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First Order Stochastic Modelling of Nuclear Effluent Flux in the Oceans of the British Isles Eoghan Joseph Totten University of California, Berkeley & Imperial College London Slide 2 Background & Motivation > 10 nuclear fission sites on British mainland United Kingdom population density: 255.km -2 Comparison: California, 95 km -2 ; Massachusetts, 331.3km -2 Ireland: 65km -2 Hypothesis 1) Significant exposure to (above ambient) radiation: cancer incidence correlation Hypothesis 2) Corollary feedback/external mechanisms/system drivers Current deficit renders Irish Sea as material sink Slide 3 File to run : freshnuclear7.m Slide 4 Slide 5