feasibility of large scale solar pv in...
TRANSCRIPT
Feasibility of Large Scale Solar PV in Nepal
Solar Power to Fight Nepal’s Energy Crisis
- Presentation to IOE Centre for Energy Studies-
Sandeep GiriPresident, Gham Power Nepal Private Limited
Kathmandu, [email protected]
March 12, 2009
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About the Speaker: Successful Silicon Valley Entrepreneur Returns to Nepal to Tackle Energy Crisis
Born and Raisedin Nepal
Technology EntrepreneurGeek with Biz Cred
Obsessed with Clean Tech
Educated in US;MS in Computer Science;Solar Energy Certification (U of California-Berkeley)
CEO, Loyalty Matrix (’02-’07)Grew 5-person Company in SFO
to $2 Million in Revenue;Acquired by Responsys in 2007
CEO, OpenI (’07-Present)Open Source Business Intelligence;
Established Offshore SisterCompany Codemandu in Kathmandu
President, Gham PowerCouldn’t Watch Nepal’s Energy Crisis From Sidelines;
Founded Gham Power as Exclusive Partner of a Premier American Solar Company;
Financing from Clean Energy Development Bank;
SandeepGiri
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Gham Power: Exclusive Dealer Representative for Solar Power, Inc.
Solar Power Inc. is a Public Company in US; Their Solar Panels are Rated #1 in the World for Performance.
Gham Power is their Exclusive Dealer Representativefor the Entire Country of Nepal.
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Problem, Opportunity,and Solution
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The Problem: Nepali Energy CrisisGovernment imposed a daily 16-hour electricity blackout starting November 2008; this is a protest march of electric 3-wheeler taxis rendered useless. Load-Shedding is projected to continue for at least next 10 years.
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Inadequate Electricity Supply with Limited Scalability Results in Band-Aid Solutions
Energy Supply and Demand in Nepal
0
200
400
600
800
1000
1200
1400
2009 2010 2011 2012 2013
Peak Load (MW)
Demand
Supply
Country’s Total Peak Demand: 800 MW;Country’s Total Capacity: ~500 MW;~100 MW of New Power Plants Underway, but Takes 4-5 Years to be “Online”
Band-Aids:• Daily 16-Hour Blackout• Horde w/ Inverter/Battery• Diesel Generators
.. which is not enough, meaning..
People set alarm for 2 am so they can iron their clothes
A family is without any water for 3-4 days since water pump doesn’t run
Businesses have to reduce hours of operation, specially at night
Even those with diesel generators not better off since fuel supply is not certain
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Why Not Solar? Conditions are Great!
• Nepal in Prime Solar Area• Average 5 Sun hours/day • 5.5-6.0 Kwh/m2/day
(World leader in Solar Germany gets 2-3 kwh/m2/day)
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Big Opportunity to Serve Urban and Commercial Sector
• ~50 Solar Installer Companies in Nepal;Almost All Focus on Rural because of Subsidies
• Energy Demand Higher in Urban/Commercial –Yet Completely Underserved
• IF Solar Available at Price of Diesel, Big Opportunity to Serve Those Buying/Considering Diesel Today
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Large Scale PV Installations
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How Does Solar PV Work?
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Typical Solar PV Installation is on Roof
Sometimes Also in Open Yard Area
Parking Lot Installations Common for Businesses
Large Scale Solar Power Plants becoming more Common like this one in Germany (10 MW)
Solution: Solar as Complete Power Alternative with Costs Less than Diesel Generator
PremiumResidential
LuxuryResidential
Commercial
• For typical single family urban Nepali home:
• 1-2 kwh/day production• Lights• TV and Computer
OR ½ HP Water PumpOR Household Applianceslike Fridge, etc.
• For typical multi-familyurban Nepali home:
• 3.5 kwh/day onwards• Lights• TV and Computer• 1+ HP Water pump• Common Household
Appliances (Fridge, Rice Cooker, Iron, etc.)
• For retail stores, officespaces, warehouses
• All lighting• Phone, fax, computers• Air Conditioner• Refrigerators, Freezers• Office appliances• Machinery
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Price Ranges and Financing
Products Premium Residential
Luxury Residential
Commercial
Typical Pricing (*these are ranges, actual prices might vary, based on a 5-year loan at 12%)
Size 185 w ½ kw 5 kw
Daily Production
1.1 kwh 3.4 kwh 34 kwh
Cost per Month with Financing
Rs. 2,900
(~$35)
Rs. 7,548
(~$ 100)
Rs. 73,674
(~$1,000)
Cost/KWH
(*10-year)
$ 0.60
Rs. 45
$ 0.51 or
Rs. 38
$ 0.46 or
Rs. 35
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Clean
$$$
Competition: Diesel is Unreliable, Cumbersome, Expensive, and Dirty
DieselGenerator
Total Cost ofOwnership
Ease of UseAvailability
$$
Noise
Fumes
Silent
No Moving Parts
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Challenges: Myths, Cost and Technology
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Eradicate Nepali Myths on Solar with Facts
Myth #1:Solar only runs lights, can’t power heavy equipments
Fact:Only constraining factors for solar are the size of inverter and
the total surface area available to install solar panels
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Myth #2:In winter, solar water heaters become completely useless! How is Solar going to generate electricity when it’s so cold?
Fact:Solar PV Technology has nothing to do with temperature.It only needs sunlight to produce electricity, not the heat!
Batteries Make Off-Grid PV More Expensive
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Per-Watt Subsidies and Net Metering Needed to Reduce Costs
Problem: On-Grid Assumes “Always-On” Grid
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Possible Solution: AC Mini-Grid
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Suggested Research Topic for IOE Center of Energy Studies
Examples: Seeing is Believing
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Reference Installations by Solar Power, Inc.Gham Power’s Partner Company in the USA
STAPLES Center, Nokia TheaterLos Angeles, CA
Location: Los Angeles, California
Installation Type: SkyMountTM
Rooftop
System Size : 345.6 Kilowatts
STAPLES Center, Nokia TheaterLos Angeles, CA
AerojetSacramento, CA
Location: Sacramento, California
Installation Type: Single-axis Tracker
System Size : 3.6 Megawatts
AerojetSacramento, CA
4.4 kW ResidentialRoseville, California
7.6 kW ResidentialGranite Bay, California
7.6 kW ResidentialRoseville, California
9.45 kW ResidentialGranite Bay, California
Summary
• Energy Crisis in Nepal = Opportunity for Solar for Urban and Commercial Sector
• Solar must be Available at Price of Diesel to Compete in Large Scale
• Needed
– Awareness: Runs heavy equipments, doesn’t need heat
– Policies: Subsidies, Net Metering
– Technology: Reducing Battery Costs (“AC Mini Grids”)
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Thank You!
All Rights Reserved © 2010, Gham Power Nepal Private Limited