 4 361 269 1.342 0.67 0.75 0.08 2005 Tennessee Titans 4 12 299 421 0.71 0.31 0.25 0.06 2005 Houston Texans 2 14 260 431 0.603 0.23 0.13 0.11 2005 Denver Broncos 13 3 395 258 1.531 0.73 0.81 0.08 2005 Kansas City Chiefs 10 6 403 325 1.24 0.62 0.63 0.00 2005 San Diego Chargers 9 7 418 312 1.34 0.67 0.56 0.10 2005 Oakland Raiders 4 12 290 383 0.757 0.34 0.25 0.09 2005 New York Giants 11 5 422 314 1.344 0.67 0.69 0.02 2005 Washington Redskins 10 6 359 293 1.225 0.62 0.63 0.01 2005 Dallas Cowboys 9 7 325 308 1.055 0.53 0.56 0.03 2005 Philadelphia Eagles 6 10 310 388 0.799 0.37 0.38 0.00 2005 Chicago Bears 11 5 260 202 1.287 0.65 0.69 0.04 2005 Minnesota Vikings 9 7 306 344 0.89 0.43 0.56 0.13 2005 Detroit Lions 5 11 254 345 0.736 0.33 0.31 0.01 2005 Green Bay Packers 4 12 298 344 0.866 0.42 0.25 0.17 2005 Carolina Panthers 11 5 391 259 1.51 0.73 0.69 0.04 2005 Tampa Bay Buccaneer 11 5 300 274 1.095 0.55 0.69 0.13 2005 Atlanta Falcons 8 8 351 341 1.029 0.52 0.50 0.02 2005 New Orleans Saints 3 13 235 398 0.59 0.22 0.19 0.04 2005 Seattle Seahawks 13 3 452 271 1.668 0.77 0.81 0.04 2005 St. Louis Rams 6 10 363 429 0.846 0.40 0.38 0.03 2005 Arizona Cardinals 5 11 311 387 0.804 0.37 0.31 0.06 2005 San Francisco 49ers 4 12 239 428 0.558 0.20 0.25 0.05

Upload: hayek1984

Post on 08-Oct-2015

4 views

Category:

Documents


0 download

DESCRIPTION

-

TRANSCRIPT

NFLexp2.370.06Predicted NFL Winning Percentages:2005-2007YearTeamWinsLossesPoints forPoints againstRatioPredicted win PercentageActual win Percentageabserr2006New England Patriots1243852371.62447257380.760.750.012006New York Jets1063162951.07118644070.540.630.082006Buffalo Bills793003110.96463022510.480.440.042006Miami Dolphins6102602830.91872791520.450.380.072006Baltimore Ravens1333532011.75621890550.790.810.022006Cincinnati Bengals883733311.12688821750.570.500.072006Pittsburgh Steelers883533151.12063492060.570.500.0702006Cleveland Browns4122383560.66853932580.280.250.032006Indianapolis Colts1244273601.18611111110.600.750.152006Tennessee Titans883244000.810.380.500.122006Jacksonville Jaguars883712741.35401459850.670.500.172006Houston Texans6102673660.72950819670.320.380.052006San Diego Chargers1424923031.62376237620.760.880.122006Kansas City Chiefs973313151.05079365080.530.560.032006Denver Broncos973193051.04590163930.530.560.042006Oakland Raiders2141683320.50602409640.170.130.042006Philadelphia Eagles1063983281.21341463410.610.630.012006Dallas Cowboys974253501.21428571430.610.560.052006New York Giants883553620.98066298340.490.500.012006Washington Redskins5113073760.81648936170.380.310.072006Chicago Bears1334272551.67450980390.770.810.042006Green Bay Packers883013660.82240437160.390.500.112006Minnesota Vikings6102823270.86238532110.410.380.042006Detroit Lions3133053980.76633165830.350.190.162006New Orleans Saints1064133221.28260869570.640.630.022006Carolina Panthers882703050.88524590160.430.500.072006Atlanta Falcons792923280.89024390240.430.440.012006Tampa Bay Buccaneers4122113530.5977337110.230.250.022006Seattle Seahawks973353410.98240469210.490.560.072006St. Louis Rams883673810.96325459320.480.500.022006San Francisco 49ers792984120.72330097090.320.440.122006Arizona Cardinals5113143890.80719794340.380.310.062005New England Patriots1063793381.12130177510.570.630.062005Miami Dolphins973183171.00315457410.500.560.062005Buffalo Bills5112713670.73841961850.330.310.022005New York Jets4122403550.6760563380.280.250.032005Cincinnati Bengals1154213501.20285714290.610.690.082005Pittsburgh Steelers1153892581.5077519380.730.690.042005Cleveland Browns6102323010.77076411960.350.380.022005Baltimore Ravens6102652990.88628762540.430.380.052005Indianapolis Colts1424392471.77732793520.800.880.082005Jacksonville Jaguars1243612691.34200743490.670.750.082005Tennessee Titans4122994210.71021377670.310.250.062005Houston Texans2142604310.60324825990.230.130.112005Denver Broncos1333952581.53100775190.730.810.082005Kansas City Chiefs1064033251.240.620.630.002005San Diego Chargers974183121.33974358970.670.560.102005Oakland Raiders4122903830.75718015670.340.250.092005New York Giants1154223141.34394904460.670.690.022005Washington Redskins1063592931.22525597270.620.630.012005Dallas Cowboys973253081.05519480520.530.560.032005Philadelphia Eagles6103103880.79896907220.370.380.002005Chicago Bears1152602021.28712871290.650.690.042005Minnesota Vikings973063440.88953488370.430.560.132005Detroit Lions5112543450.73623188410.330.310.012005Green Bay Packers4122983440.86627906980.420.250.172005Carolina Panthers1153912591.50965250970.730.690.042005Tampa Bay Buccaneers1153002741.09489051090.550.690.132005Atlanta Falcons883513411.02932551320.520.500.022005New Orleans Saints3132353980.59045226130.220.190.042005Seattle Seahawks1334522711.6678966790.770.810.042005St. Louis Rams6103634290.84615384620.400.380.032005Arizona Cardinals5113113870.80361757110.370.310.062005San Francisco 49ers4122394280.5584112150.200.250.05

NBAMAD2006 NFL0.06TeamWinsLossesPFPARPredicted win percentageActual win percentageAbs errorNew England12.004.003852371.620.760.750.01N.Y. Jets10.006.003162951.070.540.630.08Buffalo7.009.003003110.960.480.440.04Miami6.0010.002602830.920.450.380.07Baltimore13.003.003532011.760.790.810.02Cincinnati8.008.003733311.130.570.500.07Pittsburgh8.008.003533151.120.570.500.07Cleveland4.0012.002383560.670.280.250.03Indianapolis12.004.004273601.190.600.750.15Tennessee8.008.003244000.810.380.500.12Jacksonville8.008.003712741.350.670.500.17Houston6.0010.002673660.730.320.380.05San Diego14.002.004923031.620.760.880.12Kansas City9.007.003313151.050.530.560.03Denver9.007.003193051.050.530.560.04Oakland2.0014.001683320.510.170.130.04Philadelphia10.006.003983281.210.610.630.01Dallas9.007.004253501.210.610.560.05N.Y. Giants8.008.003553620.980.490.500.01Washington5.0011.003073760.820.380.310.07Chicago13.003.004272551.670.770.810.04Green Bay8.008.003013660.820.390.500.11Minnesota6.0010.002823270.860.410.380.04Detroit3.0013.003053980.770.350.190.16New Orleans10.006.004133221.280.640.630.02Carolina8.008.002703050.890.430.500.07Atlanta7.009.002923280.890.430.440.01Tampa Bay4.0012.002113530.600.230.250.02Seattle9.007.003353410.980.490.560.07St. Louis8.008.003673810.960.480.500.02San Francisco7.009.002984120.720.320.440.12Arizona5.0011.003143890.810.380.310.062006-2007 NBAMAD0.05TeamPFPARatioPredicted win percentageActual win percentageAbs ErrorPhoenix Suns110.2102.91.070.7220.7440.022Golden State Warriors106.5106.91.000.4870.5120.025Denver Nuggets105.4103.71.020.5560.5490.008Washington Wizards104.3104.90.990.4800.5000.020LA Lakers Lakers103.3103.41.000.4970.5120.016Memphis Grizzlies101.6106.70.950.3360.2680.068Utah Jazz101.598.61.030.5990.6220.022Sacramento Kings101.3103.10.980.4390.3950.044Dallas Mavericks10092.81.080.7390.8170.078Milwaukee Bucks99.71040.960.3570.3410.016Toronto Raptors99.598.51.010.5350.5730.038Seattle Supersonics99.11020.970.4010.3780.023Chicago Bulls98.893.81.050.6730.5980.076San Antonio Spurs98.590.11.090.7760.7070.068New Jersey Nets97.698.30.990.4750.5000.025New York Knicks97.5100.30.970.4030.4020.000Houston Rockets9792.11.050.6730.6340.039Charlotte Bobcats96.9100.60.960.3730.4020.030Cleveland Cavaliers96.892.91.040.6390.6100.029Minnesota Timberwolves96.199.70.960.3750.3950.020Detroit Pistons9691.81.050.6510.6460.004Boston Celtics95.899.20.970.3810.2930.088Indiana Pacers95.6980.980.4150.4270.012LA Clippers Clippers95.696.10.990.4820.9520.471New Orleans Hornets95.597.10.980.4420.4760.033Philadelphia 76ers94.9980.970.3900.4270.037Orlando Magic94.8941.010.5290.4880.042Miami Heat94.695.50.990.4670.5370.069Portland Trail Blazers94.198.40.960.3490.3900.041Atlanta Hawks93.798.40.950.3360.3660.030TeamChicago BullsCleveland CavaliersDenver NuggetsHouston RocketsNew York KnicksNew Orleans HornetsUtah JazzDallas MavericksIndiana PacersGolden State WarriorsLA Lakers LakersWashington WizardsLA Clippers ClippersMiami HeatNew Jersey NetsOrlando MagicSan Antonio SpursDetroit PistonsPhoenix SunsBoston CelticsMinnesota TimberwolvesAtlanta HawksCharlotte BobcatsPhiladelphia 76ersSeattle SupersonicsMemphis GrizzliesToronto RaptorsPortland Trail BlazersMilwaukee BucksSacramento KingsLast Updated: Mon Apr 23 06:26:53 EDT 2007

TeamChicago BullsCleveland CavaliersDenver NuggetsHouston RocketsNew York KnicksNew Orleans HornetsUtah JazzDallas MavericksIndiana PacersGolden State WarriorsLA Lakers LakersWashington WizardsLA Clippers ClippersMiami HeatNew Jersey NetsOrlando MagicSan Antonio SpursDetroit PistonsPhoenix SunsBoston CelticsMinnesota TimberwolvesAtlanta HawksCharlotte BobcatsPhiladelphia 76ersSeattle SupersonicsMemphis GrizzliesToronto RaptorsPortland Trail BlazersMilwaukee BucksSacramento Kings