Environment Scan

South Gippsland Bass Coast Local Learning and Employment Network Report prepared by Communities Alive September 2016

PART A: REGION PROFILE (a) OVERVIEW

The South Gippsland Bass Coast Local Learning and Employment Network (SGBCLLEN) area is defined by the combined boundaries of the South Gippsland and Bass Coast Shires. It has a combined land area of 4200km2, which consists of rural farm land, stunning coastlines and small townships. There are 24 Primary Schools, 6 Secondary Colleges, 1 P – 12 school, 1 P – 10 school and 2 special schools in the region. The two Shires vary significantly in their major industries, with a heavy reliance on tourism in Bass Coast and agriculture in South Gippsland. The age group structure of the population reflects a similar situation to many other rural areas, with greater growth of retirees and the under working age segments and much slower growth (or even decline) of the working age population segments. Both Shires have pockets of significant disadvantage and are ranked 24th (Bass Coast) and 40th (South Gippsland) on the SEIFA index of disadvantage for Victorian Local Government areas. The region has a relatively small Indigenous population and low levels of diversity.

(b) POPULATION The population trends of the two Shires are quite different in terms of growth rates, but similar in terms of structure by age group. Both Shires follow an age group profile similar to regional Victoria, where the largest age segments are under 15 and over 55. This is in contrast to metropolitan areas whose profiles show a swelling of numbers in the working age groups. Figure 1.1 Population by age and gender, Dept of Health and Human Services With the exception of Cowes, the population summaries of the region show the largest populations of school aged students are located in the centres where there is a preschool, primary school and secondary college. Students living in the Cowes/Ventnor area are required to travel a minimum of 8km to the nearest independent secondary college and 40km to the nearest government secondary college. Access to education, including transport options for students will be of high importance given the predicted growth in these age group cohorts.

Table 1.1 Population by age and small region, Australian Bureau of Statistics 2011 Census

Bass Coast Shire Total persons (Usual residence) 2011 Bass Coast Cowes/

Ventnor Inverloch Pound Creek

Newhaven Cape Woolamai

Nth Wonthaggi

Phillip Island Balance

Rural Balance

San Remo Waterline

Wonthaggi Cape Paterson

Five year age groups (years) Number 5 to 9 1638 261 272 129 177 117 152 38 182 298 10 to 14 1,632 293 199 128 191 102 144 45 198 322 15 to 19 1,525 260 181 104 188 87 145 39 172 368 20 to 24 1,188 234 162 72 158 57 100 21 110 261 Total 5,983 1,048 814 433 714 363 541 143 662 1,249

South Gippsland Shire- Total persons (Usual residence) 2011 South

Gippsland Korumburra Leongatha Mirboo North

Nyora/ Poowong

Rural NE

Rural West

SE Coastal

SW Coastal

Five year age groups (years) 5 to 9 1685 291 327 148 166 205 194 268 149 10 to 14 1866 315 352 163 192 194 196 320 134 15 to 19 1673 271 308 165 165 174 133 303 133 20 to 24 1179 201 340 90 111 107 58 177 83

Total 6,403 1,078 1,327 566 634 680 581 1,068 499 Of particular significance to this study are the forecast populations by age group structure. The under working age populations (0 – 15 yrs)are forecast to increase by approx. 45% in Bass Coast and 25% in South Gippsland, whilst the working age populations of Bass

Coast and South Gippsland are projected to increase by 19.7% and 5% respectively between 2011 and 2026. This has implications for the education sector, (particularly with just two secondary colleges servicing a rapidly growing Bass Coast population) and the age of the local workforce. An ageing workforce will have implications for labour and skills shortages as those workers retire. Currently there are 15 Primary Schools, 5 Secondary Schools, 1 P – 10 School and 1 Special School servicing the South Gippsland Shire. In contrast, Bass Coast has 9 Primary Schools, 1 Secondary School, 1 P – 12 School and 1 Special School. Whilst this is adequate for the present (although this is contentious), significant planning will need to take place to accommodate the forecasted growth in student numbers to 2036. Bass Coast will have a larger population of school aged youth compared with South Gippsland but much fewer schools to house them. Table 1.2 Population Projections, Profile I.D 2011

Population Projection South Gippsland Bass Coast Age Group 2011 2036

% Change 2011 2036

% Change

05 - 14 yrs 3552 4594 22.7 3296 5351 38.4 15 - 24 yrs 2963 3252 8.9 2888 4026 28.3

(c) DIVERSITY

The South Gippsland Bass Coast region has a very small indigenous population, relative to Victoria as a whole, but the growth of this population segment is consistent with the wider population growth for each area.

Table 1.3 Indigenous Population, VCAMS 2011

Indigenous Population 2011 Age Group Bass Coast South Gippsland Victoria 05 - 09 yrs 17 25 4284 10 - 14 yrs 31 27 4412 15 - 19 yrs 22 14 4057 20 - 24 yrs 20 18 3338

The 2011 Census shows that approximately 5% of Bass Coast youth (aged 5 – 24 years) and 3% of South Gippsland were born outside of Australia, and 23% and 15% of all residents speak a language other than English at home. Since the release of the 2011 Census data, there has been a number of new migrants settling in Bass Coast, particularly from Sudan and Myanmar. This is reported by the Centre for Multicultural Youth.

Table 1.4 Diversity, Australian Bureau of Statistics 2011 South Gippsland Bass Coast Persons Country of Birth (Other than Australia) 05 -14 yrs 15 - 24 yrs 05 - 14 yrs 15 - 24 yrs

Languages Spoken at Home (Other than English) Bass Coast Sth Gippsland England 12 15 34 18 Italian 309 Italian 288 New Zealand 22 20 19 22 German 107 German 115 Netherlands 0 0 4 0 Greek 93 Greek 32 Italy 0 0 5 0 Dutch 92 Dutch 94 Germany 0 0 8 9 French 56 French 15 India 5 6 8 8 Spanish 44 Spanish 29 Sth Africa 3 6 6 6 Japanese 42 Japanese 16 USA 6 4 13 0 Cantonese 38 Cantonese 16 Ireland 0 0 0 3 Polish 32 Vietnamese 22 Phillipines 4 3 11 4 Arabic 31 Russian 17 China 3 4 Filipino 31 Auslan 17 Other countries 21 15 23 36 Portugese 28 Afrikaans 16 Not stated/defined 105 107 154 143 Malayalam 26 Malayalam 22

Mandarin 26 Mandarin 16 Maltese 25 Tagalog 16 Other 402 Other 204

(d) HOUSEHOLDS 35% of South Gippsland and 30% of Bass Coast households have children. Of these, the majority are couples with young children, following the Victorian and regional Victorian trends. Table 1.5 Household Types, Australian Bureau of Statistics 2011

Households with children 2011 South Gippsland Bass Coast Number % Number % Couples with children 2,884 26.5 2,749 21.1 Couples with young children 1,580 14.5 1,602 12.3 Couples with mixed-age children 454 4.2 365 2.8 Couples with older children 850 7.8 782 6.0 Single parents with children 940 8.6 1,134 8.7 Single parents with young children 421 3.9 482 3.7 Single parents with mixed-age children 129 1.2 137 1.1 Single parents with older children 390 3.6 515 4.0 Total households with children 3,824 35.1 3,883 29.8 Total households 10,884 100.0 13,029 100.0

In 2011, just under 70% of all households had some kind of internet connection, with the majority using broadband. Conversely, around one quarter of all households did not have any form of internet connection. This increases the demand for public internet access through libraries, community houses and other public venues, particularly for students needing to study.

Table 1.6 Internet Connection, Australian Bureau of Statistics, 2011 Type of internet connection 2011 South Gippsland Bass Coast Number % Number % Total internet connection 7,510 69.0 8526 65.4 Broadband connection 6,587 60.5 7332 56.3 Dial-up connection 544 5.0 565 4.3 Other connection 379 3.5 629 4.8 No internet connection 2,733 25.1 3538 27.2 Not stated 642 5.9 965 7.4 Total households 10,885 100.0 13029 100

(e) DISADVANTAGE The South Gippsland and Bass Coast combined area has a very mixed socio-economic profile. There are pockets of significant advantage throughout both Shires, including the postcode areas of 3954 and 3996. There are also pockets of significant disadvantage, with the postcodes of 3984 and 3995 being listed in the Vinson Report’s Band 5 and 6 most disadvantaged postcodes in Victoria. This equates to averaging within the top 5% and 10% of the most disadvantaged across 22 indicators. Both of these postcodes have been included in this report for the second consecutive reporting period (2007, 2015). Overall, however, the region aligns just under Victorian average for most of the indicators of disadvantage, with Bass Coast 977.5, South Gippsland 999.5 and Victoria 1009.6 on the SEIFA Index of disadvantage. Table 1.7 shows the set of postcodes across the South Gippsland Bass Coast (SGBC) combined area, and the ranking each received for the 22 indicators measured by the Vinson Report (Dropping Off the Edge 2015). Every postcode in Victoria (667) in total) was measured and ranked in order from most disadvantaged (a score of 1) to least disadvantaged (a score of 667) for each of the 22 indicators. There were a number of postcodes that did not receive a score for one or more of the indicators as this was not relevant in their region. The total number of postcodes measured for each indicator is included under the title box for each indicator and highlighted in green. The purple shaded boxes indicate scores in the top 10% most disadvantaged for that indicator. Nineteen out of the 32 SGBC postcodes, recorded at least one ranking in the top 10% most disadvantaged. The most common indicators recording high levels of disadvantage across the SGBC area were: young adults not engaged, year 3 reading and year

3 numeracy. For each of these indicators there were five out of 32 local postcodes ranking in the top 10% most disadvantaged in Victoria. Table 1.7 Disadvantage Indicators by Postcode, Vinson Report 2015

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664 667 664 666 666 665 662 421 546 324 504 455 498 501 294 294 404 630 161 660 323 456 3871 330 458 235 261 459 291 380 396 223 189 401 220 101 149 144 146 244 310 378 435 287 3922 242 114 181 459 446 142 188 67 159 101 14 157 122 123 112 203 165 239 162 179 3923 352 210 180 455 502 205 598 329 271 552 365 3925 342 288 277 430 535 232 275 252 194 251 278 221 329 214 260 313 343 276 408 301 3945 382 458 387 240 251 497 312 280 347 363 388 75 277 460 154 325 3950 172 273 230 165 240 161 268 73 158 104 189 156 54 39 234 124 232 294 120 64 352 176 3951 324 273 425 422 498 520 52 363 454 88 582 471 373 3953 228 432 337 351 315 214 294 396 281 197 257 305 182 175 198 234 164 333 65 251 207 120 252 3954 549 312 613 424 532 402 598 324 284 6 404 3956 204 368 65 447 344 162 120 148 120 62 203 100 109 34 262 281 138 52 218 181 3957 298 482 157 159 295 77 156 432 199 250 3958 323 562 391 178 456 359 598 615 435

3960 181 474 163 303 415 117 248 19 154 307 310 445 280 273 165 284 269 217 320 260 3962 175 445 107 262 114 74 34 163 350 171 32 52 151 351 457 196 3965 9 364 2 221 221 7 598 10 179 179 3966 72 486 27 89 113 200 598 164 229 392 237 3981 263 77 370 170 110 277 308 344 319 217 238 311 138 52 77 90 223 267 478 204 256 228 3984 159 109 75 169 92 128 54 264 87 24 74 45 279 331 140 40 69 177 193 132 3987 488 296 328 256 111 194 367 339 381 174 9 459 129 82 262 93 248 3988 389 381 226 365 135 409 109 317 396 445 459 211 229 313 3991 334 265 282 36 222 18 598 166 159 148 200 54 207 3992 345 143 411 236 322 100 22 299 229 445 459 91 183 253 3995 74 259 183 195 201 28 138 43 80 58 45 95 113 112 174 165 24 46 8 27 35 129 101 3996 223 393 262 484 519 356 288 120 311 182 252 277 247 459 294 220 160 279 296

(f) KEY INDUSTRIES The major industry sectors for South Gippsland are Agriculture, Forestry & Mining, Manufacturing, Construction, Retail Trade & Health and Social Services. Bass Coast’s key industry sectors are construction, retail trade, accommodation & food services and Health & Social services.

Table 1.8 Employment by Industry Industry sector of employment 2011 South Gippsland Bass Coast Industry sector Number % Number % Agriculture, Forestry and Fishing 2,082 16.7 646 5.3 Mining 109 0.9 60 0.5 Manufacturing 1,203 9.6 757 6.2 Electricity, Gas, Water and Waste Services 211 1.7 274 2.3 Construction 1,208 9.7 2010 16.5 Wholesale trade 492 3.9 417 3.4 Retail Trade 1,271 10.2 1372 11.3 Accommodation and Food Services 743 5.9 1247 10.3 Transport, Postal and Warehousing 524 4.2 361 3 Information Media and Telecommunications 90 0.7 91 0.7 Financial and Insurance Services 188 1.5 165 1.4 Rental, Hiring and Real Estate Services 128 1.0 194 1.6 Professional, Scientific and Technical Services 452 3.6 480 4 Administrative and Support Services 268 2.1 337 2.8 Public Administration and Safety 480 3.8 515 4.2 Education and Training 827 6.6 856 7 Health Care and Social Assistance 1,318 10.6 1352 11.1 Arts and Recreation Services 173 1.4 355 2.9 Other Services 443 3.5 383 3.2 Inadequately described or not stated 280 2.2 274 2.3 Total employed persons aged 15+ 12,490 100.0 12146 100

Figure 1.2 below shows the projected industry growth with respect to jobs to the year 2018. It shows a slowing of job growth in the 2 of the key industry sectors for this region., but strong growth in the Health, Retail, Accommodation and Construction sectors. Figure 1.2 Projected Industry Growth by jobs to 2018, Gippsland Regional Plan

PART TWO: YOUTH HEALTH AND WELLBEING (a) OVERVIEW

The health and wellbeing of young people has a direct impact on their capacity to learn, secure ongoing employment and contribute to their local communities. The South Gippsland Bass Coast youth population are faring better than State averages in some areas, including levels of physical activity, emotional wellbeing and general satisfaction with quality of life and lower than average in others including teenage pregnancy rates, and consumption of fresh fruit & vegetables. Table 2.1 Health & wellbeing Indicators, Adolescent Community Profiles 2010 Indicator Bass Coast South Gippsland Victoria Overweight & Obese Adolescents

24% 25% 17.3% Adequate Fruit & Veg Intake Adolescents

18.6% (Gippsland) 31% Sufficient weekly physical Adolescents

13.5% (Gippsland) 12.3% Depression Aged 10 – 24 yrs 5% 5% 7.2% Emotional Wellbeing 63.1% (Gippsland) 61.1% Living with high family functioning

82.9% (Gippsland 83.1% Satisfied with quality of life 80% (Gippsland) 77.1% Electronic Media Usage More than 2 hrs/day 54.4% (Gippsland) 58.7% Teenage (15 – 19 yrs) Pregnancy 2014 Rate per 1000 live births

13 9 8

PART THREE: HUMAN CAPITAL – EDUCATION, SKILLS, EMPLOYMENT (a) OVERVIEW

The strength and resilience of a community can often be accurately captured by measuring the human capital of the region. Areas with strong education, skills and employment opportunities are better equipped to cope with economic change, are more productive and innovative, and have higher self-sufficiency. Research suggests “Australia’s greatest competitive challenge is to achieve more equitable education outcomes across regional Australia.” (Whalesong Services 2016).

(b) EMPLOYMENT The South Gippsland Bass Coast region follows a similar trend to other regional Victorian areas, where there are higher numbers of unskilled or low skilled workers, lower than average incomes, fewer people with Bachelor Degrees or higher, and an ageing workforce. The labour participation rate is below State average and there are higher numbers of disengaged youth. There is a significant challenge to create jobs for higher paid, higher skilled professionals to attract this cohort to the region and potentially impact on the age of the workforce. Table 3.1 Employment Indicators, ABS Census 2011

Indicator Bass Coast South Gippsland Victoria Labour Force Participation 51.9% 58.8% 61.4% Disengaged Youth 10.8% 9.1% 8.1% Youth Unemployment 8.8% 7.1% 12%

The local workforce is dominated by trades, labourers, sales staff and administrative occupations. With very few large businesses or workplaces, there is limited opportunity to attract professionals.

Table 3.2 Occupations, ABS Census 2011 Bass Coast South Gippsland Victoria Managers 14.6% 22% 13.2% Professionals 14.5% 13.7% 22.3% Technicians & Trades 18% 15.1% 13.9% Community & Personal Service

10.3% 8.4% 9.3% Clerical & Administration 10.1% 10.2% 14.4% Sales 10.4% 8.9% 9.7% Machinery Operators & Drivers

5.7% 7.4% 6.1% Labourers 14.2% 12.4% 9% There is significant difference in the GRP growth rate, and jobs growth rate of the two shires in the LLEN catchment. This is possibly influenced by the Desalination plant construction in the Bass Coast Shire during 2010 – 2013. Interestingly during the 2011 – 2013 period, the SGBCLLEN had the largest change in worker productivity of all Victorian LLEN’s. The total decrease of $16,884 was significantly higher than the Victorian State average of -$1300. Table 3.3 Regional Productivity and Jobs, NIEIR, 2015

Indicator Bass Coast South Gippsland Gross Regional Product ($AUD Million) 1817 1520 10 yr average annual GRP growth rate 2005 – 2015 5% -0.38% Number of local jobs 2014 14,252 11,672 10 yr average annual job growth rate 2005 – 2015 3.88% 0.34% Regional Productivity 2012 ($) 100,000 190,000

It is interesting to examine the size of the businesses in the area to gain a greater understanding of the type of occupations and the demand for skills and training. Of particular note is the lack of large businesses (200+ employees) in the Bass Coast Shire. This

impacts on the number of opportunities for professionals and the potential for higher incomes, and higher levels of education and training. Not included in this list are Government funded entities which table 3.5 shows as the largest employers in the region. Table 3.4 Number & type of Businesses, ABS Census 2011 Business Type Bass Coast South Gippsland Total Number of Businesses 2690 3700 % self employed 23.01% 26.6% % Large Business (200+ employees) 0 0.08% % Medium Businesses (20 – 199 employees) 1.41% 0.73% % Small Businesses (< 20 employees) 35.46% 29.51% % Non- employing businesses 63.12% 69.68% Among the biggest employers in both regions are the two Local Government authorities and the Hospitals. If the education sector was considered as a single entity, it too would be amongst the largest employers. Of the 7 largest employers in the Bass Coast Shire, 4 are highly affected by seasonality. Their workforce consists of a large number of casual employees and contractors who are recruited during peak tourist and/or event periods. Table 3.5 Major Employers

Bass Coast South Gippsland Bass Coast Health (200+) Gippsland Southern Health (200+) Bass Coast Shire Council (200+) South Gippsland Shire Council (200+) Phillip Island Nature Parks (200+) Murray Goulburn (200+) RACV Resort (20 – 199) Burra Foods (200+) Silverwater Resort (20 – 199) Education (200+) Phillip Island Grand Prix Circuit (20 – 199) Education (200+)

(c) EDUCATION It is widely recognised that education holds the key to unlocking cycles of disadvantage in local communities. When adults, and in particular, mothers, hold a higher education qualification, their children are far more likely to have aspirations of continuing their education beyond secondary school. The examination of levels of schooling and highest qualification attained shown in table 3.6 shows the challenge for the South Gippsland Bass Coast region in encouraging young people to continue with secondary education as well as beyond secondary school. It must be noted, however, these figures are affected by the ageing population, when access to higher education was not as readily encouraged as it is today. Table 3.6 Highest level of Schooling, ABS Census 2011

Year level Bass Coast % South Gippsland % Victoria % Year 8 or below 8.1 8.8 6.9 Year 9 10 9.8 6.5 Year 10 21.1 21.2 14.8 Year 11 16.3 19.3 12.9 Year 12 34.4 33.1 49.8 Did not go to School 0.3 0.3 1 Not stated 9.8 7.5 8.1

Table 3.7 Qualifications, ABS Census 2011

Qualification Bass Coast % South Gippsland % Victoria % Bachelor or Higher 11.6 11.6 20.8 Advanced Diploma or Diploma 7.6 7.2 8.4 Vocational 22.1 22.6 16.4 No Qualification 46.1 48.5 43.9 Not Stated 12.6 10.1 10.5

The information contained in table 3.8 shows the details for all the local secondary colleges for the year 2014. The figures in this table show the strength of the local VET programs and the potential pathways to employment. It can also be seen that there are just two schools achieving an average score above the national benchmark for year 9 numeracy and 1 school above (2 schools equal) to the national benchmark for year 9 literacy. Table 3.8 Local Schools Details

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Year

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Newhaven College 877 18 0 92% 67 67 42% 22% 14% 623 595 Wonthaggi SC 12353 337 4 90% 149 147 26% 20% 29% 576 555 Leongatha SC 483 63 8 92% 81 69 48% 15% 18% 577 552 Mary MacKillop CRC 540 120 0 93% 55 55 34% 7% 27% 586 570 Korumburra SC 389 45 26 87% 56 49 48% 25% 5% 573 552 Sth Gippsland SC 293 54 3 89% 37 26 59% 0 12% 597 570 Mirboo North SC 323 37 2 91% 54 53 34% 24% 13% 564 537 Australian Average 592 570

The examination of school leavers both post year 12 and early school leavers provides an insight into the relevance of secondary school programs and can better assist planning for effective pathways to both further study and employment. Unfortunately the data available for the most recent cohort of students is very unreliable and missing vast amounts of detail. Out of 205 Bass Coast year 12 completers in 2014, 118 returned survey responses, and 169 out of 244 South Gippsland students returned survey responses. Table 3.9 Destinations Year 12 Completers 2014 cohort 6 months post Secondary School , DET On Track data 2015 Bachelor degree Certificates/ Diplomas Apprentice/ Trainee Employed Looking for work NILFET Geography Year Per cent Per cent Per cent Per cent Per cent Per cent Bass Coast 2015 30.5 9.3 11 44.1 5.1 South Gippsland

2015 42.6 7.7 8.3 34.9 5.9 0.6 Victoria 2015 53.2 16.3 7.5 17 4.9 1 NILFET = not in labour force, education or training Table 3.10 Destinations Year 12 Completers by certificate & Study Strand, DET On Track data 2015

Bachelor degree Certificates/ Diplomas Apprentice/ Trainee Employed Looking for work NILFET Unknown Study strand Per cent Per cent Per cent Per cent Per cent Per cent Per cent Sth Gippsland VCE (non-VET) 51.3 6.1 7 30.4 4.3 0.9 VCE VET 36.1 5.6 50 8.3 VCE VCAL

Bachelor degree Certificates/ Diplomas Apprentice/ Trainee Employed Looking for work NILFET Unknown VCAL only 22.2 33.3 33.3 11.1 Bass Coast VCE (non-VET)

41.8 10.4 9 37.3 1.5 VCE VET 22.9 11.4 8.6 51.4 5.7 VCE VCAL VCAL only 25 56.2 18.8

NILFET = not in labour force, education or training

Table 3.12 Destinations of year 12 Completers in campus Based Study, DET 2015 On Track Bass Coast South Gippsland Year 12 or equivalent completers in campus-based study

Year 12 or equivalent completers in campus-based study

Year 12 or equivalent completers in campus-based study

Year 12 or equivalent completers in campus-based study Institution of study Number Per cent Number Per cent UNIVERSITY Australian Catholic University np np np np Charles Sturt University np np Deakin University 10 23.3 19 24.7 Federation University (formerly Ballarat University) np np 14 18.2 La Trobe University np np 13 16.9 Melbourne University np np np np Monash University 10 23.3 8 10.4 RMIT University np np np np Swinburne University np np np np Victoria University np np np np Interstate University np np Other University TAFE / VET Bendigo Regional Institute of TAFE Box Hill Institute of TAFE Chisholm Institute of TAFE np np np np Federation Training (formerly Advance TAFE)

Federation University - TAFE Division

Federation Training (formerly Central Gippsland TAFE) np np Gordon Institute Goulburn Ovens Institute of TAFE

Holmesglen Institute Kangan Batman Institute of TAFE

Melbourne University (TAFE Division/ILFR)

Melbourne Polytechnic RMIT (TAFE Division) np np np np South West Institute of TAFE Sunraysia Institute of TAFE Swinburne (TAFE Division) np np np np

Bass Coast South Gippsland Year 12 or equivalent completers in campus-based study

Year 12 or equivalent completers in campus-based study

Year 12 or equivalent completers in campus-based study

Year 12 or equivalent completers in campus-based study Institution of study Number Per cent Number Per cent Victoria University (TAFE Division)

np np William Angliss Institute of TAFE

Wodonga Institute of TAFE Other TAFE np np

Table 3.13 Main Field of Study Year 12 Completers Campus based Study, DET 2015 On Track Bass Coast Bass Coast South Gippsland South Gippsland Victoria Victoria Field of education Number Per cent Number Per cent Number Per cent Natural and physical sciences 5 np 6 np 3098 12.7 Information technology np np 8 np 894 3.7 Engineering and related technologies np np np np 1663 6.8 Architecture and building np np np np 639 2.6 Agriculture, environmental and related studies np np 366 1.5 Health 14 np 24 np 4214 17.2 Education 5 np 10 np 1697 6.9 Management and commerce np np 5 np 4238 17.3 Society and culture np np 9 np 3222 13.2 Creative arts 9 np 16 np 3575 14.6 Food, hospitality & personal services np np 485 2 Mixed field programmes np np 167 0.7 General degree 182 0.7 Other 46 0.2 Total respondents in campus based study np 100 np 100 24486 100 Table 3.14: Proportion of Year 12 or equivalent completers in an apprenticeship or traineeship, DET 2015 Bass Coast Bass Coast South Gippsland South Gippsland Victoria Victoria Males Females Males Females Males Females Classification Per cent Per cent Per cent Per cent Per cent Per cent Apprenticeship 75 40 80 81.1 39.8 Traineeship 25 60 20 18.9 60.2

Table 3.15: Occupation groups of Year 12 or equivalent completers in an apprenticeship or traineeship, DET 2015 Bass Coast Bass Coast South Gippsland South Gippsland Victoria Victoria Occupation group No. Per cent No. Per cent No. Per cent Accounting, finance & management 47 1.8 Building & construction np np np np 615 23.8 Cleaning 9 0.3 Clerks, receptionists & secretaries np np 126 4.9 Computing & IT np np 30 1.2 Drivers & Transport 6 0.2 Electrical & electronics trades 276 10.7 Engineering, science & the environment 29 1.1 Food, hospitality & tourism np np np np 280 10.8 Gardening, farming & fishing np np np np 99 3.8 Government & defence 13 0.5 Health, fitness, hair & beauty np np 259 10 Labourers, factory & machine workers 90 3.5 Marketing & sales representatives 28 1.1 Media, the arts & printing 28 1.1 Metal & engineering trades 73 2.8 Motor vehicle service & repair np np np np 179 6.9 Sales assistants & storepersons np np 109 4.2 Social, welfare & security 35 1.4 Teaching, childcare & library np np np np 159 6.2 Other 95 3.7 Total — all occupation groups np 100 np 100 2585 100

(d) SKILLS A region that is dominated by construction, retail, accommodation & food, manufacturing, agriculture and to a lesser extent health, is going to have a heavy reliance on vocational skills and training. Table 3.16 below shows the list of occupations aligned with vocational education and training delivery, which are currently or are at risk of experiencing skills shortages in the near future. The statewide (rather than regional) list provides an insight into specific occupations which may require targeted training. Table 3.16 shows only a segment of the complete list, and is based on the most populous industry sectors for the South Gippsland and Bass Coast region. Table 3.16 Victorian Skills Shortage Occupations 2016, DET

Project Manager (Construction) Operating Theatre Technician Bricklayer Production Manager (Manufacturing) Construction Estimator Stonemason Production Manager (Forestry) Architectural, Building & Surveyor Technician Carpenter and Joiner Supply & Distribution Manager Automotive Electrician Floor Finisher Procurement Manager Motor Mechanic Glazier Forester Diesel Motor Mechanic Plaumber Environmental Consultant Motorcycle Mechanic Roof Plumber Health Promotion Officer Small Engine Mechanic Enrolled Nurse Aged or Disable Carer Hospital Orderly Nursing Support Worker Personal Care Assistant Therapy Aide Contract Administrator Program or project administrator Logging Plant Operator

The Victorian Department of Education and Training published a report on the training needs for Gippsland (Jobs and Training Needs, Gippsland Aug 2016) based on the region’s labour market analysis, and existing government subsidised vocational education and training. The report provides insights on the level of future training needs, for specific occupations in the region, and is listed in the reference section of this report.

REFERENCES Department of Health, LGA profiles http://www.health.vic.gov.au/modelling/planning/lga.htm Regional Development Victoria, https://www.rdv.vic.gov.au/victorian-regions/gippsland Victorian Child and Adolescent Monitoring System (VCAMS), Adolescent Community Profiles

http://www.education.vic.gov.au/about/research/Pages/vcams.aspx Australian Bureau of Statistics, 2011 Census data, displayed on Profile I.D community Profiles: profile.id.com.au National Institute of Economic & Industry Research: www.nieir.com.au Victorian Department of Education and Training On track School Leavers Data:

http://www.education.vic.gov.au/about/research/Pages/ontrack.aspx Victorian Department of Education and Training, Jobs and Training Needs:

http://www.education.vic.gov.au/skillsfirst/Pages/jobs.aspx Australian Curriculum Assessment & Reporting Authority, My School website: https://www.myschool.edu.au/ Gippsland Health Online: http://www.health.vic.gov.au/regions/gippsland/gippslandhealthonline/ Walesong Services: www.whalesongservices.com.au