financial inclusion at a glance june 2015 arpitha bykere associate economist, global macro analysis...
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Financial Inclusion at a Glance
June 2015
Arpitha BykereAssociate Economist, Global Macro Analysis
Felix Huefner Chief Economist, Global Macro Analysis
Tomás CondeBBVA Chair for Financial Inclusion, IIF
Dongyoon KimIntern, Global Macro Analysis
2
Financial Inclusion – From Access to Usage
Financial Access: The First Step Towards Financial Inclusion (Pages 3-10)
• Asia is leading the rise in access to financial services, but variation across and within countries remains wide
• Developed markets dominate traditional banking…• …but mobile banking and mobile money accounts are increasing rapidly in Sub-Saharan
Africa
Trends in Usage of Financial Services (Pages 11-15)
• Sub-Saharan Africa is on par with high-income countries in using mobile banking…• …but cash still dominates transfers in developing countries
Financial Inclusion and Financial Sector Development (Pages 16-17)
• Financial inclusion boosts borrowing and saving in the economy…• …and is associated with a rise in the credit-to-GDP ratio
Asia Leading the Rise in Financial Access
3
…But Rapid Catch-up in Recent Years
40% of World Population Still Without an Account…
Hig
h In
com
e C
ou
ntr
ies
Ea
st A
sia
& P
aci
fic
EM
Eu
rop
e &
Ce
ntr
al A
sia
Lata
m &
Ca
rib
be
an
So
uth
Asi
a
Su
b-S
ah
ara
n A
fric
a
Mid
dle
Ea
st
0
20
40
60
80
100
Account at a Financial Institution by Region in 2014 percent of 15+ years population
Source: World Bank Findex.
Global Average
So
uth
Asi
a
Ea
st A
sia
& P
aci
fic
Lata
m &
Ca
rib
be
an
Su
b-S
ah
ara
n A
fric
a
EM
Eu
rop
e &
Ce
ntr
al A
...
Hig
h In
com
e C
ou
ntr
ies
Mid
dle
Ea
st
0
5
10
15
Increase in Account at a Financial Institution Between 2011-14 percent of 15+ years population
Source: World Bank Findex.
Financial Access is Not Progressing Evenly Within Regions
4
…While Some Other African Countries Lag Behind
Kenya Remains a Frontrunner…
Ke
ny
a
UA
E
Ug
an
da
Sa
ud
i Ara
bia
El S
alv
ad
or
Ta
nza
nia
Uru
gu
ay
Bo
tsw
an
a
Ch
ile
Se
rbia
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
Increase in Account at a Financial Institution Between 2011-14 - Top 10 Countriespercent of 15+ years population
Source: World Bank Findex.
Sin
ga
po
re
Ma
ced
on
ia, F
YR
Slo
va
k R
ep
ub
lic
Cro
ati
a
Ca
me
roo
n
Ha
iti
Bo
snia
& H
erz
eg
ov
ina
Zim
ba
bw
e
An
go
la
Ku
wa
it
-15
-10
-5
0
Increase in Account at a Financial Institution Between 2011-14 - Bottom 10 Countriespercent of 15+ years population
Source: World Bank Findex.
Large Differences in Financial Access Within Countries
5
…But Income Gap Narrowing More Steadily
Slow Reduction in Gender Gap…
So
uth
Asi
a
EM
Eu
rop
e &
Ce
ntr
al A
sia
Lata
m &
Ca
rib
be
an
Mid
dle
Ea
st
Ea
st A
sia
& P
aci
fic
Su
b-S
ah
ara
n A
fric
a
Hig
h In
com
e C
ou
ntr
ies
0
5
10
15
20
2011 2014
Account at a Financial Institution - Gap between Male and Femalepercent of 15+ years population
Source: World Bank Findex.
Ea
st A
sia
& P
aci
fic
Lata
m &
Ca
rib
be
an
Su
b-S
ah
ara
n A
fric
a
Eu
rop
e &
Ce
ntr
al A
sia
So
uth
Asi
a
Mid
dle
Ea
st
Hig
h In
com
e C
ou
ntr
ies
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
2011 2014
Account at a Financial Institution - Gap Between Richest 60% and Poorest 40% percent of 15+ years population
Source: World Bank Findex.
6
Developed Markets Dominate in Traditional Banking
High Debit Card Ownership Leads to ATM Access in High-Income
Countries
Less than 20% of World Population Holds a Credit Card
Hig
h In
com
e C
ou
ntr
ies
Lata
m &
Ca
rrib
ea
n
EM
Eu
rop
e &
Ce
ntr
al A
sia
Ea
st A
sia
& P
aci
fic
So
uth
Asi
a
Su
b-S
ah
ara
n A
fric
a
Mid
dle
Ea
st
0
10
20
30
40
50
Credit Card Ownership by Region in 2014 percent of 15+ years population
Source: World Bank Findex.
Global Average
Canad
a
China
, P.R
.: Mac
ao
Portug
al
Austral
ia
Russia
Brazil
Japa
n
Aruba
Isra
el
Spai
n
0
25
50
75
100
125
150
175
200
225
Number of ATMs in 2013per 100000 adults
Source: IMF Financial Access Survey.
Middle East Lags Behind in Traditional Banking Activity
7
Share of Formal Savings in High-Income Countries Nearly Twice the
Global Average
Share of Borrowers Twice as Large in Latin America Compared to Middle
East
Hig
h In
com
e C
ou
ntr
ies
EM
Eu
rop
e &
Ce
ntr
al A
sia
Lata
m &
Ca
rib
be
an
Ea
st A
sia
& P
aci
fic
So
uth
Asi
a
Su
b-S
ah
ara
n A
fric
a
Mid
dle
Ea
st
0
5
10
15
20
Borrowed from a Financial Institutionpercent of 15+ years population
Source: World Bank Findex.
Global Average
Hig
h In
com
e C
ou
ntr
ies
Ea
st A
sia
& P
aci
fic
Su
b-S
ah
ara
n A
fric
a
Lata
m &
Ca
rib
be
an
So
uth
Asi
a
EM
Eu
rop
e &
Ce
ntr
al A
sia
Mid
dle
Ea
st
0
10
20
30
40
50
Saved at a Financial Institutionpercent of 15+ years population
Source: World Bank Findex.
Global Average
Mobile Penetration Key Tool to Boost Financial Access
8
Sub-Saharan Africa Makes Most Use of Mobile Penetration
Mobile Penetration Exceeds Bank Account Ownership in All
Regions
Hig
h In
com
e C
ou
ntr
ies
Lata
m &
Ca
rib
be
an
EM
Eu
rop
e &
Ce
ntr
al A
sia
Ea
st A
sia
& P
aci
fic
So
uth
Asi
a
Su
b-S
ah
ara
n A
fric
a
0
25
50
75
100
125
Mobile subscriptions per 100 people in 2013 (incl. prepaid + active subscrip-tions)Percent of population with an account at a financial institution in 2014
Mobile Penetration vs. Account Ownership by Region
Source: World Bank.
Lata
m &
Ca
rib
be
an
EM
Eu
rop
e &
Ce
ntr
al A
...
Ea
st A
sia
& P
aci
fic
So
uth
Asi
a
Su
b-S
ah
ara
n A
fric
a
0
25
50
75
100
125
Mobile Subscriptions in 2013 (per 100 people)Used Mobile for Bank Account Transaction in 2014 (percent of popula -tion)Mobile Money Account Ownership in 2014 (percent of population)
Mobile Subscriptions, Mobile Banking and Mobile Money
Source: World Bank.
Sub-Saharan Africa Leads in Mobile Money
9
…With Kenya Being the Frontrunner
More Than 10% of Population in Sub-Saharan Africa Has a Mobile Money
Account…
Su
b-S
ah
ara
n A
fric
a
So
uth
Asi
a
Lati
n A
me
rica
& C
ari
bb
ea
n
Mid
dle
Ea
st
Ea
st A
sia
& P
aci
fic
EM
Eu
rop
e &
Ce
ntr
al A
sia
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
Mobile Money Account Ownership by Region in 2014 percent of 15+ years population
Source: World Bank Findex.
Ke
ny
a
So
ma
lia
Ug
an
da
Ta
nza
nia
Co
te d
'Ivo
ire
Zim
ba
bw
e
Bo
tsw
an
a
Rw
an
da
So
uth
Afr
ica
Ca
mb
od
ia
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
Mobile Money Account Ownership in 2014 - Top 10 Countriespercent of 15+ years population
Source: World Bank Findex.
Growth in Mobile Money is a Recent Phenomenon
10
…But Remains Almost Non-Existent in Indonesia and
Argentina
Mobile Money Growth has Jumped in Uganda and Botswana since 2011…
Vie
tna
m
Jord
an
Ro
ma
nia
Ind
on
esi
a
Arg
en
tin
a
Ne
pa
l
Afg
ha
nis
tan
My
an
ma
r
Sri
La
nka
Eth
iop
ia
0
0.1
0.2
0.3
0.4
0.5
Mobile Money Account Ownership in 2014 - Bottom 10 Countriespercent of 15+ years population
Source: World Bank Findex.
Ta
nza
nia
Ke
ny
a
Ug
an
da
Bo
tsw
an
a
Rw
an
da
Za
mb
ia
Ca
me
roo
n
Ma
da
ga
sca
r
Ind
on
esi
a
0
200
400
600
800
1000
1200
1400
2011
2012
2013
Registered Mobile Money Accounts During 2011-2013per 1000 adults
Source: IMF Financial Access Survey.
Traditional vs. Innovative Modes of Usage
11
…But the Divide is Narrowing for Mobile Banking
High-Income Countries Still Dominate in Traditional Banking
Usage…
Hig
h In
com
e C
ou
ntr
ies
Su
b-S
ah
ara
n A
fric
a
Ea
st A
sia
& P
aci
fic
EM
Eu
rop
e &
Ce
ntr
al A
sia
Mid
dle
Ea
st
Lati
n A
me
rica
& C
ari
bb
...
So
uth
Asi
a
0
5
10
15
20
25
Used Mobile Phone to Make a Transaction Through a Bank Account in 2014 percent of respondents with an account at a financial institution
Source: World Bank Findex.
Hig
h In
com
e C
ou
ntr
ies
Lata
m &
Ca
rrib
ea
n
Su
b-S
ah
ara
n A
fric
a
EM
Eu
rop
e &
Ce
ntr
al A
sia
Ea
st A
sia
& P
aci
fic
So
uth
Asi
a
Mid
dle
Ea
st
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
3 or More Withdrawals in a Typical Month
3 or More Deposits in a Typical Month
Account Usage in 2014percent of respondents with an account
Source: World Bank Findex.
Direct Deposit Services Gathering Pace
12
…But Cash Remains Important for Developing Countries Overall
8% of Sub-Saharan Population Receives Wages Through Mobile
Phone…
Hig
h In
com
e C
ou
ntr
ies
EM
Eu
rop
e &
Ce
ntr
al A
sia
Lata
m &
Ca
rrib
ea
n
Ea
st A
sia
& P
aci
fic
Su
b-S
ah
ara
n A
fric
a
Mid
dle
Ea
st
So
uth
Asi
a
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
Into an Account at a Financial Institu-tionThrough a Mobile Phone
Mode of Receiving Wages in 2014percent of respondents receiving wages
Source: World Bank Findex.
High Income Countries Low & Middle Income Countries
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
In Cash
Into an Account at a Financial Institu-tion
Through a Mobile Phone
Mode of Receiving Government Transfers in 2014percent of respondents receiving government transfers
Source: World Bank Findex.
Mobile Banking Promoting Account Usage
13
…With Greece Lagging Far BehindKenya Ahead of U.S. in Mobile Banking …
Bo
tsw
an
a
Ke
ny
a
Ug
an
da
Ta
nza
nia
Co
te d
'Ivo
ire
Zim
ba
bw
e
Ko
rea
U.S
.
Sw
ed
en
Au
stra
lia
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
45
Used Mobile Phone to Make a Transaction Through a Bank Account in 2014 - Top 10 Countries percent of respondents with an account at a financial institution
Source: World Bank Findex.
Ecu
ad
or
Ko
sov
o
Bo
snia
an
d H
erz
eg
ov
ina
Alb
an
ia
Ne
pa
l
Mo
nte
ne
gro
Gre
ece
Ge
org
ia
Sri
La
nka
Eth
iop
ia
0.0
0.5
1.0
1.5
2.0
Used Mobile Phone to Make a Transaction Through a Bank Account in 2014 - Bottom 10 Countries percent of respondents with an account at a financial institution
Source: World Bank Findex.
Rising Mobile Payment Systems
14
…But Use of Mobile Phone to Pay Utility Bills is Picking Up
Cash Dominates Domestic Transfers in Most Countries…
So
uth
Asi
a
Mid
dle
Ea
st
Su
b-S
ah
ara
n A
fric
a
Ea
st A
sia
& P
aci
fic
EM
Eu
rop
e &
Ce
ntr
al A
sia
Lata
m &
Ca
rib
be
an
0
15
30
45
60
75
90
Handed Cash in Person or via Third Person
Via Financial Institution
Via Mobile Phone
Via Money Transfer Service
Money Received from Relative or Friend Living in Different Part of the Country in 2014percent of recipients
Source: World Bank Findex.
Su
b-S
ah
ara
n A
fric
a
Hig
h In
com
e C
ou
ntr
ies
Ea
st A
sia
& P
aci
fic
Lata
m &
Ca
rrib
ea
n
EM
Eu
rop
e &
Ce
ntr
al A
sia
So
uth
Asi
a
Mid
dle
Ea
st
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
Using a Mobile Phone
Using an Account at a Financial Institu-tion
Mode of Payment for Utility Bills in 2014percent of respondents paying utility bills
Source: World Bank Findex.
High Mobile Money Usage in Sub-Saharan Africa
15
…And in TransactionsTanzania and Kenya Lead in Active Mobile Money Accounts…
Ta
nza
nia
Ke
ny
a
Zim
ba
bw
e
Bo
tsw
an
a
Rw
an
da
Sa
mo
a
Leso
tho
Za
mb
ia
Ca
me
roo
n
Ma
da
ga
sca
r
0
200
400
600
800
1000
1200
1400
Registered AccountsAccounts Active in the Past 90 Days
Registered vs. Active Mobile Money Accounts in 2013per 1000 adults
Source: IMF Financial Access Survey.
Ta
nza
nia
Ke
ny
a
Ug
an
da
Zim
ba
bw
e
Rw
an
da
Bo
tsw
an
a
Ma
law
i
Ba
ng
lad
esh
Za
mb
ia Fiji
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
Number of Transactions Per 1000 Adults ('000)Value of Transactions (% of GDP)
Mobile Money Transactions in 2013
Source: IMF Financial Access Survey.
Financial Inclusion Boosts Borrowing and Saving
16
…And Take Up MortgagesAccount Owners Tend to Save More…
0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
f(x) = 0.48273127568464 x − 0.566680556287217R² = 0.735139774666533
Account Ownership vs. Savingsaved at a financial institution in 2014(percent of 15+ years population)
account at a financial institution in 2011 (% of 15+ years popula-tion)
Source: World Bank Findex, IIF.
0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
45
f(x) = 0.245572648187184 x + 1.52282960633012R² = 0.666507563354138
Account Ownership vs. Mortgage from a Financial Institutionoutstanding mortgage at a financial institution in 2014 (percent of 15+ years population)
account at a financial institution in 2011 (percent of 15+ years popu-lation)
Source: World Bank Findex, IIF.
Financial Inclusion Contributes to Financial Sector Growth
17
Countries With Higher Account Ownership Experience a Rise in Credit-to-GDP in
Subsequent Years
0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
400
f(x) = 1.40018125308654 x + 13.40641282022R² = 0.45697284985759
Account Ownership vs. Domestic Credit/GDPdomestic credit/GDP in 2013 (percent)
account at a financial institution in 2011
(percent of 15+ years population)Source: World Bank Findex, Haver, IIF.
Resources
World Bank Global Findex Database
IMF Financial Access Survey
World Bank Development Indicators
World Bank Financial Development and Structure Database
IIF Coverage on Financial Inclusion: https://www.iif.com/topics/financial-inclusion
18