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FFinancial Resultsinancial Results Presentation MeetingPresentation Meeting
InterimInterim results for results for FY2007FY2007 (Apr.(Apr.--Sep. 2007)Sep. 2007)
Oct. 29, 2007 Mitsunori Torihara, President
Tokyo Gas Co., Ltd.
Statements made in this presentation with respect to Tokyo Gas’s present plans, projections, strategies and beliefs, and other statements herein that are not expressions of historical fact or forward-looking statements about the future performance of the company. As such, they are based on management’s assumptions and opinions stemming from currently available information, and therefore involve risks and uncertainties. The company’s actual performance may greatly differ from these projections due to these risks and uncertainties which include, without limitation, general economic conditions in Japan, changes in the foreign exchange rate of the yen, crude oil prices, and the weather.
Summary of Interim Results (Apr.-Sep. 2007)
3
Key Points of Interim Financial Results (Change from Projections)
FY06 Interim Results
Projection as of 7/27
FY07 InterimResults
Change from FY06 Interim Results
Change from projectionas of 7/28
Sales 603.5 643.0 636.9 +33.4 (+5.5%) -6.1 (-0.9%)
Operating Income 62.7 32.0 33.1 -29.6 (-47.1%) +1.1 (+3.7%)
Ordinary Income 55.5 28.0 31.7 -23.8 (-43.0%) +3.7 (+13.3%)
Net Income 36.0 20.0 19.8 -16.2 (45.0%) -0.2 (-0.9%)Crude oil price($/bbl) 67.83 67.30 67.83 0.00 +0.53
Exchange rate(¥/US$) 115.38 120.39 119.40 +4.02 -0.99
(billion yen)
Note: Figures are rounded down to nearest ¥0.1 billion.
[vs. FY06 Interim Results : Increase in sales and decrease in income]
- Increase in gas unit price due to gas rate adjustmentsystem (+)
- Increase in gas sales volume mainly in industrial sector (+)- Increase in gas resource cost (-)- Increase in labor cost by one-off expense
in actuarial differences (-)- Increase in depreciation by tax revisions (-)
[vs. projection as of 7/28 :Decrease in sales and decrease in income]
- Decrease in expenses by cost reduction effort (+)- Decrease both in gas sales and gas volume (-)
■Factors of change from FY06 1H (non consolidated)
[1] Decrease gas sales margin -11.4¥billion[2] Cost by one-off expense in actuarial
differences -11.5¥billion[3] Invest on new policies (strengthen
competitiveness against electricity and for safety measure) -3.7¥billion
[4] Increase other operating cost, etc. -1.8 ¥billion
[5] Improve in non-operating profit and loss +3.7 ¥billion
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Ordinary Income -24.7 ¥billion ( 49.6 ¥billion →24.9¥billion)
4
1,373 1330
2,573 2765
1,514 1564
706807
0
2,000
4,000
6,000
FY06 Interim FY07 Interim
4.8%
increase from FY06 1H (+299million m3)
[total:6.47bil.m3]
Gas Sales Volume Projections
Wholesale Supply: +14.3% (+101mil. m3)-Increase in sales to other gas utilities through
developing new demand for those utilities and increasing demand of existing customers
Industrial Use: +7.5 % (+192mil. m3)-Developed new demand -Increased demand by existing customers
Residential Use: -3.2% (-44mil.m3)-Increase in number of customers-Decrease in hot water demand due to high temperatures
<Reasons for Changes in Gas Sales Volume from FY06 1H>
(Rounded off to nearest million m3)
Commercial & Other Use: +3.3 % ( +50mil. m3)-Increased demand for air conditioning due to high
temperatures
(Change from previous year and projections)
(45MJ/㎥)
[total:6.17 bil.m3]
million m
5
Reasons for Changes in Operating Income
FY06 Interim FY07 Interim
-Increase gas sales (+)-Rise in the unit price from rateadjustment system(+)
-Increase in gas resource cost (-)-Increase in operating cost such as labor cost, etc. (-)
[Energy Advance] - Increase in initial depreciation
by increasing orders of on-site energy service
Gas Sales -28.1
Gas Appliance sales
0
Related Construction
-0.2
Real Estate Rental
+0.5
Other Business
-2.0
(*)Total 63.4 (*)Total 93.3
54.5
1.84.33.5
(billion yen)
Gas Sales
Related Construction
Real Estate Rental
Gas Appliance sales
Other Business
-29.6 billion yen
Operating incomewithout internal transactions:
62.7
Operating incomewithout internal transactions:
33.1
*These figures do not include operating expenses that cannot be allocated to a specific segment.
82.6
1.83.8
5.5
-0.6
-29.9 billion
-0.8
6
As of Mar. 2007 As of Sep. 2007
-Increase in depreciation (effected by tax revision)
- Increase in number of affiliates
- Increase in inventory assets by valuation of gas resource (+)
- Decrease in accounts receivable due to seasonal factor (-)
Total 1,691.5
(Assets)
1,130.4
24.0
217.0
321.0
Reasons for Changes in Balance Sheet (Assets)
Investments
Tangible Fixed Assets
Intangible Fixed Assets
Current Assets
(billion yen)
Tangible Fixed Assets -13.4
Investments +14.6
Current Assets
-1.5Intangible
Fixed Assets -0.7
-1.0 billion yen
Total 1,692.6
1,117.0
23.3
231.7
319.4
7
-Issue of SBthe 28th domestic unsecured notes due 2027 [+20.0 billion yen]
-Treasury stock[-32.9billion yen]①Acquisition in first half
year of 200768.6 million shares,
-39.0 billion yen②Conversion of CB
+6.3 billion yen-Increase in earned surplus
[+12.0 billion yen]
(*)Total 1,691.5
609.9
295.1
786.4
Reasons for Changes in Balance Sheet (Liabilities & Net assets)
Fixed Liabilities
Current Liabilities
Shareholders’ Equity
(billion yen)
As of Mar. 2007 As of Sept. 2007
Fixed Liabilities
+8.5
Current Liabilities
+10.0
Shareholders’ Equity -19.6
-1.0 billion yen
(*)Total 1,692.6
601.4
285.1
806.0
[Cancellation of treasury stock] The board of directors approved the cancellation of treasury stock on Sep 25th,2007. 68.6 million shares (about 2.44% of issued shares before the cancellation) were cancelled on October 9th, 2007. The number of issued shares after the cancellation is 2,741,571,295 shares.
Outlook for FY07 projection (April 2007 – March 2008)
9
Key points for FY07 projection (change from projection)
◆Increase in sales , Decrease in income (compared with projection as of FY2007 1Q)
FY07 projectionas of Apr. 26
FY07 projectionas of Jul. 27
FY07 projectionas of Oct. 29
Change from projection
as of Apr.26
Change from projection
as of Jul.27
Sales 1,419.0 1,454.0 1,463.0 +44.0 (+3.1%) +9.0 (+0.6%)
Operating Income 113.0 105.0 81.0 -32.0 (-28.3%) -24.0 (-22.9%)
Ordinary Income 105.0 97.0 76.0 -29.0 (-27.6%) -21.0 (-21.6%)
Net Income 73.0 68.0 54.0 -19.0 (26.0%) -14.0 (-20.6%)Crude oil price($/bbl) 55.00 66.15 71.42 +16.42 +5.27
Exchange rate(¥/US$) 120.00 120.20 118.16 -1.84 -2.04
(billion yen)
■Factors of change in projection as of FY07 1Q(non consolidated)
[1] Decrease gas sales margin -19.5 ¥billion[2] Operating expenses
(except gas resource cost) -4.8 ¥billion[3] Increase in profit of related business
+0.3 ¥billion[4] Improve in non-operating profit and loss
+2.0 ¥billion ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Ordinary Income -22.0 ¥billion ( 80.0 ¥billion → 58.0 ¥billion)
Note: Projection of second half of FY2007 crude oil price = $75/bbl , exchange rate = ¥117/$
- Increase in gas unit price due to gas rate adjustment system(+)
- Decrease in gas unit price due to further soaring of crude oil price (-)
- Decrease in fixed cost by cost reduction effort (+)
10
3,527 3,538 3,531
5,550 5,666 5,644
3,075 3,098 3,099
1,733 1,729 1,739
0
3,000
6,000
9,000
12,000
Projection as ofApr.26
Projection as ofJul.27
Projection as ofOct.29
million m3
0.1%
decrease from projectionas of Jul.27
(-18 million m3)
[total: 14.01bil.m3]
Gas Sales Volume Projections
Wholesale Supply: +0.5% (+9 mil. m3)
Industrial Use: -0.4% (-22 mil. m3)
Residential Use: -0.2% (-7 mil. m3)
<Reasons for Changes in Gas Sales Volume Projection from projection as of Jul.27>
(Rounded off to nearest million m3)
(Reference) Projection as of 4/26
projection as of 10/29
Change from projection as of 4/26
Residential 3,527 3,531 +4 +0.1%
Industrial 5,550 5,644 +94 +1.7%
Commercial& Other 3,075 3,099 +24 +0.8%
Wholesale 1,733 1,739 +6 +0.3%
Total 13,885 14,013 +128 +0.9%
Commercial & Other Use: 0.0% (+2 mil. m3)
(Change from previous year and past projections)
(45MJ/㎥)
[total: 14.03 bil.m3][total: 13.89 bil.m3]
11
Key points for FY2007 projection ( change from FY06)
◆Increase in sales and decrease in income from FY2006
FY 06 Actual FY06 Projection Change from FY06
Sales 1,376.9 1,463.0 +86.1 (+6.2%)
Operating Income 162.3 81.0 -81.3 (-50.1%)
Ordinary Income 156.0 76.0 -80.0 (-51.3%)Net Income 100.6 54.0 -46.6 (-46.4%)Crude Oil Price ($/bbl) 63.46 71.42 +7.96Exchange Rate(¥/US$) 116.97 118.16 +1.19
(billion yen)
Note: Figures are rounded down to nearest ¥0.1 billion.
■Factors of change from FY06 (non consolidated)
[1] Decrease gas sales margin -44.3 ¥billion[2] Increase labor cost (cost by one-off
expense in actuarial differences, etc. ) -23.1 ¥billion
[3] Increase in depreciation (tax revision effect, etc.) -9.4¥billion
[4] Increase other operating cost, etc. -3.0 ¥billion
[5] Deteriorate in non-operating profit and loss -2.0 ¥billion
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Ordinary Income -81.8 ¥billion ( 139.8 ¥billion → 58.0 ¥billion)
- Rising the gas unit price due to rate adjustment system (+)
- Increase in gas sales volume in all segments (+)- Increase in gas resource cost due to crude oil price soaring (-)
- Increase in labor cost by one-off expense in actuarial differences (-)
- Increase in depreciation by tax revisions (-)
12
3,452 3,531
5,336 5,644
2,972 3,099
1,5541,739
0
3,000
6,000
9,000
12,000
15,000
FY06 Actual FY07 Projection as ofOct.29
million m3
5.2%
Increase from FY2006
( +0.7billion m3)
[total:13.31 billion m3] [total:14.01billion m3]
Gas Sales Volume Projections
Wholesale Supply: +11.9% (+184mil. m3)-Increase in sales to other gas utilities by acquiring new demands and existing customers
Industrial Use: +5.8% (+308mil. m3)-Developed new demand-Increased demand of existing customers
Residential Use:+2.3% (+79mil. m3)-Increase number of customers -Regain decrease of hot water demand caused by FY2006 temperature
-Decreased hot water demand due to high temperature in summer
<Reasons for Changes in Gas Sales Volume Projection from FY2007 Actual>
(Rounded off to nearest million m3)
Commercial & Other Use: +4.3% (+12.7mil. m3)-Regain decrease of air conditioning demand caused by FY2006 temperature
-Increased air conditioning demand due to high temperature in summer
(Change from previous year)
(45MJ/㎥)
13
-81.3 billion yen
FY06 FY07 projection
131.0
1.21.17.311.0
(*)Total 151.6
Reasons for Changes in Operating Income
Gas
Gas Appliances
Related Construction
Real Estate Rental
Others
Gas -72.5
Gas Appliances +0.1
Related Construction
-0.6
Real Estate Rental +0.6
Others -2.8
*These figures do not include operating expenses that cannot be allocated to a specific segment.
(billion yen)
[Energy Advance] - Increase in initial depreciation
by increasing orders of on-siteenergy service
- Increase gas sales(+)- Rising the gas unit price due to
rate adjustment system(+)-Increase in raw material cost due
to crude oil price soaring(-)-Increase in operating cost such as labor cost, etc.(-)
Total Operating Income without internal transactions
Total 81.0
(*)Total 227.0
203.5
1.1
6.7
13.8
Operating incomewithout internal transactions:
Total 162.3
1.7
-75.4 billon yen
14
Reasons for changes in ordinary profit from FY06 to FY07 (non consolidated basis)
FY2006 139.8 ¥billion
FY2007 58.0 ¥billion
81.8 ¥billion (-58.5%)
Gas Profit margin -44.3 ¥billion (-31.7%)
Increased fixed cost etc. -37.5 ¥billion (-26.8%)
Sales volume growth 670 m3, up 15.5 ¥billion (+11.0%)
Negative impact due to gas rate adjustment system, down 59.8 ¥billion (-42.7%)
Increased depreciation because of tax revisions, down 11.8 ¥billion (-8.4%)
Labor cost by one-off expense in actuarial differences, down 26.6 ¥billion (-19.0%)
Invest on new policies , down 5.7 ¥billion (-4.1%) ex.)
1) Strengthen competitiveness against serious challenge from electricity: -4.1 ¥billion¥
2) Invest on further sales development:-1.6 ¥billion
Cost cut of other expenses, up 6.6 ¥billion (+4.7%)
revised projection
[ ] projection as of 26th Apr.
[-49.8 ¥billion][-35.6%]
[-5.5 ¥billion]
[-44.3 ¥billion]
[+14.7 ¥billion]
[-20.2 ¥billion]
[-12.1 ¥billion]
[-26.6 ¥billion]
[-7.2 ¥billion: 1) -4.4 ¥billion, 2) -2.8 ¥billion]
[-1.6¥billion]
15
JCC JLC(JCC+3 months) Gas sales(JLC+6 months)
Image of gas rate adjustment system
JCC reflects on JLC 3 months later, and gas rate( regulated rate) is reflected JLC price 6 months later. [Economic flame] $75/bbl,¥117/US$ after Oct.
Oct.
Nov.
Dec.
Apr.
May.
Jun.
Jul.
Sept.
Jan.
Feb.
Mar.
Apr.
May
Jun.
1st half 2nd halfNext fiscal year
JCC+
3 months
JLC+
6 months
Time lag -6.6 billion yen
Aug.
※JCC =Japan Crude oil Cocktail JLC =Japan LNG Cocktail
Time lag -46.0 billion yen
References
17
Performance Indicators (Interim Results-1)
FY06 Interim Results
Projection as of
Apr.26
Projection as of Jul.27
FY07 Interim Results
Change from FY06
Change from
projection as of
Apr.26
Change from
projection as of Jul.27
Sales 603.5 636.0 643.0 636.9 +33.4 (+5.5%)
+0.9 (+0.1%)
-6.1 (-0.9%)
Operating Income 62.7 30.0 32.0 33.1 -29.6 (-47.2%)
+3.1 (+10.3%)
+1.1 (+3.7%)
Ordinary Income 55.5 26.0 28.0 31.7 -23.8 (-43.0%)
+5.7 (+21.9%)
+3.7 (+13.3%)
Net Income 36.0 20.0 20.0 19.8 -16.2 (-45.0%)
-0.2 (-1.0%)
-0.2 (-0.9%)
EPS(¥) 13.41 - - 7.41 -6.00 - -
TEP 12.7 - - -0.1 -12.8 - -
Gas sales volume
(million m3)616.7 - - 646.6 +29.9 - -
Oil price ($/bbl) 67.83 55.00 67.30 67.83 0.00 +12.83 +0.53
FX rate (yen/US$) 115.38 120.00 120.39 119.40 +4.02 -0.60 -0.99
(billion yen)
18
Note: Total Assets and Shareholders’ Equity and Equity ratio and Interest Bearing Debt in FY06 is shown as of Mar.2007 ROA=Net Income/Average Total Assets, ROE=Net Income/Average Shareholders’ Equity Operating Cash Flow = Net Income + Depreciation
FY06 Interim Results
Projection as of
Apr.26
Projection as of Jul.27
FY07 Interim Results
Change from FY06
Change from projection as
of Apr.26
Change from projection as
of Jul.27
Total Assets(a) 1,692.6 - - 1,691.5 -1.1 (-0.1%)
- -
Shareholders’ Equity (b) 795.1 - - 775.1 -20.0
(-2.5%)- -
Equity Ratio: (b)/(a) 47.0% - - 45.8% -1.2% - -
Interest Bearing Debt 525.4 - - 616.2 +90.8 - -
Operating Cash Flow (c) + (d) 101.2 90.0 90.0 89.9 -11.3
(-11.2%)-0.1
(-0.0%)-0.1
(-0.0%)
Net Income (c) 36.0 20.0 20.0 19.8 -16.2 (-45.0%)
-0.2 (-0.9%)
-0.2 (-0.9%)
Depreciation (d) 65.2 70.0 70.0 70.1 +4.9 (+7.5%)
+0.1 (+0.2%)
+0.1 (+0.2%)
CAPEX 58.6 65.0 64.0 56.0 -2.6 (-4.4%)
-9.0 (-13.8%)
-8.0 (-12.4%)
ROA: (c) / (a) 2.1% - - 1.2% -0.9% - -
ROE: (c) / (b) 5.0% - - 2.5% -2.5% - -
(billion yen)
Performance Indicators (Interim Results-2)
19
Performance Indicators (FY2007 projection-1)
FY06 Interim Results
Projection as of
Apr.26
Projection as of Jul.27
FY07 Interim Results
Change from FY06
Change from
projection as of Apr.26
Change from
projection as of Jul.27
Sales 1,376.9 1,419.0 1,454.0 1,463.0+86.1
(+6.2%)+44.0
(+3.1%)+9.0
(+0.6%)
Operating Income 162.3 113.0 105.0 81.0-81.3
(-50.1%)-32.0
(-28.3%)-24.0
(-22.9%)
Ordinary Income 156.0 105.0 97.0 76.0-80.0
(-51.3%)-29.0
(-27.6%)-21.0
(-21.6%)
Net Income 100.6 73.0 68.0 54.0-46.6
(-46.4%)-19.0
(-26.0%)-14.0
(-20.6%)
EPS(¥) 37.50 26.91 25.35 20.33 -17.17 -6.58 -5.02
TEP 53.8 22.0 18.4 6.2-47.6
(-90.9%)-15.8
(-71.8%)-12.2
(-73.4%)
Gas sales volume (million m3) 13,315 13,885 14,031 14,013
+698 (+5.2%)
+128 (+0.9%)
-1.8 (-0.1%)
Crude oil price ($/bbl) 63.45 55.00 66.15 71.42 +7.96 +16.42 +5.27
FX rate (yen/US$) 116.97 120.00 120.20 118.16 +1.19 -1.84 -2.04
(billion yen)
Note: EPS=earnings per number of shares as of half year ended
20
FY06 Interim Results
Projection as of
Apr.26
Projection as of Jul.27
FY07 Interim Results
Change from FY06
Change from
projection as of Apr.26
Change from
projection as of Jul.27
Total Assets(a) 1,692.6 1,747.2 1,747.2 1,761.0 +68.4 (+4.0%)
+13.8 (+0.8%)
+13.8 (+0.8%)
Shareholders’ Equity (b) 795.1 810.1 805.1 794.0 -1.1 (-0.1%)
-16.1 (-2.0%)
-11.1 (-1.4%)
Equity Ratio: (b)/(a) 47.0% 46.4% 46.1% 45.1% -1.9% -1.3% -1.0%
Interest Bearing Debt 525.4 585.3 585.3 615.0 +89.6 +29.7 +29.7
Cash Flow from Operating Activities (c) + (d) 233.8 217.9 212.5 198.0 -35.8
(15.3%)-19.9
(-9.1%)-14.5
(-6.8%)
Net Income (c) 100.6 73.0 68.0 54.0 -46.6 (-46.4%)
-19.0 (-26.0%)
-14.0 (-20.6%)
Depreciation (d) 133.1 144.9 144.5 144.0 +10.9 (+8.2%)
-0.9 (-0.6%)
-0.5 (-0.3%)
CAPEX 124.5 139.0 139.0 134.0 +9.5 (+7.6%)
-5.0 (-3.6%)
-5.0 (-3.6%)
ROA: (c) / (a) 5.9% 4.3% 4.0% 3.1% -2.8% -1.2% -0.9%
ROE: (c) / (b) 13.2% 9.1% 8.5% 6.8% -6.4% -2.3% -1.7%
(billion yen)
(*)ROA=Net Income/Average Total Assets, ROE=Net Income/Average Shareholders’ Equity EPS: earnings per average number of shares issued and outstanding
Performance Indicators (FY2007 projection-2)
21
3.1
5.55.9
1.0
2.0
3.0
4.0
5.0
6.0
FY06 Actual FY07 Projection FY10 Target
%
6.8
10.913.2
0.0
5.0
10.0
15.0
FY06 Actual FY07 Projection FY10 Target
%
1,120 .0
198.0233.80.0
300.0
600.0
900.0
1200.0
FY06 Actual FY07 Projection FY06-FY10 total
billion yen(TEP : EVA Tokyo Gas Version)
(ROE)(ROA)
■OCF=Net profit + depreciation (including amortization of long-term expenses)
(Operating Cash Flow)
■ROA=Net income/Average Total Asset
Major management targets
■ TEP = After-tax, pre-interest-payment profit - capital cost (capital invested x WACC)
WACC: FY06 Actual 3.8%, FY06 Projection 3.8%, FY10 target 3.8%
51.0
6.2
53.8
0.0
20.0
40.0
60.0
FY06 Actual FY07 Projection FY10 Target
billion yen
■ROE=Net income/Average Shareholders’ Equity