expected equity trends during the first 18 months of a...
TRANSCRIPT
1
Expected Equity Trends
during the First 18 Months
of a Trump Administration Presented to
Toronto MoneyShow
September 9th 2017
Historic Performance by Dow Jones Industrial Average during Post Election Years
2
Historic Performance by Dow Jones Industrial Average during Mid-Term Election Years
3
Economic Performance during the Election Cycle
4
Commodity Performance during the Election Cycle
5
US Dollar Performance during the Election Cycle
6
The Tax Reform Factor
7
The Tax Reform Factor
8
The Tax Reform Factor
9
2
Traditional Investment Decision Making
1 Fundamental Analysis
2 Technical Analysis
3 Seasonal Analysis
Seasonal Investment Decision Making
1 Seasonal Analysis
2 Technical Analysis
3 Fundamental Analysis
11
Seasonal Analysis Find periods of seasonal strength
or weakness
See EquityClockcom
Technical Analysis Fine tune entry and exit points
Is the trend favourable for the seasonal move
Fundamental Analysis Determine the annual recurring
events that trigger seasonality
Are recurring events happening this year
12
The Seasonal Investing Process
Seasonal Investing
The markets are influenced by seasonally recurring tendencies
including those pertaining to
economic indicators
corporate earnings
consumer and business spending patterns
recurring announcements
recurringplanned events
13
What is Seasonal Investing
Equity markets
Commodities
Interest Rates
Economic Indicators
Individual equities
Sectors
Currencies
Not Exchange Traded Funds
14
Which markets display Seasonality
Seasonality of US Equity Markets
15
Seasonality of Canadian Equity Markets
16
Seasonality of European Markets
17
Seasonality of European Equity Markets
18
Seasonality of Emerging Equity Markets
19
Fun with Data Chart
20
Seasonality of the VIX Index
21
What is VIX Saying Now
22
Sector Seasonality
23
Economic data influencing price
24
Seasonal Investing ndash Not Just Based UponDates on a Calendar
Intermediate uptrend
Outperformance relative to a broad benchmark
(such as S amp P 500)
25
Primary Technical Requirements forEntering Seasonal Trades
Trades above its 20 day moving average
Short term momentum indicators trending higher
(Stochastics RSI MACD)
26
Secondary Technical Requirements forEntering Seasonal Trades
Daily Report Showing Seasonality and Technicals (for September 1st 2017)
27
UNIT SEASONAL TREND
RELATIVE
STRENGTH
20 DAY
MA MOMENTUM
TECHNICAL
SCORE
PREVIOUS
SCORE
Technology
XLKFHQTO Negative Up Positive Above Up 6
Materials
XLBFHMTO Negative Up Positive Above Up 6
Industrials
XLIFHGTO Neutral Neutral Neutral Above Up 2 Consumer
Discretionary
XLYFHDTO Negative Neutral Negative Above Up 0
Financials
XLFFHFTO Negative Neutral Negative Below Up -2 -4
Energy
XLEFHETO Neutral Down Negative Above Up -2 -4
Consumer Staples
XLPFHCTO Negative Up Negative Below Up 0 -2
Health Care
XLVFHHTO Neutral Up Positive Above Up 6
Utilities
XLUFHUTO Neutral Up Positive Above Down 4
TSX Financial Neutral Down Neutral Above Up 0
TSX Energy Negative Neutral Negative Above Up 0 -2
TSX Gold Positive Up Positive Above Up 6
28
Seasonal Trade Example using Gold Gold Equities
First check seasonality
29
Seasonal Trade Example using Gold Gold Equities
First check seasonality
30
Seasonal Trade Example using Gold Gold Equities
Choosing between gold and gold equities
31
Seasonal Trade Example using Gold Gold Equities
Second Check Primary Technical Indicators
Trend Strength relative to the S amp P 500 Index
32
Seasonal Trade Example using Gold Gold Equities
Second Secondary Technical Indicators Above 20
day moving average positive momentum
Seasonal Trade Using Gold Gold Equities
Fundamental considerations
Indian Wedding Season and Chinese New Year
US Dollar Index trends
Earnings trends for major gold producers
Volatility
33
34
Seasonal Trade Example using Natural Gas lsquoGassyrsquo Stocks
First check seasonality
35
Seasonal Trade Example using Natural Gas lsquoGassyrsquo Stocks
First check seasonality
36
Seasonal Trade Example using Natural Gas lsquoGassyrsquo Stocks
First check seasonality
37
Seasonal Trade Example using Natural Gas lsquoGassyrsquo Stocks
Second check out primary technical indicators
Trend and Relative Strength
38
Seasonal Trade Example using Natural Gas lsquoGassyrsquo Stocks
Second check out secondary technical indicators
Above 20 day moving average Momentum
39
Natural Gas versus lsquoGassyrsquo Stock
40
lsquoGassyrsquo Stocks
US lsquogassyrsquo stock examples XEC COG CXO DVN NFX PXD
Canadian lsquogassyrsquo stock examples VET FRU BNP BIR PSK CR
lsquoGassyrsquo ETFs FCG ZJNTO
Primary technical indicators trend and strength relative to the S amp P 500
Index
41
lsquoGassyrsquo Stocks
42
Fundamental Considerations
Natural gas inventories
Rising year-over-year cash flow and earnings estimates ($307 per Mbtu vs
$270)
Weather (Hurricane season)
43
Fundamental Considerations
Natural gas inventories
Websites
Don and Jon Vialoux
httpTimingTheMarketca
httpEquityClockcom
44
Questions
Disclaimer Comments and opinions offered in this
presentation are for information only They should not
be considered as advice to purchase or to sell
mentioned securities They should not be considered
as recommendations made by Don andor Jon Vialoux
45
Historic Performance by Dow Jones Industrial Average during Post Election Years
2
Historic Performance by Dow Jones Industrial Average during Mid-Term Election Years
3
Economic Performance during the Election Cycle
4
Commodity Performance during the Election Cycle
5
US Dollar Performance during the Election Cycle
6
The Tax Reform Factor
7
The Tax Reform Factor
8
The Tax Reform Factor
9
2
Traditional Investment Decision Making
1 Fundamental Analysis
2 Technical Analysis
3 Seasonal Analysis
Seasonal Investment Decision Making
1 Seasonal Analysis
2 Technical Analysis
3 Fundamental Analysis
11
Seasonal Analysis Find periods of seasonal strength
or weakness
See EquityClockcom
Technical Analysis Fine tune entry and exit points
Is the trend favourable for the seasonal move
Fundamental Analysis Determine the annual recurring
events that trigger seasonality
Are recurring events happening this year
12
The Seasonal Investing Process
Seasonal Investing
The markets are influenced by seasonally recurring tendencies
including those pertaining to
economic indicators
corporate earnings
consumer and business spending patterns
recurring announcements
recurringplanned events
13
What is Seasonal Investing
Equity markets
Commodities
Interest Rates
Economic Indicators
Individual equities
Sectors
Currencies
Not Exchange Traded Funds
14
Which markets display Seasonality
Seasonality of US Equity Markets
15
Seasonality of Canadian Equity Markets
16
Seasonality of European Markets
17
Seasonality of European Equity Markets
18
Seasonality of Emerging Equity Markets
19
Fun with Data Chart
20
Seasonality of the VIX Index
21
What is VIX Saying Now
22
Sector Seasonality
23
Economic data influencing price
24
Seasonal Investing ndash Not Just Based UponDates on a Calendar
Intermediate uptrend
Outperformance relative to a broad benchmark
(such as S amp P 500)
25
Primary Technical Requirements forEntering Seasonal Trades
Trades above its 20 day moving average
Short term momentum indicators trending higher
(Stochastics RSI MACD)
26
Secondary Technical Requirements forEntering Seasonal Trades
Daily Report Showing Seasonality and Technicals (for September 1st 2017)
27
UNIT SEASONAL TREND
RELATIVE
STRENGTH
20 DAY
MA MOMENTUM
TECHNICAL
SCORE
PREVIOUS
SCORE
Technology
XLKFHQTO Negative Up Positive Above Up 6
Materials
XLBFHMTO Negative Up Positive Above Up 6
Industrials
XLIFHGTO Neutral Neutral Neutral Above Up 2 Consumer
Discretionary
XLYFHDTO Negative Neutral Negative Above Up 0
Financials
XLFFHFTO Negative Neutral Negative Below Up -2 -4
Energy
XLEFHETO Neutral Down Negative Above Up -2 -4
Consumer Staples
XLPFHCTO Negative Up Negative Below Up 0 -2
Health Care
XLVFHHTO Neutral Up Positive Above Up 6
Utilities
XLUFHUTO Neutral Up Positive Above Down 4
TSX Financial Neutral Down Neutral Above Up 0
TSX Energy Negative Neutral Negative Above Up 0 -2
TSX Gold Positive Up Positive Above Up 6
28
Seasonal Trade Example using Gold Gold Equities
First check seasonality
29
Seasonal Trade Example using Gold Gold Equities
First check seasonality
30
Seasonal Trade Example using Gold Gold Equities
Choosing between gold and gold equities
31
Seasonal Trade Example using Gold Gold Equities
Second Check Primary Technical Indicators
Trend Strength relative to the S amp P 500 Index
32
Seasonal Trade Example using Gold Gold Equities
Second Secondary Technical Indicators Above 20
day moving average positive momentum
Seasonal Trade Using Gold Gold Equities
Fundamental considerations
Indian Wedding Season and Chinese New Year
US Dollar Index trends
Earnings trends for major gold producers
Volatility
33
34
Seasonal Trade Example using Natural Gas lsquoGassyrsquo Stocks
First check seasonality
35
Seasonal Trade Example using Natural Gas lsquoGassyrsquo Stocks
First check seasonality
36
Seasonal Trade Example using Natural Gas lsquoGassyrsquo Stocks
First check seasonality
37
Seasonal Trade Example using Natural Gas lsquoGassyrsquo Stocks
Second check out primary technical indicators
Trend and Relative Strength
38
Seasonal Trade Example using Natural Gas lsquoGassyrsquo Stocks
Second check out secondary technical indicators
Above 20 day moving average Momentum
39
Natural Gas versus lsquoGassyrsquo Stock
40
lsquoGassyrsquo Stocks
US lsquogassyrsquo stock examples XEC COG CXO DVN NFX PXD
Canadian lsquogassyrsquo stock examples VET FRU BNP BIR PSK CR
lsquoGassyrsquo ETFs FCG ZJNTO
Primary technical indicators trend and strength relative to the S amp P 500
Index
41
lsquoGassyrsquo Stocks
42
Fundamental Considerations
Natural gas inventories
Rising year-over-year cash flow and earnings estimates ($307 per Mbtu vs
$270)
Weather (Hurricane season)
43
Fundamental Considerations
Natural gas inventories
Websites
Don and Jon Vialoux
httpTimingTheMarketca
httpEquityClockcom
44
Questions
Disclaimer Comments and opinions offered in this
presentation are for information only They should not
be considered as advice to purchase or to sell
mentioned securities They should not be considered
as recommendations made by Don andor Jon Vialoux
45
Historic Performance by Dow Jones Industrial Average during Mid-Term Election Years
3
Economic Performance during the Election Cycle
4
Commodity Performance during the Election Cycle
5
US Dollar Performance during the Election Cycle
6
The Tax Reform Factor
7
The Tax Reform Factor
8
The Tax Reform Factor
9
2
Traditional Investment Decision Making
1 Fundamental Analysis
2 Technical Analysis
3 Seasonal Analysis
Seasonal Investment Decision Making
1 Seasonal Analysis
2 Technical Analysis
3 Fundamental Analysis
11
Seasonal Analysis Find periods of seasonal strength
or weakness
See EquityClockcom
Technical Analysis Fine tune entry and exit points
Is the trend favourable for the seasonal move
Fundamental Analysis Determine the annual recurring
events that trigger seasonality
Are recurring events happening this year
12
The Seasonal Investing Process
Seasonal Investing
The markets are influenced by seasonally recurring tendencies
including those pertaining to
economic indicators
corporate earnings
consumer and business spending patterns
recurring announcements
recurringplanned events
13
What is Seasonal Investing
Equity markets
Commodities
Interest Rates
Economic Indicators
Individual equities
Sectors
Currencies
Not Exchange Traded Funds
14
Which markets display Seasonality
Seasonality of US Equity Markets
15
Seasonality of Canadian Equity Markets
16
Seasonality of European Markets
17
Seasonality of European Equity Markets
18
Seasonality of Emerging Equity Markets
19
Fun with Data Chart
20
Seasonality of the VIX Index
21
What is VIX Saying Now
22
Sector Seasonality
23
Economic data influencing price
24
Seasonal Investing ndash Not Just Based UponDates on a Calendar
Intermediate uptrend
Outperformance relative to a broad benchmark
(such as S amp P 500)
25
Primary Technical Requirements forEntering Seasonal Trades
Trades above its 20 day moving average
Short term momentum indicators trending higher
(Stochastics RSI MACD)
26
Secondary Technical Requirements forEntering Seasonal Trades
Daily Report Showing Seasonality and Technicals (for September 1st 2017)
27
UNIT SEASONAL TREND
RELATIVE
STRENGTH
20 DAY
MA MOMENTUM
TECHNICAL
SCORE
PREVIOUS
SCORE
Technology
XLKFHQTO Negative Up Positive Above Up 6
Materials
XLBFHMTO Negative Up Positive Above Up 6
Industrials
XLIFHGTO Neutral Neutral Neutral Above Up 2 Consumer
Discretionary
XLYFHDTO Negative Neutral Negative Above Up 0
Financials
XLFFHFTO Negative Neutral Negative Below Up -2 -4
Energy
XLEFHETO Neutral Down Negative Above Up -2 -4
Consumer Staples
XLPFHCTO Negative Up Negative Below Up 0 -2
Health Care
XLVFHHTO Neutral Up Positive Above Up 6
Utilities
XLUFHUTO Neutral Up Positive Above Down 4
TSX Financial Neutral Down Neutral Above Up 0
TSX Energy Negative Neutral Negative Above Up 0 -2
TSX Gold Positive Up Positive Above Up 6
28
Seasonal Trade Example using Gold Gold Equities
First check seasonality
29
Seasonal Trade Example using Gold Gold Equities
First check seasonality
30
Seasonal Trade Example using Gold Gold Equities
Choosing between gold and gold equities
31
Seasonal Trade Example using Gold Gold Equities
Second Check Primary Technical Indicators
Trend Strength relative to the S amp P 500 Index
32
Seasonal Trade Example using Gold Gold Equities
Second Secondary Technical Indicators Above 20
day moving average positive momentum
Seasonal Trade Using Gold Gold Equities
Fundamental considerations
Indian Wedding Season and Chinese New Year
US Dollar Index trends
Earnings trends for major gold producers
Volatility
33
34
Seasonal Trade Example using Natural Gas lsquoGassyrsquo Stocks
First check seasonality
35
Seasonal Trade Example using Natural Gas lsquoGassyrsquo Stocks
First check seasonality
36
Seasonal Trade Example using Natural Gas lsquoGassyrsquo Stocks
First check seasonality
37
Seasonal Trade Example using Natural Gas lsquoGassyrsquo Stocks
Second check out primary technical indicators
Trend and Relative Strength
38
Seasonal Trade Example using Natural Gas lsquoGassyrsquo Stocks
Second check out secondary technical indicators
Above 20 day moving average Momentum
39
Natural Gas versus lsquoGassyrsquo Stock
40
lsquoGassyrsquo Stocks
US lsquogassyrsquo stock examples XEC COG CXO DVN NFX PXD
Canadian lsquogassyrsquo stock examples VET FRU BNP BIR PSK CR
lsquoGassyrsquo ETFs FCG ZJNTO
Primary technical indicators trend and strength relative to the S amp P 500
Index
41
lsquoGassyrsquo Stocks
42
Fundamental Considerations
Natural gas inventories
Rising year-over-year cash flow and earnings estimates ($307 per Mbtu vs
$270)
Weather (Hurricane season)
43
Fundamental Considerations
Natural gas inventories
Websites
Don and Jon Vialoux
httpTimingTheMarketca
httpEquityClockcom
44
Questions
Disclaimer Comments and opinions offered in this
presentation are for information only They should not
be considered as advice to purchase or to sell
mentioned securities They should not be considered
as recommendations made by Don andor Jon Vialoux
45
Economic Performance during the Election Cycle
4
Commodity Performance during the Election Cycle
5
US Dollar Performance during the Election Cycle
6
The Tax Reform Factor
7
The Tax Reform Factor
8
The Tax Reform Factor
9
2
Traditional Investment Decision Making
1 Fundamental Analysis
2 Technical Analysis
3 Seasonal Analysis
Seasonal Investment Decision Making
1 Seasonal Analysis
2 Technical Analysis
3 Fundamental Analysis
11
Seasonal Analysis Find periods of seasonal strength
or weakness
See EquityClockcom
Technical Analysis Fine tune entry and exit points
Is the trend favourable for the seasonal move
Fundamental Analysis Determine the annual recurring
events that trigger seasonality
Are recurring events happening this year
12
The Seasonal Investing Process
Seasonal Investing
The markets are influenced by seasonally recurring tendencies
including those pertaining to
economic indicators
corporate earnings
consumer and business spending patterns
recurring announcements
recurringplanned events
13
What is Seasonal Investing
Equity markets
Commodities
Interest Rates
Economic Indicators
Individual equities
Sectors
Currencies
Not Exchange Traded Funds
14
Which markets display Seasonality
Seasonality of US Equity Markets
15
Seasonality of Canadian Equity Markets
16
Seasonality of European Markets
17
Seasonality of European Equity Markets
18
Seasonality of Emerging Equity Markets
19
Fun with Data Chart
20
Seasonality of the VIX Index
21
What is VIX Saying Now
22
Sector Seasonality
23
Economic data influencing price
24
Seasonal Investing ndash Not Just Based UponDates on a Calendar
Intermediate uptrend
Outperformance relative to a broad benchmark
(such as S amp P 500)
25
Primary Technical Requirements forEntering Seasonal Trades
Trades above its 20 day moving average
Short term momentum indicators trending higher
(Stochastics RSI MACD)
26
Secondary Technical Requirements forEntering Seasonal Trades
Daily Report Showing Seasonality and Technicals (for September 1st 2017)
27
UNIT SEASONAL TREND
RELATIVE
STRENGTH
20 DAY
MA MOMENTUM
TECHNICAL
SCORE
PREVIOUS
SCORE
Technology
XLKFHQTO Negative Up Positive Above Up 6
Materials
XLBFHMTO Negative Up Positive Above Up 6
Industrials
XLIFHGTO Neutral Neutral Neutral Above Up 2 Consumer
Discretionary
XLYFHDTO Negative Neutral Negative Above Up 0
Financials
XLFFHFTO Negative Neutral Negative Below Up -2 -4
Energy
XLEFHETO Neutral Down Negative Above Up -2 -4
Consumer Staples
XLPFHCTO Negative Up Negative Below Up 0 -2
Health Care
XLVFHHTO Neutral Up Positive Above Up 6
Utilities
XLUFHUTO Neutral Up Positive Above Down 4
TSX Financial Neutral Down Neutral Above Up 0
TSX Energy Negative Neutral Negative Above Up 0 -2
TSX Gold Positive Up Positive Above Up 6
28
Seasonal Trade Example using Gold Gold Equities
First check seasonality
29
Seasonal Trade Example using Gold Gold Equities
First check seasonality
30
Seasonal Trade Example using Gold Gold Equities
Choosing between gold and gold equities
31
Seasonal Trade Example using Gold Gold Equities
Second Check Primary Technical Indicators
Trend Strength relative to the S amp P 500 Index
32
Seasonal Trade Example using Gold Gold Equities
Second Secondary Technical Indicators Above 20
day moving average positive momentum
Seasonal Trade Using Gold Gold Equities
Fundamental considerations
Indian Wedding Season and Chinese New Year
US Dollar Index trends
Earnings trends for major gold producers
Volatility
33
34
Seasonal Trade Example using Natural Gas lsquoGassyrsquo Stocks
First check seasonality
35
Seasonal Trade Example using Natural Gas lsquoGassyrsquo Stocks
First check seasonality
36
Seasonal Trade Example using Natural Gas lsquoGassyrsquo Stocks
First check seasonality
37
Seasonal Trade Example using Natural Gas lsquoGassyrsquo Stocks
Second check out primary technical indicators
Trend and Relative Strength
38
Seasonal Trade Example using Natural Gas lsquoGassyrsquo Stocks
Second check out secondary technical indicators
Above 20 day moving average Momentum
39
Natural Gas versus lsquoGassyrsquo Stock
40
lsquoGassyrsquo Stocks
US lsquogassyrsquo stock examples XEC COG CXO DVN NFX PXD
Canadian lsquogassyrsquo stock examples VET FRU BNP BIR PSK CR
lsquoGassyrsquo ETFs FCG ZJNTO
Primary technical indicators trend and strength relative to the S amp P 500
Index
41
lsquoGassyrsquo Stocks
42
Fundamental Considerations
Natural gas inventories
Rising year-over-year cash flow and earnings estimates ($307 per Mbtu vs
$270)
Weather (Hurricane season)
43
Fundamental Considerations
Natural gas inventories
Websites
Don and Jon Vialoux
httpTimingTheMarketca
httpEquityClockcom
44
Questions
Disclaimer Comments and opinions offered in this
presentation are for information only They should not
be considered as advice to purchase or to sell
mentioned securities They should not be considered
as recommendations made by Don andor Jon Vialoux
45
Commodity Performance during the Election Cycle
5
US Dollar Performance during the Election Cycle
6
The Tax Reform Factor
7
The Tax Reform Factor
8
The Tax Reform Factor
9
2
Traditional Investment Decision Making
1 Fundamental Analysis
2 Technical Analysis
3 Seasonal Analysis
Seasonal Investment Decision Making
1 Seasonal Analysis
2 Technical Analysis
3 Fundamental Analysis
11
Seasonal Analysis Find periods of seasonal strength
or weakness
See EquityClockcom
Technical Analysis Fine tune entry and exit points
Is the trend favourable for the seasonal move
Fundamental Analysis Determine the annual recurring
events that trigger seasonality
Are recurring events happening this year
12
The Seasonal Investing Process
Seasonal Investing
The markets are influenced by seasonally recurring tendencies
including those pertaining to
economic indicators
corporate earnings
consumer and business spending patterns
recurring announcements
recurringplanned events
13
What is Seasonal Investing
Equity markets
Commodities
Interest Rates
Economic Indicators
Individual equities
Sectors
Currencies
Not Exchange Traded Funds
14
Which markets display Seasonality
Seasonality of US Equity Markets
15
Seasonality of Canadian Equity Markets
16
Seasonality of European Markets
17
Seasonality of European Equity Markets
18
Seasonality of Emerging Equity Markets
19
Fun with Data Chart
20
Seasonality of the VIX Index
21
What is VIX Saying Now
22
Sector Seasonality
23
Economic data influencing price
24
Seasonal Investing ndash Not Just Based UponDates on a Calendar
Intermediate uptrend
Outperformance relative to a broad benchmark
(such as S amp P 500)
25
Primary Technical Requirements forEntering Seasonal Trades
Trades above its 20 day moving average
Short term momentum indicators trending higher
(Stochastics RSI MACD)
26
Secondary Technical Requirements forEntering Seasonal Trades
Daily Report Showing Seasonality and Technicals (for September 1st 2017)
27
UNIT SEASONAL TREND
RELATIVE
STRENGTH
20 DAY
MA MOMENTUM
TECHNICAL
SCORE
PREVIOUS
SCORE
Technology
XLKFHQTO Negative Up Positive Above Up 6
Materials
XLBFHMTO Negative Up Positive Above Up 6
Industrials
XLIFHGTO Neutral Neutral Neutral Above Up 2 Consumer
Discretionary
XLYFHDTO Negative Neutral Negative Above Up 0
Financials
XLFFHFTO Negative Neutral Negative Below Up -2 -4
Energy
XLEFHETO Neutral Down Negative Above Up -2 -4
Consumer Staples
XLPFHCTO Negative Up Negative Below Up 0 -2
Health Care
XLVFHHTO Neutral Up Positive Above Up 6
Utilities
XLUFHUTO Neutral Up Positive Above Down 4
TSX Financial Neutral Down Neutral Above Up 0
TSX Energy Negative Neutral Negative Above Up 0 -2
TSX Gold Positive Up Positive Above Up 6
28
Seasonal Trade Example using Gold Gold Equities
First check seasonality
29
Seasonal Trade Example using Gold Gold Equities
First check seasonality
30
Seasonal Trade Example using Gold Gold Equities
Choosing between gold and gold equities
31
Seasonal Trade Example using Gold Gold Equities
Second Check Primary Technical Indicators
Trend Strength relative to the S amp P 500 Index
32
Seasonal Trade Example using Gold Gold Equities
Second Secondary Technical Indicators Above 20
day moving average positive momentum
Seasonal Trade Using Gold Gold Equities
Fundamental considerations
Indian Wedding Season and Chinese New Year
US Dollar Index trends
Earnings trends for major gold producers
Volatility
33
34
Seasonal Trade Example using Natural Gas lsquoGassyrsquo Stocks
First check seasonality
35
Seasonal Trade Example using Natural Gas lsquoGassyrsquo Stocks
First check seasonality
36
Seasonal Trade Example using Natural Gas lsquoGassyrsquo Stocks
First check seasonality
37
Seasonal Trade Example using Natural Gas lsquoGassyrsquo Stocks
Second check out primary technical indicators
Trend and Relative Strength
38
Seasonal Trade Example using Natural Gas lsquoGassyrsquo Stocks
Second check out secondary technical indicators
Above 20 day moving average Momentum
39
Natural Gas versus lsquoGassyrsquo Stock
40
lsquoGassyrsquo Stocks
US lsquogassyrsquo stock examples XEC COG CXO DVN NFX PXD
Canadian lsquogassyrsquo stock examples VET FRU BNP BIR PSK CR
lsquoGassyrsquo ETFs FCG ZJNTO
Primary technical indicators trend and strength relative to the S amp P 500
Index
41
lsquoGassyrsquo Stocks
42
Fundamental Considerations
Natural gas inventories
Rising year-over-year cash flow and earnings estimates ($307 per Mbtu vs
$270)
Weather (Hurricane season)
43
Fundamental Considerations
Natural gas inventories
Websites
Don and Jon Vialoux
httpTimingTheMarketca
httpEquityClockcom
44
Questions
Disclaimer Comments and opinions offered in this
presentation are for information only They should not
be considered as advice to purchase or to sell
mentioned securities They should not be considered
as recommendations made by Don andor Jon Vialoux
45
US Dollar Performance during the Election Cycle
6
The Tax Reform Factor
7
The Tax Reform Factor
8
The Tax Reform Factor
9
2
Traditional Investment Decision Making
1 Fundamental Analysis
2 Technical Analysis
3 Seasonal Analysis
Seasonal Investment Decision Making
1 Seasonal Analysis
2 Technical Analysis
3 Fundamental Analysis
11
Seasonal Analysis Find periods of seasonal strength
or weakness
See EquityClockcom
Technical Analysis Fine tune entry and exit points
Is the trend favourable for the seasonal move
Fundamental Analysis Determine the annual recurring
events that trigger seasonality
Are recurring events happening this year
12
The Seasonal Investing Process
Seasonal Investing
The markets are influenced by seasonally recurring tendencies
including those pertaining to
economic indicators
corporate earnings
consumer and business spending patterns
recurring announcements
recurringplanned events
13
What is Seasonal Investing
Equity markets
Commodities
Interest Rates
Economic Indicators
Individual equities
Sectors
Currencies
Not Exchange Traded Funds
14
Which markets display Seasonality
Seasonality of US Equity Markets
15
Seasonality of Canadian Equity Markets
16
Seasonality of European Markets
17
Seasonality of European Equity Markets
18
Seasonality of Emerging Equity Markets
19
Fun with Data Chart
20
Seasonality of the VIX Index
21
What is VIX Saying Now
22
Sector Seasonality
23
Economic data influencing price
24
Seasonal Investing ndash Not Just Based UponDates on a Calendar
Intermediate uptrend
Outperformance relative to a broad benchmark
(such as S amp P 500)
25
Primary Technical Requirements forEntering Seasonal Trades
Trades above its 20 day moving average
Short term momentum indicators trending higher
(Stochastics RSI MACD)
26
Secondary Technical Requirements forEntering Seasonal Trades
Daily Report Showing Seasonality and Technicals (for September 1st 2017)
27
UNIT SEASONAL TREND
RELATIVE
STRENGTH
20 DAY
MA MOMENTUM
TECHNICAL
SCORE
PREVIOUS
SCORE
Technology
XLKFHQTO Negative Up Positive Above Up 6
Materials
XLBFHMTO Negative Up Positive Above Up 6
Industrials
XLIFHGTO Neutral Neutral Neutral Above Up 2 Consumer
Discretionary
XLYFHDTO Negative Neutral Negative Above Up 0
Financials
XLFFHFTO Negative Neutral Negative Below Up -2 -4
Energy
XLEFHETO Neutral Down Negative Above Up -2 -4
Consumer Staples
XLPFHCTO Negative Up Negative Below Up 0 -2
Health Care
XLVFHHTO Neutral Up Positive Above Up 6
Utilities
XLUFHUTO Neutral Up Positive Above Down 4
TSX Financial Neutral Down Neutral Above Up 0
TSX Energy Negative Neutral Negative Above Up 0 -2
TSX Gold Positive Up Positive Above Up 6
28
Seasonal Trade Example using Gold Gold Equities
First check seasonality
29
Seasonal Trade Example using Gold Gold Equities
First check seasonality
30
Seasonal Trade Example using Gold Gold Equities
Choosing between gold and gold equities
31
Seasonal Trade Example using Gold Gold Equities
Second Check Primary Technical Indicators
Trend Strength relative to the S amp P 500 Index
32
Seasonal Trade Example using Gold Gold Equities
Second Secondary Technical Indicators Above 20
day moving average positive momentum
Seasonal Trade Using Gold Gold Equities
Fundamental considerations
Indian Wedding Season and Chinese New Year
US Dollar Index trends
Earnings trends for major gold producers
Volatility
33
34
Seasonal Trade Example using Natural Gas lsquoGassyrsquo Stocks
First check seasonality
35
Seasonal Trade Example using Natural Gas lsquoGassyrsquo Stocks
First check seasonality
36
Seasonal Trade Example using Natural Gas lsquoGassyrsquo Stocks
First check seasonality
37
Seasonal Trade Example using Natural Gas lsquoGassyrsquo Stocks
Second check out primary technical indicators
Trend and Relative Strength
38
Seasonal Trade Example using Natural Gas lsquoGassyrsquo Stocks
Second check out secondary technical indicators
Above 20 day moving average Momentum
39
Natural Gas versus lsquoGassyrsquo Stock
40
lsquoGassyrsquo Stocks
US lsquogassyrsquo stock examples XEC COG CXO DVN NFX PXD
Canadian lsquogassyrsquo stock examples VET FRU BNP BIR PSK CR
lsquoGassyrsquo ETFs FCG ZJNTO
Primary technical indicators trend and strength relative to the S amp P 500
Index
41
lsquoGassyrsquo Stocks
42
Fundamental Considerations
Natural gas inventories
Rising year-over-year cash flow and earnings estimates ($307 per Mbtu vs
$270)
Weather (Hurricane season)
43
Fundamental Considerations
Natural gas inventories
Websites
Don and Jon Vialoux
httpTimingTheMarketca
httpEquityClockcom
44
Questions
Disclaimer Comments and opinions offered in this
presentation are for information only They should not
be considered as advice to purchase or to sell
mentioned securities They should not be considered
as recommendations made by Don andor Jon Vialoux
45
The Tax Reform Factor
7
The Tax Reform Factor
8
The Tax Reform Factor
9
2
Traditional Investment Decision Making
1 Fundamental Analysis
2 Technical Analysis
3 Seasonal Analysis
Seasonal Investment Decision Making
1 Seasonal Analysis
2 Technical Analysis
3 Fundamental Analysis
11
Seasonal Analysis Find periods of seasonal strength
or weakness
See EquityClockcom
Technical Analysis Fine tune entry and exit points
Is the trend favourable for the seasonal move
Fundamental Analysis Determine the annual recurring
events that trigger seasonality
Are recurring events happening this year
12
The Seasonal Investing Process
Seasonal Investing
The markets are influenced by seasonally recurring tendencies
including those pertaining to
economic indicators
corporate earnings
consumer and business spending patterns
recurring announcements
recurringplanned events
13
What is Seasonal Investing
Equity markets
Commodities
Interest Rates
Economic Indicators
Individual equities
Sectors
Currencies
Not Exchange Traded Funds
14
Which markets display Seasonality
Seasonality of US Equity Markets
15
Seasonality of Canadian Equity Markets
16
Seasonality of European Markets
17
Seasonality of European Equity Markets
18
Seasonality of Emerging Equity Markets
19
Fun with Data Chart
20
Seasonality of the VIX Index
21
What is VIX Saying Now
22
Sector Seasonality
23
Economic data influencing price
24
Seasonal Investing ndash Not Just Based UponDates on a Calendar
Intermediate uptrend
Outperformance relative to a broad benchmark
(such as S amp P 500)
25
Primary Technical Requirements forEntering Seasonal Trades
Trades above its 20 day moving average
Short term momentum indicators trending higher
(Stochastics RSI MACD)
26
Secondary Technical Requirements forEntering Seasonal Trades
Daily Report Showing Seasonality and Technicals (for September 1st 2017)
27
UNIT SEASONAL TREND
RELATIVE
STRENGTH
20 DAY
MA MOMENTUM
TECHNICAL
SCORE
PREVIOUS
SCORE
Technology
XLKFHQTO Negative Up Positive Above Up 6
Materials
XLBFHMTO Negative Up Positive Above Up 6
Industrials
XLIFHGTO Neutral Neutral Neutral Above Up 2 Consumer
Discretionary
XLYFHDTO Negative Neutral Negative Above Up 0
Financials
XLFFHFTO Negative Neutral Negative Below Up -2 -4
Energy
XLEFHETO Neutral Down Negative Above Up -2 -4
Consumer Staples
XLPFHCTO Negative Up Negative Below Up 0 -2
Health Care
XLVFHHTO Neutral Up Positive Above Up 6
Utilities
XLUFHUTO Neutral Up Positive Above Down 4
TSX Financial Neutral Down Neutral Above Up 0
TSX Energy Negative Neutral Negative Above Up 0 -2
TSX Gold Positive Up Positive Above Up 6
28
Seasonal Trade Example using Gold Gold Equities
First check seasonality
29
Seasonal Trade Example using Gold Gold Equities
First check seasonality
30
Seasonal Trade Example using Gold Gold Equities
Choosing between gold and gold equities
31
Seasonal Trade Example using Gold Gold Equities
Second Check Primary Technical Indicators
Trend Strength relative to the S amp P 500 Index
32
Seasonal Trade Example using Gold Gold Equities
Second Secondary Technical Indicators Above 20
day moving average positive momentum
Seasonal Trade Using Gold Gold Equities
Fundamental considerations
Indian Wedding Season and Chinese New Year
US Dollar Index trends
Earnings trends for major gold producers
Volatility
33
34
Seasonal Trade Example using Natural Gas lsquoGassyrsquo Stocks
First check seasonality
35
Seasonal Trade Example using Natural Gas lsquoGassyrsquo Stocks
First check seasonality
36
Seasonal Trade Example using Natural Gas lsquoGassyrsquo Stocks
First check seasonality
37
Seasonal Trade Example using Natural Gas lsquoGassyrsquo Stocks
Second check out primary technical indicators
Trend and Relative Strength
38
Seasonal Trade Example using Natural Gas lsquoGassyrsquo Stocks
Second check out secondary technical indicators
Above 20 day moving average Momentum
39
Natural Gas versus lsquoGassyrsquo Stock
40
lsquoGassyrsquo Stocks
US lsquogassyrsquo stock examples XEC COG CXO DVN NFX PXD
Canadian lsquogassyrsquo stock examples VET FRU BNP BIR PSK CR
lsquoGassyrsquo ETFs FCG ZJNTO
Primary technical indicators trend and strength relative to the S amp P 500
Index
41
lsquoGassyrsquo Stocks
42
Fundamental Considerations
Natural gas inventories
Rising year-over-year cash flow and earnings estimates ($307 per Mbtu vs
$270)
Weather (Hurricane season)
43
Fundamental Considerations
Natural gas inventories
Websites
Don and Jon Vialoux
httpTimingTheMarketca
httpEquityClockcom
44
Questions
Disclaimer Comments and opinions offered in this
presentation are for information only They should not
be considered as advice to purchase or to sell
mentioned securities They should not be considered
as recommendations made by Don andor Jon Vialoux
45
The Tax Reform Factor
8
The Tax Reform Factor
9
2
Traditional Investment Decision Making
1 Fundamental Analysis
2 Technical Analysis
3 Seasonal Analysis
Seasonal Investment Decision Making
1 Seasonal Analysis
2 Technical Analysis
3 Fundamental Analysis
11
Seasonal Analysis Find periods of seasonal strength
or weakness
See EquityClockcom
Technical Analysis Fine tune entry and exit points
Is the trend favourable for the seasonal move
Fundamental Analysis Determine the annual recurring
events that trigger seasonality
Are recurring events happening this year
12
The Seasonal Investing Process
Seasonal Investing
The markets are influenced by seasonally recurring tendencies
including those pertaining to
economic indicators
corporate earnings
consumer and business spending patterns
recurring announcements
recurringplanned events
13
What is Seasonal Investing
Equity markets
Commodities
Interest Rates
Economic Indicators
Individual equities
Sectors
Currencies
Not Exchange Traded Funds
14
Which markets display Seasonality
Seasonality of US Equity Markets
15
Seasonality of Canadian Equity Markets
16
Seasonality of European Markets
17
Seasonality of European Equity Markets
18
Seasonality of Emerging Equity Markets
19
Fun with Data Chart
20
Seasonality of the VIX Index
21
What is VIX Saying Now
22
Sector Seasonality
23
Economic data influencing price
24
Seasonal Investing ndash Not Just Based UponDates on a Calendar
Intermediate uptrend
Outperformance relative to a broad benchmark
(such as S amp P 500)
25
Primary Technical Requirements forEntering Seasonal Trades
Trades above its 20 day moving average
Short term momentum indicators trending higher
(Stochastics RSI MACD)
26
Secondary Technical Requirements forEntering Seasonal Trades
Daily Report Showing Seasonality and Technicals (for September 1st 2017)
27
UNIT SEASONAL TREND
RELATIVE
STRENGTH
20 DAY
MA MOMENTUM
TECHNICAL
SCORE
PREVIOUS
SCORE
Technology
XLKFHQTO Negative Up Positive Above Up 6
Materials
XLBFHMTO Negative Up Positive Above Up 6
Industrials
XLIFHGTO Neutral Neutral Neutral Above Up 2 Consumer
Discretionary
XLYFHDTO Negative Neutral Negative Above Up 0
Financials
XLFFHFTO Negative Neutral Negative Below Up -2 -4
Energy
XLEFHETO Neutral Down Negative Above Up -2 -4
Consumer Staples
XLPFHCTO Negative Up Negative Below Up 0 -2
Health Care
XLVFHHTO Neutral Up Positive Above Up 6
Utilities
XLUFHUTO Neutral Up Positive Above Down 4
TSX Financial Neutral Down Neutral Above Up 0
TSX Energy Negative Neutral Negative Above Up 0 -2
TSX Gold Positive Up Positive Above Up 6
28
Seasonal Trade Example using Gold Gold Equities
First check seasonality
29
Seasonal Trade Example using Gold Gold Equities
First check seasonality
30
Seasonal Trade Example using Gold Gold Equities
Choosing between gold and gold equities
31
Seasonal Trade Example using Gold Gold Equities
Second Check Primary Technical Indicators
Trend Strength relative to the S amp P 500 Index
32
Seasonal Trade Example using Gold Gold Equities
Second Secondary Technical Indicators Above 20
day moving average positive momentum
Seasonal Trade Using Gold Gold Equities
Fundamental considerations
Indian Wedding Season and Chinese New Year
US Dollar Index trends
Earnings trends for major gold producers
Volatility
33
34
Seasonal Trade Example using Natural Gas lsquoGassyrsquo Stocks
First check seasonality
35
Seasonal Trade Example using Natural Gas lsquoGassyrsquo Stocks
First check seasonality
36
Seasonal Trade Example using Natural Gas lsquoGassyrsquo Stocks
First check seasonality
37
Seasonal Trade Example using Natural Gas lsquoGassyrsquo Stocks
Second check out primary technical indicators
Trend and Relative Strength
38
Seasonal Trade Example using Natural Gas lsquoGassyrsquo Stocks
Second check out secondary technical indicators
Above 20 day moving average Momentum
39
Natural Gas versus lsquoGassyrsquo Stock
40
lsquoGassyrsquo Stocks
US lsquogassyrsquo stock examples XEC COG CXO DVN NFX PXD
Canadian lsquogassyrsquo stock examples VET FRU BNP BIR PSK CR
lsquoGassyrsquo ETFs FCG ZJNTO
Primary technical indicators trend and strength relative to the S amp P 500
Index
41
lsquoGassyrsquo Stocks
42
Fundamental Considerations
Natural gas inventories
Rising year-over-year cash flow and earnings estimates ($307 per Mbtu vs
$270)
Weather (Hurricane season)
43
Fundamental Considerations
Natural gas inventories
Websites
Don and Jon Vialoux
httpTimingTheMarketca
httpEquityClockcom
44
Questions
Disclaimer Comments and opinions offered in this
presentation are for information only They should not
be considered as advice to purchase or to sell
mentioned securities They should not be considered
as recommendations made by Don andor Jon Vialoux
45
The Tax Reform Factor
9
2
Traditional Investment Decision Making
1 Fundamental Analysis
2 Technical Analysis
3 Seasonal Analysis
Seasonal Investment Decision Making
1 Seasonal Analysis
2 Technical Analysis
3 Fundamental Analysis
11
Seasonal Analysis Find periods of seasonal strength
or weakness
See EquityClockcom
Technical Analysis Fine tune entry and exit points
Is the trend favourable for the seasonal move
Fundamental Analysis Determine the annual recurring
events that trigger seasonality
Are recurring events happening this year
12
The Seasonal Investing Process
Seasonal Investing
The markets are influenced by seasonally recurring tendencies
including those pertaining to
economic indicators
corporate earnings
consumer and business spending patterns
recurring announcements
recurringplanned events
13
What is Seasonal Investing
Equity markets
Commodities
Interest Rates
Economic Indicators
Individual equities
Sectors
Currencies
Not Exchange Traded Funds
14
Which markets display Seasonality
Seasonality of US Equity Markets
15
Seasonality of Canadian Equity Markets
16
Seasonality of European Markets
17
Seasonality of European Equity Markets
18
Seasonality of Emerging Equity Markets
19
Fun with Data Chart
20
Seasonality of the VIX Index
21
What is VIX Saying Now
22
Sector Seasonality
23
Economic data influencing price
24
Seasonal Investing ndash Not Just Based UponDates on a Calendar
Intermediate uptrend
Outperformance relative to a broad benchmark
(such as S amp P 500)
25
Primary Technical Requirements forEntering Seasonal Trades
Trades above its 20 day moving average
Short term momentum indicators trending higher
(Stochastics RSI MACD)
26
Secondary Technical Requirements forEntering Seasonal Trades
Daily Report Showing Seasonality and Technicals (for September 1st 2017)
27
UNIT SEASONAL TREND
RELATIVE
STRENGTH
20 DAY
MA MOMENTUM
TECHNICAL
SCORE
PREVIOUS
SCORE
Technology
XLKFHQTO Negative Up Positive Above Up 6
Materials
XLBFHMTO Negative Up Positive Above Up 6
Industrials
XLIFHGTO Neutral Neutral Neutral Above Up 2 Consumer
Discretionary
XLYFHDTO Negative Neutral Negative Above Up 0
Financials
XLFFHFTO Negative Neutral Negative Below Up -2 -4
Energy
XLEFHETO Neutral Down Negative Above Up -2 -4
Consumer Staples
XLPFHCTO Negative Up Negative Below Up 0 -2
Health Care
XLVFHHTO Neutral Up Positive Above Up 6
Utilities
XLUFHUTO Neutral Up Positive Above Down 4
TSX Financial Neutral Down Neutral Above Up 0
TSX Energy Negative Neutral Negative Above Up 0 -2
TSX Gold Positive Up Positive Above Up 6
28
Seasonal Trade Example using Gold Gold Equities
First check seasonality
29
Seasonal Trade Example using Gold Gold Equities
First check seasonality
30
Seasonal Trade Example using Gold Gold Equities
Choosing between gold and gold equities
31
Seasonal Trade Example using Gold Gold Equities
Second Check Primary Technical Indicators
Trend Strength relative to the S amp P 500 Index
32
Seasonal Trade Example using Gold Gold Equities
Second Secondary Technical Indicators Above 20
day moving average positive momentum
Seasonal Trade Using Gold Gold Equities
Fundamental considerations
Indian Wedding Season and Chinese New Year
US Dollar Index trends
Earnings trends for major gold producers
Volatility
33
34
Seasonal Trade Example using Natural Gas lsquoGassyrsquo Stocks
First check seasonality
35
Seasonal Trade Example using Natural Gas lsquoGassyrsquo Stocks
First check seasonality
36
Seasonal Trade Example using Natural Gas lsquoGassyrsquo Stocks
First check seasonality
37
Seasonal Trade Example using Natural Gas lsquoGassyrsquo Stocks
Second check out primary technical indicators
Trend and Relative Strength
38
Seasonal Trade Example using Natural Gas lsquoGassyrsquo Stocks
Second check out secondary technical indicators
Above 20 day moving average Momentum
39
Natural Gas versus lsquoGassyrsquo Stock
40
lsquoGassyrsquo Stocks
US lsquogassyrsquo stock examples XEC COG CXO DVN NFX PXD
Canadian lsquogassyrsquo stock examples VET FRU BNP BIR PSK CR
lsquoGassyrsquo ETFs FCG ZJNTO
Primary technical indicators trend and strength relative to the S amp P 500
Index
41
lsquoGassyrsquo Stocks
42
Fundamental Considerations
Natural gas inventories
Rising year-over-year cash flow and earnings estimates ($307 per Mbtu vs
$270)
Weather (Hurricane season)
43
Fundamental Considerations
Natural gas inventories
Websites
Don and Jon Vialoux
httpTimingTheMarketca
httpEquityClockcom
44
Questions
Disclaimer Comments and opinions offered in this
presentation are for information only They should not
be considered as advice to purchase or to sell
mentioned securities They should not be considered
as recommendations made by Don andor Jon Vialoux
45
2
Traditional Investment Decision Making
1 Fundamental Analysis
2 Technical Analysis
3 Seasonal Analysis
Seasonal Investment Decision Making
1 Seasonal Analysis
2 Technical Analysis
3 Fundamental Analysis
11
Seasonal Analysis Find periods of seasonal strength
or weakness
See EquityClockcom
Technical Analysis Fine tune entry and exit points
Is the trend favourable for the seasonal move
Fundamental Analysis Determine the annual recurring
events that trigger seasonality
Are recurring events happening this year
12
The Seasonal Investing Process
Seasonal Investing
The markets are influenced by seasonally recurring tendencies
including those pertaining to
economic indicators
corporate earnings
consumer and business spending patterns
recurring announcements
recurringplanned events
13
What is Seasonal Investing
Equity markets
Commodities
Interest Rates
Economic Indicators
Individual equities
Sectors
Currencies
Not Exchange Traded Funds
14
Which markets display Seasonality
Seasonality of US Equity Markets
15
Seasonality of Canadian Equity Markets
16
Seasonality of European Markets
17
Seasonality of European Equity Markets
18
Seasonality of Emerging Equity Markets
19
Fun with Data Chart
20
Seasonality of the VIX Index
21
What is VIX Saying Now
22
Sector Seasonality
23
Economic data influencing price
24
Seasonal Investing ndash Not Just Based UponDates on a Calendar
Intermediate uptrend
Outperformance relative to a broad benchmark
(such as S amp P 500)
25
Primary Technical Requirements forEntering Seasonal Trades
Trades above its 20 day moving average
Short term momentum indicators trending higher
(Stochastics RSI MACD)
26
Secondary Technical Requirements forEntering Seasonal Trades
Daily Report Showing Seasonality and Technicals (for September 1st 2017)
27
UNIT SEASONAL TREND
RELATIVE
STRENGTH
20 DAY
MA MOMENTUM
TECHNICAL
SCORE
PREVIOUS
SCORE
Technology
XLKFHQTO Negative Up Positive Above Up 6
Materials
XLBFHMTO Negative Up Positive Above Up 6
Industrials
XLIFHGTO Neutral Neutral Neutral Above Up 2 Consumer
Discretionary
XLYFHDTO Negative Neutral Negative Above Up 0
Financials
XLFFHFTO Negative Neutral Negative Below Up -2 -4
Energy
XLEFHETO Neutral Down Negative Above Up -2 -4
Consumer Staples
XLPFHCTO Negative Up Negative Below Up 0 -2
Health Care
XLVFHHTO Neutral Up Positive Above Up 6
Utilities
XLUFHUTO Neutral Up Positive Above Down 4
TSX Financial Neutral Down Neutral Above Up 0
TSX Energy Negative Neutral Negative Above Up 0 -2
TSX Gold Positive Up Positive Above Up 6
28
Seasonal Trade Example using Gold Gold Equities
First check seasonality
29
Seasonal Trade Example using Gold Gold Equities
First check seasonality
30
Seasonal Trade Example using Gold Gold Equities
Choosing between gold and gold equities
31
Seasonal Trade Example using Gold Gold Equities
Second Check Primary Technical Indicators
Trend Strength relative to the S amp P 500 Index
32
Seasonal Trade Example using Gold Gold Equities
Second Secondary Technical Indicators Above 20
day moving average positive momentum
Seasonal Trade Using Gold Gold Equities
Fundamental considerations
Indian Wedding Season and Chinese New Year
US Dollar Index trends
Earnings trends for major gold producers
Volatility
33
34
Seasonal Trade Example using Natural Gas lsquoGassyrsquo Stocks
First check seasonality
35
Seasonal Trade Example using Natural Gas lsquoGassyrsquo Stocks
First check seasonality
36
Seasonal Trade Example using Natural Gas lsquoGassyrsquo Stocks
First check seasonality
37
Seasonal Trade Example using Natural Gas lsquoGassyrsquo Stocks
Second check out primary technical indicators
Trend and Relative Strength
38
Seasonal Trade Example using Natural Gas lsquoGassyrsquo Stocks
Second check out secondary technical indicators
Above 20 day moving average Momentum
39
Natural Gas versus lsquoGassyrsquo Stock
40
lsquoGassyrsquo Stocks
US lsquogassyrsquo stock examples XEC COG CXO DVN NFX PXD
Canadian lsquogassyrsquo stock examples VET FRU BNP BIR PSK CR
lsquoGassyrsquo ETFs FCG ZJNTO
Primary technical indicators trend and strength relative to the S amp P 500
Index
41
lsquoGassyrsquo Stocks
42
Fundamental Considerations
Natural gas inventories
Rising year-over-year cash flow and earnings estimates ($307 per Mbtu vs
$270)
Weather (Hurricane season)
43
Fundamental Considerations
Natural gas inventories
Websites
Don and Jon Vialoux
httpTimingTheMarketca
httpEquityClockcom
44
Questions
Disclaimer Comments and opinions offered in this
presentation are for information only They should not
be considered as advice to purchase or to sell
mentioned securities They should not be considered
as recommendations made by Don andor Jon Vialoux
45
Seasonal Investment Decision Making
1 Seasonal Analysis
2 Technical Analysis
3 Fundamental Analysis
11
Seasonal Analysis Find periods of seasonal strength
or weakness
See EquityClockcom
Technical Analysis Fine tune entry and exit points
Is the trend favourable for the seasonal move
Fundamental Analysis Determine the annual recurring
events that trigger seasonality
Are recurring events happening this year
12
The Seasonal Investing Process
Seasonal Investing
The markets are influenced by seasonally recurring tendencies
including those pertaining to
economic indicators
corporate earnings
consumer and business spending patterns
recurring announcements
recurringplanned events
13
What is Seasonal Investing
Equity markets
Commodities
Interest Rates
Economic Indicators
Individual equities
Sectors
Currencies
Not Exchange Traded Funds
14
Which markets display Seasonality
Seasonality of US Equity Markets
15
Seasonality of Canadian Equity Markets
16
Seasonality of European Markets
17
Seasonality of European Equity Markets
18
Seasonality of Emerging Equity Markets
19
Fun with Data Chart
20
Seasonality of the VIX Index
21
What is VIX Saying Now
22
Sector Seasonality
23
Economic data influencing price
24
Seasonal Investing ndash Not Just Based UponDates on a Calendar
Intermediate uptrend
Outperformance relative to a broad benchmark
(such as S amp P 500)
25
Primary Technical Requirements forEntering Seasonal Trades
Trades above its 20 day moving average
Short term momentum indicators trending higher
(Stochastics RSI MACD)
26
Secondary Technical Requirements forEntering Seasonal Trades
Daily Report Showing Seasonality and Technicals (for September 1st 2017)
27
UNIT SEASONAL TREND
RELATIVE
STRENGTH
20 DAY
MA MOMENTUM
TECHNICAL
SCORE
PREVIOUS
SCORE
Technology
XLKFHQTO Negative Up Positive Above Up 6
Materials
XLBFHMTO Negative Up Positive Above Up 6
Industrials
XLIFHGTO Neutral Neutral Neutral Above Up 2 Consumer
Discretionary
XLYFHDTO Negative Neutral Negative Above Up 0
Financials
XLFFHFTO Negative Neutral Negative Below Up -2 -4
Energy
XLEFHETO Neutral Down Negative Above Up -2 -4
Consumer Staples
XLPFHCTO Negative Up Negative Below Up 0 -2
Health Care
XLVFHHTO Neutral Up Positive Above Up 6
Utilities
XLUFHUTO Neutral Up Positive Above Down 4
TSX Financial Neutral Down Neutral Above Up 0
TSX Energy Negative Neutral Negative Above Up 0 -2
TSX Gold Positive Up Positive Above Up 6
28
Seasonal Trade Example using Gold Gold Equities
First check seasonality
29
Seasonal Trade Example using Gold Gold Equities
First check seasonality
30
Seasonal Trade Example using Gold Gold Equities
Choosing between gold and gold equities
31
Seasonal Trade Example using Gold Gold Equities
Second Check Primary Technical Indicators
Trend Strength relative to the S amp P 500 Index
32
Seasonal Trade Example using Gold Gold Equities
Second Secondary Technical Indicators Above 20
day moving average positive momentum
Seasonal Trade Using Gold Gold Equities
Fundamental considerations
Indian Wedding Season and Chinese New Year
US Dollar Index trends
Earnings trends for major gold producers
Volatility
33
34
Seasonal Trade Example using Natural Gas lsquoGassyrsquo Stocks
First check seasonality
35
Seasonal Trade Example using Natural Gas lsquoGassyrsquo Stocks
First check seasonality
36
Seasonal Trade Example using Natural Gas lsquoGassyrsquo Stocks
First check seasonality
37
Seasonal Trade Example using Natural Gas lsquoGassyrsquo Stocks
Second check out primary technical indicators
Trend and Relative Strength
38
Seasonal Trade Example using Natural Gas lsquoGassyrsquo Stocks
Second check out secondary technical indicators
Above 20 day moving average Momentum
39
Natural Gas versus lsquoGassyrsquo Stock
40
lsquoGassyrsquo Stocks
US lsquogassyrsquo stock examples XEC COG CXO DVN NFX PXD
Canadian lsquogassyrsquo stock examples VET FRU BNP BIR PSK CR
lsquoGassyrsquo ETFs FCG ZJNTO
Primary technical indicators trend and strength relative to the S amp P 500
Index
41
lsquoGassyrsquo Stocks
42
Fundamental Considerations
Natural gas inventories
Rising year-over-year cash flow and earnings estimates ($307 per Mbtu vs
$270)
Weather (Hurricane season)
43
Fundamental Considerations
Natural gas inventories
Websites
Don and Jon Vialoux
httpTimingTheMarketca
httpEquityClockcom
44
Questions
Disclaimer Comments and opinions offered in this
presentation are for information only They should not
be considered as advice to purchase or to sell
mentioned securities They should not be considered
as recommendations made by Don andor Jon Vialoux
45
Seasonal Analysis Find periods of seasonal strength
or weakness
See EquityClockcom
Technical Analysis Fine tune entry and exit points
Is the trend favourable for the seasonal move
Fundamental Analysis Determine the annual recurring
events that trigger seasonality
Are recurring events happening this year
12
The Seasonal Investing Process
Seasonal Investing
The markets are influenced by seasonally recurring tendencies
including those pertaining to
economic indicators
corporate earnings
consumer and business spending patterns
recurring announcements
recurringplanned events
13
What is Seasonal Investing
Equity markets
Commodities
Interest Rates
Economic Indicators
Individual equities
Sectors
Currencies
Not Exchange Traded Funds
14
Which markets display Seasonality
Seasonality of US Equity Markets
15
Seasonality of Canadian Equity Markets
16
Seasonality of European Markets
17
Seasonality of European Equity Markets
18
Seasonality of Emerging Equity Markets
19
Fun with Data Chart
20
Seasonality of the VIX Index
21
What is VIX Saying Now
22
Sector Seasonality
23
Economic data influencing price
24
Seasonal Investing ndash Not Just Based UponDates on a Calendar
Intermediate uptrend
Outperformance relative to a broad benchmark
(such as S amp P 500)
25
Primary Technical Requirements forEntering Seasonal Trades
Trades above its 20 day moving average
Short term momentum indicators trending higher
(Stochastics RSI MACD)
26
Secondary Technical Requirements forEntering Seasonal Trades
Daily Report Showing Seasonality and Technicals (for September 1st 2017)
27
UNIT SEASONAL TREND
RELATIVE
STRENGTH
20 DAY
MA MOMENTUM
TECHNICAL
SCORE
PREVIOUS
SCORE
Technology
XLKFHQTO Negative Up Positive Above Up 6
Materials
XLBFHMTO Negative Up Positive Above Up 6
Industrials
XLIFHGTO Neutral Neutral Neutral Above Up 2 Consumer
Discretionary
XLYFHDTO Negative Neutral Negative Above Up 0
Financials
XLFFHFTO Negative Neutral Negative Below Up -2 -4
Energy
XLEFHETO Neutral Down Negative Above Up -2 -4
Consumer Staples
XLPFHCTO Negative Up Negative Below Up 0 -2
Health Care
XLVFHHTO Neutral Up Positive Above Up 6
Utilities
XLUFHUTO Neutral Up Positive Above Down 4
TSX Financial Neutral Down Neutral Above Up 0
TSX Energy Negative Neutral Negative Above Up 0 -2
TSX Gold Positive Up Positive Above Up 6
28
Seasonal Trade Example using Gold Gold Equities
First check seasonality
29
Seasonal Trade Example using Gold Gold Equities
First check seasonality
30
Seasonal Trade Example using Gold Gold Equities
Choosing between gold and gold equities
31
Seasonal Trade Example using Gold Gold Equities
Second Check Primary Technical Indicators
Trend Strength relative to the S amp P 500 Index
32
Seasonal Trade Example using Gold Gold Equities
Second Secondary Technical Indicators Above 20
day moving average positive momentum
Seasonal Trade Using Gold Gold Equities
Fundamental considerations
Indian Wedding Season and Chinese New Year
US Dollar Index trends
Earnings trends for major gold producers
Volatility
33
34
Seasonal Trade Example using Natural Gas lsquoGassyrsquo Stocks
First check seasonality
35
Seasonal Trade Example using Natural Gas lsquoGassyrsquo Stocks
First check seasonality
36
Seasonal Trade Example using Natural Gas lsquoGassyrsquo Stocks
First check seasonality
37
Seasonal Trade Example using Natural Gas lsquoGassyrsquo Stocks
Second check out primary technical indicators
Trend and Relative Strength
38
Seasonal Trade Example using Natural Gas lsquoGassyrsquo Stocks
Second check out secondary technical indicators
Above 20 day moving average Momentum
39
Natural Gas versus lsquoGassyrsquo Stock
40
lsquoGassyrsquo Stocks
US lsquogassyrsquo stock examples XEC COG CXO DVN NFX PXD
Canadian lsquogassyrsquo stock examples VET FRU BNP BIR PSK CR
lsquoGassyrsquo ETFs FCG ZJNTO
Primary technical indicators trend and strength relative to the S amp P 500
Index
41
lsquoGassyrsquo Stocks
42
Fundamental Considerations
Natural gas inventories
Rising year-over-year cash flow and earnings estimates ($307 per Mbtu vs
$270)
Weather (Hurricane season)
43
Fundamental Considerations
Natural gas inventories
Websites
Don and Jon Vialoux
httpTimingTheMarketca
httpEquityClockcom
44
Questions
Disclaimer Comments and opinions offered in this
presentation are for information only They should not
be considered as advice to purchase or to sell
mentioned securities They should not be considered
as recommendations made by Don andor Jon Vialoux
45
Seasonal Investing
The markets are influenced by seasonally recurring tendencies
including those pertaining to
economic indicators
corporate earnings
consumer and business spending patterns
recurring announcements
recurringplanned events
13
What is Seasonal Investing
Equity markets
Commodities
Interest Rates
Economic Indicators
Individual equities
Sectors
Currencies
Not Exchange Traded Funds
14
Which markets display Seasonality
Seasonality of US Equity Markets
15
Seasonality of Canadian Equity Markets
16
Seasonality of European Markets
17
Seasonality of European Equity Markets
18
Seasonality of Emerging Equity Markets
19
Fun with Data Chart
20
Seasonality of the VIX Index
21
What is VIX Saying Now
22
Sector Seasonality
23
Economic data influencing price
24
Seasonal Investing ndash Not Just Based UponDates on a Calendar
Intermediate uptrend
Outperformance relative to a broad benchmark
(such as S amp P 500)
25
Primary Technical Requirements forEntering Seasonal Trades
Trades above its 20 day moving average
Short term momentum indicators trending higher
(Stochastics RSI MACD)
26
Secondary Technical Requirements forEntering Seasonal Trades
Daily Report Showing Seasonality and Technicals (for September 1st 2017)
27
UNIT SEASONAL TREND
RELATIVE
STRENGTH
20 DAY
MA MOMENTUM
TECHNICAL
SCORE
PREVIOUS
SCORE
Technology
XLKFHQTO Negative Up Positive Above Up 6
Materials
XLBFHMTO Negative Up Positive Above Up 6
Industrials
XLIFHGTO Neutral Neutral Neutral Above Up 2 Consumer
Discretionary
XLYFHDTO Negative Neutral Negative Above Up 0
Financials
XLFFHFTO Negative Neutral Negative Below Up -2 -4
Energy
XLEFHETO Neutral Down Negative Above Up -2 -4
Consumer Staples
XLPFHCTO Negative Up Negative Below Up 0 -2
Health Care
XLVFHHTO Neutral Up Positive Above Up 6
Utilities
XLUFHUTO Neutral Up Positive Above Down 4
TSX Financial Neutral Down Neutral Above Up 0
TSX Energy Negative Neutral Negative Above Up 0 -2
TSX Gold Positive Up Positive Above Up 6
28
Seasonal Trade Example using Gold Gold Equities
First check seasonality
29
Seasonal Trade Example using Gold Gold Equities
First check seasonality
30
Seasonal Trade Example using Gold Gold Equities
Choosing between gold and gold equities
31
Seasonal Trade Example using Gold Gold Equities
Second Check Primary Technical Indicators
Trend Strength relative to the S amp P 500 Index
32
Seasonal Trade Example using Gold Gold Equities
Second Secondary Technical Indicators Above 20
day moving average positive momentum
Seasonal Trade Using Gold Gold Equities
Fundamental considerations
Indian Wedding Season and Chinese New Year
US Dollar Index trends
Earnings trends for major gold producers
Volatility
33
34
Seasonal Trade Example using Natural Gas lsquoGassyrsquo Stocks
First check seasonality
35
Seasonal Trade Example using Natural Gas lsquoGassyrsquo Stocks
First check seasonality
36
Seasonal Trade Example using Natural Gas lsquoGassyrsquo Stocks
First check seasonality
37
Seasonal Trade Example using Natural Gas lsquoGassyrsquo Stocks
Second check out primary technical indicators
Trend and Relative Strength
38
Seasonal Trade Example using Natural Gas lsquoGassyrsquo Stocks
Second check out secondary technical indicators
Above 20 day moving average Momentum
39
Natural Gas versus lsquoGassyrsquo Stock
40
lsquoGassyrsquo Stocks
US lsquogassyrsquo stock examples XEC COG CXO DVN NFX PXD
Canadian lsquogassyrsquo stock examples VET FRU BNP BIR PSK CR
lsquoGassyrsquo ETFs FCG ZJNTO
Primary technical indicators trend and strength relative to the S amp P 500
Index
41
lsquoGassyrsquo Stocks
42
Fundamental Considerations
Natural gas inventories
Rising year-over-year cash flow and earnings estimates ($307 per Mbtu vs
$270)
Weather (Hurricane season)
43
Fundamental Considerations
Natural gas inventories
Websites
Don and Jon Vialoux
httpTimingTheMarketca
httpEquityClockcom
44
Questions
Disclaimer Comments and opinions offered in this
presentation are for information only They should not
be considered as advice to purchase or to sell
mentioned securities They should not be considered
as recommendations made by Don andor Jon Vialoux
45
Equity markets
Commodities
Interest Rates
Economic Indicators
Individual equities
Sectors
Currencies
Not Exchange Traded Funds
14
Which markets display Seasonality
Seasonality of US Equity Markets
15
Seasonality of Canadian Equity Markets
16
Seasonality of European Markets
17
Seasonality of European Equity Markets
18
Seasonality of Emerging Equity Markets
19
Fun with Data Chart
20
Seasonality of the VIX Index
21
What is VIX Saying Now
22
Sector Seasonality
23
Economic data influencing price
24
Seasonal Investing ndash Not Just Based UponDates on a Calendar
Intermediate uptrend
Outperformance relative to a broad benchmark
(such as S amp P 500)
25
Primary Technical Requirements forEntering Seasonal Trades
Trades above its 20 day moving average
Short term momentum indicators trending higher
(Stochastics RSI MACD)
26
Secondary Technical Requirements forEntering Seasonal Trades
Daily Report Showing Seasonality and Technicals (for September 1st 2017)
27
UNIT SEASONAL TREND
RELATIVE
STRENGTH
20 DAY
MA MOMENTUM
TECHNICAL
SCORE
PREVIOUS
SCORE
Technology
XLKFHQTO Negative Up Positive Above Up 6
Materials
XLBFHMTO Negative Up Positive Above Up 6
Industrials
XLIFHGTO Neutral Neutral Neutral Above Up 2 Consumer
Discretionary
XLYFHDTO Negative Neutral Negative Above Up 0
Financials
XLFFHFTO Negative Neutral Negative Below Up -2 -4
Energy
XLEFHETO Neutral Down Negative Above Up -2 -4
Consumer Staples
XLPFHCTO Negative Up Negative Below Up 0 -2
Health Care
XLVFHHTO Neutral Up Positive Above Up 6
Utilities
XLUFHUTO Neutral Up Positive Above Down 4
TSX Financial Neutral Down Neutral Above Up 0
TSX Energy Negative Neutral Negative Above Up 0 -2
TSX Gold Positive Up Positive Above Up 6
28
Seasonal Trade Example using Gold Gold Equities
First check seasonality
29
Seasonal Trade Example using Gold Gold Equities
First check seasonality
30
Seasonal Trade Example using Gold Gold Equities
Choosing between gold and gold equities
31
Seasonal Trade Example using Gold Gold Equities
Second Check Primary Technical Indicators
Trend Strength relative to the S amp P 500 Index
32
Seasonal Trade Example using Gold Gold Equities
Second Secondary Technical Indicators Above 20
day moving average positive momentum
Seasonal Trade Using Gold Gold Equities
Fundamental considerations
Indian Wedding Season and Chinese New Year
US Dollar Index trends
Earnings trends for major gold producers
Volatility
33
34
Seasonal Trade Example using Natural Gas lsquoGassyrsquo Stocks
First check seasonality
35
Seasonal Trade Example using Natural Gas lsquoGassyrsquo Stocks
First check seasonality
36
Seasonal Trade Example using Natural Gas lsquoGassyrsquo Stocks
First check seasonality
37
Seasonal Trade Example using Natural Gas lsquoGassyrsquo Stocks
Second check out primary technical indicators
Trend and Relative Strength
38
Seasonal Trade Example using Natural Gas lsquoGassyrsquo Stocks
Second check out secondary technical indicators
Above 20 day moving average Momentum
39
Natural Gas versus lsquoGassyrsquo Stock
40
lsquoGassyrsquo Stocks
US lsquogassyrsquo stock examples XEC COG CXO DVN NFX PXD
Canadian lsquogassyrsquo stock examples VET FRU BNP BIR PSK CR
lsquoGassyrsquo ETFs FCG ZJNTO
Primary technical indicators trend and strength relative to the S amp P 500
Index
41
lsquoGassyrsquo Stocks
42
Fundamental Considerations
Natural gas inventories
Rising year-over-year cash flow and earnings estimates ($307 per Mbtu vs
$270)
Weather (Hurricane season)
43
Fundamental Considerations
Natural gas inventories
Websites
Don and Jon Vialoux
httpTimingTheMarketca
httpEquityClockcom
44
Questions
Disclaimer Comments and opinions offered in this
presentation are for information only They should not
be considered as advice to purchase or to sell
mentioned securities They should not be considered
as recommendations made by Don andor Jon Vialoux
45
Seasonality of US Equity Markets
15
Seasonality of Canadian Equity Markets
16
Seasonality of European Markets
17
Seasonality of European Equity Markets
18
Seasonality of Emerging Equity Markets
19
Fun with Data Chart
20
Seasonality of the VIX Index
21
What is VIX Saying Now
22
Sector Seasonality
23
Economic data influencing price
24
Seasonal Investing ndash Not Just Based UponDates on a Calendar
Intermediate uptrend
Outperformance relative to a broad benchmark
(such as S amp P 500)
25
Primary Technical Requirements forEntering Seasonal Trades
Trades above its 20 day moving average
Short term momentum indicators trending higher
(Stochastics RSI MACD)
26
Secondary Technical Requirements forEntering Seasonal Trades
Daily Report Showing Seasonality and Technicals (for September 1st 2017)
27
UNIT SEASONAL TREND
RELATIVE
STRENGTH
20 DAY
MA MOMENTUM
TECHNICAL
SCORE
PREVIOUS
SCORE
Technology
XLKFHQTO Negative Up Positive Above Up 6
Materials
XLBFHMTO Negative Up Positive Above Up 6
Industrials
XLIFHGTO Neutral Neutral Neutral Above Up 2 Consumer
Discretionary
XLYFHDTO Negative Neutral Negative Above Up 0
Financials
XLFFHFTO Negative Neutral Negative Below Up -2 -4
Energy
XLEFHETO Neutral Down Negative Above Up -2 -4
Consumer Staples
XLPFHCTO Negative Up Negative Below Up 0 -2
Health Care
XLVFHHTO Neutral Up Positive Above Up 6
Utilities
XLUFHUTO Neutral Up Positive Above Down 4
TSX Financial Neutral Down Neutral Above Up 0
TSX Energy Negative Neutral Negative Above Up 0 -2
TSX Gold Positive Up Positive Above Up 6
28
Seasonal Trade Example using Gold Gold Equities
First check seasonality
29
Seasonal Trade Example using Gold Gold Equities
First check seasonality
30
Seasonal Trade Example using Gold Gold Equities
Choosing between gold and gold equities
31
Seasonal Trade Example using Gold Gold Equities
Second Check Primary Technical Indicators
Trend Strength relative to the S amp P 500 Index
32
Seasonal Trade Example using Gold Gold Equities
Second Secondary Technical Indicators Above 20
day moving average positive momentum
Seasonal Trade Using Gold Gold Equities
Fundamental considerations
Indian Wedding Season and Chinese New Year
US Dollar Index trends
Earnings trends for major gold producers
Volatility
33
34
Seasonal Trade Example using Natural Gas lsquoGassyrsquo Stocks
First check seasonality
35
Seasonal Trade Example using Natural Gas lsquoGassyrsquo Stocks
First check seasonality
36
Seasonal Trade Example using Natural Gas lsquoGassyrsquo Stocks
First check seasonality
37
Seasonal Trade Example using Natural Gas lsquoGassyrsquo Stocks
Second check out primary technical indicators
Trend and Relative Strength
38
Seasonal Trade Example using Natural Gas lsquoGassyrsquo Stocks
Second check out secondary technical indicators
Above 20 day moving average Momentum
39
Natural Gas versus lsquoGassyrsquo Stock
40
lsquoGassyrsquo Stocks
US lsquogassyrsquo stock examples XEC COG CXO DVN NFX PXD
Canadian lsquogassyrsquo stock examples VET FRU BNP BIR PSK CR
lsquoGassyrsquo ETFs FCG ZJNTO
Primary technical indicators trend and strength relative to the S amp P 500
Index
41
lsquoGassyrsquo Stocks
42
Fundamental Considerations
Natural gas inventories
Rising year-over-year cash flow and earnings estimates ($307 per Mbtu vs
$270)
Weather (Hurricane season)
43
Fundamental Considerations
Natural gas inventories
Websites
Don and Jon Vialoux
httpTimingTheMarketca
httpEquityClockcom
44
Questions
Disclaimer Comments and opinions offered in this
presentation are for information only They should not
be considered as advice to purchase or to sell
mentioned securities They should not be considered
as recommendations made by Don andor Jon Vialoux
45
Seasonality of Canadian Equity Markets
16
Seasonality of European Markets
17
Seasonality of European Equity Markets
18
Seasonality of Emerging Equity Markets
19
Fun with Data Chart
20
Seasonality of the VIX Index
21
What is VIX Saying Now
22
Sector Seasonality
23
Economic data influencing price
24
Seasonal Investing ndash Not Just Based UponDates on a Calendar
Intermediate uptrend
Outperformance relative to a broad benchmark
(such as S amp P 500)
25
Primary Technical Requirements forEntering Seasonal Trades
Trades above its 20 day moving average
Short term momentum indicators trending higher
(Stochastics RSI MACD)
26
Secondary Technical Requirements forEntering Seasonal Trades
Daily Report Showing Seasonality and Technicals (for September 1st 2017)
27
UNIT SEASONAL TREND
RELATIVE
STRENGTH
20 DAY
MA MOMENTUM
TECHNICAL
SCORE
PREVIOUS
SCORE
Technology
XLKFHQTO Negative Up Positive Above Up 6
Materials
XLBFHMTO Negative Up Positive Above Up 6
Industrials
XLIFHGTO Neutral Neutral Neutral Above Up 2 Consumer
Discretionary
XLYFHDTO Negative Neutral Negative Above Up 0
Financials
XLFFHFTO Negative Neutral Negative Below Up -2 -4
Energy
XLEFHETO Neutral Down Negative Above Up -2 -4
Consumer Staples
XLPFHCTO Negative Up Negative Below Up 0 -2
Health Care
XLVFHHTO Neutral Up Positive Above Up 6
Utilities
XLUFHUTO Neutral Up Positive Above Down 4
TSX Financial Neutral Down Neutral Above Up 0
TSX Energy Negative Neutral Negative Above Up 0 -2
TSX Gold Positive Up Positive Above Up 6
28
Seasonal Trade Example using Gold Gold Equities
First check seasonality
29
Seasonal Trade Example using Gold Gold Equities
First check seasonality
30
Seasonal Trade Example using Gold Gold Equities
Choosing between gold and gold equities
31
Seasonal Trade Example using Gold Gold Equities
Second Check Primary Technical Indicators
Trend Strength relative to the S amp P 500 Index
32
Seasonal Trade Example using Gold Gold Equities
Second Secondary Technical Indicators Above 20
day moving average positive momentum
Seasonal Trade Using Gold Gold Equities
Fundamental considerations
Indian Wedding Season and Chinese New Year
US Dollar Index trends
Earnings trends for major gold producers
Volatility
33
34
Seasonal Trade Example using Natural Gas lsquoGassyrsquo Stocks
First check seasonality
35
Seasonal Trade Example using Natural Gas lsquoGassyrsquo Stocks
First check seasonality
36
Seasonal Trade Example using Natural Gas lsquoGassyrsquo Stocks
First check seasonality
37
Seasonal Trade Example using Natural Gas lsquoGassyrsquo Stocks
Second check out primary technical indicators
Trend and Relative Strength
38
Seasonal Trade Example using Natural Gas lsquoGassyrsquo Stocks
Second check out secondary technical indicators
Above 20 day moving average Momentum
39
Natural Gas versus lsquoGassyrsquo Stock
40
lsquoGassyrsquo Stocks
US lsquogassyrsquo stock examples XEC COG CXO DVN NFX PXD
Canadian lsquogassyrsquo stock examples VET FRU BNP BIR PSK CR
lsquoGassyrsquo ETFs FCG ZJNTO
Primary technical indicators trend and strength relative to the S amp P 500
Index
41
lsquoGassyrsquo Stocks
42
Fundamental Considerations
Natural gas inventories
Rising year-over-year cash flow and earnings estimates ($307 per Mbtu vs
$270)
Weather (Hurricane season)
43
Fundamental Considerations
Natural gas inventories
Websites
Don and Jon Vialoux
httpTimingTheMarketca
httpEquityClockcom
44
Questions
Disclaimer Comments and opinions offered in this
presentation are for information only They should not
be considered as advice to purchase or to sell
mentioned securities They should not be considered
as recommendations made by Don andor Jon Vialoux
45
Seasonality of European Markets
17
Seasonality of European Equity Markets
18
Seasonality of Emerging Equity Markets
19
Fun with Data Chart
20
Seasonality of the VIX Index
21
What is VIX Saying Now
22
Sector Seasonality
23
Economic data influencing price
24
Seasonal Investing ndash Not Just Based UponDates on a Calendar
Intermediate uptrend
Outperformance relative to a broad benchmark
(such as S amp P 500)
25
Primary Technical Requirements forEntering Seasonal Trades
Trades above its 20 day moving average
Short term momentum indicators trending higher
(Stochastics RSI MACD)
26
Secondary Technical Requirements forEntering Seasonal Trades
Daily Report Showing Seasonality and Technicals (for September 1st 2017)
27
UNIT SEASONAL TREND
RELATIVE
STRENGTH
20 DAY
MA MOMENTUM
TECHNICAL
SCORE
PREVIOUS
SCORE
Technology
XLKFHQTO Negative Up Positive Above Up 6
Materials
XLBFHMTO Negative Up Positive Above Up 6
Industrials
XLIFHGTO Neutral Neutral Neutral Above Up 2 Consumer
Discretionary
XLYFHDTO Negative Neutral Negative Above Up 0
Financials
XLFFHFTO Negative Neutral Negative Below Up -2 -4
Energy
XLEFHETO Neutral Down Negative Above Up -2 -4
Consumer Staples
XLPFHCTO Negative Up Negative Below Up 0 -2
Health Care
XLVFHHTO Neutral Up Positive Above Up 6
Utilities
XLUFHUTO Neutral Up Positive Above Down 4
TSX Financial Neutral Down Neutral Above Up 0
TSX Energy Negative Neutral Negative Above Up 0 -2
TSX Gold Positive Up Positive Above Up 6
28
Seasonal Trade Example using Gold Gold Equities
First check seasonality
29
Seasonal Trade Example using Gold Gold Equities
First check seasonality
30
Seasonal Trade Example using Gold Gold Equities
Choosing between gold and gold equities
31
Seasonal Trade Example using Gold Gold Equities
Second Check Primary Technical Indicators
Trend Strength relative to the S amp P 500 Index
32
Seasonal Trade Example using Gold Gold Equities
Second Secondary Technical Indicators Above 20
day moving average positive momentum
Seasonal Trade Using Gold Gold Equities
Fundamental considerations
Indian Wedding Season and Chinese New Year
US Dollar Index trends
Earnings trends for major gold producers
Volatility
33
34
Seasonal Trade Example using Natural Gas lsquoGassyrsquo Stocks
First check seasonality
35
Seasonal Trade Example using Natural Gas lsquoGassyrsquo Stocks
First check seasonality
36
Seasonal Trade Example using Natural Gas lsquoGassyrsquo Stocks
First check seasonality
37
Seasonal Trade Example using Natural Gas lsquoGassyrsquo Stocks
Second check out primary technical indicators
Trend and Relative Strength
38
Seasonal Trade Example using Natural Gas lsquoGassyrsquo Stocks
Second check out secondary technical indicators
Above 20 day moving average Momentum
39
Natural Gas versus lsquoGassyrsquo Stock
40
lsquoGassyrsquo Stocks
US lsquogassyrsquo stock examples XEC COG CXO DVN NFX PXD
Canadian lsquogassyrsquo stock examples VET FRU BNP BIR PSK CR
lsquoGassyrsquo ETFs FCG ZJNTO
Primary technical indicators trend and strength relative to the S amp P 500
Index
41
lsquoGassyrsquo Stocks
42
Fundamental Considerations
Natural gas inventories
Rising year-over-year cash flow and earnings estimates ($307 per Mbtu vs
$270)
Weather (Hurricane season)
43
Fundamental Considerations
Natural gas inventories
Websites
Don and Jon Vialoux
httpTimingTheMarketca
httpEquityClockcom
44
Questions
Disclaimer Comments and opinions offered in this
presentation are for information only They should not
be considered as advice to purchase or to sell
mentioned securities They should not be considered
as recommendations made by Don andor Jon Vialoux
45
Seasonality of European Equity Markets
18
Seasonality of Emerging Equity Markets
19
Fun with Data Chart
20
Seasonality of the VIX Index
21
What is VIX Saying Now
22
Sector Seasonality
23
Economic data influencing price
24
Seasonal Investing ndash Not Just Based UponDates on a Calendar
Intermediate uptrend
Outperformance relative to a broad benchmark
(such as S amp P 500)
25
Primary Technical Requirements forEntering Seasonal Trades
Trades above its 20 day moving average
Short term momentum indicators trending higher
(Stochastics RSI MACD)
26
Secondary Technical Requirements forEntering Seasonal Trades
Daily Report Showing Seasonality and Technicals (for September 1st 2017)
27
UNIT SEASONAL TREND
RELATIVE
STRENGTH
20 DAY
MA MOMENTUM
TECHNICAL
SCORE
PREVIOUS
SCORE
Technology
XLKFHQTO Negative Up Positive Above Up 6
Materials
XLBFHMTO Negative Up Positive Above Up 6
Industrials
XLIFHGTO Neutral Neutral Neutral Above Up 2 Consumer
Discretionary
XLYFHDTO Negative Neutral Negative Above Up 0
Financials
XLFFHFTO Negative Neutral Negative Below Up -2 -4
Energy
XLEFHETO Neutral Down Negative Above Up -2 -4
Consumer Staples
XLPFHCTO Negative Up Negative Below Up 0 -2
Health Care
XLVFHHTO Neutral Up Positive Above Up 6
Utilities
XLUFHUTO Neutral Up Positive Above Down 4
TSX Financial Neutral Down Neutral Above Up 0
TSX Energy Negative Neutral Negative Above Up 0 -2
TSX Gold Positive Up Positive Above Up 6
28
Seasonal Trade Example using Gold Gold Equities
First check seasonality
29
Seasonal Trade Example using Gold Gold Equities
First check seasonality
30
Seasonal Trade Example using Gold Gold Equities
Choosing between gold and gold equities
31
Seasonal Trade Example using Gold Gold Equities
Second Check Primary Technical Indicators
Trend Strength relative to the S amp P 500 Index
32
Seasonal Trade Example using Gold Gold Equities
Second Secondary Technical Indicators Above 20
day moving average positive momentum
Seasonal Trade Using Gold Gold Equities
Fundamental considerations
Indian Wedding Season and Chinese New Year
US Dollar Index trends
Earnings trends for major gold producers
Volatility
33
34
Seasonal Trade Example using Natural Gas lsquoGassyrsquo Stocks
First check seasonality
35
Seasonal Trade Example using Natural Gas lsquoGassyrsquo Stocks
First check seasonality
36
Seasonal Trade Example using Natural Gas lsquoGassyrsquo Stocks
First check seasonality
37
Seasonal Trade Example using Natural Gas lsquoGassyrsquo Stocks
Second check out primary technical indicators
Trend and Relative Strength
38
Seasonal Trade Example using Natural Gas lsquoGassyrsquo Stocks
Second check out secondary technical indicators
Above 20 day moving average Momentum
39
Natural Gas versus lsquoGassyrsquo Stock
40
lsquoGassyrsquo Stocks
US lsquogassyrsquo stock examples XEC COG CXO DVN NFX PXD
Canadian lsquogassyrsquo stock examples VET FRU BNP BIR PSK CR
lsquoGassyrsquo ETFs FCG ZJNTO
Primary technical indicators trend and strength relative to the S amp P 500
Index
41
lsquoGassyrsquo Stocks
42
Fundamental Considerations
Natural gas inventories
Rising year-over-year cash flow and earnings estimates ($307 per Mbtu vs
$270)
Weather (Hurricane season)
43
Fundamental Considerations
Natural gas inventories
Websites
Don and Jon Vialoux
httpTimingTheMarketca
httpEquityClockcom
44
Questions
Disclaimer Comments and opinions offered in this
presentation are for information only They should not
be considered as advice to purchase or to sell
mentioned securities They should not be considered
as recommendations made by Don andor Jon Vialoux
45
Seasonality of Emerging Equity Markets
19
Fun with Data Chart
20
Seasonality of the VIX Index
21
What is VIX Saying Now
22
Sector Seasonality
23
Economic data influencing price
24
Seasonal Investing ndash Not Just Based UponDates on a Calendar
Intermediate uptrend
Outperformance relative to a broad benchmark
(such as S amp P 500)
25
Primary Technical Requirements forEntering Seasonal Trades
Trades above its 20 day moving average
Short term momentum indicators trending higher
(Stochastics RSI MACD)
26
Secondary Technical Requirements forEntering Seasonal Trades
Daily Report Showing Seasonality and Technicals (for September 1st 2017)
27
UNIT SEASONAL TREND
RELATIVE
STRENGTH
20 DAY
MA MOMENTUM
TECHNICAL
SCORE
PREVIOUS
SCORE
Technology
XLKFHQTO Negative Up Positive Above Up 6
Materials
XLBFHMTO Negative Up Positive Above Up 6
Industrials
XLIFHGTO Neutral Neutral Neutral Above Up 2 Consumer
Discretionary
XLYFHDTO Negative Neutral Negative Above Up 0
Financials
XLFFHFTO Negative Neutral Negative Below Up -2 -4
Energy
XLEFHETO Neutral Down Negative Above Up -2 -4
Consumer Staples
XLPFHCTO Negative Up Negative Below Up 0 -2
Health Care
XLVFHHTO Neutral Up Positive Above Up 6
Utilities
XLUFHUTO Neutral Up Positive Above Down 4
TSX Financial Neutral Down Neutral Above Up 0
TSX Energy Negative Neutral Negative Above Up 0 -2
TSX Gold Positive Up Positive Above Up 6
28
Seasonal Trade Example using Gold Gold Equities
First check seasonality
29
Seasonal Trade Example using Gold Gold Equities
First check seasonality
30
Seasonal Trade Example using Gold Gold Equities
Choosing between gold and gold equities
31
Seasonal Trade Example using Gold Gold Equities
Second Check Primary Technical Indicators
Trend Strength relative to the S amp P 500 Index
32
Seasonal Trade Example using Gold Gold Equities
Second Secondary Technical Indicators Above 20
day moving average positive momentum
Seasonal Trade Using Gold Gold Equities
Fundamental considerations
Indian Wedding Season and Chinese New Year
US Dollar Index trends
Earnings trends for major gold producers
Volatility
33
34
Seasonal Trade Example using Natural Gas lsquoGassyrsquo Stocks
First check seasonality
35
Seasonal Trade Example using Natural Gas lsquoGassyrsquo Stocks
First check seasonality
36
Seasonal Trade Example using Natural Gas lsquoGassyrsquo Stocks
First check seasonality
37
Seasonal Trade Example using Natural Gas lsquoGassyrsquo Stocks
Second check out primary technical indicators
Trend and Relative Strength
38
Seasonal Trade Example using Natural Gas lsquoGassyrsquo Stocks
Second check out secondary technical indicators
Above 20 day moving average Momentum
39
Natural Gas versus lsquoGassyrsquo Stock
40
lsquoGassyrsquo Stocks
US lsquogassyrsquo stock examples XEC COG CXO DVN NFX PXD
Canadian lsquogassyrsquo stock examples VET FRU BNP BIR PSK CR
lsquoGassyrsquo ETFs FCG ZJNTO
Primary technical indicators trend and strength relative to the S amp P 500
Index
41
lsquoGassyrsquo Stocks
42
Fundamental Considerations
Natural gas inventories
Rising year-over-year cash flow and earnings estimates ($307 per Mbtu vs
$270)
Weather (Hurricane season)
43
Fundamental Considerations
Natural gas inventories
Websites
Don and Jon Vialoux
httpTimingTheMarketca
httpEquityClockcom
44
Questions
Disclaimer Comments and opinions offered in this
presentation are for information only They should not
be considered as advice to purchase or to sell
mentioned securities They should not be considered
as recommendations made by Don andor Jon Vialoux
45
Fun with Data Chart
20
Seasonality of the VIX Index
21
What is VIX Saying Now
22
Sector Seasonality
23
Economic data influencing price
24
Seasonal Investing ndash Not Just Based UponDates on a Calendar
Intermediate uptrend
Outperformance relative to a broad benchmark
(such as S amp P 500)
25
Primary Technical Requirements forEntering Seasonal Trades
Trades above its 20 day moving average
Short term momentum indicators trending higher
(Stochastics RSI MACD)
26
Secondary Technical Requirements forEntering Seasonal Trades
Daily Report Showing Seasonality and Technicals (for September 1st 2017)
27
UNIT SEASONAL TREND
RELATIVE
STRENGTH
20 DAY
MA MOMENTUM
TECHNICAL
SCORE
PREVIOUS
SCORE
Technology
XLKFHQTO Negative Up Positive Above Up 6
Materials
XLBFHMTO Negative Up Positive Above Up 6
Industrials
XLIFHGTO Neutral Neutral Neutral Above Up 2 Consumer
Discretionary
XLYFHDTO Negative Neutral Negative Above Up 0
Financials
XLFFHFTO Negative Neutral Negative Below Up -2 -4
Energy
XLEFHETO Neutral Down Negative Above Up -2 -4
Consumer Staples
XLPFHCTO Negative Up Negative Below Up 0 -2
Health Care
XLVFHHTO Neutral Up Positive Above Up 6
Utilities
XLUFHUTO Neutral Up Positive Above Down 4
TSX Financial Neutral Down Neutral Above Up 0
TSX Energy Negative Neutral Negative Above Up 0 -2
TSX Gold Positive Up Positive Above Up 6
28
Seasonal Trade Example using Gold Gold Equities
First check seasonality
29
Seasonal Trade Example using Gold Gold Equities
First check seasonality
30
Seasonal Trade Example using Gold Gold Equities
Choosing between gold and gold equities
31
Seasonal Trade Example using Gold Gold Equities
Second Check Primary Technical Indicators
Trend Strength relative to the S amp P 500 Index
32
Seasonal Trade Example using Gold Gold Equities
Second Secondary Technical Indicators Above 20
day moving average positive momentum
Seasonal Trade Using Gold Gold Equities
Fundamental considerations
Indian Wedding Season and Chinese New Year
US Dollar Index trends
Earnings trends for major gold producers
Volatility
33
34
Seasonal Trade Example using Natural Gas lsquoGassyrsquo Stocks
First check seasonality
35
Seasonal Trade Example using Natural Gas lsquoGassyrsquo Stocks
First check seasonality
36
Seasonal Trade Example using Natural Gas lsquoGassyrsquo Stocks
First check seasonality
37
Seasonal Trade Example using Natural Gas lsquoGassyrsquo Stocks
Second check out primary technical indicators
Trend and Relative Strength
38
Seasonal Trade Example using Natural Gas lsquoGassyrsquo Stocks
Second check out secondary technical indicators
Above 20 day moving average Momentum
39
Natural Gas versus lsquoGassyrsquo Stock
40
lsquoGassyrsquo Stocks
US lsquogassyrsquo stock examples XEC COG CXO DVN NFX PXD
Canadian lsquogassyrsquo stock examples VET FRU BNP BIR PSK CR
lsquoGassyrsquo ETFs FCG ZJNTO
Primary technical indicators trend and strength relative to the S amp P 500
Index
41
lsquoGassyrsquo Stocks
42
Fundamental Considerations
Natural gas inventories
Rising year-over-year cash flow and earnings estimates ($307 per Mbtu vs
$270)
Weather (Hurricane season)
43
Fundamental Considerations
Natural gas inventories
Websites
Don and Jon Vialoux
httpTimingTheMarketca
httpEquityClockcom
44
Questions
Disclaimer Comments and opinions offered in this
presentation are for information only They should not
be considered as advice to purchase or to sell
mentioned securities They should not be considered
as recommendations made by Don andor Jon Vialoux
45
Seasonality of the VIX Index
21
What is VIX Saying Now
22
Sector Seasonality
23
Economic data influencing price
24
Seasonal Investing ndash Not Just Based UponDates on a Calendar
Intermediate uptrend
Outperformance relative to a broad benchmark
(such as S amp P 500)
25
Primary Technical Requirements forEntering Seasonal Trades
Trades above its 20 day moving average
Short term momentum indicators trending higher
(Stochastics RSI MACD)
26
Secondary Technical Requirements forEntering Seasonal Trades
Daily Report Showing Seasonality and Technicals (for September 1st 2017)
27
UNIT SEASONAL TREND
RELATIVE
STRENGTH
20 DAY
MA MOMENTUM
TECHNICAL
SCORE
PREVIOUS
SCORE
Technology
XLKFHQTO Negative Up Positive Above Up 6
Materials
XLBFHMTO Negative Up Positive Above Up 6
Industrials
XLIFHGTO Neutral Neutral Neutral Above Up 2 Consumer
Discretionary
XLYFHDTO Negative Neutral Negative Above Up 0
Financials
XLFFHFTO Negative Neutral Negative Below Up -2 -4
Energy
XLEFHETO Neutral Down Negative Above Up -2 -4
Consumer Staples
XLPFHCTO Negative Up Negative Below Up 0 -2
Health Care
XLVFHHTO Neutral Up Positive Above Up 6
Utilities
XLUFHUTO Neutral Up Positive Above Down 4
TSX Financial Neutral Down Neutral Above Up 0
TSX Energy Negative Neutral Negative Above Up 0 -2
TSX Gold Positive Up Positive Above Up 6
28
Seasonal Trade Example using Gold Gold Equities
First check seasonality
29
Seasonal Trade Example using Gold Gold Equities
First check seasonality
30
Seasonal Trade Example using Gold Gold Equities
Choosing between gold and gold equities
31
Seasonal Trade Example using Gold Gold Equities
Second Check Primary Technical Indicators
Trend Strength relative to the S amp P 500 Index
32
Seasonal Trade Example using Gold Gold Equities
Second Secondary Technical Indicators Above 20
day moving average positive momentum
Seasonal Trade Using Gold Gold Equities
Fundamental considerations
Indian Wedding Season and Chinese New Year
US Dollar Index trends
Earnings trends for major gold producers
Volatility
33
34
Seasonal Trade Example using Natural Gas lsquoGassyrsquo Stocks
First check seasonality
35
Seasonal Trade Example using Natural Gas lsquoGassyrsquo Stocks
First check seasonality
36
Seasonal Trade Example using Natural Gas lsquoGassyrsquo Stocks
First check seasonality
37
Seasonal Trade Example using Natural Gas lsquoGassyrsquo Stocks
Second check out primary technical indicators
Trend and Relative Strength
38
Seasonal Trade Example using Natural Gas lsquoGassyrsquo Stocks
Second check out secondary technical indicators
Above 20 day moving average Momentum
39
Natural Gas versus lsquoGassyrsquo Stock
40
lsquoGassyrsquo Stocks
US lsquogassyrsquo stock examples XEC COG CXO DVN NFX PXD
Canadian lsquogassyrsquo stock examples VET FRU BNP BIR PSK CR
lsquoGassyrsquo ETFs FCG ZJNTO
Primary technical indicators trend and strength relative to the S amp P 500
Index
41
lsquoGassyrsquo Stocks
42
Fundamental Considerations
Natural gas inventories
Rising year-over-year cash flow and earnings estimates ($307 per Mbtu vs
$270)
Weather (Hurricane season)
43
Fundamental Considerations
Natural gas inventories
Websites
Don and Jon Vialoux
httpTimingTheMarketca
httpEquityClockcom
44
Questions
Disclaimer Comments and opinions offered in this
presentation are for information only They should not
be considered as advice to purchase or to sell
mentioned securities They should not be considered
as recommendations made by Don andor Jon Vialoux
45
What is VIX Saying Now
22
Sector Seasonality
23
Economic data influencing price
24
Seasonal Investing ndash Not Just Based UponDates on a Calendar
Intermediate uptrend
Outperformance relative to a broad benchmark
(such as S amp P 500)
25
Primary Technical Requirements forEntering Seasonal Trades
Trades above its 20 day moving average
Short term momentum indicators trending higher
(Stochastics RSI MACD)
26
Secondary Technical Requirements forEntering Seasonal Trades
Daily Report Showing Seasonality and Technicals (for September 1st 2017)
27
UNIT SEASONAL TREND
RELATIVE
STRENGTH
20 DAY
MA MOMENTUM
TECHNICAL
SCORE
PREVIOUS
SCORE
Technology
XLKFHQTO Negative Up Positive Above Up 6
Materials
XLBFHMTO Negative Up Positive Above Up 6
Industrials
XLIFHGTO Neutral Neutral Neutral Above Up 2 Consumer
Discretionary
XLYFHDTO Negative Neutral Negative Above Up 0
Financials
XLFFHFTO Negative Neutral Negative Below Up -2 -4
Energy
XLEFHETO Neutral Down Negative Above Up -2 -4
Consumer Staples
XLPFHCTO Negative Up Negative Below Up 0 -2
Health Care
XLVFHHTO Neutral Up Positive Above Up 6
Utilities
XLUFHUTO Neutral Up Positive Above Down 4
TSX Financial Neutral Down Neutral Above Up 0
TSX Energy Negative Neutral Negative Above Up 0 -2
TSX Gold Positive Up Positive Above Up 6
28
Seasonal Trade Example using Gold Gold Equities
First check seasonality
29
Seasonal Trade Example using Gold Gold Equities
First check seasonality
30
Seasonal Trade Example using Gold Gold Equities
Choosing between gold and gold equities
31
Seasonal Trade Example using Gold Gold Equities
Second Check Primary Technical Indicators
Trend Strength relative to the S amp P 500 Index
32
Seasonal Trade Example using Gold Gold Equities
Second Secondary Technical Indicators Above 20
day moving average positive momentum
Seasonal Trade Using Gold Gold Equities
Fundamental considerations
Indian Wedding Season and Chinese New Year
US Dollar Index trends
Earnings trends for major gold producers
Volatility
33
34
Seasonal Trade Example using Natural Gas lsquoGassyrsquo Stocks
First check seasonality
35
Seasonal Trade Example using Natural Gas lsquoGassyrsquo Stocks
First check seasonality
36
Seasonal Trade Example using Natural Gas lsquoGassyrsquo Stocks
First check seasonality
37
Seasonal Trade Example using Natural Gas lsquoGassyrsquo Stocks
Second check out primary technical indicators
Trend and Relative Strength
38
Seasonal Trade Example using Natural Gas lsquoGassyrsquo Stocks
Second check out secondary technical indicators
Above 20 day moving average Momentum
39
Natural Gas versus lsquoGassyrsquo Stock
40
lsquoGassyrsquo Stocks
US lsquogassyrsquo stock examples XEC COG CXO DVN NFX PXD
Canadian lsquogassyrsquo stock examples VET FRU BNP BIR PSK CR
lsquoGassyrsquo ETFs FCG ZJNTO
Primary technical indicators trend and strength relative to the S amp P 500
Index
41
lsquoGassyrsquo Stocks
42
Fundamental Considerations
Natural gas inventories
Rising year-over-year cash flow and earnings estimates ($307 per Mbtu vs
$270)
Weather (Hurricane season)
43
Fundamental Considerations
Natural gas inventories
Websites
Don and Jon Vialoux
httpTimingTheMarketca
httpEquityClockcom
44
Questions
Disclaimer Comments and opinions offered in this
presentation are for information only They should not
be considered as advice to purchase or to sell
mentioned securities They should not be considered
as recommendations made by Don andor Jon Vialoux
45
Sector Seasonality
23
Economic data influencing price
24
Seasonal Investing ndash Not Just Based UponDates on a Calendar
Intermediate uptrend
Outperformance relative to a broad benchmark
(such as S amp P 500)
25
Primary Technical Requirements forEntering Seasonal Trades
Trades above its 20 day moving average
Short term momentum indicators trending higher
(Stochastics RSI MACD)
26
Secondary Technical Requirements forEntering Seasonal Trades
Daily Report Showing Seasonality and Technicals (for September 1st 2017)
27
UNIT SEASONAL TREND
RELATIVE
STRENGTH
20 DAY
MA MOMENTUM
TECHNICAL
SCORE
PREVIOUS
SCORE
Technology
XLKFHQTO Negative Up Positive Above Up 6
Materials
XLBFHMTO Negative Up Positive Above Up 6
Industrials
XLIFHGTO Neutral Neutral Neutral Above Up 2 Consumer
Discretionary
XLYFHDTO Negative Neutral Negative Above Up 0
Financials
XLFFHFTO Negative Neutral Negative Below Up -2 -4
Energy
XLEFHETO Neutral Down Negative Above Up -2 -4
Consumer Staples
XLPFHCTO Negative Up Negative Below Up 0 -2
Health Care
XLVFHHTO Neutral Up Positive Above Up 6
Utilities
XLUFHUTO Neutral Up Positive Above Down 4
TSX Financial Neutral Down Neutral Above Up 0
TSX Energy Negative Neutral Negative Above Up 0 -2
TSX Gold Positive Up Positive Above Up 6
28
Seasonal Trade Example using Gold Gold Equities
First check seasonality
29
Seasonal Trade Example using Gold Gold Equities
First check seasonality
30
Seasonal Trade Example using Gold Gold Equities
Choosing between gold and gold equities
31
Seasonal Trade Example using Gold Gold Equities
Second Check Primary Technical Indicators
Trend Strength relative to the S amp P 500 Index
32
Seasonal Trade Example using Gold Gold Equities
Second Secondary Technical Indicators Above 20
day moving average positive momentum
Seasonal Trade Using Gold Gold Equities
Fundamental considerations
Indian Wedding Season and Chinese New Year
US Dollar Index trends
Earnings trends for major gold producers
Volatility
33
34
Seasonal Trade Example using Natural Gas lsquoGassyrsquo Stocks
First check seasonality
35
Seasonal Trade Example using Natural Gas lsquoGassyrsquo Stocks
First check seasonality
36
Seasonal Trade Example using Natural Gas lsquoGassyrsquo Stocks
First check seasonality
37
Seasonal Trade Example using Natural Gas lsquoGassyrsquo Stocks
Second check out primary technical indicators
Trend and Relative Strength
38
Seasonal Trade Example using Natural Gas lsquoGassyrsquo Stocks
Second check out secondary technical indicators
Above 20 day moving average Momentum
39
Natural Gas versus lsquoGassyrsquo Stock
40
lsquoGassyrsquo Stocks
US lsquogassyrsquo stock examples XEC COG CXO DVN NFX PXD
Canadian lsquogassyrsquo stock examples VET FRU BNP BIR PSK CR
lsquoGassyrsquo ETFs FCG ZJNTO
Primary technical indicators trend and strength relative to the S amp P 500
Index
41
lsquoGassyrsquo Stocks
42
Fundamental Considerations
Natural gas inventories
Rising year-over-year cash flow and earnings estimates ($307 per Mbtu vs
$270)
Weather (Hurricane season)
43
Fundamental Considerations
Natural gas inventories
Websites
Don and Jon Vialoux
httpTimingTheMarketca
httpEquityClockcom
44
Questions
Disclaimer Comments and opinions offered in this
presentation are for information only They should not
be considered as advice to purchase or to sell
mentioned securities They should not be considered
as recommendations made by Don andor Jon Vialoux
45
Economic data influencing price
24
Seasonal Investing ndash Not Just Based UponDates on a Calendar
Intermediate uptrend
Outperformance relative to a broad benchmark
(such as S amp P 500)
25
Primary Technical Requirements forEntering Seasonal Trades
Trades above its 20 day moving average
Short term momentum indicators trending higher
(Stochastics RSI MACD)
26
Secondary Technical Requirements forEntering Seasonal Trades
Daily Report Showing Seasonality and Technicals (for September 1st 2017)
27
UNIT SEASONAL TREND
RELATIVE
STRENGTH
20 DAY
MA MOMENTUM
TECHNICAL
SCORE
PREVIOUS
SCORE
Technology
XLKFHQTO Negative Up Positive Above Up 6
Materials
XLBFHMTO Negative Up Positive Above Up 6
Industrials
XLIFHGTO Neutral Neutral Neutral Above Up 2 Consumer
Discretionary
XLYFHDTO Negative Neutral Negative Above Up 0
Financials
XLFFHFTO Negative Neutral Negative Below Up -2 -4
Energy
XLEFHETO Neutral Down Negative Above Up -2 -4
Consumer Staples
XLPFHCTO Negative Up Negative Below Up 0 -2
Health Care
XLVFHHTO Neutral Up Positive Above Up 6
Utilities
XLUFHUTO Neutral Up Positive Above Down 4
TSX Financial Neutral Down Neutral Above Up 0
TSX Energy Negative Neutral Negative Above Up 0 -2
TSX Gold Positive Up Positive Above Up 6
28
Seasonal Trade Example using Gold Gold Equities
First check seasonality
29
Seasonal Trade Example using Gold Gold Equities
First check seasonality
30
Seasonal Trade Example using Gold Gold Equities
Choosing between gold and gold equities
31
Seasonal Trade Example using Gold Gold Equities
Second Check Primary Technical Indicators
Trend Strength relative to the S amp P 500 Index
32
Seasonal Trade Example using Gold Gold Equities
Second Secondary Technical Indicators Above 20
day moving average positive momentum
Seasonal Trade Using Gold Gold Equities
Fundamental considerations
Indian Wedding Season and Chinese New Year
US Dollar Index trends
Earnings trends for major gold producers
Volatility
33
34
Seasonal Trade Example using Natural Gas lsquoGassyrsquo Stocks
First check seasonality
35
Seasonal Trade Example using Natural Gas lsquoGassyrsquo Stocks
First check seasonality
36
Seasonal Trade Example using Natural Gas lsquoGassyrsquo Stocks
First check seasonality
37
Seasonal Trade Example using Natural Gas lsquoGassyrsquo Stocks
Second check out primary technical indicators
Trend and Relative Strength
38
Seasonal Trade Example using Natural Gas lsquoGassyrsquo Stocks
Second check out secondary technical indicators
Above 20 day moving average Momentum
39
Natural Gas versus lsquoGassyrsquo Stock
40
lsquoGassyrsquo Stocks
US lsquogassyrsquo stock examples XEC COG CXO DVN NFX PXD
Canadian lsquogassyrsquo stock examples VET FRU BNP BIR PSK CR
lsquoGassyrsquo ETFs FCG ZJNTO
Primary technical indicators trend and strength relative to the S amp P 500
Index
41
lsquoGassyrsquo Stocks
42
Fundamental Considerations
Natural gas inventories
Rising year-over-year cash flow and earnings estimates ($307 per Mbtu vs
$270)
Weather (Hurricane season)
43
Fundamental Considerations
Natural gas inventories
Websites
Don and Jon Vialoux
httpTimingTheMarketca
httpEquityClockcom
44
Questions
Disclaimer Comments and opinions offered in this
presentation are for information only They should not
be considered as advice to purchase or to sell
mentioned securities They should not be considered
as recommendations made by Don andor Jon Vialoux
45
Intermediate uptrend
Outperformance relative to a broad benchmark
(such as S amp P 500)
25
Primary Technical Requirements forEntering Seasonal Trades
Trades above its 20 day moving average
Short term momentum indicators trending higher
(Stochastics RSI MACD)
26
Secondary Technical Requirements forEntering Seasonal Trades
Daily Report Showing Seasonality and Technicals (for September 1st 2017)
27
UNIT SEASONAL TREND
RELATIVE
STRENGTH
20 DAY
MA MOMENTUM
TECHNICAL
SCORE
PREVIOUS
SCORE
Technology
XLKFHQTO Negative Up Positive Above Up 6
Materials
XLBFHMTO Negative Up Positive Above Up 6
Industrials
XLIFHGTO Neutral Neutral Neutral Above Up 2 Consumer
Discretionary
XLYFHDTO Negative Neutral Negative Above Up 0
Financials
XLFFHFTO Negative Neutral Negative Below Up -2 -4
Energy
XLEFHETO Neutral Down Negative Above Up -2 -4
Consumer Staples
XLPFHCTO Negative Up Negative Below Up 0 -2
Health Care
XLVFHHTO Neutral Up Positive Above Up 6
Utilities
XLUFHUTO Neutral Up Positive Above Down 4
TSX Financial Neutral Down Neutral Above Up 0
TSX Energy Negative Neutral Negative Above Up 0 -2
TSX Gold Positive Up Positive Above Up 6
28
Seasonal Trade Example using Gold Gold Equities
First check seasonality
29
Seasonal Trade Example using Gold Gold Equities
First check seasonality
30
Seasonal Trade Example using Gold Gold Equities
Choosing between gold and gold equities
31
Seasonal Trade Example using Gold Gold Equities
Second Check Primary Technical Indicators
Trend Strength relative to the S amp P 500 Index
32
Seasonal Trade Example using Gold Gold Equities
Second Secondary Technical Indicators Above 20
day moving average positive momentum
Seasonal Trade Using Gold Gold Equities
Fundamental considerations
Indian Wedding Season and Chinese New Year
US Dollar Index trends
Earnings trends for major gold producers
Volatility
33
34
Seasonal Trade Example using Natural Gas lsquoGassyrsquo Stocks
First check seasonality
35
Seasonal Trade Example using Natural Gas lsquoGassyrsquo Stocks
First check seasonality
36
Seasonal Trade Example using Natural Gas lsquoGassyrsquo Stocks
First check seasonality
37
Seasonal Trade Example using Natural Gas lsquoGassyrsquo Stocks
Second check out primary technical indicators
Trend and Relative Strength
38
Seasonal Trade Example using Natural Gas lsquoGassyrsquo Stocks
Second check out secondary technical indicators
Above 20 day moving average Momentum
39
Natural Gas versus lsquoGassyrsquo Stock
40
lsquoGassyrsquo Stocks
US lsquogassyrsquo stock examples XEC COG CXO DVN NFX PXD
Canadian lsquogassyrsquo stock examples VET FRU BNP BIR PSK CR
lsquoGassyrsquo ETFs FCG ZJNTO
Primary technical indicators trend and strength relative to the S amp P 500
Index
41
lsquoGassyrsquo Stocks
42
Fundamental Considerations
Natural gas inventories
Rising year-over-year cash flow and earnings estimates ($307 per Mbtu vs
$270)
Weather (Hurricane season)
43
Fundamental Considerations
Natural gas inventories
Websites
Don and Jon Vialoux
httpTimingTheMarketca
httpEquityClockcom
44
Questions
Disclaimer Comments and opinions offered in this
presentation are for information only They should not
be considered as advice to purchase or to sell
mentioned securities They should not be considered
as recommendations made by Don andor Jon Vialoux
45
Trades above its 20 day moving average
Short term momentum indicators trending higher
(Stochastics RSI MACD)
26
Secondary Technical Requirements forEntering Seasonal Trades
Daily Report Showing Seasonality and Technicals (for September 1st 2017)
27
UNIT SEASONAL TREND
RELATIVE
STRENGTH
20 DAY
MA MOMENTUM
TECHNICAL
SCORE
PREVIOUS
SCORE
Technology
XLKFHQTO Negative Up Positive Above Up 6
Materials
XLBFHMTO Negative Up Positive Above Up 6
Industrials
XLIFHGTO Neutral Neutral Neutral Above Up 2 Consumer
Discretionary
XLYFHDTO Negative Neutral Negative Above Up 0
Financials
XLFFHFTO Negative Neutral Negative Below Up -2 -4
Energy
XLEFHETO Neutral Down Negative Above Up -2 -4
Consumer Staples
XLPFHCTO Negative Up Negative Below Up 0 -2
Health Care
XLVFHHTO Neutral Up Positive Above Up 6
Utilities
XLUFHUTO Neutral Up Positive Above Down 4
TSX Financial Neutral Down Neutral Above Up 0
TSX Energy Negative Neutral Negative Above Up 0 -2
TSX Gold Positive Up Positive Above Up 6
28
Seasonal Trade Example using Gold Gold Equities
First check seasonality
29
Seasonal Trade Example using Gold Gold Equities
First check seasonality
30
Seasonal Trade Example using Gold Gold Equities
Choosing between gold and gold equities
31
Seasonal Trade Example using Gold Gold Equities
Second Check Primary Technical Indicators
Trend Strength relative to the S amp P 500 Index
32
Seasonal Trade Example using Gold Gold Equities
Second Secondary Technical Indicators Above 20
day moving average positive momentum
Seasonal Trade Using Gold Gold Equities
Fundamental considerations
Indian Wedding Season and Chinese New Year
US Dollar Index trends
Earnings trends for major gold producers
Volatility
33
34
Seasonal Trade Example using Natural Gas lsquoGassyrsquo Stocks
First check seasonality
35
Seasonal Trade Example using Natural Gas lsquoGassyrsquo Stocks
First check seasonality
36
Seasonal Trade Example using Natural Gas lsquoGassyrsquo Stocks
First check seasonality
37
Seasonal Trade Example using Natural Gas lsquoGassyrsquo Stocks
Second check out primary technical indicators
Trend and Relative Strength
38
Seasonal Trade Example using Natural Gas lsquoGassyrsquo Stocks
Second check out secondary technical indicators
Above 20 day moving average Momentum
39
Natural Gas versus lsquoGassyrsquo Stock
40
lsquoGassyrsquo Stocks
US lsquogassyrsquo stock examples XEC COG CXO DVN NFX PXD
Canadian lsquogassyrsquo stock examples VET FRU BNP BIR PSK CR
lsquoGassyrsquo ETFs FCG ZJNTO
Primary technical indicators trend and strength relative to the S amp P 500
Index
41
lsquoGassyrsquo Stocks
42
Fundamental Considerations
Natural gas inventories
Rising year-over-year cash flow and earnings estimates ($307 per Mbtu vs
$270)
Weather (Hurricane season)
43
Fundamental Considerations
Natural gas inventories
Websites
Don and Jon Vialoux
httpTimingTheMarketca
httpEquityClockcom
44
Questions
Disclaimer Comments and opinions offered in this
presentation are for information only They should not
be considered as advice to purchase or to sell
mentioned securities They should not be considered
as recommendations made by Don andor Jon Vialoux
45
Daily Report Showing Seasonality and Technicals (for September 1st 2017)
27
UNIT SEASONAL TREND
RELATIVE
STRENGTH
20 DAY
MA MOMENTUM
TECHNICAL
SCORE
PREVIOUS
SCORE
Technology
XLKFHQTO Negative Up Positive Above Up 6
Materials
XLBFHMTO Negative Up Positive Above Up 6
Industrials
XLIFHGTO Neutral Neutral Neutral Above Up 2 Consumer
Discretionary
XLYFHDTO Negative Neutral Negative Above Up 0
Financials
XLFFHFTO Negative Neutral Negative Below Up -2 -4
Energy
XLEFHETO Neutral Down Negative Above Up -2 -4
Consumer Staples
XLPFHCTO Negative Up Negative Below Up 0 -2
Health Care
XLVFHHTO Neutral Up Positive Above Up 6
Utilities
XLUFHUTO Neutral Up Positive Above Down 4
TSX Financial Neutral Down Neutral Above Up 0
TSX Energy Negative Neutral Negative Above Up 0 -2
TSX Gold Positive Up Positive Above Up 6
28
Seasonal Trade Example using Gold Gold Equities
First check seasonality
29
Seasonal Trade Example using Gold Gold Equities
First check seasonality
30
Seasonal Trade Example using Gold Gold Equities
Choosing between gold and gold equities
31
Seasonal Trade Example using Gold Gold Equities
Second Check Primary Technical Indicators
Trend Strength relative to the S amp P 500 Index
32
Seasonal Trade Example using Gold Gold Equities
Second Secondary Technical Indicators Above 20
day moving average positive momentum
Seasonal Trade Using Gold Gold Equities
Fundamental considerations
Indian Wedding Season and Chinese New Year
US Dollar Index trends
Earnings trends for major gold producers
Volatility
33
34
Seasonal Trade Example using Natural Gas lsquoGassyrsquo Stocks
First check seasonality
35
Seasonal Trade Example using Natural Gas lsquoGassyrsquo Stocks
First check seasonality
36
Seasonal Trade Example using Natural Gas lsquoGassyrsquo Stocks
First check seasonality
37
Seasonal Trade Example using Natural Gas lsquoGassyrsquo Stocks
Second check out primary technical indicators
Trend and Relative Strength
38
Seasonal Trade Example using Natural Gas lsquoGassyrsquo Stocks
Second check out secondary technical indicators
Above 20 day moving average Momentum
39
Natural Gas versus lsquoGassyrsquo Stock
40
lsquoGassyrsquo Stocks
US lsquogassyrsquo stock examples XEC COG CXO DVN NFX PXD
Canadian lsquogassyrsquo stock examples VET FRU BNP BIR PSK CR
lsquoGassyrsquo ETFs FCG ZJNTO
Primary technical indicators trend and strength relative to the S amp P 500
Index
41
lsquoGassyrsquo Stocks
42
Fundamental Considerations
Natural gas inventories
Rising year-over-year cash flow and earnings estimates ($307 per Mbtu vs
$270)
Weather (Hurricane season)
43
Fundamental Considerations
Natural gas inventories
Websites
Don and Jon Vialoux
httpTimingTheMarketca
httpEquityClockcom
44
Questions
Disclaimer Comments and opinions offered in this
presentation are for information only They should not
be considered as advice to purchase or to sell
mentioned securities They should not be considered
as recommendations made by Don andor Jon Vialoux
45
28
Seasonal Trade Example using Gold Gold Equities
First check seasonality
29
Seasonal Trade Example using Gold Gold Equities
First check seasonality
30
Seasonal Trade Example using Gold Gold Equities
Choosing between gold and gold equities
31
Seasonal Trade Example using Gold Gold Equities
Second Check Primary Technical Indicators
Trend Strength relative to the S amp P 500 Index
32
Seasonal Trade Example using Gold Gold Equities
Second Secondary Technical Indicators Above 20
day moving average positive momentum
Seasonal Trade Using Gold Gold Equities
Fundamental considerations
Indian Wedding Season and Chinese New Year
US Dollar Index trends
Earnings trends for major gold producers
Volatility
33
34
Seasonal Trade Example using Natural Gas lsquoGassyrsquo Stocks
First check seasonality
35
Seasonal Trade Example using Natural Gas lsquoGassyrsquo Stocks
First check seasonality
36
Seasonal Trade Example using Natural Gas lsquoGassyrsquo Stocks
First check seasonality
37
Seasonal Trade Example using Natural Gas lsquoGassyrsquo Stocks
Second check out primary technical indicators
Trend and Relative Strength
38
Seasonal Trade Example using Natural Gas lsquoGassyrsquo Stocks
Second check out secondary technical indicators
Above 20 day moving average Momentum
39
Natural Gas versus lsquoGassyrsquo Stock
40
lsquoGassyrsquo Stocks
US lsquogassyrsquo stock examples XEC COG CXO DVN NFX PXD
Canadian lsquogassyrsquo stock examples VET FRU BNP BIR PSK CR
lsquoGassyrsquo ETFs FCG ZJNTO
Primary technical indicators trend and strength relative to the S amp P 500
Index
41
lsquoGassyrsquo Stocks
42
Fundamental Considerations
Natural gas inventories
Rising year-over-year cash flow and earnings estimates ($307 per Mbtu vs
$270)
Weather (Hurricane season)
43
Fundamental Considerations
Natural gas inventories
Websites
Don and Jon Vialoux
httpTimingTheMarketca
httpEquityClockcom
44
Questions
Disclaimer Comments and opinions offered in this
presentation are for information only They should not
be considered as advice to purchase or to sell
mentioned securities They should not be considered
as recommendations made by Don andor Jon Vialoux
45
29
Seasonal Trade Example using Gold Gold Equities
First check seasonality
30
Seasonal Trade Example using Gold Gold Equities
Choosing between gold and gold equities
31
Seasonal Trade Example using Gold Gold Equities
Second Check Primary Technical Indicators
Trend Strength relative to the S amp P 500 Index
32
Seasonal Trade Example using Gold Gold Equities
Second Secondary Technical Indicators Above 20
day moving average positive momentum
Seasonal Trade Using Gold Gold Equities
Fundamental considerations
Indian Wedding Season and Chinese New Year
US Dollar Index trends
Earnings trends for major gold producers
Volatility
33
34
Seasonal Trade Example using Natural Gas lsquoGassyrsquo Stocks
First check seasonality
35
Seasonal Trade Example using Natural Gas lsquoGassyrsquo Stocks
First check seasonality
36
Seasonal Trade Example using Natural Gas lsquoGassyrsquo Stocks
First check seasonality
37
Seasonal Trade Example using Natural Gas lsquoGassyrsquo Stocks
Second check out primary technical indicators
Trend and Relative Strength
38
Seasonal Trade Example using Natural Gas lsquoGassyrsquo Stocks
Second check out secondary technical indicators
Above 20 day moving average Momentum
39
Natural Gas versus lsquoGassyrsquo Stock
40
lsquoGassyrsquo Stocks
US lsquogassyrsquo stock examples XEC COG CXO DVN NFX PXD
Canadian lsquogassyrsquo stock examples VET FRU BNP BIR PSK CR
lsquoGassyrsquo ETFs FCG ZJNTO
Primary technical indicators trend and strength relative to the S amp P 500
Index
41
lsquoGassyrsquo Stocks
42
Fundamental Considerations
Natural gas inventories
Rising year-over-year cash flow and earnings estimates ($307 per Mbtu vs
$270)
Weather (Hurricane season)
43
Fundamental Considerations
Natural gas inventories
Websites
Don and Jon Vialoux
httpTimingTheMarketca
httpEquityClockcom
44
Questions
Disclaimer Comments and opinions offered in this
presentation are for information only They should not
be considered as advice to purchase or to sell
mentioned securities They should not be considered
as recommendations made by Don andor Jon Vialoux
45
30
Seasonal Trade Example using Gold Gold Equities
Choosing between gold and gold equities
31
Seasonal Trade Example using Gold Gold Equities
Second Check Primary Technical Indicators
Trend Strength relative to the S amp P 500 Index
32
Seasonal Trade Example using Gold Gold Equities
Second Secondary Technical Indicators Above 20
day moving average positive momentum
Seasonal Trade Using Gold Gold Equities
Fundamental considerations
Indian Wedding Season and Chinese New Year
US Dollar Index trends
Earnings trends for major gold producers
Volatility
33
34
Seasonal Trade Example using Natural Gas lsquoGassyrsquo Stocks
First check seasonality
35
Seasonal Trade Example using Natural Gas lsquoGassyrsquo Stocks
First check seasonality
36
Seasonal Trade Example using Natural Gas lsquoGassyrsquo Stocks
First check seasonality
37
Seasonal Trade Example using Natural Gas lsquoGassyrsquo Stocks
Second check out primary technical indicators
Trend and Relative Strength
38
Seasonal Trade Example using Natural Gas lsquoGassyrsquo Stocks
Second check out secondary technical indicators
Above 20 day moving average Momentum
39
Natural Gas versus lsquoGassyrsquo Stock
40
lsquoGassyrsquo Stocks
US lsquogassyrsquo stock examples XEC COG CXO DVN NFX PXD
Canadian lsquogassyrsquo stock examples VET FRU BNP BIR PSK CR
lsquoGassyrsquo ETFs FCG ZJNTO
Primary technical indicators trend and strength relative to the S amp P 500
Index
41
lsquoGassyrsquo Stocks
42
Fundamental Considerations
Natural gas inventories
Rising year-over-year cash flow and earnings estimates ($307 per Mbtu vs
$270)
Weather (Hurricane season)
43
Fundamental Considerations
Natural gas inventories
Websites
Don and Jon Vialoux
httpTimingTheMarketca
httpEquityClockcom
44
Questions
Disclaimer Comments and opinions offered in this
presentation are for information only They should not
be considered as advice to purchase or to sell
mentioned securities They should not be considered
as recommendations made by Don andor Jon Vialoux
45
31
Seasonal Trade Example using Gold Gold Equities
Second Check Primary Technical Indicators
Trend Strength relative to the S amp P 500 Index
32
Seasonal Trade Example using Gold Gold Equities
Second Secondary Technical Indicators Above 20
day moving average positive momentum
Seasonal Trade Using Gold Gold Equities
Fundamental considerations
Indian Wedding Season and Chinese New Year
US Dollar Index trends
Earnings trends for major gold producers
Volatility
33
34
Seasonal Trade Example using Natural Gas lsquoGassyrsquo Stocks
First check seasonality
35
Seasonal Trade Example using Natural Gas lsquoGassyrsquo Stocks
First check seasonality
36
Seasonal Trade Example using Natural Gas lsquoGassyrsquo Stocks
First check seasonality
37
Seasonal Trade Example using Natural Gas lsquoGassyrsquo Stocks
Second check out primary technical indicators
Trend and Relative Strength
38
Seasonal Trade Example using Natural Gas lsquoGassyrsquo Stocks
Second check out secondary technical indicators
Above 20 day moving average Momentum
39
Natural Gas versus lsquoGassyrsquo Stock
40
lsquoGassyrsquo Stocks
US lsquogassyrsquo stock examples XEC COG CXO DVN NFX PXD
Canadian lsquogassyrsquo stock examples VET FRU BNP BIR PSK CR
lsquoGassyrsquo ETFs FCG ZJNTO
Primary technical indicators trend and strength relative to the S amp P 500
Index
41
lsquoGassyrsquo Stocks
42
Fundamental Considerations
Natural gas inventories
Rising year-over-year cash flow and earnings estimates ($307 per Mbtu vs
$270)
Weather (Hurricane season)
43
Fundamental Considerations
Natural gas inventories
Websites
Don and Jon Vialoux
httpTimingTheMarketca
httpEquityClockcom
44
Questions
Disclaimer Comments and opinions offered in this
presentation are for information only They should not
be considered as advice to purchase or to sell
mentioned securities They should not be considered
as recommendations made by Don andor Jon Vialoux
45
32
Seasonal Trade Example using Gold Gold Equities
Second Secondary Technical Indicators Above 20
day moving average positive momentum
Seasonal Trade Using Gold Gold Equities
Fundamental considerations
Indian Wedding Season and Chinese New Year
US Dollar Index trends
Earnings trends for major gold producers
Volatility
33
34
Seasonal Trade Example using Natural Gas lsquoGassyrsquo Stocks
First check seasonality
35
Seasonal Trade Example using Natural Gas lsquoGassyrsquo Stocks
First check seasonality
36
Seasonal Trade Example using Natural Gas lsquoGassyrsquo Stocks
First check seasonality
37
Seasonal Trade Example using Natural Gas lsquoGassyrsquo Stocks
Second check out primary technical indicators
Trend and Relative Strength
38
Seasonal Trade Example using Natural Gas lsquoGassyrsquo Stocks
Second check out secondary technical indicators
Above 20 day moving average Momentum
39
Natural Gas versus lsquoGassyrsquo Stock
40
lsquoGassyrsquo Stocks
US lsquogassyrsquo stock examples XEC COG CXO DVN NFX PXD
Canadian lsquogassyrsquo stock examples VET FRU BNP BIR PSK CR
lsquoGassyrsquo ETFs FCG ZJNTO
Primary technical indicators trend and strength relative to the S amp P 500
Index
41
lsquoGassyrsquo Stocks
42
Fundamental Considerations
Natural gas inventories
Rising year-over-year cash flow and earnings estimates ($307 per Mbtu vs
$270)
Weather (Hurricane season)
43
Fundamental Considerations
Natural gas inventories
Websites
Don and Jon Vialoux
httpTimingTheMarketca
httpEquityClockcom
44
Questions
Disclaimer Comments and opinions offered in this
presentation are for information only They should not
be considered as advice to purchase or to sell
mentioned securities They should not be considered
as recommendations made by Don andor Jon Vialoux
45
Seasonal Trade Using Gold Gold Equities
Fundamental considerations
Indian Wedding Season and Chinese New Year
US Dollar Index trends
Earnings trends for major gold producers
Volatility
33
34
Seasonal Trade Example using Natural Gas lsquoGassyrsquo Stocks
First check seasonality
35
Seasonal Trade Example using Natural Gas lsquoGassyrsquo Stocks
First check seasonality
36
Seasonal Trade Example using Natural Gas lsquoGassyrsquo Stocks
First check seasonality
37
Seasonal Trade Example using Natural Gas lsquoGassyrsquo Stocks
Second check out primary technical indicators
Trend and Relative Strength
38
Seasonal Trade Example using Natural Gas lsquoGassyrsquo Stocks
Second check out secondary technical indicators
Above 20 day moving average Momentum
39
Natural Gas versus lsquoGassyrsquo Stock
40
lsquoGassyrsquo Stocks
US lsquogassyrsquo stock examples XEC COG CXO DVN NFX PXD
Canadian lsquogassyrsquo stock examples VET FRU BNP BIR PSK CR
lsquoGassyrsquo ETFs FCG ZJNTO
Primary technical indicators trend and strength relative to the S amp P 500
Index
41
lsquoGassyrsquo Stocks
42
Fundamental Considerations
Natural gas inventories
Rising year-over-year cash flow and earnings estimates ($307 per Mbtu vs
$270)
Weather (Hurricane season)
43
Fundamental Considerations
Natural gas inventories
Websites
Don and Jon Vialoux
httpTimingTheMarketca
httpEquityClockcom
44
Questions
Disclaimer Comments and opinions offered in this
presentation are for information only They should not
be considered as advice to purchase or to sell
mentioned securities They should not be considered
as recommendations made by Don andor Jon Vialoux
45
34
Seasonal Trade Example using Natural Gas lsquoGassyrsquo Stocks
First check seasonality
35
Seasonal Trade Example using Natural Gas lsquoGassyrsquo Stocks
First check seasonality
36
Seasonal Trade Example using Natural Gas lsquoGassyrsquo Stocks
First check seasonality
37
Seasonal Trade Example using Natural Gas lsquoGassyrsquo Stocks
Second check out primary technical indicators
Trend and Relative Strength
38
Seasonal Trade Example using Natural Gas lsquoGassyrsquo Stocks
Second check out secondary technical indicators
Above 20 day moving average Momentum
39
Natural Gas versus lsquoGassyrsquo Stock
40
lsquoGassyrsquo Stocks
US lsquogassyrsquo stock examples XEC COG CXO DVN NFX PXD
Canadian lsquogassyrsquo stock examples VET FRU BNP BIR PSK CR
lsquoGassyrsquo ETFs FCG ZJNTO
Primary technical indicators trend and strength relative to the S amp P 500
Index
41
lsquoGassyrsquo Stocks
42
Fundamental Considerations
Natural gas inventories
Rising year-over-year cash flow and earnings estimates ($307 per Mbtu vs
$270)
Weather (Hurricane season)
43
Fundamental Considerations
Natural gas inventories
Websites
Don and Jon Vialoux
httpTimingTheMarketca
httpEquityClockcom
44
Questions
Disclaimer Comments and opinions offered in this
presentation are for information only They should not
be considered as advice to purchase or to sell
mentioned securities They should not be considered
as recommendations made by Don andor Jon Vialoux
45
35
Seasonal Trade Example using Natural Gas lsquoGassyrsquo Stocks
First check seasonality
36
Seasonal Trade Example using Natural Gas lsquoGassyrsquo Stocks
First check seasonality
37
Seasonal Trade Example using Natural Gas lsquoGassyrsquo Stocks
Second check out primary technical indicators
Trend and Relative Strength
38
Seasonal Trade Example using Natural Gas lsquoGassyrsquo Stocks
Second check out secondary technical indicators
Above 20 day moving average Momentum
39
Natural Gas versus lsquoGassyrsquo Stock
40
lsquoGassyrsquo Stocks
US lsquogassyrsquo stock examples XEC COG CXO DVN NFX PXD
Canadian lsquogassyrsquo stock examples VET FRU BNP BIR PSK CR
lsquoGassyrsquo ETFs FCG ZJNTO
Primary technical indicators trend and strength relative to the S amp P 500
Index
41
lsquoGassyrsquo Stocks
42
Fundamental Considerations
Natural gas inventories
Rising year-over-year cash flow and earnings estimates ($307 per Mbtu vs
$270)
Weather (Hurricane season)
43
Fundamental Considerations
Natural gas inventories
Websites
Don and Jon Vialoux
httpTimingTheMarketca
httpEquityClockcom
44
Questions
Disclaimer Comments and opinions offered in this
presentation are for information only They should not
be considered as advice to purchase or to sell
mentioned securities They should not be considered
as recommendations made by Don andor Jon Vialoux
45
36
Seasonal Trade Example using Natural Gas lsquoGassyrsquo Stocks
First check seasonality
37
Seasonal Trade Example using Natural Gas lsquoGassyrsquo Stocks
Second check out primary technical indicators
Trend and Relative Strength
38
Seasonal Trade Example using Natural Gas lsquoGassyrsquo Stocks
Second check out secondary technical indicators
Above 20 day moving average Momentum
39
Natural Gas versus lsquoGassyrsquo Stock
40
lsquoGassyrsquo Stocks
US lsquogassyrsquo stock examples XEC COG CXO DVN NFX PXD
Canadian lsquogassyrsquo stock examples VET FRU BNP BIR PSK CR
lsquoGassyrsquo ETFs FCG ZJNTO
Primary technical indicators trend and strength relative to the S amp P 500
Index
41
lsquoGassyrsquo Stocks
42
Fundamental Considerations
Natural gas inventories
Rising year-over-year cash flow and earnings estimates ($307 per Mbtu vs
$270)
Weather (Hurricane season)
43
Fundamental Considerations
Natural gas inventories
Websites
Don and Jon Vialoux
httpTimingTheMarketca
httpEquityClockcom
44
Questions
Disclaimer Comments and opinions offered in this
presentation are for information only They should not
be considered as advice to purchase or to sell
mentioned securities They should not be considered
as recommendations made by Don andor Jon Vialoux
45
37
Seasonal Trade Example using Natural Gas lsquoGassyrsquo Stocks
Second check out primary technical indicators
Trend and Relative Strength
38
Seasonal Trade Example using Natural Gas lsquoGassyrsquo Stocks
Second check out secondary technical indicators
Above 20 day moving average Momentum
39
Natural Gas versus lsquoGassyrsquo Stock
40
lsquoGassyrsquo Stocks
US lsquogassyrsquo stock examples XEC COG CXO DVN NFX PXD
Canadian lsquogassyrsquo stock examples VET FRU BNP BIR PSK CR
lsquoGassyrsquo ETFs FCG ZJNTO
Primary technical indicators trend and strength relative to the S amp P 500
Index
41
lsquoGassyrsquo Stocks
42
Fundamental Considerations
Natural gas inventories
Rising year-over-year cash flow and earnings estimates ($307 per Mbtu vs
$270)
Weather (Hurricane season)
43
Fundamental Considerations
Natural gas inventories
Websites
Don and Jon Vialoux
httpTimingTheMarketca
httpEquityClockcom
44
Questions
Disclaimer Comments and opinions offered in this
presentation are for information only They should not
be considered as advice to purchase or to sell
mentioned securities They should not be considered
as recommendations made by Don andor Jon Vialoux
45
38
Seasonal Trade Example using Natural Gas lsquoGassyrsquo Stocks
Second check out secondary technical indicators
Above 20 day moving average Momentum
39
Natural Gas versus lsquoGassyrsquo Stock
40
lsquoGassyrsquo Stocks
US lsquogassyrsquo stock examples XEC COG CXO DVN NFX PXD
Canadian lsquogassyrsquo stock examples VET FRU BNP BIR PSK CR
lsquoGassyrsquo ETFs FCG ZJNTO
Primary technical indicators trend and strength relative to the S amp P 500
Index
41
lsquoGassyrsquo Stocks
42
Fundamental Considerations
Natural gas inventories
Rising year-over-year cash flow and earnings estimates ($307 per Mbtu vs
$270)
Weather (Hurricane season)
43
Fundamental Considerations
Natural gas inventories
Websites
Don and Jon Vialoux
httpTimingTheMarketca
httpEquityClockcom
44
Questions
Disclaimer Comments and opinions offered in this
presentation are for information only They should not
be considered as advice to purchase or to sell
mentioned securities They should not be considered
as recommendations made by Don andor Jon Vialoux
45
39
Natural Gas versus lsquoGassyrsquo Stock
40
lsquoGassyrsquo Stocks
US lsquogassyrsquo stock examples XEC COG CXO DVN NFX PXD
Canadian lsquogassyrsquo stock examples VET FRU BNP BIR PSK CR
lsquoGassyrsquo ETFs FCG ZJNTO
Primary technical indicators trend and strength relative to the S amp P 500
Index
41
lsquoGassyrsquo Stocks
42
Fundamental Considerations
Natural gas inventories
Rising year-over-year cash flow and earnings estimates ($307 per Mbtu vs
$270)
Weather (Hurricane season)
43
Fundamental Considerations
Natural gas inventories
Websites
Don and Jon Vialoux
httpTimingTheMarketca
httpEquityClockcom
44
Questions
Disclaimer Comments and opinions offered in this
presentation are for information only They should not
be considered as advice to purchase or to sell
mentioned securities They should not be considered
as recommendations made by Don andor Jon Vialoux
45
40
lsquoGassyrsquo Stocks
US lsquogassyrsquo stock examples XEC COG CXO DVN NFX PXD
Canadian lsquogassyrsquo stock examples VET FRU BNP BIR PSK CR
lsquoGassyrsquo ETFs FCG ZJNTO
Primary technical indicators trend and strength relative to the S amp P 500
Index
41
lsquoGassyrsquo Stocks
42
Fundamental Considerations
Natural gas inventories
Rising year-over-year cash flow and earnings estimates ($307 per Mbtu vs
$270)
Weather (Hurricane season)
43
Fundamental Considerations
Natural gas inventories
Websites
Don and Jon Vialoux
httpTimingTheMarketca
httpEquityClockcom
44
Questions
Disclaimer Comments and opinions offered in this
presentation are for information only They should not
be considered as advice to purchase or to sell
mentioned securities They should not be considered
as recommendations made by Don andor Jon Vialoux
45
41
lsquoGassyrsquo Stocks
42
Fundamental Considerations
Natural gas inventories
Rising year-over-year cash flow and earnings estimates ($307 per Mbtu vs
$270)
Weather (Hurricane season)
43
Fundamental Considerations
Natural gas inventories
Websites
Don and Jon Vialoux
httpTimingTheMarketca
httpEquityClockcom
44
Questions
Disclaimer Comments and opinions offered in this
presentation are for information only They should not
be considered as advice to purchase or to sell
mentioned securities They should not be considered
as recommendations made by Don andor Jon Vialoux
45
42
Fundamental Considerations
Natural gas inventories
Rising year-over-year cash flow and earnings estimates ($307 per Mbtu vs
$270)
Weather (Hurricane season)
43
Fundamental Considerations
Natural gas inventories
Websites
Don and Jon Vialoux
httpTimingTheMarketca
httpEquityClockcom
44
Questions
Disclaimer Comments and opinions offered in this
presentation are for information only They should not
be considered as advice to purchase or to sell
mentioned securities They should not be considered
as recommendations made by Don andor Jon Vialoux
45
43
Fundamental Considerations
Natural gas inventories
Websites
Don and Jon Vialoux
httpTimingTheMarketca
httpEquityClockcom
44
Questions
Disclaimer Comments and opinions offered in this
presentation are for information only They should not
be considered as advice to purchase or to sell
mentioned securities They should not be considered
as recommendations made by Don andor Jon Vialoux
45
Websites
Don and Jon Vialoux
httpTimingTheMarketca
httpEquityClockcom
44
Questions
Disclaimer Comments and opinions offered in this
presentation are for information only They should not
be considered as advice to purchase or to sell
mentioned securities They should not be considered
as recommendations made by Don andor Jon Vialoux
45
Questions
Disclaimer Comments and opinions offered in this
presentation are for information only They should not
be considered as advice to purchase or to sell
mentioned securities They should not be considered
as recommendations made by Don andor Jon Vialoux
45