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  • 8/12/2019 February IPC

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    Mexico IPC Index:

    HOLT Scorecard & Model Portfolio Strategies

    HOLT Scorecard

    February 2011

    Adam Steffanus

    HOLT Investment Products & Analytics

    [email protected]

    (312)

    345

    6193

    Ian Smith

    HOLT Investment Products & Analytics

    [email protected]

    (312)

    345 6184

    Jim Murphy

    HOLT Sales

    [email protected]

    (212)

    325

    0073

    Pablo Cossaro

    HOLT Sector Specialist, LATAM

    [email protected]

    (212)

    538

    5906

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    Page 2

    HOLT Investment Products & Analytics

    Computer Hardware Price: 126.00 (November 9, 2009)Warranted Price : 165.66 USD (31%)Market Cap : 165.514 USD

    HOLT Factors, Illustrated

    Operations

    Momentum

    Valuation (Percent to Best)

    Momentum

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    Page 3

    HOLT Investment Products & Analytics

    4.1 4.4 4.1

    2.6

    4.0

    2.0

    3.9

    2.3 3.0

    3.74.9 5.0

    2.9

    4.6 4.33.6

    2.82.0

    2.72.1

    2.62.0

    3.32.2 2.5

    3.63.0 3.0

    3.6

    1.9

    3.01.9

    1.3 1.5

    4.4 3.9

    3.9

    3.7

    3.1

    4.5

    2.4

    4.4 2.72.1

    2.3 1.8

    3.1

    3.4

    1.9 2.93.7

    3.53.0 4.3

    4.1

    4.1

    2.84.3

    2.4

    2.22.7 3.0

    2.3

    3.3 1.6

    3.2

    2.0 1.8

    1.4

    4.6

    3.53.6

    4.9 4.1

    4.3 4.53.5

    4.4 4.3

    2.93.2

    3.8

    1.7

    3.2 2.7 2.6

    3.2 3.12.2 1.9 2.5 2.5 1.9

    3.52.5 2.5 2.1 2.1

    2.82.8

    1.8

    3.02.6 1.8

    2.5

    -1

    0

    1

    2

    3

    4

    5

    GRUPO

    MEXICO(GMEXICOB)

    AM

    ERICAMOVIL(AMXL)

    FEMSA(FMSAUBD)

    ALFA(ALFAA)

    M

    EXICHEM(MEXCHEM)

    CONTROLADORACOMERCIALM

    EXICANA(COMEUBC)

    BOLSAMEXICANADEVALORES(BOLSAA)

    GRUPOAEROPORTUARIODELPACIFICO(GAPB)

    INDUSTRIAS

    PENOLES(PENOLES)

    EMBOTELLA

    DORASARCA(ARCA)

    GENOMMALABIN

    TERNACIONAL(LABB)

    BANCOCOMPAR

    TAMOS(COMPARTO)

    GRUMA(GRUMAB)

    GRUPOBIMBO(BIMBOA)

    WALMEX(WALMEXV)

    GRUPO

    TELEVISA(TLVACPO)

    DESARROLLADORAHOMEX(HOMEX)

    GRUPOAEROPORTUARIOD

    ELSURESTE(ASURB)

    ORGANIZACIONSORIANA(SORIANAB)

    CONSORCIOARA(ARA)

    CORPO

    RACIONGEO(GEOB)

    TELMEX(TELMEXL)

    GRUPOCOMERCIALCHEDRAUI(CHDRAUIB)

    INDUSTRIASCH(ICHB)

    GRUPO

    CARSO(GCARSOA1)

    KIMBERLY-CLARKD

    EMEXICO(KIMBERA)

    B

    ANORTE(GFNORTEO)

    TVAZTECA(TVAZTCACPO)

    GRUPOM

    ODELO(GMODELOC)

    URBIDESARROLLOSURBANOS(URBI)

    INBURSA(GFINBURO)

    CEMEX(CMXCPO)

    EMPRESASICA(ICA)

    AXTEL(AXTELCPO)

    GRUPOELEKTRA(ELEKTRA)

    OverallHOLTS

    corecardScore

    (3.00)

    (2.00)

    (1.00)

    0.00

    1.00

    2.00

    3.00

    4.00

    5.00

    6.00

    7.00

    8.00

    9.00

    10.00

    11.00

    12.00

    13.00

    14.00

    15.00

    Operations Valuation Momentum Change from Prior Month Overall Score

    HOLT Scorecard IPC Index

    February 2011

    Data Date March 1, 2011, Scorecard score change relative to January 17th

    scores

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    Page 4

    HOLT Investment Products & Analytics

    3.4 2.9 3.5 2.8 3.14.7 4.3

    3.54.7

    3.6 4.1

    2.13.5

    2.4 3.0 2.0 2.7 2.8 2.2

    3.3 2.7 2.1 1.7

    4.74.6 3.8

    3.5 3.9

    3.93.6

    3.4

    3.6

    3.6 3.1

    4.3 1.7

    2.8 2.6

    2.7 1.9 2.3 2.8 1.7 2.3 2.11.3

    3.33.3 3.4

    4.1 3.31.7 2.3

    3.31.7

    2.4 2.3

    2.13.3 3.0 2.4 3.2 3.3 2.8 2.7 2.6

    1.62.3

    2.3

    -1

    0

    1

    2

    3

    4

    5

    CYDSA(CYDSASAA)

    BIO-PAPPEL(PAPPE

    L)

    GRUPO

    MEXICANO

    DEDESARROLLO

    (GMD)

    GRUPO

    AEROPORTUA

    RIO

    DELCENTRO

    NORTE

    (OMAB)

    VITRO

    (VITROA)

    MEGACABLEHOLDINGS(MEGACPO)

    CO

    CA-COLAFEMSA(KOF

    L)

    GR

    UPO

    HERDEZ(HERDEZ)

    FINANCIERAIN

    DEPENDENCIA(FINDE

    P)

    CORPORACIONM

    OCTEZUMA(CMOCTE

    Z)

    GRUPO

    CONTINENTAL(CONTA

    L)

    SAREHOLDING(SAREB)

    PROMO

    TORAYOPERADORAD

    E

    INFRAESTRUCTURA(PINFRA)

    GRU

    PO

    GIGANTE(GIGANT

    E)

    GR

    UPO

    FAMSA(GFAMSAA)

    CIAMIN

    ERAAUTLAN(AUTLAN

    B)

    QUALITASCOMPAN

    IADESEGUROS(QCPO)

    ALSEA(ALSEA)

    GRUPO

    SIMEC(SIMEC

    B)

    GRUPO

    MARTI(GMARTI)

    CARSO

    INFRAESTRUC

    TURAYCONSTRUCCIO

    N

    (CIC

    SAB1)

    GRUPO

    POCHTECA(POCHTECB)

    IDEAL(IDEALB

    1)

    OverallHO

    LTScorecardScore

    -3.00

    -1.00

    1.00

    3.00

    5.00

    7.00

    9.00

    11.00

    13.00

    15.00Operations Valuation Momentum Change from Prior Month Overall Score

    IRT (non-IPC) Members

    February 2011

    Data Date March 1, 2011, Scorecard score change relative to January 17th

    scores

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    Page 5

    HOLT Investment Products & Analytics

    4.24.4 4.1

    2.92.9

    4.2

    2.32.7

    4.0 3.7

    2.53.2 3.03.3

    4.9

    3.2

    4.2

    2.6

    5.0

    3.4

    4.5

    2.4

    4.63.8

    4.34.5

    3.12.3

    2.93.6

    3.0

    4.0

    2.8 2.4 2.53.23.6 3.2

    3.6

    2.23.1

    1.71.8

    3.2

    2.01.92.5 2.12.0

    2.72.2

    1.4

    2.8

    1.81.82.2

    1.4

    4.23.8

    3.14.8

    3.6

    3.8

    4.44.62.5 2.4

    4.32.83.63.3

    2.4

    3.1

    3.6

    3.7

    2.0

    3.8

    3.9

    3.4

    3.3

    3.02.1

    3.4

    3.7

    3.5

    4.12.93.1

    2.8

    2.64.2

    4.14.22.9

    2.5 3.02.5

    3.21.44.4

    2.3

    1.9

    2.32.82.3

    1.7

    3.2 1.41.9

    2.2

    1.5

    1.81.91.9

    1.2

    4.6

    3.3

    4.33.6

    4.9

    3.3

    4.43.6

    4.54.4

    3.74.53.73.6

    2.9

    3.9

    2.3

    3.73.0 2.7

    1.4

    4.0

    1.8

    2.7 3.0

    1.5

    2.5

    3.52.1

    2.52.9

    2.1

    3.5

    2.2 2.52.12.52.5 2.22.1

    2.63.6

    1.9

    3.7

    2.7

    3.4

    2.9 2.7

    3.6

    1.9

    3.03.0

    2.81.9

    2.62.4 1.3

    2.0

    2.2

    -1

    0

    1

    2

    3

    4

    5

    GRUPOMEXICO(GMEXICOB)

    AMERICAMOVIL(AMXL)

    MEXICHEM(MEXCHEM)

    CYDSA(CYDSASAA)

    ALFA(ALFAA)

    FEMSA(FMSAUBD)

    CONTROLADORACOM

    ERCIALMEXICANA(COMEUBC)

    BIO-PAPPEL(PAPPEL)

    BOLSAMEXICANADEVALORES(BOLSAA)

    EM

    BOTELLADORASARCA(ARCA)

    GRUPOAEROPORTUARIODELPACIFICO(GAPB)

    INDUSTRIASPENOLES(PENOLES)

    GRUPOMEX

    ICANODEDESARROLLO(GMD)

    GRUPOHERDEZ.(HERDEZ)

    GENOMMALABINTERNACIONAL(LABB)

    GRUMA(GRUMAB)

    COCA-COLAFEMSA(KOFL)

    VITRO(VITROA)

    BANCO

    COMPARTAMOS(COMPARTO)

    CORPORA

    CIONMOCTEZUMA(CMOCTEZ)

    MEGACABLEHOLDINGS(MEGACPO)

    GRUPOAEROPORTUAR

    IODELCENTRONORTE(OMAB)

    GRUPOBIMBO(BIMBOA)

    GRUPOTELEVISA(TLVACPO)

    WALMEX(WALMEXV)

    FINANC

    IERAINDEPENDENCIA(FINDEP)

    DESAR

    ROLLADORAHOMEX(HOMEX)

    GRUPOAEROPOR

    TUARIODELSURESTE(ASURB)

    CORPORACIONGEO(GEOB)

    GRUPOCOM

    ERCIALCHEDRAUI(CHDRAUIB)

    ORGAN

    IZACIONSORIANA(SORIANAB)

    G

    RUPOCONTINENTAL(CONTAL)

    GRUPOCARSO(GCARSOA1)

    CONSORCIOARA(ARA)

    TELMEX(TELMEXL)

    INDUSTRIASCH(ICHB)

    BANORTE(GFNORTEO)

    KIMBERLY

    -CLARKDEMEXICO(KIMBERA)

    TVAZTECA(TVAZTCACPO)

    GRUPOMODELO(GMODELOC)

    URBID

    ESARROLLOSURBANOS(URBI)

    PROMOTORAYOPERADORAD

    EINFRAESTRUCTURA(PINFRA)

    SAREHOLDING(SAREB)

    C

    IAMINERAAUTLAN(AUTLANB)

    INBURSA(GFINBURO)

    GRUPOGIGANTE(GIGANTE)

    GRUPOSIMEC(SIMECB)

    GRUPOFAMSA(GFAMSAA)

    QUALITASCOMPANIADESEGUROS(QCPO)

    CEMEX(CMXCPO)

    GRUPOMARTI(GMARTI)

    ALSEA(ALSEA)

    EMPRESASICA(ICA)

    GRUPOELEKTRA(ELEKTRA)

    G

    RUPOPOCHTECA(POCHTECB)

    AXTEL(AXTELCPO)

    CARSOINFRAESTRUCTUR

    AYCONSTRUCCION.(CICSAB1)

    IDEAL(IDEALB1)

    OverallHOLTS

    corecardScore

    (3.00)

    (2.00)

    (1.00)

    0.00

    1.00

    2.00

    3.00

    4.00

    5.00

    6.00

    7.00

    8.00

    9.00

    10.00

    11.00

    12.00

    13.00

    14.00

    15.00

    Operations Valuation Momentum Change from Prior Month Overall Score

    HOLT Scorecard IRT

    February 2011

    Data Date March 1, 2011, Scorecard score change relative to January 17th

    scores

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