finantial ratio analysis for non financial managers extraordinario world bank 122 slides

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  • 8/13/2019 Finantial Ratio Analysis for Non Financial Managers Extraordinario World Bank 122 Slides

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    WORLD BANK

    FINANCIAL RATIO ANALYSIS FORFINANCIAL RATIO ANALYSIS FOR

    NON-FINANCIAL MANAGERSNON-FINANCIAL MANAGERS

    DR. KHALED FOUAD SHERIFDR. KHALED FOUAD SHERIF

    SECTOR MANAGERSECTOR MANAGER

    EASTERN EUROPE & CENTRALEASTERN EUROPE & CENTRAL ASIA DEPARTMENT ASIA DEPARTMENT

    THE WORLD BANKTHE WORLD BANK

    WASHINGTON DCWASHINGTON DC Web: http:\\www.!he"#$.%'Web: http:\\www.!he"#$.%'

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    WORLD BANK

    FINANCIAL RATIO ANALYSIS FORFINANCIAL RATIO ANALYSIS FOR

    NON-FINANCIAL MANAGERSNON-FINANCIAL MANAGERS

    Introduction to Balance Sheets and Income Statements:Introduction to Balance Sheets and Income Statements:

    The balance sheet summarizes the financial position ofan organization at a given moment, it is a snapshot of

    the firm. The balance sheet reflects the status of the

    organizations assets, (the economic resources owned

    b the organization!, liabilities (debts owned tocreditors!, and e"uit (the owners investment in the

    organization!.

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    WORLD BANK

    FINANCIAL RATIO ANALYSIS FORFINANCIAL RATIO ANALYSIS FOR

    NON-FINANCIAL MANAGERSNON-FINANCIAL MANAGERS #s its name implies the balance sheet should

    indicate that these elements are in balance.

    Assets = Liabilities + Equity

    This fundamental relationship must alwas e$ist,

    because the assets represent the things owned b

    the organization and the liabilities and e"uitindicate how much was supplied b both creditors

    and owners.

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    WORLD BANK

    FINANCIAL RATIO ANALYSIS FORFINANCIAL RATIO ANALYSIS FOR

    NON-FINANCIAL MANAGERSNON-FINANCIAL MANAGERS

    In contrast to the balance sheet, the income

    statement shows the organization%s financial

    progress over a given period of time. The incomestatement is also based on e"uation:

    Revenues - Expenses = Proit !or Loss"

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    WORLD BANK

    FINANCIAL RATIO ANALYSIS FORFINANCIAL RATIO ANALYSIS FOR

    NON-FINANCIAL MANAGERSNON-FINANCIAL MANAGERS

    &evenues are the resources, primaril cash, coming into the organization

    as a result of goods sold or services rendered. '$penses are the

    resources used b the organization to provide goods or services. If

    revenues are greater than e$penses, the business has realized a profit.If e$penses e$ceed revenue the business has realized a loss from

    operations. #s ou read the following detailed descriptions of balance

    sheets and income statements, eep in mind that there is a direct and

    important relationship between the two. The profit (or loss! realized b a

    business over a period of time affects the amount of e"uit. '"uit in abusiness comes from two sources: )irect investment b the owners and

    profits from business operations. Therefore, the bridge between the

    income statement and the balance sheet is in the relationship between

    e"uit and profit or loss.

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    WORLD BANK

    FINANCIAL RATIO ANALYSIS FORFINANCIAL RATIO ANALYSIS FOR

    NON-FINANCIAL MANAGERSNON-FINANCIAL MANAGERS

    Income Statements:

    '$hibit * shows a sample income statement (see ne$t page!

    for a period covering +anuar * to )ecember *, *--. The

    compan in "uestion earned revenues from two sources: /et sales: #ll sources earned b the compan from the

    sale of its products and services.

    0ther income: 1enerall resources from sources asinterest on ban accounts, cash dividends from

    investments in other companies, and interest on bonds.

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    FINANCIAL RATIO ANALYSIS FORFINANCIAL RATIO ANALYSIS FOR

    NON-FINANCIAL MANAGERSNON-FINANCIAL MANAGERS

    The following e$penses are subtracted from

    revenues:

    2ost of goods sold: all the e$penses

    incurred in maing the products sold

    during the period, including the cost of

    materials, labor, and factor overhead(rent, utilities and maintenance!.

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    #o$pany %&or year en'in( De)e$ber *, .

    !/n LE"

    Revenues

    /et Sales ,33,45

    0ther Income 54,63-0otal Revenues *,.1,.12

    Expenses

    2ost of 1oods Sold 4,3-7,56-

    #dministrative 8 Selling '$penses 73,69-

    Interest '$penses 53,6*7

    0otal Expenses *,34*,353

    'arnings Before Income Ta$es 47,44

    Income Ta$es *64,9-

    Net Earnin(s 25,15*

    EXHIBIT 1EXHIBIT 1

    SAMPLE INCOME STATEMENTSAMPLE INCOME STATEMENT

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    FINANCIAL RATIO ANALYSIS FORFINANCIAL RATIO ANALYSIS FOR

    NON-FINANCIAL MANAGERSNON-FINANCIAL MANAGERS

    #dministrative and selling e$penses: The

    costs of running and promoting the business,

    including items lie the presidents salar, thesalaries of all management personnel,

    advertising costs and sales commissions.

    Interest e$penses: The interest that the

    compan paid during the ear on mone that

    it borrowed.

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    FINANCIAL RATIO ANALYSIS FORFINANCIAL RATIO ANALYSIS FOR

    NON-FINANCIAL MANAGERSNON-FINANCIAL MANAGERS

    0ther '$penses: This would include an

    other unusual e$penses incurred b the

    compan to run the business not otherwiseaccounted for above (e.g. research and

    development e$penses, and organizational

    costs!.

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    FINANCIAL RATIO ANALYSIS FORFINANCIAL RATIO ANALYSIS FOR

    NON-FINANCIAL MANAGERSNON-FINANCIAL MANAGERS

    '$penses are subtracted from revenues to ield a

    figure that indicates the compans earnings, but

    this figure still does not reflect the compansprofit. )uring *-- the compan paid over 57

    percent of its earnings to the ta$ department in

    the form of ta$es. Thus, its net earnings, or the

    amount of profit the compan earned in *--, is' *35, 45.

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    FINANCIAL RATIO ANALYSIS FORFINANCIAL RATIO ANALYSIS FOR

    NON-FINANCIAL MANAGERSNON-FINANCIAL MANAGERS

    Balance sheets

    '$hibit 4 is the balance sheet for 2ompan ; as of

    )ecember *, *--. The first component is assets,current and fi$ed. 2urrent assets, are those the

    business e$pects to turn into cash during the ne$t

    ear. The cash generated from current assets is

    used to pa e$penses and repa liabilities. 2urrent

    assets include:

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    FINANCIAL RATIO ANALYSIS FORFINANCIAL RATIO ANALYSIS FOR

    NON-FINANCIAL MANAGERSNON-FINANCIAL MANAGERS

    2ash.

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    FINANCIAL RATIO ANALYSIS FORFINANCIAL RATIO ANALYSIS FOR

    NON-FINANCIAL MANAGERSNON-FINANCIAL MANAGERS

    ?i$ed assets are things of value that will provide benefits to

    the compan for one or more ears. ?i$ed assets are

    reported in three categories: land, buildings, machiner and

    e"uipment. ?i$ed assets are reported on the balance sheet atthe cost to purchase or ac"uire the asset minus the

    depreciation accumulated on the assets since the time of

    purchase. )epreciation is the estimated decline in the useful

    value of an asset due to gradual wear and tear. Since thisdecline in value cannot be estimated with certainl,

    accountants use various standards methods to appro$imate it.

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    SAMPLESAMPLEBALAN#E 67EE0BALAN#E 67EE0#o$pany %

    De)e$ber *, .

    Assets Liabilities82urrent #ssets: 2urrent iabilities2ash 6-,339 /otes >aable 5,67arolls 8 other accurables 5**,74

    Inventor 7*,*49 Income ta$es *45,75>repaid '$penses 5-,-7 Total 2urrent iabilities 3-4,5-7Total 2urrent #ssets *,35,57 ong@Term iabilities 5*,69?i$ed #ssets: 0otal Liabilties ,11*,.59and 46,93Buildings 3*7,937 6:are:ol'ers; Equity ,4*,4

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    FINANCIAL RATIO ANALYSIS FORFINANCIAL RATIO ANALYSIS FOR

    NON-FINANCIAL MANAGERSNON-FINANCIAL MANAGERS

    The second maAor section in a balance sheet is

    devoted to liabilities. 2urrent liabilities are the

    debts that a compan must pa off within thecoming ear:

    /otes paable:

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    WORLD BANK

    FINANCIAL RATIO ANALYSIS FORFINANCIAL RATIO ANALYSIS FOR

    NON-FINANCIAL MANAGERSNON-FINANCIAL MANAGERS

    ong@term liabilities are obligations, usuall

    loans, that are due to be paid not in the current

    ear but in some future period. The amountspecified in the balance sheet is e"ual to the

    total amount borrowed.

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    WORLD BANK

    FINANCIAL RATIO ANALYSIS FORFINANCIAL RATIO ANALYSIS FOR

    NON-FINANCIAL MANAGERSNON-FINANCIAL MANAGERS

    The final maAor section, the e"uit section

    summarizes the owners investment in the

    business. Individuals and institutions becomeowners of a compan b purchasing shares of

    the compans stoc. '"uit increases as more

    people purchase stoc and the compan retains

    increased profit.

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    WORLD BANK

    ANALYSIS OF BALANCE SHEETSANALYSIS OF BALANCE SHEETS

    AND INCOME STATEMENTSAND INCOME STATEMENTS

    'ach tpe of analsis of financial data has a

    purpose or use that determines the different

    relationships emphasized. Therefore, it is

    useful to classif ratios into four fundamental

    tpes:

    i"uidit ratios, measure the firms abilit to

    meet its maturing short@term obligations.

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    WORLD BANK

    ANALYSIS OF BALANCE SHEETSANALYSIS OF BALANCE SHEETS

    AND INCOME STATEMENTSAND INCOME STATEMENTS

    everage ratios, measure the e$tent to which

    the firm has been financed b debt.

    #ctivit ratios, measure how effectivel thefirm is using its resources.

    >rofitabilit ratios, measure managements

    overall effectiveness as shown b the returnsgenerated on sales and investment.

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    WORLD BANK

    ANALYSIS OF BALANCE SHEETSANALYSIS OF BALANCE SHEETS

    AND INCOME STATEMENTSAND INCOME STATEMENTS

    i"uidit &atios

    1enerall, the first concern of the financial analst is

    li"uidit. the measures the short@run solvenc of acompan its abilit to meet current debts.

    2urrent &atio

    The current ratio indicates whether there are

    enough current assets to meet current liabilities.

    #urrent ratio = #urrent assets

    #urrent liabilities

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    WORLD BANK

    ANALYSIS OF BALANCE SHEETSANALYSIS OF BALANCE SHEETS

    AND INCOME STATEMENTSAND INCOME STATEMENTS

    2urrent assets normall include: 2ash, maretable

    securities, accounts receivable, and inventories.

    2urrent liabilities consist of: accounts paable, short@

    term notes, paable, current maturities of long@term

    debt, accrued income ta$es, and other accrued

    e$penses (principall wages!.

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    WORLD BANK

    ANALYSIS OF BALANCE SHEETSANALYSIS OF BALANCE SHEETS

    AND INCOME STATEMENTSAND INCOME STATEMENTS

    Chen is the compan solventD Chen the current ratio

    is *.9 or greater= that is, the compan should have

    more current assets than current liabilities.

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    WORLD BANK

    ANALYSIS OF BALANCE SHEETSANALYSIS OF BALANCE SHEETS

    AND INCOME STATEMENTSAND INCOME STATEMENTS

    #dd notes paable, trade accounts paable,

    parolls and other accurables and income

    ta$es to get current liabilities.

    )ivide the derived current assets figure b the

    calculated current liabilities figure.

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    WORLD BANK

    ANALYSIS OF BALANCE SHEETSANALYSIS OF BALANCE SHEETS

    AND INCOME STATEMENTSAND INCOME STATEMENTS

    Eou have now derived the current ratio. /ow,

    compare the value derived to *.9. If the

    current ratio is *.9 or greater, the companshould have more current assets than current

    liabilities and is financiall viable or solvent. If

    the current ratio is less than *.9, the compan

    will have more current liabilities than currentassets and is financiall unviable or insolvent.

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    WORLD BANK

    ANALYSIS OF BALANCE SHEETSANALYSIS OF BALANCE SHEETS

    AND INCOME STATEMENTSAND INCOME STATEMENTS

    ?or significance this ratio should be

    compared to previous ears (e.g. the current

    ratio for five previous ears should bederived!. This is necessar in order to derive

    a trend. If the current ratio is rising n an

    upward fashion, the compan is becoming

    more financiall viable. If the current ratio isfalling and assuming a downward trend, the

    compan is becoming less financiall viable.

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    WORLD BANK

    ANALYSIS OF BALANCE SHEETSANALYSIS OF BALANCE SHEETS

    AND INCOME STATEMENTSAND INCOME STATEMENTS

    0ne helpful activit is to also compare the

    current ratio of the compan in "uestion to

    the current ratio of similar competing

    companies. If the compan in "uestion has a

    higher current ratio on a regular basis over a

    number of ears than this compan is more

    financiall viable. 0n the other hand, if thecompan in "uestion has a lower current ratio

    on a regular basis over a number of ears

    than this compan is less financiall viable.

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    WORLD BANK

    ANALYSIS OF BALANCE SHEETSANALYSIS OF BALANCE SHEETS

    AND INCOME STATEMENTSAND INCOME STATEMENTS

    b @ Fuic &atio, or #cid Test

    The "uic ratio is calculated b deducting inventor

    from current assets, and dividing the remainder b

    current liabilities. Inventories are deducted since the

    are tpicall the least li"uid of a firms current assets.

    ui)> ratio = #urrent assets - /nventory

    #urrent Liabilities

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    WORLD BANK

    ANALYSIS OF BALANCE SHEETSANALYSIS OF BALANCE SHEETS

    AND INCOME STATEMENTSAND INCOME STATEMENTS

    Chen is the compan solventD Chen the Fuic

    ratio is *.9 or greater.

    Chich li"uidit ratio is more accurate, the

    current ratio or the "uic ratioD The "uic ratio,

    since it e$cludes inventor, the least li"uid

    asset, and the asset on which losses are mostliel to occur in the event of li"uidation.

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    WORLD BANK

    ANALYSIS OF BALANCE SHEETSANALYSIS OF BALANCE SHEETS

    AND INCOME STATEMENTSAND INCOME STATEMENTS

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    WORLD BANK

    ANALYSIS OF BALANCE SHEETSANALYSIS OF BALANCE SHEETS

    AND INCOME STATEMENTSAND INCOME STATEMENTS

    #dd notes paable, trade accounts paable,

    parolls and other accurables and income

    ta$es (items *, 4, 8 5 on the samplebalance sheet on page 7! to get current

    liabilities.

    )ivide the derived "uic assets figure b thecalculated current liabilities figure.

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    WORLD BANK

    ANALYSIS OF BALANCE SHEETSANALYSIS OF BALANCE SHEETS

    AND INCOME STATEMENTSAND INCOME STATEMENTS

    Eou have now derived the "uic ratio. /ow,

    compare the value derived to *.9. If the "uic

    ratio is *.9 or greater, the compan shouldhave more "uic assets than current liabilities

    and is financiall viable or solvent. If the

    "uic ratio is less than *.9, the compan will

    have more current liabilities than "uic assetsand is financiall unviable or insolvent.

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    WORLD BANK

    ANALYSIS OF BALANCE SHEETSANALYSIS OF BALANCE SHEETS

    AND INCOME STATEMENTSAND INCOME STATEMENTS

    ?or significance this ratio should be

    compared to previous ears (e.g. the "uic

    ratio for five previous ears should bederived!. This is necessar in order to derive

    a trend. If the "uic ratios is rising in an

    upward fashion, the compan is becoming

    more financiall viable. If the "uic ratio isfalling and assuming a downward trend, the

    compan is becoming less financiall viable.

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    WORLD BANK

    ANALYSIS OF BALANCE SHEETSANALYSIS OF BALANCE SHEETS

    AND INCOME STATEMENTSAND INCOME STATEMENTS

    0ne helpful activit is to also compare the

    "uic ratio of the compan in "uestion to the

    "uic ratio of similar competing companies. Ifthe compan in "uestion has a higher "uic

    ratio on a regular basis over a number of

    ears then this compan is more financiall

    viable.

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    WORLD BANK

    ANALYSIS OF BALANCE SHEETSANALYSIS OF BALANCE SHEETS

    AND INCOME STATEMENTSAND INCOME STATEMENTS

    everage &atios

    everage ratios measure the funds supplied

    b owners as compared with the financingprovided b the firms creditors.

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    WORLD BANK

    ANALYSIS OF BALANCE SHEETSANALYSIS OF BALANCE SHEETS

    AND INCOME STATEMENTSAND INCOME STATEMENTS

    Implications of leverage ratios:

    '"uit, or owner@supplied funds, provide a

    margin of safet for creditors. Thus, the lesse"uit, the more the riss of the enterprise to

    the creditors.

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    WORLD BANK

    ANALYSIS OF BALANCE SHEETSANALYSIS OF BALANCE SHEETS

    AND INCOME STATEMENTSAND INCOME STATEMENTS

    )ebt funding enables the owners to maintain

    control of the firm with a limited investment.

    If the firm earns more on the borrowed fundsthan it pas in interest, the return to the

    owners is magnified.

    If the firm earns more on the borrowed fundsthan it pas in interest, the return to the

    owners is magnified.

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    WORLD BANK

    ANALYSIS OF BALANCE SHEETSANALYSIS OF BALANCE SHEETS

    AND INCOME STATEMENTSAND INCOME STATEMENTS

    ow leverage ratios: Indicate less ris of loss

    when the econom is in a downturn, but lower

    e$pected returns when the econom booms.

    Gigh leverage ratios: indicate the ris of large

    losses, but also have a chance of gaining high

    profits.

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    WORLD BANK

    ANALYSIS OF BALANCE SHEETSANALYSIS OF BALANCE SHEETS

    AND INCOME STATEMENTSAND INCOME STATEMENTS

    Therefore, decisions about the use of leverage

    must balance higher e$pected returns against

    increased ris.

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    WORLD BANK

    ANALYSIS OF BALANCE SHEETSANALYSIS OF BALANCE SHEETS

    AND INCOME STATEMENTSAND INCOME STATEMENTS

    #pproaches to e$amining leverage ratios:

    )ebt ratio:

    The debt ratio is the ratio of total debt to total

    assets and measures the percentage of total

    funds provided b creditors.

    The debt ratio is: 0otal 'ebts

    0otal assets

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    WORLD BANK

    ANALYSIS OF BALANCE SHEETSANALYSIS OF BALANCE SHEETS

    AND INCOME STATEMENTSAND INCOME STATEMENTS

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    WORLD BANK

    ANALYSIS OF BALANCE SHEETSANALYSIS OF BALANCE SHEETS

    AND INCOME STATEMENTSAND INCOME STATEMENTS

    #dd cash, maretable securities, accounts

    receivable, inventories, prepaid e$penses,

    land, buildings, machiner and e"uipment

    and subtract depreciation to derive the totalassets figure.

    )ivide the total debts figure b the calculated

    total assets figure.

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    WORLD BANK

    ANALYSIS OF BALANCE SHEETSANALYSIS OF BALANCE SHEETS

    AND INCOME STATEMENTSAND INCOME STATEMENTS

    ?or significance this ratio should be compared to

    previous ear (e.g. the debt ratio for five previous

    ears should be derived!. This is necessar in orderto derive a trend. If the debt ratio is rising in an

    upward fashion, the compan is developing a

    leverage problem. If the debt ratio is falling and

    assuming a downward trend, the compan isinvesting more of its own resources to generate

    assets and is becoming less dependent on debts.

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    WORLD BANK

    ANALYSIS OF BALANCE SHEETSANALYSIS OF BALANCE SHEETS

    AND INCOME STATEMENTSAND INCOME STATEMENTS

    0ne helpful activit is to also compare the debt ratio

    of the compan in "uestion to the debt ratio of similar

    competing companies. If the compan in "uestion

    has a higher debt ratio on a regular basis over a

    number of ears, then this compan is over leveraged

    in comparison to its competitors. 0n the other hand,

    if the compan in "uestion has a lower debt ratio on aregular basis over a number of ears, then this is less

    dependent on debt as a source of financing in

    comparison to its competitors.

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    WORLD BANK

    ANALYSIS OF BALANCE SHEETSANALYSIS OF BALANCE SHEETS

    AND INCOME STATEMENTSAND INCOME STATEMENTS

    B @ )ebt@to@'"uit@ &atio:

    This ratio is a variation of the debt ratio that is

    commonl used. It compares the amount of moneborrowed from creditors to the amount of shareholders

    investment made within a firm.

    Debt-to-Equity ratio = 0otal Debts6:are:ol'er;s invest$ent !equity"

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    WORLD BANK

    ANALYSIS OF BALANCE SHEETSANALYSIS OF BALANCE SHEETS

    AND INCOME STATEMENTSAND INCOME STATEMENTS

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    WORLD BANK

    ANALYSIS OF BALANCE SHEETSANALYSIS OF BALANCE SHEETS

    AND INCOME STATEMENTSAND INCOME STATEMENTS

    oo up the shareholders investment or

    e"uit line item in the blance sheet.

    )ivide the total debts figure b the calculated

    shareholders investment figure.

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    WORLD BANK

    ANALYSIS OF BALANCE SHEETSANALYSIS OF BALANCE SHEETS

    AND INCOME STATEMENTSAND INCOME STATEMENTS

    ?or significance this ratio should be compared to

    previous ears (e.g. the debt to e"uit ratio for five

    previous ears should be derived!. This is necessarin order to derive a trend. If the debt to e"uit ratio is

    rising in an upward fashion, the compan is

    developing a leverage problem. If the debt ito e"uit

    ratio is falling and assuming a doward trend, thecompan is investing more of its owners resources to

    generate assets and is becoming less dependent on

    creditors.

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    WORLD BANK

    ANALYSIS OF BALANCE SHEETSANALYSIS OF BALANCE SHEETS

    AND INCOME STATEMENTSAND INCOME STATEMENTS

    0ne other helpful activit is to also compare the debt to

    e"uit ratio of the compan in "uestion to the debt e"uit

    ratio of similar competing companies. If the compan in

    "uestion has a higher debt to e"uit ratio on a regularbasis over a number of ears, then this compan is over

    leveraged in comparison to its competitors. 0n the other

    hand, if the compan in "uestion has lower debt to e"uit

    ratio on a regular basis over a number of ears, then thiscompan is less dependent on debt as a source of

    financing in comparison to its competitors.

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    WORLD BANK

    ANALYSIS OF BALANCE SHEETSANALYSIS OF BALANCE SHEETS

    AND INCOME STATEMENTSAND INCOME STATEMENTS

    >rofitabilit ratios

    >rofitabilit ratios indicate how successful a

    compan reall is and how effectivemanagement is in operating the business.

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    WORLD BANK

    ANALYSIS OF BALANCE SHEETSANALYSIS OF BALANCE SHEETS

    AND INCOME STATEMENTSAND INCOME STATEMENTS

    # @ &eturn on assets

    This ratio shows how much mone the compan

    earned on each dollar it invested in assets. It is ameasure of overall compan earning power or

    profitabilit.

    Return on Assets !ROA" = Net Earnin(s

    0otal Assets

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    WORLD BANK

    ANALYSIS OF BALANCE SHEETSANALYSIS OF BALANCE SHEETS

    AND INCOME STATEMENTSAND INCOME STATEMENTS

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    WORLD BANK

    ANALYSIS OF BALANCE SHEETSANALYSIS OF BALANCE SHEETS

    AND INCOME STATEMENTSAND INCOME STATEMENTS

    #dd cash, maretable securities, accounts

    receivable, inventories, prepaid e$penses,

    land, buildings, machiner and e"uipmentand subtract depreciation to derive the total

    assets figure.

    )ivide the net earnings figure b the derivedtotal assets figure to get return on assets.

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    WORLD BANK

    ANALYSIS OF BALANCE SHEETSANALYSIS OF BALANCE SHEETS

    AND INCOME STATEMENTSAND INCOME STATEMENTS

    ?or significance this ratio should be compared to

    previous ears (e.g. the return on assets ratio for five

    previous ears should be derived!. This is necessarin order to derive a trend. If the return on assets ratio

    is rising in an upward fashion, the compan is maing

    a larger return on funds invested in assets. If the

    return on assets ratio is falling and assuming adownward trend, the compan is maing a lower

    return on funds invested in assets.

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    WORLD BANK

    ANALYSIS OF BALANCE SHEETSANALYSIS OF BALANCE SHEETS

    AND INCOME STATEMENTSAND INCOME STATEMENTS

    0ne other helpful activit is to also compare the return

    on assets ratio of the compan in "uestion to the

    return on assets of similar competing companies. If

    the compan in "uestion has a higher &0# on a

    regular basis over a number of ears, then this

    compan is financiall better off in comparison to its

    competitors. 0n the other hand, if the compan in"uestion has a lower &0# on a regular basis over a

    number of ears, then this compan is financiall

    worse off in comparison to its competitors.

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    WORLD BANK

    ANALYSIS OF BALANCE SHEETSANALYSIS OF BALANCE SHEETS

    AND INCOME STATEMENTSAND INCOME STATEMENTS

    B @ >rofit

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    WORLD BANK

    ANALYSIS OF BALANCE SHEETSANALYSIS OF BALANCE SHEETS

    AND INCOME STATEMENTSAND INCOME STATEMENTS

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    WORLD BANK

    ANALYSIS OF BALANCE SHEETSANALYSIS OF BALANCE SHEETS

    AND INCOME STATEMENTSAND INCOME STATEMENTS

    ?or significance this ratio should be compared to

    previous ears (e.g. the profit margin ratio for five

    previous ears should be derived!. This isnecessar in order to derive a trend. If the profit

    margin ratio is rising in an upward fashion, the

    compan is maing a larger return on sales. If the

    profit margin is falling and assuming a downwardtrend, the compan is maing a lower return on

    sales.

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    WORLD BANK

    ANALYSIS OF BALANCE SHEETSANALYSIS OF BALANCE SHEETS

    AND INCOME STATEMENTSAND INCOME STATEMENTS

    0ne other helpful activit is to also compare the profit

    margin of the compan in "uestion to the profit margin

    of similar competing companies. If the compan in

    "uestion has a higher profit margin on a regular basis

    over a number of ears, then this compan is maing

    a larger return on sales in comparison to its

    competitors. 0n the other hand, if the compan in"uestion has a lower profit margin on a regular basis

    over a number of ears, then this compan is maing

    a lower return on sales in comparison to its

    competitors.

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    WORLD BANK

    ANALYSIS OF BALANCE SHEETSANALYSIS OF BALANCE SHEETS

    AND INCOME STATEMENTSAND INCOME STATEMENTS

    2 @ &eturn on e"uit (or return on net worth!

    This ratio indicates the amount of net earnings resulting

    from investments in e"uit. Shareholders areparticularl interested in this ratio, because it shows

    them how much the are earning on their investments.

    Return on equity = Net Earnin(s 6:are:ol'ers; invest$ent !Equity"

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    WORLD BANK

    ANALYSIS OF BALANCE SHEETSANALYSIS OF BALANCE SHEETS

    AND INCOME STATEMENTSAND INCOME STATEMENTS

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    WORLD BANK

    ANALYSIS OF BALANCE SHEETSANALYSIS OF BALANCE SHEETS

    AND INCOME STATEMENTSAND INCOME STATEMENTS

    ooup the shareholders investment or

    e"uit line item in the balance sheet.

    )ivide the net earnings figure b the derived

    shareholders investment figure to get return

    on e"uit.

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    WORLD BANK

    ANALYSIS OF BALANCE SHEETSANALYSIS OF BALANCE SHEETS

    AND INCOME STATEMENTSAND INCOME STATEMENTS

    ?or significance this ratio should be compared to

    previous ears (e.g. the return on e"uit ratio for five

    previous ears should be derived!. This is necessarin order to derive a trend. If the return on e"uit ratio

    is rising in an upward fashion, the compan is maing

    a larger return on funds invested b shareholders. If

    the return on e"uit is falling and assuming adownward trend, the compan is maing a lower

    return on funds invested b shareholders.

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    WORLD BANK

    ANALYSIS OF BALANCE SHEETSANALYSIS OF BALANCE SHEETS

    AND INCOME STATEMENTSAND INCOME STATEMENTS

    #ctivit ratios

    #ctivit ratios measures how effectivel the

    firm emplos its resources. These ratios

    involve comparisons between the level of

    sales and the investment in various asset

    accounts, lie inventories and accountsreceivable.

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    WORLD BANK

    ANALYSIS OF BALANCE SHEETSANALYSIS OF BALANCE SHEETS

    AND INCOME STATEMENTSAND INCOME STATEMENTS

    # @ Inventor turnover

    Inventor turnover tells us how man times

    during the ear the entire stoc of inventorwas sold.

    Inventor turnover is calculated as follows:

    /nventory turnover = 6ales

    /nventory

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    WORLD BANK

    ANALYSIS OF BALANCE SHEETSANALYSIS OF BALANCE SHEETS

    AND INCOME STATEMENTSAND INCOME STATEMENTS

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    ANALYSIS OF BALANCE SHEETSANALYSIS OF BALANCE SHEETS

    AND INCOME STATEMENTSAND INCOME STATEMENTS

    >roblems in arising in calculating and analzing this ratio:

    Sales are at maret prices. If inventories are carried at

    cost, as the generall are, it is more appropriate to use

    cost of goods sold in place of sales in the numerator of

    the formula.

    Sales occur over the entire ear, whereas the inventorfigure is for one point in time. This maes it better to

    use an average inventor, computed b adding

    beginning and ending inventories and dividing b 4.

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    ANALYSIS OF BALANCE SHEETSANALYSIS OF BALANCE SHEETS

    AND INCOME STATEMENTSAND INCOME STATEMENTS

    B @ #verage collection period:

    The average collection period indicates how

    "uicl the compan collects its accountsreceivable.

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    WORLD BANK

    ANALYSIS OF BALANCE SHEETSANALYSIS OF BALANCE SHEETS

    AND INCOME STATEMENTSAND INCOME STATEMENTS

    It is computed in the following wa:

    #nnual sales (derived from the income

    statement! are divided b 76 to get average

    dail sales.

    #ccounts receivable (derived from the

    balance sheet! are divided over dail sales tofind the number of das sales is tied up in

    receivables.

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    WORLD BANK

    ANALYSIS OF BALANCE SHEETSANALYSIS OF BALANCE SHEETS

    AND INCOME STATEMENTSAND INCOME STATEMENTS

    The average collection period represents the average

    length of time the firm must wait to receive cash after

    maing a sale and is mathematicall defined asfollows:

    Avera(e )olle)tion perio' = A))ounts re)eivables

    6ales@*93 'ays

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    WORLD BANK

    ANALYSIS OF BALANCE SHEETSANALYSIS OF BALANCE SHEETS

    AND INCOME STATEMENTSAND INCOME STATEMENTS

    'valuation of this ratio is based upon the

    terms on which the firm sells its goods. ?or

    e$ample, if the collection period over the pastfew ears for a given compan is length

    while its credit polic did not change, this

    would be evidence that steps should be taen

    to e$pedite the collection of accountsreceivable.

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    WORLD BANK

    SUMMARY OF FINANCIAL RATIOSSUMMARY OF FINANCIAL RATIOS

    Ratio &or$ula Exa$ple or

    #al)ulation

    /n'ustry

    Avera(e

    Evaluation

    :i"uidit2urrent 2urrent #ssets

    2urrent :iabilities399,999 H 4.99,999

    4.6 Satisfactor

    Fuic( Fuic( #ssets2urrent :iabilities

    599,999 H *.99,999

    * time 1ood

    :everage

    )ebt Total )ebtTotal #ssets

    *99,999 H 69499,999

    >oor

    )ebt@'"uit Total '"uitTotal #ssets *,999,999 H 694,999,999 >oor

    >rofitabilit

    &eturn on#ssets

    /et 'arningsTotal #ssets

    *49,999 H 74,999,999

    *9 >oor

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    WORLD BANK

    SUMMARY OF FINANCIAL RATIOSSUMMARY OF FINANCIAL RATIOS

    (CONTD)(CONTD)

    Ratio &or$ula Exa$ple or #al)ulation

    /n'ustryAvera(e

    Evaluation

    >rofit@

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    FINANCIAL RATIOSFINANCIAL RATIOS

    I. &atios Indicating 2urrent position or &elating to #nalsis of Short@Term Solvenc

    &atio ?ormula Significance

    #. Tests of overall solvenc

    *. 2urrent ratio or woringcapital ratio

    2urrent #ssets (/et!2urrent :iabilities

    >rimar tests of li"uiditindicating abilit to meetcurrent obligations fromcurrent assets as a goingconcern.

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    WORLD BANK

    4. #cid@Test ratio or"uic ratio

    Fuic #ssets (/et!2urrent :iabilities

    # more severe test ofimmediate li"uidit thanthe current ratio. Test ofabilit to meet suddendemands from current

    assets.

    FINANCIAL RATIOSFINANCIAL RATIOS

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    WORLD BANK

    FINANCIAL RATIOSFINANCIAL RATIOS

    . Coring captial tototal assets

    2urrents#ssets@2urrent :iabilitesTotal #ssets (/et!

    Indicates relativeli"uidit of total assetsand woring capitalposition= and distributesof resources emploed.

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    FINANCIAL RATIOSFINANCIAL RATIOS

    B. &atios indicating movement of current assets (turnover!

    5. @ &eceivable turnover /et 2redit Sale#verage &eceivable (/et!

    Kelocit of collection oftrade accounts and notes.

    Test of efficienc ofcollection

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    WORLD BANK

    FINANCIAL RATIOSFINANCIAL RATIOS

    @ /umber of dasreceivables

    76 (das!&eceivable turnover(computed as above!

    Kelocit of collection oftrade accounts and notes.Test of efficienc ofcollection.

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    WORLD BANK

    FINANCIAL RATIOSFINANCIAL RATIOS

    6. Inventor turnover Indicates li"uidit of inventor and will e$hibittendenc to over@stoc.

    a. merchancise turnover 2ost of 1oods Sold

    #verage

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    WORLD BANK

    FINANCIAL RATIOSFINANCIAL RATIOS

    &atio ?ormula Significnce

    b. ?inished goods turnover(

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    WORLD BANK

    FINANCIAL RATIOSFINANCIAL RATIOS

    c. &aw

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    WORLD BANK

    FINANCIAL RATIOSFINANCIAL RATIOS

    7. #verage #ge of>aables

    #verage #ccount >aable $ 76#nnual >urchase

    Indicates the aging ofaccounts paable. thisfigures can be comparedto the credit termse$tended b the

    suppliers of the companto see if an abusees ofthese terms are beingmade. Trends analsisof the ratios ma also besignificant.

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    FINANCIAL RATIOSFINANCIAL RATIOS

    3. Coring capitalturnover

    /et SalesCoring 2apital

    Indicates ade"uac ofworing capital and cashccle of firm.

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    WORLD BANK

    II. &atios indicating asset relations and capital set@up or relating to analsis of long@term

    solvenc

    #. '"uities related to profits and sales

    *. Sales to owners e"uit /et Sales

    0wners '"uit

    /umberof times net worth

    is Mturned overN in sales

    Indicative of the utilization

    of owners capital ma

    reflect over@capitalization

    in relation to volume of

    business done.

    FINANCIAL RATIOSFINANCIAL RATIOS

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    FINANCIAL RATIOSFINANCIAL RATIOS

    . 'arning rate ofmaret value pershare

    /et Income per share

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    FINANCIAL RATIOSFINANCIAL RATIOS

    5. Times BondInterest 'arned

    /et Income before Bond InterestBond Service re"uirements

    Income Securit Bonds.

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    6. /et 0peratingIncome to

    /et Income before income ta$esand non@operating items

    /et Sales

    Summar of operationposition for ear.

    FINANCIAL RATIOSFINANCIAL RATIOS

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    7. 0perating e$pense Total 0peraing '$penses/et Sales

    Indicates effectivel ofmnagement in controllingoperating e$penses.

    FINANCIAL RATIOSFINANCIAL RATIOS

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    WORLD BANK

    FINANCIAL RATIOSFINANCIAL RATIOS

    IK. :everage and 2apital@Structure &atios

    These ratios tell us the relative proportions of capital contributed b creditorsand b owners.

    *. )ebt@'"uit &atio

    2urrent :iabilities O :ong@term )ebtTotal 2ommon '"uit

    Total amount of debtleverage per peso ofcommon e"uit

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    FINANCIAL RATIOSFINANCIAL RATIOS

    4. Total )ebt to Total#ssets

    2urrent :iabilities O :.T.).Total #ssets

    >roportion of assetsprovided b creditors.'$tent of Mtrading on thee"uitN.

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    WORLD BANK

    FINANCIAL RATIOSFINANCIAL RATIOS

    . :ong@term )ebt to'"uit &atio

    :ong@term )ebtTotal 2ommon '"uit

    :ong@term debt leverageper peso of commone"uit.

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    FINANCIAL RATIOSFINANCIAL RATIOS

    KI. #sset@relation &atios

    *. >lant and e"uipment

    to Total assets

    /et >lant O /et '"uipment

    Total #ssets

    >roportion of operating

    earning assets to total

    assets.

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    FINANCIAL RATIOSFINANCIAL RATIOS

    4. Inventor to Total#ssets

    #verage InventorTotal #ssets

    Size of inventor andtendenc to overstoc.

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    FINANCIAL RATIOSFINANCIAL RATIOS

    . ?i$ed #ssets to ?i$ed:iabilities

    ?i$ed assets (net!?i$ed :iabilities

    &eflects e$tent of theutilization of resourcesfrom long@term debt.Indicative of source foradditional funds. If the

    fi$ed assets are pledged @degree of securit. It isfre"uentl more useful touse present value ratherthan boo value.

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    FINANCIAL RATIOSFINANCIAL RATIOS

    5. ?i$ed #ssets to Total'"uit

    ?i$ed #ssets (net!Total 0wners '"uit

    >roportion of ownerse"uit to fi$ed assets.Indicative of over or under@investment b owners=also weaness in Mtrading

    on the e"uitN.

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    FINANCIAL RATIOSFINANCIAL RATIOS

    6. Sales to ?i$ed #ssets(>lant Turnover!

    /et Sales?i$ed #ssets (net!

    turnover inde$ which testsroughtl the efficienc ofmanagement ineepingplant properties emploed.

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    FINANCIAL RATIOSFINANCIAL RATIOS

    7. #ppro$imate #verage#sset :ife

    /et >lant and '"uipment/ormalized )epreciation

    #verage life of plant ande"uipment.

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    HOW TO ANALYZE FINANCIALHOW TO ANALYZE FINANCIAL

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    POSITIONPOSITION

    POTENTIAL FOR BUSINESS FAILUREPOTENTIAL FOR BUSINESS FAILURE

    Banruptc occurs when the compan is unable

    to meet maturing financial obligations. Ce are

    thus particularl interested in predicted cashflow. ?inancial difficulties affect the price@

    earnings ratio, and the effective interest rate.

    HOW TO ANALYZE FINANCIALHOW TO ANALYZE FINANCIAL

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    # comprehensive "uantitative indicator used to predict failure is#ltmans MP@score,N which e"uals

    Wor>in( )apital Retaine' earnin(s

    % 1 + % 5 0otal assets 0otal assets

    Operatin( in)o$e ? o )o$$on < preerre' % ** + % 49

    0otal assets 0otal liabilities

    6ales+ % 4

    0otal assetsNB Operatin( in)o$e = Net sales - )ost o (oo's sol'

    POSITIONPOSITION

    POTENTIAL FOR BUSINESS FAILUREPOTENTIAL FOR BUSINESS FAILURE

    THE SCORES AND THE PROBABILITYTHE SCORES AND THE PROBABILITY

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    THE SCORES AND THE PROBABILITYTHE SCORES AND THE PROBABILITY

    OF SHORT-TERM ILLIQUIDITY FOLLOWOF SHORT-TERM ILLIQUIDITY FOLLOW..

    6)ore Probability o illiqui'ity or ailure

    .4 or less ery :i(: .- 1 Not sure

    *4 or (reater Cnli>ely

    EXAMPLEEXAMPLE

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    EXAMPLEEXAMPLE

    A )o$pany presents t:e olloin( inor$ation

    Wor>in( )apital 1.4,444

    0otal assets .23,444

    0otal liabilities *14,444

    Retaine' earnin(s 13,444

    6ales 34,444 Operatin( in)o$e *4,444

    #o$$on sto)>

    Boo> alue 114,444

    ?ar>et alue *4,444 Preerre' sto)>

    Boo> value 3,444

    ?ar>et value 24,444

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    QUANTITATIVE FACTORS INQUANTITATIVE FACTORS IN

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    Lo )as: lo to total liabilities 7i(: 'ebt-to-equity ratio an' :i(: 'ebt to total assets Lo return on invest$ent Lo proit $ar(in

    Lo retaine' earnin(s to total assets Lo or>in( )apital to total assets an' lo or>in(

    )apital to sales Lo ixe' assets to non)urrent liabilities

    /na'equate interest-)overa(e ratio /nstability in earnin(s 6$all siFe )o$pany $easure' in sales an'@or total

    assets

    QUANTITATIVE FACTORS INQUANTITATIVE FACTORS IN

    PREDICTING CORPORATE FAILUREPREDICTING CORPORATE FAILURE

    QUANTITATIVE FACTORS INQUANTITATIVE FACTORS IN

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    6:arp 'e)line in pri)e o sto)>, bon' pri)e, an'earnin(s A si(nii)ant in)rease in beta !Beta is t:e variability in

    t:e pri)e o t:e )o$pany;s sto)> relative to a $ar>et

    in'ex" ?ar>et pri)e per s:are is si(nii)antly less t:an boo>

    value per s:are A si(nii)ant rise in t:e )o$pany;s ei(:te'-avera(e

    )ost o )apital

    7i(: ixe' )ost to total )ost stru)ture !:i(: operatin(levera(e"

    &ailure to $aintain )apital assets !e( 'e)line in t:e

    ratio o repairs to ixe' assets

    Q

    PREDICTING CORPORATE FAILUREPREDICTING CORPORATE FAILURE

    QUANTITATIVE FACTORS INQUANTITATIVE FACTORS IN

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    Ne )o$pany De)linin( in'ustry /nability to obtain a'equate inan)in(, an' :en

    obtaine' t:ere are si(nii)ant loan restri)tions A la)> in $ana(e$ent quality

    PREDICTING FAILUREPREDICTING FAILURE

    CONSOLIDATED BALANCE SHEETSCONSOLIDATED BALANCE SHEETS

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    WORLD BANK

    De)e$ber *, * 1

    A!"

    2ash -,*69,4*9 3,73-,99

    #ccounts receivable less allowances 7,-64,399 7,5**,539

    Inventories 6,366,959 6,4-,-*90ther current assets -3,739 -6,379

    0otal )urrent assets 11,233,914 14,1.4,54

    Investments 95,3*9 *35,759

    >ropert, plant and e"uipment

    and 7,39 4-4,59

    Buildings 5,-59,359 5,433,959

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    WORLD BANK

    INCOMEINCOME

    De)e$ber *, * 1

    Net 6ales 52,55*,144 53,9.5,494

    2ost of goods sold *,3*,*-9 *3,--6,39

    Selling, #dmin. 8 1eneral '$pense *7,-6-,79 *6,-55,959

    6,9,49 ,--,5*9

    /n)o$e beore interest an' taxes 1,1,*.4 ,255,934

    Interest *,*7,-39 *,45,39

    /n)o$e beore taxes 4,23,54 4,344,.24

    Ta$es ,95,9*9 ,-54,6-9

    Net proit 2,2,544 9,33.,1.4

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    WORLD BANK

    C+**+' V. P!,!!/ S"+0C+**+' V. P!,!!/ S"+0

    >referred Stoc @@@@ avoids the provision of

    e"ual participation in earnings in comparison

    to common stoc

    2ommon Stoc @@@@ does not entail fi$ed

    charges. There is no legal obligation to pa

    common stoc dividends. #lso, commonstoc has no fi$ed maturit date

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    C+*2$'3 X M$0!" P#! P! S4$!C+*2$'3 X M$0!" P#! P! S4$!5

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    WORLD BANK

    C+*2$'3 X M$0!" P#! P! S4$!5C+*2$'3 X M$0!" P#! P! S4$!5

    C+**+' S"+0C+**+' S"+0

    *- *-- *--9

    Gigh -.9 6.9 7.9

    ow 3.9 5.9 .9

    #verage .9 5.6 5.6

    P # E # R #

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    WORLD BANK

    P#! "+ E$'#' R$"#+P#! "+ E$'#' R$"#+

    >rice to earnings ratio H >riceJ'arnings

    *- *-- *--9

    >J' .- 6.7 3.6

    M 0 " " B 0 R "#

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    WORLD BANK

    M$0!" "+ B++0 R$"#+M$0!" "+ B++0 R$"#+

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    BOO6 CASE ANALYSISBOO6 CASE ANALYSIS

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    WORLD BANK

    BOO6 CASE ANALYSISBOO6 CASE ANALYSIS

    W4#4 U.S. C+*2$'3 # #"7 W4#4 U.S. C+*2$'3 # #"7

    *--4 *--

    &0# 4*.6 4*

    &0' *.5 *.4

    >< *5. *6

    2& .5 .5

    F& 4.6 4.7)& *4 *

    *--4 *--

    )J' * *-

    IT 6.4 6.-

    P Score 7.46 6.-5

    D 64 & / F / S4 #,D 64 & / F / S4 #,

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    D. 64$&!/ F+$/ S4!#,D. 64$&!/ F+$/ S4!#,

    Cor Tel: 494 53 557*

    Gome Tel: 494 3 5943

    ?a$: 494 644 9996 'mail: RSG'&I?C0&)B#/R.0&1

    Ceb Site:http:www.sherif.com

    #ddress The Corld Ban, ** G Street, /C Cashington )2 4995

    mailto:[email protected]:[email protected]