final evaluation of the title iv-e waiver child welfare demonstration in new hampshire ninth annual...
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Final Evaluation of the Title IV-E Waiver Final Evaluation of the Title IV-E Waiver Child Welfare Demonstration in New Child Welfare Demonstration in New
HampshireHampshire
Ninth Annual Child Welfare Ninth Annual Child Welfare Demonstration Projects MeetingDemonstration Projects Meeting
June 2005June 2005Glenda Kaufman Kantor, University of New HampshireGlenda Kaufman Kantor, University of New Hampshire
Bernie Bluhm, NH DCYFBernie Bluhm, NH DCYF
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State of New Hampshire Study Sample State of New Hampshire Study Sample SitesSites
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Challenges of Challenges of NH EnvironmentNH Environment
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Baseline Status of Baseline Status of Substance Abuse in Substance Abuse in
NHNH
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History: Higher Incidence of History: Higher Incidence of Problem Drinking NH Women Than Problem Drinking NH Women Than
National AverageNational Average
20%
13% 14%13%
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
1991 1995
% Frequent Drinking in NH Women & Women Nationally
NH Women
National Median
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Current Status of NH Current Status of NH Substance Abuse (2002)Substance Abuse (2002)
31% Past Month Illicit Drug Use – (18-25 yrs)– 2nd Highest in U.S.
50% Past Month Binge Alcohol Use – (18-25 yrs)- 3rd Highest in U.S.
21% Past Month Binge Alcohol Use – (26 yrs>) (National Average)
300 children <17 living under court order in secure facilities due to D/A charges, related crimes (2001)
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Since 1994, less than 15% of NH CPS assessments completed each year have been substantiated (Founded).
Substantiation rate of NH DCYF child abuse/neglect assessments conducted from 1994-2004.
(Founded assessments/completed assessments)
14.6% 13.5% 13.1% 13.2% 12.6% 11.7% 10.5% 9.3% 10.3% 11.0% 10.5%
CY 94 CY 95 CY 96 CY 97 CY 98 CY 99 CY 00 CY 01 CY 02 CY 03 CY 04
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Key Project AimsKey Project Aims
Identify & Address Parental Substance Abuse Problems co-occurring with suspected child abuse or neglect.
Better Decision-Making about Safety Reduce Substance Abuse Risk Behaviors of
Parents Fewer Subsequent Founded Referrals Prevent or Shorten Placement of Children in
Foster Care Improve Stability and Adjustment of Children Cost Neutrality/Savings of Project
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Project DesignProject Design
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Target PopulationTarget Population
Credible report of suspected CA/NSubstance Abuse Current Risk Factor
Related to CA/NReside in Hillsborough Co area covered
by the Manchester/Nashua D.Os.No Open Case at Intake into StudyAccessible to DCYF CPSW
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LADC RoleLADC Role
Engage Client at Time of Assessment of Allegation
Immediate Screening & Assessment by LADC
Immediate individual treatment for AODA
Immediate and ongoing consultation for CPSW
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For people awaiting treatmentFor people awaiting treatment
Individual counselingOn-going contact with counselor
– Treatment window extended 60 days from CPS assessment or case closure
– Treatment provider connections
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For Families Receiving For Families Receiving ServicesServices
Consultant participates in case planning Keep focus on parent issues Include parenting in treatment goals Aftercare with focus on parenting Support to relative caregivers
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Benefits to CPS During Benefits to CPS During AssessmentAssessment
Regular Consultation Preliminary Screening (SASSI) of Parental
Substance Abuse Impact of Parental Substance Abuse on
Safety and Risk of Harm to Children Recommendations for Services and
Treatment
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Benefits for CPS Cases When Benefits for CPS Cases When Children Are In Out-Of-Home CareChildren Are In Out-Of-Home Care
Comprehensive assessment with DXAssistance with goal specific case
planningContinued consultationRecommendations for parents and
children
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EvaluationEvaluation
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Evaluation DesignEvaluation Design Experimental Model with True Randomized Design
to Standard/Enhanced Services at 2 District Offices Standard group received the usual services
provided by NH DCYF Parallel Data Collection for Standard and Enhanced Process & Outcomes SACWIS Data Interviews at Baseline & Follow-up Cost Benefit
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Final Evaluation StatusFinal Evaluation Status
Conducted 11/15/99 through 10/15/04– 437 families eligible
212 baseline interviews (49%)156 follow-up interviews (74%)
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Study Sample Demographics: Study Sample Demographics: Primary Caregiver Primary Caregiver
Enhanced Group (n=222): Mean Age: 33 Years % White: 92% Any Employment: 59% Relationship of Alleged
Perp. to Child Bio. Mother 69%
Mean Family Size Total Adults: 1.83 Total Children: 2.80
Standard Group (n=215): Mean Age: 33 Years % White: 90%• Any Employment: 63% Relationship of Alleged
Perp. to Child Bio. Mother: 72%
• Mean Family Size Total Adults: 1.85 Total Children: 2.84
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Study Sample Demographics: ChildStudy Sample Demographics: Child
Enhanced Group (n=222) Female: 51% Mean Age: 8 yrs.
Median: 9 yrs. Range: 0-17 yrs.
Ethnicity: White: 87% Black: 6% Latino/Hispanic: 5% Other: 2%
Standard Group (n=215) Female: 51% Mean Age: 8 yrs.
Median: 8 yrs. Range: 0-17 yrs.
Ethnicity: White: 89% Black: 6% Latino/Hispanic: 2% Other: 3%
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Maltreatment & CPS FactorsMaltreatment & CPS Factors
Enhanced Group (n=222) CPS Factors
Prior Referrals* 44%
High Risk at Entry 11% Type of Maltreatment
Physical Abuse 25% Phys. Abuse & Negl. 13%
Neglect: 52% Sexual Abuse: 3% Psychological Abuse: 1%
Standard Group (n=215) CPS Factors
Prior Referrals 51%
High Risk at Entry 14% Type of Maltreatment
Physical Abuse: 21% Phys. Abuse & Negl: 9%
Neglect: 56% Sexual Abuse: 5% Psychological Abuse: 2%
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Family Risk FactorsFamily Risk Factors
Enhanced (n=222) Domestic Violence:
33%
Adult Mental Illness: 18%
Adult Phys. Disability: 4%
Homeless: 17% Incarceration (Case
Level): 32%
Standard (n=215) Domestic Violence:
33% Adult Mental Illness:
20% Adult Phys. Disability:
7% Homeless: 14% Incarceration (Case
Level): 28%
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Child Risk FactorsChild Risk Factors
Enhanced Group (n=222) Mental Illness: 6% Phys. Disability: 3% Learning Disabled
11% Neonatal Addiction: 2% Severe Behavior Prob.
5% JPPO* Involvement at Case Level 26%
Standard Group (n=215) Mental Illness: 7% Phys. Disability: 5% Learning Disabled:
13% Neonatal Addiction: 1% Severe Behavior Prob.
9% JPPO* Involvement at Case Level 24%
* DHHS Division for Juvenile Justice Services Juvenile Probation & Parole Officers, involved due to child status offenses or delinquency.
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Co-Morbidity in Co-Morbidity in Interview SampleInterview Sample
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Victimization & Trauma Hx. Of AdultVictimization & Trauma Hx. Of Adult
0 20 40 60 80
Physical Attack Stranger
Physical Attack Know
Sexual Assault Know
Sex ssault stranger
Unwanted Sex Know
Mugged
Witness Killing
Chld. Phys. Ab.
Emotional Abuse
Ty
pe
Vic
tim
iza
tio
n
Percent of Respondents
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Probability of Having a Substance Probability of Having a Substance Dependence DisorderDependence Disorder
36%
64%
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
Probability
High
Low
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Co-MorbidityCo-Morbidity
45% of “high-probability” have prior diagnosis of mental illness.
45% of “high probability” have clinical levels of depression
18% prior hx of mental illness documented in initial record data.
45% Clinically Depressed using CESD measure.
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Domestic Violence in Initial CPS Domestic Violence in Initial CPS Study ReferralsStudy Referrals
Over half (58%) had a prior Order of Protection at some time
Over 1/3 report DV in current year19% got a protective order on current
partner in the past
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PROCESS PROCESS EVALUATIONEVALUATION
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Implementation ChallengesImplementation Challenges Engagement of Client & Timing Randomization of LADC Services within Sites District Office Cultures Different Therapist Effects Attrition of LADC & CPSWs Need to build consensus between co-located
systems– Information sharing/confidentiality– Focus on “Primary Client”– Treatment recommendations from different points
of view– ASFA 12 month clock vs recovery clock
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LADC: Challenges LADC: Challenges of Engagementof Engagement
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Challenges of EngagementChallenges of Engagement
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Correct Assignment of Subsequent Correct Assignment of Subsequent Referrals by Group & SiteReferrals by Group & Site
92.6%
99.1%
78.3%
88.6%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
Manchester Nashua
Enhanced
Standard
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Percentage of Families Completed Percentage of Families Completed SASSI by SiteSASSI by Site
66%
54%
0%
10%20%
30%
40%
50%60%
70%
80%
90%100%
Pe
rce
nta
ge
of
Fa
mili
es
Co
mp
lete
d S
AS
SI
Site
Manchester
Nashua
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Percent of Initial Referrals Founded Percent of Initial Referrals Founded by Groupby Group
13% 15%0%
50%
100%
Pe
rce
nt
of
Fa
mil
ies
Founded Dispositions
Enhanced
Standard
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Final Founded Dispositions of Initial Final Founded Dispositions of Initial Referrals by Group & SiteReferrals by Group & Site
17% 13% 10% 17%0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
Pe
rce
nt
of
Fa
mili
es
Manchester Nashua
Enhanced
Standard
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Client Satisfaction w/ LADCClient Satisfaction w/ LADC
Manchester (n=27) Overall Satisfaction
Satisfied: 52% Overall Satisfaction by
Substantiation– No Case Ever Opened
Satisfied: 40%– Case Opened
Satisfied: 67%
Nashua (n=19) Overall Satisfaction
Satisfied: 90% Overall Satisfaction by
Substantiation– No Case Ever Opened
Satisfied: 92%– Case Opened
Satisfied: 86%
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Mean Therapist Referrals for Clients Mean Therapist Referrals for Clients After Initial Eval. by Site:After Initial Eval. by Site:
0.01
0.11
0.08
0.28
0.33
0.19
0.4
0.21
0.08
0.06
0.06
0.07
0.13
0.13
0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5
Social Services
DomesticViolence
In-PatientServices
Out-PatientServices
Women'sHomeless Shelter
AA/NA
Mental HealthServices
Nashua
Manchester
1,2,3,4 statistical significance found between sites: ANOVA p > .05
1
2
3
4
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Treatment UtilizationTreatment Utilization
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Treatment Utilization by GroupTreatment Utilization by Group
12%
6%
6%
6%
12%
38%
26%
12%
10%
16%
20%
51%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60%
Home Based
DomesticViolence
Long-Term In-Patient
Short-Term In-Patient
Short-TermDetox
Mental Health
Enhanced
Standard
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LADC: NetworkingLADC: Networking
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LADC: NetworkingLADC: Networking
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OutcomesOutcomes
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Outcomes: Outcomes: Substance Abuse & Substance Abuse &
AssessmentAssessment
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Preliminary Findings on System Status Preliminary Findings on System Status 1999: Substance Abuse Incidence & 1999: Substance Abuse Incidence &
Case OutcomeCase Outcome
Review of NH Cases for 1 month= 640 Cases 546 cases completed assessments Substance Abuse documented as a factor in
completed assessments =159/546 or 29% Proportion of substance abuse referrals
founded as cases=35/159 (22%)
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Project First Step:Project First Step:Substance Abuse as a Factor in Substance Abuse as a Factor in
Completed AssessmentsCompleted Assessments 1999: Substance Abuse documented as a
factor in completed assessments – 159/546 or 29%
2004: Substance Abuse documented as a factor in completed assessments– 66% of Enhanced Group***
– 47% of Standard Group
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Substantiation by High Probability of Substantiation by High Probability of Having a Substance Dependence Having a Substance Dependence
DisorderDisorder
45%
19%
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
40%
45%
High Probability Low Probability
Case Open
* Significant statistical difference found between substantiation: Chi Sq 9.51, 1df,p=.002
Cases opened for continued services and/or placement directly supervised or paid by DCYF
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Percentage of Cases Open on Percentage of Cases Open on Subsequent Referral by Group & SiteSubsequent Referral by Group & Site
20%
48% 46%40%
0%10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%
100%
Manchester Nashua
Enhanced
Standard
*Significant statistical difference found between groups within Manchester: Chi Sq. 1-Sided p (.036) > .05
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Enhanced
(n= 228)
Standard
(n= 219)
% CASES FOUNDED ON SUBSEQUENT REFERRALS
MEAN # SUBSEQUENT REFERRALS
46%
1.04
49%
1.20
Subsequent Referrals* by GroupSubsequent Referrals* by Group
*Referral: Report to NH DCYF based on a suspicion of child abuse or neglect. All NH citizens are mandated reporters.
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Characteristics of Characteristics of Child PlacementsChild Placements
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In-Home Services for Families with In-Home Services for Families with Cases by GroupCases by Group
IN-HOME SERVICES* Enhanced Standard
% FAM. ANY IN-HOME SERVICE
MEAN # FAM W/ IN-HOME SERVICE
# OF FAM. RECEIVING IN-HOME SERVICES W/ A VOLUNTARY/B-CASE
12%
0.14
2
16%
0.16
0
* “In home services” means services paid for and/or supervised by DCYF in founded cases after due process was provided or afforded. There are 8 families, in which one child received In-Home Services and was not removed, but another child within that same family was removed.
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Out of Home Placement (OHP) Out of Home Placement (OHP) Types by GroupTypes by Group
Enhanced Standard
KIN CARE % FAM. ANY KIN CARE MEAN # FAM. W/ Children in KIN CARE
22%0.41
16%0.24
FOSTER CARE % FAM. ANY FOSTER CARE MEAN # Child Placements for FAM W/ FOSTER CARE Placements
63%1.78
62%2.72
OTHER OHP % FAM. ANY OHP MEAN # FAM W/ Children in OHP
26%0.82
28%0.68
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Mean Number of Children in Placement per Mean Number of Children in Placement per Family by Group & SiteFamily by Group & Site
1.67
2.131.90 1.94
0
0.5
1
1.5
2
2.5
3
# o
f C
hild
ren
Manchester Nashua
Enhanced
Standard
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Mean length of placement (days) per Mean length of placement (days) per child in placement by group & sitechild in placement by group & site
250 234319 281
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
Me
an
# o
f d
ay
s i
n p
lac
em
en
t
Manchester Nashua
Site
Enhanced
Standard
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Mean Number of Placements per Mean Number of Placements per Child in Placement by Group & SiteChild in Placement by Group & Site
2.533.04
1.912.21
0
0.5
1
1.5
2
2.5
3
3.5
4
4.5
5
# o
f P
lac
em
en
ts
Manchester Nashua
Enhanced
Standard
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Percentage of Families with TPR by GroupPercentage of Families with TPR by Group
18.0% 10.0%0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
% o
f F
am
ilie
s
Enhanced
Standard
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Percentage of Families with TPR by Percentage of Families with TPR by Group & SiteGroup & Site
12% 12% 8%
23%
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
40%
45%
50%
% o
f F
am
ilie
s
Manchester Nashua
Standard
Enhanced
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Mean Length to TPR by GroupMean Length to TPR by Group
692 807
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
800
900
# o
f D
ay
s
Enhanced
Standard
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ADULT OUTCOMESADULT OUTCOMES
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W1 & W2 RX Utilization by Groups: W1 & W2 RX Utilization by Groups: Interview Sample, Self ReportsInterview Sample, Self Reports
Enhanced Standard
% Resp. attend AA
W1 (ever)
W2 (past yr.)
40% (45/112)
69% (19/28)
43% (43/100)
45% (10/22)
% Resp. help for drinking
W1 (ever)
W2 (past yr.)
25% (28/112)
48% (11/23)
32% (32/100)
43% (6/14)
% Resp. hospitalization for drinking
W1 (ever)
W2 (past yr.)16% (18/112)
27% (4/15)
18% (18/100)
11% (1/9)
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W1 & W2 RX Utilization by Groups W1 & W2 RX Utilization by Groups Interview Sample: Reports on PartnerInterview Sample: Reports on Partner
Enhanced Standard
% Partner attend AA
W1 (ever)
W2 (past yr.)
31% (20/65)
62% (8/13)
44% (25/57)
46% (6/13)
% Part. help for drinking
W1 (ever)
W2 (past yr.)
25% (16/64)
25% (2/8)
22% (12/65)
43% (6/10)
% Part. hosp. for drinking
W1 (ever)
W2 (past yr.)
16% (9/64)
27% (4/15)
18% (8/54)
11% (1/9)
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W1 & W2 Parent Outcomes: W1 & W2 Parent Outcomes: Interview Sample, Self ReportsInterview Sample, Self Reports
Enhanced Standard
% Clinically Depressed
W1
W2
39%
36%
40%
32%
% Heavy Drinking
W1
W2
29%
35%
53%
42%
% Hard Drug Hx
W1
W2
43%
44%
47%
48%
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W1 & W2 Parent Outcomes:W1 & W2 Parent Outcomes: Interview Sample, Self ReportsInterview Sample, Self Reports
Enhanced Standard
% Employed FT
W1
W2
32%
38%
32%
24%*
%Enrolled Educ/Voc. Program
W2 28% 16%
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Child OutcomesChild Outcomes
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Child Outcomes Child Outcomes for Index Children ages 4-17for Index Children ages 4-17
Children in Enhanced Groups had greater declines in 7 of 8 problem categories: – Anxiety & Depression– Withdrawn/Depressed– Somatic Problems– Attention Problems– Aggressive Behavior
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Child School & Health Child School & Health OutcomesOutcomes
Enhanced Group– Repeated Grade*
10%– Academic/Other
School Problems 39%
– MD concerns re: health 11%
Standard Group– Repeated Grade*
29%– Academic/Other
School Problems 43%
– MD concerns re: health 14%
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Cost AnalysisCost Analysis
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Project First Step: Comparison of costs by group.
$-
$200,000.00
$400,000.00
$600,000.00
$800,000.00
$1,000,000.00
$1,200,000.00
CUMULATIVE (CUM.) CTRL. - GROSS TOTAL (X 0.5 (B7c(e)))
CUM. EXPER. GRP. CNL - GROSS TOTAL
EX. Group + LADC
Shortfall EXPER. GRP. EXPEND. IN EXC. OF CNL - FFP TOTAL (B7d(e)) $280,000.00 (IV-E funds)
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IV: Cost-Benefit Analysis
- Costs to date $1,569,065.00
- Major funding streams Title IV-E
Project First Step: Comparison of costs by group.
$-
$200,000.00
$400,000.00
$600,000.00
$800,000.00
$1,000,000.00
$1,200,000.00
CUMULATIVE (CUM.) CTRL. - GROSS TOTAL (X 0.5 (B7c(e)))
CUM. EXPER. GRP. CNL - GROSS TOTAL
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What Contributed to Higher What Contributed to Higher Costs?Costs?
Few differences between standard and enhanced
Prior referrals significantly higher among enhanced high cost group
JPPO referrals significantly greater among enhanced high cost group
More child mental health problems identified at intake for enhanced group
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Cost Benefits Analysis by GroupCost Benefits Analysis by GroupIncluding LADC CostsIncluding LADC Costs
Avg. Cost/Child1
Savings – Child Not Removed2
Savings – Kin Care3
Total Avg. Cost/Child4
Total Avg. Savings5
Enhanced $23,709 $23,709 $5,952 $23,709 $29,660
Standard $20,951 $20,951 $4,920 $20,951 $25,871
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ConclusionsConclusions
Key Outcomes– Significant Effects of Assessment– Strengths of Effects Diminished by Site
Differences– More Long-Term Substance Abuse Treatment of
Adults– Child Safety Outcomes: fewer subsequent
founded reports, more stability, decrease in time to TPR
– Improved Well Being for Adults & Children
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LADC: ClosingLADC: Closing
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Finale: LADAC clipFinale: LADAC clip