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Page 1: final 03-2011 presentation - Texas 2030 Committee · 2019-10-17 · Average Annual Transportation Costs per Household 2011 to 2035 $6,000 Wasted Fuel, Time & Maintenance Costs Taxes
Page 2: final 03-2011 presentation - Texas 2030 Committee · 2019-10-17 · Average Annual Transportation Costs per Household 2011 to 2035 $6,000 Wasted Fuel, Time & Maintenance Costs Taxes

It’s Abo t TimeIt’s Abo t TimeIt’s About Time:Investing in Transportation to Keep 

It’s About Time:Investing in Transportation to Keep Investing in Transportation to KeepTexas Economically Competitive

Investing in Transportation to KeepTexas Economically Competitive

March 31, 2011March 31, 2011

Page 3: final 03-2011 presentation - Texas 2030 Committee · 2019-10-17 · Average Annual Transportation Costs per Household 2011 to 2035 $6,000 Wasted Fuel, Time & Maintenance Costs Taxes

C. Michael Walton, ChairAustin

D id M Vi Ch i

Judy HawleyCorpus Christi 

hDavid Marcus, Vice‐ChairEl Paso

Ken Allen

Tom JohnsonAustin

Cullen LooneySan Antonio

Drew CrutcherOd

Cullen LooneyEdinburg

Roger NoberOdessa

The Honorable Ed EmmettHouston

Fort Worth

Gary ThomasDallasHouston Dallas

Page 4: final 03-2011 presentation - Texas 2030 Committee · 2019-10-17 · Average Annual Transportation Costs per Household 2011 to 2035 $6,000 Wasted Fuel, Time & Maintenance Costs Taxes

Primary 2030 Report Researchersy p• Texas Transportation Institute

– David Ellis, Tim Lomax, Terri Parker,David Ellis, Tim Lomax, Terri Parker, Brianne Glover, Nick Norboge, Wally Crittenden, David Schrank

• Center for Transportation Research, The University of Texas at Austin

Rob Harrison Mike Murphy– Rob Harrison, Mike Murphy, Zhanmin Zhang, Seokho Chi

• The University of Texas at San Antonioy– Jose Weissmann, Angela Weissmann

Page 5: final 03-2011 presentation - Texas 2030 Committee · 2019-10-17 · Average Annual Transportation Costs per Household 2011 to 2035 $6,000 Wasted Fuel, Time & Maintenance Costs Taxes

Committee Accomplishmentsp• Scenarios describe possible “futures” 

– Transportation infrastructure – roads & bridges

– Urban and rural mobility– Effect on economic competitiveness &Effect on economic competitiveness & quality of life

• Possible funding optionsg p• Guiding principles for projects/programs

• How Texans will pay for transportation• Information for future decisions

Page 6: final 03-2011 presentation - Texas 2030 Committee · 2019-10-17 · Average Annual Transportation Costs per Household 2011 to 2035 $6,000 Wasted Fuel, Time & Maintenance Costs Taxes

How is the 2011 Report Different  from the 2009 Report?from the 2009 Report?

• Scenarios – components & time scales– Pavement quality– Bridge quality– Urban mobility

2011 to 20152016 to 2019Urban mobility

– Rural connectivity• Many possible funding options ‐ but no 

2020 to 2035 

easy ones• Transportation Action Principles• Quantified costs• Quantified costs

– Taxes, fees, tolls– Vehicle use & maintenance, time, fuel

Page 7: final 03-2011 presentation - Texas 2030 Committee · 2019-10-17 · Average Annual Transportation Costs per Household 2011 to 2035 $6,000 Wasted Fuel, Time & Maintenance Costs Taxes

Texas Transportation Action Principlesp p

PrioritiesL l & t t ffi i l i

ApproachI l i th• Local & state officials in 

best position to choose projects

• Preserve infrastructure

• Involve everyone in the solution – commuters, employers, carriers, shippers, manufacturers etc• Preserve infrastructure 

first – enormous penalties if maintenance postponed

manufacturers, etc.• Attack problems , but also

seize opportunities that support economicpostponed 

• Ensure maximum “bang for the buck”

• Display results &

support economic development

• Users pay for services they “consume” • Display results & 

be accountableconsume

• Make timely decisions & react quickly to avoid  greater expense in the futurep

Page 8: final 03-2011 presentation - Texas 2030 Committee · 2019-10-17 · Average Annual Transportation Costs per Household 2011 to 2035 $6,000 Wasted Fuel, Time & Maintenance Costs Taxes

Committee ScenariosConditions, Funding and Letter Grade

F ‐ Unacceptable Conditions – What will happen if policies do not change?  Conditions deteriorate & congestion grows rapidly

F – Unacceptable Conditions

congestion grows rapidly

D ‐Worst Acceptable Conditions – Preserve enormous infrastructure investment, but congestion grows rapidly

D – Worst Acceptable Conditions

C ‐Minimum Competitive Conditions  – Conditions equal to or better than median of peer cities & states

C – Minimum Competitive Conditions

B ‐ Continue 2010 Conditions  – Maintain current quality & congestion levels

B – Continue 2010 Conditions

Page 9: final 03-2011 presentation - Texas 2030 Committee · 2019-10-17 · Average Annual Transportation Costs per Household 2011 to 2035 $6,000 Wasted Fuel, Time & Maintenance Costs Taxes

Average Annual Transportation Costs per Household 2011 to 2035

$6,000Wasted Fuel, Time & Maintenance Costs

Taxes & Fees

Household, 2011 to 2035

$4,000

$5,000

, Taxes & Fees

6,095 4,825 4,228 3,652

$2,000

$3,000

$ ,

232 406 511 634$0

$1,000

$2,000

$0F‐Unacceptable D‐Worst 

Acceptable C‐Minimum Competitive 

B‐Continue 2010 Conditions

No Change in Preserve Equal to or Maintain 2010 Funding or

Policy TrendsInfrastructure,

Rapid Congestion Growth

Better than Median of Peers

Quality & Conditions

Page 10: final 03-2011 presentation - Texas 2030 Committee · 2019-10-17 · Average Annual Transportation Costs per Household 2011 to 2035 $6,000 Wasted Fuel, Time & Maintenance Costs Taxes

Annual Investment2011 to 2035

Scenario & GradeTotal Investment$Billion ($2010)

Average Cost per Household$ ($ ) p

F ‐ Unacceptable Conditions $4.0 $232

D ‐Worst Acceptable $7.0 $406

C Minimum Competitive $8 7 $511C ‐Minimum Competitive $8.7 $511

B ‐ Continue 2010 Conditions $10.8 $634

Page 11: final 03-2011 presentation - Texas 2030 Committee · 2019-10-17 · Average Annual Transportation Costs per Household 2011 to 2035 $6,000 Wasted Fuel, Time & Maintenance Costs Taxes

Examples of Revenue Options

• Capture existing revenue– $100+ million/year from a variety of truck fees

$– Transfers to DPS: $600 million per year

• System‐wide sources– Fuel tax– Vehicle registration fee

• Targeted options– Toll roads– Toll roads– Project‐specific incentives– Public‐private partnerships

A h• Area approaches– Local option vehicle registration fees – Local option fuel tax

Page 12: final 03-2011 presentation - Texas 2030 Committee · 2019-10-17 · Average Annual Transportation Costs per Household 2011 to 2035 $6,000 Wasted Fuel, Time & Maintenance Costs Taxes

Committee Conclusions

• Certain – Texans will pay more for transportation in the ffuture

• Uncertain – the answer to “how?” and “how much?”• Local and state officials should select projects• Local and state officials should select projects• Transportation Action Principles should guide investment decisions

• Many funding options are available

Pay more & suffer ? OR Pay less & solve ?.Pay more & suffer ?    OR     Pay less & solve ?Doesn’t seem like a difficult choice

texas2030committee.tamu.edu