fitness tracker devices market study
TRANSCRIPT
Fitness Tracker Devices Market Study
Prepared by Kevin HuangDec 26, 2015
Page 2
What’s a fitness tracker device?
Page 3
Page 4
Q3 2015 wearables market share
Source: IDC
Page 5 Source: http://goo.gl/BnAiEF
Popularity of wearables will continue to mount
Page 6
Strong sales, but high abandonment
Source: http://goo.gl/rkGXs3
Page 7 Source: http://goo.gl/vdA0YB
Profiles of current wearables owners
Note: the survey was conducted before Apple Watch launch
Page 8 Source: http://goo.gl/vdA0YB
Profiles of current wearables owners
Page 9
Most desired fitness device characteristics
Source: http://goo.gl/6eMTi6
Page 10
Main influences on a health and fitness device purchase decision
Source: http://goo.gl/6eMTi6
Page 11
••••
•••••
Source: http://goo.gl/cx6lWJ
What to look for in a fitness band
Page 12
Best fitness trackers 2015
$49.99$249
$149.99$99.99
$79.98$249.99
$179.99$149.95
$14.99$24.99
Source: http://goo.gl/7Bfk4Z
Page 13
Best fitness trackers 2015
Page 14
Best fitness trackers 2015
Page 15
Best fitness trackers 2015
Page 16
Best fitness trackers 2015
Source: http://goo.gl/PCK6ed
Page 17 Source: http://goo.gl/hs6y0r
Page 18
Fitness tracker devices - FitbitZip one flex charge chargeHR Surge
MSRP
Available colors/sizes
$59.95 $99.95 $99.95 $129.95 $149.95 $249.95
4 3/S/L5/S/L4/S/L/XL102
Steps, calories, distance VClockSleep trackingAuto sleep trackingSilent wake alarm
VV
VV
V
V
V
V
V
VV
VV
Floor climbed V
Multi-sport
Caller IDContinuous heartrate
V
Active minutes
Text notifications
V
VVV
V
VV
VV
V
V
V
V
VV
VVV
V
Battery/life up to 7 days/GPS 10 hours5 days
V
Music control V
20.88mm x 24.36mm touch screenDisplay/Screen size OLED
V V V VVVAuto exercise recognition VV
GPS tracking V
OLED
7-10 days5 days10+ days6 months
LCD OLED LED
Page 19
Online advertising – Fitbit
Page 20
Fitness tracker devices - Jawbone
Up Move Up2 Up3 Up4MSRP
Available colors/sizes
$49.99 $99.99 $179.99 $199.99
5 299
Activity tracking VSteps/Calories burnedFood logging/Sleep trackingLeaderboards/DualsTime
VVV
V
V
Smart Alarm V
Heart health monitoring
Sync wirelesslyLED indicator
Idle alert/Auto sleep detection
VV
V
VBattery/life up to
V V VAdvanced sleep tracking
7 days7 days10 days6 months
VV V VVV V VV
V
V VV V
Time, status& progress
Notification& status
Notification& status Notification
& statusV V V V
Page 21
Online advertising – Jawbone
Page 22
Fitness tracker devices - Misfit
Shine2 Shine Speedo ShineMSRP
Available colors/sizes
$99.99 $99.99 $79.99 $169
2 319
Activity tracking VSteps
Distance
VVV
V
V
Vibrating Alarm V
Take picture/musiccontrol/advance slides
Sync wirelesslyLED indicator
VV
V
VBattery/life up to 6 months6 months6 months6 months
V V VVV V VV
V
V V V
Swarovski activity crystal slake set Ekocycle Shine
$119.99 $49.99
71
V VV
V
V6 months6 months
VVVVV
V
V
Flash
$19.99$83.99$24.99
4
VV
V
V6 months
VV
Link
$16.99$49.99
All come with 12 multicolor LEDs
Calories burned
Sleep trackingV
Water resistant Up to 50 metersWatch function (clock) V
Up to 50 metersV
Swim Laps
V V
VUp to 50 meters Up to 50 meters
VUp to 30 meters
VV
V VUp to 30 metersUp to 50 meters
V V V V
Page 23
Online advertising - Misfit
Page 24
Fitness tracker devices – Garmin & Microsoft
vivofit vivofit2 vivosmart vivosmart HRMSRP
Available colors/sizes
$69 & up $99.99 & up $149.99 $149.99
14 299
Display size WxH 25.5mmx10mmDisplay resolution, WxHTouch screenAccelerometerMusic control
Segmented LCD25.5mmx10mm
Segmented LCD34.4mmx3.5mm
Smart notifications (email, text…)
Steps, distance, sleep
Automatic sync
Calories burned
25.3mmx10.7mm160x68 pixels/OLED
V
Battery/life up to
V V VHeart rate monitor
5 days7 days1+ yr1+ yr
128x16 pixels/OLEDV VV V VV
V
VV V
Voptionaloptionaloptional
V V
V VVFloors climbed V
Microsoft Band 2$199.99
32mmx12.8mm320x128 pixels
/AMOLEDV V
48 hrs
VV
V
VV
VV
V
1
VV V
V
Page 25
Online advertising – Garmin & Others
Page 26
A fitness tracker brand to watch - Moov
Moov isn’t just a fitness tracker — it's a fitness coach
Page 27
Advertising – Moov Now
Page 28
Page 29 Source: http://goo.gl/Xu112n
Amazon fitness trackers product category page
Page 30
Activity type
Amazon fitness trackers product category page
Page 31
Best-selling fitness trackers - Amazon
Fitbit Garmin Jawbone Microsoft(as of Dec 20, 2015)
Page 32
Best Buy fitness trackers product category page
Page 33
Best Buy fitness trackers product category page
Page 34
Best-selling fitness trackers – Best Buy
Fitbit Garmin Samsung Misfit
(as of Dec 20, 2015)
Page 35
Walmart home health care product category page
Fitbit Misfit (as of Dec 20, 2015)
Page 36 Source: http://goo.gl/B71ylc
Fitbit will remain king of the activity trackers
Note: Fitbit said that nearly 80% of revenue came from the three most expensive products in the lineup that were launched within the past year, the Charge, Charge HR, and Surge.
Page 37
Competition will heat up for Fitbit
Then there's Garmin, a company known mostly for its portable navigation devices and another potential Fitbit rival. Its "focus on citizen athletes with wearables for running, golf, swimming, hiking, and aquatics kept the company well entrenched," according to IDC. "With a deep and broad product portfolio and multiple price points, Garmin has been well-positioned to cover numerous market segments and address the rising fitness tracker category with its Vivo sub-brand of bands and watches.“Garmin is already a popular choice among athletes. In a November 2015 Piper Jaffray survey of 221 U.S. athletes, 91 percent said they wear a watch when running, and 70 percent of those people named Garmin as their brand of choice. Fitbit was the top pick among people who wore dedicated fitness bands, with 73 percent of the market, according to the survey.
Page 38
Fitbit has some work to do. The newly-IPO'd incumbent of the fitness tracker castle was the biggest selling wearable in 2015, but there are pretenders plotting against it. From the far cheaper Xiaomi to the more innovative coaching style of Moov.The answer to the competition is a three-pronged protection of the crown: more advanced sensors to pick up the likes of stress and blood pressure, more insights from the gathered data for more specific coaching advice and, perhaps key, where other makers will struggle to match Fitbit, is bigger and better partnerships with fashion brands. Thought Fitbit was finished? Think again.
Competition will heat up for Fitbit
Page 39
Fitbit will add 'advanced sensors' to maintain a competitive edge
Fitbit also "plans to strike partnerships with fashion brands as it has done with Tory Burch in the past," Park told Time. Third-party developers could also integrate their software into more advanced Fitbit devices in the future.A Fitbit representative says the company is "looking at all of the critical imperatives for health and wellness, such as activity level, sleep, nutrition —and the connection to chronic diseases (diabetes, heart disease, obesity, and more) that impact the global population to see how we can further help people."
Page 40 Source: http://goo.gl/e68Apj
Page 41
Smartwatches won't kill off dedicated activity trackers
Page 42
Wearable apps will become more sophisticated — and expensive
However, with mounting pressure to keep activity-tracker prices competitive in 2016, it will be harder for the manufacturers to make profits, according to Henderek. One way to offset shrinking profit margins will be to charge monthly subscription fees for premium services and data, he says. Some companies already do. Fitbit's Premium Membership, for example, costs $50 a year, and gives subscribers personalized 12-week fitness plans and more detailed sleep reports, among other features.
Page 43
Athletes will embrace 'smart clothing'
Page 44
Niche wearables will become commonplace
Page 45
A focus on sleep in 2016
A wider variety of technology designed to not only track sleep but also improve it will hit the market. The "first-of-its-kind" Nuyu Sleep System ($500), for instance, adjusts the user's body temperature and warms him up as he goes to bed to help relax, then cools him off to increase the quality of sleep, according to the company.
Page 46
Activity trackers will remind more people to stand up
Page 47
Traditional watch makers will add 'smart' elements
Page 48
Hackers will target wearables
Nearly three-quarters of IT professional respondents believe the risk of hackers targeting organizations via IoT devices, such as activity trackers, is medium or high, according to ISACA's IT Risk/Reward Barometer study. In particular, IoT devices are convenient targets for fraudsters who want to use ransomware, according to Christos Dimitriadis, international president of ISACA and group director of information security at Intralot.
Page 49
Apple Watch 2The Apple Watch is the hottest wearable of the year.Perhaps, once again, the smart money is on the Apple Watch 2 to be another huge deal as the calendar ticks over. The first iPhone had no 3G or Bluetooth. What style gaps and feature flaws will the Apple Watch 2 set out to fill? We look forward to finding out.
Page 50
XiaomiMassive in 2015 and even bigger in 2016 is what we say. The Chinese juggernaut was second only to Fibit in wearable sales but, with its move across to the West timed to coincide with Fitbit's assault on Asia, it's going to be fascinating to see who turns up trumps.2016 will see the heart-rate monitor-toting Mi Band 1S, a ceramic tracker known as Amazefit and, surely, fruit from the long-standing rumour that Xiaomi will unveil its very first smartwatch. That will begin a shake-up like no other.
Page 51
Samsung Gear S2The Gear S2 represents Samsung's real arrival on the smartwatch scene. It's a 2015 smash but its real legacy will be how brightly it burns in 2016. Samsung Pay is set to land some time soon but the real boon is the news that you'll be able to use the S2 with an iPhone and other Android devices. That opens up an enormous opportunity for both the Korean giants and for those iOS users whom are so far unconvinced by what the Apple Watch can do. Expect the fireworks to fly when Apple realizes that Samsung is eating its lunch.
Page 52
Tag HeuerTag Heuer did it right - plenty of hype, the biggest of partners and an unsliceable wheel of cheese. All the these elements, plus old-fashioned good design, have meant that the Tag Heuer Connected is very credible and very good-looking smartwatch indeed, and it's promised new designs in 2016. It's the new blueprint that other smartwatch manufacturers are set to ape.
Page 53
Moto 360 SportThe New Year starts with this new sports watch on sale from December in Europe and January in the States. Only the second Android Wear watch to come with GPS, the Moto 360 Sport has a reasonable price tag, heart rate monitoring and, of course, also comes with all the usual smartwatch features.
Page 54
Striving to touch hearts and move markets, Frog has worked with Unicef in the Wearables for Good challenge as well as designing the hit Chinese smartwatch, Ticwatch. With clear ideas about the role wearables can play in society, expect big things from this ethical design and strategy firm which should be the hot company to work with next year.
Frog
Page 55
Pebble SmartstrapsIn an inspired move, the Pebble Time now comes with the ability to accept smartstraps containing whatever gadgets and chips third party developers can dream up. Expect a flow of them throughout 2016.
Page 56
TomTomGPS is integral to proper sports tracking, and TomTom is set to transform itself into a sports brand in 2016. With 10 different sports products across running, fitness and golf, TomTom has the stripes it deserves. It's already worked for Garmin; 2016 is TomTom time.
Page 57
XmetricsXmetrics is the hottest swimming wearable in what is otherwise a fairly tepid pool. Designed for pros and enthusiasts, it sits on the back of your head to minimize drag and measures a broader set of bio-mechanics than any other swimming wearable. Between kick-turn times, breath counts, stroke efficiency - plus all the usuals - all fed back to you in real time audio; it's a far more detailed and complete platform than anyone's made before. It should sell big.
Page 58
Smart coachingThe big frustration with fitness platforms is that those programs they assign to us are far too general and wearables in 2015 have begun to clue up to this. Moov has already tackled the problem and Fitbit has promised a bigger emphasis on coaching, too.
Page 59
AdidasWe're going to see even more sensors in play from the German company next year. After the $239m investment in Runtastic back in August, we're expecting big things from Adidas over the next 12 months.
Page 60
Under ArmourUnder Armour is going all out attack on the world of sports goods, and wearables are its weapon. It partnered with HTC for the (missing in action)Grip and back in February, the US giant scoffed up three of the biggest fitness platforms - Endomondo, MyFitnessPal and MapMyFitness -to make the biggest online fitness community.It's since struck deals with sports retailers using those three app tools as tempters such that it can gain customer shopping data. With that Under Armour can ensure it's creating the very smart sports clothing that people are looking for, exactly when they're looking for it.
Page 61
Clothing+ Peak+St. Petersburg-based tech company Jabil and its Peak+ programme is one of the biggest chances for getting smart clothing for sports done properly in 2016. Having acquired Clothing+, a Finnish expert that's been responsible for embedding the sensors into Adidas, Polar, Garmin and Philips equipment up until now, Jabil has assembled all the right pieces of the puzzle to bring this development on a pace. It's set to create the standard of how to build sensors into t-shirts and sports bras and how to record biometric data without sacrificing comfort.
Page 62
NuzzlePart pet tracker, part insurance company; Nuzzle is the GPS collar that goes the extra mile when it comes to looking after your furry friends. Activity monitoring and GPS mapping feature alongside data on favourite walks and wellness stats in the companion app. Fetch.
Page 63
Women's wearablesYes, yes, yes; can we say yes again? Yes! Is it because there's an unusual amount of female top brass in the wearable world or just that the gap in the market is so utterly cavernous? We're not sure. Either way, we've seen a hint of it already, but 2016 will be the year that women get wearable. Why? Because companies are actually starting to cater for them in both style and size.The Moto 360 2, the Apple Watch, the Pebble Time Round have clued up to it, plus there's the growing availability of the smart jewellery, smart clothing products and the quantified fertility sensors.
Page 64
Life-saving wearablesWearables' unique position on the body make them more personal than ever before, and offer the chance for them to become real life savers. CrowdfundedAthena smashed its goal thanks to its promise to protect women via an alarm and GPS alerts. Cheaper sensors also help tech companies build for the developing world. From storing medical records or even warning people about floods and earthquakes, wearables are set to make a difference in 2016.
Page 65
Kids' wearable toysDisney is leading the line with making children's wearables and its Playmation wearable toys are set to be hot for 2016 with Iron Man first out of the blocks. The idea, much like The Void, is to turn everyday place spaces like homes and gardens into virtual game environments that you can change with every update and purchase.
Page 66
Wearable data in sports coverageThe 2015 NFL season kicked off with all 1,696 players fitted with a set of RFID chips capable of sending back stats on position, pace, distance travelled and acceleration in real time. While it's great for sports scientists, 2016 will see TV networks wake up to the entertainment potential of the data. The NBA are supposedly keen and the right kind of kit is already in place in cycling and motorsports. The only question is whether the teams choose to grant access.
Page 67
VerilyThe newly rebranded Google Life Sciences already has some ambitious projects including its glucose-detecting contact lens. Google's also set to use tech to target cardiovascular disease, cancer and mental health problems too.
Page 68
Smartwatches untetheredAs smartwatches mature, the need for a constant digital umbilical chord to a smartphone starts to feel a little antiquated. The great separation is already underway with Android Wear and the Samsung Gear S2 both supporting e-SIMs, which tap into your pre-existing cell network at no extra cost. While the first untethered Android Wear device, the LG Watch Urbane Second Edition has been cancelled, we'd bet that every smartwatch brand with have an LTE version by the end of 2016.
Page 69
HearablesEars are perfect for biometric measurements and a natural home for all those virtual assistants from the likes of Google, Amazon and Apple. Microsoft is working on a hearable called Clip, Jabra's CEO is in on the game, we're expecting a second crack at the Moto Hint and Bragi Dash is just about to ship. You heard it here first.
Page 70
Low-cost wearablesNow that wearables have started to address the issues of design and function, it's now the cost that needs to be addressed. Xiaomi has shown that fitness tracking can be done on the cheap, and as the likes of Apple and Tag fight it out at the top, expect more manufacturers to do battle at the budget end of the market.
Page 71
Gesture controlGesture control is nothing new but it's only just starting to get good enough to enjoy. Forget the TV magic remotes, it's wearables that are embedding to make navigating your smartwatch, smartphone and everything else a whole lot more intuitive. Android Wear has introduced a few simple gesture controls, VR is going to need them to keep the experience natural and immersive and there are devices like the Myo armband looking to stake their reputations on it. Move over touchscreens. It's all about gestures.
Page 72
Mind reading techWearables have more or less bested the body, now it's time for them to master our minds. There have been only tentative steps with the likes of Thync and Muse but, with an interesting bunch of crowdfunded brain training start-ups ready to ship in 2016, it's going to be a fascinating time as we begin to get an idea of exactly what's going on inside our noodles.
Page 73
Medical grade consumer techDigital health is an enormous opportunity for both the private and public sectors. More accurate, more constant and better respected measures of individual's biometrics mean both money- and life-saving. If you're the NHS, you can axe millions from your costs by ensuring that people are compliant with drugs. If you're an insurance company, you can price your premiums accordingly. If you're a tech giant you can capitalize with your health platform and data sales. Whomever you are, it's a winning situation. The only haunting figure is the spectre of possible identity theft; no small deal but perhaps no big problem.
Page 74
InvisiblesWe've been talking about it for years but the rest of the world needs to catch up on invisibles. Sensory tech is far easier to design when you don't have to worry about it looking great, so there are tech tattoos in development from Chaotic Moon, New Deal Design and more which might only need power from your movement or the current across your skin. And what they could learn from your sweat, we're sure to find out. You might be wearing an invisible in 2016 but, then, we'll never know.
Page 75
Blocks
Page 76
Stress detectionWhat can fitness trackers record after steps and sleep? Well, 2016 will see your Fitbit keeping tabs on your stress levels as well as your activity.A trend towards clever coaching platforms piecing together our different biometrics - our sleep patterns, our heart-rate, even our galvanic skin response - and send users both warnings of stress levels and ways that, perhaps, we can try to reduce them.And stress is the focus for a number of companies. Fitbit is working on it, and Withings revealed that it had found stress metrics in its sensor data, which could feature on forthcoming devices to be announced at CES.
Page 77
Wearable paymentsThe infrastructure is here but people aren't paying from their wrists – yet. But wearable payments are set to become the norm in 2016. A few million Apple Watches in the wild, Samsung Pay, Apple Pay, bPay, plus MasterCard backing the likes of Ringly and Nymi mean that there are going to be more ways to pay, and more securely than ever. With so many of the big players behind it, it's sure to be the year for wearable payments.
Page 78
Smart home platformsThe smart home is here, but tying all these disparate gadgets together is still a challenge. Technologies like Zigbee, Z-Wave and Thread are now ready to sit in the background while the major players fight for control with their entire platform solutions.As we enter the ring in 2016, Samsung SmartThings, Apple HomeKit and Google Brillo will slug it out while the nimbler and more specialist Nest, Hive, Canary and co. will squabble over whose is the system to trust.It's the beginning of another format war of sorts. Which will you choose?
Page 79
Project JacquardWhen it comes to connected clothing, there isn't a bigger partnership than Levi's and Google. The two giants teamed up in May to develop a way to take the physical interface away from your devices and onto your clothes, and the fruits of the marriage should be seen in 2016.
Page 80
Sonny Vu & FossilNot only does this impressive partnership sound like a hip-hop act, it also represents two very big players in the field of wearable technology. Fossil got serious about smart kit when it launched the Q Founder and three fitness trackers. Buying up the already highly successful Misfit Wearables and its inspirational leader Sonny Vu for $260 million means absorbing a whole load of clever battery-saving and sleep tracking tech that it would have taken years to develop otherwise. Kept on as president of Misfit and CTO of all connected devices at Fossil, the voodoo that Vu does with that multinational weight behind him is going to be magic.
Page 81
Co-founder and CEO of Moov, Li has zipped from crowdfunded success to start-up superstar in less than two years. With her company now as firmly established as her reputation thanks to the fantastic Moov Now, the company is one of the hottest properties in fitness tech, and we'd be surprised if a huge sports brand doesn't swoop this year.
Meng Li & Moov
Page 82
Christina Mercando d'Avignon & RinglyRingly CEO Mercando d'Avignon is set for a storming 2016, after securing a fresh $5m in investment for her smart ring. With MasterCard mobile payment tech incoming along with new form factors, it looks like this lady's the diamond of smart jewelery.
Page 83
Intel's wearable tech reality showUnder the working title of America's Greatest Makers, and set to air in 2016, is the rather bonkers sounding concept of Intel's reality TV show where the contestants are inventors and their turns are their wearable tech innovations. There's a $1m prize at stake and a format that seems to work with everything from singing to pottery, so who'd bet against it?
Page 84
Future wearables will be less … wearable