figure 1 figure 2 - 3 - paul, weisslast 12 months by number of deals october 2016 last 12 months $0...
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![Page 1: Figure 1 Figure 2 - 3 - Paul, WeissLast 12 Months By Number of Deals October 2016 Last 12 Months $0 $200 $400 $600 $800 Finance Telecommunications Oil & Gas Consumer Products Leisure](https://reader034.vdocuments.site/reader034/viewer/2022051911/60020fb7effd2314d260b7e9/html5/thumbnails/1.jpg)
Figures 1-3 were compiled using data from Dealogic, and are for the broader M&A market, including mergers of any value involving public and/or private entities. Figures 4 and 5 were compiled using data from FactSet MergerMetrics, and are limited to mergers involving public U.S. targets announced during the period indicated and valued at $100 million or higher regardless of whether a definitive merger agreement was reached and filed or withdrawn. All data is as of November 10, 2016 unless otherwise specified. “Last 12 Months” data is for the period from November 2015 to October 2016 inclusive. Data obtained from Dealogic and FactSet MergerMetrics has not been reviewed for accuracy by Paul, Weiss.
By Volume (US$B)
October 2016
Last 12 Months
By Number of Deals
October 2016
Last 12 Months
$0 $200 $400 $600 $800
Finance
Telecommunications
Oil & Gas
Consumer Products
Leisure & Recreation
$46.13
$33.75
$22.15
$108.75
$60.12
$0 $200 $400 $600 $800
Oil & Gas
Utility & Energy
Chemicals
Healthcare
Computers & Electronics
$195.10
$274.19
$182.48
$159.17
$129.53
0 1,000 2,000 3,000 4,000 5,000
Finance
Oil & Gas
Healthcare
Professional Services
Computers & Electronics 168
75
67
50
36
October 2016 Global +/- From Prior
Month
U.S. +/- From Prior
Month
Total
Volume (US$B) 549.10 236.47 341.10 211.42
No. of deals 2,567 (298) 668 (62)
Avg. value of deals (US$mil) 405.2 197.9 1,140.8 698.2
Avg. deal multiple1 11.2x (0.6) 11.0x (1.2)
Strategic Transactions
Volume (US$B) 479.48 212.58 311.31 198.85
No. of deals 2,258 (303) 536 (61)
Avg. value of deals (US$mil) 385.7 196.7 1,197.3 768.1
Avg. deal multiple1 11.2x (0.6) 11.3x (0.9)
Sponsor-Related Transactions
Volume (US$B) 69.62 23.89 29.79 12.57
No. of deals 309 5 132 (1)
Avg. value of deals (US$mil) 621.6 145.2 763.8 208.4
Avg. deal multiple1 11.1x (0.7) 10.1x (1.7)
Crossborder Transactions2
Volume (US$B) 205.95 70.66 Inbound
98.53Outbound
61.31
Inbound
30.31Outbound
41.45
No. of deals 610 (81) Inbound
114Outbound
112
Inbound
(22)Outbound
11
Avg. value of deals (US$mil) 633.7 246.0 Inbound
1,407.6Outbound
1,179.1
Inbound
389.3Outbound
594.8
Avg. deal multiple1 11.3x (0.3) Inbound
10.9xOutbound
11.9x
Inbound
(1.2)Outbound
0.7
Figure 1 Figure 2 - Most Active U.S. Target Industries3
November 2016, Issue 56M&A Activity
P A U L , W E I S S , R I F K I N D , W H A R T O N & G A R R I S O N L L P 1
A T A G L A N C E
1 Ratio of enterprise value to EBITDA, trailing 12 months. This statistic is calculated using a smaller subset of deals for which this data is available.2 Global crossborder transactions are those where the acquirer and the target have different nationalities. Nationality is based on where a company has either its headquarters or a majority of its operations. U.S. crossborder transactions are those transactions where the acquirer and the target have different nationalities and either the acquirer (“Outbound”) or the target (“Inbound”) has a U.S. nationality.3 Industries categories are determined and named by Dealogic
0 1,000 2,000 3,000 4,000 5,000
Oil & Gas
Finance
Healthcare
Professional Services
Computers & Electronics
1,115
1,060
2,482
380
521
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M&A Activity (Continued)
P A U L , W E I S S , R I F K I N D , W H A R T O N & G A R R I S O N L L P 2
A T A G L A N C E
Figure 3 - Top 5 Countries of Origin or Destination for U.S. Crossborder Transactions
Inbound U.S. Crossborder Transactions for October 2016 Inbound U.S. Crossborder Transactions for the Last 12 Months
By Volume (US$B) By Volume (US$B)
By Number of Deals By Number of Deals
Outbound U.S. Crossborder Transactions for October 2016 Outbound U.S. Crossborder Transactions for the Last 12 Months
By Volume (US$B) By Volume (US$B)
By Number of Deals By Number of Deals
$0 $30 $60 $90 $120 $150
Canada
Denmark
Germany
United Kingdom
Netherlands $48.14
$4.03
$2.32
$1.68
$1.61
$0 $50 $100 $150 $200 $250
France
China
United Kingdom
Germany
Canada
$96.75
$92.05
$61.49
$30.93
$120.01
0 100 200 300 400 500
Germany
China
Japan
United Kingdom
Canada 420
183
173
72
160
$0 $30 $60 $90 $120 $150
France
Sweden
Canada
Netherlands
United Kingdom
$50.63
$72.22
$14.05
$11.33
$12.00
0 100 200 300 400 500
France
Germany
Australia
United Kingdom
Canada 319
283
90
88
77
0 100 200 300 400 500
Australia
United Kingdom
China
Japan
Canada 28
18
12
10
6
0 100 200 300 400 500
India
Australia
Germany
Canada andUnited Kingdom
9
23
6
7
4
4 Each of Canada and the United Kingdom was the country of destination for 23 transactions in October 2016.
$0 $50 $100 $150 $200 $250
India
Canada
Japan
China
United Kingdom $60.95
$21.99
$8.67
$4.61
$0.63
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October 2016
Equity Value (US$B)
Last 12 Months
Equity Value (US$B)
Average Value of Five Largest U.S. Public Mergers Average Value of All U.S. Public Mergers
Aug 20
16
Jul 2
016
Jun 2
016
May 20
16
Apr 20
16
Mar
201
6
Feb
2016
Jan 2
016
Dec 20
15
Nov 20
15
Oct 20
16
Sep 20
16
$0
$5000
$10000
$15000
$20000
$25000
$30000
$35000
$40000
$3,253.6
$5,754.0
$3,412.3
$2,361.6$3,647.0 $3,184.2
$4,301.0$3,280.8 $3,044.0
$2,129.4$2,737.3
$12,629.9$13,826.2
$18,655.8
$6,977.5$5,777.4
$7,264.3
$8,918.3
$16,440.5
$12,156.8
$7,615.3
$5,513.8
$8,100.5
$37,218.2
$0 $20 $40 $60 $80 $100
Norfolk Southern Corporation ~ Canadian Pacific Railway Ltd.(November 17, 2015) (Offer withdrawn April 11, 2016)
Reynolds American Inc. ~ British American Tobacco Plc(October 21, 2016)
Monsanto Company ~ Bayer AG(May 18, 2016)
E. I. du Pont de Nemours and Company ~ The Dow Chemical Company(December 11, 2015)
Time Warner Inc. ~ AT&T Inc.(October 22, 2016)
$30.71
$83.07
$61.55
$56.04
$46.55
$0 $20 $40 $60 $80 $100
BE Aerospace, Inc. ~ Rockwell Collins, Inc.(October 23, 2016)
Baker Hughes, Inc. ~ General Electric Co.(October 31, 2016)
Level 3 Communications, Inc. ~ CenturyLink, Inc.(October 31, 2016)
Reynolds American Inc. ~ British American Tobacco Plc(October 21, 2016)
Time Warner Inc. ~ AT&T Inc.(October 22, 2016)
$83.07
$25.01
$6.30
$46.55
$25.16
Figure 4 - Average Value of Announced U.S. Public Mergers (in US$mil)
Figure 5 - Five Largest U.S. Public Mergers
M&A Activity (Continued)
P A U L , W E I S S , R I F K I N D , W H A R T O N & G A R R I S O N L L P 3
A T A G L A N C E
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5 Based on the highest target break fees and reverse break fees payable in a particular deal.6 Two transactions in October 2016 involving a financial buyer had a reverse break fee. 7 Two transactions in October 2016 involved a financial buyer.8 Two transactions in October 2016 had a go-shop provision.9 Two transactions in October 2016 involving a financial buyer had a go-shop provision.10 No transaction in October 2016 involving a strategic buyer had a go-shop provision.
M&A Terms
Avg. Reverse Break Fee as % of Equity ValueAvg. Target Break Fee as % of Equity Value
Average Value of All U.S. Public Mergers with Definitive Agreements
Jun 2
016
Jul 2
016
Apr 20
16
Mar 20
16
Feb
2016
Jan 2
016
Dec 20
15
Nov 20
15
Oct 20
16
Sep 20
16
Aug 20
16
May 20
16
(US$mil)
6%
12%
$6000
$12000
3.6
4.5
3.6
5.8
3.7
4.1
3.3
5.2
3.2
4.9
3.4
4.4
3.9
5.0
3.6
5.9
3.3
4.9
3.6
5.2
3.6
5.9
3.5
4.4
$2,367.1
$6,949.5
$3,504.0
$2,361.6$3,074.4 $3,033.1
$4,596.0
$2,749.9$3,044.0
$2,245.4$2,888.9
$11,089.9
Figure 6 - Average Break Fees as % of Equity Value5
Figure 7 - Average Break Fees as % of Equity Value
October 2016
Last 12 Months
Target Break Fee for All Mergers 3.5 3.5
October 2016
Last 12 Months
Reverse Break Fee for All Mergers 4.4 5.0
Reverse Break Fee for Mergers Involving Financial Buyers6
4.9 6.4
Reverse Break Fee for Mergers Involving Strategic Buyers
4.2 4.6
October 2016 Last 12 Months
% of Mergers with Go-Shops 14.3 10.4
% of Mergers Involving Financial Buyers with Go-Shops7
100.0 41.9
% of Mergers Involving Strategic Buyers with Go-Shops
0.0 4.3
Avg. Go-Shop Window (in Days) for All Mergers with Go-Shops8
41.0 34.8
Avg. Go-Shop Window (in Days) for Mergers Involving Financial Buyers with Go-Shops9
41.0 35.2
Avg. Go-Shop Window (in Days) for Mergers Involving Strategic Buyers with Go-Shops10
N/A 33.9
Figure 8 - U.S. Public Merger Go-Shop Provisions
Figures 6-12 were compiled using data from FactSet MergerMetrics, and are limited to select mergers involving public U.S. targets announced during the period indicated, valued at $100 million or higher and for which a definitive merger agreement was reached and filed (unless otherwise indicated). Data obtained from FactSet MergerMetrics has not been reviewed for accuracy by Paul, Weiss.
P A U L , W E I S S , R I F K I N D , W H A R T O N & G A R R I S O N L L P 4
A T A G L A N C E
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11 Due to rounding, percentages may not add up to 100%.12 This data includes both announced transactions for which a definitive merger agreement was reached
and filed and those for which a definitive merger agreement was never reached and filed (including withdrawn transactions).
Cash Only
Stock Only
Cash & Stock Only
Choice (Cash Election)
Other
Last 12 Months
October 2016
7.3%
62.2% 15.5%
15.0%
35.7%
14.3%
28.6%
21.4%
October 2016 57.1
Last 12 Months 89.8
October 2016 7.1
Last 12 Months 22.8
Figure 11 - Tender Offers as % of U.S. Public Mergers
Figure 12 - Hostile/Unsolicited Offers as % of U.S. Public Mergers12
October 2016 12.5
Last 12 Months 14.6
M&A Terms (Continued)
Figure 9 - Form of Consideration as % of U.S. Public Mergers11 Figure 10 - % of Partial and All Stock Deals that Have a Fixed Exchange Ratio
A T A G L A N C E
Our Mergers & Acquisitions PracticeThe Paul, Weiss M&A Group consists of more than 30 partners and over 100 counsel and associates based in New York, Washington, Wilmington, London, Toronto, Tokyo, Hong Kong and Beijing. The firm’s Corporate Department consists of more than 60 partners and over 200 counsel and associates.
Our M&A Group is among the most experienced and active in the world. We represent publicly traded and privately held companies, leading private equity firms, financial advisors, and other financial institutions and investors in their most important mergers and acquisitions, joint ventures and other strategic transactions.
Our expertise advising corporations and private investors in a broad range of sophisticated transactions enables us to identify new opportunities for our clients to realize value. We have particular experience in guiding clients as they engage in proxy battles, company-altering and market consolidating transactions or capital markets transactions.
Recent highlights include: advising Time Warner Cable in its $79 billion merger with Charter Communications; representing Qualcomm in its approximately $47 billion pending acquisition of NXP Semiconductors; advising Agrium in its $36 billion pending merger of equals with Potash Corp. of Saskatchewan; representing funds affiliated with Apollo Global Management and Protection 1 in their $15 billion acquisition of ADT Corporation; advising Alere in its $8 billion pending acquisition by Abbott Laboratories; representing EXOR in its successful $7 billion unsolicited cash bid for PartnerRe; advising Jeffrey Katzenberg in DreamWorks Animation’s $4 billion acquisition by Comcast; and representing the Board of Directors of Xerox in its plan to separate the company into two public companies.
Paul, Weiss is a leading law firm serving the largest publicly and privately held corporations and financial institutions in the United States and throughout the world. Our firm is widely recognized for achieving an unparalleled record of success for our clients, both in their bet-the-company litigations and their most critical strategic transactions. We are keenly aware of the extraordinary challenges and opportunities facing national and global economies and are committed to serving our clients’ short- and long-term goals.
P A U L , W E I S S , R I F K I N D , W H A R T O N & G A R R I S O N L L P 5
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Matthew W. Abbott
Edward T. Ackerman
Scott A. Barshay
Angelo Bonvino
Jeanette K. Chan
Ellen N. Ching
Ariel J. Deckelbaum
Ross A. Fieldston
Brian P. Finnegan
Adam M. Givertz
Robert D. Goldbaum
Neil Goldman
Bruce A. Gutenplan
Justin G. Hamill
David K. Lakhdhir
Stephen P. Lamb
John E. Lange
Xiaoyu Greg Liu
Jeffrey D. Marell
Toby S. Myerson
Kelley D. Parker
Carl L. Reisner
Kenneth M. Schneider
Robert B. Schumer
John M. Scott
Judie Ng Shortell
Tarun M. Stewart
Steven J. Williams
Betty Yap
Kaye N. Yoshino
Tong Yu
Taurie M. Zeitzer
This publication is not intended to provide legal advice, and no legal or business decisions should be based on its content. Questions concerning issues addressed in this memorandum should be directed to:
Our M&A Partners
Ariel J. Deckelbaum Partner New York 212-373-3546 [email protected]
Scott A. Barshay Partner New York Office 212-373-3040 [email protected]
Matthew W. Abbott Partner New York 212-373-3402 [email protected]
Angelo Bonvino Partner New York 212-373-3570 [email protected]
Jeffrey D. Marell Partner New York 212-373-3105 [email protected]
A T A G L A N C E
6© 2016 Paul, Weiss, Rifkind, Wharton & Garrison LLP. In some jurisdictions, this publication August be considered attorney advertising. Past representations are no guarantee of future outcomes.
P A U L , W E I S S , R I F K I N D , W H A R T O N & G A R R I S O N L L P P A U L W E I S S . C O M
NEW YORK BEIJING HONG KONG LONDON TOKYO TORONTO WASHINGTON, D.C. WILMINGTON
Counsel Frances F. Mi, associates Ryan D. Blicher, David S. Lightstone, Edy Glozman and N. Arie Abramov and law clerks Yae Na Woo, David Okada and Michael Wysolmerski contributed to this publication.
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Figure 1A - U.S. Deal Volume (US$B)
Figure 2A - Global Deal Volume (US$B)
M&A Activity – 12-Month Trends
P A U L , W E I S S , R I F K I N D , W H A R T O N & G A R R I S O N L L P A - 7
Jul 2
016
Jun 2
016
May 20
16
Apr 20
16
Mar 20
16
Feb
2016
Jan 2
016
Dec 20
15
Nov 20
15
Oct 20
16
Sep 20
16
Aug 20
16
Strategic TotalSponsor
$0
$50
$100
$150
$200
$250
$300
$350
$141.79$174.21
$95.06 $99.96
$71.86
$102.40
$182.41
$146.49$128.52
$109.41
$129.67
$341.10
$112.04
$158.97
$77.47$64.42
$51.85
$83.54
$133.38 $96.54$89.89
$71.68 $112.46
$311.31
$29.75$15.24 $17.60
$35.54 $20.01 $18.87
$49.03 $49.95
$38.63 $37.73$17.22
$29.79
Aug 20
16
Jul 2
016
Jun 2
016
May 20
16
Apr 20
16
Mar
201
6
Feb
2016
Jan 2
016
Dec 20
15
Nov 20
15
Oct 20
16
Sep 20
16
Strategic TotalSponsor
$0
$100
$200
$300
$400
$500
$600
$59.87 $47.95 $35.33$64.22 $62.21 $46.25
$77.66 $78.50 $67.43 $52.49 $45.73$69.62
$286.72
$359.99
$169.33
$230.89
$176.77 $181.85
$253.93 $229.01$265.18
$167.98
$266.89
$479.48
$346.59$407.94
$204.66
$295.11
$238.99$228.10
$331.59$307.51
$332.61
$220.47
$312.63
$549.10
A T A G L A N C E
A N N E X
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Figure 3A - U.S. Number of Deals
Figure 4A - Global Number of Deals
P A U L , W E I S S , R I F K I N D , W H A R T O N & G A R R I S O N L L P A - 8
A T A G L A N C E
Jul 2
016
Jun 2
016
May 20
16
Apr 20
16
Mar 20
16
Feb
2016
Jan 2
016
Dec 20
15
Nov 20
15
Oct 20
16
Sep 20
16
Aug 20
16
Strategic TotalSponsor
0
200
400
600
800
1,000
780 739
893 892
780759 764 789
652
734 730668
612 576
708 730
635616 599 606
517
579 597536
168 163185
162 145 143165
183135 155 133 132
Jul 2
016
Jun 2
016
May 20
16
Apr 20
16
Mar 20
16
Feb
2016
Jan 2
016
Dec 20
15
Nov 20
15
Oct 20
16
Sep 20
16
Aug 20
16
Strategic TotalSponsor
0
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
3,000
3,500
3,0093,107
3,346 3,223 3,3013,159 3,079
3,264
3,0282,975
2,865
2,5672,6412,747
2,9502,847
2,9732,790
2,7192,888
2,689 2,6722,561
2,258
368 360 396 376 328 369 360 376 339 303 304 309
A N N E X
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P A U L , W E I S S , R I F K I N D , W H A R T O N & G A R R I S O N L L P A - 9
A T A G L A N C E
Figure 5A - Inbound U.S. Crossborder Transactions
Jul 2
016
Jun 2
016
May 20
16
Apr 20
16
Mar 20
16
Feb
2016
Jan 2
016
Dec 20
15
Nov 20
15
Oct 20
16
Sep 20
16
Aug 2
016
By Volume (US$B) By Number of Deals
$0
$20
$40
$60
$80
$100
100
150
200
144
123
146 143 142131 134
145
113 116
136
114
$37.26 $40.03 $27.67 $29.45 $24.80 $16.86 $83.56 $21.61 $29.53 $26.81 $68.22 $98.53
Figure 6A - Outbound U.S. Crossborder Transactions
Jul 2
016
Jun 2
016
May 20
16
Apr 20
16
Mar 20
16
Feb
2016
Jan 2
016
Dec 20
15
Nov 20
15
Oct 20
16
Sep 20
16
Aug 2
016
By Volume (US$B) By Number of Deals
$0
$20
$40
$60
$80
$100
100
150
200
161
127
150 148
117
137127
131
113
135
101112
$35.24 $13.37 $8.03 $24.71 $16.14 $8.96 $15.55 $8.18 $10.47 $10.16 $19.87 $61.31
Figure 7A - Global Crossborder Transactions
Jul 2
016
Jun 2
016
May 20
16
Apr 20
16
Mar 20
16
Feb
2016
Jan 2
016
Dec 20
15
Nov 20
15
Oct 20
16
Sep 20
16
Aug 2
016
By Volume (US$B) By Number of Deals
$0
$50
$100
$150
$200
$250
100
500
1000
$130.54 $119.02 $64.91 $152.75 $87.31 $61.90 $133.61 $79.27 $126.60 $62.25 $135.29 $205.95
815 779839 825 796 783
716814
728 716 691610
A N N E X