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    Revising EquityFinancing

    Strategies inDifficult times

    Nikhil Atale

    July 27, 2009

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    Outline

    Alternative financing

    Applicable regulations

    Shareholders right

    Implications on accounting system

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    Todays landscape Global economies in crisis mode

    since 2008

    Money generating economies arevirtually to standstill

    High imbalance in funds flow

    Emerging markets at the mercy ofG8

    Financials institutions in Thailand arevery healthy. But

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    Declining credit asset prices

    pull equity prices downwards

    ABX.07-1 AAA versus BKX* index pricesABX.07-1 AAA versus BKX* index prices

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    Global IPO

    1Q 2007 2Q 2007 3Q 2007 4Q 2007 1Q 2008 2Q 2008 3Q 2008 4Q 2008 1Q 2009

    No. Deals 100 169 113 172 27 67 20 6 2

    TotalProceeds(billions)

    $32.1 $83.1 $47.2 $94.3 $34.8 $35.0 $9.3 $1.6 $0.9

    Average DealSize (millions) $321.2 $491.7 $418.1 $548.2 $1,289.3 $522.2 $464.4 $268.5

    Global IPOs include all with deal size greater than US$100mm.

    - Global IPO value dips 95% at $1.6 bn in 2009

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    NAB raises $2.02 billion from upsized follow-on

    The fully underwritten deal, which was launched at a fixed

    9.7% discount to the latest market price, drew significantdemand and was increased by 50%.

    By Anette Jnsson | 11 November 2008

    China Metal Recycling prices IPO at the top

    The scrap metal recycling company raises $200 million to become the second-largest Hong Kong

    IPO year-to-date. Strong retail demand triggers a clawback that boosts the retail tranche to 30%.By Anette Jnsson | 18 June 2009

    Xinyi Glass placement upsized to $127 million

    The company raises $67 million of fresh capital at a 7.6% discount, while the controllingshareholder takes the opportunity to secure some profit after this year's strong run-up in the

    share price.

    By Anette Jnsson | 27 May 2009

    Cash is king in Thailand

    International banks are set to benefit as cash-rich Thai companies look to expand operationsoverseas, but the continued dominance of paper-based transactions proves a challenge.

    Italian-Thai convertible upsized to $150 million

    The deal, which is only the third CB from Thailand since

    2002, is completed without stock borrow or credit

    protection, making it something of a rarity.

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    Equity Financing Choices

    Equity

    Warrants Conver-tibles

    ADRs Common

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    Private Equity

    Large source of Capital

    The US private equity market exceeded $300b in the US market for 1H 2007 the last time the markets

    had ample liquidity.

    In the transportation sector, particularly aviation, private equity has been a large participant through thefunding of equity and the purchase of secured/unsecured debt. Since 2001, it has been a significant

    player in the restructuring and mergers of several legacy airlines.

    Model Strategic Investor Control FinancialInvestor

    Rights Offering

    With Private Equity

    Multiple PrivateEquity Investors

    Example Continental II 1 US Airways I Air Canada US Airways II 2

    AmountRaised

    $140 million $240 million US$854 million $866 million

    Pros Benefit to underlyingbusiness

    Possible improvedvaluation due toreciprocal benefits toinvestor

    Simplified negotiations

    Provides endorsement ofboard/management POR

    Plan sponsor serves asforcing function in

    process

    More attractive tobondholders

    Price validation by privateinvestor

    Less need for deeppocketed investor

    Likely higher valuationthan single investor

    Cons Possible antitrust orregulatory issues

    Possible strategicinvestor conflicts onbusiness plan

    Difficult to find deeppocketed investor

    Likely to require lowerinitial valuation

    Size likely requiresgreater depth of duediligence by prospects

    Complicated if majority ofclaims are held by non-public bond holders and/orestimation of substantialportion of claims cant becompleted prior to equityraise

    May require cashcomponent option for non-traditional investors (e.g.,

    labor, trade creditors, etc.)

    Negotiation process canbe complicated

    Will still entail a privateequity discount, albeitless than single investor

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    Feb-Mar 05

    May 05

    Merger with AWA used to build new business plan upon which equity was raised

    Increased view of capital needs because of Southwest competition at PHLand dramatic spike in oil prices (Hurricane Katrina hit just weeks before closing),

    Overcame Katrina, oil price shock and built investor demand

    June 05

    Sept 05

    Publicly pursued standalone plan for $250-350mm Private Equity, while privately

    secured preliminary merger agreement and quietly sought equity to fund merger

    $375mm Private Equity raised (merger announced 5/17/05)

    $565mm Private Equity, potential Rights Offering considered

    and discarded

    Final Structure

    $678mm Private Equity

    $188mm Public Equity$144mm Public Convertible Bond

    US Airways equity raise was also a unique challenge raising substantial equitycapital to acquire a publicly traded company

    Stock Price of LCC 12 Months Pre-and 10 Months Post Emergence 1

    $0

    $10

    $2 0

    $3 0

    $4 0

    $5 0

    $6 0

    Sep-

    0 4

    Nov-

    0 4

    Jan-

    0 5

    M a r-

    0 5

    M a y-

    0 5

    Jul-

    0 5

    Sep-

    0 5

    Nov-

    0 5

    Jan-

    0 6

    M a r-

    0 6

    M a y-

    0 6

    Jul-

    0 6

    Note:

    1. LCC stock pre-emergence represents equivalent AWA stock price.

    May 17, 2005 merger announcementSeptember 27, 2005 emergence from Ch. 11 and

    acquisition of AWA

    US Airways

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    Structured Finance

    Asset-backed securitization

    Corporate financialrestructuring

    Structured financingtechniques

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    Why Use a Hybrid?

    Motivations for Hybrids

    Linked to business

    risk

    Linked to

    market risk

    Cannot hedge

    with derivatives

    Driven by investor needs

    Company

    hedgesCompany does

    not hedge

    Debt or

    equity are

    Not good enough

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    When Debt and Equity are

    Not Enough

    Value

    of futurecash flows

    Value

    of futurecash flows

    Contractual int. & principal

    No upside

    Senior claimsControl via restrictions

    Contractual int. & principal

    No upside

    Senior claimsControl via restrictions

    Assets Liabilities

    Debt

    Residual paymentsUpside and downside

    Residual claims

    Voting control rights

    Residual paymentsUpside and downside

    Residual claims

    Voting control rights

    Equity

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    When Debt and Equity are

    Not Enough

    Valueof future

    cash flows

    Valueof future

    cash flows

    Contractual int. & principal

    No upsideSenior claims

    Control via restrictions

    Contractual int. & principal

    No upsideSenior claims

    Control via restrictions

    Assets LiabilitiesDebt

    Residual payments

    Upside and downside

    Residual claims

    Voting control rights

    Residual payments

    Upside and downside

    Residual claims

    Voting control rights

    Equity

    Alternatives

    Collateralized

    Asset-securitized

    Project financing

    Preferred

    Warrants

    Convertible

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    Equity-Linked Bonds

    Bonds with warrants

    Convertible Bonds

    Index-linked Bonds

    These are all example of hybrid

    bonds and should be priced bydecomposition

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    Stock-Purchase Warrants

    Warrants are usually detachable and trade on the

    securities exchanges

    Warrants are often added to a large debt issue assweeteners to enhance the marketability of the issue

    Exercise price

    Warrants usually have a limited life of about 10 years

    or less

    Warrants differ from rights and convertibles

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    Convertible Bonds

    Bond may be converted into stock

    The Conversion Ratiois the number of shares ofcommon stock that can be received in exchangefor each convertible security

    The Conversion Priceis the per share commonstock price at which the exchange effectivelytakes place

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    Financing With Convertibles

    Motives for using convertibles include:

    It is a deferred sale of common stock that decreases

    the dilution of both ownership and earnings They can be used as a sweetener for financing

    They can be sold at a lower interest rate than

    nonconvertibles

    They have far fewer restrictive covenants than

    nonconvertibles

    It provides a temporarily cheap source of funds

    (assuming bonds) for financing projects

    Most convertibles have a call feature that enables the

    issuer to force conversion when the price of the common

    stock rises above the conversion price

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    Determining the Value of a

    Convertible Bond

    There are three values associated with a convertible bond:

    Straight Bond Valueis the price at which the bondwould sell in the market without the conversion feature

    The Conversion Valueis the product of the current

    market price of stock times the conversion ratio of the

    bond The Market Valueis the straight or conversion value

    plus a market premium based upon future (expected)

    stock price movements that will enhance the value of

    the conversion feature

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    Motivations for Issuing

    Hybrid Bonds Company has a view

    There are constraints on what thecompany can issue

    The company can arbitrage to save

    money

    Always ask: given my goal, is there

    an alternative way of achieving thesame effect (e.g., usingderivatives?)

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    (at the holders option)

    Benefit of a Bond (guaranteed interest)

    Privilege of Exchanging it for Stock

    Bonds which can be converted into other corporate

    securities are called convertible bonds.

    +

    Accounting for Hybrid

    Bonds

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    At Time of Issuance

    Convertible bonds recorded as straight debt issue, with any

    discount or premium amortized over the term of the debt.

    Accounting for Hybrid

    Bonds

    At Time of Conversion

    Companies use the book value method when converting

    bonds.

    When the debt holder converts the debt to equity, the issuing

    company recognizes no gain or loss upon conversion.

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    Issuer wishes to encourage prompt conversion.

    Issuer offers additional consideration, called a

    sweetener.Sweetener is an expense of the period.

    Induced Conversion

    Recognized same as retiring debt that is not

    convertible.

    Difference between the acquisition price and

    carrying amount should be reported as gain or loss

    in the income statement.

    Retirement of Convertible Debt

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    Convertible preferred stock is considered part of

    stockholders equity.

    No gain or loss recognized when converted.

    Use book value method.

    Convertible preferred stock includes an option for the

    holder to convert preferred shares into a fixed number

    of common shares.

    Accounting for CPS

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    Simple Structure--Only common stock; no potentially

    dilutive securities.

    Complex Structure--Potentially dilutive securities arepresent.

    Dilutive means the ability to influence the EPS in adownward direction.

    EPS in Simple Capital

    Structure

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    Preferred Stock Dividends

    Subtracts the current year preferred stock dividend fromnet income to arrive at income available to common

    stockholders.

    Preferred dividends are subtracted on cumulative

    preferred stock, whether declared or not.

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    Complex Capital Structure exists when a business has

    convertible securities,

    options, warrants, or other rights

    that upon conversion or exercise could dilute earnings

    per share.

    Company reports both basic and diluted earnings pershare.

    EPS in Complex Capital

    Structure

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    Diluted EPS includes the effect of all potential dilutive

    common shares that were outstanding during the period.

    Companies will not report diluted EPS if the securities in their

    capital structure are antidilutive.

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    Diluted EPS Convertible Securities

    Measure the dilutive effects of potential conversion onEPS using the if-converted method.

    This method for a convertible bond assumes:

    (1) the conversion at the beginning of the period (or at

    the time of issuance of the security, if issued during

    the period), and

    (2) the elimination of related interest, net of tax.

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    EPS Presentation and Disclosure

    A company should show per share amounts for:

    income from continuing operations,

    income before extraordinary items, and

    net income.

    Per share amounts for a discontinued operation or an

    extraordinary item should be presented on the face of the

    income statement or in the notes.

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    Shareholders rights All issuance needs shareholders

    approval

    A situation of 1997 crisis andpresent crisis is exception

    Banks/creditors virtually take overthe companies and decide the faithin their shareholders interest

    Current crisis is classic example:Minority shareholders are burned inAIG, Citi, where US Govt. stepped in

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    Shareholders rights Exceptions in case of Govt. bailouts

    Cases of issuing not genuine offersfrom unknown based in unknownlocations

    Above actions led to high speculation instock price, eventually, majorshareholders found to have exited atpeak

    Be watchful incase all of a sudden somecompany issues these instruments!

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    Shareholders rights In Theory, shareholders take equal risks

    as that of promoters of the company

    In normal course, passing resolutionsregarding these issues is purely anumber game

    Funds acting in concert tend toblock/raise voices against unfairpractices

    Government intervention in specialsituation can be unfair to minorityshareholders

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    Understanding Crisis No two crisis are alike

    Banks and capital markets are ultimatevictims of crisis

    Extensive deleveraging follows after

    crisis, thus, companies tend to issueequity to lower their D/E ratios

    Its desperate situation and loose looseproposition for all

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    Equity Funding in Crisis Study the timing issue carefully

    If its for solid business expansion, orexciting acquisition (distress assets),investors would love it

    Debt tend to be cheap during crisis, so,if permits, tend to gear your balancesheets

    Thai banks are flooded with ampleliquidity, what is lacking is goodcorporate story

    If you feel concerned with debt, thenuse hybrids and grab the opportunity

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    Equity Funding in Crisis For normal business expansion..here

    are my thoughts

    Study in-depth, do you really need toexpand with demand is virtually out

    Secondly, as commodities are tend to be

    cheap, crisis is the best time to buildcapacities at cheap cost

    Use debt, internal cash to expand

    distress mentality persists during crisis

    mode, so dont do a private equity dealfor normal expansion

    Unlock your value once, economic cyclesturns upwards (e.g. IPO, etc.)

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    THANK YOU!

    T