feb 2020 tsx:cnt
TRANSCRIPT
1
Compelling Near Term Low Capex DSO Iron Project in a Strong Recovering Seaborne Market
TSX:CNT ∙ www.centuryglobal.ca
Corporate PresentationFeb 2020
2
Forward Looking StatementExcept for statements of historical fact, this presentation contains certain “forward-looking information”within the meaning of applicable securities law. Forward-looking information is frequentlycharacterized by words such as “plan”, “project”; “intend”, “believe”, “anticipate”, “estimate” and othersimilar words, or statements that certain events or conditions “may” or “will” occur. Forward-lookingstatements are based on the opinions and estimates of management at the date the statements aremade, and are subject to a variety of risks and uncertainties and other factors that could cause actualevents or results to differ materially from those anticipated in the forward-looking statements. Factorsthat could cause actual results to differ materially from those in forward-looking statements includemarket prices for metals, the conclusions of detailed feasibility and technical analyses, lower thanexpected grades and quantities of mineralization and resources, mining rates and recovery rates andthe lack of availability of necessary capital, which may not be available to the Corporation on termsacceptable to it or at all, changes in and the effect of government policies with respect to mineralexploration and exploitation, the ability to obtain required permits, delays in exploration anddevelopment projects and the possibility of adverse developments in the financial markets generally,potential environmental issues and liabilities associated with exploration and development and miningactivities. The Corporation is also subject to the specific risks inherent in the mining business as wellas general economic and business conditions. The Corporation undertakes no obligation to updateforward-looking information if circumstances or management’s estimates should change except asrequired by law. The reader is cautioned not to place undue reliance on forward-looking statements.More detailed information about potential factors that could affect financial results is included in thedocuments that may be filed from time to time with the Canadian securities regulatory authorities bythe Corporation.
3
Fortune Global 500 Strategic
Partners:
Century Global at a GlanceAn iron ore company with a compelling low capital intensity permit ready high grade flagship project, Joyce Lake, and a counter-cyclical business unit built during the downturn of the iron ore market
▪ Multi-billion tonne iron ore portfolio with Global Fortune 500 partners;
▪ Flag ship low capital intensity Joyce Lake DSO Iron Ore Project is at feasibility study with environmental impact study complete, ready to permit and 18-30 months to production
▪ Century also spun out a precious metals Quebec project into a separately listed TSXV company, Century Metals (CMET)
▪ Over the last 4 years, successfully built a separate business unit with a professional marketing team distributing strong brands of food product from quality countries into Hong Kong, China as a Counter-cyclical strategy that creates the value while the iron ore cycle is recovering
Non-metals
Iron Ore
Professional teams
with successful track
records
Strong balance sheet
of C$16M (cash &
other working capital)
4
Financial HighlightsStrong balance sheet, trading below corporate working capital
Financial Highlights – December 31, 2019 C$ M
Cash 5.6
Marketable securities 0.4
Trade Receivables, Other Receivables, Prepaids, Inventories 12.1
Trade Payables, Other Payables and Accruals (2.4)
Total Net Corporate Working Capital 15.7
JV Net Cash Position (Century: 60%/Baowu: 40%) 3.0
Net Asset Value 25.4
Market Cap (@ $0.085, Jan 31, 2020) – Below Net Working Capital 8.4
5
0.18
0.3
0.10.14
0.09
120.25
$65
$75
$85
$95
$105
$115
$125
0
0.05
0.1
0.15
0.2
0.25
0.3
0.35
0.4
0.45
0.5
Iro
n O
re S
po
t P
rice
(U
S$/t
)
Shar
e P
rice
(C
$)
CNT IRON FEO BKI NML Iron Ore Spot Price
YTD gain
Capital Structure and Iron Ore vs Share Prices
Market Capitalization @ Jan 31, 2020
Shares outstanding 98,504,571
Options/grants 8,552,500
Fully diluted 107,057,071
Market Cap (@ $0.085, Jan 31, 2020) $8.373M
Share Structure
Board & management shareholdings 49.3%
(23.6%) & MinMetals (4.7%) 28.3%
Public shareholders 22.4%
Total 100%
July 1, 2019-Jan. 31, 2020 Iron Price (Fe 62% CFR China) vs CNT & Peers
+0% +22% +11% +20%+29% +2%
Iron junior share prices lagging way behind iron ore spot price
6
Century Global: A Compelling Iron Ore Story
Iron prices now trading above ~US$80/t (CFR China) in February currently (Joyce Lake BFS price US$95/t) following a spike last July, trading at over US$120/t. Price has since stabilized trading at US$80/t since November, over US$90/t during December and January.
Strong working capital position ($15.7M) to advance Joyce Lake
Flagship, Joyce Lake DSO project is a high-grade (>60% Fe) low-cost (US$46.6/t FOB and $260M or $15/t capex) at BFS (EIS completed); can be brought to production in 18 to 30 months with ~$130M NPV (pre-tax 100% project basis) @ US$95/t spot price assumption (CNT owns 60% with Baowu – 40%)
Strong Iron ore
market recovery
Strong working
capital position
Hi-grade/low-cost/
quick to production
Other two large-volume projects (with billions of tonnes of resources) are at PEA stage as a second-phase strategic development beyond Joyce Lake
Multi-Bt expansion
potential
China will be the primary driver of global seaborne market for a long time and Century’s partners are China’s largest steel mill, Baowu (offtake agreement) and Minmetals, both Fortune Global 500
Strategic Partners
for China market
In the meantime, a lean core development team of geologists and engineers is pursuing other initiatives and prepared for market recovery; capital deployed for other productive uses
Core technical
team standing by
~US$95/t Spot before coronavirus
outbreak (assumed in BFS)
~$16MWorking capital
$130Mpre-tax BFS NPV
(@ US$95/t,)
A near term production Joyce Lake DSO Project at BFS (with EIS complete & permit ready), in a strong recovering iron ore market
7
Global Iron Ore Market UpdateThe new re-emergence of the oligopoly, the return of the old structural dynamics in a strong recovering market
8
Positive Pricing Outlook on a Recovering MarketOligopoly supply economics is re-emerging while massive global expansions of majors have been completed with such signs as the dam failure and adverse weather
289 Mtpa
170 Mtpa
350 Mtpa
55 Mtpa
400 Mtpa
$33$37
$62
$80
$168 $168
$129$135
$97
$56 $57$71 $69
$89
$81(HSBC)
$73 LT
$0
$20
$40
$60
$80
$100
$120
$140
$160
$180
0
200
400
600
800
1,000
1,200
1,400
1,600
1,800
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020e 2021e
Avg
Ye
arly
US$
/to
nn
e @
62
% F
e C
FR C
hin
a (F
OB
Pre
-20
09
)
Mtp
a (M
illio
n t
on
nes
per
an
nu
m)
Seaborne
China's import
Vale
Roy Hill
Rio Tinto
FMG
BHP
Iron ore price Fe62%
?
Long-term
annual output
Oligopoly re-emerging as expansions done with majors maintaining dominating market share
Oligopoly disrupted as majors expand massively
or
Source: JP Morgan, RBC, CRU, World Steel Association, Century
A strong oligopoly of major producers (~70% market share) set prices
9
Source: UNCTAD The Iron Ore Market 2012-2014, General Customs Administration of the PRC, Index Mundi, Century, World Steel, McKinsey & Company 2000-2006, Bureau of International Recycling 2007-2013, J.P. Morgan 2014-2017, Reuters
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
Crude steel output (Mt) 129 152 182 222 273 356 421 490 512 577 639 702 731 822 823 801 807 871 920 996
Scrap steel consumption (Mt) 25 30 35 41 48 57 67 69 72 83 88 91 84 86 97 98 99 148 188 216
Domestic iron ore output (Mt) 98 105 126 144 155 207 245 296 266 169 270 298 299 367 215 180 117 111 117 190
Imported iron ore (Mt) 70 92 111 148 208 275 326 383 444 628 619 687 745 820 933 953 1024 1075 1064 1069
Import: % total ore consumed 42% 47% 47% 51% 57% 57% 57% 56% 63% 79% 70% 70% 71% 69% 81% 84% 90% 91% 90% 85%
70
92
11
1
14
8
20
8
27
5
32
6
38
3
44
4
62
8
61
9
68
7
74
5
82
0
93
3
95
3
1,0
24
1,0
75
10
64
10
69
98105
126144
155
207
245
296266
169270
298299
367215 180
117111 117
190
2530
3541
48
57
67
6972
83
88
9184
8697 98 99
148 188216
42%
47% 47%
51%
57%
57%
57%
56%
63%
79%
70%
70%71%
69% 81%
84%
90%
91%
90%
85%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
0
200
400
600
800
1000
1200
1400
1600
Mt
China produced a historic ~1Bt of steel in 2019 and importing ~1Bt of iron ore Sh
are o
f imp
orte
d iro
n as %
of to
tal iron
ore
con
sum
ptio
n
Crude steel production grew by 8.3% in 2019 in the midst of trade wars, while iron ore import stayed flat at 1Bt with the help of increased scrap supply and domestic production due to high spot price environment
10
0
50
100
150
200
250
29
/05
/09
29
/07
/09
29
/09
/09
29
/11
/09
29
/01
/10
29
/03
/10
29
/05
/10
29
/07
/10
29
/09
/10
29
/11
/10
29
/01
/11
29
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29
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29
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/11
29
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/11
29
/11
/11
29
/01
/12
29
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/12
29
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/12
29
/07
/12
29
/09
/12
29
/11
/12
29
/01
/13
29
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29
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/13
29
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29
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29
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/13
29
/01
/14
29
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29
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29
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/14
29
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/14
29
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/14
29
/01
/15
29
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/15
29
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/15
29
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/15
29
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/15
29
/11
/15
29
/01
/16
29
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29
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/16
29
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/16
29
/09
/16
29
/11
/16
29
/01
/17
29
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29
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/17
29
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/17
29
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/17
29
/11
/17
29
/01
/18
29
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29
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/18
29
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/18
29
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/18
29
/11
/18
29
/01
/19
29
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29
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/19
29
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/19
29
/09
/19
29
/11
/19
29
/01
/20
TSI Fe 62% Daily Spot Price CFR China vs Brazil Daily FOB
US $
Closing Price@Feb 21, 2020
$86.42
$78.79
$13.02
The Recovery of the Global Seaborne Iron Ore MarketSeaborne spot market emerged in 2009 after 40 years of annual benchmark pricing, reached the peak in 2011 @ US$200/t and is clearly on the path of recovery ignited by the Brazilian dam failure (with only 30mtps or 2% of market supply)
On 25 Jan 2019, a tailings dam at the Brazilian Córrego do Feijão iron mine suffered a catastrophic failure affecting 30mtpa (~2% of global seaborne supply)
Córrego do Feijão iron mine tailings dam failure
Global Seaborne Spot Iron Ore Cycles in 10 Years
Cycle Recovery
Super Cycle
11
Structural Recovery: 2019 Seaborne Market Dynamics
▪ Major structural seaborne market change
▪ The Brazilian dam failure late January 2019 – but it’s only 2% of the supply and spot price surged >60% YTD for a solid performance of half a year in more than 5 years
▪ The relatively small (2%) disruption reveals a structural dynamic of market recovery with a six-month streak of price increases by ~60% in July before retreating to mid-$80s in November and rebounding to mid-$90s at the beginning of the year prior to the outbreak of coronavirus
▪ An oligopolistic market appear to have resumed after major expansions have been completed
▪ At the current spot CIF Fe 62% price of ~US$90/t (pre-virus), project economics becomes very different for near term production low capital intensity projects such as Joyce Lake
▪ It is still very early days for high capital intensity multi-billion dollar projects such as our taconite projects.
▪ For a bite-size quick-to-production project like Joyce Lake the opportunity is real
12
Joyce Lake DSO ProjectReady to goAt BFS & EIS (@US95/t iron ore assumed) is permit-ready and 18-30 months away to production
Iron Ore
13
Joyce Lake: M&I Resources (Fe 58.6%),
24.3Mt
Joyce Lake: Inf
(Fe 62%),
0.8Mt
Black Bird: M&I (Fe 57%),
1.6Mt
Black Bird: Inf (Fe 60%),
8.6Mt
Direct Shipping Ore (DSO): Resources & Reserves
Inclusive of Reserves of
17.7Mt(Fe 59.7%)
World-class Multi-Billion-Tonne Advanced Canadian Iron ProjectsRanging from BFS to PEAs (short and long-term development) ~C$100M invested
Full Moon: Indicated Fe
30.18%
7.259Bt
Full Moon: Inf Fe
29.86%
8.7Bt
Hayot: Inf Fe 31%
1.7BtDuncan: M&I Fe 24%
1.1Bt
Duncan: Inf Fe 25%
0.6Bt
Taconite / Magnetite Resources
High-volume Full Moon PEA:
IRR 15%, NPV C$5.8B (pretax)
High-volume Duncan Lake PEA:
IRR 20%, NPV C$4.1B (pretax)
Full Moon
(1) Based on 100% ownership (2) See Appendix for detai ls and assumpt ions ▪ Mt: Mi l l ion tonnes, Bt: Bi l l ion tonnes, ▪ M&I: Measured & Indicated, Inf : Inferred
Flagship high-grade Joyce Lake BFS:
IRR 18%, NPV C$140M (pretax)
14
Flagship Joyce Lake Feasibility HighlightsHigh Grade, Low Opex, Low Capex, Bite-size and Quick to Production
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
110
120
130
Jan/2016 Jul/2016 Jan/2017 Jul/2017 Jan/2018 Jul/2018 Jan/2019 Jul/2019 Jan/2020
Baowu has a direct 40%
interest in Joyce Lake JV
with an off-take for up to
60% of production
US$46.6/t
2.5Mtpa 62% Fe for 5
years in >7 years mine life
US$105M 18.7%
IRR (Pretax)
13.7% Post-taxOpex or C$58.25 FOB Sept-Îles
(Freight to China ~US$15/wet t)
US$12/t
Capital Intensity: Capex in
t-reserve C$15/t or C$260M
NI43-101 Feasibility Study
(April 14, 2015)
17.7Mt Reserves @ 59.71% Fe
Price peaked in
July 2019 @
US$123.2/t
2016 – 20 YTD TSI Fe 62% Daily US$ per tonne Spot Price CFR China
Note: The Feasibility Study uses a base price assumption of US$95/t CFR China for fines. Lump premium
is assumed at $1.5/t for each 1% Fe. Exchange rate of 80 US cents to a Canadian dollar is used.
BFS Fe Price = US$95/t
NPV (Pretax) = C$130.8M @8% (on total project basis)
Post-tax NPV = C$61.8M
15
Joyce Lake NI43-101 Feasibility StudyKey Performance Indicators – a Bite-sized Capex Starter Project
▪ Open pit mining
▪ Simple dry crushing and
screening (no beneficiation) to
generate 65% of products as
sinter fines and 35% as lump
target
▪ Low capital intensity of
C$14.7/t or US$12/t or total of
C$260M – bite-sized capex as
a start for a 2.5Mtpa operation
for 7 years
▪ Attractive financial metrics as
the iron ore price level is
recovering to feasibility study
level
▪ 18-30 months to production
▪ LoM: First 5.6 years at average 61.4% Fe and remaining
mine life from low grade stockpiles averaging 53.3% Fe.
▪ Based on 100% ownership of the project
▪ Base price assumption of US$95/t CFR China is for fines.
Lump premium is assumed at $15/t. Exchange rate of 80 US
cents to a Canadian dollar is used.
Mining Profile & Financial Evaluation
P+P Reserve 17.7 Mt
P+P Reserve Grade 59.7% Fe
LoM Average Production 2.5 Mt DSO/year
Strip Ratio 4.09
Life of Mine (LoM) 7 years
Freight to China US$15/wmt
Price Assumed, CFR China US$95/dmt 62% Fe
Payback period 4.4 years
NPV @8%: Pre/Post-tax C$130.8M / C$61.4 M
IRR (Pre/Post-tax) 18.7% / 13.7%
US$12/tUS$105M 18.7%
NP
V(P
reta
x)
IRR
(Pre
tax) C$15/t Capex /t-
reserve or
C$260M
$15.3
$23.3
$110.5
$42.0
$25.9
$28.7
$13.9
$-
$50.0
$100.0
$150.0
$200.0
$250.0
$300.0
Capital Cost
Contingency
Indirect
Other MobileEquipment
Railcars
Infrastructure
Equipment(Owner Fleet)
Mining (Pre-Stripping)
C$260M
C$M
16
Jan, 2
01
9; $
75
.59
Feb, 2
01
9; $
87
.33
Mar, 2
01
9; $
85
.71
Ap
r, 20
19
; $9
3.2
4
May, 2
01
9; $
98
.76
Jun
, 20
19
; $1
09
.18
Jul, 2
01
9; $
11
9.9
2
Au
g, 20
19
; $9
1.6
4
Sep, 2
01
9; $
92
.28
Oct, 2
01
9; $
88
.44
No
v, 20
19
; $8
4.7
3
Dec, 2
01
9; $
91
.88
Jan, 2
02
0; $
94
.23
$10.85
$1.80
$3.34
$2.82
$0.89
$26.08
$0.83
$20.00
CFR China Cash Cost$66.60
$-
$20
$40
$60
$80
$100
$120
C3 Freight toChina (recent)
General &Admin
Rail, Port &Loading
Rail Load-Out
Ore Hauling
Site Admin
Processing
Mining
Joyce Lake’s Feasibility Cash Opex PositiveEncouraging market recovery in 2017 with iron ore prices mostly above FS opex/tonne and almost reaching FS price target (US$95/t) early 2017
US$46.6/t
Opex = C$58.25 FOB Sept-Îles
▪ Low Opex of
US46.6/t or C$58.25/t
due to simple dry
crushing & screening
processing without
beneficiation
▪ C3 Freight rate runs
at ~US$18-9/t
(~US$12-15 in Q1)
▪ Spot iron ore prices
are trading about our
FS price assumption
of US$95/t since April
Note: For comparison purpose, the same exchange rate of 80 US cents to a Canadian dollar used in the
FS is also used to convert all actual iron ore average spot prices in this slide
2020 YTD Iron Ore Average Monthly TSI CFR China Fe 62% Prices in US$
Breakeven
cash price
Total Cash Cost Opex
=US$46.61FOB Sept-Îles
US$
Feasibility price assumption:
US$95/t (fines) $95/t
17
Joyce: Complete rail & port infrastructure with active government support
A regional provincial government has recently allocated ~C$300M to:
▪ Support an existing operating DSO mine
▪ Participate in a re-start of a closed iron ore mine
IOC Port
50Mtpa multi-user year-round
fully equipped capesize berth
~600km QNS&L + Tshiuetin
Rails Schefferville to Sept Îles
$C300M recent government support of iron ore industry
600km Railways: QNS&L +TST
50Mtpa New Multi-UserPort
C$300M RecentGovernment Support
18
A Successful Profitable Non-metals Business Built During the Downturn of the Mining Sector
19
16 Quarters of Growth on Mid-20% GPSolid growing food marketing business focusing on brand-marketing quality meat and egg products from Europe, Australia, to Hong Kong and Macau – started profit generation in 2018. July-Sep quarter sales drop was due to social unrest in Hong Kong
International &
local hotel &
restaurant chains
Store penetration by
product category in
Hong Kong
~335 Stores
International airlines
Value-added MarketingStrong Growing Business (in C$) Quality Origins Quality Products
Began in Hong
Kong, focused on
the largest, fastest-
growing middle
class in China,
the single largest
contributor to global
GDP growth
87
,16
5
13
1,2
55
34
9,2
17
41
9,3
21
52
5,6
31
64
9,4
33
72
0,4
88
84
1,6
60 1
,15
2,0
19
1,3
15
,32
0
1,3
59
,12
5
1,6
49
,61
0
1,7
59
,61
3 2,1
25
,00
5
1,8
41
,68
1
2,0
31
,90
5
$0
$500,000
$1,000,000
$1,500,000
$2,000,000
$2,500,000
J-M A-J J-S O-D J-M A-J J-S O-D J-M A-J J-S O-D J-M A-J J-S O-D
2016 2017 2018 2019
Food Segment 2016 – 19 Quarterly Sales (in C $) First sales began in January 2016
20
Management CompetenceAdvancing a diversified company focusing on the largest
and most important developing market in the world
21
Management▪ >35 years of international capital
market, mining & other industrial experience
▪ Successful business building and capital market transactions in London, North America, Australia & Asia
▪ CPA qualifications in Canada, Hong Kong
▪ >20 years of public capital market & accounting with strong business start-up experience
▪ Directorships with multi-billion dollar public metals companies in China
▪ CPA qualification in Hong Kong
▪ >20 years of food and beverage and other industrial product marketing with MNCs
▪ Successful track record of start-up marketing and distribution operation in Hong Kong, China for a multi-billion-euro Nordic meat company
▪ >45 years of mining operation and development experience including mining majors and as chief executive of multi-billion-dollar public mining companies
▪ Professional engineer qualifications in Canada, UK
▪ >20 years of Risk management, internal control, finance and accounting experience with multinational corporations, including as finance director of greater China region.
▪ CPA qualifications in Australia
▪ >30 years of bulk, base and precious metals exploration and development experience
▪ Professional earth science education and Professional Geoscientist qualifications in Canada, Australia and China
Sandy Chim, CPA, CA, MBA
President & CEO
Ivan Wong, CPA
Senior VP
Alan Sin, MBA
VP, Food Distribution
Peter Jones, P. Eng.
Chair, Advisory Committee
Alex Tsang, CPA
CFO
Allan Gan,P. Geo, MSc.
(Hons)
Director of Exploration
22
An Award-Winning Team
Rt. Hon. Jean Chrétien
congratulates Sandy Chim,
President & CEO of Century on
receiving the Canada China
Business Council’s 2014 Gold
Business Excellence Award for
Chinese investment in Canada.
Canadian Institute of Mining
Newfoundland Branch
George Ogilvie, President of CIM - Newfoundland congratulates Sandy Chim Chairman of Labec Century Iron Ore on receiving 2014 Explorer of the Year
Explorer of the YearGold Business Excellence Award
Silver Award in Professional, Scientific and Technical Services
EVP Peter Jones receiving
the Award from Mr. Wang
Wentian, Chargé d'affaires
a.i. of the Chinese Embassy
in Canada, and Peter Kruyt,
Chairman of the Board of the
CCBC
2014 2014 2016
23
Value Fundamentals of Century
Land and real properties bought for business operations in Schefferville, Canada and Wuhan, China ($0.9M after accounting depreciation)
Real estate properties $1.4M
JV has $3.0M net cash – 40%-owned by partner Baowu (China’s largest steel mill, a Global Fortune Global 500 SOE) + offtake up to 60% of production
Strategic Partnership for
China market$1.8M
Strong cash position to support business development and advancement of project when market returns
Cash & other working capital $15.7M
60% interest of NPV at 8% in feasibility study with a price assumption for iron ore fines that the mini-cycle almost reached at a peak early 2017
Joyce Lake DSO project at BFS
High-grade / low cost$61.4M
Full Moon Taconite (post-tax NPV at 8% of $3B) and Duncan Lake Magnetite (post-tax NPV at 8% of $2.2B) projects for further development
Advanced large scale projects
at PEA of multi-Bt resources
8.4Bt
11BtBegan sales in Jan 2016 with16 consecutive Qs of sales growth delivering a steady mid-20% gross margin & profitable since H2 FY18-19
Fast-growing food business 16xQs
~23%
Hard
cash,
working
capital
and real
estate
asset
value
Project
and
business
operation
value
at original cost
output off-take
post-taxNPV (100%)
inferred resources
continuous growth
60% of net cashin JV (2)
measured & indicated
gross profit
(1)
60%
(1) At Dec 31, 2019
24
Appendix
25
Century’s world-class multi-billion tonne iron ore reserves and resources
Item DSO Taconite Magnetite Total
Joyce Black Bird Full Moon1 Hayot Duncan1 Total
Project ownership 60% 81.1% 81.1% 60% 68%
Most Recent Report BFS Resource PEA Resource PEA
P&P2 reserves (Fe %) 17.7 Mt (59.7%) - - - - 17.7 Mt
M&I2 resources (Fe %) 24.3 Mt3 (58.6%) 1.6 Mt (59.9%) 7.3 Bt (30.2%) - 1.1 Bt (24.2%) 8.4 Bt
Inferred2 resource (Fe %) 0.8 Mt (62.0%) 8.6 Mt (57.0%) 8.7 Bt (29.9%) 1.7 Bt (31.3%) 0.6 Bt (24.7%) 11.0 Bt
Resource Cut-off grade 50% Fe 50% Fe 20% Fe 20% Fe 16% Fe
Capex (C$)2 $259.6M $7.2B $3.9B
IRR2 (pre-tax) 18.7% 15.2% 20.1%
IRR2 (post-tax) 13.7% 12.4% 15.9%
NPV (C$)2 (pre-tax) @ 8% $130.8M $5.8B $4.1B $10B
NPV (C$)2 (post-tax) @ 8% $61.4M $3.0B $2.2B $5.3B
Payback2 (pre-tax) 4.4 yrs 5.7 yrs 4.2 yrs
Payback2 (post-tax) 4.9 yrs 6.3 yrs 5.2 yrs
Production Mtpa2 2.5 20 12
Price Used4 $95 $95 $125
Exchange Rate Used2 0.80 0.80 0.95
Report Effective Date 2015/03/02 2015/03/02 2015/03/02 2012/09/25 2013/03/22
▪For Joyce Lake there is a US$15/t lump premium that is applied for portions of both the high-grade (62% Fe) and low-grade (58% Fe) products.
▪ For Full Moon, there is a US$22-23 pellet (66% Fe) product premium over the concentrate (66% Fe) product.
▪ For Duncan, there is a US$35 pellet (66.3% Fe) product premium over the concentrate (62% Fe) product.
1.Preliminary Economic Analysis includes inferred
resources
2.On 100% project equity basis, as per technical
reports filed on SEDAR
3.Inclusive of Proven & Probable reserves
4.US$/dmt 62% Fe CFR China
26
128.1
121.3
111.8
114.6
100.7
92.7
96.0
92.6
82.3
80.1
73.1
69.3
67.0
62.7
56.9
51.6
60.6
62.3
51.5
55.3
56.5
52.7
46.2
39.1
41.1
746.1
855.5
459.5
854.7
051.3
256.6
260.1
956.7
958.0
72.3
80.0
80.3
88.1
87.3
70.6
61.3
56.0
66.4
75.1
69.4
59.8
62.8
70.5
75.9
77.1
69.3
65.4
65.9
64.9
64.4
67.2
65.2
72.8
75.0
67.6
74.6
82.7
79.4
87.2
93.3
104.1
111.9
85.3
90.0
91.3
82.9
91.0
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
Jan
-14
Feb
-14
Mar
-14
Ap
r-1
4M
ay-1
4Ju
n-1
4Ju
l-1
4A
ug-
14
Sep
-14
Oct
-14
No
v-1
4D
ec-1
4
Jan
-15
Feb
-15
Mar
-15
Ap
r-1
5M
ay-1
5Ju
n-1
5Ju
l-1
5A
ug-
15
Sep
-15
Oct
-15
No
v-1
5D
ec-1
5
Jan
-16
Feb
-16
Mar
-16
Ap
r-1
6M
ay-1
6Ju
n-1
6Ju
l-1
6A
ug-
16
Sep
-16
Oct
-16
No
v-1
6D
ec-1
6
Jan
-17
Feb
-17
Mar
-17
Ap
r-1
7M
ay-1
7Ju
n-1
7Ju
l-1
7A
ug-
17
Sep
-17
Oct
-17
No
v-1
7D
ec-1
7
Jan
-18
Feb
-18
Mar
-18
Ap
r-1
8M
ay-1
8Ju
n-1
8Ju
l-1
8A
ug-
18
Sep
-18
Oct
-18
No
v-1
8D
ec-1
8
Jan
-19
Feb
-19
Mar
-19
Ap
r-1
9M
ay-1
9Ju
n-1
9Ju
l-1
9A
ug-
19
Sep
-19
Oct
-19
No
v-1
9D
ec-1
9
USD/tonne
Million Tonnes
Chinese domestic iron ore production adjusted to 62% Fe (in Mt) Imported iron ore (in Mt) TSI (CFR) spot price of 62% Fe
Iron ore spot price vs Chinese domestic & Imported Iron Ore Demand January 2014 to December 2019
Source: UNCTAD The Iron Ore Market 2012-2014, General Customs Administration of the PRC, GFI Iron Ore and Steel Derivatives, Index Mundi, Century, World Steel Association, J.P. Morgan
High cost of marginal producers drives spot price levelReduction of domestic iron ore production due to environmental issues, low grade and high cost