evaluation of several wrf/nmm- cmaq vertical coupling configurations pius lee, jeff mcqueen, marina...

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Evaluation of several WRF/NMM-CMAQ vertical coupling configurations Pius Lee, Jeff McQueen, Marina Tsildulko, Geoff DiMego Sarah Lu and Bert Katz NOAA/NCEP Environmental Modeling Center Rohit Mathur, Hsin-Mu Lin, Daiwen Kang, Tanya Otte, Jon Pleim, George Pouliot, David Wong, Jeff Young, and Ken Schere U.S. EPA/ORD/ASMD and NOAA/OAR/ARL

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Page 1: Evaluation of several WRF/NMM- CMAQ vertical coupling configurations Pius Lee, Jeff McQueen, Marina Tsildulko, Geoff DiMego Sarah Lu and Bert Katz NOAA/NCEP

Evaluation of several WRF/NMM-CMAQ vertical coupling configurations

Pius Lee, Jeff McQueen, Marina Tsildulko, Geoff DiMegoSarah Lu and Bert Katz

NOAA/NCEP Environmental Modeling Center

Rohit Mathur, Hsin-Mu Lin, Daiwen Kang, Tanya Otte, Jon Pleim, George Pouliot, David Wong, Jeff Young, and

Ken Schere

U.S. EPA/ORD/ASMD and NOAA/OAR/ARL

Page 2: Evaluation of several WRF/NMM- CMAQ vertical coupling configurations Pius Lee, Jeff McQueen, Marina Tsildulko, Geoff DiMego Sarah Lu and Bert Katz NOAA/NCEP

WRF/NMM Hybrid Coordinate

ground

Pressure domain

Sigma domain

η1= 1; η2= 0

η1= 1; η2= 1

PT

HYBRID

PDT+PT

η1= 0; η2= 0

Upper-levels Pressure

Lower-levels σ-p

Lin et al, Poster Session 3.1

Page 3: Evaluation of several WRF/NMM- CMAQ vertical coupling configurations Pius Lee, Jeff McQueen, Marina Tsildulko, Geoff DiMego Sarah Lu and Bert Katz NOAA/NCEP

WRF/NMM

T2T1 PPDPDP

T

T2

TT1 PD

PP,

PD

)P(PDP

2

)(1)(1x 21

3

3x

zJ

2313

223113h ΔxΔx

JΔxJΔxJ

ρg

2PDJ1

ρg

2PDJ T

2

’s limited to 0-1

Jacobian across the -p interface

Lin et al, Poster Session 3.1

Page 4: Evaluation of several WRF/NMM- CMAQ vertical coupling configurations Pius Lee, Jeff McQueen, Marina Tsildulko, Geoff DiMego Sarah Lu and Bert Katz NOAA/NCEP

Remarks on the hybrid layer cases • (22L) 22 layers: Choose model layers

aligned close to those used in the current National Air Quality Forecast System (AQFS). 14 lowest layers spanned ~ 2 km

• *(29L) 29 layers: Finer resolution than (a) in lowest 500m; top of PBL; and near tropopause.

• (40L) 40 layers: As fine as the met model for lowest 3.5 km.

*29L result rather similar to that of 22L

Page 5: Evaluation of several WRF/NMM- CMAQ vertical coupling configurations Pius Lee, Jeff McQueen, Marina Tsildulko, Geoff DiMego Sarah Lu and Bert Katz NOAA/NCEP

Hybrid (a) 22L, (b) 29L, and (c) 40L

Page 6: Evaluation of several WRF/NMM- CMAQ vertical coupling configurations Pius Lee, Jeff McQueen, Marina Tsildulko, Geoff DiMego Sarah Lu and Bert Katz NOAA/NCEP

O3 episode (h max) Aug 3rd, 2006

Page 7: Evaluation of several WRF/NMM- CMAQ vertical coupling configurations Pius Lee, Jeff McQueen, Marina Tsildulko, Geoff DiMego Sarah Lu and Bert Katz NOAA/NCEP

22L-40L

40L reduced low bias for regions near Bakersfield

40L reduced highbias for regionsnear mid Long Island

Page 8: Evaluation of several WRF/NMM- CMAQ vertical coupling configurations Pius Lee, Jeff McQueen, Marina Tsildulko, Geoff DiMego Sarah Lu and Bert Katz NOAA/NCEP

Spatial verification for 22L

Page 9: Evaluation of several WRF/NMM- CMAQ vertical coupling configurations Pius Lee, Jeff McQueen, Marina Tsildulko, Geoff DiMego Sarah Lu and Bert Katz NOAA/NCEP

Spatial verification for 40L

Page 10: Evaluation of several WRF/NMM- CMAQ vertical coupling configurations Pius Lee, Jeff McQueen, Marina Tsildulko, Geoff DiMego Sarah Lu and Bert Katz NOAA/NCEP

Spatial verification for 40L

Cross sectionon Central Valley, CA

Cross sectionon Mid Long Island, NY

Page 11: Evaluation of several WRF/NMM- CMAQ vertical coupling configurations Pius Lee, Jeff McQueen, Marina Tsildulko, Geoff DiMego Sarah Lu and Bert Katz NOAA/NCEP

S

S

N

N

W

W

E

E

Bakersfield

1 pm Local

PBL and Kz descriptionswith less interoplation error

O3

Page 12: Evaluation of several WRF/NMM- CMAQ vertical coupling configurations Pius Lee, Jeff McQueen, Marina Tsildulko, Geoff DiMego Sarah Lu and Bert Katz NOAA/NCEP

S

S

N

N

W

W E

E

Bakersfield1 am local

O3

Resolves inversion better, retains more residual O3

Page 13: Evaluation of several WRF/NMM- CMAQ vertical coupling configurations Pius Lee, Jeff McQueen, Marina Tsildulko, Geoff DiMego Sarah Lu and Bert Katz NOAA/NCEP

NOy

S

S

N

N

W

W

E

E

Bakersfield 1 pm Local

Industrial plumefrom south.

Page 14: Evaluation of several WRF/NMM- CMAQ vertical coupling configurations Pius Lee, Jeff McQueen, Marina Tsildulko, Geoff DiMego Sarah Lu and Bert Katz NOAA/NCEP

S

S

N

N W

W

E

E

Bakersfield1 am local

NOy

Lower diffusivityResulted in relativelyun-dispersed plumeheading eastward

Page 15: Evaluation of several WRF/NMM- CMAQ vertical coupling configurations Pius Lee, Jeff McQueen, Marina Tsildulko, Geoff DiMego Sarah Lu and Bert Katz NOAA/NCEP

Formaldehyde

S

S

N

N W

W

E

E

Bakersfield 1 pm Local

A more concentratedplume of VOC and biogenicproduct coming fromSouthwest

Page 16: Evaluation of several WRF/NMM- CMAQ vertical coupling configurations Pius Lee, Jeff McQueen, Marina Tsildulko, Geoff DiMego Sarah Lu and Bert Katz NOAA/NCEP

S

S

N

N W

W

E

E

Bakersfield1 am local

Formaldehyde

Better descriptionof residual andsurface layers

Page 17: Evaluation of several WRF/NMM- CMAQ vertical coupling configurations Pius Lee, Jeff McQueen, Marina Tsildulko, Geoff DiMego Sarah Lu and Bert Katz NOAA/NCEP

CO

S

S

N

N W

W E

E

Bakersfield 1 pm Local

Page 18: Evaluation of several WRF/NMM- CMAQ vertical coupling configurations Pius Lee, Jeff McQueen, Marina Tsildulko, Geoff DiMego Sarah Lu and Bert Katz NOAA/NCEP

S

S

N

N W

W

E

E

Bakersfield1 am local

CO

Better descriptionof inversion, increasedsurface level concentrations

Page 19: Evaluation of several WRF/NMM- CMAQ vertical coupling configurations Pius Lee, Jeff McQueen, Marina Tsildulko, Geoff DiMego Sarah Lu and Bert Katz NOAA/NCEP

O3

S

S

N

N W

W E

E

Mid Long Island4 pm local time

Increased high biasfor an offshorepoint to the southof Long Island

Decrease high biasfor New York City

Page 20: Evaluation of several WRF/NMM- CMAQ vertical coupling configurations Pius Lee, Jeff McQueen, Marina Tsildulko, Geoff DiMego Sarah Lu and Bert Katz NOAA/NCEP

S

S

N

N

W

W

E

E

O3

Mid Long Island4 am local time

Stronger inversionresulted in higherconcentration in residual layer

Page 21: Evaluation of several WRF/NMM- CMAQ vertical coupling configurations Pius Lee, Jeff McQueen, Marina Tsildulko, Geoff DiMego Sarah Lu and Bert Katz NOAA/NCEP

S

S

N

N W

W

E

E

Mid Long Island4 pm local time

NOy

Better description of PBLalso better descriptionof sea breeze return flow

Page 22: Evaluation of several WRF/NMM- CMAQ vertical coupling configurations Pius Lee, Jeff McQueen, Marina Tsildulko, Geoff DiMego Sarah Lu and Bert Katz NOAA/NCEP

S

S

N

N

W

W E

E

Mid Long Island

4 am local time

NOy

Species such as PANwill contribute toelevated surface O3upon sunrise

Page 23: Evaluation of several WRF/NMM- CMAQ vertical coupling configurations Pius Lee, Jeff McQueen, Marina Tsildulko, Geoff DiMego Sarah Lu and Bert Katz NOAA/NCEP

S

S

N

N

W

W

E

E

Mid Long Island4 pm local time

Formaldehyde

Reduction of high biasnear New York Cityfor VOC and biogenicphotochemical products

Page 24: Evaluation of several WRF/NMM- CMAQ vertical coupling configurations Pius Lee, Jeff McQueen, Marina Tsildulko, Geoff DiMego Sarah Lu and Bert Katz NOAA/NCEP

S

S

N

N

W

W E

E

Mid Long Island4 am local time

Formaldehyde

Maintains a less dispersedplume of sea breeze return flow

Page 25: Evaluation of several WRF/NMM- CMAQ vertical coupling configurations Pius Lee, Jeff McQueen, Marina Tsildulko, Geoff DiMego Sarah Lu and Bert Katz NOAA/NCEP

Summary

Three resolutions of a lower-levels σ-p terrain following and upper-levels pressure hybrid vertical co-ordinate systems have been tested: (a) 22L, (b) 29L, and ( c) 40L

40L is superior in two challenging localities: (1) Central Valley, CA:

Perennial inversion; andSubsidence due to orographic and channel flows

(2) Long Island, NY:Surrounding complex terrain and land-sea breezes

Future work: Derivation of an Optimal vertical structure

•σ

Page 26: Evaluation of several WRF/NMM- CMAQ vertical coupling configurations Pius Lee, Jeff McQueen, Marina Tsildulko, Geoff DiMego Sarah Lu and Bert Katz NOAA/NCEP

22L-29L

Page 27: Evaluation of several WRF/NMM- CMAQ vertical coupling configurations Pius Lee, Jeff McQueen, Marina Tsildulko, Geoff DiMego Sarah Lu and Bert Katz NOAA/NCEP

29L-40L

Page 28: Evaluation of several WRF/NMM- CMAQ vertical coupling configurations Pius Lee, Jeff McQueen, Marina Tsildulko, Geoff DiMego Sarah Lu and Bert Katz NOAA/NCEP

Spatial verification for 29L

Page 29: Evaluation of several WRF/NMM- CMAQ vertical coupling configurations Pius Lee, Jeff McQueen, Marina Tsildulko, Geoff DiMego Sarah Lu and Bert Katz NOAA/NCEP

Definition based on a scatter plot

a b

c d

Page 30: Evaluation of several WRF/NMM- CMAQ vertical coupling configurations Pius Lee, Jeff McQueen, Marina Tsildulko, Geoff DiMego Sarah Lu and Bert Katz NOAA/NCEP

Definitions of measures

Page 31: Evaluation of several WRF/NMM- CMAQ vertical coupling configurations Pius Lee, Jeff McQueen, Marina Tsildulko, Geoff DiMego Sarah Lu and Bert Katz NOAA/NCEP

Categorical Statistics over 8/2-4, 2006

FC B FAR POD CSI a b c d

22L

98.48 2.04 54.39 18.39 8.76 5.3 2.7 1075.7 11.3

29L

98.36 1.66 77.78 10.86 7.96 6.7 2.7 1074.3 11.3

40L

98.27 2.08 81.74 11.94 8.18 8 3 1073 11

Page 32: Evaluation of several WRF/NMM- CMAQ vertical coupling configurations Pius Lee, Jeff McQueen, Marina Tsildulko, Geoff DiMego Sarah Lu and Bert Katz NOAA/NCEP

S

S N

N

W

W E

E

Mid Long Island4 pm local time

Surface SOx

Page 33: Evaluation of several WRF/NMM- CMAQ vertical coupling configurations Pius Lee, Jeff McQueen, Marina Tsildulko, Geoff DiMego Sarah Lu and Bert Katz NOAA/NCEP

S

S N

N W

W

E

E

Mid Long Island4 am local time

Surface SOx

Page 34: Evaluation of several WRF/NMM- CMAQ vertical coupling configurations Pius Lee, Jeff McQueen, Marina Tsildulko, Geoff DiMego Sarah Lu and Bert Katz NOAA/NCEP

S

S N

N W

W E

E

Mid Long Island

4 pm local time

Surface CO

Page 35: Evaluation of several WRF/NMM- CMAQ vertical coupling configurations Pius Lee, Jeff McQueen, Marina Tsildulko, Geoff DiMego Sarah Lu and Bert Katz NOAA/NCEP