environmental futures ian hill, chief sustainability officer, openreach the contents of all the...

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Environmental futures Ian Hill, Chief Sustainability Officer, Openreach The contents of all the slides presented today are provided for guideline and discussion purposes only and represent no commitment from BT

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  • Environmental futures Ian Hill, Chief Sustainability Officer, Openreach

    The contents of all the slides presented today are provided for guideline and discussion purposes only and represent no commitment from BT

  • Contents

    Climate change & the ICT industryOpenreach activities Ethernet & the environment

  • The quest for excellenceSector Winner 2007 - 2008

  • -400,000 -300,000 -200,000 -100,000 todayaverage temperature of earthcarbon dioxide level in atmosphereSource: Carbon Sense

  • 50% global reduction on 1990 levels by 2050Average world GDP growth at constant prices (1980 to 2007) = 3.6% paDecoupling of world CO2e emissions from economy (1990 to 2007) = 2.4% paNet business as usual growth of world CO2e emissions = 1.2 % pa50% reduction = 450ppm CO2 = 2oC temp rise

    Chart1

    381990199019901990

    38.4630370371991199119911991

    38.93171626611992199219921992

    39.40610643841993199319931993

    39.88627714281994199419941994

    40.37229881611995199519951995

    40.86424275351996199619961996

    41.36218111891997199719971997

    41.86618695551998199819981998

    42.37633419661999199919991999

    42.89269767622000200020002000

    43.41535314052001200120012001

    43.94437725842002200220022002

    44.47984763322003200320032003

    45.02184281362004200420042004

    45.57044230562005200520052005

    46.12572658412006200620062006

    46.68777710432007200720072007

    47.256676314247.2566763142200820082008

    47.832507666446.2425225291200920092009

    48.415355630145.2501330317201020102010

    49.005305704344.2790407487201120112011

    49.602444429443.3287886302201220122012

    50.206859400442.3989294353201320132013

    50.818639279741.4890255206201420142014

    51.437873810240.598648635251.437873810220152015

    52.064653828139.727379718449.994821900120162016

    52.699071276638.874808702948.592253755320172017

    53.341219219238.040534321647.229033633520182018

    53.991191853437.22416391945.904057654720192019

    54.649084524536.425313265944.616252907420202020

    55.314993739635.643606379143.3645765820212021

    55.989017181934.87867534442.14801511620222022

    56.671253724634.13016014240.965583393720232023

    57.361803445933.397708480239.816323928120242024

    58.060767643432.680975626638.699306095858.06076764342025

    58.768248849231.979624246937.613625381555.52359869142026

    59.484350844431.293324246436.558402645153.09730023862027

    60.209178675130.621752614435.532783410450.77702740952028

    60.942838667129.964593272234.535937172948.55814704252029

    61.685438441929.321536924333.567056727246.43622843822030

    62.437086932628.692280912732.625357513344.407034512262.4370869326

    63.197894399328.076529074931.710076981942.466513334358.6473607623

    63.967972445827.473991603930.820473975940.610790037855.0876585273

    64.74743403626.884384912329.955828131438.836159081651.74401853

    65.5363935126.307431498629.115439293337.139076851548.603326502

    66.334966601325.742859816628.298626949135.516154583745.653264168

    67.143270453625.190404147727.504729677533.964151598542.8822609313

    67.96142363824.649804475726.73310461332.479968829140.2794484928

    68.789546170524.120806364525.98312692531.060642633137.8346182232

    69.627759529423.603160838425.254189312229.70333887535.5381811236

    70.476186673323.096624264724.545701510828.405347266933.3811302158

    71.33495205922.600958239323.857089816227.164075956131.3550052156

    72.2041816622.115929474423.187796618825.977046350429.4518593503

    73.084002984721.641309688622.537279952324.84188816827.6642281903

    73.974545095221.176875499721.905013054823.756334705225.9851003721

    74.875938626120.722408319221.290483942522.718218309724.4078900992

    75.788315804220.277694249720.693194994821.725466052422.9264113113

    76.711810467219.842523984220.112662551420.776095588121.5348534215

    77.646558083619.416692707619.54841652119.868211197120.2277585266

    78.592695772819191919

    BAU (+1.2%pa)

    -2.1%

    -2.8%

    -4.4%

    -6.1%

    CO2e (Gtonnes)

    Analysis and graphs

    Figure from Stern report

    Historic Data

    1990199119921993199419951996199719981999200020012002200320042005200620072008

    BT CO2e (ktonnes) (UK)$1,621$1,468$1,472$1,411$1,431$1,181$1,076$1,050$840$689$684$685

    BT CO2e (ktonnes) (RoW)020406080100120140160180200220

    Total BT CO2e (ktonnes)$1,621$1,488$1,512$1,471$1,511$1,281$1,196$1,190$1,000$869$884$905

    BT Value Added (b)94209598999998431016410242100591022810091104831085611142

    BT CO2e / Value Added0.1720.1550.1510.1490.1490.1250.1190.1160.0990.0830.0810.081

    World CO2e (Gtonnes) from Stern Review3838.338.63939.339.64040.440.841.241.642.442.943.744.144.845.546.347.0

    World GDP ( trillions) at current prices13.014.515.215.315.716.818.719.119.318.218.719.620.822.824.625.424.426.528.1

    CO2e/GDP (Kg/)2.922.652.542.552.512.352.142.112.122.262.232.162.061.921.801.771.861.751.67

    Projected Data

    Modelling ParametersStandardAdjustmentModelled

    World GDP Growth at Current prices5.9%0.0%5.9%pa

    Reduction on 1990 World CO2e by 205080.0%0.0%80.0%

    Reduction in World CO2e post 20074.2%pa

    2008200920102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026202720282029203020312032203320342035203620372038203920402041204220432044204520462047204820492050

    World CO2e (Gtonnes) from Stern Review47.045.043.141.339.537.836.234.733.231.830.529.227.926.725.624.523.522.521.520.619.718.918.117.316.615.915.214.614.013.412.812.211.711.210.810.39.99.49.08.78.37.97.6

    World GDP ( trillions) at current prices28.129.731.533.335.337.439.641.944.346.949.752.655.759.062.566.170.074.178.583.188.093.298.7104.5110.6117.1124.0131.3139.0147.2155.8165.0174.7184.9195.8207.3219.5232.4246.1260.5275.9292.1309.2

    CO2e/GDP (Kg/)1.671.511.371.241.121.010.920.830.750.680.610.550.500.450.410.370.340.300.270.250.220.200.180.170.150.140.120.110.100.090.080.070.070.060.050.050.040.040.040.030.030.030.0299.16

    Reduction in World CO2e / GDP post 20079.6%pa

    Modelling ParametersStandardAdjustmentModelled

    Growth in BT Value Add (EBITDA)2.5%0.0%2.5%pa

    Reduction in BT UK CO2e to 20168.9%pa

    Growth in BT RoW CO2e to 20165.0%-1.0%4.0%pa

    Reduction in all BT CO2e 2016 - 20254.0%0.0%4.0%pa

    Post BT 2025 matches world trend ie7.8%pa

    BT CO2e (ktonnes) (UK)68562456851747142939135632431129928727526425424423422420719117616214913812711710899928578726661565248444137353229

    BT CO2e (ktonnes) (RoW)22022923824725726827829030128927726625624523622621720919217716315113912811810910092857972676257524844413835323027

    Total BT CO2e (ktonnes)90585280676572969766964562560057655353151048947045143339936833931328826624522620819217716315013912811810910092857872676157

    BT Value Added (b)11,14211,42111,70611,99912,29912,60612,92113,24413,57513,91514,26314,61914,98515,35915,74316,13716,54016,95417,37817,81218,25718,71419,18219,66120,15320,65721,17321,70222,24522,80123,37123,95524,55425,16825,79726,44227,10327,78128,47529,18729,91730,66531,432

    BT CO2e / Value Added0.0810.0750.0690.0640.0590.0550.0520.0490.0460.0430.0400.0380.0350.0330.0310.0290.0270.0260.0230.0210.0190.0170.0150.0140.0120.0110.0100.0090.0080.0070.0060.0060.0050.0050.0040.0040.0030.0030.0030.0020.0020.0020.002

    Graphs

    1990199119921993199419951996199719981999200020012002200320042005200620072008200920102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026202720282029203020312032203320342035203620372038203920402041204220432044204520462047204820492050

    BT CO2e / Value Added0.1720.1550.1510.1490.1490.1250.1190.1160.0990.0830.0810.081

    0.08120.07460.06890.06370.05920.05530.05180.04870.04610.04310.04040.03780.03540.03320.03110.02910.02730.02550.02300.02070.01860.01670.01500.01350.01220.01090.00980.00880.00800.00720.00640.00580.00520.00470.00420.00380.00340.00310.00280.00250.00220.00200.0018

    World CO2e/GPD adjusted to BT in 19970.2380.2160.2070.2070.2040.1920.1740.1720.1730.1850.1820.1760.1680.1560.1460.1440.1520.1420.1364

    0.13640.12340.11160.10090.09130.08250.07460.06750.06110.05520.04990.04520.04080.03690.03340.03020.02730.02470.02230.02020.01830.01650.01490.01350.01220.01110.01000.00900.00820.00740.00670.00600.00550.00490.00450.00400.00370.00330.00300.00270.00240.00220.0020

    0.1976744186

    199719981999200020012002200320042005200620072008200920102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026202720282029203020312032203320342035203620372038203920402041204220432044204520462047204820492050

    BT CO2e (ktonnes) (RoW)02040608010012014016018020022022923824725726827829030128927726625624523622621720919217716315113912811810910092857972676257524844413835323027

    BT CO2e (ktonnes) (UK)$1,621$1,468$1,472$1,411$1,431$1,181$1,076$1,050$840$689$68468562456851747142939135632431129928727526425424423422420719117616214913812711710899928578726661565248444137353229

    1990199119921993199419951996199719981999200020012002200320042005200620072008200920102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026202720282029203020312032203320342035203620372038203920402041204220432044204520462047204820492050

    CO2e/GDP (Kg/)2.922.652.542.552.512.352.142.112.122.262.232.162.061.921.801.771.861.75

    1.671.511.371.241.121.010.920.830.750.680.610.550.500.450.410.370.340.300.270.250.220.200.180.170.150.140.120.110.100.090.080.070.070.060.050.050.040.040.040.030.030.030.02

    Modelling ParametersGDP growthDe-couplingNet

    Growth in global CO23.6%-2.4%1.2%pa

    1990199119921993199419951996199719981999200020012002200320042005200620072008200920102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026202720282029203020312032203320342035203620372038203920402041204220432044204520462047204820492050

    World CO2 emissions (Gtonnes)3838.338.63939.339.64040.408163265340.816326530641.224489795941.632653061242.448979591842.857142857143.673469387844.081632653144.814962653145.548292653146.281622653147.0149526531

    3838.46303703738.931716266139.406106438439.886277142840.372298816140.864242753541.362181118941.866186955542.376334196642.892697676243.415353140543.944377258444.479847633245.021842813645.570442305646.125726584146.687777104347.256676314247.832507666448.415355630149.005305704349.602444429450.206859400450.818639279751.437873810252.064653828152.699071276653.341219219253.991191853454.649084524555.314993739655.989017181956.671253724657.361803445958.060767643458.768248849259.484350844460.209178675160.942838667161.685438441962.437086932663.197894399363.967972445864.74743403665.5363935166.334966601367.143270453667.96142363868.789546170569.627759529470.476186673371.33495205972.2041816673.084002984773.974545095274.875938626175.788315804276.711810467277.646558083678.5926957728

    0.9786663602

    1990199119921993199419951996199719981999200020012002200320042005200620072008200920102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026202720282029203020312032203320342035203620372038203920402041204220432044204520462047204820492050

    BAU (+1.2%pa)3838.46303703738.931716266139.406106438439.886277142840.372298816140.864242753541.362181118941.866186955542.376334196642.892697676243.415353140543.944377258444.479847633245.021842813645.570442305646.125726584146.687777104347.256676314247.832507666448.415355630149.005305704349.602444429450.206859400450.818639279751.437873810252.064653828152.699071276653.341219219253.991191853454.649084524555.314993739655.989017181956.671253724657.361803445958.060767643458.768248849259.484350844460.209178675160.942838667161.685438441962.437086932663.197894399363.967972445864.74743403665.5363935166.334966601367.143270453667.96142363868.789546170569.627759529470.476186673371.33495205972.2041816673.084002984773.974545095274.875938626175.788315804276.711810467277.646558083678.5926957728

    -2.1%47.256676314246.242522529145.250133031744.279040748743.328788630242.398929435341.489025520640.598648635239.727379718438.874808702938.040534321637.22416391936.425313265935.643606379134.87867534434.13016014233.397708480232.680975626631.979624246931.293324246430.621752614429.964593272229.321536924328.692280912728.076529074927.473991603926.884384912326.307431498625.742859816625.190404147724.649804475724.120806364523.603160838423.096624264722.600958239322.115929474421.641309688621.176875499720.722408319220.277694249719.842523984219.416692707619

    -2.8%51.437873810249.994821900148.592253755347.229033633545.904057654744.616252907443.3645765842.14801511640.965583393739.816323928138.699306095837.613625381536.558402645135.532783410434.535937172933.567056727232.625357513331.710076981930.820473975929.955828131429.115439293328.298626949127.504729677526.73310461325.98312692525.254189312224.545701510823.857089816223.187796618822.537279952321.905013054821.290483942520.693194994820.112662551419.54841652119

    -4.4%58.060767643455.523598691453.097300238650.777027409548.558147042546.436228438244.407034512242.466513334340.610790037838.836159081637.139076851535.516154583733.964151598532.479968829131.060642633129.70333887528.405347266927.164075956125.977046350424.84188816823.756334705222.718218309721.725466052420.776095588119.868211197119

    -6.1%62.437086932658.647360762355.087658527351.7440185348.60332650245.65326416842.882260931340.279448492837.834618223235.538181123633.381130215831.355005215629.451859350327.664228190325.985100372124.407890099222.926411311321.534853421520.227758526619

    1990199119921993199419951996199719981999200020012002200320042005200620072008200920102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026202720282029203020312032203320342035203620372038203920402041204220432044204520462047204820492050

    BAU (+1.2%)3838.46303703738.931716266139.406106438439.886277142840.372298816140.864242753541.362181118941.866186955542.376334196642.892697676243.415353140543.944377258444.479847633245.021842813645.570442305646.125726584146.687777104347.256676314247.832507666448.415355630149.005305704349.602444429450.206859400450.818639279751.437873810252.064653828152.699071276653.341219219253.991191853454.649084524555.314993739655.989017181956.671253724657.361803445958.060767643458.768248849259.484350844460.209178675160.942838667161.685438441962.437086932663.197894399363.967972445864.74743403665.5363935166.334966601367.143270453667.96142363868.789546170569.627759529470.476186673371.33495205972.2041816673.084002984773.974545095274.875938626175.788315804276.711810467277.646558083678.5926957728

    -4.3%47.256676314245.244600173643.318193417941.473808449939.707952978138.017283404836.398598494334.848833311933.365053420831.944449325130.584331150829.282123552128.035360835326.841682290125.698827719724.604633160723.557026786522.554024983621.593728596220.674319329919.79405630918.951272780218.144372956317.371828995116.632178106215.924019781415.246013142714.596874403413.975374437513.380336452312.810633759912.265187644211.742965318311.242977968810.764278883610.30596165949.86715848549.44703849999.04480621778.6597000238.29099072827.93798019237.6

    -5.3%51.437873810248.702954854146.113449795243.661627069441.340166194739.142135914737.060973503335.090465170533.224727509431.458189930229.785578027928.20189783426.702420906425.28267021123.938406754922.665616929821.460500528220.319459397319.239086695918.216156722217.24761528316.330570574715.462284548914.640164737413.861756512213.124735756112.426901923611.766171471211.140571635610.54823454449.98739163889.45636839288.95357931438.47752321068.02677870637.6

    -7.8%58.060767643453.525410446149.344328015445.48984654241.936453927738.660630925935.640695471332.856659171330.290095005927.924015362625.742759599123.73189038821.878098158820.169113004518.593623469317.141201680115.802234326314.567859031313.42990569412.380842412211.413725630510.52215418249.70022692178.94250366438.24396918057.6

    -10.5%62.437086932655.886158981250.022557411144.774167621640.076441308835.87160260732.107937520728.739157910725.723832210723.024875873620.609095279918.446779500116.511334888914.778958018813.228342928711.840419088910.59811685839.48615755068.49086552627.6

    Analysis and graphs

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    BT CO2e / Value Added

    World CO2e/GPD adjusted to BT in 1997

    BT CO2 UK data

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    BT CO2e (ktonnes) (RoW)

    BT CO2e (ktonnes) (UK)

    BT CO2 RoW data

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    CO2e / unit GDP (Kg/)

    IMF World DGP data

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    Chris Tuppen:estmated - need actual 2007 number

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    BAU (+1.2%pa)

    -2.1%

    -2.8%

    -4.4%

    -6.1%

    CO2e (Gtonnes)

    Stern graph

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    BAU (+1.2%)

    -4.3%

    -5.3%

    -7.8%

    -10.5%

    CO2e (Gtonnes)

    BT Financials

    BT Carbon Dioxide (CO2 equivalents) ModelBase YearBLUE = figure that has been revised (April 2008 _ Jack Jenkins AKC1X)

    1996/97 (Base)1997/981998/991999/002000/012001/022002/032003/042004/052005/062006/072007/08Target

    Emission SourceAmount (kg)Amount (kg)Amount (kg)Amount (kg)Amount (kg)Amount (kg)Amount (kg)Amount (kg)Amount (kg)Amount (kg)Amount (kg)Amount (kg)COMMENTSREFERENCE

    SCOPE 1

    Stationary Combustion

    Oil Combustion - Electricity Generation12,078,45812,078,45812,078,45812,078,45812,078,45812,078,4587,356,17416,846,20012,033,0006,849,1373,504,1421,661,878

    Gas Combustion107,947,06495,603,643103,504,42997,242,83693,090,35385,294,04089,218,62590,162,96079,059,98481,589,34969,395,01864,465,045CO2 factor revised from 0.19 to 0.185 tCO2/MWhUpdated Defra Company Reporting Guidelines (2007) (Annex 1)

    Oil Combustion - Heating66,778,05450,245,93939,867,28728,506,39831,273,82321,950,65518,672,15815,740,56214,410,16110,383,61810,095,46010,512,817CO2 factor revised from 0.25 to 0.249 tCO2/MWh; ASSUME 'Oil' = 'Diesel'Updated Defra Company Reporting Guidelines (2007) (Annex 1)

    Refrigeration Gases (HFCs and SF6 only)500,000500,000500,000503,100782,4801,126,3141,075,614886,0042,406,8941,433,9983,240,4102,731,592

    Commercial Fleet Diesel167,232,000189,208,000177,004,765175,799,622165,411,269166,479,057146,286,919131,282,272126,699,464129,340,509125,686,194124,124,316

    Commercial Fleet Petrol18,480,0003,927,000806,584892,1651,730,0121,491,1422,115,1459,951,1759,603,7995,933,9945,162,533660,928

    Company Car Diesel24,021,00032,130,00010,655,00011,996,4726,539,1836,120,7167,794,7788,182,97311,153,47315,392,85315,937,59423,061,808

    Company Car Petrol16,296,0009,312,00028,387,40834,668,71530,378,25738,127,97125,238,68525,513,06817,303,09112,072,6969,273,4866,009,163

    Total Scope 1 Emissions413,332,576393,005,040372,803,931361,687,766341,283,835332,668,352297,758,098298,565,214272,669,866262,996,155242,294,837233,227,548

    SCOPE 2Purchased Electricity

    Purchased Electricity1,149,604,8901,017,544,0071,037,008,682986,809,8311,032,726,057780,623,897728,452,575696,183,145506,276,419372,042,552383,736,997390,231,795Note CO2 from standard & CHP sourced electricity has been amalgamated into a single figure for electricity purchased (in line with changes to analytical structure)

    CO2 Factors for CHP revised from 0.258 to 0.295

    Total Scope 2 Emissions1,149,604,8901,017,544,0071,037,008,682986,809,8311,032,726,057780,623,897728,452,575696,183,145506,276,419372,042,552383,736,997390,231,795

    Combined Scope 1 & 2 Emissions1,562,937,4661,410,549,0471,409,812,6131,348,497,5981,374,009,8921,113,292,2491,026,210,674994,748,360778,946,285635,038,706626,031,834623,459,342

    SCOPE 3Homeworker Emissions001,798,0282,429,7853,306,1535,820,7516,154,4447,303,1948,066,4799,014,6426,717,0745,751,895

    Cars on BT Business (Diesel)864,094864,094864,094975,732794,318822,231581,916600,521600,8261,805,4501,642,3092,502,607

    Cars/Motorcycles on BT Business (petrol)4,882,1184,882,1184,882,1184,981,9184,710,1254,954,3113,508,0963,584,3613,785,8671,420,4771,033,503805,521

    Refrigeration Gases (CFCs and HCFCs only)13,074,38913,074,38915,568,10514,802,6928,852,36910,186,3667,534,4346,727,7677,763,6624,375,8176,388,1244,517,461

    Rail travel11,454,80311,454,80311,454,80311,454,80311,331,22411,159,65311,873,53212,168,78213,484,61114,594,06113,826,49515,161,055

    Air Travel (short haul)7,861,9567,861,9567,861,9567,861,95610,375,1947,666,2515,544,4244,711,5836,006,1937,553,8337,328,4366,975,822

    Air Travel (long haul)8,098,2238,098,2238,098,2238,098,22314,674,1895,638,3003,982,1827,000,8316,029,2847,864,5278,802,48711,296,724

    Hire Cars (Diesel)904,141904,141904,141904,14123,954943,2271,745,2431,163,2092,670,3622,085,5712,896,1574,655,901

    Hire Cars (Petrol)10,589,62610,589,62610,589,62610,589,6262,888,25920,154,4028,726,21612,316,40812,777,3915,409,0099,340,8509,690,058

    Total Scope 3 Emissions57,729,35057,729,35062,021,09462,098,87756,955,78467,345,49249,650,48755,576,65561,184,67554,123,38657,975,43661,357,043

    Total CO2 emissions (kgs)1,620,666,8161,468,278,3971,471,833,7071,410,596,4741,430,965,6761,180,637,7421,075,861,1611,050,325,014840,130,960689,162,092684,007,270684,816,385324,133,363

    Source: Invoices, BT vehicle database, BT refrigerants database, BT expenses unit, BT travel management, DETR, AEAT NETCEN

    Notes: 1. Included in company car data

    2. Data not available

    Reduction0%9%9%13%12%27%34%35%48%57%58%58%80.00%

    Target (2016)

    Total CO2 emissions GROSS (kgs)1,620,666,8161,468,278,3971,471,833,7071,410,596,4741,430,965,6761,458,742,5521,424,756,6471,424,177,7751,452,567,8401,456,567,7761,455,249,3981,468,152,503

    % Reduction (GROSS)0%9%9%13%12%10%12%12%10%10%10%9%

    KEY

    GREEN = Changed by Leven, Jenkins, Whitaker (30Apr08 - 01May08)

    BLUE = Sourced From Chris Wade's sheet "Intensity Target Final"

    YELLOW = As in Steve Marsden sheet

    603048805:Note methodology has changed to being based on oil consumption

    Nominal amount added to emissions as the amount of HFCs installed. Additionally, standard cooling units containing HFC R407c not introduced in siginificant numbers until 02/03.

    Nominal amount added to emissions as the amount of HFCs installed. Additionally, standard cooling units containing HFC R407c not introduced in siginificant numbers until 02/03.

    Nominal amount added to emissions as the amount of HFCs installed. Additionally, standard cooling units containing HFC R407c not introduced in siginificant numbers until 02/03.

    Total CO2 Emissions from International Operations =179,874,931252,528,447

    ElectricityFactorElectricity Kg CO2GasFactorGas Kg CO2OilFactorOil Kg CO2Travel

    kWhSource GHG ProtocolkWhSource DEFRAlitresSource DEFRAAir km DomesticFactor Source DEFRAAir miles Domestic CO2Air km short haulFactor Source DEFRAAir miles short haul CO2Air km long haulFactor Source DEFRAAir miles long haul CO2Car km PetrolFactor Source DEFRACar Petrol Kg CO2Car km DieselFactor Source DEFRACar Diesel Kg CO2Hire Car km PetrolHire Car Petrol Kg CO2Hire Car km DieselHire Car Diesel Kg CO2no of employeestravel CO2 per employeestimated traveladjustment

    America63,643,0000.57636,658,3682,466,1150.185456,2312.67400.1700.1400.1200.21000.19900.21000.1990366914067862.88637814,067,863

    Argentina0.31700.18502.67400.1700.1400.1200.21000.19900.21000.1990119456275.738206318456,276

    Australia533,6720.942502,7190.18502.6740343,5970.1759,16750,3850.147,1608,091,4290.12931,3230.21000.19900.21000.1990158605811.484341161-391,839

    Belgium4,313,3080.2741,181,8461,336,7710.175233,6013,6002.6749,6260.1700.1400.120106,1510.21022,23916,535,3710.1993,285,5780.21000.19905932273710.1912298-1,011,868

    Brazil0.08500.18502.67400.1700.1400.1200.21000.19900.21000.19906322423245.937364652,423,246

    China179,1860.851152,4870.18502.67400.1700.1400.1200.21000.19900.21000.1990138529126.486323293529,126

    Columbia1,243,7280.121150,4910.18509972.6742,666114,1860.1719,66360,8840.148,6520.120130,3910.21027,3170.19900.21000.19900-28,314

    Costa Rica26,7720.0143750.18502.67400.1700.1400.1200.21000.19900.21000.199000

    El Salvador78,4920.27521,5850.18502.67400.1700.1400.1200.21000.19900.21000.199000

    France4,055,8130.087352,8560.18501,7002.6744,5460.1700.1400.1200.21000.19900.21000.1990273810498176.228646210,498,176

    Germany78,124,8340.45335,390,5500.1850110,0002.674294,1403,089,2390.17531,9674,548,4690.14646,3373,984,0590.12458,5650.210022,000,0000.1994,371,4000.21000.199015673,8346008269.59470

    Guatemala0.43400.18502.67400.1700.1400.1200.21000.19900.21000.199000

    Honduras TGU and Honduras SPS0.45100.18502.67400.1700.1400.1200.21000.19900.21000.199000

    Hong Kong288,9260.830239,8090.18502.67400.170218,0880.1430,9901,628,3070.12187,4180.21000.19900.21000.1990149571303.235233121352,895

    Hungary366,1090.401146,8100.18502.67400.170480,4800.1468,27640,3200.124,6410.21000.19900.21000.19902911115766.721159991,042,850

    India2,053,4300.9421,934,3310.18502.67400.1700.1400.1200.21000.19900.21000.19904551744583.704906511,744,584

    Ireland95,238,0140.41039,047,5865,373,7170.185994,138723,6952.6741,935,1600.1700.1400.120351,2590.21073,5892,217,1360.199440,5450.21000.19909573669377.155155013,228,832

    Italy32,594,4000.45514,830,4522,470,4060.185457,0252.67400.1700.1400.1200.21000.19900.21000.199016776430037.083798286,430,037

    Korea0.44300.18502.67400.1700.1400.1200.21000.19900.21000.199000

    Malaysia0.53200.18502.67400.1700.1400.1200.21000.19900.21000.199000

    Netherlands31,003,2650.44013,641,4370.18502.67400.1700.1400.1200.21000.19900.21000.199013665237585.364620425,237,585

    Nicaragua0.55700.18502.67400.1700.1400.1200.21000.19900.21000.199000

    Panam0.26600.18502.67400.1700.1400.1200.21000.19900.21000.199000

    Peru0.20600.18502.67400.1700.1400.1200.21000.19900.21000.199000

    R. Dominicana0.58600.18502.67400.1700.1400.1200.21000.19900.21000.199000

    Singapore285,5360.526150,1920.18502.67402,3080.1739721,7960.143,0977,047,3870.12811,1540.21000.19900.21000.1990239916385.726313529101,737

    Spain51,869,1280.38319,865,8760.18502.67400.1700.1400.120254,6130.20852,8320.19900.21000.19909833769067.652578243,769,068

    Sweden0.05100.18502.67400.1700.1400.1200.21000.19900.21000.1990117448607.238404531448,607

    Switzerland0.02400.18502.67400.1700.1400.1200.21000.19900.21000.1990208797523.979385833797,524

    Taiwan0.42000.18502.67400.1700.1400.1200.21000.19900.21000.199000

    Non Annex I totals2,826,29204,546099,267192,0590000

    Annex I totals161,269,0262,140,9952,238,927591,532656,5942,201,043148,6608,097,52300

    TOTALS164,095,3182,140,9952,243,473591,532755,8612,393,102148,6608,097,5230049,696,384

    Note 1 -

    Note 2 -

    Note 3 -

    Steve Marsden:Except where emissions are given on suppliers' bills or where national government guidelines exist.

    Steve Marsden:Except where emissions are given on suppliers' bills or where national government guidelines exist. Defra guidelines are at http://www.defra.gov.uk/environment/business/envrp/pdf/conversion-factors.pdfGross CV used as per current guidelines.

    Steve Marsden:Looks far too low compared to other countries, especially considering the number of people in-country, Nutley etc.

    Steve Marsden:Reported therms converted to kWh by multiplying by Defra therm factor and dividing by Defra kWh factor

    Steve Marsden:Calculated from CO2e where given in suppliers bills and from Australian government factors.

    Steve Marsden:From country report

    Steve Marsden:From country report

    Steve Marsden:From bill

    Steve Marsden:Converted to km

    Steve Marsden:Converted to km

    Steve Marsden:Estimate for Q4

    Steve Marsden:From Procurement return

    Steve Marsden:Company cars + hire cars

    Steve Marsden:From Procurement return

    Steve Marsden:kWh calculated from cu m in country report using conversion factor at http://www.carbontrust.co.uk/resource/energy_units/default.htm

    Steve Marsden:Reported data suspect - adjustment made based on assumption that renewable energy for networks is 31,542,578 not 315,425,778.

    Steve Marsden:IEA factor used as this includes the 20.6% renewable in the standard supply contract

    Steve Marsden:DEFRA figure for average car, unknown fuel

    'Other Asia' factor in GHGP

    Steve Marsden:Countries not listed as "developed" in Annex I to UNFCCC

    Steve Marsden:Countries listed as "developed" in Annex I to UNFCCC. Annex I countries are also listed in Annex B to the Kyoto protocol

    IMF World GDP Data

    Subject DescriptorUnitsScale1980198119821983198419851986198719881989199019911992199319941995199619971998199920002001200220032004200520062007Average

    Gross domestic product, constant pricesAnnual percent change2.22.21.134.83.83.73.94.73.82.91.62.42.43.83.74.14.22.73.84.82.53.145.34.85.45.23.6

    Gross domestic product, constant pricesAnnual percent change (market exchange rates)1.720.72.84.73.63.33.54.63.82.811.21.232.93.23.52.13.14.11.51.92.63.93.33.83.5

    U.S. dollarsBillions11,781.2011,980.4411,819.2312,112.6912,490.0212,899.3315,233.3017,460.8119,559.8120,543.1722,813.1724,003.6724,182.0124,733.5026,579.6829,507.9730,201.3830,078.5029,816.0630,924.8031,774.5431,558.6132,833.8236,881.7341,451.5744,744.6248,245.2053,352.35

    Gross domestic product, current pricesAnnual percent change1.7%-1.3%2.5%3.1%3.3%18.1%14.6%12.0%5.0%11.0%5.2%0.7%2.3%7.5%11.0%2.3%-0.4%-0.9%3.7%2.7%-0.7%4.0%12.3%12.4%7.9%7.8%10.6%5.9%

    USD / exchange rate (av for cal year)from http://www.hmrc.gov.uk/exrate/usa.htm1.57831.57831.57831.57831.57831.57831.57831.57831.56191.6381.65731.61811.51631.44011.50231.63481.83181.81951.8424

    Gross domestic product, current pricesUKBillions13016.010897801414454.267249572315208.559842868915321.554837483415670.975099790916840.70202116218696.046379015419135.386174998419257.634931813818202.722832722818659.747782537919636.944564612820812.90641693622799.680577737724550.176396192525355.743821874224426.585871820126515.636163781328958.0709943552

    Global CO2e (Stern)TonnesGiga

    UK datahttp://www.statistics.gov.uk/STATBASE/tsdataset.asp?vlnk=208&More=Y

    195619571958195919601961196219631964196519661967196819691970197119721973197419751976197719781979198019811982198319841985198619871988198919901991199219931994199519961997199819992000200120022003200420052006

    UK Gross domestic product, market pricesmillion20956221052305024346259742740428691303663316235802380994019143530468835155457508643857407483859105943125322145812168090197774231174253563277720303576325323356050382817421559470748517075560887589739614776645500684067723080768905815881865710911945958931100329710557931118245118429612339761303573

    Annual percent change5.5%4.3%5.6%6.7%5.5%4.7%5.8%9.2%8.0%6.4%5.5%8.3%7.7%10.0%11.5%12.0%15.0%13.2%26.3%18.3%16.3%15.3%17.7%16.9%9.7%9.5%9.3%7.2%9.4%7.5%10.1%11.7%9.8%8.5%5.1%4.2%5.0%6.0%5.7%6.3%6.1%6.1%5.3%5.2%4.6%5.2%5.9%5.9%4.2%5.6%8.7%

    BT Value Added Calculation and other financials

    Financial Year199719981999200020012002200320042005200620072008

    BT Turnover( UKGAAP - pre 2005) Revenue ( IFRS)(m)173791741118223197332690622380201821891418429195142022320704

    BT No. of employees12750011780011500012080011680010860010470099900102100104400106200

    Total Operating Profit (m)3209346934633172-370-1860290528362764263327132895

    Depreciation (m)22652395256824573045368030112921269426342536

    Amortisation and impairment (of goodwill and intangible assets)(m)737117893733522415150250384

    EBITDA (m)56425681612861866095598258095813553755175633

    Employee Costs (m)37783917387142834069426042504415455449665223

    Value Added (m)94209598999998431016410242100591022810091104831085611142

    Calculations of VA below:-

    EBITDA (before specific items) from Ann Rep5774574858095813553755175633

    EBITDA (calculated) defined as the group profit (loss) beforedepreciation, amortisation, finance expense and taxation.5657568161285884

    Depreciation2265239525682457

    Net finance expense (interest payable- interest receivable)189310286327

    Profit before goodwill amortisation, exceptional items and taxation3203297632743100

    Calculation of VA from components:-

    EBITDA564256816128588460955982580958135537551756335784

    staff costs377839173871395940694260425044154554496652235358

    Value Add94209598999998431016410242100591022810091104831085611142

    DTI Value Add figures (m) from their database10360960810164101751041510359

    Calculation of VA using DTI calculator932598529919102487857101521019010187101621048310856

    P2 (Wealth creation efficiency)154.3156.1154146.7110.4127.9140.3138.9140.2137.9139.9

    71176432

    10081

    199719981999200020012002200320042005200620072008

    BT value added94209598999998431016410242100591022810091104831085611142

    trend line94209542.469666.511989792.176635749919.474932004610048.428106120710179.057671500210311.385421229710445.433431705710581.224066317910718.77997918

    1.3%0.0263448784

    1.2%

    Dave Allan:2170m for wireless deducted from total turnover

    Dave Allan:2760m for wireless deducted from total

    Dave Allan:2262m fore wireless deducted from toatal

    Dave Allan:UKGAAP turnover 19031m

    Chris Tuppen:= profit + dep + am + imp

    Dave Allan:220m BT Wireless EBITDA subtracted from published figure of 6315m

    Chris Tuppen:EBITDA + empl costs

    Dave Allan:P2, the value added output in created by each input of labour costs and depreciation

    Dave Allan:These figs are obtained if put -ve profit figure in the calculator

    Dave Allan:These figs are obtained if put -ve profit figure in the calculator

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    trend line

  • Total greenhouse gas emission pathways2015 peakAnderson & Bows. 2008 Philosophical Transactions A of the Royal Society. 366. pp.3863-3882Emissions of greenhouse gases (GtCO2e)Year2000202020402060208021000204060802020 peak2025 peak

  • The weather is changingAverage temperatures rising, with more extreme heat waves Rainfall patterns are changing with increased risks of floodingGround conditions are changing (landslides, subsidence and heave)Glaciers are meltingPermafrost is thawingSea levels are risingStorm surge heights are increasingIntensity of storms is increasing

  • Global value of saved energy and carbon = >640b pa by 2020www.smart2020.orgThe ICT industry & climate changeRisk & opportunity

  • ICT industry & climate changeCarbon reduction commitmentMandatory UK carbon trading system Large potential penalties (and rewards) based on energy consumption performance - public league tables; Applies to organisations with half hourly metered electricity, and who consumed over 0.5m equivalent in 2008 - 5,000 UK businesses;Letters from the Environment Agency in July 2009 to billing addresses of relevant properties, asking organisations to identify whether or not they qualify;Commences in April 2010, but is based on billable energy consumed during calendar 2008 and requires preparation now

  • Openreach emissions reduction Targeted activities

    Sustainability Emission reduction Fleet improvements Waste reduction Responsible product development

  • Sustainability: Hierarchy of needsCorporatereputation& retentionDisruptive marketinnovation &competitive advantagePhysical plant & infrastructure adaptationLegal compliance & regulation EU Electronic Waste Directive 2002 UK Climate Change Act 2008 EU Emissions Targets 2020

  • Emissions & wasteA whole ecosystem 2. Less demand created by re-use of existing products1. Less material shipped3. Less product deliveries4. Less gas used to shrink5. Fault savings = less truck rolls = less co26. Re-use = less landfill

  • EmissionsNot a load of hot air!23,500 vehiclesOver 200,000,000 miles a yearOver 30,000,000 litres of fuel4-6 tonnes CO2 per annum150 visits and c400 per tonne

  • Improving our fleetExisting fleetSmaller, lighter and more economical vehiclesNew, lighter vehicle racking and equipmentFor every 100kg change in vehicle weight, fuel consumption rises by 0.7l per 100kmRoad speed limiters10% fuel challenge

    Low carbon fleet feasibilityElectricDiesel electric hybrid30% Bio Fuel2-Man Tonner

  • Openreach wasteA few throwawaysBT total 80k tonnes pa >25% via TECs
  • Total waste is reducing & recycling % has doubled000 tonnes26%34%42%42%46%

  • Responsible product developmentConnectivity services: environmental benefits More accurate testing means less visits

    Potential to offer CPs access and managed control of service network termination electronics

    Reduced power consumption lowers costs

    EBD moves Backhaul supply from individual point-to-point services with a per service multiple set of electronics and associated per service fibre deployment to a shared infrastructure model

    EAD Aggregation - plans to offer multiple circuit Tails through common hub site electronics and individual handover electronics

    EAD Flex - active electronics at the end user site 150 fewer visits = 1 tonne of co2 emissions less

    Removes the need for CPs to deploy additional electronics

    and co2!

    Should lead to a lower industry footprint

    Reduces units produced and overall power consumption

    Should consume far less power than EAD electronics

  • SummaryEnvironmental impacts are important considerations Underestimating them will impact business success Our Connectivity Services portfolio evolution is already part of this futureTo make a difference we need our customers on board

    **

    changes of this speed and magnitude are unprecedented to our knowledge, aside from large meteorite impacts.

    Peter Barrett, Antarctic Research Centre, New Zealand

    Wedge = >13 years at 2008 rates2020 peak = 10%pa reductionSince the Thames Barrier was built in 1983 to protect London from flooding, it has been raised 55 times against tidal surges in the period to 2005 of which 28 have occurred in the last five years.

    2080 S England Mean warming +2-3.5C24hr average >30C once every 10 days*EAD) allows CPs to test the Openreach supplied service that in turn will prove any faults on or off our network. In doing so, wasted engineering visits for spurious faults will be massively reduced - which will in turn reduce wasted van visits. Every 150 visits saved avoids 1 tonne of co2.EAD has the potential to offer CPs access and managed control of service network termination electronics in order to remove the need for them to deploy additional electronics for the sole purpose of managing our Openreach services / their end-to-end services. These electronics incur power consumption and create heat for the sole purpose of replicating the same functionality that can exist in the Openreach equipment that sits by its side.Ethernet Backhaul Direct (EBD) has moved Openreachs supply of Backhaul from individual point-to-point services with a per service multiple set of electronics and associated per service fibre deployment to a shared infrastructure model. By defining a network topology to be shared by all of industry we have all made a positive contribution to a reduction in the UKs communications backhaul carbon footprint. EAD Aggregation - plans to offer multiple circuit tails through common hub site electronics and individual handover electronics. This crudely equates, for say 10 CP end user links, a reduction from 20 units of electronics to 12 units a reduction in units of 40%. EAD Flex will offer the same generic benefits as EAD Aggregation active electronics at the End User site should consume far less power than EAD electronics.