f fnal hugh montgomery fermilab october, 2007. f october 27,28, 20062collider international finance...

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FNALHugh Montgomery

Fermilab October, 2007

October 27,28, 2006 2

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Collider International Finance Committees

Organisation Issues

• Fermi Research Alliance was awarded the contract to operate Fermilab for 5 years with possibility of up to 20 years, if performance is good.

• FRA is partnership between U. Chicago and URA.

• FRA Board of directors, Chair is Bob Zimmer, President of U. Chicago.

• Board has 7 URA regional representatives

• Physics Sub-committee still exists and they organize a Physics Visiting Committee review.

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Organisation Issues

• FY2008 Budget: As last year there is a Continuing Resolution, so the year starts as a continuation of last year, No new starts, no increases for projects on the rise.

• Divisions and Sections had a preview in July but we have not distributed a strawman budget, nor heard responses.

• In DOE OHEP, Robin Staffin has moved on to be an advisor to Ray Orbach, OHEP has Acting Head, Dennis Kovar, who was Head of Nuclear Physics for many years.

• We are developing a budget briefing for Dennis for Wednesday, October 31.

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Long Range Planning• Steering Group

– Chair: Deputy Director -Young Kee Kim– Committee 50/50 Fermilab-Non Fermilab– Plan US Accelerator Based Future supporting ILC

– Report in September 2007– If ILC decision is delayed:

• Build 6 GeV ILC Linac• 2 GeV LINAC front end• Feed 8 GeV to Accelerator complex and

physics• Eg > 2 MW for 120 GeV protons for LBL

Neutrino Program• 8 GeV protons for muon and kaon program

– Recommendations are under discussion by everyone

– Accelerator and Physics Workshops in November

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Tevatron Performance

Tevatron peak and integrated luminosities

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2007 Accelerator Shutdown

• Accelerator work appears to have gone well

• Significant work on several of the machines

• Experiments confined efforts to remedial work– Silicon Readout recoveries– CDF Silicon Cooling system

• All Experimenters’ Meeting at 4 pm TODAY – Curia II

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Shutdown 2007

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Shutdown 2007

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Shutdown 2007

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Vulnerability Review

• Director commissioned a review of experiment vulnerability– What can we expect to break?– With what vulnerability?– What are appropriate remedial actions?

• Committee– Chair: Dan Green: array of detector

experts

• Excellent Cooperation from the experiments

• No Show stoppers– Need to work on preserving corporate

knowledge and expertise

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Neutrino Program

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SciBooNE

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MINOS Results

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MiniBooNE Results

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Future Neutrino Experiments

• MINERvA– Neutrino Cross Sections– To be mounted in front of MINOS Near Detector– R&D and construction preparation is well

advanced– Has full completed all CD3 requirements, awaiting

ESAAB (Nov. 1 ) and start of construction

• NOvA– Long Baseline, Off Axis from NuMI– Enormous Far Detector– Lots of R&D and design work complete– Successfully completed CD2 Baseline review– Construction start of Road in Minesota in Spring

2008

• BNL-FNAL Long Baseline Study

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P5 Committee

• Tevatron Running in 2009 – June 2007– Concerned with

• the continued good progress of integrated luminosity

• The understanding of the collaboration manpower

• The understanding of the Laboratory support for operations

– Conclusion was clearly positive

• Tevatron Running in 2010 – September 2007– Wanted to see physics progress– Understand opportunity cost– Anticipated nothing new on effort front

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Projected Integrated Luminosity in Run II (fb-1) vs time

0

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

8

9

10

time since FY04

Inte

gra

ted

Lu

min

osit

y (

fb-1

)

extrapolatedfrom FY09

Tevatron Luminosity Delivery for Run II

FY08 start

Real data for FY02-FY07

8.6 fb-1

7.2 fb-1

Highest Int. Lum

Lowest Int. Lum

FY10 start

FY09 and FY10 integrated luminosities

assumed to be identical

fCriteria for Tevatron Runningin FY 2010

Pier OddoneSeptember 24, 2007

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Criteria for running in 2010

• Important Physics

• Viable Collaborations

• Acceptable damage to other programs

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Important Physics

• We explore uniquely a large variety of physics at the energy frontier until LHC detectors overtake us

• Sensitivity to ~160 GeV Higgs at 95% CL, opens in the next year

• Low mass Higgs (Standard or lowest lying MSSM Higgs below 150 GeV) is hard to reach early with the LHC

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mb -

b -

nb -

pb -

fb -

100 120 140 160 180 200

- - -

Higgs Mass [GeV/c2]

Total Inelastic

bb

WZ

tt-

-

HiggsWH,ZH

jets (qq, qg, gg)ob

serv

ed

WZ, Single Top, ZZ

MW ~0.05%

Observed WZ,Evidence for ZZand Single Top

Bs–Bs Oscillation,b Discovery +

Precision Meas.

MHiggs < ? GeVat 95% CL

-

Low Mass SUSY

Road to Higgs and Beyond

Mtop ~1.2%

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SM Higgs Searches

LEP Tevatron LHC onlyexcl. LHC

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Constraint MSSM (CMSSM)

Sven Heinemeyer, Georg Weiglein

With Electroweak precision measurements and cold dark matter density (WMAP, …)

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W and Top Mass, and SM Higgs

Will Tevatron’s prediction and observation/exclusionagree with what LHC sees?

Run II2009

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SM Higgs Searches at Tevatron

Tevatron Observed

Tevatron Expected

LP2007LP2007

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Important Physics

• From first collisions at the LHC in Summer 2008 and closure of Tevatron September 2009 is too short for LHC detectors to wipe CDF/D0 out

– Any delay in putting the hardware together – no float now

– Delay in first beam to collisions – only three months now

– Natural time to accumulate luminosity

– Debugging detector and software

– Physics analysis

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Viable Collaborations

• The collaborations should be viable through FY2009

• To ensure collaborations are viable in FY2010, we need to start working now to make sure there are enough students/post-docs and “know how”

• Early results from LHC could negatively impact the collaborations in 2010 if most folks were to decamp Should we be so lucky!!

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Viable Collaborations

• Conversely, if there are delays in getting results from LHC, the Tevatron remains exciting, producing physics for students/postdocs/faculty

• In the middle, there could be a horse race to the Higgs

• To keep collaborations viable need agency support of University groups for work at the Tevatron beyond 2010

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Acceptable damage

• Running in 2010 delays slightly 700kW neutrino beam capability

• Running in 2010 has modest impact on NOvA start-up (presently shut-down starts late 2010; physics run June 2011)

• Requires additional resources not to slow down the ILC R&D, Project X, or neutrino program; approximately $30M

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Conclusion

• We believe strongly that DOE should plan to run through FY2010

• An early recommendation by P5 would help the planning effort for the lab and collaborations.

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Conclusions for IFC• 2007 has been a very active year for Fermilab on

every front.• Accelerator and Detector Operations in 2007

were great• Physics Output from Tevatron Collider is

phenomenal

• Shutdown work was successfully accomplished• Accelerator Complex is starting up

• With P5 we have:– Recommendation for 2009 running– Proposed running Tevatron in 2010 – decision in 2008.

• Looking forward to a productive 2007

f fnal hugh montgomery fermilab october, 2007. f october 27,28, 20062collider international finance...

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