eric swanson global monitoring and wdi development data group the world bank
TRANSCRIPT
Improving Labor Market Statistics: Better Data for
Better Impact
Eric SwansonGlobal Monitoring and WDIDevelopment Data Group
The World Bank
Monitoring national labor markets: ILO sources
• Key Indicators of the Labour Market, 6th edition, contains a broader set of employment indicators, with an analysis of recent trends for each indicator.
• Indicators on the volume of employment, including labor force participation and employment-to-population rates, hours of work, underemployment, part-time employment
• Employment by status and sector• Educational attainment• Wage and earning indices• Labor productivity
• The KILM also includes a section with country examples of analysis of the MDG employment indicators, and their linkages with other indicators.
Proportion of a country’s working-age population actively engaging in the labour market.
Data are available by sex according to six standardized age groups:◦15 years and older◦15 to 24 years◦15 to 64 years◦25 to 54 years◦55 to 64 years◦65 years and older
Labor Force Participation
Labor Force Participation Rates, 2009
0.0
10.0
20.0
30.0
40.0
50.0
60.0
70.0
80.0
90.0
WORLD DevelopedEconomies
andEuropean
Union
Central andSouth
EasternEurope
(non-EU) &CIS
East Asia South-EastAsia and
the Pacific
South Asia LatinAmericaand the
Caribbean
Middle East North Africa Sub-SaharanAfrica
La
bo
r F
orc
e P
art
icip
ati
on
Ra
te
Male Female
Unemployment The proportion of labor force unemployed,
willing to work, and looking for employment. In regions where women face stronger
employment barriers than men, the economic downturn will exacerbate the gender gap.
In regions with little employment opportunity gender gaps, male-female unemployment rateshould converge.
Projected changes in male and female unemployment rates, selected regions, 2008-2009
Male Female Male Female Male Female Male Female Male Female Male Female Male Female
DevelopedEconomies &
European Union
Central & South-Eastern Europe(non-EU) & CIS
East Asia South Asia Latin America &the Caribbean
Middle East North Africa
-0.5
0.0
0.5
1.0
1.5
2.0
2.5
3.0
3.5
4.0
Chan
ge in
une
mpl
oym
ent
rate
(per
cent
age
poin
t)
Male Female Male Female Male Female Male Female Male Female Male Female Male Female
DevelopedEconomies &
European Union
Central & South-Eastern Europe(non-EU) & CIS
East Asia South Asia Latin America &the Caribbean
Middle East North Africa
Scenario 1 Upper bound
Vulnerable Employment is the sum of own-account and contributing family workers.◦Less likely to have informal employment
arrangements and have less job security and effective social dialogue mechanisms.
The combination of a rise in vulnerable employment and decline in labour productivity is likely to result in an increase in working poverty.
Vulnerable Employment
Changes in Vulnerable Employment, 2008-2009
-8'000
-6'000
-4'000
-2'000
0
2'000
4'000
WORLD DevelopedEconomies
andEuropean
Union
Central andSouth
EasternEurope
(non-EU) &CIS
East Asia South-EastAsia and
the Pacific
South Asia LatinAmericaand the
Caribbean
Middle East NorthAfrica
Sub-Saharan
Africa
Ch
an
ge
s i
n V
uln
era
ble
Em
plo
ym
en
t (0
00
')
Male Female
Female labor force statistics -- 143 low- and middle-income economies
Data availability
1990-20072000-2007
Labor participation rate, female (% of female population ages 15+) 91.6% 91.7%
Labor force participation rate, female (% of female population ages 15-64) 91.6% 91.6%
Labor force, female (% of total labor force) 90.6% 90.3%
Total employment, female (ages 15+) 81.9% 86.7%
What we know well
Female labor force statistics -- 143 low- and middle-income economies
Data availability
1990-20072000-2007Share of women employed in the nonagricultural sector (% of total nonagricultural employment) 35.7% 35.2%Unemployment, female (% of female labor force) 30.8% 33.7%Employees, agriculture, female (% of female employment) 27.0% 32.0%Employees, industry, female (% of female employment) 27.0% 32.0%Employees, services, female (% of female employment) 27.0% 32.0%Wage and salaried workers, female (% of females employed) 26.1% 31.2%
Self-employed, female (% of females employed) 26.0% 31.0%Contributing family workers, female (% of females employed) 24.2% 30.2%Vulnerable employment, female (% of female employment) 22.2% 28.0%
What we know not so well
Female labor force statistics -- 143 low- and middle-income economies
Data availability
1990-20072000-2007
Unemployment, youth female (% of female labor force ages 15-24) 22.6% 25.6%
Unemployment with primary education, female (% of female unemployment) 21.0% 25.5%
Unemployment with secondary education, female (% of female unemployment) 19.0% 23.3%
Unemployment with tertiary education, female (% of female unemployment) 20.9% 25.3%
And less well
Female labor force statistics -- 143 low- and middle-income economies
Data availability
1990-20072000-2007
Economically active children, female (% of female children ages 7-14) 4.0% 7.8%
Child employment in agriculture, female (% of female economically active children ages 7-14) 1.7% 3.1%Child employment in manufacturing, female (% of female economically active children ages 7-14) 1.7% 3.1%
Child employment in services, female (% of female economically active children ages 7-14) 1.7% 3.1%
Long-term unemployment, female (% of female unemployment) 4.8% 2.8%Economically active children, study and work, female (% of female economically active children, ages 7-14) 1.7% 2.7%Economically active children, work only, female (% of female economically active children, ages 7-14) 1.7% 2.7%
And barely at all
Low income economies Coverage 1990-2007 Coverage 2000-2007Afghanistan 12.7% 13.0%Korea, Dem. Rep. 16.7% 16.7%Comoros 16.9% 16.7%Myanmar 16.9% 16.7%Mozambique 17.1% 16.7%
Lower middle-income economies
China 18.8% 16.7%Iraq 16.7% 17.2%Timor-Leste 16.7% 17.2%Angola 16.9% 17.2%Congo, Rep. 16.9% 17.2%
Upper middle-income economies
Lebanon 16.7% 16.7%Gabon 19.4% 16.7%Libya 16.7% 17.2%Suriname 32.4% 18.2%Serbia 9.3% 20.8%
Where the gaps are greatest
Empowering Women to Compete in Markets Indicators Number of
CountriesProduct Market Form Women’s' business,
purchasing, and transport association
Percentage of women belonging to professional associations 77
Increase access to business services for women entrepreneurs
Percentage of established business owners, by gender 40
Increase access to credit and financial services
Percentage of women who have access to bank loans 87
Provide business start-up grants
Financial Market
Support Self-help groups and ROSCAs
Provide gender sensitive business services
Provide market-based financial intermediation services
Women’s empowerment: what else we’d like to know
Empowering Women to Compete in Markets Indicators
Number of Countries
Land Market Conduct social marketing of property rights legislation
Solicit women's input into legislative changes on land holding and titling
Ensure women's full participation in land adjudication and registration processes
Percentage of women who have access to land
87Involve women and women's groups in local natural resource managements'
Women’s empowerment: what else we’d like to know
Empowering Women to Compete in Markets Indicators
Number of Countries
Labor Market Increase women's access to training programs
Percentage of those who have required knowledge and skills to start a business, by gender 40
Ensure non-discrimination in labor intermediation services
Wage equality between women and men for similar work (ratio) 147
Provide quality day care services and reduce their cost
Number of weeks of maternity leave
165 Maternal leave
benefits (% of wages paid in covered period) 160
Provide labor intermediation services (to migrants and potential migrants)
Women’s empowerment: what else we’d like to know
Completing the picture:◦ Estimations for labor force participation and
vulnerable employment can be estimated with labour force survey data.
Improving Country Level Data
Household-survey based model Advantages:
◦ Do not require macroeconomic model assumptions,◦ Data can be disaggregated for youths and females,◦ Does not require large international intervention or
support Disadvantages:
◦ Countries lack survey instrument to capture data◦ Bias estimates◦ Lack of comparability over time
Micro-Based Estimates
The ILO Employment Trends Team and The World Bank are mining household-surveys.◦ Identifying surveys with questions to provide
sufficient observations for estimates◦ Identifying differences between survey variables
and international standards◦ Producing cross-
tabulation of poverty with the labour force
Efforts to Expand Micro-Based Estimates
Thank you
And thanks to the ILO Employment Trends Team
Gender statistics at the World Bank:
Http://genderstats.worldbank.org