fast company: sustaining a business model in the rapidly
TRANSCRIPT
Fast Company: Sustaining a Business ModelIn the Rapidly Changing World of Coal Mining
The William N. Poundstone LectureMike Quillen, Chairman & CEO, Alpha Natural Resources Inc.
November 15, 2007
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Statements in this presentation which are not statements of historical fact are “forward-looking statements” within the Safe Harbor provision of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. These forward-looking statements are based on the information available to, and the expectations and assumptions deemed reasonable by, Alpha Natural Resources at the time this presentation was made. Although Alpha Natural Resources believes that the assumptions underlying such statements are reasonable, it can give no assurance that they will be attained. Factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from expectations include the risks detailed under the caption “Risk Factors” in the company’s most recent Annual Report on Form 10-K, Quarterly Reports on Form 10-Q and in other materials filed by the company from time to time with the Securities and Exchange Commission.
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2002 2003 2004 2005 2006
Acquired Pittston Coal
assets
ANR Holdingsformed
Acquired AMCI assets
Acquired Coastal Coal
assets
Acquired Mears assets
Acquired Progress assets
Acquired Nicewonder
assets
Acquired Cooney Bros.
assets
Acquired Moravian Run
assets
IPO
Investmentin Gallatin lime plant
2007
Acquired Mingo Logan
assets
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A fast growth company
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Coal Sales by Type
Metallurgical10.0mm tonsSteam
19.1mm tons34%
66%
Production by Region
Northern Appalachia4.8 mmtons
81% 19%Central
Appalachia20.0 mm tons
81% 19%
81% 19%
2006 production profile
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Belgium
Brazil
Bulgaria
Canada
France
Egypt
Finland
Hungary
India
ItalyJapanKorea
Netherlands
Romania
Spain Turkey
United Kingdom
New Orleans, LA
Sandusky, OH
Conneaut, OH
Newport News, VA
Lambert’sPoint/Norfolk, VA
Baltimore, MD
Ashtabula, OH
Key Alpha Brands Produced in West Virginia & Shipped Around the WorldLitwar
Kepler
Herndon
Cucumber
Brooks Run
Kingwood
A worldwide name in metallurgical coal
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High value reserves
As of Dec. 31, 2006; does not include Mingo Logan-Ben Creek reserves acquired June 2007
Paramont (VA)
Dickenson-Russell (VA)
Kingwood (WV)
Brooks Run (WV)
Welch (WV)
AMFIRE (PA)
Enterprise (KY)
141.7
27.7
28.0
25.2
89.3
64.5
151.1
93%
100%
61%
100%
100%
55%
66%
Business Unit Reserves(millions of tons)
LowSulfur(< 1.5%)
HighBtu
(> 12,500)
98%
100%
100%
40%
100%
85%
91%
21.1 100%
Business Unit Reserves(millions of tons)
LowSulfur
(< 1.5%)
HighBtu
(> 12,500)
Alpha Total 548 82% 91%
43%
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33%
44%
14%
9%
2006 Coal Production, by State
Alpha’s production by state
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West Virginia
PennsylvaniaVirginia
Kentucky
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$70 million severance tax paid since 2004
$0
$5
$10
$15
$20
$25
2004 2005 2006 2007 YTD
Severance Tax Payments in West Virginia
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$10.7
$19.8
$14.8
$24.5( millions of dollars )
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$23$48 $63
$0
$20
$40
$60
$80
$100
$120
$140
$160
2004 2005 2006
Capital Expenditures - West Virginia Operations
$72
$122$132
Alpha reinvests in its W. Va. businesses
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( millions of dollars )
All Other StatesWest Virginia
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Alpha furnishes good paying jobs in W. Va.
Total Alpha Payroll in West Virginia(millions of dollars)
$32.7
$63.6
$77.8
$88.9
$0
$10
$20
$30
$40
$50
$60
$70
$80
$90
$100
2004 2005 2006 2007E
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Today’s discussion
Competition from other fuelsEconomicsProductivityCostsSafetyLaborEnvironmental: permitting, post mining land use … and global warmingPublic perception … and politics
Our business faces a number of challenges …… all require the company to be fast on its feet
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Coal : the dominant source of electricity
Percentage of U.S. Electricity Generation, by Fuel Type - 2006
COAL49%
OTHER3%
OIL2%HYDRO
7%NAT GAS
20%
NUCLEAR19%
SOURCE: U.S. Energy Information Administration12
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Coal : the economical source of electricity
SOURCE: U.S. Energy Information Administration, March 2007 Energy Review
West Virginia retail electricity rates are among
the nation’s lowest
___________
• 98% of West Virginia’s
electricity comes from coal
• Residents pay $0.05 per kWh,
57% of the national average of
$0.09 per kWh
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Challenge: economics of the coal business
67.1%778.7Total Top 10
2.1%24.8Alpha Natural Resources
2.5%29.4Westmoreland Coal
2.7%31.5Kiewit Mining Group
3.1%35.6North American Coal
3.4%39.0Massey Energy
5.8%67.4CONSOL Energy
6.2%71.6Foundation Coal
10.9%126.1Arch Coal
11.9%138.1Kennecott Energy
18.5%215.2Peabody Energy
34.0%264.3Total Top 10
2.0%14.8Nerco
2.0%14.9Kerr-McGee
2.0%15.2Utah International
2.0%18.0Anaconda
2.0%18.2A.T. Massey
3.0%19.4Exxon Coal
4.0%28.4Texas Utilities Mining
5.0%40.0Amax
5.0%42.0Consol Energy
7.0%53.4Peabody Energy
Company Company Tons (mm)% of Total U. S. ProductionTons (mm)
% of Total U. S. Production
U. S. Coal Production - 1983 U. S. Coal Production - 2006
Source: National Mining Association
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$(300)
$(200)
$(100)
$-
$100
$200
$300
2006 2005
Free Cash Flow – Public Coal Cos.
SOURCE: Company filings; CitigroupFree cash flow defined as cash flow from operations less capital expenditures, not including acquisitions
(in order of firm market capitalization)
AlphaAB C
E
D
F G$27.3
$78.1
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Economics not always favorable
Millionsof dollars
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Challenge : Productivity is falling
U.S. Coal Mine Productivity Trends
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2
4
6
8
10
12
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1980 1990 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007
Underground Surface
Short tonsper miner
hour
SOURCE: U.S. Energy Information Administration
3.39 tpmh
10.07 tpmh
11.01 tpmh
4.15 tpmh
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Challenge: Mining costs have shot up
Cost of Coal Sales per Ton, Alpha Mines
$20
$30
$40
$50
Q1 200
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Q1 200
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Q1 200
6
Q1 200
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As reported in company SEC filings
$27.20 / ton
$46.05 / ton
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Challenge : Safety - facts vs. perception
Crandall Canyon Mine, UtahAugust 6, 2007
Sago Mine, W. Va.January 3, 2006
Underground emergencies have heightened public fear, created a rush for political action
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Master HeaderSafety : facts vs. perception
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50
100
150
200
250
300
1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006
Fatalities Production
Fatalities U.S. Production (million st)
SOURCE: U.S. Mine Safety & Health Administration
Production - 89% Increase
Fatalities - 81% Decrease
1,400
1,200
1,000
800
600
400
200
0
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U.S. Coal Mine Safety and Production Trends
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Safety : perception vs. reality
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2
4
6
8
10
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U.S. Coal Mine Injuries per 200,000 Employee Hours
1990 2000 2006
10.18
4.46
56 % decrease
SOURCE: U.S. Mine Safety & Health Administration20
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Safety : a rush to legislate
Atmospheric monitoringPrompt accident notification (15 minute)
Withdraw miners during lightning eventPost-accident communications study
Ban on belt air ventilationBelt air study
240psi sealsIncreased seal design & monitoring
Required use of rescue chambersIncreased civil, criminal penalties
Retreat mining studyMine rescue team within 1 hour travel
Flame resistant conveyor beltsSecondary communications system
Reduced respirable dust standard2 hrs. breathable air per miner / caches
S – MINER Act (H.R. 2768)MINER Act
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Challenge : finding tomorrow’s coal miners
The mean age of a U.S. coal miner is 50 years;The median work experience is 20 years
Sources: EIA; NMA; Bureau of Labor Statistics
We will need an estimated 50,000 new coal miners in the next 10 years.
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• Clean Air Act• Clean Water Act• Safe Drinking Water Act• Solid Waste Disposal Act• Federal Land Policy and Management Act• Surface Mining Control and Reclamation Act• Comprehensive Environmental Response, Compensation andLiability Act (CERCLA)
• Toxic Substances Control Act• Resource Conservation and Recovery Act (RCRA)• Migratory Bird Treaty Act• Endangered Species Act
… and then there are state regulations
Challenge : mounting regulatory burdens
Federal Environmental Laws Governing Coal Operations
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Environmental hurdles stack up
It takes up to three years and costs up to $1 million to obtain permits for a single surface mine.
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Reclamation : a ‘Fast Company’ approach
Black Bear #1 Surface Mine - Clintwood, Va.
•Interstate Mining Compact Commission National Mine Reclamation Award
• Appalachian Regional Reforestation Initiative Excellence in Reforestation Award
• Va. Mining Association2006 Reclamation Award
• National Assn. of State Land Reclamationists 2006 National Mine Reclamation Award
• Va. DMLR Excellence in Mining & Reclamation Award
The first natural stream channel to be built on a reclaimed surface mine in Virginia.
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Reclamation : higher-value land use
• Total of 15 miles of rough grade road bed
• Over 6 miles completed; 32 million cu. yards of earth moved
• W. Va. VDOT estimates 50% cost savings over traditional road building process
• Platform for Virginia Coalfields Expressway feasibility study (50 miles)
Project : King Coal Highway, W. Va.
King Coal Highway
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Challenge : the global warming debate
• In 109th Congress, 106 bills, resolutions and amendmentshave been introduced that specifically address globalclimate change and greenhouse gas emissions.
• Plans for building nearly two dozen coal-fired power plants have been cancelled or deferred.
• By 2030, energy demand is expected to grow 30% to 40%in the U.S.
--globally it will grow 50%.
Electricity demand is growing at twicethe pace new supplies are being added.
Where will our energy come from?27
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Alpha could have gone this route… But we went this route…• Formed Alpha carbon team• Formulated climate changeplatform
• Planted 500,000 trees onreclaimed mine lands in 2006
• Researching switchgrass(cellulostic biofuel)
• Testing biodiesel for mining equipment
• Looking at coal to ethanol• Studying possible joint project with Nature Conservancy onterrestrial carbon sequestration
• Joined regional carbon capture &storage research consortium(SECARB)
More than 17,100 American scientists, two-thirds with advanced degrees, have signed a petition which says in part, "There is no convincing scientific evidence that human release of carbon dioxide, methane, or other greenhouse gases is causing or will, in the foreseeable future, cause catastrophic heating of the Earth's atmosphere and disruption of the Earth's climate."
Climate change …. forces & facts
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