eugm 2012 unknown - incivex drug development process overview road to finding a cure for hcv...
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An Overview of the Incivex Drug Development Process: The Road to Finding a Cure for HCV Genotype 1
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©2012 Vertex Pharmaceuticals Incorporated
Abdul J Sankoh, PhD,
Vertex Pharmaceuticals, Biostatistics Department
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OPresentation Outline
• The Hepatitis C Virus• The Hepatitis C Virus – Global Distribution of Different Genotype and subtypes– Complications from HCV
• Incivek Development and Regulatory Milestones
• Phase 3 development plan:– Paradigm Shift in the Treatment of HCVg– ADVANCE STUDY (adaptive) Design– ILLUMINATE STUDY (adaptive) Design
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C ( C )What is Hepatitis C Virus (HCV)?
i Hepatitis C is an infectious disease affectingi Hepatitis C is an infectious disease affecting primarily the liver, caused by the hepatitis C virus (HCV).
– A small (55–65 nm in size), enveloped, positive-sense single-stranded Ribonucleic acid (RNA) virus of the f il Fl i i idfamily Flaviviridae: :
– HCV is spread primarily by blood-to-blood contact associated with intravenous drug use, poorly
sterilized medical equipment and transfusion.
3– Hepatitis C only infects humans and chimpanzees.
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Th H titi C ViThe Hepatitis C Virus
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Global Geographic Distribution of HCV Genotypes and SubtypesGenotypes and Subtypes
6 major Genotypes
Zein N N Clin. Microbiol. Rev. 2000;13:223-235
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Hepatitis C Is a Global Disease• ~ 170 million people currently infectedp p y• 3 to 4 million people newly infected annually• 75% of cases in US are Genotype 1
World Health Organization (WHO) website: http://www.who.int/vaccine_research/diseases/viral_cancers/en/print.html Reprinted from Alter MJ, et al. World J Gastroenterol. 2007;13:2436-2441.
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In the US, Prevalence of HCV Higher Than HIV or HBV
Number of infected individuals vsNumber of infected individuals vs number aware they are infected (diagnosed)
Undiagnosed2.7-3.9 million infected
75% undiagnosed
ecte
d
4
3
Undiagnosed
Diagnosed
1.4 million infected65% undiagnosed
1.1 million infected21% undiagnosedum
ber i
nfe
mill
ions
)
3
2
65% undiagnosed21% undiagnosed
Tota
l nu (
1
0
Institute of Medicine. Hepatitis and Liver Cancer: A National Strategy for Prevention and Control of Hepatitis B and C. Washington, DC: The National Academic Press; 2010
HCVHBVHIV
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Natural History of HCV Infection
Acute HCVAcute�HCV
Resolved25%�í 30%
Chronic�Hepatitis�C�70%�í 75%�
20 yrsCirrhosis
10% í 20%�
20 yrs
Hepatocellular�carcinoma(1% í 4%/yr)( /y )Liver�failure
Santantonio T et al, J Hepatology. 2008;49:625-33.NIH Consensus Conference Statement, June 2002.John-Baptiste A et al, J Hepatology. 2010;53:245-51.Seeff LB, Liver International. 2009;29(suppl 1):89-99.
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What Do Patients With HCV Cirrhosis Face?
bDecreased�quality�of�lifea,b• Fatigue��������• Weight�loss• Depression
Complicationsc
• GI�bleeding�(varices,�gastropathy)• Ascites• Bacterial infectionsDepression
• Muscle�wasting• Impaired�cognition
Bacterial�infections• Encephalopathy
í OvertíMinimal
H ll l i• Hepatocellular�carcinomaLiver�Transplantation
• Hepatitis�C�is�most�frequent�indicationd Deathindication• 30%�develop�cirrhosis�5Ͳ7�yrs�postͲtransplante
Death• ~�12,000�deaths/yr�(based�on�death�certificate�documentation)f
• Likely�an�underͲrepresentationg
a Bonkovsky HL, et al. J Hepatol. 2007;46:420-431. b Bonkovsky HL and Woolley JM. Hepatology. 1999;29:264-70. c Planas R, et al. J Hepatol. 2004;40:823-30. d Berg CL, et al. Am J Transplant. 2009;9:907-931. e Berenguer M. Clin Liver Dis. 2007;11:355-376. f Everhart JE, et al. Gastroenterology. 2009;136:1134-1144. g Wise M, et al. Hepatology. 2008;47:1128-1135.
CI-10Time of HCV Acquisition in Patients with
Different HCV Genotypes.yp
Zein N N Clin. Microbiol. Rev. 2000;13:223-235
CI-11Mean Time (years) Between Exposure to HCV and Diagnosis of HCV-Related Complications
Zein N N Clin. Microbiol. Rev. 2000;13:223-235
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Incivek� Key Development & Regulatory Milestonesy p g y
2011 Key developmentPriority review
Approval & Launch
2010
Key developmentmilestonesa
CMC pre-NDA meetingClinical pre-NDA meetingNDA rolling
submission
2008
2009
Study 108 (ADVANCE)
Study 111 (ILLUMINATE)Study C216 (REALIZE) Phase 3
Clinical advice meeting
2007
2008
Study 106 (PROVE-3)
Study 104EU (PROVE-2)
Study 107
Phase 2
Clinical advice meeting
2005
2006Study 103Study 102
Phase 1
Study 104 (PROVE-1)Study 104EU (PROVE 2)
Key regulatorymilestones
2004
2005
a Dates refer to first patient enrolled.
Study 101 Phase 1milestones
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State of HCV Treatment Prior to Incivek Approval• Goal = Sustained Viral Response (SVR)p ( )
– Considered virologic cure• Peg-IFN/RBV standard of care for HCV
– SVR for Genotype 1 naive• 40% í 52% of patients achieve SVRa-f
• Duration of therapy 48 weeksa-fDuration of therapy 48 weeks• Low success rates with retreatment in
nonresponders and relapsers (10% í 25%)g-i
• Peg-IFN/RBV has known toxicitiesa-i
• Rationale for response-guided therapy with potential to shorten therapypotential to shorten therapy
a Pegasys [package insert]. Nutley, NJ: Hoffmann-La Roche Inc.; 2011. b Copegus [package insert]. Nutley, NJ: Hoffmann-La Roche Inc.; 2010. c Hadziyannis SJ, et al. Ann Intern Med. 2004;140:346-355. d Fried MW, et al. NEJM. 2002;347:975-982. e Manns MP, et al. Lancet. 2001;358:958-965. f McHutchinson JG, et al. NEJM. 2009;361:58-593. g Bacon BR, et al. Hepatology. 2009;49:1838-1846. h Jensen DM, et al. Ann Intern Med. 2009;150:528-540. i Poynard T, et al. Gastroenterology. 2009;136:1618-1628.
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Common Factors That May Lead to Lower SVR with Peg-IFN/RBV
• Genotype 1Genotype 1• High HCV RNA levels• Cirrhosis/bridging fibrosisCirrhosis/bridging fibrosis• Age � 40 years• Heavy body weight• Heavy body weight• Insulin resistance• African American and Latino ethnicity• African American and Latino ethnicity• Genetic polymorphisms (IL28B)
HIV i f ti• HIV coinfection
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Telaprevir—A Paradigm Shift in the T t t f HCVTreatment of HCV
Easing Patient Treatment Burden!Easing Patient Treatment Burden!
Abbreviations: AE, adverse event; SVR, sustained virologic response.
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Original Phase 3 Development Program Proposal
• Given strength of Phase 2 data fromGiven strength of Phase 2 data from– Prove1 (Naïve)
P 2 (N ï )– Prove 2 (Naïve)– Prove 3 (Nonresponders)
• Conduct – 1 Phase 3 Naïve Patient Study (ADVANCE)– 1 Phase 3 Treatment Experience Study
(REALIZE)
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ADVANCE Study Designy gStudy- Naïve Treatment- Late Phase
Wk Wk Wk Wk WkWk
Follow up
8 12 24 48 72
SVReRVR+ Follo p
4
Follow-upSVR
Follow-upn = 364 T8/PR Pbo/
PR PR eRVRí:PR to Wk 48
eRVR+: Follow-up
Follow-upSVR
Follow upn = 363 T12/PR PR eRVRí:
SVReRVR+: Follow-up
Follow-up
SVR
eRVR :PR to Wk 48
Follow-upSVR
n = 361 Pbo/PR PR
eRVR = extended Rapid Viral Response; PR= Standard of Care
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FDA & Physicians Want to Know
• Clinically whether some subjects mightClinically, whether some subjects might benefit from additional exposure to SOC
• Statistically, whether 24-week treatment is not inferior to 48-week treatment
• Basically,Basically,– A study comparing 24-week to 48-week
treatment (eRVR+)( )– Thus the ILLUMINATE STUDY
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SVR Rates by eRVR StatusADVANCE Study 108—Treatment-Naive
T12/PR100 97
ctab
le
T12/PRT8/PRPbo/PR
708090
9287
h un
dete
cR
NA
, %
506070
6052
42
tient
s w
ithH
CV
203040
42
Pat
24-week regimen0
1020
195/212 179/207 90/151 82/157
48-week regimen
28/29 139/332
RVR RVR24-week regimen
eRVR+
48-week regimen
eRVRí
eRVR+ eRVRí
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ILLUMINATE Study Designy gStudy 111—Treatment-Naive
Wk
Randomized Wk48
Wk72
Wk24
n = 540 T12/PR PR
Wk12
20 Wk24
Follow-up for SVR
eRVR+PR to Wk 48 Follow-up for SVR
n 540 T12/PR PR
D/CbeforeWk 20
eRVRí PR to Wk 48 Follow-up for SVR
Follow-up for SVRWk 20
CI-21Study Design Rationale and Key Statistical Objecivesy jStudy 111—Treatment-Naive
• Evaluate differences in SVR rates betweenEvaluate differences in SVR rates between 24- and 48-week telaprevir-based regimens in patients who achieved eRVR– Rule out inferiority of 24-week to 48-week
regimen– Non-inferiority margin of 10.5% (from Ph2
data)
CI-22Study Objective:T (T12+C24) not inferior to C (T12+C48)T (T12 C24) not inferior to C (T12 C48)
� FDA’s review comments on SAP with FixedFDA s review comments on SAP with Fixed Margin Approach proposal:
� A Must also demonstrate sum of differencesMust also demonstrate sum of differences� A. Must also demonstrate sum of differencesMust also demonstrate sum of differences� 1: T-C (from ILLUMINATE non-inferiority study)
+� 2: C-P (from historical study- PROVE 1)
� i.e., 1 + 2 = (T-C)+(C-P)=T-P> 0 (statistically)
��B. Even after inclusion of term for interB. Even after inclusion of term for inter--trialtrial variability in estimate of variance of abovevariability in estimate of variance of above
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sumsum..C= PR= standard of care; T= TVR
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Proposed Synthesis ApproachProposed Synthesis Approach
i Question:i Is T>P (test drug effective-assay sensitivity)? – Answered via cross-trial information
(inference)• Estimate effect of C relative to P from
hi t i l t di f C d P i thistorical studies of C and P using meta-analysis (fixed/random effects)
• Show (T-C) +(C-P) > 0 with 95% confidence• Show (T-C) +(C-P) > 0 with 95% confidence(A) + (B)
iAlso address retention fraction of C-effect Connects historical and NI study data for indirect inference: T vs P
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Connects historical and NI study data for indirect inference: T vs P
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Synthesis Approach for Estimating Test Drug y pp g gEffect
i Using historical data from R, DB, A & WCi Using historical data from R, DB, A & WC trials (via meta-analyses- fixed or random effects) to address assay sensitivity (T vs. P) and constancy of control effect (C vs. P):
i Want ¡ T vs. C: Non-inferiority of T to C (Illuminate)¡ C vs. P:Control effect (C better than P)- Prove 1¡¡ T vs. P:T vs. P: Test effect (T better than P) Test effect (T better than P) –– CrossCross--TrialTrial
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SVR Rates Study 111—Treatment-Naive
2 0% difference
100 92 90
2.0% difference2-sided 95% CI (–4.3%, +8.2%)
60
80
SVR
, %
40
60
ents
with
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149/162 144/160
Patie
0eRVR+
T12/PR24eRVR+
T12/PR48
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Trial Outcome & Imputing Test Drug effect:Trial Outcome & Imputing Test Drug effect:(Sum of Differences- Review Comment A)
i A. From Active-control trial (ILLUMINATE):T (ß ) C (ß ) ß =ß ß (T C difference)– T (ßT) C (ßC) ßTC=ßT-ßC (T-C difference)91.98% 87.50% 4.48%
B From historical trial (Phase 2 Study PROVE 1):i B. From historical trial (Phase 2 Study- PROVE 1):– C0 (ßC) P0 (ßP) ßCP=ßC-ßP(C-P difference)
67.09% 41.33% 25.76%
i 3. Imputing placebo response in active-control trial & demonstrating T effect– That is, estimation of ßTP & 95% CI on ßTP:, TP TP
• A + B = ßTC+ ßCP (T-P difference)# 30.23%; (13.64%, 46.82%)
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; ( , )LL> 0
• FDA DAID ACM for INCIVEK, April 28, 2011.
CI-27Simulation Algorithm to Demonstrate
Superiority of Test Drug (T) to Placebo (C)
i Generate random sample from Binomial distribution p
i Active-control: B(PT; 162); PT = 0.92; 0.93; 0.87
from this sample, estimate PT
B(PC; 160); PC = 0.88; 0.95; 0.88From this sample, estimate PC
i Historical: B(PC_0; 79); PC_0 = 0.67From this sample, estimate PC_0
B(P ; 75); P = 0 41B(P0; 75); P0 = 0.41From this sample, estimate P0
i Based on these sample estimates, left side of
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i (PT-PC) + (PC_0 - P0) > 0 • Repeat above steps M times (say M=10,000) to obtain GI’s (i=1, 2, … M);
Gi form a distribution from which (1) can be evaluated.
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Absolute Difference (%) of Test vs. Active Control- Addressing Variability
Test vs.Active Control Method
AbsoluteDifference (%)
T=92.0%,C=88.0%
T=93.0%,C=95.0%
MC BinomialMC Beta-Binomial
MC Binomial
3.87 3.98
-1.76
,
T=87.0%,C=88.0%
MC Beta-Binomial
MC BinomialMC Beta Binomial
-2.19
-1.091 06
MC Beta-Binomial -1.06
-14 -10.5 -6 -2 0 2 6 10 14
28Beta Binomial to address Variability comment