eu market situation for poultry common€¦ · exports of poultry meat to selected destinations eu...

EU Market Situationfor

Poultry

Committee for theCommon

Organisation of theAgricultural Markets

24 January 2019

EU market situation for Poultry 24 January 2019

F O R E C A S T

2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019

%

2018/

2017

%

2019/

2018

12 945 13 035 13 220 13 367 13 797 14 325 15 458 15 169 15 607 15 958 + 2.9% + 2.2%

9 876 9 932 10 173 10 445 10 729 11 295 12 403 12 545 12 874 13 220 + 2.6% + 2.7%

1 976 1 878 1 967 1 935 1 964 1 967 2 154 2 057 2 104 2 109 + 2.3% + 0.2%

481 500 500 485 512 503 507 469 520 520 + 10.8% - 0.0%

329 328 281 260 246 243 228 209 190 180 - 9.1% - 5.2%

Total Poultry

Broiler

Turkey

Duck

Total Rabbit

0

2 000

4 000

6 000

8 000

10 000

12 000

14 000

16 000

18 000

2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019

Tho

usa

nd

To

ns

Experts EU production forecast on Poultry and Rabbit

Total Poultry Broiler Turkey Duck Total Rabbit

Missing or incomplete data for EL CY LT RO

No expert for BG EE LV MT SK


P R O D U C T I O N

12.3

%

11

.4%

10.4

%

9.1%

6.6%

6.1%

5.5

%

5.1

%

4.5%

4.2%

3.6

%

3.5%

2.5

%

2.1

%

1.6%

1.6

%

1.5%

1.5%

1.1%

1.0%

1.0%

0.5%

-1.6

%

-2.2

%

-3.3

%

-3.9

%

4.2%

-15%

-10%

-5%

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

BG RO HU PL SK FR ES DE FI MT CZ EL IE PT HR UK DK AT SI CY BE NL LT LV SE IT EU

Change in Poultry Meat Production in % 2018/2017 (up to October)

Source: Eurostat

Estimated data for SE and IT in October 2018


P R O D U C T I O N NEW PARAMETERS

0

100 000

200 000

300 000

400 000

500 000

600 000

700 000

Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec

Chicks hatched for fattening(1 000 pieces) 2016 2017 2018


P R O D U C T I O N NEW PARAMETERS

0

100 000

200 000

300 000

400 000

500 000

600 000

700 000

800 000

900 000

1 000 000

1 100 000

Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec

Production forecast of broiler(In tonnes) 2016 2017 2018


P R I C E S P

ric

es

- 0.6% + 0.4% - 0.4%

EUW E E K P R I C E S 2

last WEEK last MONTH last YEAR

BROILER

€/100 kg carcase weight

183.08

€ / 1

00 kg

E V O L U T I O N S I N C E


P R I C E S E U E V O L U T I O N

B R O I L E R

165

175

185

195

205

EU

R /

100k

g

Evolution of the weekly EU average price for Broiler

Avg. 2014-18 2017 2018 2019

Latest price ==> 183.08 EUR/100 kg

Evolution compared same period last year (Week 2) : - 0.4%

Source: MSs notifications (Commission Implementing Regulation (EC) 2017/1185)


P R I C E S E U E V O L U T I O N

B R O I L E R

50

70

90

110

130

150

170

190

210

230

In E

UR

/100

kg

Broiler prices in EU, USA and Brazil

EU US BR

Sources : EU = weighted average of MS prices - Broiler 65%

US = weekly USDA prices - Fresh chicken grade A ,ChicagoBR = average of prices in main producing states - (Aveworld.com.br)

183.08 199.28 89.29

Imports of poultry meat from selected origins


E U I M P O R T ST R A D E

Compared

tonnes % tonnes % tonnes % tonnes % tonnes % to Jan-Nov 17

Thailand 251 185 29.7% 274 524 31.4% 290 602 32.2% 265 927 32.9% 285 887 37.9% + 16%

Brazil 507 355 60.0% 501 328 57.3% 504 814 55.9% 401 598 49.7% 280 191 37.2% - 26%

Ukraine 19 958 2.4% 42 513 4.9% 48 103 5.3% 80 128 9.9% 114 919 15.3% + 54%

Chile 25 815 3.1% 22 232 2.5% 28 809 3.2% 24 972 3.1% 35 302 4.7% + 60%

China 19 761 2.3% 18 384 2.1% 16 951 1.9% 19 107 2.4% 22 480 3.0% + 30%

Argentina 10 996 1.3% 8 529 1.0% 6 491 0.7% 6 297 0.8% 7 049 0.9% + 22%

Switzerland 4 307 0.5% 2 424 0.3% 2 548 0.3% 2 736 0.3% 2 791 0.4% + 9%

Turkey 16 0.0% 441 0.0% 149 0.0% 1 481 0.2% +++

Others 6 351 0.8% 4 984 0.6% 3 554 0.4% 6 341 0.8% 3 303 0.4% #N/A

Extra-EU 845 743 874 919 902 313 807 254 753 403

% change + 3.4% + 3.1% - 10.5% + 0.3%

2014 2015 2016 Jan-Nov 182017

21 913 19 89331 062 33 267

4 600 8 553

5 13911 840

16 000 16 000

16 800

17 600

3 657

27 127

52 213

42 51348 103

80 128

114 920

0

20 000

40 000

60 000

80 000

100 000

120 000

140 000

2015 2016 2017 Jan-Nov18

Imports of Poultry meat from Ukraine in tonnes of cwe

Other imports (under erga omnes TRQs and out of TRQ)

Imports under UA TRQ for poultry frozen carcasses

Imports under UA TRQ for poultry fresh and frozen cuts

Imports under CN 0207 13 70 "other cuts"

Source : EUROSTAT Comext


77

1.084

1.8281.679

2.2592.155

2.384

2.711 2.685

3.903 3.862

2.676

3.608

4.558

4.338

2.972

5.1005.170

4.986

5.572

5.188

3.924

2.990

1.996

0

1000

2000

3000

4000

5000

6000

jan

v 20

17

févr

20

17

mar

s 2

017

avr

20

17

mai

20

17

juin

20

17

juil

20

17

aoû

t 2

017

sep

t 2

01

7

oct

20

17

no

v 2

017

dé

c 2

01

7

jan

v 20

18

févr

20

18

mar

s 2

018

avr

20

18

mai

20

18

juin

20

18

juil

20

18

aoû

t 2

018

sep

t 2

01

8

oct

20

18

no

v 2

018

dé

c 2

01

8

Monthly imports of poultry meat from Ukraine under CN 0207 13 70 in tonnes cwe

NL PL SK DE

Source : TAXUD Surveillance

EU poultry meat imports (by origin)


E U I M P O R T S

B r o i l e rT R A D E

270 723 245 496 285 887

467 359

376 981 280 191

45 251

74 784114 919

838 459751 205 753 403

0

100 000

200 000

300 000

400 000

500 000

600 000

700 000

800 000

900 000

Jan-Nov 16 Jan-Nov 17 Jan-Nov 18

TO

NN

ES

c

w

EU IMPORTS of Poultry Meat (TONNES cwe)

Thailand Brazil Ukraine Chile China Other origins

849 800 922

915802 580

195

1 9961 870 1 918

0

500

1 000

1 500

2 000

2 500


Mil

lio

ns

EU

R

EU IMPORTS of Poultry Meat (Millions EUR)

Thailand Brazil Ukraine Chile China Other origins

Exports of poultry meat to selected destinations


T R A D E E U E X P O R T S

Compared

tonnes % tonnes % tonnes % tonnes % tonnes % to Jan-Nov 17

Ukraine 80 084 5.3% 90 851 6.0% 114 841 6.8% 162 627 9.7% 166 052 10.1% + 13%

Philippines 57 566 3.8% 100 644 6.7% 126 694 7.5% 127 788 7.6% 154 095 9.4% + 30%

Ghana 57 394 3.8% 81 025 5.4% 115 783 6.9% 146 958 8.8% 150 706 9.2% + 9%

Hong Kong 136 233 9.0% 101 008 6.7% 123 855 7.4% 148 157 8.9% 121 769 7.4% - 11%

Benin 164 460 10.9% 139 324 9.2% 120 685 7.2% 105 709 6.3% 87 416 5.3% - 13%

Vietnam 19 884 1.3% 27 128 1.8% 36 292 2.2% 53 329 3.2% 84 047 5.1% + 71%

Saudi Arabia 123 574 8.2% 142 496 9.4% 121 645 7.2% 98 788 5.9% 76 941 4.7% - 14%

South Africa 204 451 13.5% 214 951 14.3% 282 770 16.8% 78 491 4.7% 74 343 4.5% - 0%

Congo (Dem. Rep.) 33 753 2.2% 35 849 2.4% 46 260 2.8% 60 080 3.6% 72 011 4.4% + 25%

Gabon 30 026 2.0% 37 877 2.5% 32 340 1.9% 49 183 2.9% 41 469 2.5% - 10%

Russia 68 363 4.5% 1 223 0.1% 1 108 0.1% 996 0.1% 797 0.0% + 0%

Other Destinations 533 442 35.3% 535 694 35.5% 556 990 33.2% 638 909 38.2% 615 154 37.4%

Extra-EU 1 509 229 1 508 071 1 679 264 1 671 015 1 644 800

% change - 0.1% + 11.4% - 0.5% + 6.4%

2014 2015 2016 Jan-Nov 182017

EU poultry meat export (by destination)


T R A D E E U E X P O R T S

104 649 146 847 166 052118 715 118 488 154 095105 666

137 987150 706113 286

136 949121 769112 855

99 974 87 416

994 458 905 336964 762

1 549 629 1 545 5821 644 800

0

200 000

400 000

600 000

800 000

1 000 000

1 200 000

1 400 000

1 600 000

1 800 000


TO

NN

ES

cw

EU EXPORTS of Poultry Meat (TONNES cwe)

Ukraine Philippines Ghana Hong Kong Benin Other destinations *

68 79 8746 48 7074 112163 209 18484

96 84

1 399 1 298 1 389

1 834 1 8331 925

0

500

1 000

1 500

2 000

2 500


Mil

lio

ns

EU

R

EU EXPORTS of Poultry Meat (Millions EUR)

Ukraine Philippines Ghana Hong Kong Benin Other destinations *

* countries trading less than 1 925 ('Millions EUR)

EU poultry meat trade balance (in 1000 tonnes cwe)


T R A D E B A L A N C E

857 855807

846875

902

807753

1 509

1 431 1 428

1 509 1 508

1 679 1 6711 645

0

200

400

600

800

1 000

1 200

1 400

1 600

1 800

2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 Jan-Nov 18

in 1

000

Tonn

es c

we

IMPORTS EXPORTS

EU poultry meat trade balance (in 1000 euros)


T R A D E B A L A N C E

2 241 2 234

2 097

2 190

2 342

2 162

2 024

1 9181 853

2 066 2 089 2 061

2 136

2 001 2 000

1 925

0

500

1 000

1 500

2 000

2 500

2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 Jan-Nov 18

in Millions EurosIMPORTS EXPORTS


Where to find data:

• http://ec.europa.eu/agriculture/markets/index_en.htm

• Click on link: Poultry

• Click on link: Presentations and prices

(righthand side under: in this chapter)

• Choose the item (link) you want

• Poultry dashboard

• http://ec.europa.eu/agriculture/dashboards/poultry-meat-dashboard_en.pdf

EUROPA SITE MARKETS

http://ec.europa.eu/agriculture/markets/index_en.htm

http://ec.europa.eu/agriculture/dashboards/poultry-meat-dashboard_en.pdf

eu market situation for poultry common€¦ · exports of poultry meat to selected destinations eu...

Documents