epidemiological surveillance & control of cds in turkey european commission. republic of turkey,...
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Ep
idemiological S
urveillance & C
ontrol of CD
s in T
urkey
European Commission. Republic of Turkey, Ministry of Health. WHO Regional Office for Europe1
Strengthening PH Strengthening PH Surveillance & ControlSurveillance & Control
Dr Robert Hartley Stevens WHO Country Office, Turkey
WHO European Region
Ep
idemiological S
urveillance & C
ontrol of CD
s in T
urkey
European Commission. Republic of Turkey, Ministry of Health. WHO Regional Office for Europe2
InternationalInternationalPolicy ContextPolicy Context
Ep
idemiological S
urveillance & C
ontrol of CD
s in T
urkey
European Commission. Republic of Turkey, Ministry of Health. WHO Regional Office for Europe3
The UN FamilyThe UN Family
UNO WHO FAO UNESCO ILO
Specialised Agencies
Implementing bodies
•UNICEF•UNDP•UNHCR•Etc.
Self-Governing Agencies
•IMF•WB•WTO•Etc.
Ep
idemiological S
urveillance & C
ontrol of CD
s in T
urkey
European Commission. Republic of Turkey, Ministry of Health. WHO Regional Office for Europe4
Health For AllHealth For All
Secure and Supportive Society
Nu
trition
Ed
ucation
Incom
e
Health
Services
Pu
blic H
ealth
Hou
sing
Individuals fulfill their health potential
Ep
idemiological S
urveillance & C
ontrol of CD
s in T
urkey
European Commission. Republic of Turkey, Ministry of Health. WHO Regional Office for Europe5
The Health For All approachThe Health For All approach
Improve Health and Reduce Health Inequalities through:
Multi-Sectoral Working
Evidence Based Practice
Partnership and Participation
Health Systems Development
Ep
idemiological S
urveillance & C
ontrol of CD
s in T
urkey
European Commission. Republic of Turkey, Ministry of Health. WHO Regional Office for Europe6
The Health Gap in WHO EuroThe Health Gap in WHO Euro
55y 57y 59y 61y 63y 65y 67y 69y 71y 73y 75y
Disability Adjusted Life Years (DALYs)Disability Adjusted Life Years (DALYs)
Commonwealth of Independent States
Republic of Turkey
EU 10 joining May 2004
EU 15 before May 2004
Ep
idemiological S
urveillance & C
ontrol of CD
s in T
urkey
European Commission. Republic of Turkey, Ministry of Health. WHO Regional Office for Europe7
Health versus WealthHealth versus Wealth
1
10
100
1000
0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40Dea
ths
/ 100
,000
live
bi
rths
GDP per cap PPP USD 000s
Maternal Mortality Rate versus Gross Domestic ProductMaternal Mortality Rate versus Gross Domestic Product42 / 52 Euro states, 2002, HFA Database 200542 / 52 Euro states, 2002, HFA Database 2005
Turkey Reported
Turkey Actual
Ep
idemiological S
urveillance & C
ontrol of CD
s in T
urkey
European Commission. Republic of Turkey, Ministry of Health. WHO Regional Office for Europe8
Health Spending as a National PriorityHealth Spending as a National Priority
Health Expenditure as a % of GDP versus log GDPHealth Expenditure as a % of GDP versus log GDP42 / 52 Euro states, 2002, HFA Database 200542 / 52 Euro states, 2002, HFA Database 2005
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
1 10 100
Hea
lth E
xp a
s a
% o
f G
DP
GDP per cap PPP USD 000s
Turkey
Ep
idemiological S
urveillance & C
ontrol of CD
s in T
urkey
European Commission. Republic of Turkey, Ministry of Health. WHO Regional Office for Europe9
Health Systems DevelopmentHealth Systems Development
Turkey is spending an above average %GDP on health
But MMR is still average to high because of organisational factors
Ep
idemiological S
urveillance & C
ontrol of CD
s in T
urkey
European Commission. Republic of Turkey, Ministry of Health. WHO Regional Office for Europe10
Old Int Health Reg 1969Old Int Health Reg 1969Limited scope (Cholera, Yellow fever, Plague)
Only official reports and information considered
Notification by MS only after confirmation
WHO involved only after official notification
Border controls
Ep
idemiological S
urveillance & C
ontrol of CD
s in T
urkey
European Commission. Republic of Turkey, Ministry of Health. WHO Regional Office for Europe11
New IHR 2005New IHR 2005All PH Emergencies of International Concern
Containment in-country
WHO acts on all information sources
Adapted responses according to risks
WHO / ECDC / GOARN support from the start
Ep
idemiological S
urveillance & C
ontrol of CD
s in T
urkey
European Commission. Republic of Turkey, Ministry of Health. WHO Regional Office for Europe12
EC CD LegislationEC CD LegislationList of 46 diseases brought progressively under surveillance
Contribution to Community networks
Comparable and compatible data
Early warning and response
Ep
idemiological S
urveillance & C
ontrol of CD
s in T
urkey
European Commission. Republic of Turkey, Ministry of Health. WHO Regional Office for Europe13
EC CD LegislationEC CD Legislation
Legal Framework
ECDC
Norms + Systems = NPoA WHO
Guidelines SoPs
Performance
Audit
Ep
idemiological S
urveillance & C
ontrol of CD
s in T
urkey
European Commission. Republic of Turkey, Ministry of Health. WHO Regional Office for Europe14
Technical Issues:Technical Issues:Surveillance Surveillance
Ep
idemiological S
urveillance & C
ontrol of CD
s in T
urkey
European Commission. Republic of Turkey, Ministry of Health. WHO Regional Office for Europe15
Public Health Emergency of Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC)International Concern (PHEIC)
Any two of:– Serious public health impact of the event– Event is unusual or unexpected– Significant risk of international spread– Significant risk of international travel or
trade restrictions
‘an extraordinary event which constitutes a public health risk to other States through the international spread of disease and potentially require a coordinated international response’
Ep
idemiological S
urveillance & C
ontrol of CD
s in T
urkey
European Commission. Republic of Turkey, Ministry of Health. WHO Regional Office for Europe16
Examples of PHEICsExamples of PHEICsSudden increase in IMD in pilgrims returning from the Haj
Cholera with high risk of international spread
Cases of a novel strain of influenza
Natural disasters with potential impact on other countries
Serious chemical contamination of rivers crossing international boundaries
Serious chemical or radioactive air pollution following an industrial accident
Ep
idemiological S
urveillance & C
ontrol of CD
s in T
urkey
European Commission. Republic of Turkey, Ministry of Health. WHO Regional Office for Europe17
CD Surveillance and ControlCD Surveillance and ControlEvent detection, warning and early responseEstimating burden and trend in diseaseChanges in severity, clinical pictureMonitoring disease control incl. VPIGenerating research hypotheses
Ep
idemiological S
urveillance & C
ontrol of CD
s in T
urkey
European Commission. Republic of Turkey, Ministry of Health. WHO Regional Office for Europe18
Event DetectionEvent Detection
Baseline
Alert threshold
Action threshold
Ep
idemiological S
urveillance & C
ontrol of CD
s in T
urkey
European Commission. Republic of Turkey, Ministry of Health. WHO Regional Office for Europe19
Signals and NoiseSignals and Noise
Typo
Year-on-year trend
Noise
Seasonality
Outbreak
Rep
ortin
g V
ariation
Ep
idemiological S
urveillance & C
ontrol of CD
s in T
urkey
European Commission. Republic of Turkey, Ministry of Health. WHO Regional Office for Europe20
Turkey MeningitisTurkey MeningitisAnnual Average Case Rate
0
2
4
6
8
10
1 4 7 10 13 16 19 22 25 28 31 34 37 40 43 46 49 52 55 58 61 64 67 70 73 76 79
Province
Rat
e per
100
,000
....
Source: MoH routine notifications 1996 to 2006
Includes all causes of probable cases of meningitis 30-fold variation due to reporting bias
Ep
idemiological S
urveillance & C
ontrol of CD
s in T
urkey
European Commission. Republic of Turkey, Ministry of Health. WHO Regional Office for Europe21
Turkey MeningitisTurkey MeningitisYear-on-year trend
0.00
0.20
0.40
0.60
0.80
1.00
1.20
1.40
1.60
1.80
2.00
1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006
Rep
ort
Rat
e,Turk
ey.... EU 25
average
Source: MoH routine notifications 1996 to 2006
Rapid decrease in baseline
Ep
idemiological S
urveillance & C
ontrol of CD
s in T
urkey
European Commission. Republic of Turkey, Ministry of Health. WHO Regional Office for Europe22
Turkey MeningitisTurkey MeningitisYear-on-year trend
0.00
0.50
1.00
1.50
2.00
1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006
Rep
ort
Rat
e, T
urk
ey.....
EU Median 2005
Source: MoH routine notifications 1996 to 2006
Reports are 1/5 of EU average, lower than any of EU 25
Ep
idemiological S
urveillance & C
ontrol of CD
s in T
urkey
European Commission. Republic of Turkey, Ministry of Health. WHO Regional Office for Europe23
Surveillance Surveillance System System
StrengtheningStrengthening
Ep
idemiological S
urveillance & C
ontrol of CD
s in T
urkey
European Commission. Republic of Turkey, Ministry of Health. WHO Regional Office for Europe24
Main Achievements to DateMain Achievements to Date EPIET-like 3 week epidemiology course (30 Fellows) 4 / 5 x 1-week modules in more specialized public health
topics (30 Fellows) Adult education Preparatory of study protocols Data analysis of study results Health Mapping
6 / 6 x 2-week ToTs (180 CD Department staff). 30 / 81 Provinces x 2-day Basic Training (3000 GPs) Strategic management training to a national planning group
(20 core Working Group members) Laboratory management training
2-week ToT (40) 3-day (450 microbiologists) SoPs for PH microbiology Launching a pilot laboratory sentinel surveillance network
Ep
idemiological S
urveillance & C
ontrol of CD
s in T
urkey
European Commission. Republic of Turkey, Ministry of Health. WHO Regional Office for Europe25
Strategic 5 year plan
Yearly action plans
Monitoring progress
Evaluating outcomes and impact
Assessing risks; prioritising public health threats; assessing existing systems
IHR: Planning and Management CycleIHR: Planning and Management Cycle
Ep
idemiological S
urveillance & C
ontrol of CD
s in T
urkey
European Commission. Republic of Turkey, Ministry of Health. WHO Regional Office for Europe26
Primary Health
MoHNRL
PHDs
Medical Universities and Sate Hospitals
Integrated Surveillance - 1Integrated Surveillance - 1
Food and Water Safety Animal
Health
Vital Registration
Nosocomial Infections
MoHNRL
TB Dispens.
NRL
Group D
Other systems…?
Ep
idemiological S
urveillance & C
ontrol of CD
s in T
urkey
European Commission. Republic of Turkey, Ministry of Health. WHO Regional Office for Europe27
Primary Health Care and Hospitals
Provincial Health Directorates
Intermediate level
MoHNRL
National Focal Point
Rep
ortin
g Feedback
Integrated Surveillance - 2Integrated Surveillance - 2
Ep
idemiological S
urveillance & C
ontrol of CD
s in T
urkey
European Commission. Republic of Turkey, Ministry of Health. WHO Regional Office for Europe28
Evidence Based Policy /
Critical Appraisal of Literature
Operational Research (OR)
Monitoring & Evaluation (M&E)
Surveillance & Lab Guidelines Management & Organisational
Development
(M&OD)
CDS&C System Development ModelCDS&C System Development Model
Ep
idemiological S
urveillance & C
ontrol of CD
s in T
urkey
European Commission. Republic of Turkey, Ministry of Health. WHO Regional Office for Europe29
Next StepsNext StepsBuilding on the broad base of ESCCDS I: ESCCDS II – Development of National Electronic Surveillance– Bench laboratory training– 20 Cohort II surveillance and control Fellows– National Conference
EC 2008 funding– IHR integrated surveillance strengthening– ? Turkish Field Epidemiology Training Programme
Ep
idemiological S
urveillance & C
ontrol of CD
s in T
urkey
European Commission. Republic of Turkey, Ministry of Health. WHO Regional Office for Europe30
Thank youThank you
Robert Hartley StevensProject [email protected]