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E p i d e m i o l o g i c a l S u r v e i l l a n c e & C o n t r o l o f C D s i n T u r k e y European Commission. Republic of Turkey, Ministry of Health. WHO Regional Office for Europe 1 Strengthening PH Strengthening PH Surveillance & Surveillance & Control Control Dr Robert Hartley Stevens WHO Country Office, Turke WHO European Region

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Page 1: Epidemiological Surveillance & Control of CDs in Turkey European Commission. Republic of Turkey, Ministry of Health. WHO Regional Office for Europe 1 Strengthening

Ep

idemiological S

urveillance & C

ontrol of CD

s in T

urkey

European Commission. Republic of Turkey, Ministry of Health. WHO Regional Office for Europe1

Strengthening PH Strengthening PH Surveillance & ControlSurveillance & Control

Dr Robert Hartley Stevens WHO Country Office, Turkey

WHO European Region

Page 2: Epidemiological Surveillance & Control of CDs in Turkey European Commission. Republic of Turkey, Ministry of Health. WHO Regional Office for Europe 1 Strengthening

Ep

idemiological S

urveillance & C

ontrol of CD

s in T

urkey

European Commission. Republic of Turkey, Ministry of Health. WHO Regional Office for Europe2

InternationalInternationalPolicy ContextPolicy Context

Page 3: Epidemiological Surveillance & Control of CDs in Turkey European Commission. Republic of Turkey, Ministry of Health. WHO Regional Office for Europe 1 Strengthening

Ep

idemiological S

urveillance & C

ontrol of CD

s in T

urkey

European Commission. Republic of Turkey, Ministry of Health. WHO Regional Office for Europe3

The UN FamilyThe UN Family

UNO WHO FAO UNESCO ILO

Specialised Agencies

Implementing bodies

•UNICEF•UNDP•UNHCR•Etc.

Self-Governing Agencies

•IMF•WB•WTO•Etc.

Page 4: Epidemiological Surveillance & Control of CDs in Turkey European Commission. Republic of Turkey, Ministry of Health. WHO Regional Office for Europe 1 Strengthening

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idemiological S

urveillance & C

ontrol of CD

s in T

urkey

European Commission. Republic of Turkey, Ministry of Health. WHO Regional Office for Europe4

Health For AllHealth For All

Secure and Supportive Society

Nu

trition

Ed

ucation

Incom

e

Health

Services

Pu

blic H

ealth

Hou

sing

Individuals fulfill their health potential

Page 5: Epidemiological Surveillance & Control of CDs in Turkey European Commission. Republic of Turkey, Ministry of Health. WHO Regional Office for Europe 1 Strengthening

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urveillance & C

ontrol of CD

s in T

urkey

European Commission. Republic of Turkey, Ministry of Health. WHO Regional Office for Europe5

The Health For All approachThe Health For All approach

Improve Health and Reduce Health Inequalities through:

Multi-Sectoral Working

Evidence Based Practice

Partnership and Participation

Health Systems Development

Page 6: Epidemiological Surveillance & Control of CDs in Turkey European Commission. Republic of Turkey, Ministry of Health. WHO Regional Office for Europe 1 Strengthening

Ep

idemiological S

urveillance & C

ontrol of CD

s in T

urkey

European Commission. Republic of Turkey, Ministry of Health. WHO Regional Office for Europe6

The Health Gap in WHO EuroThe Health Gap in WHO Euro

                                         

55y 57y 59y 61y 63y 65y 67y 69y 71y 73y 75y

Disability Adjusted Life Years (DALYs)Disability Adjusted Life Years (DALYs)

Commonwealth of Independent States

Republic of Turkey

EU 10 joining May 2004

EU 15 before May 2004

Page 7: Epidemiological Surveillance & Control of CDs in Turkey European Commission. Republic of Turkey, Ministry of Health. WHO Regional Office for Europe 1 Strengthening

Ep

idemiological S

urveillance & C

ontrol of CD

s in T

urkey

European Commission. Republic of Turkey, Ministry of Health. WHO Regional Office for Europe7

Health versus WealthHealth versus Wealth

1

10

100

1000

0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40Dea

ths

/ 100

,000

live

bi

rths

GDP per cap PPP USD 000s

Maternal Mortality Rate versus Gross Domestic ProductMaternal Mortality Rate versus Gross Domestic Product42 / 52 Euro states, 2002, HFA Database 200542 / 52 Euro states, 2002, HFA Database 2005

Turkey Reported

Turkey Actual

Page 8: Epidemiological Surveillance & Control of CDs in Turkey European Commission. Republic of Turkey, Ministry of Health. WHO Regional Office for Europe 1 Strengthening

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European Commission. Republic of Turkey, Ministry of Health. WHO Regional Office for Europe8

Health Spending as a National PriorityHealth Spending as a National Priority

Health Expenditure as a % of GDP versus log GDPHealth Expenditure as a % of GDP versus log GDP42 / 52 Euro states, 2002, HFA Database 200542 / 52 Euro states, 2002, HFA Database 2005

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

1 10 100

Hea

lth E

xp a

s a

% o

f G

DP

GDP per cap PPP USD 000s

Turkey

Page 9: Epidemiological Surveillance & Control of CDs in Turkey European Commission. Republic of Turkey, Ministry of Health. WHO Regional Office for Europe 1 Strengthening

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urveillance & C

ontrol of CD

s in T

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European Commission. Republic of Turkey, Ministry of Health. WHO Regional Office for Europe9

Health Systems DevelopmentHealth Systems Development

Turkey is spending an above average %GDP on health

But MMR is still average to high because of organisational factors

Page 10: Epidemiological Surveillance & Control of CDs in Turkey European Commission. Republic of Turkey, Ministry of Health. WHO Regional Office for Europe 1 Strengthening

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idemiological S

urveillance & C

ontrol of CD

s in T

urkey

European Commission. Republic of Turkey, Ministry of Health. WHO Regional Office for Europe10

Old Int Health Reg 1969Old Int Health Reg 1969Limited scope (Cholera, Yellow fever, Plague)

Only official reports and information considered

Notification by MS only after confirmation

WHO involved only after official notification

Border controls

Page 11: Epidemiological Surveillance & Control of CDs in Turkey European Commission. Republic of Turkey, Ministry of Health. WHO Regional Office for Europe 1 Strengthening

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idemiological S

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European Commission. Republic of Turkey, Ministry of Health. WHO Regional Office for Europe11

New IHR 2005New IHR 2005All PH Emergencies of International Concern

Containment in-country

WHO acts on all information sources

Adapted responses according to risks

WHO / ECDC / GOARN support from the start

Page 12: Epidemiological Surveillance & Control of CDs in Turkey European Commission. Republic of Turkey, Ministry of Health. WHO Regional Office for Europe 1 Strengthening

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idemiological S

urveillance & C

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urkey

European Commission. Republic of Turkey, Ministry of Health. WHO Regional Office for Europe12

EC CD LegislationEC CD LegislationList of 46 diseases brought progressively under surveillance

Contribution to Community networks

Comparable and compatible data

Early warning and response

Page 13: Epidemiological Surveillance & Control of CDs in Turkey European Commission. Republic of Turkey, Ministry of Health. WHO Regional Office for Europe 1 Strengthening

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idemiological S

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s in T

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European Commission. Republic of Turkey, Ministry of Health. WHO Regional Office for Europe13

EC CD LegislationEC CD Legislation

Legal Framework

ECDC

Norms + Systems = NPoA WHO

Guidelines SoPs

Performance

Audit

Page 14: Epidemiological Surveillance & Control of CDs in Turkey European Commission. Republic of Turkey, Ministry of Health. WHO Regional Office for Europe 1 Strengthening

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idemiological S

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European Commission. Republic of Turkey, Ministry of Health. WHO Regional Office for Europe14

Technical Issues:Technical Issues:Surveillance Surveillance

Page 15: Epidemiological Surveillance & Control of CDs in Turkey European Commission. Republic of Turkey, Ministry of Health. WHO Regional Office for Europe 1 Strengthening

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European Commission. Republic of Turkey, Ministry of Health. WHO Regional Office for Europe15

Public Health Emergency of Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC)International Concern (PHEIC)

Any two of:– Serious public health impact of the event– Event is unusual or unexpected– Significant risk of international spread– Significant risk of international travel or

trade restrictions

‘an extraordinary event which constitutes a public health risk to other States through the international spread of disease and potentially require a coordinated international response’

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European Commission. Republic of Turkey, Ministry of Health. WHO Regional Office for Europe16

Examples of PHEICsExamples of PHEICsSudden increase in IMD in pilgrims returning from the Haj

Cholera with high risk of international spread

Cases of a novel strain of influenza

Natural disasters with potential impact on other countries

Serious chemical contamination of rivers crossing international boundaries

Serious chemical or radioactive air pollution following an industrial accident

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European Commission. Republic of Turkey, Ministry of Health. WHO Regional Office for Europe17

CD Surveillance and ControlCD Surveillance and ControlEvent detection, warning and early responseEstimating burden and trend in diseaseChanges in severity, clinical pictureMonitoring disease control incl. VPIGenerating research hypotheses

Page 18: Epidemiological Surveillance & Control of CDs in Turkey European Commission. Republic of Turkey, Ministry of Health. WHO Regional Office for Europe 1 Strengthening

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European Commission. Republic of Turkey, Ministry of Health. WHO Regional Office for Europe18

Event DetectionEvent Detection

Baseline

Alert threshold

Action threshold

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European Commission. Republic of Turkey, Ministry of Health. WHO Regional Office for Europe19

Signals and NoiseSignals and Noise

Typo

Year-on-year trend

Noise

Seasonality

Outbreak

Rep

ortin

g V

ariation

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European Commission. Republic of Turkey, Ministry of Health. WHO Regional Office for Europe20

Turkey MeningitisTurkey MeningitisAnnual Average Case Rate

0

2

4

6

8

10

1 4 7 10 13 16 19 22 25 28 31 34 37 40 43 46 49 52 55 58 61 64 67 70 73 76 79

Province

Rat

e per

100

,000

....

Source: MoH routine notifications 1996 to 2006

Includes all causes of probable cases of meningitis 30-fold variation due to reporting bias

Page 21: Epidemiological Surveillance & Control of CDs in Turkey European Commission. Republic of Turkey, Ministry of Health. WHO Regional Office for Europe 1 Strengthening

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European Commission. Republic of Turkey, Ministry of Health. WHO Regional Office for Europe21

Turkey MeningitisTurkey MeningitisYear-on-year trend

0.00

0.20

0.40

0.60

0.80

1.00

1.20

1.40

1.60

1.80

2.00

1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006

Rep

ort

Rat

e,Turk

ey.... EU 25

average

Source: MoH routine notifications 1996 to 2006

Rapid decrease in baseline

Page 22: Epidemiological Surveillance & Control of CDs in Turkey European Commission. Republic of Turkey, Ministry of Health. WHO Regional Office for Europe 1 Strengthening

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European Commission. Republic of Turkey, Ministry of Health. WHO Regional Office for Europe22

Turkey MeningitisTurkey MeningitisYear-on-year trend

0.00

0.50

1.00

1.50

2.00

1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006

Rep

ort

Rat

e, T

urk

ey.....

EU Median 2005

Source: MoH routine notifications 1996 to 2006

Reports are 1/5 of EU average, lower than any of EU 25

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Surveillance Surveillance System System

StrengtheningStrengthening

Page 24: Epidemiological Surveillance & Control of CDs in Turkey European Commission. Republic of Turkey, Ministry of Health. WHO Regional Office for Europe 1 Strengthening

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European Commission. Republic of Turkey, Ministry of Health. WHO Regional Office for Europe24

Main Achievements to DateMain Achievements to Date EPIET-like 3 week epidemiology course (30 Fellows) 4 / 5 x 1-week modules in more specialized public health

topics (30 Fellows) Adult education Preparatory of study protocols Data analysis of study results Health Mapping

6 / 6 x 2-week ToTs (180 CD Department staff). 30 / 81 Provinces x 2-day Basic Training (3000 GPs) Strategic management training to a national planning group

(20 core Working Group members) Laboratory management training

2-week ToT (40) 3-day (450 microbiologists) SoPs for PH microbiology Launching a pilot laboratory sentinel surveillance network

Page 25: Epidemiological Surveillance & Control of CDs in Turkey European Commission. Republic of Turkey, Ministry of Health. WHO Regional Office for Europe 1 Strengthening

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European Commission. Republic of Turkey, Ministry of Health. WHO Regional Office for Europe25

Strategic 5 year plan

Yearly action plans

Monitoring progress

Evaluating outcomes and impact

Assessing risks; prioritising public health threats; assessing existing systems

IHR: Planning and Management CycleIHR: Planning and Management Cycle

Page 26: Epidemiological Surveillance & Control of CDs in Turkey European Commission. Republic of Turkey, Ministry of Health. WHO Regional Office for Europe 1 Strengthening

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European Commission. Republic of Turkey, Ministry of Health. WHO Regional Office for Europe26

Primary Health

MoHNRL

PHDs

Medical Universities and Sate Hospitals

Integrated Surveillance - 1Integrated Surveillance - 1

Food and Water Safety Animal

Health

Vital Registration

Nosocomial Infections

MoHNRL

TB Dispens.

NRL

Group D

Other systems…?

Page 27: Epidemiological Surveillance & Control of CDs in Turkey European Commission. Republic of Turkey, Ministry of Health. WHO Regional Office for Europe 1 Strengthening

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European Commission. Republic of Turkey, Ministry of Health. WHO Regional Office for Europe27

Primary Health Care and Hospitals

Provincial Health Directorates

Intermediate level

MoHNRL

National Focal Point

Rep

ortin

g Feedback

Integrated Surveillance - 2Integrated Surveillance - 2

Page 28: Epidemiological Surveillance & Control of CDs in Turkey European Commission. Republic of Turkey, Ministry of Health. WHO Regional Office for Europe 1 Strengthening

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European Commission. Republic of Turkey, Ministry of Health. WHO Regional Office for Europe28

Evidence Based Policy /

Critical Appraisal of Literature

Operational Research (OR)

Monitoring & Evaluation (M&E)

Surveillance & Lab Guidelines Management & Organisational

Development

(M&OD)

CDS&C System Development ModelCDS&C System Development Model

Page 29: Epidemiological Surveillance & Control of CDs in Turkey European Commission. Republic of Turkey, Ministry of Health. WHO Regional Office for Europe 1 Strengthening

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European Commission. Republic of Turkey, Ministry of Health. WHO Regional Office for Europe29

Next StepsNext StepsBuilding on the broad base of ESCCDS I: ESCCDS II – Development of National Electronic Surveillance– Bench laboratory training– 20 Cohort II surveillance and control Fellows– National Conference

EC 2008 funding– IHR integrated surveillance strengthening– ? Turkish Field Epidemiology Training Programme

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European Commission. Republic of Turkey, Ministry of Health. WHO Regional Office for Europe30

Thank youThank you

Robert Hartley StevensProject [email protected]