Jason Cates

Europe in Crises, Is Nationalism the Solution?

2012

Jason Cates

1. My Perspective2. European Crises3. Pan-nationalism4. German Control5. British Isolation6. Europe’s Future7. Is Nationalism the Answer

Contents

2012

Jason Cates

Born in the UK

Pro-European

More European than British

Relate to the mentalities of◦ Sweden - View on Life◦ Netherlands - Liberal Values◦ Germany - Prudence◦ United Kingdom – Liberal Economics

My Perspective

2012

Jason Cates

European Crises

(The New York Times, 2011a) 2012

Jason Cates

European Crises

(The New York Times, 2011b) 2012

Jason Cates(The Economist, 2011)

How Long Do We Have?

2012

Jason Cates

Political pan-nationalism has been aspired to since the Middle Ages

Shift to cultural pan-nationalism after WW2

Growth of Nationalist far-right groups such as the French National Front◦ Growing Eurosceptisism and segregation in an

uncertain world

Pan-NationalismDid it ever exist?

2012

Jason Cates

Fiscal Union◦ Impose German Style budget discipline◦ Allow the EU to veto national budgets

Does not favour Eurobonds◦ German taxpayer backing the debts of the south

Merkel vetoed most of the suggestions made by France, Spain and Italy

German Nationalism - Control

(BBC, 2011a)

2012

Jason Cates

UK and Czechs refused to join fiscal compact

Concern that London will be hit harder by increasing financial regulation

Financial Transaction Tax◦ 80% of EU total will be paid by the UK

Agree with Budget discipline, but fear European and German control

Calling for a greater liberalisation of markets aimed at boosting growth

British Nationalism - Isolation

(BBC, 2012) 2012

Jason Cates

Schengen Accord◦ France wants reform or it will leave ◦ Due to the rise in African immigration through Italy

Eurozone◦ Currently in turmoil, large debts & no growth

German Style budget discipline rules in 1997◦ Broken first by Germany and France in early 2000’s◦ Germany broke the rules 4 times in 9 years◦ France broke the rules 3 times

Nationalism has served it well!

(BBC, 2011a) (BBC, 2011b)(BBC, 2011c) (BBC, 2011e)

2012

Jason Cates

Europe’s Future - A Two Tier Europe

2012

Jason Cates

Europe’s Future - A Two Tier Europe

Multispeed Europe

EU countries integrated in all areas (blue)

EU countries with exceptions (green)

Non-EU countries integrated in theSingle Market and Schengen (green-yellow)

2012

Jason Cates

The 17 Eurozone countries led by Germany driving decision-making

With the 10 euro "outs" not even in the room◦ UK, Sweden, Denmark, Bulgaria, Poland, Hungary,

Romania, Czech Republic, Lithuania & Latvia

“Fear the euro 17 could decide on issues affecting the 27 such as banking, resource allocation and the EU budget”

Europe’s Future - A Two Tier Europe

(BBC, 2011d)

2012

Jason Cates

Unity in Diversity◦ What makes Europe unique

Balanced nationalism:◦ Balanced, open and honest

Cultural pan-nationalism will develop over time

Is Nationalism the answer?

Si tu veux, tu peux

If you want, you can

2012

Jason Cates

The EndThank You For Your

TimeAre There Any

Questions

2012

Jason Cates

BBC (2011a) What is Germany's vision for Europe? Available at: http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-16030374 [Accessed: 7th March 2012]

BBC (2012) Cameron urges France and Germany to join EU growth ‘drive’ Available at: http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politics-17116475 [Accessed: 7th March 2012]

BBC (2011b) France seeks change to Schengen border agreement Available at: http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-europe-13171403 [Accessed: 7th March 2012]

BBC (2011c) What really caused the Eurozone crisis? Available at: http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-16290598 [Accessed: 7th March 2012]

BBC (2011d) Analysis: An EU of two tiers after Eurozone debt crisis Available at: http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-europe-15494429 [Accessed: 7th March 2012]

BBC (2011e) Sarkozy threatens to withdraw from Schengen accord Available at: http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-17332458 [Accessed: 12th March 2012]

The Economist (2011) Strong core, pain on the periphery Available at: http://www.economist.com/blogs/dailychart/2011/02/europes_economies [Accessed: 17th January, 2011]

The New York Times (2011a) 2010 Debt as a percentage of G.D.P Available at: http://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2010/04/06/business/global/european-debt-map.html [Accessed: 17th January, 2011]

The New York Times (2011B) Debt Rising in Europe Available at: http://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2010/04/06/business/global/european-debt-map.html [Accessed: 17th January, 2011]

References

2012