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WELCOME to the webinar
“Evaluation of Climate Change
Interventions for Excluded
Populations.” 11 June 2012
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Series of 17 live webinars on
“Equity-focused Evaluations” Interact live with 28 world-level evaluators
This series of webinars addresses the challenges and
opportunities in evaluating the effects of policies, programmes
and projects to enhance equitable development results, with a
special focus on the effects to the most excluded, marginalized
and deprived groups.
Colin KIRK
Penny HAWKINS
Evaluation to accelerate progress towards
equitable development
6 September 2011
9:30 AM NY time
Belen SANZ
Flaminia MINELLI
Human rights and Gender equality in evaluations
21 September 2011
9:30 AM NY time
Marco SEGONE
Michael BAMBERGER
How to design, implement and use equity-
oriented evaluations
4 October 2011
11:30 AM NY time
Saville KUSHNER
Case study evaluation as an intervention for
promoting equity
11 October 2011
9:30 AM NY time
Bob WILLIAMS
Martin REYNOLDS
Systems approach (CSH) to address ethical
issues
14 November 2011
3:00 PM NY time
Patricia ROGERS
Richard HUMMELBRUNNER
Program theories and LogFrames to evaluate
pro-poor and equity programs
22 November 2011
4:00 PM NY time
Michael Quinn PATTON
Developmental Evaluation
6 December 2011
11:30 AM NY time
Webinars on Equity-focused Evaluation 2011
Webinars on Equity-focused Evaluation 2012
Donna MERTENS
Methodological guidance in evaluation for Social
Justice
24 January 2012
9:30 AM NY time
Jennifer GREENE
Values-Engaged Evaluation
15 February 2012
1:00 PM NY time
Michael Quinn PATTON
How to evaluate interventions in complex
dynamic environments?
28 February 2012
11:30 AM NY time
Rodney HOPSON
Katrina BLEDSOE
Cultural Responsiveness in Applied Research
and Evaluation Settings
15 March 2012
2:00 PM NY time
Juha UITTO
Oscar A. GARCIA
Evaluating equity-focused public policies. The
case of Brazil and Mexico
27 March 2012
9:30 AM NY time
Katherine HAY
Ratna SUDARSHAN
Strengthening Equity-focused evaluations
through insights from feminist theory and
approaches
15 May 2012
8:30 AM Delhi (India) time
10:00 AM Bangkok (Thailand) time
11:00 AM Manila (Philippines) time
Julian BARR
Robbie GREGOROWSKI
Evaluation of climate change interventions for
excluded populations
11 June 2012
1:00 PM NY time
Sulley GARIBA
Evaluation of pro-poor urban interventions
28 June 2012
1:00 PM NY time
Guy THIJS
Francisco GUZMAN
Evaluation of the ILO’s strategy to eliminate
discrimination in employment and occupation
To be announced.
Webinars on Equity-focused Evaluation 2012
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Keynote Speakers
Julian Barr, International Trade & Development (ITAD)
“Evaluation of climate change interventions for excluded populations”
Robbie Gregorowski, International Trade & Development (ITAD)
Agenda 1:00 – 1:05 PM Welcome and introduction
Marco Segone, Systemic Management,
UNICEF Evaluation Office
1:05 – 1:20 Julian Barr, International Trade & Development (ITAD)
1:20 – 1:35 Robbie Gregorowski, International Trade & Development (ITAD)
1:35 – 1:55 Questions and Answers
Moderator: Stewart Donaldson, Dean & Chair of Psychology
School of Behavioral & Organizational Sciences,
Claremont Graduate University
1:55 – 2:00 Wrap-up: Penny Hawkins, Evaluation Office,
The Rockefeller Foundation
Evaluation of climate
change interventions for
excluded populations
Julian Barr and Robbie Gregorowski
International Trade & Development (ITAD)
Outline
• The nature of climate change interventions
• Excluded populations
• Climate change evaluation challenges
• Climate change evaluation frameworks
• Addressing the challenges
Climate Change (CC)
The nature of CC interventions
• IPCC identifies two main responses to CC change: mitigation and adaptation
• Adaptation shares common ground with Disaster Risk Reduction (DRR) • Sudden onset climate-related events (floods, cyclones, etc)
• But note, slow onset climate-related events (sea-level rise, changing rain-fall patterns)
• Now major focus on Climate Change Resilience
• Our main focus: adaptation and resilience
Categories of Adaptation Type of Adaptation Type of Action Example
Addressing the
adaptation deficit
Coping / resilience
building
Livelihood diversification;
crop insurance; DRR early
warning systems
Adapting to
incremental changes
Climate proofing Improved drainage
systems; adapting cropping
systems (short seasons)
Adapting to qualitative
changes
Transformational
change
Resettlement;
transformation of
agricultural systems
Brooks et al, 2011. IIED
Excluded populations
• In CC terms, excluded populations seen as those most
vulnerable to climate-related shocks and stresses
• i.e “susceptible to, or unable to cope with, adverse effects of
climate change”
low adaptive capacity
• Adaptive capacity: function of both individual & societal
capacity
• household resources + institutions & policy
• Climate vulnerability and poverty closely linked
• also gender, age, ethnic minority dimensions
• drivers of CC vulnerability not all climate-related
Climate
change,
Vulnerability,
& Poverty
Change in length
of cropping
season, 2000 -
2050.
ILRI, 2002
Evaluating what? Climate change adaptation frameworks
Two main aspects:
Result Indicator
1. Capacity of govt &
institutions to understand
CC & integrate Adaptation
into decision making
Existence of policy & other
mechanisms that promote
knowledge & action on CC
2. Climate change
adaptation keeps
development ‘on track’
- Adaptive capacity
- Development outcomes
Adaptation: evaluation challenges
1. Timescale disconnects: • Adaption: project timescale
• Climate change: longer timescale (slow onset risks)
2. Declining baseline: • Climate is changing: measuring development success against a
worsening situation; normalise for vulnerability
3. Uncertainty: • climate scenarios still highly uncertain at local, national and
regional levels.
4. Unintended consequences: • Maladaptation
5. Focus of CCA on coping strategies and climate proofing (short sighted)
Addressing the challenges:
three approaches to evaluating CCA
UNDP:
• Proposed Framework for Monitoring Adaptation to Climate
Change. Draft. (2008)
Strengthening Climate Resilience (SCR)
consortium:
• Learning to ADAPT: monitoring and evaluation approaches
in climate change adaptation and DRR. Silva Villaneuva
(2011)
IIED:
• Tracking adaptation and measuring development. Brooks et al
(2011).
UNDP
SCR consortium: ADAPT framework
An integrated set of outcome and process based indicators that
consider environmental, disaster, climate change and developmental
domains of decision-making
ADAPT approach
• Framework of questions and indicators
• Learning approach
• Employs constant monitoring to allow flexibility
and enhance capacities to deal with uncertainty
IIED: Adaptation measurement
In practice: Rockefeller ACCCRN
www.acccrn.org
Linking the streams
Indicators of
Adaptive Capacity:
society, communities,
households, individuals
Indicators of adaptive capacity Main characteristics which enhance adaptive capacity
identified as: • Promoting diversity
• Creating flexible effective institutions
• Accepting non-equilibrium (?)
• Adopting multi-level perspectives
• Integrating uncertainty
• Ensuring community involvement
• Promoting learning
• Advocating for equity
• Recognizing the importance of social values and structures
• Working towards preparedness, planning and readiness
Adapted from GEF: Tracking Progress for Effective Action - A Framework for Monitoring and Evaluating Adaptation to Climate Change. Sanahuja (2011)
Evaluation lessons All 3 approaches broadly focus on:
• combining top down and bottom up approaches
• link: integrating CC into policy/institutions actions at
the households/community level
Evaluation should not separate the two streams
• Top: policy environment
• Bottom: development outcomes
• Missing middle: assessing the adaptive capacity / behavior
of people and society
• adaptive capacity encompasses knowledge, attitudes and
practices (KAP) at a number of levels
Further evaluation challenges
M&E frameworks for CC still in infancy.
Needs: • approaches to satisfactorily join upstream and downstream
• to develop and test indicators of adaptive capacity at different levels and for different groups to fill the missing middle
• develop methods for assessing the relationship between adaptation and equity (zero-sum games)
• explore existing indicator frameworks, such as the Sustainable Livelihoods Framework, to clarify relationships between determinants of adaptive capacity along the results chain
• establish mechanisms for M&E to empower excluded populations by feeding-back between the upstream and downstream tracks, as part of increasing climate accountability and transparency
Questions and Answers
Stewart Donaldson, Dean & Chair of Psychology
School of Behavioral & Organizational Sciences,
Claremont Graduate University
MODERATOR
Audience Questions
Wrap-up
Penny Hawkins, Rockefeller Foundation Evaluation
Office, is the former Head of Evaluation for the New
Zealand Aid Program, Ministry of Foreign Affairs and
Trade and Vice-Chair of the OECD-DAC Network on
Development Evaluation. She is a past President of the
Australasian Evaluation Society, a founding board
member of the International Organization for Cooperation
in Evaluation (IOCE) and an IPDET (International
Program for Development Evaluation Training) faculty
member.
Next webinar, 28 June 2012,
1:00PM New York time
Sulley Gariba, Institute for Policy Alternatives (IPA), Ghana
“Evaluation of pro-poor urban interventions”
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