fannie mae fred die mac
TRANSCRIPT
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Fannie Mae & Freddie Mac CDS
John Williams,
,
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Background to Protocols
Auction Timeline
Auction Methodology in detail
Calculating Open Interest
Calculating Final Price
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Background to Protocols
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Basics of ISDA Protocols: ro oco rs eve ope o a ow par es o ma e
amendments to ISDA Master Agreements to deal withEuropean Monetary Union on a multi-lateral, standard
, ,
ISDA publishes standard amendment terms
To effect an amendment, two parties simply have toa ere o e ro oco y sen ng e r no ce o
prior to the cut-off date. An adhering party automaticallyamends its ISDA Master (or related documentation) with
. Participation is completely voluntary
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If parties adhere:
No sco e for ne otiation of terms
Affects Index and most Non-Index Transactions between them whether physically or cash settled
Excluded Non-Index Transactions include: CDS backing CLNs and intending to settle in line with CLN terms
Reference Obligation only transactions
Loan only transactions
Credit Event Notice, Notice of Publicly Available Informationand (if applicable) Notice of Physical Settlement deemed tohave been given as of a specified Common Event
Determination Date Deliverable Obligations as specified in the Protocol
Both Cash and Physically settled trades settle in cash at Final
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r ce on as e emen a e spec e n ro oco
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Permit rapid amendment of existing CDS documentation to
Ensure that Final Price is reflective of market value of thedefaulted entitys obligations, taking into account CDS parties
Allow bonds to be traded to permit physical settlement at
Final Price
finish with same bond position they would have had underphysical settlement
Ensures resulting position from original settlement mechanism is
effectively preserved for those who desire it
Prevents price and settlement distortions that could result where CDS
ex osure to a articular entit is dis ro ortionatel lar er
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than the amount of actual obligations of such entity
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Auction Timeline
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On Auction Date: 8:30 9:20 (Initial Bidding Period): Participating Bidders submit
8:30 - 8:35 (Senior Auction for Fannie Mae) 8:45 - 8:50 (Subordinate Auction for Fannie Mae) 9:00 - 9:05 (Senior Auction for Freddie Mac) -
9:30 - 11:00: Creditex/Markit calculate Inside Market Midpoint andOpen Interest
11:00: Inside Market Midpoint and Open Interest published-
Noon 2:30 (Subsequent Bidding Period): Limit Orderssubmitted Noon - 12:15 (Senior Auction for Fannie Mae)
: - : u or na e uc on or ann e ae 1:30 - 1:45 (Senior Auction for Freddie Mac) 2:15 - 2:30 (Subordinate Auction for Freddie Mac)
4:00: Final Price calculated and published, details of Market
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All results published at www.creditfixings.com
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Post Auction
Transactions covered b the Auction cash settle at the
Final Price on the Cash Settlement Date specified in theProtocol (October 15, 2008)
Trades formed in the Auction are matched and notified bAdministrators and settled by the relevant participantsdirectly.
The effective Buyer will need to deliver a Notice of PhysicalSettlement specifying the Deliverable Obligation(s) itproposes to deliver.
The effective Seller will pay the Final Price for such
e vera e ga ons.
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Auction Methodology in Detail
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1. Determines the Inside Market Midpoint
,
Final Price Market participants penalized for trades which touch or
cross by requiring a cash payment ofAdjustment Amount(calculated by reference to Inside Market Midpoint)
2. Determines the Open Interest
For market participants that still want to physically settleor where dealers/customers want to be able to buy/sellthe Deliverable Obligations at the Final Price
Open Interest is the net imbalance between buy and sell
3. Matches Limit Orders to create live trades to buy and sellDeliverable Obligations at the Final Price
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Dealers submit pairs of Inside Market Bids/Offers no more than 2% ofpar apart in a representative size ($10m) ns e ar e comm men o en er as e er o ga on
buyer) into RAST Inside Market Offer commitment to enter as Buyer (obligation
seller) into RAST RAST: Representative Auction-Settled Transaction (effectively a
bond purchase agreement, but with CDS buy-in rules see later) Pairs separated and sorted in:
Inside Market Bids Descending Order Inside Market Offers Ascending Order
Touching or Crossing pairs discarded for these purposes Identify the Best Half i.e. the rounded up half of Bid/Offer pairs with
ti htest s reads e. . if there are 11 airs the best half is the 6
tightest pairs) The Bid and Offer pairs in the Best Half are then averaged to
calculate Inside Market Midpoint
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Dura Auction
Bid Offer Dealer
UBS
Barclays
Crossing
Dealer
4.5
4
2.5
4.25
Goldman
Morgan Stanley
BofA
Merrill
Lehman
Credit Suisse
Best Half
3.75
3.625
3.5
3.5
4.5
4.75
4.75
5.25
Bear Stearns
Deutsche
JPMorgan
Citi
Citi
Deutsche
JPMorgan
Bear Stearns
3.25
2.75
2.75
2.5
5.5
5.5
5.625
5.75
Lehman
Credit Suisse
Merrill
BofA
Inside Market Mid-point = 4.25 (average of Best Half
Goldman
.
0.5 6.5 UBS
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bids and offers)
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If a Bid is equal to or higher than an Offer n ear er uc ons e par es were requ re o ra e w
each other Now, one party will be required to pay an Adjustment
moun re ec ng erence e ween er an eInside Market Midpoint
If Open Interest is an offer to sell, Bidder pays; if Openn eres s an o er o uy, e er pays
Adjustment Amount paid to ISDA to defray costs of auction
Operates as a penalty for perceived off-market quotes
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Participating Bidders submit Physical Settlement Buy/Sell Requests:
orders to trade bonds of a stated size at the Final Price (as ultimatelydetermined in Auction
Physical Settlement Buy Request: Firm commitment to enter as Seller(obligation buyer) into Representative Auction-Settled Transaction (RAST)
Physical Settlement Sell Request: Firm commitment to enter as Buyero ga on se er n o
Physical Settlement Buy/Sell Requests must be in same direction as
and not in excess of Participating Bidders or customers MarketPosition
Participant that has purchased a net $100m in protection can only sell upto $100M in Deliverable Obligations
Conversely, a participant that has sold a net of $100M in protection can
RAST is a credit default swap, but on terms such that it takes effectas a bond sale and purchase of cheapest to deliver DeliverableObli ations at Final Price and with standard CDS non-deliver fall-
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backs.
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Customers submit requests through dealer counterparties.
requests no larger than its position with such ParticipatingBidder.
in all Physical Settlement Buy vs. Physical Settlement SellRequests is Open Interest
Bid Requests position as Seller under RAST / CDS
Offer Request position as Buyer under RAST / CDS
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Dura auction
Bid / Offer USD million
BofA Offer 0
Dealer
Physical Settlement Requests
Barclays
Bear Stearns
Citi
Deutsche
Offer
Offer
Offer
Offer
6
0
3
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JP Morgan
Lehman
Merrill
ys ca e emen eRequests = 81
Morgan Stanley
Offer
Offer
Offer
Offer
1
5
13
3
UBS
Credit Suisse Physical Settlement BuyRequests = 4
Offer
Bid
9
4
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OPEN INTEREST = 77 (offer side)
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Allows participants to maintain same cash position after auction as ifthey had physically settled E.g. assume notional of $100 and Final Price of 40%
Seller under Physically Settled CDS would pay $100 and receive$100 of Obligations worth $40
Under Auction Seller will a $60 and, b lacin Limit Orders, bu$100 of Obligations for $40
If Open Interest is an offer to sell, it implies that, of the market
participants wishing physical settlement, there are more net buyers of
Obligations under a physically settled CDS)
If Open Interest is an bid to purchase, it implies that, of the marketparticipants wishing physical settlement, there are more net sellers of
Obligations under a physically settled CDS)
Value of Limit Orders is far below aggregate notional of CDS. Vast majority of covered transactions do not trigger Physical Settlement
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Requests and are not reflected in Open Interest.
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Unmatched Limit Orders matched to Open Interest
Last Unmatched Limit Order so matched is Final
Price
Limit Orders: firm commitment to enter into RAST at a
specified price and specified size; and
Includes Inside Market Bids/Offers which touched or crossedare still taken into account as Unmatched Limit Orders, but
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Where Limit Order book is greater than Open Interest, IMMserves as a limit on Final Price match Unmatched Limit Orders until Open Interest closed or limit
book runs out (depending on which is larger) If Open Interest is bid, match all Limit Offers in ascending order
Highest Limit Offer so matched is Final Price If Highest Limit Offer is below IMM minus Cap Amount, Final Price = IMM
minus Cap Amount
If Open Interest is offer, match all Limit Bids in descending order
Lowest Limit Bid so matched is Final Price If Lowest Limit Bid is above IMM lus Ca Amount, Final Price = IMM
plus Cap Amount
Where Open Interest is greater than Limit Order book, FinalPrice is: If O en Interest is offer zero
If Open Interest is a bid, (a) for purposes of settling covered CDS trades, Final Price is par
and b for ur oses of settlin trades formed in the auction, Final Price is
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the highest offer received
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Dura auction sorted dataO en Interest = 77
Bid USD million
UBS
Barclays
4.25 10
Dealer
4 10
BofA
Credit Suisse
Merrill
Bids = 62
Bids = 82
3.75 10
3.75 20
3.625 10
BofA
Credit Suisse
Lehman
FINAL PRICE = 3.5
3.625 2
3.5
3.5
10
10
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Questions?
These are presentation slides only. The information within these slides does notconstitute definitive advice and should not be used as the basis for giving definitiveadvice without checking the primary sources.
Allen & Overy means Allen & Overy LLP and/or its affiliated undertakings. Theterm partner is used to refer to a member of Allen & Overy LLP or an employee orconsultant with e uivalent standin and ualifications or an individual with
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equivalent status in one of Allen & Overy LLP's affiliated undertakings.
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