final report risk wanie -draft 3

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    1.0 Introduction

    Risk management (RM) is a concept which is used in all industries, from IT related

    business, automobile or pharmaceutical industr, to the construction sector. !ach

    industr has de"eloped their own RM standards, but the general ideas of the concept

    usuall remain the same regardless of the sector. #ccording to the $ro%ect Management

    Institute ($MI), pro%ect risk management is one of the nine most critical parts of pro%ect

    commissioning. This indicates a strong relationship between managing risks and a

    pro%ect success. &hile RM is described as the most difficult area within construction

    management, its application is promoted in all pro%ects in order to a"oid negati"e

    conse'uences.

    ne concept which is widel used within the field of RM is called the risk management

    plan, Risk management plan is a document that a pro%ect manager prepares to foresee

    risks, estimate impacts, and define responses to issues. It also contains a risk

    assessment matri where a risk is *an uncertain e"ent or condition that, if it occurs, has

    a positi"e or negati"e effect on a pro%ect+s ob%ecti"es.

    The construction industr operates in a "er uncertain en"ironment where conditionscan change due to the compleit of each pro%ect. The aim of each organiation is to be

    successful and risk management can facilitate it. -owe"er it should be underlined that

    risk management is not a tool which ensures success but rather a tool which helps to

    increase the probabilit of achie"ing success. Risk management is therefore a proacti"e

    rather than a reacti"e concept.

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    . $ro%ect Info

    ur case stud is #/!- -ighwa $hase (#mpang/uala umpur !le"ated -ighwa

    (#kleh) $hase !ast 2ound from 3lu /elang Interchange (/m 4.0).

    #kleh $hase is an additional route connecting to the eisting deck (#/!- -ighwa)

    that will in"ol"e the epansion of the eisting twolane dual carriagewa into a three

    lane dual carriagewa from /M 5.4, $ersimpangan6alan6elatek until /M 4.0, 6alan3lu

    /elang Interchange towards #mpang #rea b pro"iding a new threelane route along

    the 1.5 km. &ith the a"ailabilit of this latest route, it epected to reduce up to 789 of

    traffic problems during the peak hours. The threelane onewa route is wider and it can

    contribute to a more comfortable dri"e and safer for motorists that heading towards

    6alan3lu /elang, Middle Ring Road II (MRR) and #mpang.

    Total pro%ect costs are RM :;,;:1,Turnpike =nerg =dn2hdLead Consultant >Ranhill ?onsulting =dn2hdRoad Safety Audit > !ndea"our ?onsult =dn2hdEnvironmental Manaement Plan > 6alinanTimur=dn2hdProram Manaement Solution >!nterprise 2usiness =olution(!2=) =dn2hd

    Contractor > ?antile"er 2umi =dn2hd

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    #/!- $-#=! @ A!R# #B3T $#C IM#D!

    7. #im and b%ecti"e.

    The aim of this pro%ect is to e"aluate how risk management plan is used in the

    #/!- construction pro%ect and how the practitioners are managing risks in

    e"erda situations during the construction pro%ect. The theor of the risk

    management process will be compared to the actual practice in order to

    in"estigate similarities and differences. The main idea is to see if the #/!-

    construction pro%ect is working with risk management as it is described in theliterature regarding the methods and techni'ues presented.

    In order to achie"e the aim, the following ob%ecti"es will be fulfilled>

    a) Identif risk and risk management percei"ed in a #/!- construction

    pro%ectb) Identif risk management process used in practicec) $roposed risk management plan for the #/!- pro%ect

    5. Research methodolog

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    The methodolog of this paper is listed as follows>

    1. The research methodolog can be summaried in fiftnine (84) different risk

    factors were categoried into nine (:) ma%or categories and "isualied b ranking

    through the detailed literature re"iew 'uestionnaire distributed to eperts in the

    construction of (#/!-) $hase $ro%ect. The 'uestionnaire was de"eloped to

    assess the feedback on the relati"e importance of risk causes. Then, the

    'uestionnaire was filled out b nine (:) highl eperienced construction

    professionals including $ro%ect Managers, =ite Managers, #ssistant Managers,

    $ro%ect !ngineers, Einance Managers, -=! fficer, =ite !ngineer, $ro%ect

    !ngineer and =r. !c. $ro%ect Fe"elopment. The collected data were analed

    through Risk Matri Method. The analsis included ranking the different causes

    according to the relati"e importance indices. The analsis re"ealed the most

    contributing factors and categories causing risks. ikelihood is deri"ed from

    uncertaint of risk occurrence. The impact is the effect of the contingenc.

    $otential e"ent of loss designating risk (R) is translated in mathematical terms as

    a result of the product of the sie of the impact (I) and likelihood ($).

    R G I $

    Huestionnaires were de"eloped into three (7) ma%or section (# ,2 and ?). =ection

    (#2)> #imed to obtain information about caused of risks in construction pro%ects,

    it was asked to rate those initiall identified fift=i (84) factors according to their

    impact (I) and likelihood ($). # sur"e was conducted through distributed

    'uestionnaires in which respondents were asked to rank and score these factors

    according to their eperience and position. =ection (?)> $ersonal information of

    the respondent was collected (e.g., work eperience of construction pro%ects and

    work position.The compan for in"ol"ed for this sur"eed b 'uestionnaires is

    $RICT#= =FC 2-F . Totall fifteen (18) person approached for these

    5

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    'uestionnaires and nine (:) out of fifteen responses were recei"ed with response

    rate e'uals to 409.

    #ssessment of feedback from 'uestionnaire sur"e was made. #nalsis was

    carried out for nine (:) responses to identif ma%or risk contributing factors.#nalsis is discussed in details, on the basis of which recommendations to

    construct pro%ects were made.

    8. $ro%ect risk causes

    There are fiftnine (84) factors and are categoried into nine(1)=hortage of e'uipment ) =hortage of material 7) ate

    deli"eries of material 5) $oor 'ualit of workmanship 8) ower work 'ualit in

    presence of time constrain 4) ack of site safet inspection and poor super"ision

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    site ("er far) 57) !n"ironmental factors (floods, earth'uakes, etc.) 55)

    ?ompliance with law and regulation 58) Inaccurate pro%ect program 54) $oor

    communications between the home and field offices (contractor side) 5

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    The 'uestionnaire design took into consideration the ob%ecti"es of the stud with the

    aim to answer the research aims. Dreat effort and brainstorming were done for

    designing the 'uestionnaire. Meetings with groupKs members from the different

    background and eperience were conducted to identif the right 'uestions re'uired

    and to present them in a clear and an unambiguous format. =pecial care also was

    done for phrasing the 'uestions that is easil understood b respondents.

    4.?ontents of the 'uestionnaire

    The 'uestionnaire was di"ided into three ma%or sections. The first section contains

    the probabilit of the causes leading to risk and the respondent is asked to state the

    probabilit of occurrence of these causes in his pro%ects on a scale with the ranting

    L1 representing Inconcei"ableNOOKK Remote OO7KK ?oncei"ableN OO5KK possibleN and OO8KK

    Most ikel.

    The second section 'uestionnaire re'uired the respondent to rank these on a scale

    with the rating of L1 representing CegligibleNOOKK Minor OO7KK =eriousN OO5KK EatalN and

    OO8KK?atastrophic according to the degree of $robabilit risk in construction.

    The third section addresses general information about the respondents such as (1)Bears of eperience and () $osition of the respondent.

    The design of the 'uestionnaire was based on the fact that the had to be simple,

    clear, and understandable for respondents, and at the same time, the should be

    able to be interpreted well b us. The 'uestionnaire has a definite ad"antage of

    re'uiring smaller time to be responded and is more accurate in the final outcome.

    Eactors causing risk in construction pro%ects in #/!- were identified through the

    literature based on pre"ious researches, %ournal together with input, re"ision b

    groupKs members where a total of ninetnine (84) factors at nine (:) ma%or

    categories were identified. The participants were re'uired to rate the factors in the

    wa the affect risk in construction pro%ects using their own eperiences on

    construction of highwa sites.

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    4.7Fata gathering

    Huestionnaires were mailed to respondents ($ro%ect Managers, =ite Managers,

    #ssistant Managers, $ro%ect !ngineers, Einance Managers, -=! fficer, =ite

    !ngineer, $ro%ect !ngineer and =r. !c. $ro%ect Fe"elopment) completed forms

    were re'uested to be mailed or faed back to us, and the response for this re'uest

    was poor. #nother approach of collecting data was usedN in"ol"ed followup

    telephone calls, most of data were collected b this method.

    "er a period of 1 week later, we collected nine (:) responses from fifteen (18) total

    forms from $RICT#= =FC 2-FN this means the rate of response was 409. The

    details of respond from respondents with their classifications were mentioned in

    Ta ble 1 for clarifications.

    In both sur"es, the baseline characteristics of the respondents were relati"el

    similar. f the : respondents in the sur"e, $ro%ect Managers,11.119, =ite

    Managers 11.119, #ssistant Managers 11.119, $ro%ect !ngineers 11.119, Einance

    Managers 11.119,, -=! fficer 11.119,=ite !ngineer 11.119, $ro%ect !ngineer

    11.119 and =r. !c. $ro%ect Fe"elopment 11.119.

    This research is based on a sur"e designed to gather all necessar information in

    an effecti"e wa. The sur"e presents fift=i (84) factors generated on the basis of

    ;

    !a"le #$ Profession of Respondent

    C

    $rofessional cadre of

    respondents Co of respondents $ercentage, 9

    1 $ro%ect Managers, 1 11.11

    =ite Managers, 1 11.11

    7 #ssistant Managers 1 11.11

    5 $ro%ect !ngineers, 1 11.11

    8 Einance Managers, 1 11.11

    4 -=! fficer, 1 11.11

    < =ite !ngineer, 1 11.11; $ro%ect !ngineer 1 11.11

    : =r. !c. $ro%ect

    Fe"elopment 1 11.11

    Total : 100 9

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    related research works on risk factor in construction pro%ects. These factors were

    classified into nine (:) ma%or categories based on pre"ious section and as ad"ised

    b researcher> 1) ?onstruction Eactors ?ategor, ) egal Eactors ?ategor, 7)

    $olitics and ?ontracts $ro"ision Eactors ?ategor, 5) Einance Eactors ?ategor, 8)

    Fesign Eactors ?ategor, 4) Fesign Risk Eactors ?ategor OOgroup 1KK for respondentsK

    eperience 1 till 8 earsN OOgroup KK for respondentsK eperience abo"e 4 till 10 earsN

    and OOgroup 7KK for respondentsK eperience abo"e 11 till 8 ears and OOgroup 5KK for

    respondentsK eperience abo"e 14 earsN Table depicts these groups.

    In all sur"es, the ma%orit of the respondents ha"e 11 till 18 earsK eperience in

    constructionJpro%ect management or working knowledge of constructionJpro%ect

    management acti"ities. 2ased on work eperience and emploment position, it was

    inferred that the respondents ha"e ade'uate knowledge of the acti"ities associated

    with construction pro%ect risk. This makes them as reliable and credible sources of

    information which is crucial to satisf the research goal. The procedure, findings, and

    rele"ant discussion of the analses are detailed in the following section.

    !a"le 2$ Cateori%ed factors that cause risk in construction projects&

    ?ategor item

    Related factor

    IF

    Total number of

    categor factors

    ?onstruction Eactors ?ategor 01> 0; 17

    egal Eactors ?ategor 0:>17 0

    $olitics and ?ontracts $ro"ision Eactors

    ?ategor 15> 18 04

    Einance Eactors ?ategor 14> 1 0;

    Fesign Eactors ?ategor > : 0

    Fesign Risk Eactors ?ategor 70> 71 0