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Fall Annual Meeting REALTORS® Land Institute Iowa Chapter Land Trends & Values Press Release Matt Vegter Elliott Siefert Hertz Real Estate Services, Nevada, IA Land Trends and Values Committee Co-Chairs September 23, 2020

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Page 1: Fall Annual Meeting · More “online” Public Auctions vs In-Person. Conclusion Land Values are Steady Quality is “King” Localized Volatility Positives for Land Market Still

Fall Annual MeetingREALTORS® Land Institute – Iowa Chapter

Land Trends & Values Press Release

Matt Vegter

Elliott Siefert

Hertz Real Estate Services, Nevada, IA

Land Trends and Values Committee Co-Chairs

September 23, 2020

Page 2: Fall Annual Meeting · More “online” Public Auctions vs In-Person. Conclusion Land Values are Steady Quality is “King” Localized Volatility Positives for Land Market Still

REALTORS® Land Institute –

Iowa Chapter

September 2020 Land Value Survey

Press Release

REALTORS® Land Institute is an affiliate of the National Association

of REALTORS®

Organized for REALTORS® who specialize in farm and land sales,

management, development and appraisal

Page 3: Fall Annual Meeting · More “online” Public Auctions vs In-Person. Conclusion Land Values are Steady Quality is “King” Localized Volatility Positives for Land Market Still

REALTORS® Land Institute –

Iowa Chapter

September 2020 Land Value Survey

Press Release

Participants in the Survey

Asked for their opinions about the current status of Iowa’s farmland market.

Asked to estimate the average value of farmland as of September 1, 2020.

Estimates are for bare, unimproved land with a sale price on a cash basis.

Page 4: Fall Annual Meeting · More “online” Public Auctions vs In-Person. Conclusion Land Values are Steady Quality is “King” Localized Volatility Positives for Land Market Still

REALTORS® Land Institute- Iowa Chapter

September 1, 2020

0.0%

March 2020 – September 2020

Page 5: Fall Annual Meeting · More “online” Public Auctions vs In-Person. Conclusion Land Values are Steady Quality is “King” Localized Volatility Positives for Land Market Still

Nine Crop Reporting Districts

REALTORS® Land Institute- Iowa Chapter

September 1, 2020

0.2%

1.2%

-1.7%

-0.6%

-1.1%

1.0%

0.9% 1.3% -0.6%

March 2020 – September 2020

Page 6: Fall Annual Meeting · More “online” Public Auctions vs In-Person. Conclusion Land Values are Steady Quality is “King” Localized Volatility Positives for Land Market Still

Nine Crop Reporting Districts

REALTORS® Land Institute- Iowa Chapter

September 1, 2020

September 2019– September 2020

-0.6%

0.2%

-0.4%

1.0%

1.2%

2.2%

-0.3%

0.9%

0.6%

-0.1%

-1.7%

-1.8%

-0.3%

-0.6%

-0.9%

-1.3%

1.3%

0.0%

0.3%

-1.1%

-0.8%

-0.2%

1.0%

0.8%

1.8%

-0.6%

1.2%

Top – March 2020

Bottom – September 2020

Page 7: Fall Annual Meeting · More “online” Public Auctions vs In-Person. Conclusion Land Values are Steady Quality is “King” Localized Volatility Positives for Land Market Still

REALTORS® Land Institute- Iowa Chapter

September 1, 2020

September 2019 – March 2020 0.1%

March 2020 – September 2020 0.0%

0.1%

September 2019– September 2020

Page 8: Fall Annual Meeting · More “online” Public Auctions vs In-Person. Conclusion Land Values are Steady Quality is “King” Localized Volatility Positives for Land Market Still

Nine Crop Reporting Districts

REALTORS® Land Institute- Iowa Chapter

Pasture Acres

September 1, 2020

2.6%

$2,933

2.6%

$3,010

-2.8%

$2,677

-1.3%

$2,921

-0.6%

$2,928

1.3%

$2,934

0.2%

$3,200

0.2%

$2,756

2.3%

$3,031

March 2020– September 2020

Top – Percent change

Bottom – Price per Ac

Page 9: Fall Annual Meeting · More “online” Public Auctions vs In-Person. Conclusion Land Values are Steady Quality is “King” Localized Volatility Positives for Land Market Still

Nine Crop Reporting Districts

REALTORS® Land Institute- Iowa Chapter

Non-Tillable / Timber Acres

September 1, 2020

1.5%

$2,600

2.0%

$2,575

-0.5%

$2,015

-0.4%

$2,503

3.3%

$2,978

3.3%

$2,627

0.5%

$2,456

-1.0%

$2,850

3.4%

$2,488

March 2020 – September 2020

Top – Percent change

Bottom – Price per Ac

Page 10: Fall Annual Meeting · More “online” Public Auctions vs In-Person. Conclusion Land Values are Steady Quality is “King” Localized Volatility Positives for Land Market Still

REALTORS® Land Institute – Iowa Chapter

Land Value SurveySeptember 1, 2020

Federal Reserve

April 1, 2020 – July 1, 2020 -1.0%

Federal Reserve

July 1, 2019 – July 1, 2020 0.0%

USDA - Cropland - August 1, 2019 – July 31, 2020

US 0.0%

Iowa -1.2%

Page 11: Fall Annual Meeting · More “online” Public Auctions vs In-Person. Conclusion Land Values are Steady Quality is “King” Localized Volatility Positives for Land Market Still

COVID-19 Impact?

60-day “pause”

Uncertainty amongst sellers

Lower volume of farms for sale

“Surprisingly” little to no impact on values

More “online” Public Auctions vs In-Person

Page 12: Fall Annual Meeting · More “online” Public Auctions vs In-Person. Conclusion Land Values are Steady Quality is “King” Localized Volatility Positives for Land Market Still

Conclusion Land Values are Steady

Quality is “King”

Localized Volatility

Positives for Land Market Still Limited Amount of Land for Sale

1031 Exchanges

Extremely Favorable Interest Rates

Negatives for Land Market Volatile Commodity Prices

Trade Uncertainty

Derecho

Drought

Continued Increase in Investor Buyers

Stability Ahead… or More Uncertainty? Presidential Election, Trade Tariffs, Lower Carry Out

Page 13: Fall Annual Meeting · More “online” Public Auctions vs In-Person. Conclusion Land Values are Steady Quality is “King” Localized Volatility Positives for Land Market Still

Questions?