financial astrology modelstimingsolution.com/ts/articles/alon/financial astrology...financial...

30
Financial Astrology Models Introduction by Alon Avramson May 2012

Upload: others

Post on 31-Jul-2020

153 views

Category:

Documents


11 download

TRANSCRIPT

Page 1: Financial Astrology Modelstimingsolution.com/TS/Articles/Alon/Financial Astrology...Financial Astrology Models Introduction by Alon Avramson May 2012 How it works Price History Neural

Financial Astrology Models

Introduction by

Alon Avramson

May 2012

Page 2: Financial Astrology Modelstimingsolution.com/TS/Articles/Alon/Financial Astrology...Financial Astrology Models Introduction by Alon Avramson May 2012 How it works Price History Neural

How it works

Neural NetworkPrice History

Astrology inputs:

Planets, points, zodiac,

speeds, aspects, houses,

directions, natal, transit

Indicator(s)

(M.A, RPO, RSI, ADX…)

Forecast

Page 3: Financial Astrology Modelstimingsolution.com/TS/Articles/Alon/Financial Astrology...Financial Astrology Models Introduction by Alon Avramson May 2012 How it works Price History Neural

How a forecast looks like (S&P500 daily chart) example

Learning

Zone Forecast

Zone

Real PriceLearning

Zone Forecast

Zone

Real PriceLearning

Zone Forecast

Zone

Page 4: Financial Astrology Modelstimingsolution.com/TS/Articles/Alon/Financial Astrology...Financial Astrology Models Introduction by Alon Avramson May 2012 How it works Price History Neural

Shares Example (CF-NYSE daily)

Page 5: Financial Astrology Modelstimingsolution.com/TS/Articles/Alon/Financial Astrology...Financial Astrology Models Introduction by Alon Avramson May 2012 How it works Price History Neural

Forex Example EUR / USD Daily

Page 6: Financial Astrology Modelstimingsolution.com/TS/Articles/Alon/Financial Astrology...Financial Astrology Models Introduction by Alon Avramson May 2012 How it works Price History Neural

Short Term (AA-NYSE April-July 2010 )

Page 7: Financial Astrology Modelstimingsolution.com/TS/Articles/Alon/Financial Astrology...Financial Astrology Models Introduction by Alon Avramson May 2012 How it works Price History Neural

Short Term (AA-NYSE April-July 2011 )

Page 8: Financial Astrology Modelstimingsolution.com/TS/Articles/Alon/Financial Astrology...Financial Astrology Models Introduction by Alon Avramson May 2012 How it works Price History Neural

Forex Short Term: EUR/USD May-July 2011

Page 9: Financial Astrology Modelstimingsolution.com/TS/Articles/Alon/Financial Astrology...Financial Astrology Models Introduction by Alon Avramson May 2012 How it works Price History Neural

Intraday – Pure Statistics (BBL-NYSE 10 min)

Page 10: Financial Astrology Modelstimingsolution.com/TS/Articles/Alon/Financial Astrology...Financial Astrology Models Introduction by Alon Avramson May 2012 How it works Price History Neural

What can be forecast

• Any tradable security with enough price

history and numerous public trades

• The forecast depends on:

– available price history

– indicator used

– astrology model developed for this security

• Models shown here for Daily & Intraday.

Page 11: Financial Astrology Modelstimingsolution.com/TS/Articles/Alon/Financial Astrology...Financial Astrology Models Introduction by Alon Avramson May 2012 How it works Price History Neural

Mysticism or Mathematics?

• The models are based on artificial intelligence, mathematics and statistics.

• The Neural Network engine, which is the heart of the model, is based on mathematical methods of artificial intelligence. That engine solves N equations of astronomy combinations, for X bars of price history for specific indicator(s).

Page 12: Financial Astrology Modelstimingsolution.com/TS/Articles/Alon/Financial Astrology...Financial Astrology Models Introduction by Alon Avramson May 2012 How it works Price History Neural

How far ahead can we forecast

• Each model has it’s own accuracy and

own relevancy time-frame

• Daily models can last for more than a year

• Intraday models can last for several days

• A more precise model has a shorter

relevancy time-frame

Page 13: Financial Astrology Modelstimingsolution.com/TS/Articles/Alon/Financial Astrology...Financial Astrology Models Introduction by Alon Avramson May 2012 How it works Price History Neural

Model Accuracy

• The models are based on statistics and as such, have statistics results

• Some models have been proven to be 80-90% accurate for more than two years, some other models proved to be 60-70% for several months

• Some model may have opposite correlation for a period (see following example)

Page 14: Financial Astrology Modelstimingsolution.com/TS/Articles/Alon/Financial Astrology...Financial Astrology Models Introduction by Alon Avramson May 2012 How it works Price History Neural

Partial Opposite Correlation (CSCO-NasdaqGS)

Page 15: Financial Astrology Modelstimingsolution.com/TS/Articles/Alon/Financial Astrology...Financial Astrology Models Introduction by Alon Avramson May 2012 How it works Price History Neural

Full Opposite Correlation(LG-NYSE)

Page 16: Financial Astrology Modelstimingsolution.com/TS/Articles/Alon/Financial Astrology...Financial Astrology Models Introduction by Alon Avramson May 2012 How it works Price History Neural

Full Opposite Correlation(LG-NYSE, different indicator)

Page 17: Financial Astrology Modelstimingsolution.com/TS/Articles/Alon/Financial Astrology...Financial Astrology Models Introduction by Alon Avramson May 2012 How it works Price History Neural

Partial Correlation(RIMM-NYSE, different indicator)

Page 18: Financial Astrology Modelstimingsolution.com/TS/Articles/Alon/Financial Astrology...Financial Astrology Models Introduction by Alon Avramson May 2012 How it works Price History Neural

Regular indicator AND

another indicator INVERSE (SGMO)

Page 19: Financial Astrology Modelstimingsolution.com/TS/Articles/Alon/Financial Astrology...Financial Astrology Models Introduction by Alon Avramson May 2012 How it works Price History Neural

Intraday – Opposite Correlation

Page 20: Financial Astrology Modelstimingsolution.com/TS/Articles/Alon/Financial Astrology...Financial Astrology Models Introduction by Alon Avramson May 2012 How it works Price History Neural

Advantages

• Astrology & Astronomy parameters are

known years ahead so the forecast can be

prepared in advance

• Forecast depends on external and known

methods - Astronomy, not only on the

price itself (as in technical analysis)

Page 21: Financial Astrology Modelstimingsolution.com/TS/Articles/Alon/Financial Astrology...Financial Astrology Models Introduction by Alon Avramson May 2012 How it works Price History Neural

Challenges

• Opposite correlations – how to forecast

when they appear and when they end.

• Deciding when a model stops working. Some models stop working after several

months and some others after several

years. This issue needs more research.

Page 22: Financial Astrology Modelstimingsolution.com/TS/Articles/Alon/Financial Astrology...Financial Astrology Models Introduction by Alon Avramson May 2012 How it works Price History Neural

Very Good Match(SI, Siemens AG – NYSE)

Page 23: Financial Astrology Modelstimingsolution.com/TS/Articles/Alon/Financial Astrology...Financial Astrology Models Introduction by Alon Avramson May 2012 How it works Price History Neural

More Examples (AA-NYSE)

Page 24: Financial Astrology Modelstimingsolution.com/TS/Articles/Alon/Financial Astrology...Financial Astrology Models Introduction by Alon Avramson May 2012 How it works Price History Neural

SPNS-NasdaqCM

Page 25: Financial Astrology Modelstimingsolution.com/TS/Articles/Alon/Financial Astrology...Financial Astrology Models Introduction by Alon Avramson May 2012 How it works Price History Neural

AGCO-NYSE

Page 26: Financial Astrology Modelstimingsolution.com/TS/Articles/Alon/Financial Astrology...Financial Astrology Models Introduction by Alon Avramson May 2012 How it works Price History Neural

ADBE-NasdaqGS

Page 27: Financial Astrology Modelstimingsolution.com/TS/Articles/Alon/Financial Astrology...Financial Astrology Models Introduction by Alon Avramson May 2012 How it works Price History Neural

AXP-NYSE

Page 28: Financial Astrology Modelstimingsolution.com/TS/Articles/Alon/Financial Astrology...Financial Astrology Models Introduction by Alon Avramson May 2012 How it works Price History Neural

CF-NYSE with triggers

Page 29: Financial Astrology Modelstimingsolution.com/TS/Articles/Alon/Financial Astrology...Financial Astrology Models Introduction by Alon Avramson May 2012 How it works Price History Neural

Challenging - BAC-NYSE

Page 30: Financial Astrology Modelstimingsolution.com/TS/Articles/Alon/Financial Astrology...Financial Astrology Models Introduction by Alon Avramson May 2012 How it works Price History Neural

Contact

Alon Avramson

Business Analyst, FAME

Forecast Astrology Models Engineering

Website: http://wp.me/1E30P

Email: [email protected]