eohazards mitigating the risks learning from ancient ......baelo claudia 2009 corinth 2011...
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GEOHAZARDS, MITIGATING THE RISKS
Learning from Ancient Earthquakes
IGCP 567 (2008-2012)
Earthquake Archaeology in the Alpine-Himalayan Seismic Zone
Manuel Sintubin (Belgium)
Iain Stewart (U.K.), Tina Niemi (U.S.A.), Erhan Altunel (Turkey)
40th Anniversary IGCP, UNESCO, Paris, 22 February 2012
World Press Photograph 2012
Toshiyuki Tsunenari
GEOHAZARDS
World Press Photograph 2012
Toshiyuki Tsunenari
GEOHAZARDS
very low- to low-frequency events
World Press Photograph 2012
Toshiyuki Tsunenari
GEOHAZARDS
very low- to low-frequency events
high-impact events
World Press Photograph 2012
Toshiyuki Tsunenari
GEOHAZARDS
very low- to low-frequency events
high-impact events
highly unpredictable events
M6.1 February 21th, 2011 Christchurch earthquake
GEOHAZARDS, MITIGATING THE RISKS San Andreas Fault, California
GEOHAZARDS, MITIGATING THE RISKS
HAZARD NATURAL PHENOMENON
San Andreas Fault, California
GEOHAZARDS, MITIGATING THE RISKS
HAZARD NATURAL PHENOMENON
RISK
San Andreas Fault, California
San Francisco 1906
M7.0 January 12th, 2010 Haiti earthquake
GEOHAZARDS, MITIGATING THE RISKS
HAZARD NATURAL PHENOMENON
San Andreas Fault, California
GEOHAZARDS, MITIGATING THE RISKS
HAZARD NATURAL PHENOMENON
working on exposure, a ‘mission impossible’?
GEOHAZARDS, MITIGATING THE RISKS
HAZARD NATURAL PHENOMENON
working on reducing vulnerability! UC Berkeley University Hall
GEOHAZARDS, MITIGATING THE RISKS
HAZARD NATURAL PHENOMENON
working on strenghtening resilience!
© Getty Images
© telegraph.co.uk
World Press Photograph 2012
Yasuyoshi Chiba
M9.0 March 11th, 2011 Tohoku earthquake & tsunami
M6.3 April 6th, 2009 L’Aquila earthquake
EARTHQUAKE THREAT?
ICSU, 2005
EARTHQUAKE THREAT?
Jackson 2006
EARTHQUAKE THREAT
Bartels & Van Rooyen
2011
EARTHQUAKE THREAT
2011, highest economic loss ever caused by earthquakes! 133 earthquakes causing losses
~21.000 casualties (~70% of total)
~365 billion USD economic loss
World Press Photograph 2012
Lars Lindqvist
EARTHQUAKE THREAT
© Columbia University
megacities in the Alpine-Himalayan seismic zone!
Mycenea, Greece LETHAL ATTRACTION
LETHAL ATTRACTION Bam, Iran
© Roozbeh Shivayi
M6.6 December 26th, 2003 earthquake
Delphi, Greece
IGCP 567 EARTHQUAKE ARCHAEOLOGY
IN THE ALPINE-HIMALAYAN SEISMIC ZONE
IGCP 567 EARTHQUAKE ARCHAEOLOGY Petra, Jordan
IGCP 567 EARTHQUAKE ARCHAEOLOGY Dholavira, Gujarat, India
IGCP 567 EARTHQUAKE ARCHAEOLOGY
Baelo Claudia 2009
Corinth 2011
Geological Society of America
Special Paper 471
IGCP 567 EARTHQUAKE ARCHAEOLOGY Petra, Jordan
Knossos, Crete
IGCP 567 EARTHQUAKE ARCHAEOLOGY
Nature, 15 September 2011
GEOHAZARDS, MITIGATING THE RISKS
risk communication?
risk literacy?
GEOHAZARDS, MITIGATING THE RISKS
GEOHAZARDS, STRENGHTENING SOCIETY’S RESILIENCE
World Press Photograph 2012
Yasuyoshi Chiba
World Press Photograph 2012
Yasuyoshi Chiba
ees.kuleuven.be/igcp567/
World Press Photograph 2012
Toshiyuki Tsunenari
Qutb Minar, Delhi Angkor Wat
Abdullah Khan Madrassa, Bikhara Hagia Sophia, Istanbul
Nimrod, Golan Heights
Susita, Golan Heights
Hierapolis, Turkey Phaestos, Crete
Susita, Golan Heights
IGCP 567 EARTHQUAKE ARCHAEOLOGY
Crete 2008
Baelo Claudia 2009
DSF 2009
Thessaloniki 2010
Vienna 2010
Bhuj 2011
Kobe 2010
Santa Fe 2008
Memphis 2011
Corinth 2011
Morelia 2012?
Brisbane 2012
Leuven 2012
San Diego 2012
Aachen 2013?
IGCP 567 EARTHQUAKE ARCHAEOLOGY
Seismological Research Letters 79(6) 2008 “In establishing such an
earthquake culture,
telling ‘a good story’
may be good enough!” Sintubin et al., SRL 79(5), nov/dec 2008
GEOHAZARDS, MITIGATING THE RISKS Eyjafjallajökul 2010
GEOHAZARDS, MITIGATING THE RISKS Laki 1783
GEOHAZARDS, MITIGATING THE RISKS
Thordarson & Self 2003
working on exposure?