first quarter grupo aeroportuario del centro norte...
TRANSCRIPT
First Quarter
2013
Grupo Aeroportuario del Centro Norte
Business and Strategy Overview
Our Location
13 airports and 1 hotel in 10 states in
the central-north of Mexico
* Based on 1Q12 passenger traffic
Pax: 3.0 million in 1Q13 (+4.6%)
Hotel NH T2
REX MTY
TAM
SLP
DGO
TRC
CUU
CJS
CUL
ZCL
ACA
ZIH
MZT
OMA holds 50-year
concessions to operate 13
airports; the concessions’
term started in 1998.
2
Mexico’s leading construction and infrastructure operations
company, with important operations in Latin America and
Europe.
Ownership structure
1SETA: Servicios de Tecnología Aeroportuaria S.A. de C.V. 2 includes 872,473 repurchased shares. As of March 31, 2012.
Company that specializes in airport management around the world,
as well as participation in specialized management.
Aeroinvest
SETA1
Aéroports de Paris Management
25.5% 74.5%
16.7%
41.9%
Public Float2 41.4%
3
Main strategic actions
Increase aeronautical revenues
Air traffic
development
and
connectivity
Increase non-aeronautical revenues
Improve
passenger
experience
Diversification
Su
sta
ina
ble
co
mp
an
y
Op
era
tio
nal, s
ecu
rity
, an
d
eff
icie
nc
y le
ad
ers
hip
Current
Industry
outlook
Passenger traffic evolution
20 months of consecutive growth
+5.9% +1.6% +0.6% -18.1%
10.6
11.8
14.2 14.1
11.5 11.6 11.812.5
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 (udm nov-dic '11)
mil
lon
es
de
pa
xM
illio
n p
asse
nge
rs
12.6
6.3% growth from
LTM12 to LTM13
LTM13
12.7
Airline % Change
1Q12 vs 1Q13
AviancaTaca New entry
Magnicharter +71%
VivaAerobus +35%
US Airways +26%
Volaris +24%
American Airlines +24%
Aeromar +7%
Airline Participation in 1Q13
(2,498,109 pax)
(551,281 pax)
Domestic Traffic
International Traffic
+5.1%
+2.6% 7
Aircrafts available
There is still a 64 aircraft deficit compared to June 2008.
Airline Average
age
(years)
Total
number of
aircrafts
Aeroméxico 9.1 115
Interjet 6.6 37
Vivaaerobus 21.8 18
Volaris 4.6 43
Aeromar 16.2 16
Magnicharters 26.6 12
Existing Airlines
Airline Jun-
08
Mar-
13
New
planes
Interjet 11 37 26
Volaris 17 43 26
Aeromexico 94 115 21
Vivaaerobus 7 18 11
Aeromar 14 16 2
Magnicharters 5 12 7
Global Air 4 2 (2)
Subtotal 152 243 91
Lost Aircrafts
Jun-08 Mar-13
Mexicana 78 0
Alma 15 0
Aerocalifornia 22 0
Avolar 8 0
Aladia 3 0
Aviacsa 26 0
Nova Air 3 0
Subtotal 155 0
-200
-160
-120
-80
-40
0
40
80
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350 Avio
nes Perd
ido
s vs. Gan
ado
s
Avi
on
es D
isp
on
ible
s
Aviones disponibles
Aviones perdidos - Aerolineas que dejaron de operar
Aviones nuevos - Aerolíneas existentes
(155)
80307
232
Jun ’08 Mar ’13
91
Industry outlook
Fleet expansion plans of major mexican carriers Source: airlines
Airline Fleet Expansion plans
Aeroméxico • B737, B767, B777
• E145, E190
115 Added 1 B737-800 in 1Q13 under lease agreement. Received 10 E190 planes in 2012, of an order of 20 placed in 2011. It confirmed an order to buy 90 Boeing 737-8 and 10 787-9 planes.
Interjet • A320 37 In July it will start operations with Sukhoi regional jet. In 2013 it will receive 9 regional aircrafts and 6 more A320. Recently announced an order of 40 A320Neo aircrafts.
VivaAerobus • B737-300 18 In negotiation with Boing to make a fleet renovation in upcoming years with completely new aircrafts. Expected increase in fleet of 2 or 3 aircrafts in 2013.
Volaris • A319, A320 43 For the next 15 years it will receive 44 A320 Neo Aircrafts.
Aeromar • ATR42-300 • ATR42-500
16 Has dded 2 planes in 2013. It will keep increasing its fleet with ATR aircrafts of more capacity.
Maximum Rates –
Formula Per Airport
n
nnn
n
nr
OWLMRTVNPV
)1(
)(15
1
NPV: Net Present Value, reference value of airport.
MR: Maximum Rate used to cap revenues from aeronautical services per
workload unit.
WL: Number of workload units forecasted per year (explicit forecast) in
the Master Development Plan.
O: Total outcome per year:
a. OPEX Operational costs anda expenditures (before depreciation and
amortization)
b. CAPEX Capital expeditures.
r: Discount rate.
n: Time period, every year included in the explicit forecast.
TV: Terminal Value, discounted value of all future cash flows beyond the
15th year.
Air traffic
Development
strategy
Four main actions to develop air traffic
1.- Develop a HUB in Monterrey airport
2.- Enhance the number of low cost passengers
3.- More aggressive incentive policy for new flights
4.- Increase the number of international flights
Four main actions to develop air traffic
1.- Develop a HUB in Monterrey Airport Current route network in Monterrey airport.
Chicago Tijuana
Cd. Juárez
Culiacán
Las Vegas
Atlanta
Guadalajara
Cancún
Hermosillo
Villahermosa
Dallas
Veracruz Bajío
Acapulco
Houston
Toluca
Mazatlán
Mérida
Querétaro
México
Tampico
Chihuahua
Detroit
Los Cabos
Oaxaca
Brownsville
San
Antonio
Tuxtla Gutiérrez
Panamá
Orlando
Costa Rica
La Habana
Monterrey
Puerto Vallarta
Conectivity in Monterrey increased to Cuba, Panama and Costa Rica. Potential for NY and Miami.
Four main actions to develop air traffic
1.- Develop a HUB in Monterrey Airport
Monterrey
Detroit
Toluca
El Paso
Laredo
New routes (january 2013)
New routes (april 2013)
Morelia
Chicago
Bajío
Routes that started in 2012
OMA proposed 35 potential routes to Aeroméxico, out of which 7 have started or will start in 2013.
E170 and E190 favor conectivity for regional routes.
Four main actions to develop air traffic
Three main ways to increase low cost passengers:
1.- Global incentives offer
2.- Incentives policy with CANAERO
3.- Constant and direct promotion with airlines to promote new routes.
2.- Increase the number of low cost passengers
Four main actions to develop air traffic
Occupancy factor by airline 2007 – 2012 (ene – sep)
2.- Increase the number of low cost passengers
Mexicana suspension mainly beneffited Aeromexico and Interjet.
During 2012, Vivaaerobus and Volaris increased their load factor trend in OMA
airports.
Year Aeroméxico G Grupo Mexicana Interjet Viva Aerobus Volaris
2007 58% 51% 65% 66% 68%
2008 62% 55% 68% 72% 70%
2009 65% 58% 64% 75% 64%
2010 69% 60% 71% 71% 74%
2011 74% 73% 74% 69%
2012 (Jan-Sep) 69% 73% 79% 72%
Year Aeroméxico G Grupo Mexicana Interjet Viva Aerobus Volaris
2007 58% 51% 65% 66% 68%
2008 62% 55% 68% 72% 70%
2009 65% 58% 64% 75% 64%
2010 69% 60% 71% 71% 74%
2011 74% 73% 74% 69%
2012 (Jan-Sep) 69% 73% 79% 72%
Year Aeroméxico G Grupo Mexicana Interjet Viva Aerobus Volaris
2007 58% 51% 65% 66% 68%
2008 62% 55% 68% 72% 70%
2009 65% 58% 64% 75% 64%
2010 69% 60% 71% 71% 74%
2011 74% 73% 74% 69%
2012 (Jan-Sep) 69% 73% 79% 72%
Year Aeroméxico G Grupo Mexicana Interjet Viva Aerobus Volaris
2007 58% 51% 65% 66% 68%
2008 62% 55% 68% 72% 70%
2009 65% 58% 64% 75% 64%
2010 69% 60% 71% 71% 74%
2011 74% 73% 74% 69%
2012 (Jan-Sep) 69% 73% 79% 72%
Four main actions to develop air traffic
3.- More aggressive incentive policy
A) New routes: 50% discount on landing fees, platform and jet bridges for the first 6
months of operation.
B) New frequencies: 50% discount on landing fees, platform and jet bridges for the first 6
months of operation depending on the non-peak hours of the airport for domestic
flights and 80% discount for international flights. From 50%, since November of 2011.
C) Marketing: one billboard at the airport and a promotional video of the new route in the
monitors that are inside the terminal building. Each marketing campaign has a 2
month period.
Four main actions to develop air traffic
3.- More aggressive incentive policy
Grant a 30% discount on TUA for national routes and 40% discount
on international routes that start in 2012.
Grant an incentive on incremental traffic volume: A) Turistic Airports
Year Airports % Growth Incentive
2012 ACA,MZT,ZIH, ZCL At least 5% 17%
At least 10% 20%
At least 15% 23%
At least 20% 26%
B) Regional, Border and Metropolitan Airports
Year Airports % Growth Incentive
2012 CJS,CUU,CUL,DGO,MTY,REX,SLP,TAM,TRC At least 5% 12%
At least 10% 15%
At least 15% 18%
At least 20% 21%
Four main actions to develop air traffic
Chicago Los Angeles
Phoenix
Culiacán
Las Vegas
Atlanta Dallas
Zihuatanejo
Houston
Mazatlán
Chihuahua
Detroit
Brownsville
San Antonio
Panamá
Orlando
Costa Rica
La Habana Monterrey
4.- Increase the number of international routes
Durango
Vancouver
Calgary Edmonton
San Luis Potosí
Tampico
Torreón
Zacatecas
Acapulco
OMA currently has 35 internacional routes.
Four main actions to develop air traffic
4.- Increase the number of international routes
Mazatlán
Los Angeles
Oakland Denver
San Antonio
Houston
New routes 2012
For the winter season of 2013,
Caljet, an airline charter based in
San Diego, will operate 5
destinations, 4 of them new from
Mazatlan.
Caljet operates 8 B737-400 for
150 passengers in a 2 type
configuration.
Current routes
Commercial
Strategy
Business Strategy Commercial activity development
Air traffic – Non Aeronautical Revenue (relation)
110 125 165
219 261
298 342
371 369
492
589
721
8.8 8.3 8.6 9.5
10.3 11.5
13.9 13.7
11.5 11.6 11.8 12.7
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 UDM 2012
INA (MDP)
PAX (M)
NAR (Ps.M)
2013
Non Aeronautical Revenues distribution
Commercial 57%
Other non aeronautical
43%
Total Non Aeronautical:
Ps. 689.5 million
Total Commercial:
Ps. 390.1 million
Parking 32%
Advertising 21% Food &
Beverages 10%
Retail Stores 10%
Car Rental 10%
Duty Free 3%
Time share 3% Passenger
services & others
11%
Business Strategy Commercial activity development
Commercial strategic focus
‒ Diferentiation
‒ Global and local recognized brands
‒ Marketing campaigns
‒ Space optimization
‒ Premium product introduction
‒ Alternative advertizing innovation
Innovative Concepts
Alternative Advertising +10% 1Q13 vs. 1Q12 Accounted for 21% of commercial revenue in 1Q13
Retail Stores, Restaurants and Duty Free
22% of total commercial
revenue
Commercial spaces occupation 11,783 sq.
meters in 2009 to 15,216 sq. meters in 1Q13.
+29% commercial space
+5% revenues 1Q13 vs 1Q12
95% occupation
Parking
22% of commercial revenues
Premium – Short and Long Stay– New Low Cost –
Airport Community New strategy of sales.
Commercial passenger services
Enhance passenger
experience
+123% 1Q13 vs 1Q12
Diversification
Strategy
Business Strategy New businesses and diversification
Diversification: Take advantage of land reserve
Diversification
Offices
Commercial and retail
Industrial and Logistics
Hotels
Intermodal center
Service stations
NH Hotel Mexico City’s Airport (Million Pesos)
Occupancy
1Q13
Revenues:
Rooms 31.8
Food & Beverage 7.4
Others 1.2
Total revenues 40.3
GOP: 65.9%
EBITDA: 19.2
47.6%
6%
18% NH Hotel will operate its own parking lot
Average Daily Rate
$ / night
Occupancy & Average Daily Rate
1,350
1,400
1,450
1,500
1,550
70%
75%
80%
85%
Occupancy Average Daily Rate
OMA Carga - Key Highlights
0
2,000
4,000
6,000
8,000
10,000
1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q
'00
0 P
eso
s
2012 2011 2013
OMA Carga • Revenue increased:
• 1Q13 vs 1Q12 – 40%
Land
23%
Land
46%
Air77%
Air
54%
2011 2012
Volume Distribution
1. New initiatives (FFCC, Customer Service)
2. Revenues per kilo Increasing
Main Drivers:
Imports, Security and Ground business conectivity
Business covered
Maneuvers (Load & Unload shipments)
Warehousing
X Ray screening
Cross dock and temporary warehousing
Import – Export Process
Secure & Control – Bonded Area
Driving growth
• MULTIMODAL: driving the "next gen"
performance
• "Clustering" for competitive advantage: AIR-
GROUND-FFCC
• Diversification: Logistics hub, Free Trade
Zones, Industrial Parks
Monterrey airport Hotel
Hotel business in other airports
‒ Monterrey airports. Complete studies, looking for partners
‒ Culiacán airport. Studies in process
Terminal B
Terminal A
Hotel
MTY Hotel – Feasibility studies complete 120-140 rooms
Monterrey Hotel negociation highlights: • Interested investor groups • Investment structure in process • Investment analysis
Marketing and financial studies complete
Cargo City Monterrey
Cargo City MTY – Only terminal in Mexico for logistic services
Development of a planned logistics
terminal integrating all the stakeholders of
the logistic supply chain: customs,
customs agents, transports, etc.
1,045 sq. m offices 98% occupation
Current situation :
• Allocated 61% of the Ground Level spaces.
Strategy:
• Replicar el éxito de cargo city ofreciendo espacios en renta acondicionados
• Brokers participation – New brands in target.
• Target: International companies looking for corporate offices in Apodaca
• Satisfy existing demand at competitive prices
Projects in progress – Strip Mall Monterrey Airport
On Going Projects - Monterrey’s Airport
Real Estate Master Plan
Urban design will cover
• Total area: 66 has
• 42 has:
• Retail
• Industrial park
• Near to terminal zone
On Going Projects - Gas Station Monterrey Gas Station Construction Works
Opening date: December 24, 2012
First rent payment: December 2012
Project Render
Gas Station and Convenience Stores Other Developments
Tampico:
Local gas and tire merchant signed a contract:
• 3,200 sqm of land in lease
• Two phases:
• Convenience store and gas
station
• Commercial spaces to car related
business.
Monterrey – Convenience store at gas station:
• Contract in process
• 725 sqm land in lease.
• Term: 15 years
Project Portfolio
Industrial & Logistic
• Chihuahua – Industrial park
• Mazatlan- Multimodal logistic and cargo park
• Durango, San Luis Potosí, Zacatecas- Industrial parks, warehouses & Free Trade Zones.
• Reynosa- Fiscal maneuvers park adjacent to bonded area. Retail developments
• Culiacan, Ciudad Juarez, Tampico & Torreon – Hotel & Commercial area
• Convention and meeting room facilities in NH Hotel T2 Mexico City Airport
• Retail & office developments in Monterrey
Possible future proyects
4. Sustainability and
Human Capital
‒Quality: ISO 9001
‒Environment: ISO 14001
‒Environment : Environmental quality PROFEPA
‒Occupational health and security: OHSAS 18001
‒Occupational health and security : Automanagement programSTPS
‒Sustainability: Part of Sustainability Index by the Mexican Stock Exchange
‒Sustainability: Socially responsible company, by CEMEFI and AliaRSE
‒ Corporate Sustainability: Corporate transparency Index
‒Great Place to Work Mexico: Ranked top 100 by the GPTW Institute.
‒Passenger satisfaction: Mazatlán airport qualified by Airports Council
International as the best in its category for Latinamerica
Sustainability and Human Capital
Our certifications
Results and guidance
Consistent Revenue and EBITDA Growth
46
Revenues (Excluding construction revenues, Ps. Million)
EBITDA (Adjusted EBITDA for years 2010 - 2013, Ps. Million)
53
7
52
5
60
9
75
2
87
7
1,0
98
1,2
73
1,1
83
1,0
53
87
0
1,0
84
1,5
11
1,5
53
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 LTM13
Strategy Execution
Strategy execution in all lines of action
+4.6% traffic increase 1Q13 vs 1Q12
International traffic recovery
MTY Connectivity
Non Aeronautical Revenues maximization (1Q13):
95% occupancy in commercial spaces
21 quarters with NAR / PAX growth
+9% Non Aeronautical Revenues / PAX (w/o NH)
+47% commercial area since 2005
Diversification: 29% of Non Aeronautical Revenues
+40% OMA Carga Revenues
+5% NH Hotel Revenues
* Acummulated 9M2012
Strong Growth of Total Revenues First Quarter 2013
48
Non-Aeronautical
26%
Aeronautical
74%
Ps.788 million (+11.8%)
1Q13 Revenue Mix *
517
184
86
Excluding construction revenues: Ps.701 million (+10.7%)
481
152
71
1Q12 1Q13
+8%
+21%
Construction Revenues
Non Aeronautical Revenues
Aeronautical Revenues
1Q13
Ps.544 M
1Q12
Ps.527 M
49
Maximizing Regulated Revenues
19%
60%
22% 18%
23%
59%
Aeronautical Revenue / Pax increased reached 170.7 MXN in 1Q13
Aeronautical Revenues:
+7.5% in 1Q13
Total traffic increased +4.6%
Full year incentives payment
Airport services, leases and access rights
Domestic Passenger Charge
International Passenger Charge
Non Aeronautical Revenues increased 21% to Ps.184 million in 1Q13
NH T2 Hotel maturity (+5%) Growth of OMA Carga (+40%)
In 1Q13 15 new commercial spaces, advertizing, communication, passenger
services and other 50
Improving the Passenger Experience Expansion of Commercial Activities
NAR Composition
Non Aeronautical Revenues / PAX increased 15.5% to 60.7 MXN in 1Q13.
NH Hotel 23%
Parking 19%
Advertising 12%
Airline Leasing 8%
Restaurants 6%
Cost recoveries
6%
Space Leasing 6%
Car Rental 5%
OMA Carga 5%
Baggage Screening
4%
Other 6%
* Retail, Duty Free, and other leases such as VIP lounges
51
Operating Costs and Expenses
Million pesos 1Q12 1Q13 %
Change
Total operating costs and
expenses
440 485 10.3
Cost of services 142 155 9.2
Maintenance provision 41 41 (0.0)
G & A 101 106 5.3
Construction cost 71 87 21.9
Concession tax 31 33 9.0
Technical Assistance
Fee
15 17 10.5
Depreciation &
Amortization
45 49 9.9
Factors:
Start of operations of baggage
screening services.
Security services contract increase.
Concession tax and technical
assistance increased due to higher
revenues.
Cost
control
initiatives
► Increase efficiency in
conjunction with
suppliers
► Strengthen audit and
cost control system
► Develop a savings
culture program
► Encourage and
implement employee
recommendations
309 352
1Q12 1Q13
EBITDA Adjusted EBITDA
350 393
1Q12 1Q13
52
Growth in Cash Flow Generation
38.9% 55.3% 45.2% 56.0%
OMA achieved 56.0% in Adjusted EBITDA Margin, an important increase in
cash flow generation.
OMA calculates Adjusted EBITDA, which further adjusts EBITDA for the
maintenance provision, construction revenue, and construction expense.
The Adjusted EBITDA margin is calculated against the sum of aeronautical
and non-aeronautical revenues.
• Data in million pesos
53
Return on Equity
Important improvement in recent years
11% 10%
13%
0%
2%
4%
6%
8%
10%
12%
14%
2010 2011 2012
ROE (bajo IFRS desde 2010)
(Bajo IFRS desde 2010)
Visibility Capex, Dividends
and guidance
2013
CAPEX through 2015
•Programmed MDP Investments 2011-2015 = 2,745.2 million MXN*
•Additional Strategic investments of 150 – 200 million MXN per year
•Some MDP investments could be deferred for efficiency purposes
55
New Master Investment Program (MDP) oriented to improve quality of services
Approved MDP* MDP without major maintenance*
* In million pesos of December 31, 2009.
Baggage Handling Services investment
Year Annual Dividend or Capital Reduction
(million MXN)
Payout ratio
Dividend Yield (Dividend per share /
Closing price)
2005 424 115% n.a.
2006 430 95% 3.6%
2007 434 n.m. 3.2%
2008 400 74% 5.2%
2009 400 85% 4.6%
2010 400 74% 4.2%
2011 500 81% 5.7%
2012 1,200 147% 8.5%
Seven consecutive years of paying a cash dividend
Stable dividend policy
56
Distributing value
Guidance 2013
57
Guidance 2013
Line Real 2012 Expected 2013
Traffic growth 7.6% 3.5% - 4.5%
Aeronautical Revenue + Non Aeronautical revenue Growth
14.7% 8% - 10%
Adjusted EBITDA Margin 53.6% 50.5% - 52.0%
Capital Expenditures MDP Ps.600 Million Ps.700 – 800 Million
OMA is providing this outlook based on internal estimates. A number of factors could have a significant effect on the estimates of
passenger traffic, revenue growth, Adjusted EBITDA, and Capex. These include changes in airline expansion plans, ticket prices
and other factors affecting traffic volumes, the evolution of commercial and diversification projects, and economic conditions, among
others. OMA can provide no assurance that the Company will achieve these results.
Leverage
1.0%
99.0%
USD
MXN
59
Financial Ratios (million MXN)
Fuente: OMA UAFIDA Ajustada excluye provisión de mantenimiento, ingreso y costo de construcción. Deuda a corto plazo= prestamos a corto plazo + porción circulante del pasivo a largo plazo Deuda a largo plazo = deuda a largo plazo Deuda total = deuda a largo plazo + deuda a corto plazo Deuda neta = deuda total – efectivo y equivalentes de efectivo
Fuente: OMA
Debt Composition
2011 2012
Cash and cash equivalents 524 1,152
Short term debt 29 584
Long term debt 1,535 1,510
Total debt / Adjusted EBITDA 1.3x 1.38x
Net debt / Adjusted EBITDA 0.83x 0.62x
Adjusted EBITDA/ Interest 12.7x 14.6x
Total debt/ Total assets 17% 21%
Sound Balance Sheet
Fuente: OMA Nota: nivel de caja mínimo MXN$150mm Deuda total incluye deuda de corto plazo e interés devengados no pagados
1Q 2013 debt break-down (mdp) Net debt / Adjusted EBITDA
Fuente: OMA
-1.8 -1.7
-0.1
0.4 0.8 0.8 0.6 0.6
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 1Q13
3,619 2,893
727
Total Debt Cash Net Debt
60
Debt /EBITDA Comparables
Debt /EBITDA Comparables
Fuente: Últimos reportes Financieros de cada compaña, calculados en moneda local OMA UAFIDA Ajustada.
-0.03 -0.55
1.33 2.04 2.14 2.33 3.69 3.34 4.97
2.24 4.13
3.09
7.00 7.33
14.37 Net debt /EBITDA Average 3.07x
GAP aquired additional debt of 287.8 million pesos in december 2012 that is not considered for being 3Q 2012 numbers.
Possilbe additional debt for ASUR of 410 mdd.
AENA’s ratio is GROSS DEBT/EBITDA. It’s shown as a reference and is not included in the average.
Long term debt profile
Amount: 1.3 Bn Pesos
Term: 5 years
Payment: Bullet at the end
Variable Rate: TIIE +70 bps
Ratings: mxAA+ by S&P and AA+ (mex) by Fitch
Uses of funds: Master Development Plan Capex investments and debt refinancing
OMA11
Amount: 1.5 Bn Pesos
Term: 10 years
Payment: Bullet at the end
Fixed Rate: 6.47%
Ratings: mxAA+ by S&P and AA+ (mex) by Fitch
Uses of funds: Master Development Plan Capex investments and debt refinancing
OMA13 LT
Amount: 100 million Pesos
Term: 28 days. To be re-issued
Payment: Bullet at the end. To be re-issued.
Fixed Rate: 4.17%
Ratings: mxA-1+ by S&P and F1 by Fitch
Uses of funds: Working Capital
OMA
13 ST
OMA has placed two long term bonds in the past two years.
The debt profile is as follows:
Macroeconomic Factors to take into
account
Bullish Mexican Outlook on Internal & External Factors
63
2
Factores Internos Positivos Factores Externos Positivos
1
3
4
5
6
1
2
3
Low Debt Leverage and Low Fiscal Deficit
Healthy Banking System
Trade Openness
Population Demographics
Economic and Employment Growth-Oriented Government
Macroeconomic Stability
Global Economic Recovery Increases Mexican Exports
Higher Remittances due to an Expected US Housing Recovery
Growing amount of Foreign Direct Investment (“FDI”) as Mexico increases even more its importance as North America’s key manufacture hub
64
Young Population with an Average of 27 years.
Demographic bonus
US$ per Hour ULC (1Q 2006=100, US$, 5QMA)
Favorable macroeconomic and demographic factors
0.0
0.5
1.0
1.5
2.0
2.5
2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
Mexico China
____________________
Source: BofAML Research, Bloomberg, INEGI and Banxico.
Ag
e
The gap in unit labor costs between Mexico and China
has been closing. Mexico consolidates as manufacturing
HUB
65
Growth potential in the sector
Source: Secretaria de Comunicaciones y Transportes
Source: Economist Intelligence Unit Source: Airbus (Market Analysis)
Source: Airbus Market analysis, CIA World Factbook y World Economic Forum Global Competitiveness Report
Source: Airbus Market analysis, CIA World Factbook y World Economic Forum Global Competitiveness Report
Bus - Economy 59.0%
Air 1.6%
Bus – Luxury and first class
20.6%
Train traffic 0.9%
Sea traffic 0.4%
Bus - Tourist 17.5%
Anual expected Population Growth (%) Compound Anual Growth Rate for Domestic traffic ,
2012-2031
Flights per Capita (Anual Average)
Available Seats per Km per Capita
Traffic in Mexico by travel type
Annex
Proposed new routes
Monterrey
Zacatecas
Puebla
Durango
Chicago
Morelia San Luis Potosí
Torreón Miami
Los Angeles
Cancún
Veracruz
Proposed routes for Aeromexico 8 routes proposed for 2013
Current propose routes
New routes 2012
New frequencies 2012
Proposed new routes
Proposed routes for
Vivaaerobus 7 routes proposed for 2013
Torreón
Reynosa
Tampico
México
Guadalajara
Chihuahua
Ciudad Juárez
Monterrey
Cuernavaca
Mazatlán
Bajío
Tuxtla Gutierrez
Tijuana
Cancún
Zacatecas
Acapulco
Culiacán
Mexicali
Demand elasticity continues to be strong in the air transport industry, we are seeking to grow in markets like CUL-MXL, MEX-ZCL, TAM-CUN.
Current propose routes
New routes 2012
New frequencies 2012
Proposed routes for Interjet 25 routes proposed for 2013
Monterrey
México
Tijuana
Cancún
Cd. Juárez
Torreón
Chihuahua
Mazatlán
San Luis Potosí
Zacatecas
Zihuatanejo
Guadalajara
Los Angeles
Mexicali
Culiacán Miami
San Antonio
Mérida
Villahermosa
Huatulco
Los Cabos
La Habana
Proposed new routes
Sukoi Superjet 100 permits to operate an important combination of regional routes.
Current proposed routes
New routes 2012
Proposed new routes
Guadalajara
Culiacán
Los Ángeles
Mexicali
Cancún
Tijuana
Chihuahua
Ciudad Juárez
Durango Mazatlán
México
Torreón Monterrey
Hermosillo
Proposed routes for Volaris 8 routes proposed for 2013
The 8 proposed new routes takes into account the potential GDL and TIJ to OMA’s airports.
Current propose routes
New routes 2012
New frequencies 2012
Proposed new routes
Torreón
Reynosa
Tampico
San Luis Potosí
Cd. Victoria
Harlingen
Guadalajara
Chihuahua
Ciudad Juárez
Zihuatanejo
Proposed routes for Aeromar 6 routes proposed for 2013
ATR42 planes allow to work with a limited market like the routes TAM-REX, REX-CVM o SLP-CUU-CJS.
Current proposed routes
New routes 2012