financial concepts for business management
TRANSCRIPT
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Financial concepts for business management
เน้ือหาข้อมูลท่ีจะปรากฏต่อไปน้ี ถูกจัดให้มีขึ้นเพื่อวัตถุประสงค์ในการอบรมออนไลน์ e-Learning เท่าน้ัน และเป็นงานวรรณกรรมอันมีลิขสิทธิ์ของ [*] ซึ่งได้รับความคุ้มครองตามกฎหมายว่าด้วยลิขสิทธิ์ การน าไปใช้เพ่ือวัตถุประสงค์อื่นนอกจากท่ีระบุไว้ข้างต้น รวมถึงเพื่อวัตถุประสงค์ในทางการค้าหาก าไรจะกระท ามิได้
รศ. ดร.คณิสร์ แสงโชติ *ภาคการธนาคารและการเงิน คณะพาณิชยศาสตร์และการบัญชี จุฬาลงกรณ์มหาวิทยาลัย
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Course Outline
Economics of financial decisions
How to manage cash flow
How to measure business performance
Recap
อาจารย์ไผ่ รศ. ดร.คณิสร์ แสงโชติ
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Suggested pre-coursesACC1001: The Role of Accounting for Business ACC1002 : Accounting for Decision Making
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Part 1
Economics of financial decisionsเศรษฐศาสตรก์บัการตดัสินใจทางการเงิน
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The financial decisions of a business.
Accumulate
Financial Capital
(debt and equity)
Invest in
Productive Capital
Operate
Business
Allocate Profits
1. Investment evaluation
2. Fundraising
3. Performance evaluation
4. Financial risk
management
6. Further fundraising
Retained
earnings
Dividends
Business plan
5. Payout
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What is the value of a bottled water?
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Opportunity Cost (ค่าเสียโอกาส)
• Every opportunity is compared against the next best available opportunity.
• Rational decision makers choose what is best for themselves.• The value of each opportunity can be subjective and compared in terms of money.
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People don’t like risk, so rewards are necessary to attract investment.
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Economics can help us understand risk and reward.
• High risk investment opportunities require high returns.• People who are better at handling risk see high-risk investment as
opportunities.• As people become better at managing risk, competition increases, and as
competition increases, profitability decreases.
risk and return is dynamic, and competition affects profitability.Key takeaway :
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FROM WHOM HOW
Two important questions in fundraising: from whom and how?
➢ Family➢ Friends➢ Fools (angels)➢ Financial system
(banks, capital markets)
Debt➢ Loans, promissory notes,
debentures➢ First claim, fixed claim
Equity➢ Preferred stock, common stock,
retained earnings➢ Residual claim
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Information asymmetry makes fundraising a difficult task.
Source: Pixabay
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Investor risk perception may not the same as yours.
• Banks will ask for business plan, track record (e.g. financial statements, credit history) and collateral.
• IPO listing requires good internal controls (e.g. reputable auditors, independent board members) and information disclosure.
• Early-stage fundraising requires founders to have significant ownership in the company and close working relationship.
trust can be increased by information disclosure and providing commitments.Key takeaway :
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Part 2
How to manage cash flowการบริหารจดัการกระแสเงินสด
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Cash is King
• Investment is cash expenditure required for future growth.• Cash flow can be used to repay investors, e.g. interest, loan repayment,
dividends. This is also known as “free cash flow”. When it is negative, it means you need to raise additional funds.
• Thorough cash flow forecasts can greatly help business planning.
Cash Flow = Profit – Investment= Revenue – Expenses – Investment
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Source: Pixabay
Credit sales are also investments.
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Cash 1,020,000 Accounts payable 0
Accounts receivable 0 Shareholders’ equity 1,000,000
Inventories 100,000 Retained earnings 120,000
Total 1,120,000 Total 1,120,000
Scenario 1: cash purchase, cash sales
Cash balance
Beginning cash 1,000,000
Inventory purchase (800,000) 200,000
Sales 1,000,000 1,200,000
SG&A (150,000) 1,050,000
Taxes (30,000) 1,020,000
Inventory AccountingPurchase: 800,000Sold: 700,000Remaining: 100,000
Example:• 0.8m purchase (at cost)• 1m sales• Start with 1m cash• SG&A all cashSales 1,000,000
COGS (700,000)
Gross profit 300,000
SG&A (150,000)
EBIT 150,000
Taxes (30,000)
Net profit 120,000
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Cash 20,000 Accounts payable 0
Accounts receivable 1,000,000 Shareholders’ equity 1,000,000
Inventories 100,000 Retained earnings 120,000
Total 1,120,000 Total 1,120,000
Scenario 2: cash purchase, credit sales
Sales 1,000,000
COGS (700,000)
Gross profit 300,000
SG&A (150,000)
EBIT 150,000
Taxes (30,000)
Net profit 120,000
Cash balance
Beginning cash 1,000,000
Inventory purchase (800,000) 200,000
Sales 0 200,000
SG&A (150,000) 50,000
Taxes (30,000) 20,000
Inventory AccountingPurchase: 800,000Sold: 700,000Remaining: 100,000
Example:• 0.8m purchase (at cost)• 1m sales• Start with 1m cash• SG&A all cash
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Cash 1,820,000 Accounts payable 800,000
Accounts receivable 0 Shareholders’ equity 1,000,000
Inventories 100,000 Retained earnings 120,000
Total 1,920,000 Total 1,920,000
Scenario 3: credit purchase, cash sales
Sales 1,000,000
COGS (700,000)
Gross profit 300,000
SG&A (150,000)
EBIT 150,000
Taxes (30,000)
Net profit 120,000
Cash balance
Beginning cash 1,000,000
Inventory purchase 0 1,000,000
Sales 1,000,000 2,000,000
SG&A (150,000) 1,850,000
Taxes (30,000) 1,820,000
Inventory AccountingPurchase: 800,000Sold: 700,000Remaining: 100,000
Example:• 0.8m purchase (at cost)• 1m sales• Start with 1m cash• SG&A all cash
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Current Assets- Cash and equivalents- Accounts receivable- Inventories
Non-Current Assets- Net fixed assets- Intangible assets
Current Liabilities- Accounts payable- Accruals- Overdraft- Current portion of
long-term loans
Long-term debt- Bank loans
Shareholders’ equity- Preferred stock- Common stock- Retained earnings
Net Working Capital- Adjusted CA minus
adjusted CL
Net Long-Term Capital- Net fixed assets- Intangible assets
Productive Capital Financial Capital
Accounting View Managerial View
Debt- Overdraft - Current portion of
long-term loans- Bank loans
Equity- Preferred stock- Common stock- Retained earnings
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Cash 1,020,000 Accounts payable 0
Accounts receivable 0 Shareholders’ equity 1,000,000
Inventories 100,000 Retained earnings 120,000
Total 1,120,000 Total 1,120,000
Scenario 1: cash purchase, cash salesNWC = 1,020,000+100,000= 1,120,000
Cash 20,000 Accounts payable 0
Accounts receivable 1,000,000 Shareholders’ equity 1,000,000
Inventories 100,000 Retained earnings 120,000
Total 1,120,000 Total 1,120,000
Cash 1,820,000 Accounts payable 800,000
Accounts receivable 0 Shareholders’ equity 1,000,000
Inventories 100,000 Retained earnings 120,000
Total 1,920,000 Total 1,920,000
Scenario 2: cash purchase, credit salesNWC = 20,000+1,000,000+100,000= 1,120,000
Scenario 3: credit purchase, cash salesNWC = 1,820,000+100,000-800,000= 1,120,000
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Basic working capital management
Cash Cycle = AIP + ACP - APP
Avg. Inventory Period (AIP) Avg. Collection Period (ACP)
Avg. Payment Period (APP)
• Working capital management is about optimizing short-term investment and cash on hand.
• Minimizing working capital is not always the best strategy as it can affect profitability of the business.→Tradeoff between cash and profit.More details at microlearning on Working Capital Management
Cash Cycle
Longer = slower cash inflow
Longer = slower cash outflow
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Investment: outlay of time, money, efforts today for future benefits.
Source: FreeImagesLive
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Most businesses will begin with negative cash flow as they invest.
Source: Corporate Finance Institute
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Two perspectives of cash flow management strategies
1. Change timing of cash inflows and outflows• Cash cycle management (e.g. trade credit policy and inventory management)• Rent rather than buy (e.g. sharing economy, XaaS)• Good for cash-constrained businesses but can reduce profitability.
2. Reduce cash outflows in general• Rightsizing by choosing optimal scale of investment
(e.g. inventory management, real estate footprint).• Eliminate expenses by cutting out unnecessary items.• Good if they are unnecessary but may affect long-term growth potential.
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But what is an expense and what is an investment?
Are R&D, advertising and customer acquisition costsexpenses or investments?
More details at ACC1001: The Role of Accounting for Business
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Cash is King, but not always.
• Businesses have their life cycle. In the long-run, cash flow should be generated from profits.
• Optimize cash flow by cash flow timing and cash outflow reduction strategies and be aware of profit / cash flow tradeoff.
• Labelling of items as expense versus investment can affect the psychology of business decision-making.
Cash Flow = Revenue – Expenses – Investment
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Part 3
How to measure business performanceวิธีวดัผลการด าเนินธรุกิจ
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Common financial ratios to measure profitability.
More details at ACC1002 : Accounting for Decision Making
ROE
ROA
NPM
TAT
Return on equity
Return on assets
Net profit margin
Total assets turnover
Net incomeTotal equity
Net incomeTotal assets
Net incomeSales
SalesTotal assets
= =
= =
1
2
3
4
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Common financial ratios to measure profitability.
ROAReturn on assets
Net incomeTotal assets
= x
DuPont Analysis
SalesSales
Net incomeTotal assets= x Sales
Sales
= xNPM TATNet profit margin Total assets turnover
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Sales 1,000 100.0%COGS (650) -65.0%Gross profit 350 35.0%SG&A (150) -15.0%EBIT 200 20.0%Interest 0 0.0%Taxes (40) -4.0%Net profit 160 16.0%
Cash 50 Accounts payable 140Accounts receivable 150 Bank loan 0Inventories 200Shareholders’ equity 1,700Net fixed assets 1600 Retained earnings 160Total assets 2,000 Total L&E 2,000
Sales 1,000 100.0%COGS (650) -65.0%Gross profit 350 35.0%SG&A (150) -15.0%EBIT 200 20.0%Interest (100) 0.0%Taxes (20) -2.0%Net profit 80 8.0%
Cash 50 Accounts payable 140Accounts receivable 150 Bank loan 1,250Inventories 200Shareholders’ equity 530Net fixed assets 1600 Retained earnings 80Total assets 2,000 Total L&E 2,000
ROE = 160 / (1,700+160) = 8.6%ROA = 160 / 2,000 = 8%NPM = 160 / 1,000= 16% TAT = 1,000/2,000= 0.50x
Case 1: no debt Case 2: uses debtROE = 80 / (530+80) = 13.1%ROA = 80 / 2,000 = 4%NPM = 80 / 1,000= 8% TAT = 1,000/2,000= 0.50x
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Sales 1,000 100.0%COGS (650) -65.0%Gross profit 350 35.0%SG&A (150) -15.0%EBIT 200 20.0%Interest 0 0.0%Taxes (40) -4.0%Net profit 160 16.0%
Sales 1,000 100.0%COGS (650) -65.0%Gross profit 350 35.0%SG&A (150) -15.0%EBIT 200 20.0%Interest (100) 0.0%Taxes (20) -2.0%Net profit 80 8.0%
NOPAT = 200 – 20%x200= 160
Case 1: no debt Case 2: uses debt(but assume no debt)
Step 1: NOPAT (net operating profit after tax) measures operating profitability.
NOPAT = 200 – 20%x200= 160
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Cash 50 Accounts payable 140Accounts receivable 150 Bank loan 0Inventories 200Shareholders’ equity 1,700Net fixed assets 1600 Retained earnings 160Total assets 2,000 Total L&E 2,000
Cash 50 Accounts payable 140Accounts receivable 150 Bank loan 1,250Inventories 200Shareholders’ equity 530Net fixed assets 1600 Retained earnings 80Total assets 2,000 Total L&E 2,000
Case 1: no debt Case 2: uses debt
Step 2: Managerial view reflects capital required and the sources.
Net working capital 260 Debt 0Net long-term capital 1600 Equity 1,860Invested capital 1,860 Total D&E 1,860
Net working capital 260 Debt 1,250Net long-term capital 1600 Equity 610Invested capital 1,860 Total D&E 1,860
Productive capital Financial capital Productive capital Financial capital
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Sales 1,000 100.0%COGS (650) -65.0%Gross profit 350 35.0%SG&A (150) -15.0%EBIT 200 20.0%Interest 0 0.0%Taxes (40) -4.0%Net profit 160 16.0%
Sales 1,000 100.0%COGS (650) -65.0%Gross profit 350 35.0%SG&A (150) -15.0%EBIT 200 20.0%Interest (100) 0.0%Taxes (20) -2.0%Net profit 80 8.0%
ROIC = NOPAT / capital= 160 / 1,860= 8.60%
Case 1: no debt Case 2: uses debt
Step 3: combine for alternative measure of profitability.
Net working capital 260 Debt 0Net long-term capital 1600 Equity 1,860Invested capital 1,860 Total D&E 1,860
Net working capital 260 Debt 1,250Net long-term capital 1600 Equity 610Invested capital 1,860 Total D&E 1,860
Productive capital Financial capital Productive capital Financial capital
ROIC = return on invested capitalROC = return on capitalROI = return on investment
ROIC = NOPAT / capital= 160 / 1,860= 8.60%
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ROICNOPAT/Capital
Profit MarginNOPAT/Sales
Capital Efficiency
Sales/Capital
Revenue
Cost
Net Working Capital
Net Long-Term Capital
ลงทุนนอ้ย...เมื่อเทียบกับรายได้
ก าไรดี...หลังหักรายจ่าย
มีอนาคต...ตลาดมีขนาดใหญ่
8.6%16%
0.54x
Sales enhancementPricing optimization
Procurement cost reductionProcess optimizationOverhead cost reductionFixed / variable cost optimization
Utilization managementScale optimization
Net working capital management
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How much profits is good enough?
• Setting too high expectation means you miss out on profitable investments, and too low expectation means you are better off investing in something else.
• Opportunity cost of capital should measure what is “fair”.• Investor risk perception may not the same as yours. What is fair for you may not
be the same for other people.• Greater ability and willingness to take on risk reduces expectation and hence
profitability.→ ความเสี่ยงเหมาะสม
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Recap
Financial concepts for businessmanagement
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Recap
• Economics of financial decisions: opportunity cost and decision-making, risk and reward, competition and profitability, information asymmetry and trust
• Cash flow = profit – investment :cash flow / profit tradeoff, expense / investment classification
• Profitability equation : ลงทุนน้อย ก าไรดี มีอนาคต ความเสี่ยงเหมาะสม
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