fdi policies in china lin guijun university of international business and economics
Post on 20-Dec-2015
217 views
TRANSCRIPT
FDI Policies in China
Lin GuijunUniversity of International Business and Economics
Why FDI for China
With the inception of economic reform in 1979, China began to attract FDI.
Before the reform the inflow was zero.
To overcome the shortage of domestic funds for economic reconstruction;
(1) To introduce foreign managerial and technological know-how;
(2) In view of the success of the Asian Tigers, the policy was to help enhance China’s export capacity.
(3) To fill in the gap in productive capacity
What measures to promote FDI inflows
1. Establishing Special Economic Zones In 1979, the Chinese government
decided to establish special economics zones.
The special economic zones are export oriented.
The four SEZs include: Shenzhen. Zhuhai (both near Hong Kong), Shantou (with close connections with Chinese diaspora), Xiamen (near Taiwan).
Also in 1979, incentives (mainly favorable taxes) were allowed to develop processing exports.
2. Open Coastal Cities
In 1984 the Chinese government opened 14 coastal cities.
At the end of the year, Changjiang delta, Zhujiang delta, Liaodong Penisular and Shandong Penisular were open to foreign investment.
In 1988, Hainan, part of Guangdong was designated as special economic zone.
In 1990, Pudong development zone was established.
3. Open Inland Cities
In 1993, 28 interior cities and 14 inland border cities were open to FDI inflow.
4 Reform for Socialist Market Economies In the Spring of 1992, Deng
Xiaoping reassured the goal of the reform to establish socialist market economy
In 1993 China became the second largest FDI recipient country.
It is now the largest recipient.
Exports Export Imports
Market SITC Product of Parts and Components (US$ mn) Share (%) SITC Product of Parts and Components ($ million)East Asia (9) 776 Parts of electronic components 36,049 27.5 776 Parts of electronic components 125,967
764 Parts of telecommunication equipment 29,581 22.6 764 Parts of telecommunication equipment 23,246 65 Textile yarn, fabrics & made-up materials 16,784 12.8 759 Parts of office and adding machinery 16,085 759 Parts of office and adding machinery 13,588 10.4 772 Parts of switchgear 15,272 772 Parts of switchgear 8,675 6.6 65 Textile yarn, fabrics & made-up materials 8,486 784 Parts & motor vehicles and accessories 3,817 2.9 784 Parts & motor vehicles and accessories 7,047 691 Parts of structure in iron and steel 2,584 2.0 88411 Parts of unmounted optical elements 5,008 7239 Parts of construction machinery 1,562 1.2 7239 Parts of construction machinery 1,847 88411 Parts of unmounted optical elements 1,017 0.8 7133 Internal combustion engines for marine 1,610 82122 Mattress supports and cushion for furniture 1,011 0.8 7139 Parts of internal combustion engines 1,465
All above parts & components (10 items) 114,667 87.6 All above parts & components (10 items) 206,031 Total parts & components Exports (75 items) 130,923 100.0 Total parts & components Imports (75 items) 220,587
As % of all goods 32.0 As % of all goods0 to 9 All goods exports 409,766 0 to 9 All goods imports 569,516
EU (27) 764 Parts of telecommunication equipment 31,118 33.1 776 Parts of electronic components 7,888 776 Parts of electronic components 14,895 15.8 772 Parts of switchgear 5,853 759 Parts of office and adding machinery 11,697 12.4 784 Parts & motor vehicles and accessories 4,282 65 Textile yarn, fabrics & made-up materials 9,464 10.1 764 Parts of telecommunication equipment 3,938 772 Parts of switchgear 4,611 4.9 65 Textile yarn, fabrics & made-up materials 2,364 784 Parts & motor vehicles and accessories 3,119 3.3 7149 Parts of other engines and motors 1,736
81242 Parts of lighting fittings and base metals 2,936 3.1 759 Parts of office and adding machinery 1,038 691 Parts of structure in iron and steel 1,691 1.8 8749 Parts of instruments and accessories 1,007 625 Rubber tyres for wheels 1,559 1.7 7139 Parts of internal combustion engines 978
78539 Parts of carriages and cycles 1,440 1.5 7132 Internal combustion engines for vehivles 937 All above parts & components (10 items) 82,530 87.7 All above parts & components (10 items) 30,020
Total parts & components Exports (75 items) 94,089 100.0 Total parts & components Imports (75 items) 41,111 As % of all goods 25.4 As % of all goods
0 to 9 All goods exports 370,782 0 to 9 All goods imports 181,586
NAFTA (3) 764 Parts of telecommunication equipment 29,445 32.3 776 Parts of electronic components 16,844 759 Parts of office and adding machinery 10,607 11.6 764 Parts of telecommunication equipment 3,486 65 Textile yarn, fabrics & made-up materials 9,286 10.2 759 Parts of office and adding machinery 2,508 784 Parts & motor vehicles and accessories 6,172 6.8 772 Parts of switchgear 2,098 776 Parts of electronic components 4,915 5.4 7149 Parts of other engines and motors 1,110 772 Parts of switchgear 4,475 4.9 65 Textile yarn, fabrics & made-up materials 945 7239 Parts of construction machinery 3,789 4.2 7929 Parts of aircraft 922 625 Rubber tyres for wheels 3,230 3.5 8749 Parts of instruments and accessories 813
81242 Parts of lighting fittings and base metals 2,718 3.0 784 Parts & motor vehicles and accessories 659 82122 Mattress supports and cushion for furniture 1,892 2.1 72849 Parts of machines for other special industry 607
All above parts & components (10 items) 76,528 83.9 All above parts & components (10 items) 29,992 Total parts & components Exports (75 items) 91,221 100.0 Total parts & components Imports (75 items) 34,135
As % of all goods 24.5 As % of all goods
The Major Products of Parts and Components in Greater China's Trade with East Asia, European Union and NAFTA Markets, 2008
5. Enacting Laws
In 1979, “The Joint Venture law of the People’s Republic of China” was adopted.
1986, the Law on Foreign Investment was enacted.
In 1988, the “Law on Foreign Co-production” was enacted.
6 government’ s participation Governments at various level
played high importance on FDI inflow.
Local governments compete with each other.
Financially Does China Need FDI?
How much FDI in China
Total inflow of FDI into China is around 800 billion dollars, creating about 30 million jobs.
Inflow and Outflow of Direct Investment
Savings and Investment Aggregate
95 98 00 01 02 03 04 05 06
储蓄 41%
39% 37% 38%
40% 44% 47% 50% 52%
投资 41%
36% 35% 36%
38% 41% 43% 43% 43%
经常项目
0% 3% 2% 1% 2% 3% 4% 7% 9%
Saving and Investment Sectoral
95 98 00 01 02 03 04 05 06
政府部门储蓄 1% 0% 0% 1% 1% 2% 1% 2% 2%
投资 4% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5%
生产部门储蓄 33
%29%
25% 23% 23% 23% 26% 36% 38%
投资 27%
23%
22% 24% 24% 27% 29% 29% 30%
个人部门储蓄 8% 9% 12% 14% 12% 19% 19% 11% 11
%
投资 5% 5% 5% 5% 6% 6% 6 6% 6%
Saving and Investment Production
95 98 00 01 02 03 04 05 06
国有企业储蓄 18
%17% 11% 10% 8% 8% 9% 12
%12%
投资 16%
14% 12% 12% 11% 10% 10% 10%
10%
集体企业储蓄 8% 5% 3% 2% 1% 1% 1% 2% 1%
投资 6% 5% 5% 5% 5% 6% 7% 7% 7%
公司制企业储蓄 7% 7% 11% 12% 12% 13% 16% 23
%24%
投资 1% 2% 3% 5% 6% 8% 10% 10%
10%
外资 3% 2% 2% 2% 2% 3% 4% 4% 4%
FDI as a share of total domestic investment
0%
2%
4%
6%
8%
10%
12%
14%
1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006
Date
% o
f T
ota
l In
vest
men
t
FDI as a Share of TotalInvestment
Share of foreign ventures in trade
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70进出口总额比重
出口总额比重
进口总额比重
Share of domestic firms in trade
0102030405060708090
100进出口总额比重
出口总额比重
进口总额比重
Processing exports and total exports
1979 2007( - )
02000400060008000
100001200014000
1979 1982 1985 1988 1991 1994 1997 2000 2003 2006
亿美元
出口总额 加工贸易出口额
Investment policies with WTO
Conforming investment guidelines and their implementation to WTO rules.
Complying fully with the WTO’s Agreement on Trade-Related Investment Measures upon accession.
Eliminating policies requiring trade and foreign exchange balancing, local content, and export performance.
Ensuring that investment approval is not conditioned on whether competing domestic suppliers of such products exist or performance requirements of any kind, including the transfer of technology and the conducting of research and development in China.
Amending industrial policies for the automotive sector to ensure gradual liberalization on types or models of vehicles permitted for production over 2 years and investment levels approvable by provincial governments over 4 years, and removing the 50 percent foreign equity share limit on automotive engine plants upon accession.
Further liberalization of some sectors already opened before, such as Automobile industry: moving local holding majority share to 50/50.
Opening new sectors for FDI, especially in service sector, such as Banking, insurance, distribution and so on.
FDI Laws revision
FDI Laws revision
In July 1979, the government enacted “The Joint Venture law of the People’s Republic of China” adopted in 1979.
It was revised in 1990 and 2001.
Joint venture law revision
Before revision After revision
No. 2, Article 2: activities must obey China’s law, decree and relevant regulations
Activities must obey China’s laws and legal regulations
Hiring and laying-off governed by the agreement and contract of joint venture partners
Hiring, laying-off, salary, welfare and protection and security must be stipulated in a contract.
(new article added) must establish trade union to protect workers
Joint venture law revision
Before revision After revisionNo. 2 Article 9: various insurance covered by China’s insurance companies
Covered by insurance companies within China
Production plan must inform government agency
deleted
Domestic suppliers have priority for required raw materials fuel and parts, or using own FX to acquire in international market
According to the market principle, can be acquired from either domestic or foreign suppliers
Joint venture law revision
Before revision After revisionIn No. 15, Article 14: disputes among investors settled through domestic arbitration or other arbitration bodies agreed.
(add new in addition) if arbitration failed, can file law suit to the people’s court.
The right to revise this law is with the People’s congress
Deleted.
Foreign Investment Law revision 1986, the Law on Foreign
Investment was enacted. It was revised in 2000.
Foreign Investment Law revisionBefore revision After revisionNo. 1, Article 3: the establishment of FIE be conducive to China’s economic development, using advanced technology and equipment, or all or most products to export.
establishment of FIE be conducive to China’s economic development, encouraging export-oriented FIEs or type with advanced technology
No. 1, Article 11: FIE production plan must inform government agency
Deleted
Foreign Investment Law revisionBefore revision After revision
Article 15: for purchase of raw materials, fuel etc, under euqal conditions, domestic suppliers have priority.
According to the market principle, can be acquired from either domestic or foreign suppliers
N0. 3, Article 18: FIE be self-balancing in FX. agency approved for sales in doemstic market be responsible for solving FIE’s FX problem
Deleted.
Before revision After revision
Article 15: for purchase of raw materials, fuel etc, under euqal conditions, domestic suppliers have priority.
According to the market principle, can be acquired from either domestic or foreign suppliers
N0. 3, Article 18: FIE be self-balancing in FX. agency approved for sales in doemstic market be responsible for solving FIE’s FX problem
Deleted.
Foreign Co-production Law revision The “Law on Foreign Co-
production” was enacted was adopted in 1988.
It was revised in 2000.
Foreign Co-production revision
Before revision After revisionArticle 19: for purchase of raw materials, fuel etc, can either be purchased from domestic or foreign markets
According to market principles, can either be purchased from doemstic or foreign martkets
Article 20: firm responsible for foreign exchange balancing. In case not possible, to be resolved according to relevant regulations
Deleted
FDI under Financial Crisis
Inflow not much affected
The global financial crisis did not have much negative impacts on inward direct investment.
The inflow volume rose by 29.7 percent in 2008, and in 2009, there was a mere drop by 2.6 percent.
2007, $83.5 billion; 2008, $108.3 billion; 2009 $90 billion
Export-oriented FDI more volatile While China was able to maintain a
high growth rate, saw a modest decline in export-oriented FDI in 2009.
In the second half of the year, inward FDI to many Asian economies recovered quite rapidly, almost offsetting the steep fall in the first half year.
Low share of M&A
M&A direct investment tends to be much more volatile than greenfield investment.
China has the lowest ratio of M&A to total direct investment, 6 percent.
Region/economy 2007 2008Growthrate(%)
2009Growthrate(%)
2007 2008 2009
World 1031.1 706.5 -31.5 239.9 -66.0 52.1 41.6 23.1Developed economies 903.4 581.4 -35.6 195.4 -66.4 66.5 60.4 34.5Japan 16.1 9.3 -42.3 -5.9 -163.5 71.6 38.1 -51.8Developing economies 97.0 104.8 8.0 37.7 -64.0 18.3 16.9 9.3Asia and Oceania 68.5 68.2 -0.5 36.5 -46.5 20.6 17.5 13.8West Asia 23.0 16.3 -29.1 2.3 -85.9 29.6 18.1 4.5South, East and South-East Asia 45.3 52.6 16.0 34.1 -35.1 17.9 17.7 16.8China 9.3 5.4 -41.8 11.2 108.5 11.1 5.8 12.4Hong Kong, China 7.0 8.7 25.0 2.1 -75.3 12.8 13.8 5.8India 4.4 10.4 136.0 6.2 -40.5 17.5 25.0 18.5Indonesia 1.7 2.1 23.2 1.3 -34.9 24.6 26.6 25.5Malaysia 3.9 2.8 -28.7 0.2 -93.0 46.7 34.6 7.4Singapore 7.4 14.2 91.3 9.7 -32.1 23.5 62.6 53.0Thailand 2.4 0.1 -95.8 0.3 142.4 21.1 1.0 6.5
Sources: UNCTAD, World Investment Report 2009, Global Investment Trends Monitor, 19 January 2010
Net cross-border M&A sales (US$ billion) M&As/FDI inflow (%)
M&A Sales/FDI Inflow Ratio in Selected Countries
Notes: Net cross-border M&A sales in a host economy = Sales of companies in the host economy to foreign TNCs (-)Sales of foreign affiliates in the host economy.
Company Sector Country Amount Target
Apr. 09 CNPC, PetroChina Oil/Gas Kazakhstan 3.3 Kazmunajgaz
May. 09 PetroChina Oil Singapore 1Singapore Petroleum,45.5 percent
May. 09 Minmetals Metals Australia 0.9 OZ MineralsJun. 09 Sinopec Oil Switzerland 7.2 Addax PetroleumJul. 09 CNPC & Sinopec Oil Angola 1.3 Marathon Oils’ fieldAug. 09 Yanzhou Coal Coal Australia 2.9 Felix Resources
Sep. 09 CIC Oil/Gas Kazakhstan 0.9 Kazmunajgaz
Oct. 09 Jein Jein Nickel Metals Canada 2 Canadian Royalties
Oct. 09 CIC Oil Russia 0.345 percent stake in NobelOil
Oct. 09 PetroChina Oil Canada 2 Athabasca oil sands
Nov. 09 CNOOC Oil US 0.1Norway Statoil’s 20 of451 drilling leases
Nov. 09 Baosteel Group Metals Australia 0.3 Aquila
Dec. 09Xi'an Aircraft IndustryGroup, ATL
Manufacture Austria 0.1 FACC, 91.25 percent
Sep. 09 Chinalco Aluminum RussiaA stake in UC Rusal,world’s largest producer
Oct. 09 CNOOC Oil Nigeria Offshore oil fields
Dec. 09 Sinachem petrochemical Australia 2.3 Nufarm
Oct, 09China NonferousMetals
Rare minerals AustraliaAustralia requested stakein Lynas be cut below 50
Sep, 09 CNOOC Oil Nigeria 4 Kosmos stake in oil fieldJune, 09 Chinalco metals Australia 19.5 Rio Tinto
Sources: World Bank, www.people.com.cn.
China Foreign Acquisitions in 2009
I. Successful aquistions
II. Acquisitions in process
III. Unsuccessful acquisitions
Service outsourcing to China reached more than US$60 billion in 2007.
China has been among one of 30 top destinations for offshore IT operations, and it is believed to be an emerging leader in service outsourcing.
A measurement of offshore service outsourcing is based on Extended Balance of Payments Services Classification (EBOPS) data.
It provides an upper limit for estimate of offshore services to China.
The export of transportation, communications, financial and insurance services (FIS), computer and information services (CIS), and other business services (OBS) from 2000 to 2008.
The largest type of service export is OBS, amounted to US$46.3 billion in 2008, followed by transportation service.
All types of services export increased substantially during the period. Among them, the export of CIS increased by 17.6 times, while OBS export increased by 6 times, which indicates a quick expansion of IT outsource to China.
Exports of Selected Services (US Mn Dollars)
0
10000
20000
30000
40000
50000
60000
70000
80000
90000
100000
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008
Computer and information services Other business services Transportation
Communications services Financial and Insurance Services Total
Source: United Nations Service Trade Statistics Database
Exports of Parts and Accessories (US Million Dollars)
0
50,000
100,000
150,000
200,000
250,000
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008
Parts and accessories of capital goods
Parts and accessories of transport equipment
Total
Source: United Nations Commodity Trade Statistics Database
What do two TRILLION dollars FX reserves look like?
All this talk about "stimulus packages" and "bailouts"...
A billion dollars... A hundred billion dollars... Eight hundred billion dollars... One TRILLION dollars... What does that look like?
We'll start with a $100 dollar bill. Currently the largest U.S.
denomination in general circulation.
Most everyone has seen them, slighty fewer have owned them.
100 dollars
A packet of one hundred $100 bills is less than 1/2" thick and contains $10,000.
Fits in your pocket easily and is more than enough for week or two of shamefully decadent fun.
10,000 dollars
The next little pile is $1 million dollars (100 packets of $10,000).
You could stuff that into a grocery bag and walk around with it.
1 million dollars
While a measly $1 million looked a little unimpressive, $100 million is a little more respectable.
It fits neatly on a standard pallet...
100 million dollars
And $1 BILLION dollars... Now we're really getting
somewhere...
1 BILLION dollars
Next ONE TRILLION dollars. This is that number we've been
hearing so much about. What is a trillion dollars? It's a million million. It's a thousand billion. It's a one followed by 12 zeros.
One trillion dollars!
Notice those pallets are double stacked.
So the next time you hear someone toss around the phrase "trillion dollars"... that's what they're talking about.
Thank you!