este investor presentation 7.24.15 - earthstone energy · investor presentation july 2015. 1...
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Investor Presentation
July 2015
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Disclaimer
Forward-Looking Statements
This presentation contains forward-looking statements within the meaning of Section 27A of the Securities Act of 1933, as amended (the “Securities Act”),and Section 21E of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended. Statements that are not strictly historical statements constitute forward-lookingstatements and may often, but not always, be identified by the use of such words such as “expects,” “believes,” “intends,” “anticipates,” “plans,” “estimates,”“potential,” “possible,” or “probable” or statements that certain actions, events or results “may,” “will,” “should,” or “could” be taken, occur or be achieved.The forward-looking statements include statements about oil and gas pricing assumptions, future operations, estimates of reserve and production volumes,estimates of capital expenditures, expansion of production and reserves, future growth potential, possible acquisitions, and the ability to raise future capital.Forward-looking statements are based on expectations and assumptions and analyses made by Earthstone Energy, Inc. (“Earthstone”) in light ofexperience and perception of historical trends, current conditions and expected future developments, as well as other factors appropriate under thecircumstances. However, whether actual results and developments will conform with expectations is subject to a number of risks and uncertainties, includingadverse changes in oil and gas prices or protracted periods of low oil and gas prices; problems that may arise in the integration of the businesses involvedwith the transactions generally described on page 3; that the transactions may involve additional and unexpected costs; the risks of the oil and gas industry(for example, operational risks in exploring for, developing and producing crude oil and natural gas; risks and uncertainties involving geology of oil and gasdeposits); the uncertainty of reserve estimates; the uncertainty of estimates and projections relating to future production, costs and expenses; potentialdelays or changes in plans with respect to exploration or development projects or capital expenditures; health, safety and environmental risks and risksrelated to weather; inability of management to execute its plans to meet its goals; shortages of drilling equipment, oil field personnel and services;unavailability of gathering systems, pipelines and processing facilities; the possibility that government policies may change; and that foreign production ratesmay change. Earthstone’s annual report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2014 and other Securities and Exchange Commission (“SEC”)filings discuss some of the important risk factors identified that may affect Earthstone’s business, results of operations, and financial condition. Earthstoneundertakes no obligation to revise or update publicly any forward-looking statements except as required by law.
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Investment Highlights
Eagle Ford and Bakken Concentration
• Oil-weighted reserves• Growth through drill bit and acquisitions• ~230 operated Eagle Ford locations• Upside from down-spacing and other
formations
Strong, Well Capitalized Balance Sheet
• Significant cash balance• Common equity• Traditional reserve-based credit facility• $80mm borrowing base• No additional securities outstanding
Proven Management Team
• Operational excellence• Four prior successful public entities• Repeat investors• Market recognition
3
Strategic Combination on December 19, 2014
Earthstone closed two transformational transactions, creating a well-capitalized company with significant growth opportunities and substantial economic drilling inventory
• Oak Valley received 9.124 million shares in exchange for its oil and gas properties and cash
‐ Appointed Mr. Frank Lodzinski as President and CEO
‐ Transaction is Mr. Lodzinski’s fourth public strategic combination
• Flatonia received 2.957 million shares for additional working interests in Fayette and Gonzales Counties, Texas
‐ Increased leasehold interest in properties from 30% to 50%, resulting in 23,600 net Eagle Ford acres to Earthstone
‐ Current Eagle Ford position in Fayette, Gonzales, and Karnes Counties now totals 24,500 net acres
• Houston headquarters and Denver office to facilitate Rockies expansion
From 0 to 22.2 MMBoe in 2 years Doubled reserves in 2014 though drill bit and acquisitions
Notes: 1 EnCap Investments L.P., Wells Fargo Energy Capital, and Vlasic Group indirectly own 37.8%, 6.1%, and 4.6% of Earthstone via their direct ownership in Oak Valley Resources, LLC2 Flatonia Energy, LLC is wholly owned by Parallel Resource Partners, LLC. Flatonia is also a 50% joint owner in Earthstone’s Eagle Ford project in Fayette and Gonzales Counties.
Public Shareholders
1.754mm shares (12.6%)
9.124mm shares(66.0%)
2.957mm shares (21.4%)
13.835mm sharesNYSE MKT: “ESTE”
Flatonia Energy, LLC
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Oak Valley Resources, LLC owns 66.0% of Earthstone. Oak Valley’s investors include:
Earthstone Management• Significant equity investors• CEO has over 40 years of experience • Executive officers average over 30 years of industry
experience• Senior executives have worked together in multiple
successful entities
EnCap Investments L.P.• Leading provider of private equity to the independent
E&P sector• 25-year history of providing capital • Repeat investors • Long relationship with Management
Vlasic Group• Partnered with Management for
26 consecutive years• Former investor and director of
GeoResources and predecessor entities
• Previously affiliated with Vlasic Foods prior to sale to Campbell Soup
Wells Fargo Energy Capital• Part of Wells Fargo Energy Group,
a $30bn capital provider to the North American energy industry
• Predecessor entities have previously invested with Management
Friends and Family• Many repeat investors • Long-term investment horizons• Petroleum engineers, geologists,
portfolio managers, endowments, family trusts, investment bankers, lawyers, and other accredited persons
• Source of incremental deal flow and advice
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Management• Strong management and technical team with demonstrated ability and prior success• Equity investors—interests are clearly aligned with shareholders
Years of Experience
Years Working Together
Responsibility
Frank Lodzinski 43 25 President and CEO
Robert Anderson 29 11 Corporate Development and Reservoir Engineering
Steve Collins 28 18 Completions and Operations
Chris Cottrell 32 16 Land and Marketing
Tim Merrifield 36 14 Geological and Geophysical
Francis Mury 41 25 Drilling and Development
Ray Singleton 37 - Operations and A&D, Northern Region (Former President and CEO of ESTE)
Neil Cohen 12 2 Finance
Bret Wonson 13 5 Accounting
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Track Record
2001 – 2004 AROC, Inc. (Private) Gulf Coast, Permian Basin, Mid-Con.Preferred investors – 17% IRRInitial investors – 4x return
2005 – 2007 Southern Bay Energy, LLC (Private)Gulf Coast, Permian BasinInitial investors – 40% IRR
1997 – 2001 Texoil, Inc. (“TXLI”)Gulf Coast, Permian BasinPreferred investors – 2.5x returnFollow-on investors – 3x returnInitial investors – 10x return
1992 – 1996 Hampton Resources Corp. (“HPTR”)Gulf CoastPreferred investors – 30% IRRInitial investors – 7x return
• Management team has consistently created shareholder value‐ Repeated success with multiple entities over 20+ years‐ Results have created long-term and recurring shareholders‐ Extensive industry and financial relationships ‐ Technical and operational excellence Multi-basin experience Resource & conventional expertise Complex Gulf Coast drilling & horizontal resource proficiency Efficient and low-cost operator Proven acquisition and exploitation results
2007 – 2012 GeoResources, Inc. (“GEOI”) Eagle Ford, Bakken, Gulf CoastInitial investors – 35% IRRInitial investors – 4.8x return
Initial Southern Bay investors achieved a combined 7.4x ROI upon the merger with GeoResources and subsequent sale in 2012
Note: “Initial investors” refers to (i) in the case of private entities, investors that participated in the initial capitalization or recapitalization of the entity at the time a change in management occurred, or (ii) in the case of public entities, public shareholders existing at the date the transaction was announced to the public. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
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GeoResources – Performance Summary
Proved Reserve Growth (MMBoe)(1)Stock Performance (%)
Production Growth (Boepd)(1)EBITDA Growth ($mm)(1)
Merger with Southern Bay to Sale Announcement
(1) 2012 figures based on 2H 2012 actuals and 2H 2012 internal projections.
3.317.2
49.2 45.866.7
89.2
177.6
$0.0
$50.0
$100.0
$150.0
$200.0
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
CAGR = 94%
7681,826
3,3884,589
5,091 5,270
9,130
0
2,500
5,000
7,500
10,000
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
CAGR = 51%
$0.0
$10.0
$20.0
$30.0
$40.0
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
Initial Investors:IRR = 35%Return on Capital = 4.8x
2.4
15.7 14.6
20.724.0
29.2
35.9
0.0
10.0
20.0
30.0
40.0
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
CAGR = 57%
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Go-Forward Strategy
Utilize similar strategy to previous entities which delivered significant returns to shareholders
Corporate StrategyAsset Strategy
• Optimize Existing Properties‐ Implement operational improvements and efficiencies‐ Drive costs down in all aspects of drilling and
production‐ Fully define geological and engineering upside
• Enhance Production / Cash Flow‐ Acquire producing assets‐ Pursue tactical operated acquisitions in proximity to
existing properties/fields‐ Divest non-core properties
• Growth Through the Drill Bit‐ Acquire acreage at favorable terms‐ Continue to generate and de-risk high-impact drilling
opportunities‐ Execute multi-year development drilling program
• Deliver superior returns to shareholders• Maintain financial flexibility and a strong balance sheet to
facilitate additional acquisitions• Focus company 2 to 3 basins where Company has
expertise• Achieve low development, operating, and G&A cost
structure• Consistently improve operating margins• Generate significant cash flow and net income
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M&A / A&D
• M&A / A&D Execution‐ Grow Eagle Ford position and complimentary assets‐ Acquire another core drilling area; focus areas include Bakken, Rockies, and West Texas‐ Portfolio rationalization – consider divesting non‐core properties
Financial• Maintain reasonable equity / debt mix• Seek additional external equity and/or debt for acquisitions, as needed
Operational
• Eagle Ford ‐ Increase EURs via longer laterals‐ Enhance daily production, cost structure, free cash flow, and PV‐10‐ Expand into Karnes County and further down‐trend
• Upper Austin Chalk‐ Develop additional locations, hold large acreage positions
• Upside:‐ Capture and de‐risk Upper Eagle Ford formation‐ Test Buda and other formations
Organizational• With price improvement and company growth:
‐ Continue to hire top technical talent; build “bench strength” in G&G and engineering‐ Expand Denver presence
Near-Term Goals
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Company Overview• Proven, growth-oriented management team• Oil-weighted with strong cash margins• Focused on the prolific Eagle Ford and Bakken• Robust liquidity with clean balance sheet• Ongoing conversion of undeveloped acres
‐ 37,900 Eagle Ford and Bakken net acres• Inventory upside through downspacing and targeting
additional horizons• 2014 proved reserve distribution (by reserve quantity):
‐ Eagle Ford Trend 69% ‐ Williston Basin 11%‐ East Texas/Other 20%
As-Reported Pro Forma
Proved Reserves (MMBoe)(1)
Adjusted EBITDAX ($mm)
2.6
11.4
22.2
35%
65%71%
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
0.0
5.0
10.0
15.0
20.0
25.0
30.0
2012 2013 20141P Reserves (Left Axis) % Liquids (Right Axis)
2-yr CAGR = 193%
$7$13
$28
$55
$0.0
$10.0
$20.0
$30.0
$40.0
$50.0
$60.0
2012 2013 2014 2014
2-yr CAGR = 184%
Approximate Gross Drilling Locations
AreaOp /
Non-OpAvg. WI
Approx. GrossLocations(2)
Eagle Ford (Fayette / N. Gonzales) Operated 43% 215
Eagle Ford (S. Gonzales / Karnes) Operated 46% 17
Austin Chalk Operated 50% 8
Bakken / Three Forks Non-op 3% 205
(1) SEC reserves as of 2014 year-end.(2) Estimated number of locations include proved undeveloped as well as management’s estimates of additional potential. Actual locations drilled and
quantities that may be ultimately recovered from the Company’s interests could differ substantially from management’s estimates.
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Reserve Summary – 2013 and 2014 SEC Price Deck
1P Reservesby Category
2013 2014
3P Reservesby Category
1P Reservesby Commodity
2013 2014
3P Reservesby Commodity
2013 2014Reserves Economics
CategoryOil
(MBbls)Gas
(MMcf)NGL
(MBbls)Total
(MBoe)Undisc. CF
($mm)PV-10($mm)
PDP 1,098 9,744 496 3,218 $93 $63PNP 209 1,309 61 488 13 7PUD 4,771 13,160 761 7,726 188 551P 6,078 24,213 1,318 11,432 294 125PRB 3,162 5,814 248 4,379 121 31POS 3,720 1,079 301 4,201 132 283P 12,961 31,105 1,868 20,013 $548 $184
Reserves Economics
CategoryOil
(MBbls)Gas
(MMcf)NGL
(MBbls)Total
(MBoe)Undisc. CF
($mm)PV-10($mm)
PDP 4,198 12,276 645 6,889 $265 $164PNP 1,895 3,938 360 2,911 121 71PUD 7,711 22,365 954 12,392 338 1091P 13,804 38,579 1,959 22,193 725 345PRB 4,020 12,905 339 6,510 182 56POS 11,184 3,817 947 12,767 482 1463P 29,007 55,301 3,245 41,469 $1,389 $547
PD32%
PUD68%
PD44%
PUD56%
Oil53%
Gas35%
NGL12%
Oil62%
Gas29%
NGL9%
PD18%
PUD39%
PRB22%
POS21% PD
23%
PUD30%
PRB16%
POS31%
Oil65%
Gas26%
NGL9%
Oil70%
Gas22%
NGL8%
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Asset Overview
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Southern Region
Conventional and unconventional assets
Texas
Oklahoma
South Texas
East TexasOther
Eagle Ford / Austin Chalk
Zapata County:770 net acres;10 PDP wells; Lobo formation; operated and non-operated
Webb County:2,500 net acres; waterflood;86% operated working interest23 PDP wells
La Salle County:3,100 net acres; 10% to 15% working interest71 PDP wells, ~180 drilling locations
Gonzales/Fayette/Karnes Counties:24,500 net acres; 33% to 50% working interest;operated; 69 PDP wells with ~240 drilling locations
Grayson County:1,200 net acres prospective for horizontal Viola play2 PDP wells
Le Flore County:13,900 net acres; 34 PDP wells in Red Oak Field
East Texas:7,960 net acres prospective for Travis Peak, Pettet, Rodessa, James Lime, and Haynesville/Bossier formations79 PDP wells and an inventory of ~140 drilling locations
Milam County:17,100 net acres prospective for Austin Chalk, Buda, Eagle Ford, Georgetown, and Woodbine formations2 PDP wells
Note: Estimated number of locations include proved undeveloped as well as management’s estimates of additional potential. Actual locations drilled and quantities that may be ultimately recovered from the Company’s interests could differ substantially from management’s estimates.
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Eagle Ford – Summary• Operated Fayette, Gonzales, and Karnes
Counties
‐ 49,275 gross / 24,500 net leasehold acres
‐ Working interests range from 33% to 50%
• 60 gross producing wells (58 operated / 2 non-op)
• May 2015 average gross production of ~5,600 Boepd (98% operated)
• Approximately 215 identified gross Eagle Ford drilling locations, of which ~30% are proved
• Majority of acreage covered by 173 square mile 3-D seismic shoot
‐ Avoid faulting for steering Eagle Ford wells
‐ Indicate natural fractures
‐ Delineate other prospective opportunities
• Other Potential: Upper Eagle Ford, Austin Chalk, Buda, Wilcox, and Edwards
• Non-operated La Salle County
‐ 26,285 gross / 3,100 net leasehold acres
‐ Working interests range from 10% to 15%
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Frio
JacksonYegua-Cockfield
WechesQueen City
ReklawCarrizo Sand
Wilcox Sands
Midway Shale
Navarro / Taylor Shale
Pecan Gap / Anacacho Chalk Pecan Gap Shale
Upper Eagle Ford ShaleEagle Ford Carbonate
Lower Eagle Ford Shale
Taylor Sands
Formation
Buda LimestoneDel Rio Shale
Georgetown Limestone
Edwards Limestone
Glenrose Limestone
Travis Peak / Cotton Valley
Smackover
Louann Salt
UpperAsh Mkr
Vicksburg
Pre Louann Salt
Missing / ErodedSection
Stratigraphic ColumnS.W. Fayette & N.E. Gonzales Co.’s, Texas
Navarro Sands
UPPER AUSTIN CHALK TARGET
LOWER AUSTIN CHALK TARGET
EAGLE FORD TARGET
7750’ – 11000’
8250’ – 11600’
8300’ – 11650’Gidding
s Au
stin Cha
lk Field In
terval
Eagleville Field
Interval
Southe
rn
Bay Eagle
Ford
Interval
Eagle Ford and Austin Chalk Intervals Across the Acreage
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Operated Eagle Ford – D&C Activity
• Brought 21 gross wells on line in 2014
• Brought 9 gross wells on line in Q2 2015 and 10 gross wells expected to come on line in H2 2015
• 500 to 750 foot spacing between wells
• Offset by Sanchez and Penn Virginia
• D&C:
‐ 6,000 foot lateral with 30 stages – $6.5mm
‐ 7,000 foot lateral with 35 stages – $7.2mm
‐ 8,000 foot lateral with 40 stages – $7.8mm
• Completion costs have dropped 35% relative to late 2014
Earthstone Sanchez Penn Virginia
Current Rig Location
IRR Sensitivity
Notes: IRR chart assumes strip pricing as of January 1, 2015. Quantities recovered, costs and economic results are management estimates. Actual quantities recovered, costs and economic results may differ from management estimates.
17.1%
21.5%
30.2%
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
300 325 350 375 400 425 450
IRR (%
)
EUR per Well (MBoe)
6,000'Lateral
7,000' to 8,000'Lateral
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Eagle Ford Drilling and Completion Trends and EconomicsPad Averages
Notes: Amount in parentheses indicates the number of wells drilled/completed.Analysis excludes two wells that involved a side-track and four wells that required intermediate casing
Feet Drilled per Day Drilling Capex per Foot Drilled ($/Foot)
Completion Capex per Stage ($/Stage) Total Well Cost per Lateral Length ($/Foot)
796 820
1,077
894957
1,045 1,086 1,078989
0
200
400
600
800
1,000
1,200
Kolar‐Labatt(3)
Flatonia SW(3)
Flatonia SW(5)
Newtonville N.(4)
Garza(2)
Richards N(3)
Murphy N(2)
Hope(2)
Rumley(2)
221 200
177 187
159 174 167 171 175
140
0
50
100
150
200
250
Kolar‐Labatt(3)
Flatonia SW(3)
Flatonia SW(5)
Newtonville N.(4)
Garza(2)
Richards N(3)
Murphy N(2)
Hope(2)
Rumley(2)
Current
167,560
197,121 187,506
160,643 170,262 168,065
117,211 110,634 113,210 110,000
0
50,000
100,000
150,000
200,000
250,000
Kolar‐Labatt(3)
Flatonia SW(3)
Flatonia SW(5)
Newtonville N.(4)
Garza(2)
Richards N(3)
Murphy N(2)
Hope(2)
Rumley(2)
Current
1,422
1,820
1,570 1,409 1,364 1,300
1,132 1,018 948
0
250
500
750
1,000
1,250
1,500
1,750
2,000
Kolar‐Labatt(3)
Flatonia SW(3)
Flatonia SW(5)
Newtonville N.(4)
Garza(2)
Richards N(3)
Murphy N(2)
Hope(2)
Rumley(2)
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Recent Eagle Ford Acquisitions – Karnes and Gonzales Counties
• Operated Karnes County
‐ 404 gross / 121 net leasehold acres
‐ Working interest of 33%
‐ Pending certain acreage trades, position will allow for four gross Eagle Ford wells with an average lateral length of approximately 6,900 feet
• Gonzales County
‐ 970 gross / 485 net leasehold acres
‐ Working interest of 50%
‐ 100% HBP via 2 Austin Chalk wells producing 44 Boepd gross (100% oil)
‐ Position will allow for 13 gross Eagle Ford wells to be drilled with an average lateral length of approximately 6,000 feet
• Eagle Ford Development Plans
‐ 2 gross wells to be drilled in each area in Q4 2015, with continued development in 2016
‐ 500 foot spacing
Approximately 17 planned Eagle Ford drilling locations in Northern Karnes and
Southern Gonzales Counties
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Upper Austin Chalk – Naturally Fractured Reservoir• May 2015 average gross production of ~440
Boepd (98% operated)
• 8 gross producing wells (7 operated / 1 non-op)
‐ 7,880 gross acres held by production
• Brought 4 gross wells on line in 2014 and 2 gross wells online in 2015; one well planned for Q1 2016
• Pending well performance, ability to add 8 new locations that can hold over 12,000 gross acres (6,000 net acres) for future Eagle Ford development
• D&C of $4.3mm per well; 13,000 feet of lateral length (two opposing laterals)
• Integrating regional geology with 3-D seismic-defined fracture indications
ESTE‐Operated Producing Well
ESTE‐Operated Drilling Location
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Northern Region – Williston Basin
• Expand acreage
• Acquire production
• Establish operating presence
• 98 gross / 7 net wells producing
‐ Average working interest of ~3%
‐ 60 gross wells currently being drilled or completed
• 11,050 non-operated net acres in North Dakota and Montana
• ~205 potential gross drilling locations
• Operators include: ConocoPhillips/Burlington, Continental, ExxonMobil/XTO, Marathon, Newfield, Oasis, and Statoil
• Majority of units in McKenzie County, ND
‐ Banks Field
Largest development area
Interest in 22 spacing units
Operators down-spacing to 6-7 wells per unit in the Bakken
‐ Indian Hill Field
Near-Term StrategySummary
Sheridan
Wibaux
Dawson
Richland
Roosevelt
Divide
Dunn
Mountrail
Billings
McKenzie
Burke
Golden
Valley
Williams
Stark
HBP Acreage Bakken Producing Areas
NDMT
Note: Estimated number of locations include proved undeveloped as well as management’s estimates of additional potential. Actual locations drilled and quantities that may be ultimately recovered from the Company’s interests could differ substantially from management’s estimates.
21
Capital Expenditures and Financial Overview
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2015 Capital Expenditure Budget
Drilling and Completion $mm
Gross Well Count
Drilled Completed
Operated Eagle FordFayette / Gonzales / Karnes Counties 55.0 12 19
Non-Operated Bakken 12.0 34 31
Non-Operated Eagle Ford La Salle County 8.5 0 13
Operated Austin Chalk Fayette County 4.5 2 2
Total Drilling and Completion 80.0 48 55
Land(2) 10.0
Total 90.0
(1) Estimates are based on one dedicated rig through 2015 and are subject to material change based on commodity prices, service costs, and drilling and completion methods.
(2) Leasehold budget includes estimated lease maintenance, extensions, and renewals to maintain and enhance current position; excludes significant new lease areas.
D&C Spend by AreaCurrent Budget(1)
69%
15%
10%
6%
Operated Eagle Ford ‐ Fayette/Gonzales/Karnes CountiesNon‐Operated BakkenNon‐Operated Eagle Ford ‐ La Salle CountyOperated Austin Chalk ‐ Fayette County
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Hedging Summary
Full Year 2015 Oil and Gas Production Hedged Full Year 2016 Oil and Gas Production Hedged
Avg. hedged oil price = $69.41/Bbl29% of oil production guidance hedged
Avg. hedged gas price = $4.217/MMBtu9% of gas production guidance hedged
292,000225,000
0
100,000
200,000
300,000
400,000
Oil (Bbls) Gas (MMBtu)
Avg. hedged oil price = $59.65/Bbl
195,000
00
100,000
200,000
300,000
400,000
Oil (Bbls) Gas (MMBtu)
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Frank Lodzinski President and CEO
Robert Anderson EVP, Corporate Development and Engineering
Neil Cohen VP, Finance, and Treasurer
Corporate Headquarters
Houston 1400 Woodloch Forest Drive | Suite 300 | The Woodlands, TX 77380 | (281) 298-4246
Denver 633 17th Street | Suite 2320 | Denver, CO 80202 | (303) 296-3076
Website www.earthstoneenergy.com
Contact Information