environmental filtering and competitive exclusion drive … · 2018-04-24 · 1. understanding the...
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Journal of Ecology 20181ndash13 wileyonlinelibrarycomjournaljec emsp|emsp1copy 2018 The Authors Journal of Ecology copy 2018 British Ecological Society
Received22November2017emsp |emsp Accepted15January2018DOI1011111365-274512963
R E S E A R C H A R T I C L E
Environmental filtering and competitive exclusion drive biodiversity- invasibility relationships in shallow lake plant communities
Ranjan Muthukrishnan1 emsp|emspNicole Hansel-Welch2emsp|emspDaniel J Larkin1
1DepartmentofFisheriesWildlifeandConservationBiologyandMinnesotaAquaticInvasiveSpeciesResearchCenterUniversityofMinnesota-TwinCitiesStPaulMNUSA2ShallowLakesProgramMinnesotaDepartmentofNaturalResourcesBrainerdMNUSA
CorrrespondenceRanjanMuthukrishnanEmail mrunjumnedu
Funding informationMinnesotaAquaticInvasiveSpeciesResearchCenterMinnesotaEnvironmentandNaturalResourcesTrustFund
HandlingEditorChristerNilsson
Abstract1 Understandingtheprocessesthatinfluencethediversityofecologicalcommuni-tiesandtheirsusceptibilityto invasionbyexoticspeciesremainsachallenge inecologyInmanysystemsapositiverelationshipbetweentherichnessofnativespecies and exotic species has been observed at larger spatial (eg regional)scaleswhileanegativepatternhasbeenobservedatlocal(egplot)scalesThesepatternsarewidelyattributedto(1)bioticinteractionsparticularlybioticresist-ancelimitinginvasionsinhigh-diversitylocationsproducingnegativelocal-scalerelationshipsand(2)nativeandexoticrichnesscovaryingatlargerspatialscalesasafunctionofenvironmentalconditionsandheterogeneityproducingpositivelarge-scalerelationshipsHoweveralternativeprocessescanproducesimilarpat-ternsandneedtobecriticallyevaluatedtomakesoundinferencesaboutunderly-ingmechanisms
2 Weaggregatedalargedatasetofaquaticvegetationsurveysfrom1102Minnesotashallowlakescollectedover13yearstoquantifyspatialandtemporalpatternsofcommunitycompositionUsingthosedataandadditionalinformationonenviron-mentalconditionsweevaluatedevidenceforfourdistinctmechanismsthatcoulddrivepatternsofnativeandexoticspeciesrichnessbioticresistancecompetitiveexclusionenvironmentalfilteringandenvironmentalheterogeneity
3 Wefoundtheclassicpatternofanegativenative-exoticrichnessrelationshipatlocalscalesandapositiverelationshipatlakescalesHoweverwefoundnoevi-denceforlocal-scalebioticresistanceinsteadcompetitiveexclusionbyinvasivespecies appeared to reduce native species richness after locations became in-vadedEvaluatingtheinfluenceofenvironmentalfilteringandheterogeneitywefoundthatnativeandexoticspeciesoccupiedsomewhatdifferentnichesInvaderswerelesssensitivetoenvironmentalgradientsandmoretolerantofawiderrangeofconditionsThissegregationofhabitatpreferencesalonecouldproduceanega-tivelocalnative-exoticrichnessrelationshipandapositiveregionalpatternwith-outtheinvolvementofbioticinteractions
4 SynthesisOurfindingsconflictwithestablishedexpectationswhichcomefromresearchpredominantlyconductedinterrestrialecosystemsThisillustratestheimportanceofexplicitlyevaluatingunderlyingmechanismsindiversity-invasibility
2emsp |emsp emspenspJournal of Ecology MUTHUKRISHNAN eT Al
1emsp |emspINTRODUC TION
The relationship between the diversity of ecological communitiesandtheirpropensitytobeinvadedbyexoticspecieshasbeenheav-ilydebated(FargioneampTilman2005Kennedyetal2002Levine2000 Levine amp DrsquoAntonio 1999Wardle 2001) Much researchparticularlymodelling and small-scale experiments has supportedanegativerelationshipbetweendiversityandinvasibilityHoweveratlarger(egregional)scalestheoppositepatternisfrequentlyob-servedwithmorediversecommunitieshavingmoreexoticspecies(Cleland etal 2004 Levine amp DrsquoAntonio 1999 Stohlgren etal1999)Thisscale-dependentshiftinthenative-exoticrichnessrela-tionship(NERR)remainsdifficulttoexplainwithmultipleprocessespotentiallyinteractingtoproduceoverallpatternsAtthesametimeinvasive species are a global ecological threat (Bellard Cassey ampBlackburn 2016MillenniumEcosystemAssessment 2005) thusimprovingunderstandingofbiodiversity-invasibilityrelationshipsisimportantforsupportingconservationandmanagement
A common explanation for scale-dependentNERR differencesisthatseparateprocessesdrivelocalandregionalpatterns(LevineampDrsquoAntonio1999Stohlgrenetal1999)Ithasbeenpositedthatat local scales high diversity confers biotic resistance to invasion(FargioneampTilman2005Kennedyetal2002)butthatatbroaderscales incorporation of new habitats that are favourable for na-tiveandinvasivespeciesalikeincreasesdiversityofbothinparallel(LevineampDrsquoAntonio1999Naeemetal 2000)However furtherwork has highlighted other processes that may influence NERRs(Fridleyetal2007)Spatialheterogeneityinenvironmentalcondi-tionsmaysupportpositiveNERRs(Daviesetal2005)byincreasingavenues for coexistence (eg Chesson 2000 Tilman 2004) Thestrengthordirectionofalocal-scaleNERRcanalsoshiftasafunc-tionofproductivitydisturbanceorenvironmentalgradients(BeloteJonesHoodampWender2008DaviesHarrisonSaffordampViers2007)Forexampleinvadersthathavebroaderenvironmentaltoler-ancesorpreferlessproductiveconditionsmayoccuronaverageinlessdiverselocalities(egPaavolaOleninampLeppaumlkoski2005)be-causethoseconditionstendtocorrelatewithlowerdiversityInsuchcasesnegativeNERRsmayarisethroughasamplingeffectwithouttheneedforanyparticularbioticinteractiontobeinvolved
ThemanagementimplicationsofanNERRcandifferdependingonitsunderlyingmechanism(s)ForexampleanegativeNERRresult-ing fromdiversity-drivenbiotic resistancewouldargue foreffortstocreateormaintaindiversitytopre-emptinvasionIncontrast if
suchpatternsarearesultofcompetitiveexclusionbythe invadereffortstoincreasediversitymayofferlittleprotectionagainstinva-sionAttheregionalscaleifapositiveNERRarisesbecauseinvasiveandnativespeciesshareenvironmentalpreferencesthenthemostresource-richenvironmentsmaybeatthegreatestriskofinvasionAlternativelyifheterogeneityisthedrivingmechanismforanNERRthemostvariablelocalesmaybemostvulnerable
EveninasinglesystemNERRsarelikelytoarisefrommultipleprocessesespeciallyacrosslocalandregionalscales(Fridleyetal2007)Howeverthereisagrowingconsensusthatbioticinteractionstendtobekeydriversofcommunitystructureatlocalscaleswhileenvironmental conditionsbecomemore influential as spatial scaleincreases(Fridleyetal2007)ThusamoremechanisticperspectivethatevaluatesmultipleprocessesatmultiplescalesisneededSuchstudiesarelogisticallydifficulttoconductasexperimentsbutlarge-scale long-termmonitoringdatasetsofferanalternativemeanstoaddressthesedynamics
Herewefocusonfourmechanismsthatcouldinfluencenativeorexoticspeciesdiversitythreeofwhichwecouldevaluateatmul-tiplespatialscalesBiotic resistance to invasionhas longbeencon-sideredapotentialbenefitofdiversecommunities(Elton1958)andiswell-supportedbyexperimentalwork(FargioneampTilman2005Kennedyetal2002Levine2000Naeemetal2000StachowiczWhitlatchampOsman1999)thoughtheuniversalityofthismecha-nismhasbeenquestioned(CapersSelskyBugbeeampWhite2007)Invasivespeciescanalsocompetitively excluderesidentspeciesafterestablishment(CasasScrosatiampLuzPiriz2004YurkonisMeinersampWachholder2005)producingapatternofnativeandinvaderrich-nesssimilartobioticresistancebutwithadifferenttemporalsigna-tureielossofnativediversityfollowinginvasionratherthanlowerlikelihoodofsubsequentinvasionindiverselocalesThirdlyenviron-mental filtering influences speciesrsquo abilities toestablishandpersistin particular localities Alignment of preferences between nativesandinvaderscouldproducepositiveregionalNERRswhilecompet-itiveinteractionsdeterminelocal-scaleoutcomes(Cavender-BaresKozakFineampKembel2009Daviesetal2005)Alternativelyifin-vadershavewiderenvironmentaltolerancesthannatives(RichardsBossdorf Muth Gurevitch amp Pigliucci 2006 Vazquez 2006) anegativelocalNERRcouldbeproducedbyinvadersestablishinginmarginalhabitatwithfewnativespeciesLastlyenvironmental het-erogeneity in conditions or habitat types is a keymechanism sup-portingoveralldiversity thatcan increasebothnativeand invaderrichness (Daviesetal2005)Thiseffect is likely tobecomemore
researchandforcomparisonsacrossdifferenttypesofecosystemsIdentificationof different drivers of diversity also has direct implications for decisions aboutmanagementoffreshwaterplantcommunities
K E Y W O R D S
aquaticplantsbiodiversitybioticresistancecompetitiveexclusionenvironmentalfilteringheterogeneityinvasionecologynative-exoticrichnessrelationship
emspensp emsp | emsp3Journal of EcologyMUTHUKRISHNAN eT Al
pronouncedoverlargerspatialscalesasgreatervariabilityisaccrued(Huston1999)
Inthisstudyweusedanexceptionally largedatasetofaquaticvegetation surveys fromMinnesota shallow lakes to characterizeNERRsatlocalandregionalscalesandexamineevidenceforalterna-tivemechanismsUsingdatafromsiteswithrepeatedsamplingovertimewetestedfor(1)nativespeciesrichnessconferringbiotic resis-tancetoinvasionand(2)invaderscompetitively excludingnativespe-ciesafterestablishmentWeusedenvironmentaldatatocorrelatenative and invasive species richnesswith abiotic conditions to (3)evaluateifenvironmental filteringactedsimilarlyonbothgroupsand(4)evaluatehownativeandinvasivespeciesrespondedtoenviron-mental heterogeneityasapotentialdriverofregionalscalediversity
2emsp |emspMATERIAL S AND METHODS
21emsp|emspSurvey data
Vegetation data for the study were aggregated from 1662 grid-based point-intercept surveys conducted by the MinnesotaDepartmentofNaturalResourcesin1102shallowlakesfrom2002to2014Thelakesrepresentabroadrangeofshallowlakesacrossthestatewithvarying levelsandtypesofnearby landusehumanactivityandmanagementSurveyswereconductedwitha thrownrakethatwaspulledalongthebenthicsurfacetocollectvegetationAllmacrophytes(aquaticvascularplantsandmacroalgae)wereiden-tifiedtospeciesorlowestfeasibletaxonForsimplicitywerefertoalltaxaasldquospeciesrdquoieincludingthoseidentifiedonlytogenus(seeTableS1forafull listoftaxa)Thenumberofsurveypointsvariedbetweenlakes(617plusmn379MplusmnSD)scalingwithlakesize
WeusedthesedatatocalculatespeciesrichnessatpointandlakescalesWedistinguishedspeciesconsidered invasive inMinnesotabased on established lists (Milburn BourdaghsampHusveth 2007USDA2016)andsixwerepresentinoursurveysLythrum salicaria (purple loosestrife) Myriophyllum spicatum (Eurasian watermil-foil) Phalaris arundinacea (reed canarygrass) Potamogeton crispus (curly-leaf pondweed) Typha angustifolia (narrow-leaf cattail) and Typha times glauca(hybridcattail)Incaseswhereidentificationwasre-solvedtoataxonomiclevelencompassingbothinvasiveandnativespecies(egTyphasp isambiguouswiththenativeTypha latifolia)weconservativelyassumedthenativeformSimilarlywhileinvasiveEuropeangenotypesofPhragmites australisoccurinMinnesotalin-eageswerenotdiscriminatedinourdatasetThuswetreatedallP australisascomprisingthewidespreadnativesubspeciesP australis sspamericanus Inasmallnumberof lakes invasiveTyphawasre-cordedbothtospeciesandtothegroupedcategoryldquoT angustifolia or times glaucardquoWecountedtheseasrepresentingonlyasingleinvaderspecies
UsingthesedataweevaluatedNERRsatlocal(individualsam-plingpoint)andregional(whole-lake)scalesAllanalyseswereper-formedinrversion312(RCoreTeam2014)Usingpoint-leveldatawe estimated the relationship between native and exotic speciesrichnessToaccountfortheintegernatureoftheresponsevariable
we used aGLMwith a Poisson error distribution (using the ldquoglmrdquofunction from the stats package) and evaluated significance usingtheldquosummaryglmrdquofunction(thisapproachwasusedforallGLMs)Wethencalculatedlake-levelrichnessvaluesandconstructedasep-arateGLMforlake-levelnativeandexoticspeciesrichness
22emsp|emspBiotic interaction mechanisms
Tocalculatethepotentialfornativediversitytoconferbioticresist-ance to invasionand for invasivespecies tocompetitivelyexcludenativespeciesweanalysedtemporalpatternsinlakesthathadbeenrepeatedly sampled overmultiple years Because temporal analy-seswouldbe sensitive to changes in sampling effort or locationsweonlyincludeddatafromlakeswherethesamegridsofsamplingpointswereusedamongyearsthiscomprised179lakeseachwith2ndash9interannualsurveys(M=322)
Toquantifybioticresistancewecomparedtherelationshipbe-tweennativespeciesrichnessandtheprobabilityofasamplingpointbecominginvadedatsubsequentsamplingtimesBecauseinvasivespecies themselves can potentially increase the likelihood of fur-therinvasions(viaaninvasionalmeltdownSimberloffampVonHolle1999) or increase resistance (HenrikssonWardle Trygg Diehl ampEnglund 2016)we focused only on initial invasions excluding alllocationsthatwerealreadyinvadedWhilethepotentialeffectsofinitial invadersonsecondary invasionsareof interest thenumberofsuchrecordswas insufficienttoaddressthis issueAdditionallysomelocationsmayhavebeengenerallyunsuitableforvegetationproducingzerovaluesforrichnessthatcouldartificiallyreduceesti-matesofspeciesrichnessthusweexcludedfromouranalysispointslackingvegetationatanysamplingtimeWealsoexcludedlocationsfromlakesthatdidnotcontainanyinvasivespeciesattheinitialsam-plingpointInvasioninsuchcaseswouldrequirecolonizationfromanotherlakeahighlystochasticprocessthatcouldbiasestimatesWeanalyseddatafromtheremainingsitesusingageneralizedlin-earmixedeffectsmodel(fromthebinomialfamily)Whetherornotanuninvadedpointwassubsequently invadedwasusedasthere-sponsevariablenativespeciesrichnesswastreatedasafixedeffectandlakeidentitywasincludedasarandomeffectThemodelwasfitusingtheldquoglmerrdquofunctionfromthelme4package(BatesMaumlchlerBolkerampWalker2015)andusingtheldquobobyqardquooptimizer(withtheargument control=glmerControl(optimizer=ldquobobyqardquo)) signifi-cancewas evaluated using a parametric bootstrap This approachfirst estimates the full mixed model with the variable of interestincludedthenareducedmodelwiththevariableremovedchangeinfitbetweenmodelswasassessedusingtheldquoPBmodcomprdquofunc-tion(fromthepbkrtestpackagewith1000simulationsHalekohampHoslashjsgaard 2014)We also evaluated biotic resistance at the lakescaleevaluatinghowwhole-lakenativespeciesrichnessinfluencestheprobabilityofbecominginvadedusingaGLMfromthebinomialfamily
Toevaluatewhetherinvaderscompetitivelyexcludednativespe-ciesweestimatedrateofchangeinnativespeciesrichnessforeachsamplingpointbyestimatinga linear regression fornativespecies
4emsp |emsp emspenspJournal of Ecology MUTHUKRISHNAN eT Al
richnesswithsamplingyearasthesingleindependentvariableForeachmodelthecoefficientforthetimeparameterprovidesanesti-mateoftheaverageyearlychangeinspeciesnumberwithnegativevaluesindicatingspecieslossDifferencesinaveragecoefficientval-ueswerecomparedbetweensitesthatwereinvadedandthosethatremaineduninvadedthroughallsurveysalsousingalinearmodelWe again excluded locations where no vegetation was recordedduring any surveyanduseda linearmixedeffectmodel (with theldquolmerrdquofunctionfromthelme4package)tocompareratesbetweeninvadedanduninvadedsiteswhileaccountingforlakeasarandomeffect Statistical significancewasagainevaluatedusing the sameparametricbootstrapapproachasaboveCompetitiveexclusionwasalsoevaluatedatthelakescaleusingastandardlinearmodel(withtheldquolmrdquoandldquosummarylmrdquofunctions)tocompareratesofchangeinspeciesrichnessbetweeninvadedanduninvadedlakes
23emsp|emspEnvironmental mechanisms of invasion
ToinvestigatehowenvironmentalconditionsinfluencedpatternsofdiversitywecollecteddataonarangeofenvironmentalparametersatbothpointandlakescalesDuringsurveyspoint-levelmeasuresofbottomdepthandSecchidepthwererecordedWeusedGLMstoestimate influenceofdepthandSecchidepthonnativeand in-vasivespeciesrichnessassumingPoissondistributionsforspeciesrichnessWecalculatedtheserelationshipsatpointandwhole-lakescales(usingmeanvaluesacrosspoints)BecausedepthandSecchidepthwerecorrelatedweusedseparatemodelstoindependentlyevaluatetheirrelationshipswithrichnessratherthanincludingbothparametersinasingleanalysisThetotalpossiblerichnessofinva-sivespecieswasmuchlowerthanthatofnativespeciesthuswealsoconductedanalogousanalysesusinginvaderpresenceasabinomialresponseinGLMstotestforenvironmentalpreferencesofinvasivespecies in general Additionallywe calculated standard deviations(SD)ofdepthandSecchidepthforeachlakeasmeasuresofwithin-lakeheterogeneity andused thesedata to estimateGLMs testingrelationships between lake heterogeneity and native and invasivespeciesrichnessatthelakescaleagainassumingPoissondistribu-tionsforspeciesrichnessWealsoconductedanadditionalanalysisof invader responsewith invaderpresenceasabinomial responseinaGLM
Toestimateadditionalenvironmentalparameters for lakesweaggregateddatafromtwopubliclyavailablesourcesWecollectedmeasurementsoflakeareaandlong-termaverageSecchidepth(m)forc11000lakesderivedfromremotesensingdatabytheUniversityofMinnesotaRemoteSensingandGeospatialAnalysisLaboratory(OlmansonBauerampBrezonik2008OlmansonBrezonikampBauer2014)InadditiontheMinnesotaPollutionControlAgency(MPCA)manages a large dataset of direct lakemeasurements (c 6 million records)collectedbystatelocalandcitizen-basedorganizationsonawidevarietyofenvironmentalparametersWefocusedonfivepa-rameterslikelytoinfluencemacrophytedistributionthatweresam-pledinlargenumbersoflakespHconductance(μS)totalKjeldahlnitrogen (N mgL) total phosphorus (P mgL) and chlorophyll a
concentration (μgL)Datawereheterogeneous in spaceand timeandcollectedbygroupswithdifferingtechnicalproficiencythuswetookseveralstepstoassuredataqualityWelimitedenvironmentalmeasures to only those collected since the year 2000 and duringthegrowingseason(JunendashSeptember)ToremovedatalikelytobeerroneouswecalculatedmeanandSD foreachvariableacrossalllakesandexcludedanysampleswithvaluesgt5SDfromthemeanBecauseSDwas sometimes strongly influencedby extremeoutli-erswethenrecalculatedSDwithoutliersremovedandrepeatedtheprocessasecondtimeThisleftuswith139lakesinthedatasetwithvaluesforallparametersFortheselakesweaggregatedallmeasure-mentsofagivenparameterintoasinglemean
ForsurveyedlakeswithdataforallenvironmentalparametersweusedGLMswithmultiplefixedeffectstoidentifyenvironmentalconditionsassociatedwithnativeorinvasivespeciesrichnessGLMsincludedsixenvironmentalparametersaspotentialpredictors(NPpHconductancechlorophyllaandSecchidepth)Nativeandinva-sivespeciesrichnessandinvasionstatusweremodelledasresponsesinseparateanalysesusingaPoissonerrordistributionforrichnessmeasuresandinvaderpresenceabsenceasabinomialresponse
3emsp |emspRESULTS
31emsp|emspOverall patterns
Vegetationdatacomprised56134samplingpointsfrom1662sur-veys in1102 lakesAcrosssurveys150318 individualvegetationsampleswere identified to 172 taxa (generally species Table S1)Invasivespecieswereidentifiedinnearlyhalfofthelakes(546)andinvaded lakes spanned theentire rangeofnative species richness(Figure1)Theaveragenumberofspeciesatasamplingpointwas269plusmn183(MplusmnSD)andwithinalakewas1013plusmn723Consistentwith the ldquoinvasion paradoxrdquo (Fridley etal 2007) we observed anegativeNERRatthepointscaleandapositiverelationshipatthewhole-lakescale(Table1Figure2)
F IGURE 1emspFrequencyoflakeswithdifferentnativespeciesrichnessDarkgrayportionsofbarsindicatelakesthathadnoinvasivespeciespresentandlightgrayportionsindicatelakeswithatleastoneinvasivespecies
0 10 20 30 40
InvadedUninvaded
Native species richness
Num
ber o
f lak
es0
2040
6080
emspensp emsp | emsp5Journal of EcologyMUTHUKRISHNAN eT Al
TABLE 1emspResultsoffixedeffectsfromallstatisticalmodelsGeneralizedlinearmodelswereusedinmostanalysesbutmixedmodelswereusedforpointscaleanalysesofbioticresistanceandcompetitiveexclusiontoaccountforautocorrelationwithinlakesStatisticallysignificantresultsindicatedwithaldquordquo
Analysis Scale Parameter Estimate SE Test statistic p- value Significant
Overall NERR Point Intercept minus2103 0024 minus88076 lt001
Coefficient minus0096 0008 minus11308 lt001
Lake Intercept minus0786 0070 minus11277 lt001
Coefficient 0023 0005 4631 lt001
Bioticinteractions
Bioticresistance Point Intercept minus3921 0286 minus13735
Coefficient 0053 0054 0971 356
Lake Intercept minus0642 0230 minus2798 005
Coefficient 0028 0026 1103 270
Competitiveexclusion Point Intercept 0080 0024 3343
Coefficient minus0101 0025 minus4130 lt001
Lake Intercept 0021 0182 0114 910
Coefficient 0239 0221 1080 282
Environmentalanalyses
NativerichnessmdashDepth Point Intercept 1150 0006 208374 lt001
Coefficient minus0052 0001 minus40172 lt001
Lake Intercept 2268 0020 114602 lt001
Coefficient 0010 0004 2747 006
InvaderrichnessmdashDepth Point Intercept minus2430 0028 minus87339 lt001
Coefficient 0023 0006 3897 lt001
Lake Intercept minus0524 0083 minus6350 lt001
Coefficient minus0003 0016 minus0178 859
NativerichnessmdashSecchidepth
Point Intercept 0857 0005 171688 lt001
Coefficient 0037 0001 25767 lt001
Lake Intercept 1957 0016 119019 lt001
Coefficient 0125 0004 29164 lt001
InvaderrichnessmdashSecchidepth
Point Intercept minus2545 0026 minus96303 lt001
Coefficient 0059 0007 8107 lt001
Lake Intercept minus0571 0070 minus8144 lt001
Coefficient 0014 0022 0656 512
NativerichnessmdashEnvironmentalconditions
Lake Intercept 2283 0357 6388 lt001
pH 0087 0043 2006 045
Conductance minus0001 0000 minus6518 lt001
P minus1359 0380 minus3580 lt001
N 0028 0051 0550 582
Chlorophylla minus0006 0001 minus4678 lt001
Secchidepth 0106 0038 2829 005
InvaderrichnessmdashEnvironmentalconditions
Lake Intercept minus3064 1480 minus2070 038
pH 0412 0175 2355 019
Conductance 0000 0000 minus1098 272
P 0953 0923 1032 302
N 0050 0140 0360 719
Chlorophylla minus0006 0003 minus1866 062
Secchidepth minus0316 0157 minus2012 044
(Continues)
6emsp |emsp emspenspJournal of Ecology MUTHUKRISHNAN eT Al
32emsp|emspBiotic resistance
Atthelocalscaleweobservednosignificantrelationshipbetweenspeciesrichnessandtheprobabilitythatalocationwouldbecomein-vadedinthesubsequentsurvey(Table1Figure3a)ienosupportforlocal-scalebioticresistanceResultsshowedhighvariabilitywithmany lakes showing positive relationships while others displayednegative relationships indicating very noisy data with little pat-ternratherthanaconsistentbutsmalleffectAtthelakescalewealsodidnotseeasignificantrelationshipbetweenspeciesrichnessand invasion though the parameter estimatewas positive (0028Table1)Thuswhilenon-significantthetrendfollowedtheoppositepatternwithhigherspeciesrichnessbeingassociatedwithagreaterpropensityforinvasionHoweverthispatternmaybelargelynoise
33emsp|emspCompetitive exclusion
Ouranalysesdidprovidesupport forcompetitiveexclusionofna-tivespeciesbyinvadersatthelocalscale(Table1)Basedonparam-eterestimatesof the linearmixedeffectsmodel species richnessdecreasedatinvadedsamplingpointsby002speciesperyear(afteraccounting for lake-to-lake differences Figure3b) while at unin-vadedpointsrichnessincreasedby008speciesperyearAtthelakescaletherewasnosignificantdifferenceinratesofrichnesschangebetweeninvadedanduninvadedlakesrichnesstendedtoincreaseinbothovertime(Table1)
34emsp|emspEnvironmental filtering
At the local scale both native and invasive species richness sig-nificantly varied with environmental conditions (Table1 analysesusing binomial GLMs based on invasive species presence gener-ally show the samedirectionality and significance patterns as theanalysesusinginvaderrichnessresultscanbeseeninTableS2andFiguresS1andS2inonlineSupportingInformation)Nativeandinva-sivespecieshadsignificantbutopposingrelationshipswithdepth(Figure4ab) native richness decreasedwith greater depth whileinvasive richness increased though less strongly Both native andinvasiverichnessincreasedwithwaterclarity(Figure4cd)butthis
relationshipwasmuchstrongerfornative(z=4017)thaninvasivespecies (z=3897) suggesting weaker light limitation in invadersAt the lake scale native richness increasedwithmean lake depthandmeanSecchidepth(Figure4eg) Invasiverichnessdidnotsig-nificantlydifferwitheitherparameter(Figure4fh)againsuggestingbroadertolerance
Analysingthelargersetofenvironmentalvariablesweidenti-fiedmanysignificantrelationshipsbetweenlake-levelenvironmen-tal parameters and species richness (Table1) but the significantvariables differed between native and invasive species All envi-ronmentalconditionsexceptNweresignificantpredictorsofnativerichness In contrast only pH and Secchi depthwere significantpredictorsofinvasiverichnessFurthermoredirectionalityofsomestrong predictors of richnesswere reversed between native andinvasive species For example native richness had a strong neg-ative relationshipwith Pwhile the patternwas positive (thoughnotsignificant)forinvasivespeciesTheoppositepatternwasseenforSecchidepth invasiverichnessdecreasedandnativerichnessincreasedwithgreaterclarityConductanceandchlorophylla were significant negative predictors of native richness and negativelycorrelated but not significant for invaders The generallyweakerresponses of invasive richness to environmental conditions sug-gest that invaders had broader environmental tolerances At thelakescalethesepatternsarepotentiallyconfoundedbythegeneralcorrelationofaveragedepthandlakesizeHoweverbothlakesizeandaveragedepth (asopposed todepthataparticular location)arelikelyproxiesforoverallhabitatvariabilitywhichinturndrivesincreasednativespeciesrichnessratherthanadirectinfluenceofaveragedepthorsizeThusthegeneralpatternofstrongerenvi-ronmentalconstraintsonnativespeciesthaninvadersexistsinde-pendentofwhetherlakesizeandaveragedepthareconfounded
35emsp|emspHeterogeneity
Within-lakeheterogeneity indepthandSecchidepthweresignifi-cantpositivepredictorsofnativerichness(Table1Figure5ac)buthadnoinfluenceoninvasiverichness(Table1Figure5bd)Thisfur-thersupportsthecontentionthatinvadershavelowersensitivitytoenvironmentalconditions
Analysis Scale Parameter Estimate SE Test statistic p- value Significant
Heterogeneityanalyses
NativerichnessmdashDepthheterogeneity
Lake Intercept 2189 0014 158807 lt001
Coefficient 0079 0006 13223 lt001
InvaderrichnessmdashDepthheterogeneity
Lake Intercept minus0510 0058 minus8739 lt001
Coefficient minus0017 0029 minus0576 565
NativerichnessmdashSecchidepthheterogeneity
Lake Intercept 2089 0013 155818 lt001
Coefficient 0311 0012 26725 lt001
InvaderrichnessmdashSecchidepthheterogeneity
Lake Intercept minus0561 0055 minus10152 lt001
Coefficient 0050 0058 0856 392
TABLE 1emsp (Continued)
emspensp emsp | emsp7Journal of EcologyMUTHUKRISHNAN eT Al
4emsp |emspDISCUSSION
Theaquaticplantcommunitieswestudiedshowedastrongnega-tive relationshipbetweennativeand invasivespecies richnessatlocal (point) scales but a positive relationship at regional (lake-wide) scales matching patterns observed in numerous systemsHowever when we evaluated mechanisms that could generatethesepatternswefoundvaryinglevelsofsupportindicatingthatnotallmechanismswereofequalimportanceSimilarlynomecha-nismdominatedandanygivenfactorexplainedonlyasmallamountof thepatternsobserved innativeand invasivespecies richnessIn contrast withmany terrestrial systems (Kennedy etal 2002LevineAdlerampYelenik2004Naeemetal2000)wefoundnoevidenceforlocal-scalebioticresistanceOurresultsalsoindicateastronginfluenceofenvironmentalconstraintsonlocal-scalerich-nesspatternscountertogeneralexpectationsthatenvironmental
filteringbecomesmoreimportantatbroaderspatialscales(Fridleyetal 2007) Our findings illustrate that similar NERR patternscanbeproducedbydifferentunderlyingmechanismsthatcanbedifficult todiscriminateThesealternativemechanismsmayhavevery different implications for conservation andmanagement ofaquatic plant communities underscoring the value of applying amechanistic lens to evaluating patterns of community structureanddiversity
41emsp|emspStrong opposing roles of environmental drivers on native and invasive species
ContrastingpatternsofnegativeNERRsatlocalscalesandpositiveNERRsatregionalscaleshavebeenseeninavarietyofsystemswesawsimilarpatternsinMinnesotaaquaticplantcommunitiesWhileitisrecognizedthatmultipleprocessescaninfluenceNERRsthere
F IGURE 2emspRelationshipbetweenrichnessofnativespeciesandinvasivespeciesidentifiedinindividualsamples(a)oraggregatedtothelakelevel(b)Pointsarejitteredalongthey-axistoincreasevisibilityofoverlappingpointsThesolidlinesindicatetheestimatedvalueanddashedlinesarethe95confidenceintervalfortheestimate
0 5 10 15Pointminuslevel native species richness
Inva
sive
spe
cies
rich
ness
01
23
0 10 20 30 40Lakeminuslevel native species richness
Inva
sive
spe
cies
rich
ness
01
23
(a) (b)
F IGURE 3emspBioticresistance(a)isindicatedbyanestimateoftheprobabilityofinvasionofindividualsamplinglocationsasafunctionofnativespeciesrichnessColouredlinesindicatethetrendsforindividuallakeswithpurplelinesindicatinglakeswhereinvasionriskdecreaseswithgreaternativespeciesrichness(indicatingbioticresistance)andgreenlinesindicatinghigherriskofinvasionThedashedportionsoflinesindicateestimatescalculatedfornativespeciesrichnessbeyondtherangewhereactualdatawereobservedThesolidblacklinesindicatetheoverallestimatesafteraccountingforautocorrelationwithinlakesandthedashedlinesindicatethe95confidenceintervalforthoseestimatesCompetitiveexclusion(b)isevaluatedbyacomparisonoftherateofchangeinnativespeciesrichnessbetweenlocationsthatareuninvadedacrossallsamplingtimepointsandthosewhereaninvaderispresentHeregreenlinesindicatelakeswithhighervaluesatinvadedpointswhilepurplelinesarelakeswithlowervaluesatinvadedsitesandtheblacklinesagainshowtheoverallestimateswitha95confidenceinterval
0 2 4 6 8 10 12
00
02
04
06
08
10
Native species richness
Pro
babi
lity
of in
vasi
on
(a)
Invader presence
Cha
nge
in s
peci
es ri
chne
ss p
er y
ear
minus3minus2
minus1minus
50
51
23
Uninvaded Invaded
(b)
8emsp |emsp emspenspJournal of Ecology MUTHUKRISHNAN eT Al
FIGURE 4emspRelationshipsbetweendepth(abef)orSecchidepth(cdgh) andtherichnessofnativespeciesandinvasivespeciesatindividualsamplinglocations(andashd)andaggregatedacrossentirelakes(endashh)Pointsarejitteredalongthey-axisforclarityandsolidanddashedlinesindicatethemeanand95confidenceintervaloftheestimatedvalue
0 5 10 15 20
05
1015
0 5 10 15 20
01
23
0 5 10 15 20
05
1015
0 5 10 15 20
01
23
0 5 10 15
010
2030
40
0 5 10 15
01
23
0 5 10 15
010
2030
40
0 5 10 15
01
23
Nat
ive
spec
ies
richn
ess
(a)
Inva
sive
spe
cies
rich
ness
(b)N
ativ
e sp
ecie
s ric
hnes
s
(c)In
vasi
ve s
peci
es ri
chne
ss(d)
Nat
ive
spec
ies
richn
ess
(e)
Inva
sive
spe
cies
rich
ness
(f)
Nat
ive
spec
ies
richn
ess
(g)
Inva
sive
spe
cies
rich
ness
(h)
Depth Depth
Secchi depth Secchi depth
Lake average depth Lake average depth
Lake average Secchi depth Lake average Secchi depth
emspensp emsp | emsp9Journal of EcologyMUTHUKRISHNAN eT Al
is a general expectation that biotic interactions dominate at localscalesbutaresupplantedbyabioticdeterminantsatbroaderscales(Fridleyetal2007)OurdatadonotsupportthispredictionRatherwefoundthatenvironmentalconditionswere relatively importantpredictorsof richnessat regionaland local scaleswhileeffectsofbiotic interactions were relatively weak However there was stillsubstantialunexplainedvariancethatmaybeinfluencedbyenviron-mentalfactorsnotconsideredaspartofthisstudyorbyalternativeecologicalmechanisms
Nativeandinvasivespeciesweresensitivetodifferentenviron-mentalfactorsinsomecasesevenshowingopposingresponsestothesameenvironmentalgradientsForexamplenativerichnesswasassociated with lower water depth and P while invasive richnesswas associatedwithgreaterdepth andPForwater clarity nativeandinvasivespeciesbothshowedpositiverelationshipsatthelocalscale but the relationshipwasweaker for invasive speciesThesedivergentpreferencessuggestthatnativeandinvasivespeciesoccu-piedsomewhatdifferentnichesSuchnichesegregationalonecouldproduceanegativeNERRwithoutbioticinteractionsbeinginvolved
ThepatternsweobservedindicatethatinvasivespeciesgainedanadvantageovernativespeciesundermoreeutrophicconditionsThis is presumably due to these species being better adapted toexploit higher resource availability and tolerate lower light levels(NicholsampShaw1986WooampZedler2002)Alternativelyitisalsopossible thatpoorwaterquality increasedwithgreaterhumanac-tivityandthathumanactivitywastheproximatecauseofgreaterinvasionratesviaincreasedtransmissionopportunities
Furthermorewhilegreaterenvironmentalheterogeneitywasassociatedwith increased richness of native speciesmdashconsistentwith a large body of ecological theory and literature (LarkinBrulandampZedler2016PickettampCadenasso1995)mdashtherewasno such response by invasive species This suggests that nativespecies were more specialized to depth and light niches withinlakes while invasive species occupied broader niches and werethus able to exploitmoremarginal habitatHowever our analy-seswere limited towater depth and Secchi depth it is possiblethat invadersmayhaveexhibitedgreater responsiveness tohet-erogeneity in other environmental factors Greater responsive-nesstoincreasedresourceavailabilityandbroaderenvironmentaltolerances appear to be attributes of successful invasive plantsin general (Davis Grime amp Thompson 2000 Zedler amp Kercher2004) and global drivers of change reinforce these advantages(ThompsonampDavis2011)Innorthernshallowlakesrecentfind-ings point to persistent anthropogenic shifts to more nutrient-rich turbidalternativestates (RamstackHobbsetal2016)Ourfindingssuggestthatthesechangeswillexacerbateaquaticplantinvasions
42emsp|emspInvasive species win biotic interactions Competitive exclusion but not biotic resistance
How new invasions affect native plant communities depends onbiotic interactions between resident native vegetation and invad-ing speciesWe analysed repeated surveys in the same locations
F IGURE 5emspRelationshipsbetweentheheterogeneityofdepthorSecchidepthinalakeandtherichnessofnativespecies(ac)andinvasivespecies(bd)Pointsarejitteredalongthey-axisforclarityandsolidanddashedlinesindicatethemeanand95confidenceintervaloftheestimatedvalue
0 2 4 6 8 10 12
010
2030
40
Lake depth SD
Nat
ive
spec
ies
richn
ess
0 2 4 6 8 10 12
Lake depth SD
Inva
sive
spe
cies
rich
ness
01
23
0 1 2 3 4
010
2030
40
Lake Secchi depth SD
Nat
ive
spec
ies
richn
ess
0 1 2 3 4
Lake Secchi depth SD
Inva
sive
spe
cies
rich
ness
01
23
(a) (b)
(c) (d)
10emsp |emsp emspenspJournal of Ecology MUTHUKRISHNAN eT Al
toinvestigatebioticinteractionsandfoundmixedsupportfortheirimportanceAftersampling locationswere invadednativespeciesrichness tended to decrease over timewhile uninvaded locationsgained species This supports the competitive exclusion hypoth-esisiethatinvadersreducelocal-scalediversitybydisplacingna-tive species In contrastwhenweevaluatedbiotic resistancewefoundnoevidencethatmore-diversesiteswerelesslikelytobesub-sequently invadedAcaveat is that invasionsarehighlystochasticprocessespunctuatedbyrelativelyfewinvasionevents(Macketal2000Simberloff2009)Furthermoreitisdifficulttoresurveypre-ciselocationsovermultipleyearsandimperfectdetectionmaycon-foundspeciesrsquopresenceabsencerecords(ChenKeacuteryPlattnerMaampGardner2013)ThesefactorscanresultinnoisydatasetsandassuchthelikelihoodoftypeIIerrors(falsenegatives)maybeparticu-larlyhighandtheabilitytodetectasignallowYetourabilitytostillidentifycompetitiveexclusiondespitesuchnoisesuggeststhatourgeneralapproachisvalidandthatbioticresistanceislikelyweakerorpotentiallyabsentinthissystemthoughitisdifficulttomakeadirectcomparisonofprocessstrengthsThuswhilewefoundevi-denceofinfluentialbioticinteractionsatthelocalscaleasexpected(Fridleyetal2007)wedidnotobservebioticresistancewhichisoftenconsideredtobethekeydriverforanegativeNERR(FargioneampTilman2005Levineetal2004) Insteadwefoundstatisticallysignificant evidence for competitive exclusionwhich is less oftencitedasadriverofnegativeNERRsThoughtheeffectsweobservedwererelativelymodestontheorderofonemorespeciesbeinglostper decade in invaded sites relative to uninvaded sites and therewashighvariabilitywithmany individualsitesand lakesexhibitingtheoppositepattern
Overtimebioticresistanceandcompetitiveexclusioncanpro-duce similar negativeNERR patterns Studies inwhich richness isexamined at only a single timepoint are inherently unable todis-criminate these twoprocessesYet the twomechanismshavedif-ferent implications for conservation and management A systemwithstrongbioticresistancewillberesilienttoinvasions(FargioneampTilman2005Naeemetal2000)andmanagingfordiversitycanminimizeriskButwherebioticresistanceisweakandcompetitiveexclusion likely uninvaded communities are vulnerable and biodi-versitywillnotreduceinvasionrisk
Thecombinationofbroaderenvironmentaltoleranceofinvasivespecies and the potential for competitive displacement of nativespeciesmayprovidean importantpathwayfor invasionBytakingadvantageofmarginal habitat fornative species invaders canes-tablishinnewareaswithoutfacingcompetitionOnceestablishedpropagule pressure can then promote spread into nearby habitatpreferredbynativespecies(LockwoodCasseyampBlackburn2005)Propagulepressurefromnearbysourceswill farexceedthatasso-ciatedwith rare long-distance dispersal events (Simberloff 2009)andcouldswampeffectsofbioticresistance(ThomsenDrsquoAntonioSuttleampSousa2006)This ldquoleapfroggingrdquoof invasiveplants frommarginal to preferred habitat has been demonstrated in invasionof EuropeanPhragmites australis inNorthAmericawhich spreadsacross the landscape via highway corridors and anthropogenic
habitat(LelongLavoieJodoinampBelzile2007TaddeoampDeBlois2012)providingpropagulesthatcantheninvadeintactnaturalwet-landsanddisplacenativespecies(FantPriceampLarkin2016PriceFantampLarkin2014)Theimportanceofenvironmentalconditionsin determining native and invasive species richness suggest thatmanagementofthosefactorsmaybeakeystrategyforlimitingin-vaderestablishment
At the larger spatial scale of whole lakes our findings morecloselymatchexpectationsfromothersystems(Daviesetal2005Fridleyetal2007LevineampDrsquoAntonio1999)Ourlake-scaleanal-yses showed no evidence of biotic resistance or competitive ex-clusion instead native and invasive species richness increased inconcert This is consistentwithNERRs not being driven by bioticinteractions at large spatial scales but instead broader environ-mental historical or biogeographic factors (Cavender-Bares etal2009Fridleyetal2007Ricklefs2004)Native species richnessincreasedwithenvironmentalheterogeneitywhichalignswiththeexpectationthattheinclusionofbroaderenvironmentalconditionsdrivesregional-scalediversitypatterns(Daviesetal2005Fridleyetal2007LevineampDrsquoAntonio1999)thoughwedidnotobservea similar pattern for invasive specieswith the environmental fac-torsweevaluatedNonethelessevenifinvasivespecieshavebroadenvironmentaltolerancesandarenotinfluencedbyheterogeneitystochasticprocessescouldstillleadtoincreasedinvaderrichnessatlargerspatialscalesresultinginapositiveNERR(FridleyBrownampBruno2004)
43emsp|emspIs biotic resistance ldquoall dryrdquo
Whileourresultsregardingtherelativeimportanceofbioticinterac-tions vs abiotic drivers run counter to previous findingsmdashparticu-larlywithrespecttotheabsenceofbioticresistancemdashthecauseofthat inconsistency remainsuncertain Itmaybepartlydue to fewstudies simultaneously investigating multiple alternative mecha-nismsofNERRs (but seeFargioneampTilman 2005) or topatternsbeingattributed tomechanisms thatarepresumed tobecommonbuthavenotbeenexplicitlytested
Itisalsopossiblethatthepreponderanceofdiversity-invasibilityresearch that comes from terrestrial systems biases expectationsStrong (1992) asked whether trophic cascades were ldquoall wetrdquo Isbiotic resistance ldquoall dryrdquo Nearly all evidence for local-scale bi-otic resistance comes from grassland or other terrestrial systems(FargioneampTilman2005Fridleyetal 2007 Levineetal 2004Naeemetal2000butseeStachowiczetal1999)Relativelylittleresearchhasbeenconductedinaquaticplantcommunitiesandsomepast findings have run counter to terrestrial expectations Capersetal(2007)foundnoevidenceofbioticresistanceinlakeplantcom-munitiesinthenortheasternUSInlakesacrosstheUSFlemingDibbleMadsen andWersal (2015) testedDarwinrsquos naturalizationhypothesisthatnichesbeingoccupiedbycloserelativeswouldrepelinvaderstheyfoundnoevidenceofsuchresistanceStroumlmJanssonandNilsson (2014) experimentally demonstrated a local-scale butpositiveNERRinborealwetlands
emspensp emsp | emsp11Journal of EcologyMUTHUKRISHNAN eT Al
Why would diversity-invasibility relationships differ betweenland and water There is some evidence that aquatic plant com-munities are more strongly structured by abiotic environmentalconstraints (Heino Soininen Alahuhta Lappalainen amp Virtanen2017 Santamariacutea 2002) Difficult environmental conditions inaquatic communities particularly at higher latitudes may imposesuch a strong filter on the macrophyte habitat species pool thatspeciesinteractionshavelimitedinfluenceoncommunityassembly(Santamariacutea2002)Similarpatternshavebeenobservedinaquaticinvertebratecommunities(MilnerBrittainCastellaampPetts2001PeckarskyHornampStatzner1990) suggesting that thismaybeacommonpatternforfreshwatersystemsIftherelativeimportanceof abiotic andbioticprocesses inNERRs systematically variesbe-tween terrestrial and aquatic systems then the limited researchperformedinthelattercouldbiasourgeneralunderstandingoftheecologicalmechanismscontributingtothesepatterns
44emsp|emspImplications for biodiversity conservation and invasive species management
Invasive species are one of the most important drivers of globalchangeandcandrasticallyrestructureecosystems(TylianakisDidhamBascompteampWardle2008VitousekDrsquoantonioLoopeRejmanekampWestbrooks1997WHMasonBastowWilsonampBSteel2007)Therelationshipbetweendiversity and compositionof native communi-ties and their invasibility has been a fundamental areaof inquiry inecologygoingbacktoElton(1958)andevenDarwin(Daehler2001)Understandingtheconditionsthatallowinvasivespeciestoestablishandthatmediatetheirimpactsremaincriticalissuesforconservationandmanagement(Byersetal2002Macketal2000)Studyingtherelationshipbetweendiversityofnativespeciesandinvasivespeciescanofferimportantinsightsintothesequestionsbyhelpingtoidentifythefactorsthatsupportordeter invasions Inparticular the ideaofbioticresistancesuggestsaldquovirtuouscyclerdquowhereineffortstosupportbiodiversityalsohelprepel invasionsHoweverthepatternsweob-servedsuggestthatwatershedmanagementtosupportwaterqualitymaybeamoreeffectivemeansofmitigatinginvasionsandtheirim-pactsNonethelessitisclearthatdiversity-invasibilitypatternscanbedrivenbymultiplemechanismsand recognizing thecontext-specificimportance of these differentmechanisms can help refinemanage-mentstrategies
Our analysis of alternativemechanisms underlyingNERRs inshallow lakes reveals several concerning trends (1)environmen-tal conditions consistent with broad patterns of anthropogenicchangebenefitinvasivespecies(2)lakeswithhigherbiodiversityvaluearemorelikelytobecomeinvadedand(3)bioticinteractionsrepresentedaldquobadnews-badnewsrdquoscenariowhereinlocal-scalediversitydoesnotconferresistancetoinvasionbutinvasiondoesreduce local-scale diversity via competitive exclusion Howeverour results do support continued effort towards establishedstrategies for invasive speciesmanagement Specifically effortstomaintainor improve lakecondition reducespreadof invasivespecies and restore diverse plant assemblageswhere they have
beenlostareneededtoslowtheerosionofnativeplantdiversityintheseimportantecosystems
ACKNOWLEDG EMENTS
FundingforthisprojectwasprovidedthroughtheMinnesotaAquaticInvasive Species ResearchCenter from theMinnesota Environmentand Natural Resources Trust Fund We thank A Geisen and theShallowLakesProgramstafffortheirextensiveeffortscollectingandorganizing fielddata (whichwassupportedby theMinnesotaGameandFish fundMinnesotaEnvironmentandNaturalResourcesTrustFundandtheOutdoorHeritageFund)andWGlissonMVerhoeven CWagnerandRNewmanforinputonthemanuscriptTheauthorsdeclarenoconflictsofinterest
AUTHORSrsquo CONTRIBUTIONS
NH-W managed data collection RM and DJL designed thestudyandanalysesRManalysedthedataandwrotetheinitialdraftofthemanuscriptAllauthorsparticipatedindatainterpretationandrevisingthemanuscript
DATA ACCE SSIBILIT Y
MacrophytecommunitydataenvironmentaldataandanalysisscriptsforthisstudyareavailablefromtheDryadDigitalRepositoryhttpsdoiorg105061dryad19cf1c2 (Muthukrishnan Hansel-Welch ampLarkin2018)
ORCID
Ranjan Muthukrishnan httporcidorg0000-0002-7001-6249
R E FE R E N C E S
BatesDMaumlchlerMBolkerBampWalkerS(2015)Fittinglinearmixed-effectsmodelsusinglme4Journal of Statistical Software671ndash48
BellardCCasseyPampBlackburnTM(2016)Alienspeciesasadriverof recent extinctions Biology Letters 12 20150623 httpsdoiorg101098rsbl20150623
BeloteRTJonesRHHoodSMampWenderBW(2008)DiversityndashinvasibilityacrossanexperimentaldisturbancegradientinAppalachianforestsEcology89183ndash192httpsdoiorg10189007-02701
ByersJEReichardSRandallJMParkerIMSmithCSLonsdaleW M hellip Hayes D (2002) Directing research to reduce the im-pactsofnonindigenousspeciesConservation Biology16630ndash640httpsdoiorg101046j1523-1739200201057x
Capers R S Selsky R BugbeeG J ampWhite J C (2007) Aquaticplantcommunityinvasibilityandscale-dependentpatternsinnativeand invasive species richnessEcology88 3135ndash3143 httpsdoiorg10189006-19111
CasasGScrosatiRampLuzPirizM(2004)TheinvasivekelpUndaria pinnatifida (Phaeophyceae Laminariales) reduces native seaweeddiversityinnuevogulf(PatagoniaArgentina)Biological Invasions6411ndash416httpsdoiorg101023BBINV00000415552930541
Cavender-Bares J Kozak K H Fine P V A amp Kembel S W(2009) The merging of community ecology and phylogenetic
12emsp |emsp emspenspJournal of Ecology MUTHUKRISHNAN eT Al
biology Ecology Letters 12 693ndash715 httpsdoiorg101111 j1461-0248200901314x
ChenGKeacuteryMPlattnerMMaKampGardnerB(2013)Imperfectdetection is the rule rather than the exception in plant distri-bution studies Journal of Ecology 101 183ndash191 httpsdoiorg1011111365-274512021
Chesson P (2000) General theory of competitive coexistence inspatially-varying environments Theoretical Population Biology 58211ndash237httpsdoiorg101006tpbi20001486
ClelandEESmithMDAndelmanSJBowlesCCarneyKMClaireHorner-DevineMhellipVandermastDB(2004)InvasioninspaceandtimeNon-nativespeciesrichnessandrelativeabundancerespondtointerannualvariationinproductivityanddiversityEcology Letters7947ndash957httpsdoiorg101111j1461-0248200400655x
DaehlerCC (2001)DarwinrsquosnaturalizationhypothesisrevisitedThe American Naturalist158324ndash330httpsdoiorg101086321316
DaviesKFChessonPHarrisonS InouyeBDMelbourneBAampRiceKJ(2005)Spatialheterogeneityexplainsthescaledepen-denceofthenativendashexoticdiversityrelationshipEcology861602ndash1610httpsdoiorg10189004-1196
DaviesKFHarrisonSSaffordHDampViersJH(2007)ProductivityaltersthescaledependenceofthediversityndashinvasibilityrelationshipEcology881940ndash1947httpsdoiorg10189006-19071
DavisMAGrimeJPampThompsonK(2000)FluctuatingresourcesinplantcommunitiesAgeneraltheoryofinvasibilityJournal of Ecology88528ndash534httpsdoiorg101046j1365-2745200000473x
Elton C S (1958) The ecology of invasions by animals and plants Chicago IL University of Chicago Press httpsdoiorg101007 978-1-4899-7214-9
Fant JBPriceA LampLarkinD J (2016)The influenceofhabitatdisturbanceongeneticstructureandreproductivestrategieswithinstandsofnativeandnon-nativePhragmites australis(commonreed)Diversity and Distributions221301ndash1313httpsdoiorg101111ddi12492
FargioneJEampTilmanD(2005)DiversitydecreasesinvasionviabothsamplingandcomplementarityeffectsEcology Letters8604ndash611httpsdoiorg101111j1461-0248200500753x
Fleming J P Dibble E D Madsen J D amp Wersal R M (2015)InvestigationofDarwinrsquosnaturalizationhypothesisininvadedmac-rophyte communities Biological Invasions 17 1519ndash1531 httpsdoiorg101007s10530-014-0812-0
Fridley JDBrownR LampBruno J F (2004)Nullmodels of ex-otic invasion and scale-dependent patterns of native and ex-otic species richness Ecology 85 3215ndash3222 httpsdoiorg10189003-0676
Fridley J D Stachowicz J J Naeem S Sax D F SeabloomE W Smith M D hellip Von Holle B (2007) The invasion par-adox Reconciling pattern and process in species invasionsEcology 88 3ndash17 httpsdoiorg1018900012-9658(2007)88 [3TIPRPA]20CO2
HalekohUampHoslashjsgaardS(2014)AKenward-RogerapproximationandparametricbootstrapmethodsfortestsinlinearmixedmodelsndashTheRPackagepbkrtestJournal of Statistical Software591ndash32
HeinoJSoininenJAlahuhtaJLappalainenJampVirtanenR(2017)MetacommunityecologymeetsbiogeographyEffectsofgeograph-icalregionspatialdynamicsandenvironmentalfilteringoncommu-nitystructureinaquaticorganismsOecologia183121ndash137httpsdoiorg101007s00442-016-3750-y
HenrikssonAWardleDATryggJDiehlSampEnglundG(2016)Strong invaders are strong defenders ndash Implications for the resis-tanceofinvadedcommunitiesEcology Letters19487ndash494httpsdoiorg101111ele12586
HustonMA(1999)LocalprocessesandregionalpatternsAppropriatescalesforunderstandingvariationinthediversityofplantsandani-malsOikos86393ndash401httpsdoiorg1023073546645
Kennedy T A Naeem S Howe KM Knops JM H Tilman DampReich P (2002) Biodiversity as a barrier to ecological invasionNature417636ndash638httpsdoiorg101038nature00776
LarkinDJBrulandGLampZedlerJB(2016)HeterogeneitytheoryandecologicalrestorationInMAPalmerJBZedlerampDAFalk(Eds)Foundations of restoration ecology(pp271ndash300)WashingtonDCIslandPresshttpsdoiorg105822978-1-61091-698-1
LelongBLavoieCJodoinYampBelzileF(2007)Expansionpathwaysoftheexoticcommonreed(Phragmites australis)Ahistoricalandge-netic analysisDiversity and Distributions13 430ndash437 httpsdoiorg101111j1472-4642200700351x
LevineJM(2000)SpeciesdiversityandbiologicalinvasionsRelatinglocalprocesstocommunitypatternScience288852ndash854httpsdoiorg101126science2885467852
LevineJMAdlerPBampYelenikSG(2004)Ameta-analysisofbi-oticresistancetoexoticplantinvasionsEcology Letters7975ndash989httpsdoiorg101111j1461-0248200400657x
LevineJMampDrsquoAntonioCM(1999)EltonrevisitedAreviewofevi-dencelinkingdiversityandinvasibilityOikos8715ndash26httpsdoiorg1023073546992
Lockwood J LCasseyPampBlackburnT (2005)The roleofpropa-gulepressure inexplainingspecies invasionsTrends in Ecology and Evolution20223ndash228httpsdoiorg101016jtree200502004
MackRNSimberloffDLonsdaleWMEvansHCloutMampBazzazF A (2000) Biotic invasions Causes epidemiology global conse-quences and controlEcological Applications10 689ndash710 httpsdoiorg1018901051-0761(2000)010[0689BICEGC]20CO2
Milburn S A BourdaghsM ampHusveth J J (2007)Floristic quality assessment for minnesota wetlandsStPaulMNMinnesotaPollutionControlAgency
Millennium Ecosystem Assessment (2005) Ecosystems and human well-being SynthesisWashingtonDCIslandPress
MilnerAMBrittainJ ECastella EampPettsGE (2001)Trendsofmacroinvertebratecommunitystructureinglacier-fedriversinrelationtoenvironmentalconditionsAsynthesisFreshwater Biology461833ndash1847httpsdoiorg101046j1365-2427200100861x
MuthukrishnanRHansel-WelchNampLarkinDJ(2018)DatafromEnvironmentalfilteringandcompetitiveexclusiondrivebiodiversity-invasibility relationships in shallow lake plant communitiesDryad Digital Repositoryhttpsdoiorg105061dryad19cf1c2
NaeemSKnopsJMHTilmanDHoweKMKennedyTampGaleS(2000)Plantdiversityincreasesresistancetoinvasionintheab-senceofcovaryingextrinsicfactorsOikos9197ndash108httpsdoiorg101034j1600-07062000910108x
NicholsSAampShawBH(1986)Ecologicallifehistoriesofthethreeaquatic nuisance plantsMyriophyllum spicatum Potamogeton cris-pus and Elodea canadensis Hydrobiologia 131 3ndash21 httpsdoiorg101007BF00008319
Olmanson L G Bauer M E amp Brezonik P L (2008) A 20-yearLandsatwater clarity census ofMinnesotarsquos 10000 lakesRemote Sensing of Environment 112 4086ndash4097 httpsdoiorg101016 jrse200712013
OlmansonLGBrezonikPLampBauerME (2014)Geospatialandtemporalanalysisofa20-yearrecordofLandsat-basedwaterclar-ity in Minnesotarsquos 10000 Lakes JAWRA Journal of the American Water Resources Association50 748ndash761 httpsdoiorg101111jawr12138
PaavolaM Olenin S amp Leppaumlkoski E (2005) Are invasive speciesmost successful in habitats of low native species richness acrossEuropeanbrackishwater seasEstuarine Coastal and Shelf Science64738ndash750httpsdoiorg101016jecss200503021
Peckarsky B L Horn S C amp Statzner B (1990) Stonefly preda-tion along a hydraulic gradient A field test of the harshmdashbe-nign hypothesis Freshwater Biology 24 181ndash191 httpsdoiorg101111j1365-24271990tb00317x
emspensp emsp | emsp13Journal of EcologyMUTHUKRISHNAN eT Al
PickettSTAampCadenassoML(1995)LandscapeecologySpatialheterogeneityinecologicalsystemsScience269331ndash333httpsdoiorg101126science2695222331
PriceALFantJBampLarkinDJ(2014)Ecologyofnativevsintro-duced Phragmites australis(commonreed)inChicago-areawetlandsWetlands34369ndash377httpsdoiorg101007s13157-013-0504-z
RCoreTeam(2014)R A language and environment for statistical comput-ingViennaAustriaRFoundationforStatisticalComputing
Ramstack Hobbs J M HobbsW O Edlund M B Zimmer K DTheissenKMHoidalNhellipCotnerJB(2016)ThelegacyoflargeregimeshiftsinshallowlakesEcological Applications262662ndash2676httpsdoiorg101002eap1382
RichardsCLBossdorfOMuthNZGurevitch JampPigliucciM(2006)JackofalltradesmasterofsomeOntheroleofphenotypicplasticityinplantinvasionsEcology Letters9981ndash993httpsdoiorg101111j1461-0248200600950x
Ricklefs R E (2004) A comprehensive framework for global pat-terns in biodiversity Ecology Letters 7 1ndash15 httpsdoiorg101046j1461-0248200300554x
SantamariacuteaL(2002)WhyaremostaquaticplantswidelydistributedDispersalclonalgrowthandsmall-scaleheterogeneityinastressfulenvironmentActa Oecologica23137ndash154httpsdoiorg101016S1146-609X(02)01146-3
SimberloffD(2009)Theroleofpropagulepressureinbiologicalinva-sionsAnnual Review of Ecology Evolution and Systematics40 81ndash102httpsdoiorg101146annurevecolsys110308120304
SimberloffDampVonHolleB(1999)Positiveinteractionsofnonindig-enous species InvasionalmeltdownBiological Invasions1 21ndash32httpsdoiorg101023A1010086329619
Stachowicz J JWhitlatch R BampOsman RW (1999) Species di-versityandinvasionresistanceinamarineecosystemScience2861577ndashLP-1579httpsdoiorg101126science28654441577
StohlgrenTJBinkleyDChongGWKalkhanMASchellLDBullKAhellipSonY(1999)ExoticplantspeciesinvadehotspotsofnativeplantdiversityEcological Monographs6925ndash46httpsdoiorg1018900012-9615(1999)069[0025EPSIHS]20CO2
Stroumlm L Jansson R ampNilsson C (2014) Invasibility of borealwet-landplantcommunitiesJournal of Vegetation Science251078ndash1089httpsdoiorg101111jvs12157
StrongDR (1992)Are trophic cascadesallwetDifferentiationanddonor-controlinspecioseecosystemsEcology73747ndash754httpsdoiorg1023071940154
Taddeo S amp De Blois S (2012) Coexistence of introduced and na-tive common reed (Phragmites australis) in freshwater wetlandsEcoscience1999ndash105httpsdoiorg10298019-2-3468
ThompsonKampDavisMA(2011)WhyresearchontraitsofinvasiveplantstellsusverylittleTrends in Ecology amp Evolution26155ndash156httpsdoiorg101016jtree201101007
ThomsenMADrsquoAntonioCMSuttleKBampSousaWP (2006)EcologicalresistanceseeddensityandtheirinteractionsdeterminepatternsofinvasioninaCaliforniacoastalgrasslandEcology Letters9160ndash170httpsdoiorg101111j1461-0248200500857x
Tilman D (2004) Niche tradeoffs neutrality and community struc-ture A stochastic theory of resource competition invasion and
communityassemblyProceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America 101 10854ndash10861 httpsdoiorg101073pnas0403458101
Tylianakis J M Didham R K Bascompte J amp Wardle D A(2008) Global change and species interactions in terres-trial ecosystems Ecology Letters 11 1351ndash1363 httpsdoiorg101111j1461-0248200801250x
USDA N (2016) The PLANTS Database Retrived from httpplantsusdagov
VazquezDP(2006)ExploringtherelationshipbetweennichebreadthandinvasionsuccessInMWCadotteSMMcmahonampTFukami(Eds)Conceptual ecology and invasion biology Reciprocal approaches to nature (pp307ndash322)DordrechtNetherlandsSpringerhttpsdoiorg1010071-4020-4925-0
Vitousek P M Drsquoantonio C M Loope L L Rejmanek M ampWestbrooksR(1997)IntroducedspeciesAsignificantcomponentofhuman-causedglobalchangeNew Zealand Journal of Ecology211ndash16
WHMasonNBastowWilsonJampBSteelJ(2007)Arealternativestable states more likely in high stress environments Logic andavailable evidencedonot supportDidhamet al 2005Oikos116353ndash357httpsdoiorg101111j0030-1299200715283x
Wardle D A (2001) Experimental demonstration that plant diver-sity reduces invasibilityndashEvidenceof abiologicalmechanismor aconsequence of sampling effect Oikos 95 161ndash170 httpsdoiorg101034j1600-07062001950119x
Woo I amp Zedler J B (2002) Can nutrients alone shift a sedgemeadow towards dominance by the invasive Typha times glaucaWetlands 22 509ndash521 httpsdoiorg1016720277-5212(2002) 022[0509CNASAS]20CO2
YurkonisKAMeinersSJampWachholderBE(2005)Invasionimpactsdiversity through altered community dynamics Journal of Ecology931053ndash1061httpsdoiorg101111j1365-2745200501029x
Zedler J B amp Kercher S (2004) Causes and consequences of in-vasive plants in wetlands Opportunities opportunists and out-comes Critical Reviews in Plant Sciences 23 431ndash452 httpsdoiorg10108007352680490514673
SUPPORTING INFORMATION
Additional Supporting Information may be found online in thesupportinginformationtabforthisarticle
How to cite this articleMuthukrishnanRHansel-WelchNLarkinDJEnvironmentalfilteringandcompetitiveexclusiondrivebiodiversity-invasibilityrelationshipsinshallowlakeplantcommunitiesJ Ecol 2018001ndash13 httpsdoiorg1011111365-274512963
2emsp |emsp emspenspJournal of Ecology MUTHUKRISHNAN eT Al
1emsp |emspINTRODUC TION
The relationship between the diversity of ecological communitiesandtheirpropensitytobeinvadedbyexoticspecieshasbeenheav-ilydebated(FargioneampTilman2005Kennedyetal2002Levine2000 Levine amp DrsquoAntonio 1999Wardle 2001) Much researchparticularlymodelling and small-scale experiments has supportedanegativerelationshipbetweendiversityandinvasibilityHoweveratlarger(egregional)scalestheoppositepatternisfrequentlyob-servedwithmorediversecommunitieshavingmoreexoticspecies(Cleland etal 2004 Levine amp DrsquoAntonio 1999 Stohlgren etal1999)Thisscale-dependentshiftinthenative-exoticrichnessrela-tionship(NERR)remainsdifficulttoexplainwithmultipleprocessespotentiallyinteractingtoproduceoverallpatternsAtthesametimeinvasive species are a global ecological threat (Bellard Cassey ampBlackburn 2016MillenniumEcosystemAssessment 2005) thusimprovingunderstandingofbiodiversity-invasibilityrelationshipsisimportantforsupportingconservationandmanagement
A common explanation for scale-dependentNERR differencesisthatseparateprocessesdrivelocalandregionalpatterns(LevineampDrsquoAntonio1999Stohlgrenetal1999)Ithasbeenpositedthatat local scales high diversity confers biotic resistance to invasion(FargioneampTilman2005Kennedyetal2002)butthatatbroaderscales incorporation of new habitats that are favourable for na-tiveandinvasivespeciesalikeincreasesdiversityofbothinparallel(LevineampDrsquoAntonio1999Naeemetal 2000)However furtherwork has highlighted other processes that may influence NERRs(Fridleyetal2007)Spatialheterogeneityinenvironmentalcondi-tionsmaysupportpositiveNERRs(Daviesetal2005)byincreasingavenues for coexistence (eg Chesson 2000 Tilman 2004) Thestrengthordirectionofalocal-scaleNERRcanalsoshiftasafunc-tionofproductivitydisturbanceorenvironmentalgradients(BeloteJonesHoodampWender2008DaviesHarrisonSaffordampViers2007)Forexampleinvadersthathavebroaderenvironmentaltoler-ancesorpreferlessproductiveconditionsmayoccuronaverageinlessdiverselocalities(egPaavolaOleninampLeppaumlkoski2005)be-causethoseconditionstendtocorrelatewithlowerdiversityInsuchcasesnegativeNERRsmayarisethroughasamplingeffectwithouttheneedforanyparticularbioticinteractiontobeinvolved
ThemanagementimplicationsofanNERRcandifferdependingonitsunderlyingmechanism(s)ForexampleanegativeNERRresult-ing fromdiversity-drivenbiotic resistancewouldargue foreffortstocreateormaintaindiversitytopre-emptinvasionIncontrast if
suchpatternsarearesultofcompetitiveexclusionbythe invadereffortstoincreasediversitymayofferlittleprotectionagainstinva-sionAttheregionalscaleifapositiveNERRarisesbecauseinvasiveandnativespeciesshareenvironmentalpreferencesthenthemostresource-richenvironmentsmaybeatthegreatestriskofinvasionAlternativelyifheterogeneityisthedrivingmechanismforanNERRthemostvariablelocalesmaybemostvulnerable
EveninasinglesystemNERRsarelikelytoarisefrommultipleprocessesespeciallyacrosslocalandregionalscales(Fridleyetal2007)Howeverthereisagrowingconsensusthatbioticinteractionstendtobekeydriversofcommunitystructureatlocalscaleswhileenvironmental conditionsbecomemore influential as spatial scaleincreases(Fridleyetal2007)ThusamoremechanisticperspectivethatevaluatesmultipleprocessesatmultiplescalesisneededSuchstudiesarelogisticallydifficulttoconductasexperimentsbutlarge-scale long-termmonitoringdatasetsofferanalternativemeanstoaddressthesedynamics
Herewefocusonfourmechanismsthatcouldinfluencenativeorexoticspeciesdiversitythreeofwhichwecouldevaluateatmul-tiplespatialscalesBiotic resistance to invasionhas longbeencon-sideredapotentialbenefitofdiversecommunities(Elton1958)andiswell-supportedbyexperimentalwork(FargioneampTilman2005Kennedyetal2002Levine2000Naeemetal2000StachowiczWhitlatchampOsman1999)thoughtheuniversalityofthismecha-nismhasbeenquestioned(CapersSelskyBugbeeampWhite2007)Invasivespeciescanalsocompetitively excluderesidentspeciesafterestablishment(CasasScrosatiampLuzPiriz2004YurkonisMeinersampWachholder2005)producingapatternofnativeandinvaderrich-nesssimilartobioticresistancebutwithadifferenttemporalsigna-tureielossofnativediversityfollowinginvasionratherthanlowerlikelihoodofsubsequentinvasionindiverselocalesThirdlyenviron-mental filtering influences speciesrsquo abilities toestablishandpersistin particular localities Alignment of preferences between nativesandinvaderscouldproducepositiveregionalNERRswhilecompet-itiveinteractionsdeterminelocal-scaleoutcomes(Cavender-BaresKozakFineampKembel2009Daviesetal2005)Alternativelyifin-vadershavewiderenvironmentaltolerancesthannatives(RichardsBossdorf Muth Gurevitch amp Pigliucci 2006 Vazquez 2006) anegativelocalNERRcouldbeproducedbyinvadersestablishinginmarginalhabitatwithfewnativespeciesLastlyenvironmental het-erogeneity in conditions or habitat types is a keymechanism sup-portingoveralldiversity thatcan increasebothnativeand invaderrichness (Daviesetal2005)Thiseffect is likely tobecomemore
researchandforcomparisonsacrossdifferenttypesofecosystemsIdentificationof different drivers of diversity also has direct implications for decisions aboutmanagementoffreshwaterplantcommunities
K E Y W O R D S
aquaticplantsbiodiversitybioticresistancecompetitiveexclusionenvironmentalfilteringheterogeneityinvasionecologynative-exoticrichnessrelationship
emspensp emsp | emsp3Journal of EcologyMUTHUKRISHNAN eT Al
pronouncedoverlargerspatialscalesasgreatervariabilityisaccrued(Huston1999)
Inthisstudyweusedanexceptionally largedatasetofaquaticvegetation surveys fromMinnesota shallow lakes to characterizeNERRsatlocalandregionalscalesandexamineevidenceforalterna-tivemechanismsUsingdatafromsiteswithrepeatedsamplingovertimewetestedfor(1)nativespeciesrichnessconferringbiotic resis-tancetoinvasionand(2)invaderscompetitively excludingnativespe-ciesafterestablishmentWeusedenvironmentaldatatocorrelatenative and invasive species richnesswith abiotic conditions to (3)evaluateifenvironmental filteringactedsimilarlyonbothgroupsand(4)evaluatehownativeandinvasivespeciesrespondedtoenviron-mental heterogeneityasapotentialdriverofregionalscalediversity
2emsp |emspMATERIAL S AND METHODS
21emsp|emspSurvey data
Vegetation data for the study were aggregated from 1662 grid-based point-intercept surveys conducted by the MinnesotaDepartmentofNaturalResourcesin1102shallowlakesfrom2002to2014Thelakesrepresentabroadrangeofshallowlakesacrossthestatewithvarying levelsandtypesofnearby landusehumanactivityandmanagementSurveyswereconductedwitha thrownrakethatwaspulledalongthebenthicsurfacetocollectvegetationAllmacrophytes(aquaticvascularplantsandmacroalgae)wereiden-tifiedtospeciesorlowestfeasibletaxonForsimplicitywerefertoalltaxaasldquospeciesrdquoieincludingthoseidentifiedonlytogenus(seeTableS1forafull listoftaxa)Thenumberofsurveypointsvariedbetweenlakes(617plusmn379MplusmnSD)scalingwithlakesize
WeusedthesedatatocalculatespeciesrichnessatpointandlakescalesWedistinguishedspeciesconsidered invasive inMinnesotabased on established lists (Milburn BourdaghsampHusveth 2007USDA2016)andsixwerepresentinoursurveysLythrum salicaria (purple loosestrife) Myriophyllum spicatum (Eurasian watermil-foil) Phalaris arundinacea (reed canarygrass) Potamogeton crispus (curly-leaf pondweed) Typha angustifolia (narrow-leaf cattail) and Typha times glauca(hybridcattail)Incaseswhereidentificationwasre-solvedtoataxonomiclevelencompassingbothinvasiveandnativespecies(egTyphasp isambiguouswiththenativeTypha latifolia)weconservativelyassumedthenativeformSimilarlywhileinvasiveEuropeangenotypesofPhragmites australisoccurinMinnesotalin-eageswerenotdiscriminatedinourdatasetThuswetreatedallP australisascomprisingthewidespreadnativesubspeciesP australis sspamericanus Inasmallnumberof lakes invasiveTyphawasre-cordedbothtospeciesandtothegroupedcategoryldquoT angustifolia or times glaucardquoWecountedtheseasrepresentingonlyasingleinvaderspecies
UsingthesedataweevaluatedNERRsatlocal(individualsam-plingpoint)andregional(whole-lake)scalesAllanalyseswereper-formedinrversion312(RCoreTeam2014)Usingpoint-leveldatawe estimated the relationship between native and exotic speciesrichnessToaccountfortheintegernatureoftheresponsevariable
we used aGLMwith a Poisson error distribution (using the ldquoglmrdquofunction from the stats package) and evaluated significance usingtheldquosummaryglmrdquofunction(thisapproachwasusedforallGLMs)Wethencalculatedlake-levelrichnessvaluesandconstructedasep-arateGLMforlake-levelnativeandexoticspeciesrichness
22emsp|emspBiotic interaction mechanisms
Tocalculatethepotentialfornativediversitytoconferbioticresist-ance to invasionand for invasivespecies tocompetitivelyexcludenativespeciesweanalysedtemporalpatternsinlakesthathadbeenrepeatedly sampled overmultiple years Because temporal analy-seswouldbe sensitive to changes in sampling effort or locationsweonlyincludeddatafromlakeswherethesamegridsofsamplingpointswereusedamongyearsthiscomprised179lakeseachwith2ndash9interannualsurveys(M=322)
Toquantifybioticresistancewecomparedtherelationshipbe-tweennativespeciesrichnessandtheprobabilityofasamplingpointbecominginvadedatsubsequentsamplingtimesBecauseinvasivespecies themselves can potentially increase the likelihood of fur-therinvasions(viaaninvasionalmeltdownSimberloffampVonHolle1999) or increase resistance (HenrikssonWardle Trygg Diehl ampEnglund 2016)we focused only on initial invasions excluding alllocationsthatwerealreadyinvadedWhilethepotentialeffectsofinitial invadersonsecondary invasionsareof interest thenumberofsuchrecordswas insufficienttoaddressthis issueAdditionallysomelocationsmayhavebeengenerallyunsuitableforvegetationproducingzerovaluesforrichnessthatcouldartificiallyreduceesti-matesofspeciesrichnessthusweexcludedfromouranalysispointslackingvegetationatanysamplingtimeWealsoexcludedlocationsfromlakesthatdidnotcontainanyinvasivespeciesattheinitialsam-plingpointInvasioninsuchcaseswouldrequirecolonizationfromanotherlakeahighlystochasticprocessthatcouldbiasestimatesWeanalyseddatafromtheremainingsitesusingageneralizedlin-earmixedeffectsmodel(fromthebinomialfamily)Whetherornotanuninvadedpointwassubsequently invadedwasusedasthere-sponsevariablenativespeciesrichnesswastreatedasafixedeffectandlakeidentitywasincludedasarandomeffectThemodelwasfitusingtheldquoglmerrdquofunctionfromthelme4package(BatesMaumlchlerBolkerampWalker2015)andusingtheldquobobyqardquooptimizer(withtheargument control=glmerControl(optimizer=ldquobobyqardquo)) signifi-cancewas evaluated using a parametric bootstrap This approachfirst estimates the full mixed model with the variable of interestincludedthenareducedmodelwiththevariableremovedchangeinfitbetweenmodelswasassessedusingtheldquoPBmodcomprdquofunc-tion(fromthepbkrtestpackagewith1000simulationsHalekohampHoslashjsgaard 2014)We also evaluated biotic resistance at the lakescaleevaluatinghowwhole-lakenativespeciesrichnessinfluencestheprobabilityofbecominginvadedusingaGLMfromthebinomialfamily
Toevaluatewhetherinvaderscompetitivelyexcludednativespe-ciesweestimatedrateofchangeinnativespeciesrichnessforeachsamplingpointbyestimatinga linear regression fornativespecies
4emsp |emsp emspenspJournal of Ecology MUTHUKRISHNAN eT Al
richnesswithsamplingyearasthesingleindependentvariableForeachmodelthecoefficientforthetimeparameterprovidesanesti-mateoftheaverageyearlychangeinspeciesnumberwithnegativevaluesindicatingspecieslossDifferencesinaveragecoefficientval-ueswerecomparedbetweensitesthatwereinvadedandthosethatremaineduninvadedthroughallsurveysalsousingalinearmodelWe again excluded locations where no vegetation was recordedduring any surveyanduseda linearmixedeffectmodel (with theldquolmerrdquofunctionfromthelme4package)tocompareratesbetweeninvadedanduninvadedsiteswhileaccountingforlakeasarandomeffect Statistical significancewasagainevaluatedusing the sameparametricbootstrapapproachasaboveCompetitiveexclusionwasalsoevaluatedatthelakescaleusingastandardlinearmodel(withtheldquolmrdquoandldquosummarylmrdquofunctions)tocompareratesofchangeinspeciesrichnessbetweeninvadedanduninvadedlakes
23emsp|emspEnvironmental mechanisms of invasion
ToinvestigatehowenvironmentalconditionsinfluencedpatternsofdiversitywecollecteddataonarangeofenvironmentalparametersatbothpointandlakescalesDuringsurveyspoint-levelmeasuresofbottomdepthandSecchidepthwererecordedWeusedGLMstoestimate influenceofdepthandSecchidepthonnativeand in-vasivespeciesrichnessassumingPoissondistributionsforspeciesrichnessWecalculatedtheserelationshipsatpointandwhole-lakescales(usingmeanvaluesacrosspoints)BecausedepthandSecchidepthwerecorrelatedweusedseparatemodelstoindependentlyevaluatetheirrelationshipswithrichnessratherthanincludingbothparametersinasingleanalysisThetotalpossiblerichnessofinva-sivespecieswasmuchlowerthanthatofnativespeciesthuswealsoconductedanalogousanalysesusinginvaderpresenceasabinomialresponseinGLMstotestforenvironmentalpreferencesofinvasivespecies in general Additionallywe calculated standard deviations(SD)ofdepthandSecchidepthforeachlakeasmeasuresofwithin-lakeheterogeneity andused thesedata to estimateGLMs testingrelationships between lake heterogeneity and native and invasivespeciesrichnessatthelakescaleagainassumingPoissondistribu-tionsforspeciesrichnessWealsoconductedanadditionalanalysisof invader responsewith invaderpresenceasabinomial responseinaGLM
Toestimateadditionalenvironmentalparameters for lakesweaggregateddatafromtwopubliclyavailablesourcesWecollectedmeasurementsoflakeareaandlong-termaverageSecchidepth(m)forc11000lakesderivedfromremotesensingdatabytheUniversityofMinnesotaRemoteSensingandGeospatialAnalysisLaboratory(OlmansonBauerampBrezonik2008OlmansonBrezonikampBauer2014)InadditiontheMinnesotaPollutionControlAgency(MPCA)manages a large dataset of direct lakemeasurements (c 6 million records)collectedbystatelocalandcitizen-basedorganizationsonawidevarietyofenvironmentalparametersWefocusedonfivepa-rameterslikelytoinfluencemacrophytedistributionthatweresam-pledinlargenumbersoflakespHconductance(μS)totalKjeldahlnitrogen (N mgL) total phosphorus (P mgL) and chlorophyll a
concentration (μgL)Datawereheterogeneous in spaceand timeandcollectedbygroupswithdifferingtechnicalproficiencythuswetookseveralstepstoassuredataqualityWelimitedenvironmentalmeasures to only those collected since the year 2000 and duringthegrowingseason(JunendashSeptember)ToremovedatalikelytobeerroneouswecalculatedmeanandSD foreachvariableacrossalllakesandexcludedanysampleswithvaluesgt5SDfromthemeanBecauseSDwas sometimes strongly influencedby extremeoutli-erswethenrecalculatedSDwithoutliersremovedandrepeatedtheprocessasecondtimeThisleftuswith139lakesinthedatasetwithvaluesforallparametersFortheselakesweaggregatedallmeasure-mentsofagivenparameterintoasinglemean
ForsurveyedlakeswithdataforallenvironmentalparametersweusedGLMswithmultiplefixedeffectstoidentifyenvironmentalconditionsassociatedwithnativeorinvasivespeciesrichnessGLMsincludedsixenvironmentalparametersaspotentialpredictors(NPpHconductancechlorophyllaandSecchidepth)Nativeandinva-sivespeciesrichnessandinvasionstatusweremodelledasresponsesinseparateanalysesusingaPoissonerrordistributionforrichnessmeasuresandinvaderpresenceabsenceasabinomialresponse
3emsp |emspRESULTS
31emsp|emspOverall patterns
Vegetationdatacomprised56134samplingpointsfrom1662sur-veys in1102 lakesAcrosssurveys150318 individualvegetationsampleswere identified to 172 taxa (generally species Table S1)Invasivespecieswereidentifiedinnearlyhalfofthelakes(546)andinvaded lakes spanned theentire rangeofnative species richness(Figure1)Theaveragenumberofspeciesatasamplingpointwas269plusmn183(MplusmnSD)andwithinalakewas1013plusmn723Consistentwith the ldquoinvasion paradoxrdquo (Fridley etal 2007) we observed anegativeNERRatthepointscaleandapositiverelationshipatthewhole-lakescale(Table1Figure2)
F IGURE 1emspFrequencyoflakeswithdifferentnativespeciesrichnessDarkgrayportionsofbarsindicatelakesthathadnoinvasivespeciespresentandlightgrayportionsindicatelakeswithatleastoneinvasivespecies
0 10 20 30 40
InvadedUninvaded
Native species richness
Num
ber o
f lak
es0
2040
6080
emspensp emsp | emsp5Journal of EcologyMUTHUKRISHNAN eT Al
TABLE 1emspResultsoffixedeffectsfromallstatisticalmodelsGeneralizedlinearmodelswereusedinmostanalysesbutmixedmodelswereusedforpointscaleanalysesofbioticresistanceandcompetitiveexclusiontoaccountforautocorrelationwithinlakesStatisticallysignificantresultsindicatedwithaldquordquo
Analysis Scale Parameter Estimate SE Test statistic p- value Significant
Overall NERR Point Intercept minus2103 0024 minus88076 lt001
Coefficient minus0096 0008 minus11308 lt001
Lake Intercept minus0786 0070 minus11277 lt001
Coefficient 0023 0005 4631 lt001
Bioticinteractions
Bioticresistance Point Intercept minus3921 0286 minus13735
Coefficient 0053 0054 0971 356
Lake Intercept minus0642 0230 minus2798 005
Coefficient 0028 0026 1103 270
Competitiveexclusion Point Intercept 0080 0024 3343
Coefficient minus0101 0025 minus4130 lt001
Lake Intercept 0021 0182 0114 910
Coefficient 0239 0221 1080 282
Environmentalanalyses
NativerichnessmdashDepth Point Intercept 1150 0006 208374 lt001
Coefficient minus0052 0001 minus40172 lt001
Lake Intercept 2268 0020 114602 lt001
Coefficient 0010 0004 2747 006
InvaderrichnessmdashDepth Point Intercept minus2430 0028 minus87339 lt001
Coefficient 0023 0006 3897 lt001
Lake Intercept minus0524 0083 minus6350 lt001
Coefficient minus0003 0016 minus0178 859
NativerichnessmdashSecchidepth
Point Intercept 0857 0005 171688 lt001
Coefficient 0037 0001 25767 lt001
Lake Intercept 1957 0016 119019 lt001
Coefficient 0125 0004 29164 lt001
InvaderrichnessmdashSecchidepth
Point Intercept minus2545 0026 minus96303 lt001
Coefficient 0059 0007 8107 lt001
Lake Intercept minus0571 0070 minus8144 lt001
Coefficient 0014 0022 0656 512
NativerichnessmdashEnvironmentalconditions
Lake Intercept 2283 0357 6388 lt001
pH 0087 0043 2006 045
Conductance minus0001 0000 minus6518 lt001
P minus1359 0380 minus3580 lt001
N 0028 0051 0550 582
Chlorophylla minus0006 0001 minus4678 lt001
Secchidepth 0106 0038 2829 005
InvaderrichnessmdashEnvironmentalconditions
Lake Intercept minus3064 1480 minus2070 038
pH 0412 0175 2355 019
Conductance 0000 0000 minus1098 272
P 0953 0923 1032 302
N 0050 0140 0360 719
Chlorophylla minus0006 0003 minus1866 062
Secchidepth minus0316 0157 minus2012 044
(Continues)
6emsp |emsp emspenspJournal of Ecology MUTHUKRISHNAN eT Al
32emsp|emspBiotic resistance
Atthelocalscaleweobservednosignificantrelationshipbetweenspeciesrichnessandtheprobabilitythatalocationwouldbecomein-vadedinthesubsequentsurvey(Table1Figure3a)ienosupportforlocal-scalebioticresistanceResultsshowedhighvariabilitywithmany lakes showing positive relationships while others displayednegative relationships indicating very noisy data with little pat-ternratherthanaconsistentbutsmalleffectAtthelakescalewealsodidnotseeasignificantrelationshipbetweenspeciesrichnessand invasion though the parameter estimatewas positive (0028Table1)Thuswhilenon-significantthetrendfollowedtheoppositepatternwithhigherspeciesrichnessbeingassociatedwithagreaterpropensityforinvasionHoweverthispatternmaybelargelynoise
33emsp|emspCompetitive exclusion
Ouranalysesdidprovidesupport forcompetitiveexclusionofna-tivespeciesbyinvadersatthelocalscale(Table1)Basedonparam-eterestimatesof the linearmixedeffectsmodel species richnessdecreasedatinvadedsamplingpointsby002speciesperyear(afteraccounting for lake-to-lake differences Figure3b) while at unin-vadedpointsrichnessincreasedby008speciesperyearAtthelakescaletherewasnosignificantdifferenceinratesofrichnesschangebetweeninvadedanduninvadedlakesrichnesstendedtoincreaseinbothovertime(Table1)
34emsp|emspEnvironmental filtering
At the local scale both native and invasive species richness sig-nificantly varied with environmental conditions (Table1 analysesusing binomial GLMs based on invasive species presence gener-ally show the samedirectionality and significance patterns as theanalysesusinginvaderrichnessresultscanbeseeninTableS2andFiguresS1andS2inonlineSupportingInformation)Nativeandinva-sivespecieshadsignificantbutopposingrelationshipswithdepth(Figure4ab) native richness decreasedwith greater depth whileinvasive richness increased though less strongly Both native andinvasiverichnessincreasedwithwaterclarity(Figure4cd)butthis
relationshipwasmuchstrongerfornative(z=4017)thaninvasivespecies (z=3897) suggesting weaker light limitation in invadersAt the lake scale native richness increasedwithmean lake depthandmeanSecchidepth(Figure4eg) Invasiverichnessdidnotsig-nificantlydifferwitheitherparameter(Figure4fh)againsuggestingbroadertolerance
Analysingthelargersetofenvironmentalvariablesweidenti-fiedmanysignificantrelationshipsbetweenlake-levelenvironmen-tal parameters and species richness (Table1) but the significantvariables differed between native and invasive species All envi-ronmentalconditionsexceptNweresignificantpredictorsofnativerichness In contrast only pH and Secchi depthwere significantpredictorsofinvasiverichnessFurthermoredirectionalityofsomestrong predictors of richnesswere reversed between native andinvasive species For example native richness had a strong neg-ative relationshipwith Pwhile the patternwas positive (thoughnotsignificant)forinvasivespeciesTheoppositepatternwasseenforSecchidepth invasiverichnessdecreasedandnativerichnessincreasedwithgreaterclarityConductanceandchlorophylla were significant negative predictors of native richness and negativelycorrelated but not significant for invaders The generallyweakerresponses of invasive richness to environmental conditions sug-gest that invaders had broader environmental tolerances At thelakescalethesepatternsarepotentiallyconfoundedbythegeneralcorrelationofaveragedepthandlakesizeHoweverbothlakesizeandaveragedepth (asopposed todepthataparticular location)arelikelyproxiesforoverallhabitatvariabilitywhichinturndrivesincreasednativespeciesrichnessratherthanadirectinfluenceofaveragedepthorsizeThusthegeneralpatternofstrongerenvi-ronmentalconstraintsonnativespeciesthaninvadersexistsinde-pendentofwhetherlakesizeandaveragedepthareconfounded
35emsp|emspHeterogeneity
Within-lakeheterogeneity indepthandSecchidepthweresignifi-cantpositivepredictorsofnativerichness(Table1Figure5ac)buthadnoinfluenceoninvasiverichness(Table1Figure5bd)Thisfur-thersupportsthecontentionthatinvadershavelowersensitivitytoenvironmentalconditions
Analysis Scale Parameter Estimate SE Test statistic p- value Significant
Heterogeneityanalyses
NativerichnessmdashDepthheterogeneity
Lake Intercept 2189 0014 158807 lt001
Coefficient 0079 0006 13223 lt001
InvaderrichnessmdashDepthheterogeneity
Lake Intercept minus0510 0058 minus8739 lt001
Coefficient minus0017 0029 minus0576 565
NativerichnessmdashSecchidepthheterogeneity
Lake Intercept 2089 0013 155818 lt001
Coefficient 0311 0012 26725 lt001
InvaderrichnessmdashSecchidepthheterogeneity
Lake Intercept minus0561 0055 minus10152 lt001
Coefficient 0050 0058 0856 392
TABLE 1emsp (Continued)
emspensp emsp | emsp7Journal of EcologyMUTHUKRISHNAN eT Al
4emsp |emspDISCUSSION
Theaquaticplantcommunitieswestudiedshowedastrongnega-tive relationshipbetweennativeand invasivespecies richnessatlocal (point) scales but a positive relationship at regional (lake-wide) scales matching patterns observed in numerous systemsHowever when we evaluated mechanisms that could generatethesepatternswefoundvaryinglevelsofsupportindicatingthatnotallmechanismswereofequalimportanceSimilarlynomecha-nismdominatedandanygivenfactorexplainedonlyasmallamountof thepatternsobserved innativeand invasivespecies richnessIn contrast withmany terrestrial systems (Kennedy etal 2002LevineAdlerampYelenik2004Naeemetal2000)wefoundnoevidenceforlocal-scalebioticresistanceOurresultsalsoindicateastronginfluenceofenvironmentalconstraintsonlocal-scalerich-nesspatternscountertogeneralexpectationsthatenvironmental
filteringbecomesmoreimportantatbroaderspatialscales(Fridleyetal 2007) Our findings illustrate that similar NERR patternscanbeproducedbydifferentunderlyingmechanismsthatcanbedifficult todiscriminateThesealternativemechanismsmayhavevery different implications for conservation andmanagement ofaquatic plant communities underscoring the value of applying amechanistic lens to evaluating patterns of community structureanddiversity
41emsp|emspStrong opposing roles of environmental drivers on native and invasive species
ContrastingpatternsofnegativeNERRsatlocalscalesandpositiveNERRsatregionalscaleshavebeenseeninavarietyofsystemswesawsimilarpatternsinMinnesotaaquaticplantcommunitiesWhileitisrecognizedthatmultipleprocessescaninfluenceNERRsthere
F IGURE 2emspRelationshipbetweenrichnessofnativespeciesandinvasivespeciesidentifiedinindividualsamples(a)oraggregatedtothelakelevel(b)Pointsarejitteredalongthey-axistoincreasevisibilityofoverlappingpointsThesolidlinesindicatetheestimatedvalueanddashedlinesarethe95confidenceintervalfortheestimate
0 5 10 15Pointminuslevel native species richness
Inva
sive
spe
cies
rich
ness
01
23
0 10 20 30 40Lakeminuslevel native species richness
Inva
sive
spe
cies
rich
ness
01
23
(a) (b)
F IGURE 3emspBioticresistance(a)isindicatedbyanestimateoftheprobabilityofinvasionofindividualsamplinglocationsasafunctionofnativespeciesrichnessColouredlinesindicatethetrendsforindividuallakeswithpurplelinesindicatinglakeswhereinvasionriskdecreaseswithgreaternativespeciesrichness(indicatingbioticresistance)andgreenlinesindicatinghigherriskofinvasionThedashedportionsoflinesindicateestimatescalculatedfornativespeciesrichnessbeyondtherangewhereactualdatawereobservedThesolidblacklinesindicatetheoverallestimatesafteraccountingforautocorrelationwithinlakesandthedashedlinesindicatethe95confidenceintervalforthoseestimatesCompetitiveexclusion(b)isevaluatedbyacomparisonoftherateofchangeinnativespeciesrichnessbetweenlocationsthatareuninvadedacrossallsamplingtimepointsandthosewhereaninvaderispresentHeregreenlinesindicatelakeswithhighervaluesatinvadedpointswhilepurplelinesarelakeswithlowervaluesatinvadedsitesandtheblacklinesagainshowtheoverallestimateswitha95confidenceinterval
0 2 4 6 8 10 12
00
02
04
06
08
10
Native species richness
Pro
babi
lity
of in
vasi
on
(a)
Invader presence
Cha
nge
in s
peci
es ri
chne
ss p
er y
ear
minus3minus2
minus1minus
50
51
23
Uninvaded Invaded
(b)
8emsp |emsp emspenspJournal of Ecology MUTHUKRISHNAN eT Al
FIGURE 4emspRelationshipsbetweendepth(abef)orSecchidepth(cdgh) andtherichnessofnativespeciesandinvasivespeciesatindividualsamplinglocations(andashd)andaggregatedacrossentirelakes(endashh)Pointsarejitteredalongthey-axisforclarityandsolidanddashedlinesindicatethemeanand95confidenceintervaloftheestimatedvalue
0 5 10 15 20
05
1015
0 5 10 15 20
01
23
0 5 10 15 20
05
1015
0 5 10 15 20
01
23
0 5 10 15
010
2030
40
0 5 10 15
01
23
0 5 10 15
010
2030
40
0 5 10 15
01
23
Nat
ive
spec
ies
richn
ess
(a)
Inva
sive
spe
cies
rich
ness
(b)N
ativ
e sp
ecie
s ric
hnes
s
(c)In
vasi
ve s
peci
es ri
chne
ss(d)
Nat
ive
spec
ies
richn
ess
(e)
Inva
sive
spe
cies
rich
ness
(f)
Nat
ive
spec
ies
richn
ess
(g)
Inva
sive
spe
cies
rich
ness
(h)
Depth Depth
Secchi depth Secchi depth
Lake average depth Lake average depth
Lake average Secchi depth Lake average Secchi depth
emspensp emsp | emsp9Journal of EcologyMUTHUKRISHNAN eT Al
is a general expectation that biotic interactions dominate at localscalesbutaresupplantedbyabioticdeterminantsatbroaderscales(Fridleyetal2007)OurdatadonotsupportthispredictionRatherwefoundthatenvironmentalconditionswere relatively importantpredictorsof richnessat regionaland local scaleswhileeffectsofbiotic interactions were relatively weak However there was stillsubstantialunexplainedvariancethatmaybeinfluencedbyenviron-mentalfactorsnotconsideredaspartofthisstudyorbyalternativeecologicalmechanisms
Nativeandinvasivespeciesweresensitivetodifferentenviron-mentalfactorsinsomecasesevenshowingopposingresponsestothesameenvironmentalgradientsForexamplenativerichnesswasassociated with lower water depth and P while invasive richnesswas associatedwithgreaterdepth andPForwater clarity nativeandinvasivespeciesbothshowedpositiverelationshipsatthelocalscale but the relationshipwasweaker for invasive speciesThesedivergentpreferencessuggestthatnativeandinvasivespeciesoccu-piedsomewhatdifferentnichesSuchnichesegregationalonecouldproduceanegativeNERRwithoutbioticinteractionsbeinginvolved
ThepatternsweobservedindicatethatinvasivespeciesgainedanadvantageovernativespeciesundermoreeutrophicconditionsThis is presumably due to these species being better adapted toexploit higher resource availability and tolerate lower light levels(NicholsampShaw1986WooampZedler2002)Alternativelyitisalsopossible thatpoorwaterquality increasedwithgreaterhumanac-tivityandthathumanactivitywastheproximatecauseofgreaterinvasionratesviaincreasedtransmissionopportunities
Furthermorewhilegreaterenvironmentalheterogeneitywasassociatedwith increased richness of native speciesmdashconsistentwith a large body of ecological theory and literature (LarkinBrulandampZedler2016PickettampCadenasso1995)mdashtherewasno such response by invasive species This suggests that nativespecies were more specialized to depth and light niches withinlakes while invasive species occupied broader niches and werethus able to exploitmoremarginal habitatHowever our analy-seswere limited towater depth and Secchi depth it is possiblethat invadersmayhaveexhibitedgreater responsiveness tohet-erogeneity in other environmental factors Greater responsive-nesstoincreasedresourceavailabilityandbroaderenvironmentaltolerances appear to be attributes of successful invasive plantsin general (Davis Grime amp Thompson 2000 Zedler amp Kercher2004) and global drivers of change reinforce these advantages(ThompsonampDavis2011)Innorthernshallowlakesrecentfind-ings point to persistent anthropogenic shifts to more nutrient-rich turbidalternativestates (RamstackHobbsetal2016)Ourfindingssuggestthatthesechangeswillexacerbateaquaticplantinvasions
42emsp|emspInvasive species win biotic interactions Competitive exclusion but not biotic resistance
How new invasions affect native plant communities depends onbiotic interactions between resident native vegetation and invad-ing speciesWe analysed repeated surveys in the same locations
F IGURE 5emspRelationshipsbetweentheheterogeneityofdepthorSecchidepthinalakeandtherichnessofnativespecies(ac)andinvasivespecies(bd)Pointsarejitteredalongthey-axisforclarityandsolidanddashedlinesindicatethemeanand95confidenceintervaloftheestimatedvalue
0 2 4 6 8 10 12
010
2030
40
Lake depth SD
Nat
ive
spec
ies
richn
ess
0 2 4 6 8 10 12
Lake depth SD
Inva
sive
spe
cies
rich
ness
01
23
0 1 2 3 4
010
2030
40
Lake Secchi depth SD
Nat
ive
spec
ies
richn
ess
0 1 2 3 4
Lake Secchi depth SD
Inva
sive
spe
cies
rich
ness
01
23
(a) (b)
(c) (d)
10emsp |emsp emspenspJournal of Ecology MUTHUKRISHNAN eT Al
toinvestigatebioticinteractionsandfoundmixedsupportfortheirimportanceAftersampling locationswere invadednativespeciesrichness tended to decrease over timewhile uninvaded locationsgained species This supports the competitive exclusion hypoth-esisiethatinvadersreducelocal-scalediversitybydisplacingna-tive species In contrastwhenweevaluatedbiotic resistancewefoundnoevidencethatmore-diversesiteswerelesslikelytobesub-sequently invadedAcaveat is that invasionsarehighlystochasticprocessespunctuatedbyrelativelyfewinvasionevents(Macketal2000Simberloff2009)Furthermoreitisdifficulttoresurveypre-ciselocationsovermultipleyearsandimperfectdetectionmaycon-foundspeciesrsquopresenceabsencerecords(ChenKeacuteryPlattnerMaampGardner2013)ThesefactorscanresultinnoisydatasetsandassuchthelikelihoodoftypeIIerrors(falsenegatives)maybeparticu-larlyhighandtheabilitytodetectasignallowYetourabilitytostillidentifycompetitiveexclusiondespitesuchnoisesuggeststhatourgeneralapproachisvalidandthatbioticresistanceislikelyweakerorpotentiallyabsentinthissystemthoughitisdifficulttomakeadirectcomparisonofprocessstrengthsThuswhilewefoundevi-denceofinfluentialbioticinteractionsatthelocalscaleasexpected(Fridleyetal2007)wedidnotobservebioticresistancewhichisoftenconsideredtobethekeydriverforanegativeNERR(FargioneampTilman2005Levineetal2004) Insteadwefoundstatisticallysignificant evidence for competitive exclusionwhich is less oftencitedasadriverofnegativeNERRsThoughtheeffectsweobservedwererelativelymodestontheorderofonemorespeciesbeinglostper decade in invaded sites relative to uninvaded sites and therewashighvariabilitywithmany individualsitesand lakesexhibitingtheoppositepattern
Overtimebioticresistanceandcompetitiveexclusioncanpro-duce similar negativeNERR patterns Studies inwhich richness isexamined at only a single timepoint are inherently unable todis-criminate these twoprocessesYet the twomechanismshavedif-ferent implications for conservation and management A systemwithstrongbioticresistancewillberesilienttoinvasions(FargioneampTilman2005Naeemetal2000)andmanagingfordiversitycanminimizeriskButwherebioticresistanceisweakandcompetitiveexclusion likely uninvaded communities are vulnerable and biodi-versitywillnotreduceinvasionrisk
Thecombinationofbroaderenvironmentaltoleranceofinvasivespecies and the potential for competitive displacement of nativespeciesmayprovidean importantpathwayfor invasionBytakingadvantageofmarginal habitat fornative species invaders canes-tablishinnewareaswithoutfacingcompetitionOnceestablishedpropagule pressure can then promote spread into nearby habitatpreferredbynativespecies(LockwoodCasseyampBlackburn2005)Propagulepressurefromnearbysourceswill farexceedthatasso-ciatedwith rare long-distance dispersal events (Simberloff 2009)andcouldswampeffectsofbioticresistance(ThomsenDrsquoAntonioSuttleampSousa2006)This ldquoleapfroggingrdquoof invasiveplants frommarginal to preferred habitat has been demonstrated in invasionof EuropeanPhragmites australis inNorthAmericawhich spreadsacross the landscape via highway corridors and anthropogenic
habitat(LelongLavoieJodoinampBelzile2007TaddeoampDeBlois2012)providingpropagulesthatcantheninvadeintactnaturalwet-landsanddisplacenativespecies(FantPriceampLarkin2016PriceFantampLarkin2014)Theimportanceofenvironmentalconditionsin determining native and invasive species richness suggest thatmanagementofthosefactorsmaybeakeystrategyforlimitingin-vaderestablishment
At the larger spatial scale of whole lakes our findings morecloselymatchexpectationsfromothersystems(Daviesetal2005Fridleyetal2007LevineampDrsquoAntonio1999)Ourlake-scaleanal-yses showed no evidence of biotic resistance or competitive ex-clusion instead native and invasive species richness increased inconcert This is consistentwithNERRs not being driven by bioticinteractions at large spatial scales but instead broader environ-mental historical or biogeographic factors (Cavender-Bares etal2009Fridleyetal2007Ricklefs2004)Native species richnessincreasedwithenvironmentalheterogeneitywhichalignswiththeexpectationthattheinclusionofbroaderenvironmentalconditionsdrivesregional-scalediversitypatterns(Daviesetal2005Fridleyetal2007LevineampDrsquoAntonio1999)thoughwedidnotobservea similar pattern for invasive specieswith the environmental fac-torsweevaluatedNonethelessevenifinvasivespecieshavebroadenvironmentaltolerancesandarenotinfluencedbyheterogeneitystochasticprocessescouldstillleadtoincreasedinvaderrichnessatlargerspatialscalesresultinginapositiveNERR(FridleyBrownampBruno2004)
43emsp|emspIs biotic resistance ldquoall dryrdquo
Whileourresultsregardingtherelativeimportanceofbioticinterac-tions vs abiotic drivers run counter to previous findingsmdashparticu-larlywithrespecttotheabsenceofbioticresistancemdashthecauseofthat inconsistency remainsuncertain Itmaybepartlydue to fewstudies simultaneously investigating multiple alternative mecha-nismsofNERRs (but seeFargioneampTilman 2005) or topatternsbeingattributed tomechanisms thatarepresumed tobecommonbuthavenotbeenexplicitlytested
Itisalsopossiblethatthepreponderanceofdiversity-invasibilityresearch that comes from terrestrial systems biases expectationsStrong (1992) asked whether trophic cascades were ldquoall wetrdquo Isbiotic resistance ldquoall dryrdquo Nearly all evidence for local-scale bi-otic resistance comes from grassland or other terrestrial systems(FargioneampTilman2005Fridleyetal 2007 Levineetal 2004Naeemetal2000butseeStachowiczetal1999)Relativelylittleresearchhasbeenconductedinaquaticplantcommunitiesandsomepast findings have run counter to terrestrial expectations Capersetal(2007)foundnoevidenceofbioticresistanceinlakeplantcom-munitiesinthenortheasternUSInlakesacrosstheUSFlemingDibbleMadsen andWersal (2015) testedDarwinrsquos naturalizationhypothesisthatnichesbeingoccupiedbycloserelativeswouldrepelinvaderstheyfoundnoevidenceofsuchresistanceStroumlmJanssonandNilsson (2014) experimentally demonstrated a local-scale butpositiveNERRinborealwetlands
emspensp emsp | emsp11Journal of EcologyMUTHUKRISHNAN eT Al
Why would diversity-invasibility relationships differ betweenland and water There is some evidence that aquatic plant com-munities are more strongly structured by abiotic environmentalconstraints (Heino Soininen Alahuhta Lappalainen amp Virtanen2017 Santamariacutea 2002) Difficult environmental conditions inaquatic communities particularly at higher latitudes may imposesuch a strong filter on the macrophyte habitat species pool thatspeciesinteractionshavelimitedinfluenceoncommunityassembly(Santamariacutea2002)Similarpatternshavebeenobservedinaquaticinvertebratecommunities(MilnerBrittainCastellaampPetts2001PeckarskyHornampStatzner1990) suggesting that thismaybeacommonpatternforfreshwatersystemsIftherelativeimportanceof abiotic andbioticprocesses inNERRs systematically variesbe-tween terrestrial and aquatic systems then the limited researchperformedinthelattercouldbiasourgeneralunderstandingoftheecologicalmechanismscontributingtothesepatterns
44emsp|emspImplications for biodiversity conservation and invasive species management
Invasive species are one of the most important drivers of globalchangeandcandrasticallyrestructureecosystems(TylianakisDidhamBascompteampWardle2008VitousekDrsquoantonioLoopeRejmanekampWestbrooks1997WHMasonBastowWilsonampBSteel2007)Therelationshipbetweendiversity and compositionof native communi-ties and their invasibility has been a fundamental areaof inquiry inecologygoingbacktoElton(1958)andevenDarwin(Daehler2001)Understandingtheconditionsthatallowinvasivespeciestoestablishandthatmediatetheirimpactsremaincriticalissuesforconservationandmanagement(Byersetal2002Macketal2000)Studyingtherelationshipbetweendiversityofnativespeciesandinvasivespeciescanofferimportantinsightsintothesequestionsbyhelpingtoidentifythefactorsthatsupportordeter invasions Inparticular the ideaofbioticresistancesuggestsaldquovirtuouscyclerdquowhereineffortstosupportbiodiversityalsohelprepel invasionsHoweverthepatternsweob-servedsuggestthatwatershedmanagementtosupportwaterqualitymaybeamoreeffectivemeansofmitigatinginvasionsandtheirim-pactsNonethelessitisclearthatdiversity-invasibilitypatternscanbedrivenbymultiplemechanismsand recognizing thecontext-specificimportance of these differentmechanisms can help refinemanage-mentstrategies
Our analysis of alternativemechanisms underlyingNERRs inshallow lakes reveals several concerning trends (1)environmen-tal conditions consistent with broad patterns of anthropogenicchangebenefitinvasivespecies(2)lakeswithhigherbiodiversityvaluearemorelikelytobecomeinvadedand(3)bioticinteractionsrepresentedaldquobadnews-badnewsrdquoscenariowhereinlocal-scalediversitydoesnotconferresistancetoinvasionbutinvasiondoesreduce local-scale diversity via competitive exclusion Howeverour results do support continued effort towards establishedstrategies for invasive speciesmanagement Specifically effortstomaintainor improve lakecondition reducespreadof invasivespecies and restore diverse plant assemblageswhere they have
beenlostareneededtoslowtheerosionofnativeplantdiversityintheseimportantecosystems
ACKNOWLEDG EMENTS
FundingforthisprojectwasprovidedthroughtheMinnesotaAquaticInvasive Species ResearchCenter from theMinnesota Environmentand Natural Resources Trust Fund We thank A Geisen and theShallowLakesProgramstafffortheirextensiveeffortscollectingandorganizing fielddata (whichwassupportedby theMinnesotaGameandFish fundMinnesotaEnvironmentandNaturalResourcesTrustFundandtheOutdoorHeritageFund)andWGlissonMVerhoeven CWagnerandRNewmanforinputonthemanuscriptTheauthorsdeclarenoconflictsofinterest
AUTHORSrsquo CONTRIBUTIONS
NH-W managed data collection RM and DJL designed thestudyandanalysesRManalysedthedataandwrotetheinitialdraftofthemanuscriptAllauthorsparticipatedindatainterpretationandrevisingthemanuscript
DATA ACCE SSIBILIT Y
MacrophytecommunitydataenvironmentaldataandanalysisscriptsforthisstudyareavailablefromtheDryadDigitalRepositoryhttpsdoiorg105061dryad19cf1c2 (Muthukrishnan Hansel-Welch ampLarkin2018)
ORCID
Ranjan Muthukrishnan httporcidorg0000-0002-7001-6249
R E FE R E N C E S
BatesDMaumlchlerMBolkerBampWalkerS(2015)Fittinglinearmixed-effectsmodelsusinglme4Journal of Statistical Software671ndash48
BellardCCasseyPampBlackburnTM(2016)Alienspeciesasadriverof recent extinctions Biology Letters 12 20150623 httpsdoiorg101098rsbl20150623
BeloteRTJonesRHHoodSMampWenderBW(2008)DiversityndashinvasibilityacrossanexperimentaldisturbancegradientinAppalachianforestsEcology89183ndash192httpsdoiorg10189007-02701
ByersJEReichardSRandallJMParkerIMSmithCSLonsdaleW M hellip Hayes D (2002) Directing research to reduce the im-pactsofnonindigenousspeciesConservation Biology16630ndash640httpsdoiorg101046j1523-1739200201057x
Capers R S Selsky R BugbeeG J ampWhite J C (2007) Aquaticplantcommunityinvasibilityandscale-dependentpatternsinnativeand invasive species richnessEcology88 3135ndash3143 httpsdoiorg10189006-19111
CasasGScrosatiRampLuzPirizM(2004)TheinvasivekelpUndaria pinnatifida (Phaeophyceae Laminariales) reduces native seaweeddiversityinnuevogulf(PatagoniaArgentina)Biological Invasions6411ndash416httpsdoiorg101023BBINV00000415552930541
Cavender-Bares J Kozak K H Fine P V A amp Kembel S W(2009) The merging of community ecology and phylogenetic
12emsp |emsp emspenspJournal of Ecology MUTHUKRISHNAN eT Al
biology Ecology Letters 12 693ndash715 httpsdoiorg101111 j1461-0248200901314x
ChenGKeacuteryMPlattnerMMaKampGardnerB(2013)Imperfectdetection is the rule rather than the exception in plant distri-bution studies Journal of Ecology 101 183ndash191 httpsdoiorg1011111365-274512021
Chesson P (2000) General theory of competitive coexistence inspatially-varying environments Theoretical Population Biology 58211ndash237httpsdoiorg101006tpbi20001486
ClelandEESmithMDAndelmanSJBowlesCCarneyKMClaireHorner-DevineMhellipVandermastDB(2004)InvasioninspaceandtimeNon-nativespeciesrichnessandrelativeabundancerespondtointerannualvariationinproductivityanddiversityEcology Letters7947ndash957httpsdoiorg101111j1461-0248200400655x
DaehlerCC (2001)DarwinrsquosnaturalizationhypothesisrevisitedThe American Naturalist158324ndash330httpsdoiorg101086321316
DaviesKFChessonPHarrisonS InouyeBDMelbourneBAampRiceKJ(2005)Spatialheterogeneityexplainsthescaledepen-denceofthenativendashexoticdiversityrelationshipEcology861602ndash1610httpsdoiorg10189004-1196
DaviesKFHarrisonSSaffordHDampViersJH(2007)ProductivityaltersthescaledependenceofthediversityndashinvasibilityrelationshipEcology881940ndash1947httpsdoiorg10189006-19071
DavisMAGrimeJPampThompsonK(2000)FluctuatingresourcesinplantcommunitiesAgeneraltheoryofinvasibilityJournal of Ecology88528ndash534httpsdoiorg101046j1365-2745200000473x
Elton C S (1958) The ecology of invasions by animals and plants Chicago IL University of Chicago Press httpsdoiorg101007 978-1-4899-7214-9
Fant JBPriceA LampLarkinD J (2016)The influenceofhabitatdisturbanceongeneticstructureandreproductivestrategieswithinstandsofnativeandnon-nativePhragmites australis(commonreed)Diversity and Distributions221301ndash1313httpsdoiorg101111ddi12492
FargioneJEampTilmanD(2005)DiversitydecreasesinvasionviabothsamplingandcomplementarityeffectsEcology Letters8604ndash611httpsdoiorg101111j1461-0248200500753x
Fleming J P Dibble E D Madsen J D amp Wersal R M (2015)InvestigationofDarwinrsquosnaturalizationhypothesisininvadedmac-rophyte communities Biological Invasions 17 1519ndash1531 httpsdoiorg101007s10530-014-0812-0
Fridley JDBrownR LampBruno J F (2004)Nullmodels of ex-otic invasion and scale-dependent patterns of native and ex-otic species richness Ecology 85 3215ndash3222 httpsdoiorg10189003-0676
Fridley J D Stachowicz J J Naeem S Sax D F SeabloomE W Smith M D hellip Von Holle B (2007) The invasion par-adox Reconciling pattern and process in species invasionsEcology 88 3ndash17 httpsdoiorg1018900012-9658(2007)88 [3TIPRPA]20CO2
HalekohUampHoslashjsgaardS(2014)AKenward-RogerapproximationandparametricbootstrapmethodsfortestsinlinearmixedmodelsndashTheRPackagepbkrtestJournal of Statistical Software591ndash32
HeinoJSoininenJAlahuhtaJLappalainenJampVirtanenR(2017)MetacommunityecologymeetsbiogeographyEffectsofgeograph-icalregionspatialdynamicsandenvironmentalfilteringoncommu-nitystructureinaquaticorganismsOecologia183121ndash137httpsdoiorg101007s00442-016-3750-y
HenrikssonAWardleDATryggJDiehlSampEnglundG(2016)Strong invaders are strong defenders ndash Implications for the resis-tanceofinvadedcommunitiesEcology Letters19487ndash494httpsdoiorg101111ele12586
HustonMA(1999)LocalprocessesandregionalpatternsAppropriatescalesforunderstandingvariationinthediversityofplantsandani-malsOikos86393ndash401httpsdoiorg1023073546645
Kennedy T A Naeem S Howe KM Knops JM H Tilman DampReich P (2002) Biodiversity as a barrier to ecological invasionNature417636ndash638httpsdoiorg101038nature00776
LarkinDJBrulandGLampZedlerJB(2016)HeterogeneitytheoryandecologicalrestorationInMAPalmerJBZedlerampDAFalk(Eds)Foundations of restoration ecology(pp271ndash300)WashingtonDCIslandPresshttpsdoiorg105822978-1-61091-698-1
LelongBLavoieCJodoinYampBelzileF(2007)Expansionpathwaysoftheexoticcommonreed(Phragmites australis)Ahistoricalandge-netic analysisDiversity and Distributions13 430ndash437 httpsdoiorg101111j1472-4642200700351x
LevineJM(2000)SpeciesdiversityandbiologicalinvasionsRelatinglocalprocesstocommunitypatternScience288852ndash854httpsdoiorg101126science2885467852
LevineJMAdlerPBampYelenikSG(2004)Ameta-analysisofbi-oticresistancetoexoticplantinvasionsEcology Letters7975ndash989httpsdoiorg101111j1461-0248200400657x
LevineJMampDrsquoAntonioCM(1999)EltonrevisitedAreviewofevi-dencelinkingdiversityandinvasibilityOikos8715ndash26httpsdoiorg1023073546992
Lockwood J LCasseyPampBlackburnT (2005)The roleofpropa-gulepressure inexplainingspecies invasionsTrends in Ecology and Evolution20223ndash228httpsdoiorg101016jtree200502004
MackRNSimberloffDLonsdaleWMEvansHCloutMampBazzazF A (2000) Biotic invasions Causes epidemiology global conse-quences and controlEcological Applications10 689ndash710 httpsdoiorg1018901051-0761(2000)010[0689BICEGC]20CO2
Milburn S A BourdaghsM ampHusveth J J (2007)Floristic quality assessment for minnesota wetlandsStPaulMNMinnesotaPollutionControlAgency
Millennium Ecosystem Assessment (2005) Ecosystems and human well-being SynthesisWashingtonDCIslandPress
MilnerAMBrittainJ ECastella EampPettsGE (2001)Trendsofmacroinvertebratecommunitystructureinglacier-fedriversinrelationtoenvironmentalconditionsAsynthesisFreshwater Biology461833ndash1847httpsdoiorg101046j1365-2427200100861x
MuthukrishnanRHansel-WelchNampLarkinDJ(2018)DatafromEnvironmentalfilteringandcompetitiveexclusiondrivebiodiversity-invasibility relationships in shallow lake plant communitiesDryad Digital Repositoryhttpsdoiorg105061dryad19cf1c2
NaeemSKnopsJMHTilmanDHoweKMKennedyTampGaleS(2000)Plantdiversityincreasesresistancetoinvasionintheab-senceofcovaryingextrinsicfactorsOikos9197ndash108httpsdoiorg101034j1600-07062000910108x
NicholsSAampShawBH(1986)Ecologicallifehistoriesofthethreeaquatic nuisance plantsMyriophyllum spicatum Potamogeton cris-pus and Elodea canadensis Hydrobiologia 131 3ndash21 httpsdoiorg101007BF00008319
Olmanson L G Bauer M E amp Brezonik P L (2008) A 20-yearLandsatwater clarity census ofMinnesotarsquos 10000 lakesRemote Sensing of Environment 112 4086ndash4097 httpsdoiorg101016 jrse200712013
OlmansonLGBrezonikPLampBauerME (2014)Geospatialandtemporalanalysisofa20-yearrecordofLandsat-basedwaterclar-ity in Minnesotarsquos 10000 Lakes JAWRA Journal of the American Water Resources Association50 748ndash761 httpsdoiorg101111jawr12138
PaavolaM Olenin S amp Leppaumlkoski E (2005) Are invasive speciesmost successful in habitats of low native species richness acrossEuropeanbrackishwater seasEstuarine Coastal and Shelf Science64738ndash750httpsdoiorg101016jecss200503021
Peckarsky B L Horn S C amp Statzner B (1990) Stonefly preda-tion along a hydraulic gradient A field test of the harshmdashbe-nign hypothesis Freshwater Biology 24 181ndash191 httpsdoiorg101111j1365-24271990tb00317x
emspensp emsp | emsp13Journal of EcologyMUTHUKRISHNAN eT Al
PickettSTAampCadenassoML(1995)LandscapeecologySpatialheterogeneityinecologicalsystemsScience269331ndash333httpsdoiorg101126science2695222331
PriceALFantJBampLarkinDJ(2014)Ecologyofnativevsintro-duced Phragmites australis(commonreed)inChicago-areawetlandsWetlands34369ndash377httpsdoiorg101007s13157-013-0504-z
RCoreTeam(2014)R A language and environment for statistical comput-ingViennaAustriaRFoundationforStatisticalComputing
Ramstack Hobbs J M HobbsW O Edlund M B Zimmer K DTheissenKMHoidalNhellipCotnerJB(2016)ThelegacyoflargeregimeshiftsinshallowlakesEcological Applications262662ndash2676httpsdoiorg101002eap1382
RichardsCLBossdorfOMuthNZGurevitch JampPigliucciM(2006)JackofalltradesmasterofsomeOntheroleofphenotypicplasticityinplantinvasionsEcology Letters9981ndash993httpsdoiorg101111j1461-0248200600950x
Ricklefs R E (2004) A comprehensive framework for global pat-terns in biodiversity Ecology Letters 7 1ndash15 httpsdoiorg101046j1461-0248200300554x
SantamariacuteaL(2002)WhyaremostaquaticplantswidelydistributedDispersalclonalgrowthandsmall-scaleheterogeneityinastressfulenvironmentActa Oecologica23137ndash154httpsdoiorg101016S1146-609X(02)01146-3
SimberloffD(2009)Theroleofpropagulepressureinbiologicalinva-sionsAnnual Review of Ecology Evolution and Systematics40 81ndash102httpsdoiorg101146annurevecolsys110308120304
SimberloffDampVonHolleB(1999)Positiveinteractionsofnonindig-enous species InvasionalmeltdownBiological Invasions1 21ndash32httpsdoiorg101023A1010086329619
Stachowicz J JWhitlatch R BampOsman RW (1999) Species di-versityandinvasionresistanceinamarineecosystemScience2861577ndashLP-1579httpsdoiorg101126science28654441577
StohlgrenTJBinkleyDChongGWKalkhanMASchellLDBullKAhellipSonY(1999)ExoticplantspeciesinvadehotspotsofnativeplantdiversityEcological Monographs6925ndash46httpsdoiorg1018900012-9615(1999)069[0025EPSIHS]20CO2
Stroumlm L Jansson R ampNilsson C (2014) Invasibility of borealwet-landplantcommunitiesJournal of Vegetation Science251078ndash1089httpsdoiorg101111jvs12157
StrongDR (1992)Are trophic cascadesallwetDifferentiationanddonor-controlinspecioseecosystemsEcology73747ndash754httpsdoiorg1023071940154
Taddeo S amp De Blois S (2012) Coexistence of introduced and na-tive common reed (Phragmites australis) in freshwater wetlandsEcoscience1999ndash105httpsdoiorg10298019-2-3468
ThompsonKampDavisMA(2011)WhyresearchontraitsofinvasiveplantstellsusverylittleTrends in Ecology amp Evolution26155ndash156httpsdoiorg101016jtree201101007
ThomsenMADrsquoAntonioCMSuttleKBampSousaWP (2006)EcologicalresistanceseeddensityandtheirinteractionsdeterminepatternsofinvasioninaCaliforniacoastalgrasslandEcology Letters9160ndash170httpsdoiorg101111j1461-0248200500857x
Tilman D (2004) Niche tradeoffs neutrality and community struc-ture A stochastic theory of resource competition invasion and
communityassemblyProceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America 101 10854ndash10861 httpsdoiorg101073pnas0403458101
Tylianakis J M Didham R K Bascompte J amp Wardle D A(2008) Global change and species interactions in terres-trial ecosystems Ecology Letters 11 1351ndash1363 httpsdoiorg101111j1461-0248200801250x
USDA N (2016) The PLANTS Database Retrived from httpplantsusdagov
VazquezDP(2006)ExploringtherelationshipbetweennichebreadthandinvasionsuccessInMWCadotteSMMcmahonampTFukami(Eds)Conceptual ecology and invasion biology Reciprocal approaches to nature (pp307ndash322)DordrechtNetherlandsSpringerhttpsdoiorg1010071-4020-4925-0
Vitousek P M Drsquoantonio C M Loope L L Rejmanek M ampWestbrooksR(1997)IntroducedspeciesAsignificantcomponentofhuman-causedglobalchangeNew Zealand Journal of Ecology211ndash16
WHMasonNBastowWilsonJampBSteelJ(2007)Arealternativestable states more likely in high stress environments Logic andavailable evidencedonot supportDidhamet al 2005Oikos116353ndash357httpsdoiorg101111j0030-1299200715283x
Wardle D A (2001) Experimental demonstration that plant diver-sity reduces invasibilityndashEvidenceof abiologicalmechanismor aconsequence of sampling effect Oikos 95 161ndash170 httpsdoiorg101034j1600-07062001950119x
Woo I amp Zedler J B (2002) Can nutrients alone shift a sedgemeadow towards dominance by the invasive Typha times glaucaWetlands 22 509ndash521 httpsdoiorg1016720277-5212(2002) 022[0509CNASAS]20CO2
YurkonisKAMeinersSJampWachholderBE(2005)Invasionimpactsdiversity through altered community dynamics Journal of Ecology931053ndash1061httpsdoiorg101111j1365-2745200501029x
Zedler J B amp Kercher S (2004) Causes and consequences of in-vasive plants in wetlands Opportunities opportunists and out-comes Critical Reviews in Plant Sciences 23 431ndash452 httpsdoiorg10108007352680490514673
SUPPORTING INFORMATION
Additional Supporting Information may be found online in thesupportinginformationtabforthisarticle
How to cite this articleMuthukrishnanRHansel-WelchNLarkinDJEnvironmentalfilteringandcompetitiveexclusiondrivebiodiversity-invasibilityrelationshipsinshallowlakeplantcommunitiesJ Ecol 2018001ndash13 httpsdoiorg1011111365-274512963
emspensp emsp | emsp3Journal of EcologyMUTHUKRISHNAN eT Al
pronouncedoverlargerspatialscalesasgreatervariabilityisaccrued(Huston1999)
Inthisstudyweusedanexceptionally largedatasetofaquaticvegetation surveys fromMinnesota shallow lakes to characterizeNERRsatlocalandregionalscalesandexamineevidenceforalterna-tivemechanismsUsingdatafromsiteswithrepeatedsamplingovertimewetestedfor(1)nativespeciesrichnessconferringbiotic resis-tancetoinvasionand(2)invaderscompetitively excludingnativespe-ciesafterestablishmentWeusedenvironmentaldatatocorrelatenative and invasive species richnesswith abiotic conditions to (3)evaluateifenvironmental filteringactedsimilarlyonbothgroupsand(4)evaluatehownativeandinvasivespeciesrespondedtoenviron-mental heterogeneityasapotentialdriverofregionalscalediversity
2emsp |emspMATERIAL S AND METHODS
21emsp|emspSurvey data
Vegetation data for the study were aggregated from 1662 grid-based point-intercept surveys conducted by the MinnesotaDepartmentofNaturalResourcesin1102shallowlakesfrom2002to2014Thelakesrepresentabroadrangeofshallowlakesacrossthestatewithvarying levelsandtypesofnearby landusehumanactivityandmanagementSurveyswereconductedwitha thrownrakethatwaspulledalongthebenthicsurfacetocollectvegetationAllmacrophytes(aquaticvascularplantsandmacroalgae)wereiden-tifiedtospeciesorlowestfeasibletaxonForsimplicitywerefertoalltaxaasldquospeciesrdquoieincludingthoseidentifiedonlytogenus(seeTableS1forafull listoftaxa)Thenumberofsurveypointsvariedbetweenlakes(617plusmn379MplusmnSD)scalingwithlakesize
WeusedthesedatatocalculatespeciesrichnessatpointandlakescalesWedistinguishedspeciesconsidered invasive inMinnesotabased on established lists (Milburn BourdaghsampHusveth 2007USDA2016)andsixwerepresentinoursurveysLythrum salicaria (purple loosestrife) Myriophyllum spicatum (Eurasian watermil-foil) Phalaris arundinacea (reed canarygrass) Potamogeton crispus (curly-leaf pondweed) Typha angustifolia (narrow-leaf cattail) and Typha times glauca(hybridcattail)Incaseswhereidentificationwasre-solvedtoataxonomiclevelencompassingbothinvasiveandnativespecies(egTyphasp isambiguouswiththenativeTypha latifolia)weconservativelyassumedthenativeformSimilarlywhileinvasiveEuropeangenotypesofPhragmites australisoccurinMinnesotalin-eageswerenotdiscriminatedinourdatasetThuswetreatedallP australisascomprisingthewidespreadnativesubspeciesP australis sspamericanus Inasmallnumberof lakes invasiveTyphawasre-cordedbothtospeciesandtothegroupedcategoryldquoT angustifolia or times glaucardquoWecountedtheseasrepresentingonlyasingleinvaderspecies
UsingthesedataweevaluatedNERRsatlocal(individualsam-plingpoint)andregional(whole-lake)scalesAllanalyseswereper-formedinrversion312(RCoreTeam2014)Usingpoint-leveldatawe estimated the relationship between native and exotic speciesrichnessToaccountfortheintegernatureoftheresponsevariable
we used aGLMwith a Poisson error distribution (using the ldquoglmrdquofunction from the stats package) and evaluated significance usingtheldquosummaryglmrdquofunction(thisapproachwasusedforallGLMs)Wethencalculatedlake-levelrichnessvaluesandconstructedasep-arateGLMforlake-levelnativeandexoticspeciesrichness
22emsp|emspBiotic interaction mechanisms
Tocalculatethepotentialfornativediversitytoconferbioticresist-ance to invasionand for invasivespecies tocompetitivelyexcludenativespeciesweanalysedtemporalpatternsinlakesthathadbeenrepeatedly sampled overmultiple years Because temporal analy-seswouldbe sensitive to changes in sampling effort or locationsweonlyincludeddatafromlakeswherethesamegridsofsamplingpointswereusedamongyearsthiscomprised179lakeseachwith2ndash9interannualsurveys(M=322)
Toquantifybioticresistancewecomparedtherelationshipbe-tweennativespeciesrichnessandtheprobabilityofasamplingpointbecominginvadedatsubsequentsamplingtimesBecauseinvasivespecies themselves can potentially increase the likelihood of fur-therinvasions(viaaninvasionalmeltdownSimberloffampVonHolle1999) or increase resistance (HenrikssonWardle Trygg Diehl ampEnglund 2016)we focused only on initial invasions excluding alllocationsthatwerealreadyinvadedWhilethepotentialeffectsofinitial invadersonsecondary invasionsareof interest thenumberofsuchrecordswas insufficienttoaddressthis issueAdditionallysomelocationsmayhavebeengenerallyunsuitableforvegetationproducingzerovaluesforrichnessthatcouldartificiallyreduceesti-matesofspeciesrichnessthusweexcludedfromouranalysispointslackingvegetationatanysamplingtimeWealsoexcludedlocationsfromlakesthatdidnotcontainanyinvasivespeciesattheinitialsam-plingpointInvasioninsuchcaseswouldrequirecolonizationfromanotherlakeahighlystochasticprocessthatcouldbiasestimatesWeanalyseddatafromtheremainingsitesusingageneralizedlin-earmixedeffectsmodel(fromthebinomialfamily)Whetherornotanuninvadedpointwassubsequently invadedwasusedasthere-sponsevariablenativespeciesrichnesswastreatedasafixedeffectandlakeidentitywasincludedasarandomeffectThemodelwasfitusingtheldquoglmerrdquofunctionfromthelme4package(BatesMaumlchlerBolkerampWalker2015)andusingtheldquobobyqardquooptimizer(withtheargument control=glmerControl(optimizer=ldquobobyqardquo)) signifi-cancewas evaluated using a parametric bootstrap This approachfirst estimates the full mixed model with the variable of interestincludedthenareducedmodelwiththevariableremovedchangeinfitbetweenmodelswasassessedusingtheldquoPBmodcomprdquofunc-tion(fromthepbkrtestpackagewith1000simulationsHalekohampHoslashjsgaard 2014)We also evaluated biotic resistance at the lakescaleevaluatinghowwhole-lakenativespeciesrichnessinfluencestheprobabilityofbecominginvadedusingaGLMfromthebinomialfamily
Toevaluatewhetherinvaderscompetitivelyexcludednativespe-ciesweestimatedrateofchangeinnativespeciesrichnessforeachsamplingpointbyestimatinga linear regression fornativespecies
4emsp |emsp emspenspJournal of Ecology MUTHUKRISHNAN eT Al
richnesswithsamplingyearasthesingleindependentvariableForeachmodelthecoefficientforthetimeparameterprovidesanesti-mateoftheaverageyearlychangeinspeciesnumberwithnegativevaluesindicatingspecieslossDifferencesinaveragecoefficientval-ueswerecomparedbetweensitesthatwereinvadedandthosethatremaineduninvadedthroughallsurveysalsousingalinearmodelWe again excluded locations where no vegetation was recordedduring any surveyanduseda linearmixedeffectmodel (with theldquolmerrdquofunctionfromthelme4package)tocompareratesbetweeninvadedanduninvadedsiteswhileaccountingforlakeasarandomeffect Statistical significancewasagainevaluatedusing the sameparametricbootstrapapproachasaboveCompetitiveexclusionwasalsoevaluatedatthelakescaleusingastandardlinearmodel(withtheldquolmrdquoandldquosummarylmrdquofunctions)tocompareratesofchangeinspeciesrichnessbetweeninvadedanduninvadedlakes
23emsp|emspEnvironmental mechanisms of invasion
ToinvestigatehowenvironmentalconditionsinfluencedpatternsofdiversitywecollecteddataonarangeofenvironmentalparametersatbothpointandlakescalesDuringsurveyspoint-levelmeasuresofbottomdepthandSecchidepthwererecordedWeusedGLMstoestimate influenceofdepthandSecchidepthonnativeand in-vasivespeciesrichnessassumingPoissondistributionsforspeciesrichnessWecalculatedtheserelationshipsatpointandwhole-lakescales(usingmeanvaluesacrosspoints)BecausedepthandSecchidepthwerecorrelatedweusedseparatemodelstoindependentlyevaluatetheirrelationshipswithrichnessratherthanincludingbothparametersinasingleanalysisThetotalpossiblerichnessofinva-sivespecieswasmuchlowerthanthatofnativespeciesthuswealsoconductedanalogousanalysesusinginvaderpresenceasabinomialresponseinGLMstotestforenvironmentalpreferencesofinvasivespecies in general Additionallywe calculated standard deviations(SD)ofdepthandSecchidepthforeachlakeasmeasuresofwithin-lakeheterogeneity andused thesedata to estimateGLMs testingrelationships between lake heterogeneity and native and invasivespeciesrichnessatthelakescaleagainassumingPoissondistribu-tionsforspeciesrichnessWealsoconductedanadditionalanalysisof invader responsewith invaderpresenceasabinomial responseinaGLM
Toestimateadditionalenvironmentalparameters for lakesweaggregateddatafromtwopubliclyavailablesourcesWecollectedmeasurementsoflakeareaandlong-termaverageSecchidepth(m)forc11000lakesderivedfromremotesensingdatabytheUniversityofMinnesotaRemoteSensingandGeospatialAnalysisLaboratory(OlmansonBauerampBrezonik2008OlmansonBrezonikampBauer2014)InadditiontheMinnesotaPollutionControlAgency(MPCA)manages a large dataset of direct lakemeasurements (c 6 million records)collectedbystatelocalandcitizen-basedorganizationsonawidevarietyofenvironmentalparametersWefocusedonfivepa-rameterslikelytoinfluencemacrophytedistributionthatweresam-pledinlargenumbersoflakespHconductance(μS)totalKjeldahlnitrogen (N mgL) total phosphorus (P mgL) and chlorophyll a
concentration (μgL)Datawereheterogeneous in spaceand timeandcollectedbygroupswithdifferingtechnicalproficiencythuswetookseveralstepstoassuredataqualityWelimitedenvironmentalmeasures to only those collected since the year 2000 and duringthegrowingseason(JunendashSeptember)ToremovedatalikelytobeerroneouswecalculatedmeanandSD foreachvariableacrossalllakesandexcludedanysampleswithvaluesgt5SDfromthemeanBecauseSDwas sometimes strongly influencedby extremeoutli-erswethenrecalculatedSDwithoutliersremovedandrepeatedtheprocessasecondtimeThisleftuswith139lakesinthedatasetwithvaluesforallparametersFortheselakesweaggregatedallmeasure-mentsofagivenparameterintoasinglemean
ForsurveyedlakeswithdataforallenvironmentalparametersweusedGLMswithmultiplefixedeffectstoidentifyenvironmentalconditionsassociatedwithnativeorinvasivespeciesrichnessGLMsincludedsixenvironmentalparametersaspotentialpredictors(NPpHconductancechlorophyllaandSecchidepth)Nativeandinva-sivespeciesrichnessandinvasionstatusweremodelledasresponsesinseparateanalysesusingaPoissonerrordistributionforrichnessmeasuresandinvaderpresenceabsenceasabinomialresponse
3emsp |emspRESULTS
31emsp|emspOverall patterns
Vegetationdatacomprised56134samplingpointsfrom1662sur-veys in1102 lakesAcrosssurveys150318 individualvegetationsampleswere identified to 172 taxa (generally species Table S1)Invasivespecieswereidentifiedinnearlyhalfofthelakes(546)andinvaded lakes spanned theentire rangeofnative species richness(Figure1)Theaveragenumberofspeciesatasamplingpointwas269plusmn183(MplusmnSD)andwithinalakewas1013plusmn723Consistentwith the ldquoinvasion paradoxrdquo (Fridley etal 2007) we observed anegativeNERRatthepointscaleandapositiverelationshipatthewhole-lakescale(Table1Figure2)
F IGURE 1emspFrequencyoflakeswithdifferentnativespeciesrichnessDarkgrayportionsofbarsindicatelakesthathadnoinvasivespeciespresentandlightgrayportionsindicatelakeswithatleastoneinvasivespecies
0 10 20 30 40
InvadedUninvaded
Native species richness
Num
ber o
f lak
es0
2040
6080
emspensp emsp | emsp5Journal of EcologyMUTHUKRISHNAN eT Al
TABLE 1emspResultsoffixedeffectsfromallstatisticalmodelsGeneralizedlinearmodelswereusedinmostanalysesbutmixedmodelswereusedforpointscaleanalysesofbioticresistanceandcompetitiveexclusiontoaccountforautocorrelationwithinlakesStatisticallysignificantresultsindicatedwithaldquordquo
Analysis Scale Parameter Estimate SE Test statistic p- value Significant
Overall NERR Point Intercept minus2103 0024 minus88076 lt001
Coefficient minus0096 0008 minus11308 lt001
Lake Intercept minus0786 0070 minus11277 lt001
Coefficient 0023 0005 4631 lt001
Bioticinteractions
Bioticresistance Point Intercept minus3921 0286 minus13735
Coefficient 0053 0054 0971 356
Lake Intercept minus0642 0230 minus2798 005
Coefficient 0028 0026 1103 270
Competitiveexclusion Point Intercept 0080 0024 3343
Coefficient minus0101 0025 minus4130 lt001
Lake Intercept 0021 0182 0114 910
Coefficient 0239 0221 1080 282
Environmentalanalyses
NativerichnessmdashDepth Point Intercept 1150 0006 208374 lt001
Coefficient minus0052 0001 minus40172 lt001
Lake Intercept 2268 0020 114602 lt001
Coefficient 0010 0004 2747 006
InvaderrichnessmdashDepth Point Intercept minus2430 0028 minus87339 lt001
Coefficient 0023 0006 3897 lt001
Lake Intercept minus0524 0083 minus6350 lt001
Coefficient minus0003 0016 minus0178 859
NativerichnessmdashSecchidepth
Point Intercept 0857 0005 171688 lt001
Coefficient 0037 0001 25767 lt001
Lake Intercept 1957 0016 119019 lt001
Coefficient 0125 0004 29164 lt001
InvaderrichnessmdashSecchidepth
Point Intercept minus2545 0026 minus96303 lt001
Coefficient 0059 0007 8107 lt001
Lake Intercept minus0571 0070 minus8144 lt001
Coefficient 0014 0022 0656 512
NativerichnessmdashEnvironmentalconditions
Lake Intercept 2283 0357 6388 lt001
pH 0087 0043 2006 045
Conductance minus0001 0000 minus6518 lt001
P minus1359 0380 minus3580 lt001
N 0028 0051 0550 582
Chlorophylla minus0006 0001 minus4678 lt001
Secchidepth 0106 0038 2829 005
InvaderrichnessmdashEnvironmentalconditions
Lake Intercept minus3064 1480 minus2070 038
pH 0412 0175 2355 019
Conductance 0000 0000 minus1098 272
P 0953 0923 1032 302
N 0050 0140 0360 719
Chlorophylla minus0006 0003 minus1866 062
Secchidepth minus0316 0157 minus2012 044
(Continues)
6emsp |emsp emspenspJournal of Ecology MUTHUKRISHNAN eT Al
32emsp|emspBiotic resistance
Atthelocalscaleweobservednosignificantrelationshipbetweenspeciesrichnessandtheprobabilitythatalocationwouldbecomein-vadedinthesubsequentsurvey(Table1Figure3a)ienosupportforlocal-scalebioticresistanceResultsshowedhighvariabilitywithmany lakes showing positive relationships while others displayednegative relationships indicating very noisy data with little pat-ternratherthanaconsistentbutsmalleffectAtthelakescalewealsodidnotseeasignificantrelationshipbetweenspeciesrichnessand invasion though the parameter estimatewas positive (0028Table1)Thuswhilenon-significantthetrendfollowedtheoppositepatternwithhigherspeciesrichnessbeingassociatedwithagreaterpropensityforinvasionHoweverthispatternmaybelargelynoise
33emsp|emspCompetitive exclusion
Ouranalysesdidprovidesupport forcompetitiveexclusionofna-tivespeciesbyinvadersatthelocalscale(Table1)Basedonparam-eterestimatesof the linearmixedeffectsmodel species richnessdecreasedatinvadedsamplingpointsby002speciesperyear(afteraccounting for lake-to-lake differences Figure3b) while at unin-vadedpointsrichnessincreasedby008speciesperyearAtthelakescaletherewasnosignificantdifferenceinratesofrichnesschangebetweeninvadedanduninvadedlakesrichnesstendedtoincreaseinbothovertime(Table1)
34emsp|emspEnvironmental filtering
At the local scale both native and invasive species richness sig-nificantly varied with environmental conditions (Table1 analysesusing binomial GLMs based on invasive species presence gener-ally show the samedirectionality and significance patterns as theanalysesusinginvaderrichnessresultscanbeseeninTableS2andFiguresS1andS2inonlineSupportingInformation)Nativeandinva-sivespecieshadsignificantbutopposingrelationshipswithdepth(Figure4ab) native richness decreasedwith greater depth whileinvasive richness increased though less strongly Both native andinvasiverichnessincreasedwithwaterclarity(Figure4cd)butthis
relationshipwasmuchstrongerfornative(z=4017)thaninvasivespecies (z=3897) suggesting weaker light limitation in invadersAt the lake scale native richness increasedwithmean lake depthandmeanSecchidepth(Figure4eg) Invasiverichnessdidnotsig-nificantlydifferwitheitherparameter(Figure4fh)againsuggestingbroadertolerance
Analysingthelargersetofenvironmentalvariablesweidenti-fiedmanysignificantrelationshipsbetweenlake-levelenvironmen-tal parameters and species richness (Table1) but the significantvariables differed between native and invasive species All envi-ronmentalconditionsexceptNweresignificantpredictorsofnativerichness In contrast only pH and Secchi depthwere significantpredictorsofinvasiverichnessFurthermoredirectionalityofsomestrong predictors of richnesswere reversed between native andinvasive species For example native richness had a strong neg-ative relationshipwith Pwhile the patternwas positive (thoughnotsignificant)forinvasivespeciesTheoppositepatternwasseenforSecchidepth invasiverichnessdecreasedandnativerichnessincreasedwithgreaterclarityConductanceandchlorophylla were significant negative predictors of native richness and negativelycorrelated but not significant for invaders The generallyweakerresponses of invasive richness to environmental conditions sug-gest that invaders had broader environmental tolerances At thelakescalethesepatternsarepotentiallyconfoundedbythegeneralcorrelationofaveragedepthandlakesizeHoweverbothlakesizeandaveragedepth (asopposed todepthataparticular location)arelikelyproxiesforoverallhabitatvariabilitywhichinturndrivesincreasednativespeciesrichnessratherthanadirectinfluenceofaveragedepthorsizeThusthegeneralpatternofstrongerenvi-ronmentalconstraintsonnativespeciesthaninvadersexistsinde-pendentofwhetherlakesizeandaveragedepthareconfounded
35emsp|emspHeterogeneity
Within-lakeheterogeneity indepthandSecchidepthweresignifi-cantpositivepredictorsofnativerichness(Table1Figure5ac)buthadnoinfluenceoninvasiverichness(Table1Figure5bd)Thisfur-thersupportsthecontentionthatinvadershavelowersensitivitytoenvironmentalconditions
Analysis Scale Parameter Estimate SE Test statistic p- value Significant
Heterogeneityanalyses
NativerichnessmdashDepthheterogeneity
Lake Intercept 2189 0014 158807 lt001
Coefficient 0079 0006 13223 lt001
InvaderrichnessmdashDepthheterogeneity
Lake Intercept minus0510 0058 minus8739 lt001
Coefficient minus0017 0029 minus0576 565
NativerichnessmdashSecchidepthheterogeneity
Lake Intercept 2089 0013 155818 lt001
Coefficient 0311 0012 26725 lt001
InvaderrichnessmdashSecchidepthheterogeneity
Lake Intercept minus0561 0055 minus10152 lt001
Coefficient 0050 0058 0856 392
TABLE 1emsp (Continued)
emspensp emsp | emsp7Journal of EcologyMUTHUKRISHNAN eT Al
4emsp |emspDISCUSSION
Theaquaticplantcommunitieswestudiedshowedastrongnega-tive relationshipbetweennativeand invasivespecies richnessatlocal (point) scales but a positive relationship at regional (lake-wide) scales matching patterns observed in numerous systemsHowever when we evaluated mechanisms that could generatethesepatternswefoundvaryinglevelsofsupportindicatingthatnotallmechanismswereofequalimportanceSimilarlynomecha-nismdominatedandanygivenfactorexplainedonlyasmallamountof thepatternsobserved innativeand invasivespecies richnessIn contrast withmany terrestrial systems (Kennedy etal 2002LevineAdlerampYelenik2004Naeemetal2000)wefoundnoevidenceforlocal-scalebioticresistanceOurresultsalsoindicateastronginfluenceofenvironmentalconstraintsonlocal-scalerich-nesspatternscountertogeneralexpectationsthatenvironmental
filteringbecomesmoreimportantatbroaderspatialscales(Fridleyetal 2007) Our findings illustrate that similar NERR patternscanbeproducedbydifferentunderlyingmechanismsthatcanbedifficult todiscriminateThesealternativemechanismsmayhavevery different implications for conservation andmanagement ofaquatic plant communities underscoring the value of applying amechanistic lens to evaluating patterns of community structureanddiversity
41emsp|emspStrong opposing roles of environmental drivers on native and invasive species
ContrastingpatternsofnegativeNERRsatlocalscalesandpositiveNERRsatregionalscaleshavebeenseeninavarietyofsystemswesawsimilarpatternsinMinnesotaaquaticplantcommunitiesWhileitisrecognizedthatmultipleprocessescaninfluenceNERRsthere
F IGURE 2emspRelationshipbetweenrichnessofnativespeciesandinvasivespeciesidentifiedinindividualsamples(a)oraggregatedtothelakelevel(b)Pointsarejitteredalongthey-axistoincreasevisibilityofoverlappingpointsThesolidlinesindicatetheestimatedvalueanddashedlinesarethe95confidenceintervalfortheestimate
0 5 10 15Pointminuslevel native species richness
Inva
sive
spe
cies
rich
ness
01
23
0 10 20 30 40Lakeminuslevel native species richness
Inva
sive
spe
cies
rich
ness
01
23
(a) (b)
F IGURE 3emspBioticresistance(a)isindicatedbyanestimateoftheprobabilityofinvasionofindividualsamplinglocationsasafunctionofnativespeciesrichnessColouredlinesindicatethetrendsforindividuallakeswithpurplelinesindicatinglakeswhereinvasionriskdecreaseswithgreaternativespeciesrichness(indicatingbioticresistance)andgreenlinesindicatinghigherriskofinvasionThedashedportionsoflinesindicateestimatescalculatedfornativespeciesrichnessbeyondtherangewhereactualdatawereobservedThesolidblacklinesindicatetheoverallestimatesafteraccountingforautocorrelationwithinlakesandthedashedlinesindicatethe95confidenceintervalforthoseestimatesCompetitiveexclusion(b)isevaluatedbyacomparisonoftherateofchangeinnativespeciesrichnessbetweenlocationsthatareuninvadedacrossallsamplingtimepointsandthosewhereaninvaderispresentHeregreenlinesindicatelakeswithhighervaluesatinvadedpointswhilepurplelinesarelakeswithlowervaluesatinvadedsitesandtheblacklinesagainshowtheoverallestimateswitha95confidenceinterval
0 2 4 6 8 10 12
00
02
04
06
08
10
Native species richness
Pro
babi
lity
of in
vasi
on
(a)
Invader presence
Cha
nge
in s
peci
es ri
chne
ss p
er y
ear
minus3minus2
minus1minus
50
51
23
Uninvaded Invaded
(b)
8emsp |emsp emspenspJournal of Ecology MUTHUKRISHNAN eT Al
FIGURE 4emspRelationshipsbetweendepth(abef)orSecchidepth(cdgh) andtherichnessofnativespeciesandinvasivespeciesatindividualsamplinglocations(andashd)andaggregatedacrossentirelakes(endashh)Pointsarejitteredalongthey-axisforclarityandsolidanddashedlinesindicatethemeanand95confidenceintervaloftheestimatedvalue
0 5 10 15 20
05
1015
0 5 10 15 20
01
23
0 5 10 15 20
05
1015
0 5 10 15 20
01
23
0 5 10 15
010
2030
40
0 5 10 15
01
23
0 5 10 15
010
2030
40
0 5 10 15
01
23
Nat
ive
spec
ies
richn
ess
(a)
Inva
sive
spe
cies
rich
ness
(b)N
ativ
e sp
ecie
s ric
hnes
s
(c)In
vasi
ve s
peci
es ri
chne
ss(d)
Nat
ive
spec
ies
richn
ess
(e)
Inva
sive
spe
cies
rich
ness
(f)
Nat
ive
spec
ies
richn
ess
(g)
Inva
sive
spe
cies
rich
ness
(h)
Depth Depth
Secchi depth Secchi depth
Lake average depth Lake average depth
Lake average Secchi depth Lake average Secchi depth
emspensp emsp | emsp9Journal of EcologyMUTHUKRISHNAN eT Al
is a general expectation that biotic interactions dominate at localscalesbutaresupplantedbyabioticdeterminantsatbroaderscales(Fridleyetal2007)OurdatadonotsupportthispredictionRatherwefoundthatenvironmentalconditionswere relatively importantpredictorsof richnessat regionaland local scaleswhileeffectsofbiotic interactions were relatively weak However there was stillsubstantialunexplainedvariancethatmaybeinfluencedbyenviron-mentalfactorsnotconsideredaspartofthisstudyorbyalternativeecologicalmechanisms
Nativeandinvasivespeciesweresensitivetodifferentenviron-mentalfactorsinsomecasesevenshowingopposingresponsestothesameenvironmentalgradientsForexamplenativerichnesswasassociated with lower water depth and P while invasive richnesswas associatedwithgreaterdepth andPForwater clarity nativeandinvasivespeciesbothshowedpositiverelationshipsatthelocalscale but the relationshipwasweaker for invasive speciesThesedivergentpreferencessuggestthatnativeandinvasivespeciesoccu-piedsomewhatdifferentnichesSuchnichesegregationalonecouldproduceanegativeNERRwithoutbioticinteractionsbeinginvolved
ThepatternsweobservedindicatethatinvasivespeciesgainedanadvantageovernativespeciesundermoreeutrophicconditionsThis is presumably due to these species being better adapted toexploit higher resource availability and tolerate lower light levels(NicholsampShaw1986WooampZedler2002)Alternativelyitisalsopossible thatpoorwaterquality increasedwithgreaterhumanac-tivityandthathumanactivitywastheproximatecauseofgreaterinvasionratesviaincreasedtransmissionopportunities
Furthermorewhilegreaterenvironmentalheterogeneitywasassociatedwith increased richness of native speciesmdashconsistentwith a large body of ecological theory and literature (LarkinBrulandampZedler2016PickettampCadenasso1995)mdashtherewasno such response by invasive species This suggests that nativespecies were more specialized to depth and light niches withinlakes while invasive species occupied broader niches and werethus able to exploitmoremarginal habitatHowever our analy-seswere limited towater depth and Secchi depth it is possiblethat invadersmayhaveexhibitedgreater responsiveness tohet-erogeneity in other environmental factors Greater responsive-nesstoincreasedresourceavailabilityandbroaderenvironmentaltolerances appear to be attributes of successful invasive plantsin general (Davis Grime amp Thompson 2000 Zedler amp Kercher2004) and global drivers of change reinforce these advantages(ThompsonampDavis2011)Innorthernshallowlakesrecentfind-ings point to persistent anthropogenic shifts to more nutrient-rich turbidalternativestates (RamstackHobbsetal2016)Ourfindingssuggestthatthesechangeswillexacerbateaquaticplantinvasions
42emsp|emspInvasive species win biotic interactions Competitive exclusion but not biotic resistance
How new invasions affect native plant communities depends onbiotic interactions between resident native vegetation and invad-ing speciesWe analysed repeated surveys in the same locations
F IGURE 5emspRelationshipsbetweentheheterogeneityofdepthorSecchidepthinalakeandtherichnessofnativespecies(ac)andinvasivespecies(bd)Pointsarejitteredalongthey-axisforclarityandsolidanddashedlinesindicatethemeanand95confidenceintervaloftheestimatedvalue
0 2 4 6 8 10 12
010
2030
40
Lake depth SD
Nat
ive
spec
ies
richn
ess
0 2 4 6 8 10 12
Lake depth SD
Inva
sive
spe
cies
rich
ness
01
23
0 1 2 3 4
010
2030
40
Lake Secchi depth SD
Nat
ive
spec
ies
richn
ess
0 1 2 3 4
Lake Secchi depth SD
Inva
sive
spe
cies
rich
ness
01
23
(a) (b)
(c) (d)
10emsp |emsp emspenspJournal of Ecology MUTHUKRISHNAN eT Al
toinvestigatebioticinteractionsandfoundmixedsupportfortheirimportanceAftersampling locationswere invadednativespeciesrichness tended to decrease over timewhile uninvaded locationsgained species This supports the competitive exclusion hypoth-esisiethatinvadersreducelocal-scalediversitybydisplacingna-tive species In contrastwhenweevaluatedbiotic resistancewefoundnoevidencethatmore-diversesiteswerelesslikelytobesub-sequently invadedAcaveat is that invasionsarehighlystochasticprocessespunctuatedbyrelativelyfewinvasionevents(Macketal2000Simberloff2009)Furthermoreitisdifficulttoresurveypre-ciselocationsovermultipleyearsandimperfectdetectionmaycon-foundspeciesrsquopresenceabsencerecords(ChenKeacuteryPlattnerMaampGardner2013)ThesefactorscanresultinnoisydatasetsandassuchthelikelihoodoftypeIIerrors(falsenegatives)maybeparticu-larlyhighandtheabilitytodetectasignallowYetourabilitytostillidentifycompetitiveexclusiondespitesuchnoisesuggeststhatourgeneralapproachisvalidandthatbioticresistanceislikelyweakerorpotentiallyabsentinthissystemthoughitisdifficulttomakeadirectcomparisonofprocessstrengthsThuswhilewefoundevi-denceofinfluentialbioticinteractionsatthelocalscaleasexpected(Fridleyetal2007)wedidnotobservebioticresistancewhichisoftenconsideredtobethekeydriverforanegativeNERR(FargioneampTilman2005Levineetal2004) Insteadwefoundstatisticallysignificant evidence for competitive exclusionwhich is less oftencitedasadriverofnegativeNERRsThoughtheeffectsweobservedwererelativelymodestontheorderofonemorespeciesbeinglostper decade in invaded sites relative to uninvaded sites and therewashighvariabilitywithmany individualsitesand lakesexhibitingtheoppositepattern
Overtimebioticresistanceandcompetitiveexclusioncanpro-duce similar negativeNERR patterns Studies inwhich richness isexamined at only a single timepoint are inherently unable todis-criminate these twoprocessesYet the twomechanismshavedif-ferent implications for conservation and management A systemwithstrongbioticresistancewillberesilienttoinvasions(FargioneampTilman2005Naeemetal2000)andmanagingfordiversitycanminimizeriskButwherebioticresistanceisweakandcompetitiveexclusion likely uninvaded communities are vulnerable and biodi-versitywillnotreduceinvasionrisk
Thecombinationofbroaderenvironmentaltoleranceofinvasivespecies and the potential for competitive displacement of nativespeciesmayprovidean importantpathwayfor invasionBytakingadvantageofmarginal habitat fornative species invaders canes-tablishinnewareaswithoutfacingcompetitionOnceestablishedpropagule pressure can then promote spread into nearby habitatpreferredbynativespecies(LockwoodCasseyampBlackburn2005)Propagulepressurefromnearbysourceswill farexceedthatasso-ciatedwith rare long-distance dispersal events (Simberloff 2009)andcouldswampeffectsofbioticresistance(ThomsenDrsquoAntonioSuttleampSousa2006)This ldquoleapfroggingrdquoof invasiveplants frommarginal to preferred habitat has been demonstrated in invasionof EuropeanPhragmites australis inNorthAmericawhich spreadsacross the landscape via highway corridors and anthropogenic
habitat(LelongLavoieJodoinampBelzile2007TaddeoampDeBlois2012)providingpropagulesthatcantheninvadeintactnaturalwet-landsanddisplacenativespecies(FantPriceampLarkin2016PriceFantampLarkin2014)Theimportanceofenvironmentalconditionsin determining native and invasive species richness suggest thatmanagementofthosefactorsmaybeakeystrategyforlimitingin-vaderestablishment
At the larger spatial scale of whole lakes our findings morecloselymatchexpectationsfromothersystems(Daviesetal2005Fridleyetal2007LevineampDrsquoAntonio1999)Ourlake-scaleanal-yses showed no evidence of biotic resistance or competitive ex-clusion instead native and invasive species richness increased inconcert This is consistentwithNERRs not being driven by bioticinteractions at large spatial scales but instead broader environ-mental historical or biogeographic factors (Cavender-Bares etal2009Fridleyetal2007Ricklefs2004)Native species richnessincreasedwithenvironmentalheterogeneitywhichalignswiththeexpectationthattheinclusionofbroaderenvironmentalconditionsdrivesregional-scalediversitypatterns(Daviesetal2005Fridleyetal2007LevineampDrsquoAntonio1999)thoughwedidnotobservea similar pattern for invasive specieswith the environmental fac-torsweevaluatedNonethelessevenifinvasivespecieshavebroadenvironmentaltolerancesandarenotinfluencedbyheterogeneitystochasticprocessescouldstillleadtoincreasedinvaderrichnessatlargerspatialscalesresultinginapositiveNERR(FridleyBrownampBruno2004)
43emsp|emspIs biotic resistance ldquoall dryrdquo
Whileourresultsregardingtherelativeimportanceofbioticinterac-tions vs abiotic drivers run counter to previous findingsmdashparticu-larlywithrespecttotheabsenceofbioticresistancemdashthecauseofthat inconsistency remainsuncertain Itmaybepartlydue to fewstudies simultaneously investigating multiple alternative mecha-nismsofNERRs (but seeFargioneampTilman 2005) or topatternsbeingattributed tomechanisms thatarepresumed tobecommonbuthavenotbeenexplicitlytested
Itisalsopossiblethatthepreponderanceofdiversity-invasibilityresearch that comes from terrestrial systems biases expectationsStrong (1992) asked whether trophic cascades were ldquoall wetrdquo Isbiotic resistance ldquoall dryrdquo Nearly all evidence for local-scale bi-otic resistance comes from grassland or other terrestrial systems(FargioneampTilman2005Fridleyetal 2007 Levineetal 2004Naeemetal2000butseeStachowiczetal1999)Relativelylittleresearchhasbeenconductedinaquaticplantcommunitiesandsomepast findings have run counter to terrestrial expectations Capersetal(2007)foundnoevidenceofbioticresistanceinlakeplantcom-munitiesinthenortheasternUSInlakesacrosstheUSFlemingDibbleMadsen andWersal (2015) testedDarwinrsquos naturalizationhypothesisthatnichesbeingoccupiedbycloserelativeswouldrepelinvaderstheyfoundnoevidenceofsuchresistanceStroumlmJanssonandNilsson (2014) experimentally demonstrated a local-scale butpositiveNERRinborealwetlands
emspensp emsp | emsp11Journal of EcologyMUTHUKRISHNAN eT Al
Why would diversity-invasibility relationships differ betweenland and water There is some evidence that aquatic plant com-munities are more strongly structured by abiotic environmentalconstraints (Heino Soininen Alahuhta Lappalainen amp Virtanen2017 Santamariacutea 2002) Difficult environmental conditions inaquatic communities particularly at higher latitudes may imposesuch a strong filter on the macrophyte habitat species pool thatspeciesinteractionshavelimitedinfluenceoncommunityassembly(Santamariacutea2002)Similarpatternshavebeenobservedinaquaticinvertebratecommunities(MilnerBrittainCastellaampPetts2001PeckarskyHornampStatzner1990) suggesting that thismaybeacommonpatternforfreshwatersystemsIftherelativeimportanceof abiotic andbioticprocesses inNERRs systematically variesbe-tween terrestrial and aquatic systems then the limited researchperformedinthelattercouldbiasourgeneralunderstandingoftheecologicalmechanismscontributingtothesepatterns
44emsp|emspImplications for biodiversity conservation and invasive species management
Invasive species are one of the most important drivers of globalchangeandcandrasticallyrestructureecosystems(TylianakisDidhamBascompteampWardle2008VitousekDrsquoantonioLoopeRejmanekampWestbrooks1997WHMasonBastowWilsonampBSteel2007)Therelationshipbetweendiversity and compositionof native communi-ties and their invasibility has been a fundamental areaof inquiry inecologygoingbacktoElton(1958)andevenDarwin(Daehler2001)Understandingtheconditionsthatallowinvasivespeciestoestablishandthatmediatetheirimpactsremaincriticalissuesforconservationandmanagement(Byersetal2002Macketal2000)Studyingtherelationshipbetweendiversityofnativespeciesandinvasivespeciescanofferimportantinsightsintothesequestionsbyhelpingtoidentifythefactorsthatsupportordeter invasions Inparticular the ideaofbioticresistancesuggestsaldquovirtuouscyclerdquowhereineffortstosupportbiodiversityalsohelprepel invasionsHoweverthepatternsweob-servedsuggestthatwatershedmanagementtosupportwaterqualitymaybeamoreeffectivemeansofmitigatinginvasionsandtheirim-pactsNonethelessitisclearthatdiversity-invasibilitypatternscanbedrivenbymultiplemechanismsand recognizing thecontext-specificimportance of these differentmechanisms can help refinemanage-mentstrategies
Our analysis of alternativemechanisms underlyingNERRs inshallow lakes reveals several concerning trends (1)environmen-tal conditions consistent with broad patterns of anthropogenicchangebenefitinvasivespecies(2)lakeswithhigherbiodiversityvaluearemorelikelytobecomeinvadedand(3)bioticinteractionsrepresentedaldquobadnews-badnewsrdquoscenariowhereinlocal-scalediversitydoesnotconferresistancetoinvasionbutinvasiondoesreduce local-scale diversity via competitive exclusion Howeverour results do support continued effort towards establishedstrategies for invasive speciesmanagement Specifically effortstomaintainor improve lakecondition reducespreadof invasivespecies and restore diverse plant assemblageswhere they have
beenlostareneededtoslowtheerosionofnativeplantdiversityintheseimportantecosystems
ACKNOWLEDG EMENTS
FundingforthisprojectwasprovidedthroughtheMinnesotaAquaticInvasive Species ResearchCenter from theMinnesota Environmentand Natural Resources Trust Fund We thank A Geisen and theShallowLakesProgramstafffortheirextensiveeffortscollectingandorganizing fielddata (whichwassupportedby theMinnesotaGameandFish fundMinnesotaEnvironmentandNaturalResourcesTrustFundandtheOutdoorHeritageFund)andWGlissonMVerhoeven CWagnerandRNewmanforinputonthemanuscriptTheauthorsdeclarenoconflictsofinterest
AUTHORSrsquo CONTRIBUTIONS
NH-W managed data collection RM and DJL designed thestudyandanalysesRManalysedthedataandwrotetheinitialdraftofthemanuscriptAllauthorsparticipatedindatainterpretationandrevisingthemanuscript
DATA ACCE SSIBILIT Y
MacrophytecommunitydataenvironmentaldataandanalysisscriptsforthisstudyareavailablefromtheDryadDigitalRepositoryhttpsdoiorg105061dryad19cf1c2 (Muthukrishnan Hansel-Welch ampLarkin2018)
ORCID
Ranjan Muthukrishnan httporcidorg0000-0002-7001-6249
R E FE R E N C E S
BatesDMaumlchlerMBolkerBampWalkerS(2015)Fittinglinearmixed-effectsmodelsusinglme4Journal of Statistical Software671ndash48
BellardCCasseyPampBlackburnTM(2016)Alienspeciesasadriverof recent extinctions Biology Letters 12 20150623 httpsdoiorg101098rsbl20150623
BeloteRTJonesRHHoodSMampWenderBW(2008)DiversityndashinvasibilityacrossanexperimentaldisturbancegradientinAppalachianforestsEcology89183ndash192httpsdoiorg10189007-02701
ByersJEReichardSRandallJMParkerIMSmithCSLonsdaleW M hellip Hayes D (2002) Directing research to reduce the im-pactsofnonindigenousspeciesConservation Biology16630ndash640httpsdoiorg101046j1523-1739200201057x
Capers R S Selsky R BugbeeG J ampWhite J C (2007) Aquaticplantcommunityinvasibilityandscale-dependentpatternsinnativeand invasive species richnessEcology88 3135ndash3143 httpsdoiorg10189006-19111
CasasGScrosatiRampLuzPirizM(2004)TheinvasivekelpUndaria pinnatifida (Phaeophyceae Laminariales) reduces native seaweeddiversityinnuevogulf(PatagoniaArgentina)Biological Invasions6411ndash416httpsdoiorg101023BBINV00000415552930541
Cavender-Bares J Kozak K H Fine P V A amp Kembel S W(2009) The merging of community ecology and phylogenetic
12emsp |emsp emspenspJournal of Ecology MUTHUKRISHNAN eT Al
biology Ecology Letters 12 693ndash715 httpsdoiorg101111 j1461-0248200901314x
ChenGKeacuteryMPlattnerMMaKampGardnerB(2013)Imperfectdetection is the rule rather than the exception in plant distri-bution studies Journal of Ecology 101 183ndash191 httpsdoiorg1011111365-274512021
Chesson P (2000) General theory of competitive coexistence inspatially-varying environments Theoretical Population Biology 58211ndash237httpsdoiorg101006tpbi20001486
ClelandEESmithMDAndelmanSJBowlesCCarneyKMClaireHorner-DevineMhellipVandermastDB(2004)InvasioninspaceandtimeNon-nativespeciesrichnessandrelativeabundancerespondtointerannualvariationinproductivityanddiversityEcology Letters7947ndash957httpsdoiorg101111j1461-0248200400655x
DaehlerCC (2001)DarwinrsquosnaturalizationhypothesisrevisitedThe American Naturalist158324ndash330httpsdoiorg101086321316
DaviesKFChessonPHarrisonS InouyeBDMelbourneBAampRiceKJ(2005)Spatialheterogeneityexplainsthescaledepen-denceofthenativendashexoticdiversityrelationshipEcology861602ndash1610httpsdoiorg10189004-1196
DaviesKFHarrisonSSaffordHDampViersJH(2007)ProductivityaltersthescaledependenceofthediversityndashinvasibilityrelationshipEcology881940ndash1947httpsdoiorg10189006-19071
DavisMAGrimeJPampThompsonK(2000)FluctuatingresourcesinplantcommunitiesAgeneraltheoryofinvasibilityJournal of Ecology88528ndash534httpsdoiorg101046j1365-2745200000473x
Elton C S (1958) The ecology of invasions by animals and plants Chicago IL University of Chicago Press httpsdoiorg101007 978-1-4899-7214-9
Fant JBPriceA LampLarkinD J (2016)The influenceofhabitatdisturbanceongeneticstructureandreproductivestrategieswithinstandsofnativeandnon-nativePhragmites australis(commonreed)Diversity and Distributions221301ndash1313httpsdoiorg101111ddi12492
FargioneJEampTilmanD(2005)DiversitydecreasesinvasionviabothsamplingandcomplementarityeffectsEcology Letters8604ndash611httpsdoiorg101111j1461-0248200500753x
Fleming J P Dibble E D Madsen J D amp Wersal R M (2015)InvestigationofDarwinrsquosnaturalizationhypothesisininvadedmac-rophyte communities Biological Invasions 17 1519ndash1531 httpsdoiorg101007s10530-014-0812-0
Fridley JDBrownR LampBruno J F (2004)Nullmodels of ex-otic invasion and scale-dependent patterns of native and ex-otic species richness Ecology 85 3215ndash3222 httpsdoiorg10189003-0676
Fridley J D Stachowicz J J Naeem S Sax D F SeabloomE W Smith M D hellip Von Holle B (2007) The invasion par-adox Reconciling pattern and process in species invasionsEcology 88 3ndash17 httpsdoiorg1018900012-9658(2007)88 [3TIPRPA]20CO2
HalekohUampHoslashjsgaardS(2014)AKenward-RogerapproximationandparametricbootstrapmethodsfortestsinlinearmixedmodelsndashTheRPackagepbkrtestJournal of Statistical Software591ndash32
HeinoJSoininenJAlahuhtaJLappalainenJampVirtanenR(2017)MetacommunityecologymeetsbiogeographyEffectsofgeograph-icalregionspatialdynamicsandenvironmentalfilteringoncommu-nitystructureinaquaticorganismsOecologia183121ndash137httpsdoiorg101007s00442-016-3750-y
HenrikssonAWardleDATryggJDiehlSampEnglundG(2016)Strong invaders are strong defenders ndash Implications for the resis-tanceofinvadedcommunitiesEcology Letters19487ndash494httpsdoiorg101111ele12586
HustonMA(1999)LocalprocessesandregionalpatternsAppropriatescalesforunderstandingvariationinthediversityofplantsandani-malsOikos86393ndash401httpsdoiorg1023073546645
Kennedy T A Naeem S Howe KM Knops JM H Tilman DampReich P (2002) Biodiversity as a barrier to ecological invasionNature417636ndash638httpsdoiorg101038nature00776
LarkinDJBrulandGLampZedlerJB(2016)HeterogeneitytheoryandecologicalrestorationInMAPalmerJBZedlerampDAFalk(Eds)Foundations of restoration ecology(pp271ndash300)WashingtonDCIslandPresshttpsdoiorg105822978-1-61091-698-1
LelongBLavoieCJodoinYampBelzileF(2007)Expansionpathwaysoftheexoticcommonreed(Phragmites australis)Ahistoricalandge-netic analysisDiversity and Distributions13 430ndash437 httpsdoiorg101111j1472-4642200700351x
LevineJM(2000)SpeciesdiversityandbiologicalinvasionsRelatinglocalprocesstocommunitypatternScience288852ndash854httpsdoiorg101126science2885467852
LevineJMAdlerPBampYelenikSG(2004)Ameta-analysisofbi-oticresistancetoexoticplantinvasionsEcology Letters7975ndash989httpsdoiorg101111j1461-0248200400657x
LevineJMampDrsquoAntonioCM(1999)EltonrevisitedAreviewofevi-dencelinkingdiversityandinvasibilityOikos8715ndash26httpsdoiorg1023073546992
Lockwood J LCasseyPampBlackburnT (2005)The roleofpropa-gulepressure inexplainingspecies invasionsTrends in Ecology and Evolution20223ndash228httpsdoiorg101016jtree200502004
MackRNSimberloffDLonsdaleWMEvansHCloutMampBazzazF A (2000) Biotic invasions Causes epidemiology global conse-quences and controlEcological Applications10 689ndash710 httpsdoiorg1018901051-0761(2000)010[0689BICEGC]20CO2
Milburn S A BourdaghsM ampHusveth J J (2007)Floristic quality assessment for minnesota wetlandsStPaulMNMinnesotaPollutionControlAgency
Millennium Ecosystem Assessment (2005) Ecosystems and human well-being SynthesisWashingtonDCIslandPress
MilnerAMBrittainJ ECastella EampPettsGE (2001)Trendsofmacroinvertebratecommunitystructureinglacier-fedriversinrelationtoenvironmentalconditionsAsynthesisFreshwater Biology461833ndash1847httpsdoiorg101046j1365-2427200100861x
MuthukrishnanRHansel-WelchNampLarkinDJ(2018)DatafromEnvironmentalfilteringandcompetitiveexclusiondrivebiodiversity-invasibility relationships in shallow lake plant communitiesDryad Digital Repositoryhttpsdoiorg105061dryad19cf1c2
NaeemSKnopsJMHTilmanDHoweKMKennedyTampGaleS(2000)Plantdiversityincreasesresistancetoinvasionintheab-senceofcovaryingextrinsicfactorsOikos9197ndash108httpsdoiorg101034j1600-07062000910108x
NicholsSAampShawBH(1986)Ecologicallifehistoriesofthethreeaquatic nuisance plantsMyriophyllum spicatum Potamogeton cris-pus and Elodea canadensis Hydrobiologia 131 3ndash21 httpsdoiorg101007BF00008319
Olmanson L G Bauer M E amp Brezonik P L (2008) A 20-yearLandsatwater clarity census ofMinnesotarsquos 10000 lakesRemote Sensing of Environment 112 4086ndash4097 httpsdoiorg101016 jrse200712013
OlmansonLGBrezonikPLampBauerME (2014)Geospatialandtemporalanalysisofa20-yearrecordofLandsat-basedwaterclar-ity in Minnesotarsquos 10000 Lakes JAWRA Journal of the American Water Resources Association50 748ndash761 httpsdoiorg101111jawr12138
PaavolaM Olenin S amp Leppaumlkoski E (2005) Are invasive speciesmost successful in habitats of low native species richness acrossEuropeanbrackishwater seasEstuarine Coastal and Shelf Science64738ndash750httpsdoiorg101016jecss200503021
Peckarsky B L Horn S C amp Statzner B (1990) Stonefly preda-tion along a hydraulic gradient A field test of the harshmdashbe-nign hypothesis Freshwater Biology 24 181ndash191 httpsdoiorg101111j1365-24271990tb00317x
emspensp emsp | emsp13Journal of EcologyMUTHUKRISHNAN eT Al
PickettSTAampCadenassoML(1995)LandscapeecologySpatialheterogeneityinecologicalsystemsScience269331ndash333httpsdoiorg101126science2695222331
PriceALFantJBampLarkinDJ(2014)Ecologyofnativevsintro-duced Phragmites australis(commonreed)inChicago-areawetlandsWetlands34369ndash377httpsdoiorg101007s13157-013-0504-z
RCoreTeam(2014)R A language and environment for statistical comput-ingViennaAustriaRFoundationforStatisticalComputing
Ramstack Hobbs J M HobbsW O Edlund M B Zimmer K DTheissenKMHoidalNhellipCotnerJB(2016)ThelegacyoflargeregimeshiftsinshallowlakesEcological Applications262662ndash2676httpsdoiorg101002eap1382
RichardsCLBossdorfOMuthNZGurevitch JampPigliucciM(2006)JackofalltradesmasterofsomeOntheroleofphenotypicplasticityinplantinvasionsEcology Letters9981ndash993httpsdoiorg101111j1461-0248200600950x
Ricklefs R E (2004) A comprehensive framework for global pat-terns in biodiversity Ecology Letters 7 1ndash15 httpsdoiorg101046j1461-0248200300554x
SantamariacuteaL(2002)WhyaremostaquaticplantswidelydistributedDispersalclonalgrowthandsmall-scaleheterogeneityinastressfulenvironmentActa Oecologica23137ndash154httpsdoiorg101016S1146-609X(02)01146-3
SimberloffD(2009)Theroleofpropagulepressureinbiologicalinva-sionsAnnual Review of Ecology Evolution and Systematics40 81ndash102httpsdoiorg101146annurevecolsys110308120304
SimberloffDampVonHolleB(1999)Positiveinteractionsofnonindig-enous species InvasionalmeltdownBiological Invasions1 21ndash32httpsdoiorg101023A1010086329619
Stachowicz J JWhitlatch R BampOsman RW (1999) Species di-versityandinvasionresistanceinamarineecosystemScience2861577ndashLP-1579httpsdoiorg101126science28654441577
StohlgrenTJBinkleyDChongGWKalkhanMASchellLDBullKAhellipSonY(1999)ExoticplantspeciesinvadehotspotsofnativeplantdiversityEcological Monographs6925ndash46httpsdoiorg1018900012-9615(1999)069[0025EPSIHS]20CO2
Stroumlm L Jansson R ampNilsson C (2014) Invasibility of borealwet-landplantcommunitiesJournal of Vegetation Science251078ndash1089httpsdoiorg101111jvs12157
StrongDR (1992)Are trophic cascadesallwetDifferentiationanddonor-controlinspecioseecosystemsEcology73747ndash754httpsdoiorg1023071940154
Taddeo S amp De Blois S (2012) Coexistence of introduced and na-tive common reed (Phragmites australis) in freshwater wetlandsEcoscience1999ndash105httpsdoiorg10298019-2-3468
ThompsonKampDavisMA(2011)WhyresearchontraitsofinvasiveplantstellsusverylittleTrends in Ecology amp Evolution26155ndash156httpsdoiorg101016jtree201101007
ThomsenMADrsquoAntonioCMSuttleKBampSousaWP (2006)EcologicalresistanceseeddensityandtheirinteractionsdeterminepatternsofinvasioninaCaliforniacoastalgrasslandEcology Letters9160ndash170httpsdoiorg101111j1461-0248200500857x
Tilman D (2004) Niche tradeoffs neutrality and community struc-ture A stochastic theory of resource competition invasion and
communityassemblyProceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America 101 10854ndash10861 httpsdoiorg101073pnas0403458101
Tylianakis J M Didham R K Bascompte J amp Wardle D A(2008) Global change and species interactions in terres-trial ecosystems Ecology Letters 11 1351ndash1363 httpsdoiorg101111j1461-0248200801250x
USDA N (2016) The PLANTS Database Retrived from httpplantsusdagov
VazquezDP(2006)ExploringtherelationshipbetweennichebreadthandinvasionsuccessInMWCadotteSMMcmahonampTFukami(Eds)Conceptual ecology and invasion biology Reciprocal approaches to nature (pp307ndash322)DordrechtNetherlandsSpringerhttpsdoiorg1010071-4020-4925-0
Vitousek P M Drsquoantonio C M Loope L L Rejmanek M ampWestbrooksR(1997)IntroducedspeciesAsignificantcomponentofhuman-causedglobalchangeNew Zealand Journal of Ecology211ndash16
WHMasonNBastowWilsonJampBSteelJ(2007)Arealternativestable states more likely in high stress environments Logic andavailable evidencedonot supportDidhamet al 2005Oikos116353ndash357httpsdoiorg101111j0030-1299200715283x
Wardle D A (2001) Experimental demonstration that plant diver-sity reduces invasibilityndashEvidenceof abiologicalmechanismor aconsequence of sampling effect Oikos 95 161ndash170 httpsdoiorg101034j1600-07062001950119x
Woo I amp Zedler J B (2002) Can nutrients alone shift a sedgemeadow towards dominance by the invasive Typha times glaucaWetlands 22 509ndash521 httpsdoiorg1016720277-5212(2002) 022[0509CNASAS]20CO2
YurkonisKAMeinersSJampWachholderBE(2005)Invasionimpactsdiversity through altered community dynamics Journal of Ecology931053ndash1061httpsdoiorg101111j1365-2745200501029x
Zedler J B amp Kercher S (2004) Causes and consequences of in-vasive plants in wetlands Opportunities opportunists and out-comes Critical Reviews in Plant Sciences 23 431ndash452 httpsdoiorg10108007352680490514673
SUPPORTING INFORMATION
Additional Supporting Information may be found online in thesupportinginformationtabforthisarticle
How to cite this articleMuthukrishnanRHansel-WelchNLarkinDJEnvironmentalfilteringandcompetitiveexclusiondrivebiodiversity-invasibilityrelationshipsinshallowlakeplantcommunitiesJ Ecol 2018001ndash13 httpsdoiorg1011111365-274512963
4emsp |emsp emspenspJournal of Ecology MUTHUKRISHNAN eT Al
richnesswithsamplingyearasthesingleindependentvariableForeachmodelthecoefficientforthetimeparameterprovidesanesti-mateoftheaverageyearlychangeinspeciesnumberwithnegativevaluesindicatingspecieslossDifferencesinaveragecoefficientval-ueswerecomparedbetweensitesthatwereinvadedandthosethatremaineduninvadedthroughallsurveysalsousingalinearmodelWe again excluded locations where no vegetation was recordedduring any surveyanduseda linearmixedeffectmodel (with theldquolmerrdquofunctionfromthelme4package)tocompareratesbetweeninvadedanduninvadedsiteswhileaccountingforlakeasarandomeffect Statistical significancewasagainevaluatedusing the sameparametricbootstrapapproachasaboveCompetitiveexclusionwasalsoevaluatedatthelakescaleusingastandardlinearmodel(withtheldquolmrdquoandldquosummarylmrdquofunctions)tocompareratesofchangeinspeciesrichnessbetweeninvadedanduninvadedlakes
23emsp|emspEnvironmental mechanisms of invasion
ToinvestigatehowenvironmentalconditionsinfluencedpatternsofdiversitywecollecteddataonarangeofenvironmentalparametersatbothpointandlakescalesDuringsurveyspoint-levelmeasuresofbottomdepthandSecchidepthwererecordedWeusedGLMstoestimate influenceofdepthandSecchidepthonnativeand in-vasivespeciesrichnessassumingPoissondistributionsforspeciesrichnessWecalculatedtheserelationshipsatpointandwhole-lakescales(usingmeanvaluesacrosspoints)BecausedepthandSecchidepthwerecorrelatedweusedseparatemodelstoindependentlyevaluatetheirrelationshipswithrichnessratherthanincludingbothparametersinasingleanalysisThetotalpossiblerichnessofinva-sivespecieswasmuchlowerthanthatofnativespeciesthuswealsoconductedanalogousanalysesusinginvaderpresenceasabinomialresponseinGLMstotestforenvironmentalpreferencesofinvasivespecies in general Additionallywe calculated standard deviations(SD)ofdepthandSecchidepthforeachlakeasmeasuresofwithin-lakeheterogeneity andused thesedata to estimateGLMs testingrelationships between lake heterogeneity and native and invasivespeciesrichnessatthelakescaleagainassumingPoissondistribu-tionsforspeciesrichnessWealsoconductedanadditionalanalysisof invader responsewith invaderpresenceasabinomial responseinaGLM
Toestimateadditionalenvironmentalparameters for lakesweaggregateddatafromtwopubliclyavailablesourcesWecollectedmeasurementsoflakeareaandlong-termaverageSecchidepth(m)forc11000lakesderivedfromremotesensingdatabytheUniversityofMinnesotaRemoteSensingandGeospatialAnalysisLaboratory(OlmansonBauerampBrezonik2008OlmansonBrezonikampBauer2014)InadditiontheMinnesotaPollutionControlAgency(MPCA)manages a large dataset of direct lakemeasurements (c 6 million records)collectedbystatelocalandcitizen-basedorganizationsonawidevarietyofenvironmentalparametersWefocusedonfivepa-rameterslikelytoinfluencemacrophytedistributionthatweresam-pledinlargenumbersoflakespHconductance(μS)totalKjeldahlnitrogen (N mgL) total phosphorus (P mgL) and chlorophyll a
concentration (μgL)Datawereheterogeneous in spaceand timeandcollectedbygroupswithdifferingtechnicalproficiencythuswetookseveralstepstoassuredataqualityWelimitedenvironmentalmeasures to only those collected since the year 2000 and duringthegrowingseason(JunendashSeptember)ToremovedatalikelytobeerroneouswecalculatedmeanandSD foreachvariableacrossalllakesandexcludedanysampleswithvaluesgt5SDfromthemeanBecauseSDwas sometimes strongly influencedby extremeoutli-erswethenrecalculatedSDwithoutliersremovedandrepeatedtheprocessasecondtimeThisleftuswith139lakesinthedatasetwithvaluesforallparametersFortheselakesweaggregatedallmeasure-mentsofagivenparameterintoasinglemean
ForsurveyedlakeswithdataforallenvironmentalparametersweusedGLMswithmultiplefixedeffectstoidentifyenvironmentalconditionsassociatedwithnativeorinvasivespeciesrichnessGLMsincludedsixenvironmentalparametersaspotentialpredictors(NPpHconductancechlorophyllaandSecchidepth)Nativeandinva-sivespeciesrichnessandinvasionstatusweremodelledasresponsesinseparateanalysesusingaPoissonerrordistributionforrichnessmeasuresandinvaderpresenceabsenceasabinomialresponse
3emsp |emspRESULTS
31emsp|emspOverall patterns
Vegetationdatacomprised56134samplingpointsfrom1662sur-veys in1102 lakesAcrosssurveys150318 individualvegetationsampleswere identified to 172 taxa (generally species Table S1)Invasivespecieswereidentifiedinnearlyhalfofthelakes(546)andinvaded lakes spanned theentire rangeofnative species richness(Figure1)Theaveragenumberofspeciesatasamplingpointwas269plusmn183(MplusmnSD)andwithinalakewas1013plusmn723Consistentwith the ldquoinvasion paradoxrdquo (Fridley etal 2007) we observed anegativeNERRatthepointscaleandapositiverelationshipatthewhole-lakescale(Table1Figure2)
F IGURE 1emspFrequencyoflakeswithdifferentnativespeciesrichnessDarkgrayportionsofbarsindicatelakesthathadnoinvasivespeciespresentandlightgrayportionsindicatelakeswithatleastoneinvasivespecies
0 10 20 30 40
InvadedUninvaded
Native species richness
Num
ber o
f lak
es0
2040
6080
emspensp emsp | emsp5Journal of EcologyMUTHUKRISHNAN eT Al
TABLE 1emspResultsoffixedeffectsfromallstatisticalmodelsGeneralizedlinearmodelswereusedinmostanalysesbutmixedmodelswereusedforpointscaleanalysesofbioticresistanceandcompetitiveexclusiontoaccountforautocorrelationwithinlakesStatisticallysignificantresultsindicatedwithaldquordquo
Analysis Scale Parameter Estimate SE Test statistic p- value Significant
Overall NERR Point Intercept minus2103 0024 minus88076 lt001
Coefficient minus0096 0008 minus11308 lt001
Lake Intercept minus0786 0070 minus11277 lt001
Coefficient 0023 0005 4631 lt001
Bioticinteractions
Bioticresistance Point Intercept minus3921 0286 minus13735
Coefficient 0053 0054 0971 356
Lake Intercept minus0642 0230 minus2798 005
Coefficient 0028 0026 1103 270
Competitiveexclusion Point Intercept 0080 0024 3343
Coefficient minus0101 0025 minus4130 lt001
Lake Intercept 0021 0182 0114 910
Coefficient 0239 0221 1080 282
Environmentalanalyses
NativerichnessmdashDepth Point Intercept 1150 0006 208374 lt001
Coefficient minus0052 0001 minus40172 lt001
Lake Intercept 2268 0020 114602 lt001
Coefficient 0010 0004 2747 006
InvaderrichnessmdashDepth Point Intercept minus2430 0028 minus87339 lt001
Coefficient 0023 0006 3897 lt001
Lake Intercept minus0524 0083 minus6350 lt001
Coefficient minus0003 0016 minus0178 859
NativerichnessmdashSecchidepth
Point Intercept 0857 0005 171688 lt001
Coefficient 0037 0001 25767 lt001
Lake Intercept 1957 0016 119019 lt001
Coefficient 0125 0004 29164 lt001
InvaderrichnessmdashSecchidepth
Point Intercept minus2545 0026 minus96303 lt001
Coefficient 0059 0007 8107 lt001
Lake Intercept minus0571 0070 minus8144 lt001
Coefficient 0014 0022 0656 512
NativerichnessmdashEnvironmentalconditions
Lake Intercept 2283 0357 6388 lt001
pH 0087 0043 2006 045
Conductance minus0001 0000 minus6518 lt001
P minus1359 0380 minus3580 lt001
N 0028 0051 0550 582
Chlorophylla minus0006 0001 minus4678 lt001
Secchidepth 0106 0038 2829 005
InvaderrichnessmdashEnvironmentalconditions
Lake Intercept minus3064 1480 minus2070 038
pH 0412 0175 2355 019
Conductance 0000 0000 minus1098 272
P 0953 0923 1032 302
N 0050 0140 0360 719
Chlorophylla minus0006 0003 minus1866 062
Secchidepth minus0316 0157 minus2012 044
(Continues)
6emsp |emsp emspenspJournal of Ecology MUTHUKRISHNAN eT Al
32emsp|emspBiotic resistance
Atthelocalscaleweobservednosignificantrelationshipbetweenspeciesrichnessandtheprobabilitythatalocationwouldbecomein-vadedinthesubsequentsurvey(Table1Figure3a)ienosupportforlocal-scalebioticresistanceResultsshowedhighvariabilitywithmany lakes showing positive relationships while others displayednegative relationships indicating very noisy data with little pat-ternratherthanaconsistentbutsmalleffectAtthelakescalewealsodidnotseeasignificantrelationshipbetweenspeciesrichnessand invasion though the parameter estimatewas positive (0028Table1)Thuswhilenon-significantthetrendfollowedtheoppositepatternwithhigherspeciesrichnessbeingassociatedwithagreaterpropensityforinvasionHoweverthispatternmaybelargelynoise
33emsp|emspCompetitive exclusion
Ouranalysesdidprovidesupport forcompetitiveexclusionofna-tivespeciesbyinvadersatthelocalscale(Table1)Basedonparam-eterestimatesof the linearmixedeffectsmodel species richnessdecreasedatinvadedsamplingpointsby002speciesperyear(afteraccounting for lake-to-lake differences Figure3b) while at unin-vadedpointsrichnessincreasedby008speciesperyearAtthelakescaletherewasnosignificantdifferenceinratesofrichnesschangebetweeninvadedanduninvadedlakesrichnesstendedtoincreaseinbothovertime(Table1)
34emsp|emspEnvironmental filtering
At the local scale both native and invasive species richness sig-nificantly varied with environmental conditions (Table1 analysesusing binomial GLMs based on invasive species presence gener-ally show the samedirectionality and significance patterns as theanalysesusinginvaderrichnessresultscanbeseeninTableS2andFiguresS1andS2inonlineSupportingInformation)Nativeandinva-sivespecieshadsignificantbutopposingrelationshipswithdepth(Figure4ab) native richness decreasedwith greater depth whileinvasive richness increased though less strongly Both native andinvasiverichnessincreasedwithwaterclarity(Figure4cd)butthis
relationshipwasmuchstrongerfornative(z=4017)thaninvasivespecies (z=3897) suggesting weaker light limitation in invadersAt the lake scale native richness increasedwithmean lake depthandmeanSecchidepth(Figure4eg) Invasiverichnessdidnotsig-nificantlydifferwitheitherparameter(Figure4fh)againsuggestingbroadertolerance
Analysingthelargersetofenvironmentalvariablesweidenti-fiedmanysignificantrelationshipsbetweenlake-levelenvironmen-tal parameters and species richness (Table1) but the significantvariables differed between native and invasive species All envi-ronmentalconditionsexceptNweresignificantpredictorsofnativerichness In contrast only pH and Secchi depthwere significantpredictorsofinvasiverichnessFurthermoredirectionalityofsomestrong predictors of richnesswere reversed between native andinvasive species For example native richness had a strong neg-ative relationshipwith Pwhile the patternwas positive (thoughnotsignificant)forinvasivespeciesTheoppositepatternwasseenforSecchidepth invasiverichnessdecreasedandnativerichnessincreasedwithgreaterclarityConductanceandchlorophylla were significant negative predictors of native richness and negativelycorrelated but not significant for invaders The generallyweakerresponses of invasive richness to environmental conditions sug-gest that invaders had broader environmental tolerances At thelakescalethesepatternsarepotentiallyconfoundedbythegeneralcorrelationofaveragedepthandlakesizeHoweverbothlakesizeandaveragedepth (asopposed todepthataparticular location)arelikelyproxiesforoverallhabitatvariabilitywhichinturndrivesincreasednativespeciesrichnessratherthanadirectinfluenceofaveragedepthorsizeThusthegeneralpatternofstrongerenvi-ronmentalconstraintsonnativespeciesthaninvadersexistsinde-pendentofwhetherlakesizeandaveragedepthareconfounded
35emsp|emspHeterogeneity
Within-lakeheterogeneity indepthandSecchidepthweresignifi-cantpositivepredictorsofnativerichness(Table1Figure5ac)buthadnoinfluenceoninvasiverichness(Table1Figure5bd)Thisfur-thersupportsthecontentionthatinvadershavelowersensitivitytoenvironmentalconditions
Analysis Scale Parameter Estimate SE Test statistic p- value Significant
Heterogeneityanalyses
NativerichnessmdashDepthheterogeneity
Lake Intercept 2189 0014 158807 lt001
Coefficient 0079 0006 13223 lt001
InvaderrichnessmdashDepthheterogeneity
Lake Intercept minus0510 0058 minus8739 lt001
Coefficient minus0017 0029 minus0576 565
NativerichnessmdashSecchidepthheterogeneity
Lake Intercept 2089 0013 155818 lt001
Coefficient 0311 0012 26725 lt001
InvaderrichnessmdashSecchidepthheterogeneity
Lake Intercept minus0561 0055 minus10152 lt001
Coefficient 0050 0058 0856 392
TABLE 1emsp (Continued)
emspensp emsp | emsp7Journal of EcologyMUTHUKRISHNAN eT Al
4emsp |emspDISCUSSION
Theaquaticplantcommunitieswestudiedshowedastrongnega-tive relationshipbetweennativeand invasivespecies richnessatlocal (point) scales but a positive relationship at regional (lake-wide) scales matching patterns observed in numerous systemsHowever when we evaluated mechanisms that could generatethesepatternswefoundvaryinglevelsofsupportindicatingthatnotallmechanismswereofequalimportanceSimilarlynomecha-nismdominatedandanygivenfactorexplainedonlyasmallamountof thepatternsobserved innativeand invasivespecies richnessIn contrast withmany terrestrial systems (Kennedy etal 2002LevineAdlerampYelenik2004Naeemetal2000)wefoundnoevidenceforlocal-scalebioticresistanceOurresultsalsoindicateastronginfluenceofenvironmentalconstraintsonlocal-scalerich-nesspatternscountertogeneralexpectationsthatenvironmental
filteringbecomesmoreimportantatbroaderspatialscales(Fridleyetal 2007) Our findings illustrate that similar NERR patternscanbeproducedbydifferentunderlyingmechanismsthatcanbedifficult todiscriminateThesealternativemechanismsmayhavevery different implications for conservation andmanagement ofaquatic plant communities underscoring the value of applying amechanistic lens to evaluating patterns of community structureanddiversity
41emsp|emspStrong opposing roles of environmental drivers on native and invasive species
ContrastingpatternsofnegativeNERRsatlocalscalesandpositiveNERRsatregionalscaleshavebeenseeninavarietyofsystemswesawsimilarpatternsinMinnesotaaquaticplantcommunitiesWhileitisrecognizedthatmultipleprocessescaninfluenceNERRsthere
F IGURE 2emspRelationshipbetweenrichnessofnativespeciesandinvasivespeciesidentifiedinindividualsamples(a)oraggregatedtothelakelevel(b)Pointsarejitteredalongthey-axistoincreasevisibilityofoverlappingpointsThesolidlinesindicatetheestimatedvalueanddashedlinesarethe95confidenceintervalfortheestimate
0 5 10 15Pointminuslevel native species richness
Inva
sive
spe
cies
rich
ness
01
23
0 10 20 30 40Lakeminuslevel native species richness
Inva
sive
spe
cies
rich
ness
01
23
(a) (b)
F IGURE 3emspBioticresistance(a)isindicatedbyanestimateoftheprobabilityofinvasionofindividualsamplinglocationsasafunctionofnativespeciesrichnessColouredlinesindicatethetrendsforindividuallakeswithpurplelinesindicatinglakeswhereinvasionriskdecreaseswithgreaternativespeciesrichness(indicatingbioticresistance)andgreenlinesindicatinghigherriskofinvasionThedashedportionsoflinesindicateestimatescalculatedfornativespeciesrichnessbeyondtherangewhereactualdatawereobservedThesolidblacklinesindicatetheoverallestimatesafteraccountingforautocorrelationwithinlakesandthedashedlinesindicatethe95confidenceintervalforthoseestimatesCompetitiveexclusion(b)isevaluatedbyacomparisonoftherateofchangeinnativespeciesrichnessbetweenlocationsthatareuninvadedacrossallsamplingtimepointsandthosewhereaninvaderispresentHeregreenlinesindicatelakeswithhighervaluesatinvadedpointswhilepurplelinesarelakeswithlowervaluesatinvadedsitesandtheblacklinesagainshowtheoverallestimateswitha95confidenceinterval
0 2 4 6 8 10 12
00
02
04
06
08
10
Native species richness
Pro
babi
lity
of in
vasi
on
(a)
Invader presence
Cha
nge
in s
peci
es ri
chne
ss p
er y
ear
minus3minus2
minus1minus
50
51
23
Uninvaded Invaded
(b)
8emsp |emsp emspenspJournal of Ecology MUTHUKRISHNAN eT Al
FIGURE 4emspRelationshipsbetweendepth(abef)orSecchidepth(cdgh) andtherichnessofnativespeciesandinvasivespeciesatindividualsamplinglocations(andashd)andaggregatedacrossentirelakes(endashh)Pointsarejitteredalongthey-axisforclarityandsolidanddashedlinesindicatethemeanand95confidenceintervaloftheestimatedvalue
0 5 10 15 20
05
1015
0 5 10 15 20
01
23
0 5 10 15 20
05
1015
0 5 10 15 20
01
23
0 5 10 15
010
2030
40
0 5 10 15
01
23
0 5 10 15
010
2030
40
0 5 10 15
01
23
Nat
ive
spec
ies
richn
ess
(a)
Inva
sive
spe
cies
rich
ness
(b)N
ativ
e sp
ecie
s ric
hnes
s
(c)In
vasi
ve s
peci
es ri
chne
ss(d)
Nat
ive
spec
ies
richn
ess
(e)
Inva
sive
spe
cies
rich
ness
(f)
Nat
ive
spec
ies
richn
ess
(g)
Inva
sive
spe
cies
rich
ness
(h)
Depth Depth
Secchi depth Secchi depth
Lake average depth Lake average depth
Lake average Secchi depth Lake average Secchi depth
emspensp emsp | emsp9Journal of EcologyMUTHUKRISHNAN eT Al
is a general expectation that biotic interactions dominate at localscalesbutaresupplantedbyabioticdeterminantsatbroaderscales(Fridleyetal2007)OurdatadonotsupportthispredictionRatherwefoundthatenvironmentalconditionswere relatively importantpredictorsof richnessat regionaland local scaleswhileeffectsofbiotic interactions were relatively weak However there was stillsubstantialunexplainedvariancethatmaybeinfluencedbyenviron-mentalfactorsnotconsideredaspartofthisstudyorbyalternativeecologicalmechanisms
Nativeandinvasivespeciesweresensitivetodifferentenviron-mentalfactorsinsomecasesevenshowingopposingresponsestothesameenvironmentalgradientsForexamplenativerichnesswasassociated with lower water depth and P while invasive richnesswas associatedwithgreaterdepth andPForwater clarity nativeandinvasivespeciesbothshowedpositiverelationshipsatthelocalscale but the relationshipwasweaker for invasive speciesThesedivergentpreferencessuggestthatnativeandinvasivespeciesoccu-piedsomewhatdifferentnichesSuchnichesegregationalonecouldproduceanegativeNERRwithoutbioticinteractionsbeinginvolved
ThepatternsweobservedindicatethatinvasivespeciesgainedanadvantageovernativespeciesundermoreeutrophicconditionsThis is presumably due to these species being better adapted toexploit higher resource availability and tolerate lower light levels(NicholsampShaw1986WooampZedler2002)Alternativelyitisalsopossible thatpoorwaterquality increasedwithgreaterhumanac-tivityandthathumanactivitywastheproximatecauseofgreaterinvasionratesviaincreasedtransmissionopportunities
Furthermorewhilegreaterenvironmentalheterogeneitywasassociatedwith increased richness of native speciesmdashconsistentwith a large body of ecological theory and literature (LarkinBrulandampZedler2016PickettampCadenasso1995)mdashtherewasno such response by invasive species This suggests that nativespecies were more specialized to depth and light niches withinlakes while invasive species occupied broader niches and werethus able to exploitmoremarginal habitatHowever our analy-seswere limited towater depth and Secchi depth it is possiblethat invadersmayhaveexhibitedgreater responsiveness tohet-erogeneity in other environmental factors Greater responsive-nesstoincreasedresourceavailabilityandbroaderenvironmentaltolerances appear to be attributes of successful invasive plantsin general (Davis Grime amp Thompson 2000 Zedler amp Kercher2004) and global drivers of change reinforce these advantages(ThompsonampDavis2011)Innorthernshallowlakesrecentfind-ings point to persistent anthropogenic shifts to more nutrient-rich turbidalternativestates (RamstackHobbsetal2016)Ourfindingssuggestthatthesechangeswillexacerbateaquaticplantinvasions
42emsp|emspInvasive species win biotic interactions Competitive exclusion but not biotic resistance
How new invasions affect native plant communities depends onbiotic interactions between resident native vegetation and invad-ing speciesWe analysed repeated surveys in the same locations
F IGURE 5emspRelationshipsbetweentheheterogeneityofdepthorSecchidepthinalakeandtherichnessofnativespecies(ac)andinvasivespecies(bd)Pointsarejitteredalongthey-axisforclarityandsolidanddashedlinesindicatethemeanand95confidenceintervaloftheestimatedvalue
0 2 4 6 8 10 12
010
2030
40
Lake depth SD
Nat
ive
spec
ies
richn
ess
0 2 4 6 8 10 12
Lake depth SD
Inva
sive
spe
cies
rich
ness
01
23
0 1 2 3 4
010
2030
40
Lake Secchi depth SD
Nat
ive
spec
ies
richn
ess
0 1 2 3 4
Lake Secchi depth SD
Inva
sive
spe
cies
rich
ness
01
23
(a) (b)
(c) (d)
10emsp |emsp emspenspJournal of Ecology MUTHUKRISHNAN eT Al
toinvestigatebioticinteractionsandfoundmixedsupportfortheirimportanceAftersampling locationswere invadednativespeciesrichness tended to decrease over timewhile uninvaded locationsgained species This supports the competitive exclusion hypoth-esisiethatinvadersreducelocal-scalediversitybydisplacingna-tive species In contrastwhenweevaluatedbiotic resistancewefoundnoevidencethatmore-diversesiteswerelesslikelytobesub-sequently invadedAcaveat is that invasionsarehighlystochasticprocessespunctuatedbyrelativelyfewinvasionevents(Macketal2000Simberloff2009)Furthermoreitisdifficulttoresurveypre-ciselocationsovermultipleyearsandimperfectdetectionmaycon-foundspeciesrsquopresenceabsencerecords(ChenKeacuteryPlattnerMaampGardner2013)ThesefactorscanresultinnoisydatasetsandassuchthelikelihoodoftypeIIerrors(falsenegatives)maybeparticu-larlyhighandtheabilitytodetectasignallowYetourabilitytostillidentifycompetitiveexclusiondespitesuchnoisesuggeststhatourgeneralapproachisvalidandthatbioticresistanceislikelyweakerorpotentiallyabsentinthissystemthoughitisdifficulttomakeadirectcomparisonofprocessstrengthsThuswhilewefoundevi-denceofinfluentialbioticinteractionsatthelocalscaleasexpected(Fridleyetal2007)wedidnotobservebioticresistancewhichisoftenconsideredtobethekeydriverforanegativeNERR(FargioneampTilman2005Levineetal2004) Insteadwefoundstatisticallysignificant evidence for competitive exclusionwhich is less oftencitedasadriverofnegativeNERRsThoughtheeffectsweobservedwererelativelymodestontheorderofonemorespeciesbeinglostper decade in invaded sites relative to uninvaded sites and therewashighvariabilitywithmany individualsitesand lakesexhibitingtheoppositepattern
Overtimebioticresistanceandcompetitiveexclusioncanpro-duce similar negativeNERR patterns Studies inwhich richness isexamined at only a single timepoint are inherently unable todis-criminate these twoprocessesYet the twomechanismshavedif-ferent implications for conservation and management A systemwithstrongbioticresistancewillberesilienttoinvasions(FargioneampTilman2005Naeemetal2000)andmanagingfordiversitycanminimizeriskButwherebioticresistanceisweakandcompetitiveexclusion likely uninvaded communities are vulnerable and biodi-versitywillnotreduceinvasionrisk
Thecombinationofbroaderenvironmentaltoleranceofinvasivespecies and the potential for competitive displacement of nativespeciesmayprovidean importantpathwayfor invasionBytakingadvantageofmarginal habitat fornative species invaders canes-tablishinnewareaswithoutfacingcompetitionOnceestablishedpropagule pressure can then promote spread into nearby habitatpreferredbynativespecies(LockwoodCasseyampBlackburn2005)Propagulepressurefromnearbysourceswill farexceedthatasso-ciatedwith rare long-distance dispersal events (Simberloff 2009)andcouldswampeffectsofbioticresistance(ThomsenDrsquoAntonioSuttleampSousa2006)This ldquoleapfroggingrdquoof invasiveplants frommarginal to preferred habitat has been demonstrated in invasionof EuropeanPhragmites australis inNorthAmericawhich spreadsacross the landscape via highway corridors and anthropogenic
habitat(LelongLavoieJodoinampBelzile2007TaddeoampDeBlois2012)providingpropagulesthatcantheninvadeintactnaturalwet-landsanddisplacenativespecies(FantPriceampLarkin2016PriceFantampLarkin2014)Theimportanceofenvironmentalconditionsin determining native and invasive species richness suggest thatmanagementofthosefactorsmaybeakeystrategyforlimitingin-vaderestablishment
At the larger spatial scale of whole lakes our findings morecloselymatchexpectationsfromothersystems(Daviesetal2005Fridleyetal2007LevineampDrsquoAntonio1999)Ourlake-scaleanal-yses showed no evidence of biotic resistance or competitive ex-clusion instead native and invasive species richness increased inconcert This is consistentwithNERRs not being driven by bioticinteractions at large spatial scales but instead broader environ-mental historical or biogeographic factors (Cavender-Bares etal2009Fridleyetal2007Ricklefs2004)Native species richnessincreasedwithenvironmentalheterogeneitywhichalignswiththeexpectationthattheinclusionofbroaderenvironmentalconditionsdrivesregional-scalediversitypatterns(Daviesetal2005Fridleyetal2007LevineampDrsquoAntonio1999)thoughwedidnotobservea similar pattern for invasive specieswith the environmental fac-torsweevaluatedNonethelessevenifinvasivespecieshavebroadenvironmentaltolerancesandarenotinfluencedbyheterogeneitystochasticprocessescouldstillleadtoincreasedinvaderrichnessatlargerspatialscalesresultinginapositiveNERR(FridleyBrownampBruno2004)
43emsp|emspIs biotic resistance ldquoall dryrdquo
Whileourresultsregardingtherelativeimportanceofbioticinterac-tions vs abiotic drivers run counter to previous findingsmdashparticu-larlywithrespecttotheabsenceofbioticresistancemdashthecauseofthat inconsistency remainsuncertain Itmaybepartlydue to fewstudies simultaneously investigating multiple alternative mecha-nismsofNERRs (but seeFargioneampTilman 2005) or topatternsbeingattributed tomechanisms thatarepresumed tobecommonbuthavenotbeenexplicitlytested
Itisalsopossiblethatthepreponderanceofdiversity-invasibilityresearch that comes from terrestrial systems biases expectationsStrong (1992) asked whether trophic cascades were ldquoall wetrdquo Isbiotic resistance ldquoall dryrdquo Nearly all evidence for local-scale bi-otic resistance comes from grassland or other terrestrial systems(FargioneampTilman2005Fridleyetal 2007 Levineetal 2004Naeemetal2000butseeStachowiczetal1999)Relativelylittleresearchhasbeenconductedinaquaticplantcommunitiesandsomepast findings have run counter to terrestrial expectations Capersetal(2007)foundnoevidenceofbioticresistanceinlakeplantcom-munitiesinthenortheasternUSInlakesacrosstheUSFlemingDibbleMadsen andWersal (2015) testedDarwinrsquos naturalizationhypothesisthatnichesbeingoccupiedbycloserelativeswouldrepelinvaderstheyfoundnoevidenceofsuchresistanceStroumlmJanssonandNilsson (2014) experimentally demonstrated a local-scale butpositiveNERRinborealwetlands
emspensp emsp | emsp11Journal of EcologyMUTHUKRISHNAN eT Al
Why would diversity-invasibility relationships differ betweenland and water There is some evidence that aquatic plant com-munities are more strongly structured by abiotic environmentalconstraints (Heino Soininen Alahuhta Lappalainen amp Virtanen2017 Santamariacutea 2002) Difficult environmental conditions inaquatic communities particularly at higher latitudes may imposesuch a strong filter on the macrophyte habitat species pool thatspeciesinteractionshavelimitedinfluenceoncommunityassembly(Santamariacutea2002)Similarpatternshavebeenobservedinaquaticinvertebratecommunities(MilnerBrittainCastellaampPetts2001PeckarskyHornampStatzner1990) suggesting that thismaybeacommonpatternforfreshwatersystemsIftherelativeimportanceof abiotic andbioticprocesses inNERRs systematically variesbe-tween terrestrial and aquatic systems then the limited researchperformedinthelattercouldbiasourgeneralunderstandingoftheecologicalmechanismscontributingtothesepatterns
44emsp|emspImplications for biodiversity conservation and invasive species management
Invasive species are one of the most important drivers of globalchangeandcandrasticallyrestructureecosystems(TylianakisDidhamBascompteampWardle2008VitousekDrsquoantonioLoopeRejmanekampWestbrooks1997WHMasonBastowWilsonampBSteel2007)Therelationshipbetweendiversity and compositionof native communi-ties and their invasibility has been a fundamental areaof inquiry inecologygoingbacktoElton(1958)andevenDarwin(Daehler2001)Understandingtheconditionsthatallowinvasivespeciestoestablishandthatmediatetheirimpactsremaincriticalissuesforconservationandmanagement(Byersetal2002Macketal2000)Studyingtherelationshipbetweendiversityofnativespeciesandinvasivespeciescanofferimportantinsightsintothesequestionsbyhelpingtoidentifythefactorsthatsupportordeter invasions Inparticular the ideaofbioticresistancesuggestsaldquovirtuouscyclerdquowhereineffortstosupportbiodiversityalsohelprepel invasionsHoweverthepatternsweob-servedsuggestthatwatershedmanagementtosupportwaterqualitymaybeamoreeffectivemeansofmitigatinginvasionsandtheirim-pactsNonethelessitisclearthatdiversity-invasibilitypatternscanbedrivenbymultiplemechanismsand recognizing thecontext-specificimportance of these differentmechanisms can help refinemanage-mentstrategies
Our analysis of alternativemechanisms underlyingNERRs inshallow lakes reveals several concerning trends (1)environmen-tal conditions consistent with broad patterns of anthropogenicchangebenefitinvasivespecies(2)lakeswithhigherbiodiversityvaluearemorelikelytobecomeinvadedand(3)bioticinteractionsrepresentedaldquobadnews-badnewsrdquoscenariowhereinlocal-scalediversitydoesnotconferresistancetoinvasionbutinvasiondoesreduce local-scale diversity via competitive exclusion Howeverour results do support continued effort towards establishedstrategies for invasive speciesmanagement Specifically effortstomaintainor improve lakecondition reducespreadof invasivespecies and restore diverse plant assemblageswhere they have
beenlostareneededtoslowtheerosionofnativeplantdiversityintheseimportantecosystems
ACKNOWLEDG EMENTS
FundingforthisprojectwasprovidedthroughtheMinnesotaAquaticInvasive Species ResearchCenter from theMinnesota Environmentand Natural Resources Trust Fund We thank A Geisen and theShallowLakesProgramstafffortheirextensiveeffortscollectingandorganizing fielddata (whichwassupportedby theMinnesotaGameandFish fundMinnesotaEnvironmentandNaturalResourcesTrustFundandtheOutdoorHeritageFund)andWGlissonMVerhoeven CWagnerandRNewmanforinputonthemanuscriptTheauthorsdeclarenoconflictsofinterest
AUTHORSrsquo CONTRIBUTIONS
NH-W managed data collection RM and DJL designed thestudyandanalysesRManalysedthedataandwrotetheinitialdraftofthemanuscriptAllauthorsparticipatedindatainterpretationandrevisingthemanuscript
DATA ACCE SSIBILIT Y
MacrophytecommunitydataenvironmentaldataandanalysisscriptsforthisstudyareavailablefromtheDryadDigitalRepositoryhttpsdoiorg105061dryad19cf1c2 (Muthukrishnan Hansel-Welch ampLarkin2018)
ORCID
Ranjan Muthukrishnan httporcidorg0000-0002-7001-6249
R E FE R E N C E S
BatesDMaumlchlerMBolkerBampWalkerS(2015)Fittinglinearmixed-effectsmodelsusinglme4Journal of Statistical Software671ndash48
BellardCCasseyPampBlackburnTM(2016)Alienspeciesasadriverof recent extinctions Biology Letters 12 20150623 httpsdoiorg101098rsbl20150623
BeloteRTJonesRHHoodSMampWenderBW(2008)DiversityndashinvasibilityacrossanexperimentaldisturbancegradientinAppalachianforestsEcology89183ndash192httpsdoiorg10189007-02701
ByersJEReichardSRandallJMParkerIMSmithCSLonsdaleW M hellip Hayes D (2002) Directing research to reduce the im-pactsofnonindigenousspeciesConservation Biology16630ndash640httpsdoiorg101046j1523-1739200201057x
Capers R S Selsky R BugbeeG J ampWhite J C (2007) Aquaticplantcommunityinvasibilityandscale-dependentpatternsinnativeand invasive species richnessEcology88 3135ndash3143 httpsdoiorg10189006-19111
CasasGScrosatiRampLuzPirizM(2004)TheinvasivekelpUndaria pinnatifida (Phaeophyceae Laminariales) reduces native seaweeddiversityinnuevogulf(PatagoniaArgentina)Biological Invasions6411ndash416httpsdoiorg101023BBINV00000415552930541
Cavender-Bares J Kozak K H Fine P V A amp Kembel S W(2009) The merging of community ecology and phylogenetic
12emsp |emsp emspenspJournal of Ecology MUTHUKRISHNAN eT Al
biology Ecology Letters 12 693ndash715 httpsdoiorg101111 j1461-0248200901314x
ChenGKeacuteryMPlattnerMMaKampGardnerB(2013)Imperfectdetection is the rule rather than the exception in plant distri-bution studies Journal of Ecology 101 183ndash191 httpsdoiorg1011111365-274512021
Chesson P (2000) General theory of competitive coexistence inspatially-varying environments Theoretical Population Biology 58211ndash237httpsdoiorg101006tpbi20001486
ClelandEESmithMDAndelmanSJBowlesCCarneyKMClaireHorner-DevineMhellipVandermastDB(2004)InvasioninspaceandtimeNon-nativespeciesrichnessandrelativeabundancerespondtointerannualvariationinproductivityanddiversityEcology Letters7947ndash957httpsdoiorg101111j1461-0248200400655x
DaehlerCC (2001)DarwinrsquosnaturalizationhypothesisrevisitedThe American Naturalist158324ndash330httpsdoiorg101086321316
DaviesKFChessonPHarrisonS InouyeBDMelbourneBAampRiceKJ(2005)Spatialheterogeneityexplainsthescaledepen-denceofthenativendashexoticdiversityrelationshipEcology861602ndash1610httpsdoiorg10189004-1196
DaviesKFHarrisonSSaffordHDampViersJH(2007)ProductivityaltersthescaledependenceofthediversityndashinvasibilityrelationshipEcology881940ndash1947httpsdoiorg10189006-19071
DavisMAGrimeJPampThompsonK(2000)FluctuatingresourcesinplantcommunitiesAgeneraltheoryofinvasibilityJournal of Ecology88528ndash534httpsdoiorg101046j1365-2745200000473x
Elton C S (1958) The ecology of invasions by animals and plants Chicago IL University of Chicago Press httpsdoiorg101007 978-1-4899-7214-9
Fant JBPriceA LampLarkinD J (2016)The influenceofhabitatdisturbanceongeneticstructureandreproductivestrategieswithinstandsofnativeandnon-nativePhragmites australis(commonreed)Diversity and Distributions221301ndash1313httpsdoiorg101111ddi12492
FargioneJEampTilmanD(2005)DiversitydecreasesinvasionviabothsamplingandcomplementarityeffectsEcology Letters8604ndash611httpsdoiorg101111j1461-0248200500753x
Fleming J P Dibble E D Madsen J D amp Wersal R M (2015)InvestigationofDarwinrsquosnaturalizationhypothesisininvadedmac-rophyte communities Biological Invasions 17 1519ndash1531 httpsdoiorg101007s10530-014-0812-0
Fridley JDBrownR LampBruno J F (2004)Nullmodels of ex-otic invasion and scale-dependent patterns of native and ex-otic species richness Ecology 85 3215ndash3222 httpsdoiorg10189003-0676
Fridley J D Stachowicz J J Naeem S Sax D F SeabloomE W Smith M D hellip Von Holle B (2007) The invasion par-adox Reconciling pattern and process in species invasionsEcology 88 3ndash17 httpsdoiorg1018900012-9658(2007)88 [3TIPRPA]20CO2
HalekohUampHoslashjsgaardS(2014)AKenward-RogerapproximationandparametricbootstrapmethodsfortestsinlinearmixedmodelsndashTheRPackagepbkrtestJournal of Statistical Software591ndash32
HeinoJSoininenJAlahuhtaJLappalainenJampVirtanenR(2017)MetacommunityecologymeetsbiogeographyEffectsofgeograph-icalregionspatialdynamicsandenvironmentalfilteringoncommu-nitystructureinaquaticorganismsOecologia183121ndash137httpsdoiorg101007s00442-016-3750-y
HenrikssonAWardleDATryggJDiehlSampEnglundG(2016)Strong invaders are strong defenders ndash Implications for the resis-tanceofinvadedcommunitiesEcology Letters19487ndash494httpsdoiorg101111ele12586
HustonMA(1999)LocalprocessesandregionalpatternsAppropriatescalesforunderstandingvariationinthediversityofplantsandani-malsOikos86393ndash401httpsdoiorg1023073546645
Kennedy T A Naeem S Howe KM Knops JM H Tilman DampReich P (2002) Biodiversity as a barrier to ecological invasionNature417636ndash638httpsdoiorg101038nature00776
LarkinDJBrulandGLampZedlerJB(2016)HeterogeneitytheoryandecologicalrestorationInMAPalmerJBZedlerampDAFalk(Eds)Foundations of restoration ecology(pp271ndash300)WashingtonDCIslandPresshttpsdoiorg105822978-1-61091-698-1
LelongBLavoieCJodoinYampBelzileF(2007)Expansionpathwaysoftheexoticcommonreed(Phragmites australis)Ahistoricalandge-netic analysisDiversity and Distributions13 430ndash437 httpsdoiorg101111j1472-4642200700351x
LevineJM(2000)SpeciesdiversityandbiologicalinvasionsRelatinglocalprocesstocommunitypatternScience288852ndash854httpsdoiorg101126science2885467852
LevineJMAdlerPBampYelenikSG(2004)Ameta-analysisofbi-oticresistancetoexoticplantinvasionsEcology Letters7975ndash989httpsdoiorg101111j1461-0248200400657x
LevineJMampDrsquoAntonioCM(1999)EltonrevisitedAreviewofevi-dencelinkingdiversityandinvasibilityOikos8715ndash26httpsdoiorg1023073546992
Lockwood J LCasseyPampBlackburnT (2005)The roleofpropa-gulepressure inexplainingspecies invasionsTrends in Ecology and Evolution20223ndash228httpsdoiorg101016jtree200502004
MackRNSimberloffDLonsdaleWMEvansHCloutMampBazzazF A (2000) Biotic invasions Causes epidemiology global conse-quences and controlEcological Applications10 689ndash710 httpsdoiorg1018901051-0761(2000)010[0689BICEGC]20CO2
Milburn S A BourdaghsM ampHusveth J J (2007)Floristic quality assessment for minnesota wetlandsStPaulMNMinnesotaPollutionControlAgency
Millennium Ecosystem Assessment (2005) Ecosystems and human well-being SynthesisWashingtonDCIslandPress
MilnerAMBrittainJ ECastella EampPettsGE (2001)Trendsofmacroinvertebratecommunitystructureinglacier-fedriversinrelationtoenvironmentalconditionsAsynthesisFreshwater Biology461833ndash1847httpsdoiorg101046j1365-2427200100861x
MuthukrishnanRHansel-WelchNampLarkinDJ(2018)DatafromEnvironmentalfilteringandcompetitiveexclusiondrivebiodiversity-invasibility relationships in shallow lake plant communitiesDryad Digital Repositoryhttpsdoiorg105061dryad19cf1c2
NaeemSKnopsJMHTilmanDHoweKMKennedyTampGaleS(2000)Plantdiversityincreasesresistancetoinvasionintheab-senceofcovaryingextrinsicfactorsOikos9197ndash108httpsdoiorg101034j1600-07062000910108x
NicholsSAampShawBH(1986)Ecologicallifehistoriesofthethreeaquatic nuisance plantsMyriophyllum spicatum Potamogeton cris-pus and Elodea canadensis Hydrobiologia 131 3ndash21 httpsdoiorg101007BF00008319
Olmanson L G Bauer M E amp Brezonik P L (2008) A 20-yearLandsatwater clarity census ofMinnesotarsquos 10000 lakesRemote Sensing of Environment 112 4086ndash4097 httpsdoiorg101016 jrse200712013
OlmansonLGBrezonikPLampBauerME (2014)Geospatialandtemporalanalysisofa20-yearrecordofLandsat-basedwaterclar-ity in Minnesotarsquos 10000 Lakes JAWRA Journal of the American Water Resources Association50 748ndash761 httpsdoiorg101111jawr12138
PaavolaM Olenin S amp Leppaumlkoski E (2005) Are invasive speciesmost successful in habitats of low native species richness acrossEuropeanbrackishwater seasEstuarine Coastal and Shelf Science64738ndash750httpsdoiorg101016jecss200503021
Peckarsky B L Horn S C amp Statzner B (1990) Stonefly preda-tion along a hydraulic gradient A field test of the harshmdashbe-nign hypothesis Freshwater Biology 24 181ndash191 httpsdoiorg101111j1365-24271990tb00317x
emspensp emsp | emsp13Journal of EcologyMUTHUKRISHNAN eT Al
PickettSTAampCadenassoML(1995)LandscapeecologySpatialheterogeneityinecologicalsystemsScience269331ndash333httpsdoiorg101126science2695222331
PriceALFantJBampLarkinDJ(2014)Ecologyofnativevsintro-duced Phragmites australis(commonreed)inChicago-areawetlandsWetlands34369ndash377httpsdoiorg101007s13157-013-0504-z
RCoreTeam(2014)R A language and environment for statistical comput-ingViennaAustriaRFoundationforStatisticalComputing
Ramstack Hobbs J M HobbsW O Edlund M B Zimmer K DTheissenKMHoidalNhellipCotnerJB(2016)ThelegacyoflargeregimeshiftsinshallowlakesEcological Applications262662ndash2676httpsdoiorg101002eap1382
RichardsCLBossdorfOMuthNZGurevitch JampPigliucciM(2006)JackofalltradesmasterofsomeOntheroleofphenotypicplasticityinplantinvasionsEcology Letters9981ndash993httpsdoiorg101111j1461-0248200600950x
Ricklefs R E (2004) A comprehensive framework for global pat-terns in biodiversity Ecology Letters 7 1ndash15 httpsdoiorg101046j1461-0248200300554x
SantamariacuteaL(2002)WhyaremostaquaticplantswidelydistributedDispersalclonalgrowthandsmall-scaleheterogeneityinastressfulenvironmentActa Oecologica23137ndash154httpsdoiorg101016S1146-609X(02)01146-3
SimberloffD(2009)Theroleofpropagulepressureinbiologicalinva-sionsAnnual Review of Ecology Evolution and Systematics40 81ndash102httpsdoiorg101146annurevecolsys110308120304
SimberloffDampVonHolleB(1999)Positiveinteractionsofnonindig-enous species InvasionalmeltdownBiological Invasions1 21ndash32httpsdoiorg101023A1010086329619
Stachowicz J JWhitlatch R BampOsman RW (1999) Species di-versityandinvasionresistanceinamarineecosystemScience2861577ndashLP-1579httpsdoiorg101126science28654441577
StohlgrenTJBinkleyDChongGWKalkhanMASchellLDBullKAhellipSonY(1999)ExoticplantspeciesinvadehotspotsofnativeplantdiversityEcological Monographs6925ndash46httpsdoiorg1018900012-9615(1999)069[0025EPSIHS]20CO2
Stroumlm L Jansson R ampNilsson C (2014) Invasibility of borealwet-landplantcommunitiesJournal of Vegetation Science251078ndash1089httpsdoiorg101111jvs12157
StrongDR (1992)Are trophic cascadesallwetDifferentiationanddonor-controlinspecioseecosystemsEcology73747ndash754httpsdoiorg1023071940154
Taddeo S amp De Blois S (2012) Coexistence of introduced and na-tive common reed (Phragmites australis) in freshwater wetlandsEcoscience1999ndash105httpsdoiorg10298019-2-3468
ThompsonKampDavisMA(2011)WhyresearchontraitsofinvasiveplantstellsusverylittleTrends in Ecology amp Evolution26155ndash156httpsdoiorg101016jtree201101007
ThomsenMADrsquoAntonioCMSuttleKBampSousaWP (2006)EcologicalresistanceseeddensityandtheirinteractionsdeterminepatternsofinvasioninaCaliforniacoastalgrasslandEcology Letters9160ndash170httpsdoiorg101111j1461-0248200500857x
Tilman D (2004) Niche tradeoffs neutrality and community struc-ture A stochastic theory of resource competition invasion and
communityassemblyProceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America 101 10854ndash10861 httpsdoiorg101073pnas0403458101
Tylianakis J M Didham R K Bascompte J amp Wardle D A(2008) Global change and species interactions in terres-trial ecosystems Ecology Letters 11 1351ndash1363 httpsdoiorg101111j1461-0248200801250x
USDA N (2016) The PLANTS Database Retrived from httpplantsusdagov
VazquezDP(2006)ExploringtherelationshipbetweennichebreadthandinvasionsuccessInMWCadotteSMMcmahonampTFukami(Eds)Conceptual ecology and invasion biology Reciprocal approaches to nature (pp307ndash322)DordrechtNetherlandsSpringerhttpsdoiorg1010071-4020-4925-0
Vitousek P M Drsquoantonio C M Loope L L Rejmanek M ampWestbrooksR(1997)IntroducedspeciesAsignificantcomponentofhuman-causedglobalchangeNew Zealand Journal of Ecology211ndash16
WHMasonNBastowWilsonJampBSteelJ(2007)Arealternativestable states more likely in high stress environments Logic andavailable evidencedonot supportDidhamet al 2005Oikos116353ndash357httpsdoiorg101111j0030-1299200715283x
Wardle D A (2001) Experimental demonstration that plant diver-sity reduces invasibilityndashEvidenceof abiologicalmechanismor aconsequence of sampling effect Oikos 95 161ndash170 httpsdoiorg101034j1600-07062001950119x
Woo I amp Zedler J B (2002) Can nutrients alone shift a sedgemeadow towards dominance by the invasive Typha times glaucaWetlands 22 509ndash521 httpsdoiorg1016720277-5212(2002) 022[0509CNASAS]20CO2
YurkonisKAMeinersSJampWachholderBE(2005)Invasionimpactsdiversity through altered community dynamics Journal of Ecology931053ndash1061httpsdoiorg101111j1365-2745200501029x
Zedler J B amp Kercher S (2004) Causes and consequences of in-vasive plants in wetlands Opportunities opportunists and out-comes Critical Reviews in Plant Sciences 23 431ndash452 httpsdoiorg10108007352680490514673
SUPPORTING INFORMATION
Additional Supporting Information may be found online in thesupportinginformationtabforthisarticle
How to cite this articleMuthukrishnanRHansel-WelchNLarkinDJEnvironmentalfilteringandcompetitiveexclusiondrivebiodiversity-invasibilityrelationshipsinshallowlakeplantcommunitiesJ Ecol 2018001ndash13 httpsdoiorg1011111365-274512963
emspensp emsp | emsp5Journal of EcologyMUTHUKRISHNAN eT Al
TABLE 1emspResultsoffixedeffectsfromallstatisticalmodelsGeneralizedlinearmodelswereusedinmostanalysesbutmixedmodelswereusedforpointscaleanalysesofbioticresistanceandcompetitiveexclusiontoaccountforautocorrelationwithinlakesStatisticallysignificantresultsindicatedwithaldquordquo
Analysis Scale Parameter Estimate SE Test statistic p- value Significant
Overall NERR Point Intercept minus2103 0024 minus88076 lt001
Coefficient minus0096 0008 minus11308 lt001
Lake Intercept minus0786 0070 minus11277 lt001
Coefficient 0023 0005 4631 lt001
Bioticinteractions
Bioticresistance Point Intercept minus3921 0286 minus13735
Coefficient 0053 0054 0971 356
Lake Intercept minus0642 0230 minus2798 005
Coefficient 0028 0026 1103 270
Competitiveexclusion Point Intercept 0080 0024 3343
Coefficient minus0101 0025 minus4130 lt001
Lake Intercept 0021 0182 0114 910
Coefficient 0239 0221 1080 282
Environmentalanalyses
NativerichnessmdashDepth Point Intercept 1150 0006 208374 lt001
Coefficient minus0052 0001 minus40172 lt001
Lake Intercept 2268 0020 114602 lt001
Coefficient 0010 0004 2747 006
InvaderrichnessmdashDepth Point Intercept minus2430 0028 minus87339 lt001
Coefficient 0023 0006 3897 lt001
Lake Intercept minus0524 0083 minus6350 lt001
Coefficient minus0003 0016 minus0178 859
NativerichnessmdashSecchidepth
Point Intercept 0857 0005 171688 lt001
Coefficient 0037 0001 25767 lt001
Lake Intercept 1957 0016 119019 lt001
Coefficient 0125 0004 29164 lt001
InvaderrichnessmdashSecchidepth
Point Intercept minus2545 0026 minus96303 lt001
Coefficient 0059 0007 8107 lt001
Lake Intercept minus0571 0070 minus8144 lt001
Coefficient 0014 0022 0656 512
NativerichnessmdashEnvironmentalconditions
Lake Intercept 2283 0357 6388 lt001
pH 0087 0043 2006 045
Conductance minus0001 0000 minus6518 lt001
P minus1359 0380 minus3580 lt001
N 0028 0051 0550 582
Chlorophylla minus0006 0001 minus4678 lt001
Secchidepth 0106 0038 2829 005
InvaderrichnessmdashEnvironmentalconditions
Lake Intercept minus3064 1480 minus2070 038
pH 0412 0175 2355 019
Conductance 0000 0000 minus1098 272
P 0953 0923 1032 302
N 0050 0140 0360 719
Chlorophylla minus0006 0003 minus1866 062
Secchidepth minus0316 0157 minus2012 044
(Continues)
6emsp |emsp emspenspJournal of Ecology MUTHUKRISHNAN eT Al
32emsp|emspBiotic resistance
Atthelocalscaleweobservednosignificantrelationshipbetweenspeciesrichnessandtheprobabilitythatalocationwouldbecomein-vadedinthesubsequentsurvey(Table1Figure3a)ienosupportforlocal-scalebioticresistanceResultsshowedhighvariabilitywithmany lakes showing positive relationships while others displayednegative relationships indicating very noisy data with little pat-ternratherthanaconsistentbutsmalleffectAtthelakescalewealsodidnotseeasignificantrelationshipbetweenspeciesrichnessand invasion though the parameter estimatewas positive (0028Table1)Thuswhilenon-significantthetrendfollowedtheoppositepatternwithhigherspeciesrichnessbeingassociatedwithagreaterpropensityforinvasionHoweverthispatternmaybelargelynoise
33emsp|emspCompetitive exclusion
Ouranalysesdidprovidesupport forcompetitiveexclusionofna-tivespeciesbyinvadersatthelocalscale(Table1)Basedonparam-eterestimatesof the linearmixedeffectsmodel species richnessdecreasedatinvadedsamplingpointsby002speciesperyear(afteraccounting for lake-to-lake differences Figure3b) while at unin-vadedpointsrichnessincreasedby008speciesperyearAtthelakescaletherewasnosignificantdifferenceinratesofrichnesschangebetweeninvadedanduninvadedlakesrichnesstendedtoincreaseinbothovertime(Table1)
34emsp|emspEnvironmental filtering
At the local scale both native and invasive species richness sig-nificantly varied with environmental conditions (Table1 analysesusing binomial GLMs based on invasive species presence gener-ally show the samedirectionality and significance patterns as theanalysesusinginvaderrichnessresultscanbeseeninTableS2andFiguresS1andS2inonlineSupportingInformation)Nativeandinva-sivespecieshadsignificantbutopposingrelationshipswithdepth(Figure4ab) native richness decreasedwith greater depth whileinvasive richness increased though less strongly Both native andinvasiverichnessincreasedwithwaterclarity(Figure4cd)butthis
relationshipwasmuchstrongerfornative(z=4017)thaninvasivespecies (z=3897) suggesting weaker light limitation in invadersAt the lake scale native richness increasedwithmean lake depthandmeanSecchidepth(Figure4eg) Invasiverichnessdidnotsig-nificantlydifferwitheitherparameter(Figure4fh)againsuggestingbroadertolerance
Analysingthelargersetofenvironmentalvariablesweidenti-fiedmanysignificantrelationshipsbetweenlake-levelenvironmen-tal parameters and species richness (Table1) but the significantvariables differed between native and invasive species All envi-ronmentalconditionsexceptNweresignificantpredictorsofnativerichness In contrast only pH and Secchi depthwere significantpredictorsofinvasiverichnessFurthermoredirectionalityofsomestrong predictors of richnesswere reversed between native andinvasive species For example native richness had a strong neg-ative relationshipwith Pwhile the patternwas positive (thoughnotsignificant)forinvasivespeciesTheoppositepatternwasseenforSecchidepth invasiverichnessdecreasedandnativerichnessincreasedwithgreaterclarityConductanceandchlorophylla were significant negative predictors of native richness and negativelycorrelated but not significant for invaders The generallyweakerresponses of invasive richness to environmental conditions sug-gest that invaders had broader environmental tolerances At thelakescalethesepatternsarepotentiallyconfoundedbythegeneralcorrelationofaveragedepthandlakesizeHoweverbothlakesizeandaveragedepth (asopposed todepthataparticular location)arelikelyproxiesforoverallhabitatvariabilitywhichinturndrivesincreasednativespeciesrichnessratherthanadirectinfluenceofaveragedepthorsizeThusthegeneralpatternofstrongerenvi-ronmentalconstraintsonnativespeciesthaninvadersexistsinde-pendentofwhetherlakesizeandaveragedepthareconfounded
35emsp|emspHeterogeneity
Within-lakeheterogeneity indepthandSecchidepthweresignifi-cantpositivepredictorsofnativerichness(Table1Figure5ac)buthadnoinfluenceoninvasiverichness(Table1Figure5bd)Thisfur-thersupportsthecontentionthatinvadershavelowersensitivitytoenvironmentalconditions
Analysis Scale Parameter Estimate SE Test statistic p- value Significant
Heterogeneityanalyses
NativerichnessmdashDepthheterogeneity
Lake Intercept 2189 0014 158807 lt001
Coefficient 0079 0006 13223 lt001
InvaderrichnessmdashDepthheterogeneity
Lake Intercept minus0510 0058 minus8739 lt001
Coefficient minus0017 0029 minus0576 565
NativerichnessmdashSecchidepthheterogeneity
Lake Intercept 2089 0013 155818 lt001
Coefficient 0311 0012 26725 lt001
InvaderrichnessmdashSecchidepthheterogeneity
Lake Intercept minus0561 0055 minus10152 lt001
Coefficient 0050 0058 0856 392
TABLE 1emsp (Continued)
emspensp emsp | emsp7Journal of EcologyMUTHUKRISHNAN eT Al
4emsp |emspDISCUSSION
Theaquaticplantcommunitieswestudiedshowedastrongnega-tive relationshipbetweennativeand invasivespecies richnessatlocal (point) scales but a positive relationship at regional (lake-wide) scales matching patterns observed in numerous systemsHowever when we evaluated mechanisms that could generatethesepatternswefoundvaryinglevelsofsupportindicatingthatnotallmechanismswereofequalimportanceSimilarlynomecha-nismdominatedandanygivenfactorexplainedonlyasmallamountof thepatternsobserved innativeand invasivespecies richnessIn contrast withmany terrestrial systems (Kennedy etal 2002LevineAdlerampYelenik2004Naeemetal2000)wefoundnoevidenceforlocal-scalebioticresistanceOurresultsalsoindicateastronginfluenceofenvironmentalconstraintsonlocal-scalerich-nesspatternscountertogeneralexpectationsthatenvironmental
filteringbecomesmoreimportantatbroaderspatialscales(Fridleyetal 2007) Our findings illustrate that similar NERR patternscanbeproducedbydifferentunderlyingmechanismsthatcanbedifficult todiscriminateThesealternativemechanismsmayhavevery different implications for conservation andmanagement ofaquatic plant communities underscoring the value of applying amechanistic lens to evaluating patterns of community structureanddiversity
41emsp|emspStrong opposing roles of environmental drivers on native and invasive species
ContrastingpatternsofnegativeNERRsatlocalscalesandpositiveNERRsatregionalscaleshavebeenseeninavarietyofsystemswesawsimilarpatternsinMinnesotaaquaticplantcommunitiesWhileitisrecognizedthatmultipleprocessescaninfluenceNERRsthere
F IGURE 2emspRelationshipbetweenrichnessofnativespeciesandinvasivespeciesidentifiedinindividualsamples(a)oraggregatedtothelakelevel(b)Pointsarejitteredalongthey-axistoincreasevisibilityofoverlappingpointsThesolidlinesindicatetheestimatedvalueanddashedlinesarethe95confidenceintervalfortheestimate
0 5 10 15Pointminuslevel native species richness
Inva
sive
spe
cies
rich
ness
01
23
0 10 20 30 40Lakeminuslevel native species richness
Inva
sive
spe
cies
rich
ness
01
23
(a) (b)
F IGURE 3emspBioticresistance(a)isindicatedbyanestimateoftheprobabilityofinvasionofindividualsamplinglocationsasafunctionofnativespeciesrichnessColouredlinesindicatethetrendsforindividuallakeswithpurplelinesindicatinglakeswhereinvasionriskdecreaseswithgreaternativespeciesrichness(indicatingbioticresistance)andgreenlinesindicatinghigherriskofinvasionThedashedportionsoflinesindicateestimatescalculatedfornativespeciesrichnessbeyondtherangewhereactualdatawereobservedThesolidblacklinesindicatetheoverallestimatesafteraccountingforautocorrelationwithinlakesandthedashedlinesindicatethe95confidenceintervalforthoseestimatesCompetitiveexclusion(b)isevaluatedbyacomparisonoftherateofchangeinnativespeciesrichnessbetweenlocationsthatareuninvadedacrossallsamplingtimepointsandthosewhereaninvaderispresentHeregreenlinesindicatelakeswithhighervaluesatinvadedpointswhilepurplelinesarelakeswithlowervaluesatinvadedsitesandtheblacklinesagainshowtheoverallestimateswitha95confidenceinterval
0 2 4 6 8 10 12
00
02
04
06
08
10
Native species richness
Pro
babi
lity
of in
vasi
on
(a)
Invader presence
Cha
nge
in s
peci
es ri
chne
ss p
er y
ear
minus3minus2
minus1minus
50
51
23
Uninvaded Invaded
(b)
8emsp |emsp emspenspJournal of Ecology MUTHUKRISHNAN eT Al
FIGURE 4emspRelationshipsbetweendepth(abef)orSecchidepth(cdgh) andtherichnessofnativespeciesandinvasivespeciesatindividualsamplinglocations(andashd)andaggregatedacrossentirelakes(endashh)Pointsarejitteredalongthey-axisforclarityandsolidanddashedlinesindicatethemeanand95confidenceintervaloftheestimatedvalue
0 5 10 15 20
05
1015
0 5 10 15 20
01
23
0 5 10 15 20
05
1015
0 5 10 15 20
01
23
0 5 10 15
010
2030
40
0 5 10 15
01
23
0 5 10 15
010
2030
40
0 5 10 15
01
23
Nat
ive
spec
ies
richn
ess
(a)
Inva
sive
spe
cies
rich
ness
(b)N
ativ
e sp
ecie
s ric
hnes
s
(c)In
vasi
ve s
peci
es ri
chne
ss(d)
Nat
ive
spec
ies
richn
ess
(e)
Inva
sive
spe
cies
rich
ness
(f)
Nat
ive
spec
ies
richn
ess
(g)
Inva
sive
spe
cies
rich
ness
(h)
Depth Depth
Secchi depth Secchi depth
Lake average depth Lake average depth
Lake average Secchi depth Lake average Secchi depth
emspensp emsp | emsp9Journal of EcologyMUTHUKRISHNAN eT Al
is a general expectation that biotic interactions dominate at localscalesbutaresupplantedbyabioticdeterminantsatbroaderscales(Fridleyetal2007)OurdatadonotsupportthispredictionRatherwefoundthatenvironmentalconditionswere relatively importantpredictorsof richnessat regionaland local scaleswhileeffectsofbiotic interactions were relatively weak However there was stillsubstantialunexplainedvariancethatmaybeinfluencedbyenviron-mentalfactorsnotconsideredaspartofthisstudyorbyalternativeecologicalmechanisms
Nativeandinvasivespeciesweresensitivetodifferentenviron-mentalfactorsinsomecasesevenshowingopposingresponsestothesameenvironmentalgradientsForexamplenativerichnesswasassociated with lower water depth and P while invasive richnesswas associatedwithgreaterdepth andPForwater clarity nativeandinvasivespeciesbothshowedpositiverelationshipsatthelocalscale but the relationshipwasweaker for invasive speciesThesedivergentpreferencessuggestthatnativeandinvasivespeciesoccu-piedsomewhatdifferentnichesSuchnichesegregationalonecouldproduceanegativeNERRwithoutbioticinteractionsbeinginvolved
ThepatternsweobservedindicatethatinvasivespeciesgainedanadvantageovernativespeciesundermoreeutrophicconditionsThis is presumably due to these species being better adapted toexploit higher resource availability and tolerate lower light levels(NicholsampShaw1986WooampZedler2002)Alternativelyitisalsopossible thatpoorwaterquality increasedwithgreaterhumanac-tivityandthathumanactivitywastheproximatecauseofgreaterinvasionratesviaincreasedtransmissionopportunities
Furthermorewhilegreaterenvironmentalheterogeneitywasassociatedwith increased richness of native speciesmdashconsistentwith a large body of ecological theory and literature (LarkinBrulandampZedler2016PickettampCadenasso1995)mdashtherewasno such response by invasive species This suggests that nativespecies were more specialized to depth and light niches withinlakes while invasive species occupied broader niches and werethus able to exploitmoremarginal habitatHowever our analy-seswere limited towater depth and Secchi depth it is possiblethat invadersmayhaveexhibitedgreater responsiveness tohet-erogeneity in other environmental factors Greater responsive-nesstoincreasedresourceavailabilityandbroaderenvironmentaltolerances appear to be attributes of successful invasive plantsin general (Davis Grime amp Thompson 2000 Zedler amp Kercher2004) and global drivers of change reinforce these advantages(ThompsonampDavis2011)Innorthernshallowlakesrecentfind-ings point to persistent anthropogenic shifts to more nutrient-rich turbidalternativestates (RamstackHobbsetal2016)Ourfindingssuggestthatthesechangeswillexacerbateaquaticplantinvasions
42emsp|emspInvasive species win biotic interactions Competitive exclusion but not biotic resistance
How new invasions affect native plant communities depends onbiotic interactions between resident native vegetation and invad-ing speciesWe analysed repeated surveys in the same locations
F IGURE 5emspRelationshipsbetweentheheterogeneityofdepthorSecchidepthinalakeandtherichnessofnativespecies(ac)andinvasivespecies(bd)Pointsarejitteredalongthey-axisforclarityandsolidanddashedlinesindicatethemeanand95confidenceintervaloftheestimatedvalue
0 2 4 6 8 10 12
010
2030
40
Lake depth SD
Nat
ive
spec
ies
richn
ess
0 2 4 6 8 10 12
Lake depth SD
Inva
sive
spe
cies
rich
ness
01
23
0 1 2 3 4
010
2030
40
Lake Secchi depth SD
Nat
ive
spec
ies
richn
ess
0 1 2 3 4
Lake Secchi depth SD
Inva
sive
spe
cies
rich
ness
01
23
(a) (b)
(c) (d)
10emsp |emsp emspenspJournal of Ecology MUTHUKRISHNAN eT Al
toinvestigatebioticinteractionsandfoundmixedsupportfortheirimportanceAftersampling locationswere invadednativespeciesrichness tended to decrease over timewhile uninvaded locationsgained species This supports the competitive exclusion hypoth-esisiethatinvadersreducelocal-scalediversitybydisplacingna-tive species In contrastwhenweevaluatedbiotic resistancewefoundnoevidencethatmore-diversesiteswerelesslikelytobesub-sequently invadedAcaveat is that invasionsarehighlystochasticprocessespunctuatedbyrelativelyfewinvasionevents(Macketal2000Simberloff2009)Furthermoreitisdifficulttoresurveypre-ciselocationsovermultipleyearsandimperfectdetectionmaycon-foundspeciesrsquopresenceabsencerecords(ChenKeacuteryPlattnerMaampGardner2013)ThesefactorscanresultinnoisydatasetsandassuchthelikelihoodoftypeIIerrors(falsenegatives)maybeparticu-larlyhighandtheabilitytodetectasignallowYetourabilitytostillidentifycompetitiveexclusiondespitesuchnoisesuggeststhatourgeneralapproachisvalidandthatbioticresistanceislikelyweakerorpotentiallyabsentinthissystemthoughitisdifficulttomakeadirectcomparisonofprocessstrengthsThuswhilewefoundevi-denceofinfluentialbioticinteractionsatthelocalscaleasexpected(Fridleyetal2007)wedidnotobservebioticresistancewhichisoftenconsideredtobethekeydriverforanegativeNERR(FargioneampTilman2005Levineetal2004) Insteadwefoundstatisticallysignificant evidence for competitive exclusionwhich is less oftencitedasadriverofnegativeNERRsThoughtheeffectsweobservedwererelativelymodestontheorderofonemorespeciesbeinglostper decade in invaded sites relative to uninvaded sites and therewashighvariabilitywithmany individualsitesand lakesexhibitingtheoppositepattern
Overtimebioticresistanceandcompetitiveexclusioncanpro-duce similar negativeNERR patterns Studies inwhich richness isexamined at only a single timepoint are inherently unable todis-criminate these twoprocessesYet the twomechanismshavedif-ferent implications for conservation and management A systemwithstrongbioticresistancewillberesilienttoinvasions(FargioneampTilman2005Naeemetal2000)andmanagingfordiversitycanminimizeriskButwherebioticresistanceisweakandcompetitiveexclusion likely uninvaded communities are vulnerable and biodi-versitywillnotreduceinvasionrisk
Thecombinationofbroaderenvironmentaltoleranceofinvasivespecies and the potential for competitive displacement of nativespeciesmayprovidean importantpathwayfor invasionBytakingadvantageofmarginal habitat fornative species invaders canes-tablishinnewareaswithoutfacingcompetitionOnceestablishedpropagule pressure can then promote spread into nearby habitatpreferredbynativespecies(LockwoodCasseyampBlackburn2005)Propagulepressurefromnearbysourceswill farexceedthatasso-ciatedwith rare long-distance dispersal events (Simberloff 2009)andcouldswampeffectsofbioticresistance(ThomsenDrsquoAntonioSuttleampSousa2006)This ldquoleapfroggingrdquoof invasiveplants frommarginal to preferred habitat has been demonstrated in invasionof EuropeanPhragmites australis inNorthAmericawhich spreadsacross the landscape via highway corridors and anthropogenic
habitat(LelongLavoieJodoinampBelzile2007TaddeoampDeBlois2012)providingpropagulesthatcantheninvadeintactnaturalwet-landsanddisplacenativespecies(FantPriceampLarkin2016PriceFantampLarkin2014)Theimportanceofenvironmentalconditionsin determining native and invasive species richness suggest thatmanagementofthosefactorsmaybeakeystrategyforlimitingin-vaderestablishment
At the larger spatial scale of whole lakes our findings morecloselymatchexpectationsfromothersystems(Daviesetal2005Fridleyetal2007LevineampDrsquoAntonio1999)Ourlake-scaleanal-yses showed no evidence of biotic resistance or competitive ex-clusion instead native and invasive species richness increased inconcert This is consistentwithNERRs not being driven by bioticinteractions at large spatial scales but instead broader environ-mental historical or biogeographic factors (Cavender-Bares etal2009Fridleyetal2007Ricklefs2004)Native species richnessincreasedwithenvironmentalheterogeneitywhichalignswiththeexpectationthattheinclusionofbroaderenvironmentalconditionsdrivesregional-scalediversitypatterns(Daviesetal2005Fridleyetal2007LevineampDrsquoAntonio1999)thoughwedidnotobservea similar pattern for invasive specieswith the environmental fac-torsweevaluatedNonethelessevenifinvasivespecieshavebroadenvironmentaltolerancesandarenotinfluencedbyheterogeneitystochasticprocessescouldstillleadtoincreasedinvaderrichnessatlargerspatialscalesresultinginapositiveNERR(FridleyBrownampBruno2004)
43emsp|emspIs biotic resistance ldquoall dryrdquo
Whileourresultsregardingtherelativeimportanceofbioticinterac-tions vs abiotic drivers run counter to previous findingsmdashparticu-larlywithrespecttotheabsenceofbioticresistancemdashthecauseofthat inconsistency remainsuncertain Itmaybepartlydue to fewstudies simultaneously investigating multiple alternative mecha-nismsofNERRs (but seeFargioneampTilman 2005) or topatternsbeingattributed tomechanisms thatarepresumed tobecommonbuthavenotbeenexplicitlytested
Itisalsopossiblethatthepreponderanceofdiversity-invasibilityresearch that comes from terrestrial systems biases expectationsStrong (1992) asked whether trophic cascades were ldquoall wetrdquo Isbiotic resistance ldquoall dryrdquo Nearly all evidence for local-scale bi-otic resistance comes from grassland or other terrestrial systems(FargioneampTilman2005Fridleyetal 2007 Levineetal 2004Naeemetal2000butseeStachowiczetal1999)Relativelylittleresearchhasbeenconductedinaquaticplantcommunitiesandsomepast findings have run counter to terrestrial expectations Capersetal(2007)foundnoevidenceofbioticresistanceinlakeplantcom-munitiesinthenortheasternUSInlakesacrosstheUSFlemingDibbleMadsen andWersal (2015) testedDarwinrsquos naturalizationhypothesisthatnichesbeingoccupiedbycloserelativeswouldrepelinvaderstheyfoundnoevidenceofsuchresistanceStroumlmJanssonandNilsson (2014) experimentally demonstrated a local-scale butpositiveNERRinborealwetlands
emspensp emsp | emsp11Journal of EcologyMUTHUKRISHNAN eT Al
Why would diversity-invasibility relationships differ betweenland and water There is some evidence that aquatic plant com-munities are more strongly structured by abiotic environmentalconstraints (Heino Soininen Alahuhta Lappalainen amp Virtanen2017 Santamariacutea 2002) Difficult environmental conditions inaquatic communities particularly at higher latitudes may imposesuch a strong filter on the macrophyte habitat species pool thatspeciesinteractionshavelimitedinfluenceoncommunityassembly(Santamariacutea2002)Similarpatternshavebeenobservedinaquaticinvertebratecommunities(MilnerBrittainCastellaampPetts2001PeckarskyHornampStatzner1990) suggesting that thismaybeacommonpatternforfreshwatersystemsIftherelativeimportanceof abiotic andbioticprocesses inNERRs systematically variesbe-tween terrestrial and aquatic systems then the limited researchperformedinthelattercouldbiasourgeneralunderstandingoftheecologicalmechanismscontributingtothesepatterns
44emsp|emspImplications for biodiversity conservation and invasive species management
Invasive species are one of the most important drivers of globalchangeandcandrasticallyrestructureecosystems(TylianakisDidhamBascompteampWardle2008VitousekDrsquoantonioLoopeRejmanekampWestbrooks1997WHMasonBastowWilsonampBSteel2007)Therelationshipbetweendiversity and compositionof native communi-ties and their invasibility has been a fundamental areaof inquiry inecologygoingbacktoElton(1958)andevenDarwin(Daehler2001)Understandingtheconditionsthatallowinvasivespeciestoestablishandthatmediatetheirimpactsremaincriticalissuesforconservationandmanagement(Byersetal2002Macketal2000)Studyingtherelationshipbetweendiversityofnativespeciesandinvasivespeciescanofferimportantinsightsintothesequestionsbyhelpingtoidentifythefactorsthatsupportordeter invasions Inparticular the ideaofbioticresistancesuggestsaldquovirtuouscyclerdquowhereineffortstosupportbiodiversityalsohelprepel invasionsHoweverthepatternsweob-servedsuggestthatwatershedmanagementtosupportwaterqualitymaybeamoreeffectivemeansofmitigatinginvasionsandtheirim-pactsNonethelessitisclearthatdiversity-invasibilitypatternscanbedrivenbymultiplemechanismsand recognizing thecontext-specificimportance of these differentmechanisms can help refinemanage-mentstrategies
Our analysis of alternativemechanisms underlyingNERRs inshallow lakes reveals several concerning trends (1)environmen-tal conditions consistent with broad patterns of anthropogenicchangebenefitinvasivespecies(2)lakeswithhigherbiodiversityvaluearemorelikelytobecomeinvadedand(3)bioticinteractionsrepresentedaldquobadnews-badnewsrdquoscenariowhereinlocal-scalediversitydoesnotconferresistancetoinvasionbutinvasiondoesreduce local-scale diversity via competitive exclusion Howeverour results do support continued effort towards establishedstrategies for invasive speciesmanagement Specifically effortstomaintainor improve lakecondition reducespreadof invasivespecies and restore diverse plant assemblageswhere they have
beenlostareneededtoslowtheerosionofnativeplantdiversityintheseimportantecosystems
ACKNOWLEDG EMENTS
FundingforthisprojectwasprovidedthroughtheMinnesotaAquaticInvasive Species ResearchCenter from theMinnesota Environmentand Natural Resources Trust Fund We thank A Geisen and theShallowLakesProgramstafffortheirextensiveeffortscollectingandorganizing fielddata (whichwassupportedby theMinnesotaGameandFish fundMinnesotaEnvironmentandNaturalResourcesTrustFundandtheOutdoorHeritageFund)andWGlissonMVerhoeven CWagnerandRNewmanforinputonthemanuscriptTheauthorsdeclarenoconflictsofinterest
AUTHORSrsquo CONTRIBUTIONS
NH-W managed data collection RM and DJL designed thestudyandanalysesRManalysedthedataandwrotetheinitialdraftofthemanuscriptAllauthorsparticipatedindatainterpretationandrevisingthemanuscript
DATA ACCE SSIBILIT Y
MacrophytecommunitydataenvironmentaldataandanalysisscriptsforthisstudyareavailablefromtheDryadDigitalRepositoryhttpsdoiorg105061dryad19cf1c2 (Muthukrishnan Hansel-Welch ampLarkin2018)
ORCID
Ranjan Muthukrishnan httporcidorg0000-0002-7001-6249
R E FE R E N C E S
BatesDMaumlchlerMBolkerBampWalkerS(2015)Fittinglinearmixed-effectsmodelsusinglme4Journal of Statistical Software671ndash48
BellardCCasseyPampBlackburnTM(2016)Alienspeciesasadriverof recent extinctions Biology Letters 12 20150623 httpsdoiorg101098rsbl20150623
BeloteRTJonesRHHoodSMampWenderBW(2008)DiversityndashinvasibilityacrossanexperimentaldisturbancegradientinAppalachianforestsEcology89183ndash192httpsdoiorg10189007-02701
ByersJEReichardSRandallJMParkerIMSmithCSLonsdaleW M hellip Hayes D (2002) Directing research to reduce the im-pactsofnonindigenousspeciesConservation Biology16630ndash640httpsdoiorg101046j1523-1739200201057x
Capers R S Selsky R BugbeeG J ampWhite J C (2007) Aquaticplantcommunityinvasibilityandscale-dependentpatternsinnativeand invasive species richnessEcology88 3135ndash3143 httpsdoiorg10189006-19111
CasasGScrosatiRampLuzPirizM(2004)TheinvasivekelpUndaria pinnatifida (Phaeophyceae Laminariales) reduces native seaweeddiversityinnuevogulf(PatagoniaArgentina)Biological Invasions6411ndash416httpsdoiorg101023BBINV00000415552930541
Cavender-Bares J Kozak K H Fine P V A amp Kembel S W(2009) The merging of community ecology and phylogenetic
12emsp |emsp emspenspJournal of Ecology MUTHUKRISHNAN eT Al
biology Ecology Letters 12 693ndash715 httpsdoiorg101111 j1461-0248200901314x
ChenGKeacuteryMPlattnerMMaKampGardnerB(2013)Imperfectdetection is the rule rather than the exception in plant distri-bution studies Journal of Ecology 101 183ndash191 httpsdoiorg1011111365-274512021
Chesson P (2000) General theory of competitive coexistence inspatially-varying environments Theoretical Population Biology 58211ndash237httpsdoiorg101006tpbi20001486
ClelandEESmithMDAndelmanSJBowlesCCarneyKMClaireHorner-DevineMhellipVandermastDB(2004)InvasioninspaceandtimeNon-nativespeciesrichnessandrelativeabundancerespondtointerannualvariationinproductivityanddiversityEcology Letters7947ndash957httpsdoiorg101111j1461-0248200400655x
DaehlerCC (2001)DarwinrsquosnaturalizationhypothesisrevisitedThe American Naturalist158324ndash330httpsdoiorg101086321316
DaviesKFChessonPHarrisonS InouyeBDMelbourneBAampRiceKJ(2005)Spatialheterogeneityexplainsthescaledepen-denceofthenativendashexoticdiversityrelationshipEcology861602ndash1610httpsdoiorg10189004-1196
DaviesKFHarrisonSSaffordHDampViersJH(2007)ProductivityaltersthescaledependenceofthediversityndashinvasibilityrelationshipEcology881940ndash1947httpsdoiorg10189006-19071
DavisMAGrimeJPampThompsonK(2000)FluctuatingresourcesinplantcommunitiesAgeneraltheoryofinvasibilityJournal of Ecology88528ndash534httpsdoiorg101046j1365-2745200000473x
Elton C S (1958) The ecology of invasions by animals and plants Chicago IL University of Chicago Press httpsdoiorg101007 978-1-4899-7214-9
Fant JBPriceA LampLarkinD J (2016)The influenceofhabitatdisturbanceongeneticstructureandreproductivestrategieswithinstandsofnativeandnon-nativePhragmites australis(commonreed)Diversity and Distributions221301ndash1313httpsdoiorg101111ddi12492
FargioneJEampTilmanD(2005)DiversitydecreasesinvasionviabothsamplingandcomplementarityeffectsEcology Letters8604ndash611httpsdoiorg101111j1461-0248200500753x
Fleming J P Dibble E D Madsen J D amp Wersal R M (2015)InvestigationofDarwinrsquosnaturalizationhypothesisininvadedmac-rophyte communities Biological Invasions 17 1519ndash1531 httpsdoiorg101007s10530-014-0812-0
Fridley JDBrownR LampBruno J F (2004)Nullmodels of ex-otic invasion and scale-dependent patterns of native and ex-otic species richness Ecology 85 3215ndash3222 httpsdoiorg10189003-0676
Fridley J D Stachowicz J J Naeem S Sax D F SeabloomE W Smith M D hellip Von Holle B (2007) The invasion par-adox Reconciling pattern and process in species invasionsEcology 88 3ndash17 httpsdoiorg1018900012-9658(2007)88 [3TIPRPA]20CO2
HalekohUampHoslashjsgaardS(2014)AKenward-RogerapproximationandparametricbootstrapmethodsfortestsinlinearmixedmodelsndashTheRPackagepbkrtestJournal of Statistical Software591ndash32
HeinoJSoininenJAlahuhtaJLappalainenJampVirtanenR(2017)MetacommunityecologymeetsbiogeographyEffectsofgeograph-icalregionspatialdynamicsandenvironmentalfilteringoncommu-nitystructureinaquaticorganismsOecologia183121ndash137httpsdoiorg101007s00442-016-3750-y
HenrikssonAWardleDATryggJDiehlSampEnglundG(2016)Strong invaders are strong defenders ndash Implications for the resis-tanceofinvadedcommunitiesEcology Letters19487ndash494httpsdoiorg101111ele12586
HustonMA(1999)LocalprocessesandregionalpatternsAppropriatescalesforunderstandingvariationinthediversityofplantsandani-malsOikos86393ndash401httpsdoiorg1023073546645
Kennedy T A Naeem S Howe KM Knops JM H Tilman DampReich P (2002) Biodiversity as a barrier to ecological invasionNature417636ndash638httpsdoiorg101038nature00776
LarkinDJBrulandGLampZedlerJB(2016)HeterogeneitytheoryandecologicalrestorationInMAPalmerJBZedlerampDAFalk(Eds)Foundations of restoration ecology(pp271ndash300)WashingtonDCIslandPresshttpsdoiorg105822978-1-61091-698-1
LelongBLavoieCJodoinYampBelzileF(2007)Expansionpathwaysoftheexoticcommonreed(Phragmites australis)Ahistoricalandge-netic analysisDiversity and Distributions13 430ndash437 httpsdoiorg101111j1472-4642200700351x
LevineJM(2000)SpeciesdiversityandbiologicalinvasionsRelatinglocalprocesstocommunitypatternScience288852ndash854httpsdoiorg101126science2885467852
LevineJMAdlerPBampYelenikSG(2004)Ameta-analysisofbi-oticresistancetoexoticplantinvasionsEcology Letters7975ndash989httpsdoiorg101111j1461-0248200400657x
LevineJMampDrsquoAntonioCM(1999)EltonrevisitedAreviewofevi-dencelinkingdiversityandinvasibilityOikos8715ndash26httpsdoiorg1023073546992
Lockwood J LCasseyPampBlackburnT (2005)The roleofpropa-gulepressure inexplainingspecies invasionsTrends in Ecology and Evolution20223ndash228httpsdoiorg101016jtree200502004
MackRNSimberloffDLonsdaleWMEvansHCloutMampBazzazF A (2000) Biotic invasions Causes epidemiology global conse-quences and controlEcological Applications10 689ndash710 httpsdoiorg1018901051-0761(2000)010[0689BICEGC]20CO2
Milburn S A BourdaghsM ampHusveth J J (2007)Floristic quality assessment for minnesota wetlandsStPaulMNMinnesotaPollutionControlAgency
Millennium Ecosystem Assessment (2005) Ecosystems and human well-being SynthesisWashingtonDCIslandPress
MilnerAMBrittainJ ECastella EampPettsGE (2001)Trendsofmacroinvertebratecommunitystructureinglacier-fedriversinrelationtoenvironmentalconditionsAsynthesisFreshwater Biology461833ndash1847httpsdoiorg101046j1365-2427200100861x
MuthukrishnanRHansel-WelchNampLarkinDJ(2018)DatafromEnvironmentalfilteringandcompetitiveexclusiondrivebiodiversity-invasibility relationships in shallow lake plant communitiesDryad Digital Repositoryhttpsdoiorg105061dryad19cf1c2
NaeemSKnopsJMHTilmanDHoweKMKennedyTampGaleS(2000)Plantdiversityincreasesresistancetoinvasionintheab-senceofcovaryingextrinsicfactorsOikos9197ndash108httpsdoiorg101034j1600-07062000910108x
NicholsSAampShawBH(1986)Ecologicallifehistoriesofthethreeaquatic nuisance plantsMyriophyllum spicatum Potamogeton cris-pus and Elodea canadensis Hydrobiologia 131 3ndash21 httpsdoiorg101007BF00008319
Olmanson L G Bauer M E amp Brezonik P L (2008) A 20-yearLandsatwater clarity census ofMinnesotarsquos 10000 lakesRemote Sensing of Environment 112 4086ndash4097 httpsdoiorg101016 jrse200712013
OlmansonLGBrezonikPLampBauerME (2014)Geospatialandtemporalanalysisofa20-yearrecordofLandsat-basedwaterclar-ity in Minnesotarsquos 10000 Lakes JAWRA Journal of the American Water Resources Association50 748ndash761 httpsdoiorg101111jawr12138
PaavolaM Olenin S amp Leppaumlkoski E (2005) Are invasive speciesmost successful in habitats of low native species richness acrossEuropeanbrackishwater seasEstuarine Coastal and Shelf Science64738ndash750httpsdoiorg101016jecss200503021
Peckarsky B L Horn S C amp Statzner B (1990) Stonefly preda-tion along a hydraulic gradient A field test of the harshmdashbe-nign hypothesis Freshwater Biology 24 181ndash191 httpsdoiorg101111j1365-24271990tb00317x
emspensp emsp | emsp13Journal of EcologyMUTHUKRISHNAN eT Al
PickettSTAampCadenassoML(1995)LandscapeecologySpatialheterogeneityinecologicalsystemsScience269331ndash333httpsdoiorg101126science2695222331
PriceALFantJBampLarkinDJ(2014)Ecologyofnativevsintro-duced Phragmites australis(commonreed)inChicago-areawetlandsWetlands34369ndash377httpsdoiorg101007s13157-013-0504-z
RCoreTeam(2014)R A language and environment for statistical comput-ingViennaAustriaRFoundationforStatisticalComputing
Ramstack Hobbs J M HobbsW O Edlund M B Zimmer K DTheissenKMHoidalNhellipCotnerJB(2016)ThelegacyoflargeregimeshiftsinshallowlakesEcological Applications262662ndash2676httpsdoiorg101002eap1382
RichardsCLBossdorfOMuthNZGurevitch JampPigliucciM(2006)JackofalltradesmasterofsomeOntheroleofphenotypicplasticityinplantinvasionsEcology Letters9981ndash993httpsdoiorg101111j1461-0248200600950x
Ricklefs R E (2004) A comprehensive framework for global pat-terns in biodiversity Ecology Letters 7 1ndash15 httpsdoiorg101046j1461-0248200300554x
SantamariacuteaL(2002)WhyaremostaquaticplantswidelydistributedDispersalclonalgrowthandsmall-scaleheterogeneityinastressfulenvironmentActa Oecologica23137ndash154httpsdoiorg101016S1146-609X(02)01146-3
SimberloffD(2009)Theroleofpropagulepressureinbiologicalinva-sionsAnnual Review of Ecology Evolution and Systematics40 81ndash102httpsdoiorg101146annurevecolsys110308120304
SimberloffDampVonHolleB(1999)Positiveinteractionsofnonindig-enous species InvasionalmeltdownBiological Invasions1 21ndash32httpsdoiorg101023A1010086329619
Stachowicz J JWhitlatch R BampOsman RW (1999) Species di-versityandinvasionresistanceinamarineecosystemScience2861577ndashLP-1579httpsdoiorg101126science28654441577
StohlgrenTJBinkleyDChongGWKalkhanMASchellLDBullKAhellipSonY(1999)ExoticplantspeciesinvadehotspotsofnativeplantdiversityEcological Monographs6925ndash46httpsdoiorg1018900012-9615(1999)069[0025EPSIHS]20CO2
Stroumlm L Jansson R ampNilsson C (2014) Invasibility of borealwet-landplantcommunitiesJournal of Vegetation Science251078ndash1089httpsdoiorg101111jvs12157
StrongDR (1992)Are trophic cascadesallwetDifferentiationanddonor-controlinspecioseecosystemsEcology73747ndash754httpsdoiorg1023071940154
Taddeo S amp De Blois S (2012) Coexistence of introduced and na-tive common reed (Phragmites australis) in freshwater wetlandsEcoscience1999ndash105httpsdoiorg10298019-2-3468
ThompsonKampDavisMA(2011)WhyresearchontraitsofinvasiveplantstellsusverylittleTrends in Ecology amp Evolution26155ndash156httpsdoiorg101016jtree201101007
ThomsenMADrsquoAntonioCMSuttleKBampSousaWP (2006)EcologicalresistanceseeddensityandtheirinteractionsdeterminepatternsofinvasioninaCaliforniacoastalgrasslandEcology Letters9160ndash170httpsdoiorg101111j1461-0248200500857x
Tilman D (2004) Niche tradeoffs neutrality and community struc-ture A stochastic theory of resource competition invasion and
communityassemblyProceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America 101 10854ndash10861 httpsdoiorg101073pnas0403458101
Tylianakis J M Didham R K Bascompte J amp Wardle D A(2008) Global change and species interactions in terres-trial ecosystems Ecology Letters 11 1351ndash1363 httpsdoiorg101111j1461-0248200801250x
USDA N (2016) The PLANTS Database Retrived from httpplantsusdagov
VazquezDP(2006)ExploringtherelationshipbetweennichebreadthandinvasionsuccessInMWCadotteSMMcmahonampTFukami(Eds)Conceptual ecology and invasion biology Reciprocal approaches to nature (pp307ndash322)DordrechtNetherlandsSpringerhttpsdoiorg1010071-4020-4925-0
Vitousek P M Drsquoantonio C M Loope L L Rejmanek M ampWestbrooksR(1997)IntroducedspeciesAsignificantcomponentofhuman-causedglobalchangeNew Zealand Journal of Ecology211ndash16
WHMasonNBastowWilsonJampBSteelJ(2007)Arealternativestable states more likely in high stress environments Logic andavailable evidencedonot supportDidhamet al 2005Oikos116353ndash357httpsdoiorg101111j0030-1299200715283x
Wardle D A (2001) Experimental demonstration that plant diver-sity reduces invasibilityndashEvidenceof abiologicalmechanismor aconsequence of sampling effect Oikos 95 161ndash170 httpsdoiorg101034j1600-07062001950119x
Woo I amp Zedler J B (2002) Can nutrients alone shift a sedgemeadow towards dominance by the invasive Typha times glaucaWetlands 22 509ndash521 httpsdoiorg1016720277-5212(2002) 022[0509CNASAS]20CO2
YurkonisKAMeinersSJampWachholderBE(2005)Invasionimpactsdiversity through altered community dynamics Journal of Ecology931053ndash1061httpsdoiorg101111j1365-2745200501029x
Zedler J B amp Kercher S (2004) Causes and consequences of in-vasive plants in wetlands Opportunities opportunists and out-comes Critical Reviews in Plant Sciences 23 431ndash452 httpsdoiorg10108007352680490514673
SUPPORTING INFORMATION
Additional Supporting Information may be found online in thesupportinginformationtabforthisarticle
How to cite this articleMuthukrishnanRHansel-WelchNLarkinDJEnvironmentalfilteringandcompetitiveexclusiondrivebiodiversity-invasibilityrelationshipsinshallowlakeplantcommunitiesJ Ecol 2018001ndash13 httpsdoiorg1011111365-274512963
6emsp |emsp emspenspJournal of Ecology MUTHUKRISHNAN eT Al
32emsp|emspBiotic resistance
Atthelocalscaleweobservednosignificantrelationshipbetweenspeciesrichnessandtheprobabilitythatalocationwouldbecomein-vadedinthesubsequentsurvey(Table1Figure3a)ienosupportforlocal-scalebioticresistanceResultsshowedhighvariabilitywithmany lakes showing positive relationships while others displayednegative relationships indicating very noisy data with little pat-ternratherthanaconsistentbutsmalleffectAtthelakescalewealsodidnotseeasignificantrelationshipbetweenspeciesrichnessand invasion though the parameter estimatewas positive (0028Table1)Thuswhilenon-significantthetrendfollowedtheoppositepatternwithhigherspeciesrichnessbeingassociatedwithagreaterpropensityforinvasionHoweverthispatternmaybelargelynoise
33emsp|emspCompetitive exclusion
Ouranalysesdidprovidesupport forcompetitiveexclusionofna-tivespeciesbyinvadersatthelocalscale(Table1)Basedonparam-eterestimatesof the linearmixedeffectsmodel species richnessdecreasedatinvadedsamplingpointsby002speciesperyear(afteraccounting for lake-to-lake differences Figure3b) while at unin-vadedpointsrichnessincreasedby008speciesperyearAtthelakescaletherewasnosignificantdifferenceinratesofrichnesschangebetweeninvadedanduninvadedlakesrichnesstendedtoincreaseinbothovertime(Table1)
34emsp|emspEnvironmental filtering
At the local scale both native and invasive species richness sig-nificantly varied with environmental conditions (Table1 analysesusing binomial GLMs based on invasive species presence gener-ally show the samedirectionality and significance patterns as theanalysesusinginvaderrichnessresultscanbeseeninTableS2andFiguresS1andS2inonlineSupportingInformation)Nativeandinva-sivespecieshadsignificantbutopposingrelationshipswithdepth(Figure4ab) native richness decreasedwith greater depth whileinvasive richness increased though less strongly Both native andinvasiverichnessincreasedwithwaterclarity(Figure4cd)butthis
relationshipwasmuchstrongerfornative(z=4017)thaninvasivespecies (z=3897) suggesting weaker light limitation in invadersAt the lake scale native richness increasedwithmean lake depthandmeanSecchidepth(Figure4eg) Invasiverichnessdidnotsig-nificantlydifferwitheitherparameter(Figure4fh)againsuggestingbroadertolerance
Analysingthelargersetofenvironmentalvariablesweidenti-fiedmanysignificantrelationshipsbetweenlake-levelenvironmen-tal parameters and species richness (Table1) but the significantvariables differed between native and invasive species All envi-ronmentalconditionsexceptNweresignificantpredictorsofnativerichness In contrast only pH and Secchi depthwere significantpredictorsofinvasiverichnessFurthermoredirectionalityofsomestrong predictors of richnesswere reversed between native andinvasive species For example native richness had a strong neg-ative relationshipwith Pwhile the patternwas positive (thoughnotsignificant)forinvasivespeciesTheoppositepatternwasseenforSecchidepth invasiverichnessdecreasedandnativerichnessincreasedwithgreaterclarityConductanceandchlorophylla were significant negative predictors of native richness and negativelycorrelated but not significant for invaders The generallyweakerresponses of invasive richness to environmental conditions sug-gest that invaders had broader environmental tolerances At thelakescalethesepatternsarepotentiallyconfoundedbythegeneralcorrelationofaveragedepthandlakesizeHoweverbothlakesizeandaveragedepth (asopposed todepthataparticular location)arelikelyproxiesforoverallhabitatvariabilitywhichinturndrivesincreasednativespeciesrichnessratherthanadirectinfluenceofaveragedepthorsizeThusthegeneralpatternofstrongerenvi-ronmentalconstraintsonnativespeciesthaninvadersexistsinde-pendentofwhetherlakesizeandaveragedepthareconfounded
35emsp|emspHeterogeneity
Within-lakeheterogeneity indepthandSecchidepthweresignifi-cantpositivepredictorsofnativerichness(Table1Figure5ac)buthadnoinfluenceoninvasiverichness(Table1Figure5bd)Thisfur-thersupportsthecontentionthatinvadershavelowersensitivitytoenvironmentalconditions
Analysis Scale Parameter Estimate SE Test statistic p- value Significant
Heterogeneityanalyses
NativerichnessmdashDepthheterogeneity
Lake Intercept 2189 0014 158807 lt001
Coefficient 0079 0006 13223 lt001
InvaderrichnessmdashDepthheterogeneity
Lake Intercept minus0510 0058 minus8739 lt001
Coefficient minus0017 0029 minus0576 565
NativerichnessmdashSecchidepthheterogeneity
Lake Intercept 2089 0013 155818 lt001
Coefficient 0311 0012 26725 lt001
InvaderrichnessmdashSecchidepthheterogeneity
Lake Intercept minus0561 0055 minus10152 lt001
Coefficient 0050 0058 0856 392
TABLE 1emsp (Continued)
emspensp emsp | emsp7Journal of EcologyMUTHUKRISHNAN eT Al
4emsp |emspDISCUSSION
Theaquaticplantcommunitieswestudiedshowedastrongnega-tive relationshipbetweennativeand invasivespecies richnessatlocal (point) scales but a positive relationship at regional (lake-wide) scales matching patterns observed in numerous systemsHowever when we evaluated mechanisms that could generatethesepatternswefoundvaryinglevelsofsupportindicatingthatnotallmechanismswereofequalimportanceSimilarlynomecha-nismdominatedandanygivenfactorexplainedonlyasmallamountof thepatternsobserved innativeand invasivespecies richnessIn contrast withmany terrestrial systems (Kennedy etal 2002LevineAdlerampYelenik2004Naeemetal2000)wefoundnoevidenceforlocal-scalebioticresistanceOurresultsalsoindicateastronginfluenceofenvironmentalconstraintsonlocal-scalerich-nesspatternscountertogeneralexpectationsthatenvironmental
filteringbecomesmoreimportantatbroaderspatialscales(Fridleyetal 2007) Our findings illustrate that similar NERR patternscanbeproducedbydifferentunderlyingmechanismsthatcanbedifficult todiscriminateThesealternativemechanismsmayhavevery different implications for conservation andmanagement ofaquatic plant communities underscoring the value of applying amechanistic lens to evaluating patterns of community structureanddiversity
41emsp|emspStrong opposing roles of environmental drivers on native and invasive species
ContrastingpatternsofnegativeNERRsatlocalscalesandpositiveNERRsatregionalscaleshavebeenseeninavarietyofsystemswesawsimilarpatternsinMinnesotaaquaticplantcommunitiesWhileitisrecognizedthatmultipleprocessescaninfluenceNERRsthere
F IGURE 2emspRelationshipbetweenrichnessofnativespeciesandinvasivespeciesidentifiedinindividualsamples(a)oraggregatedtothelakelevel(b)Pointsarejitteredalongthey-axistoincreasevisibilityofoverlappingpointsThesolidlinesindicatetheestimatedvalueanddashedlinesarethe95confidenceintervalfortheestimate
0 5 10 15Pointminuslevel native species richness
Inva
sive
spe
cies
rich
ness
01
23
0 10 20 30 40Lakeminuslevel native species richness
Inva
sive
spe
cies
rich
ness
01
23
(a) (b)
F IGURE 3emspBioticresistance(a)isindicatedbyanestimateoftheprobabilityofinvasionofindividualsamplinglocationsasafunctionofnativespeciesrichnessColouredlinesindicatethetrendsforindividuallakeswithpurplelinesindicatinglakeswhereinvasionriskdecreaseswithgreaternativespeciesrichness(indicatingbioticresistance)andgreenlinesindicatinghigherriskofinvasionThedashedportionsoflinesindicateestimatescalculatedfornativespeciesrichnessbeyondtherangewhereactualdatawereobservedThesolidblacklinesindicatetheoverallestimatesafteraccountingforautocorrelationwithinlakesandthedashedlinesindicatethe95confidenceintervalforthoseestimatesCompetitiveexclusion(b)isevaluatedbyacomparisonoftherateofchangeinnativespeciesrichnessbetweenlocationsthatareuninvadedacrossallsamplingtimepointsandthosewhereaninvaderispresentHeregreenlinesindicatelakeswithhighervaluesatinvadedpointswhilepurplelinesarelakeswithlowervaluesatinvadedsitesandtheblacklinesagainshowtheoverallestimateswitha95confidenceinterval
0 2 4 6 8 10 12
00
02
04
06
08
10
Native species richness
Pro
babi
lity
of in
vasi
on
(a)
Invader presence
Cha
nge
in s
peci
es ri
chne
ss p
er y
ear
minus3minus2
minus1minus
50
51
23
Uninvaded Invaded
(b)
8emsp |emsp emspenspJournal of Ecology MUTHUKRISHNAN eT Al
FIGURE 4emspRelationshipsbetweendepth(abef)orSecchidepth(cdgh) andtherichnessofnativespeciesandinvasivespeciesatindividualsamplinglocations(andashd)andaggregatedacrossentirelakes(endashh)Pointsarejitteredalongthey-axisforclarityandsolidanddashedlinesindicatethemeanand95confidenceintervaloftheestimatedvalue
0 5 10 15 20
05
1015
0 5 10 15 20
01
23
0 5 10 15 20
05
1015
0 5 10 15 20
01
23
0 5 10 15
010
2030
40
0 5 10 15
01
23
0 5 10 15
010
2030
40
0 5 10 15
01
23
Nat
ive
spec
ies
richn
ess
(a)
Inva
sive
spe
cies
rich
ness
(b)N
ativ
e sp
ecie
s ric
hnes
s
(c)In
vasi
ve s
peci
es ri
chne
ss(d)
Nat
ive
spec
ies
richn
ess
(e)
Inva
sive
spe
cies
rich
ness
(f)
Nat
ive
spec
ies
richn
ess
(g)
Inva
sive
spe
cies
rich
ness
(h)
Depth Depth
Secchi depth Secchi depth
Lake average depth Lake average depth
Lake average Secchi depth Lake average Secchi depth
emspensp emsp | emsp9Journal of EcologyMUTHUKRISHNAN eT Al
is a general expectation that biotic interactions dominate at localscalesbutaresupplantedbyabioticdeterminantsatbroaderscales(Fridleyetal2007)OurdatadonotsupportthispredictionRatherwefoundthatenvironmentalconditionswere relatively importantpredictorsof richnessat regionaland local scaleswhileeffectsofbiotic interactions were relatively weak However there was stillsubstantialunexplainedvariancethatmaybeinfluencedbyenviron-mentalfactorsnotconsideredaspartofthisstudyorbyalternativeecologicalmechanisms
Nativeandinvasivespeciesweresensitivetodifferentenviron-mentalfactorsinsomecasesevenshowingopposingresponsestothesameenvironmentalgradientsForexamplenativerichnesswasassociated with lower water depth and P while invasive richnesswas associatedwithgreaterdepth andPForwater clarity nativeandinvasivespeciesbothshowedpositiverelationshipsatthelocalscale but the relationshipwasweaker for invasive speciesThesedivergentpreferencessuggestthatnativeandinvasivespeciesoccu-piedsomewhatdifferentnichesSuchnichesegregationalonecouldproduceanegativeNERRwithoutbioticinteractionsbeinginvolved
ThepatternsweobservedindicatethatinvasivespeciesgainedanadvantageovernativespeciesundermoreeutrophicconditionsThis is presumably due to these species being better adapted toexploit higher resource availability and tolerate lower light levels(NicholsampShaw1986WooampZedler2002)Alternativelyitisalsopossible thatpoorwaterquality increasedwithgreaterhumanac-tivityandthathumanactivitywastheproximatecauseofgreaterinvasionratesviaincreasedtransmissionopportunities
Furthermorewhilegreaterenvironmentalheterogeneitywasassociatedwith increased richness of native speciesmdashconsistentwith a large body of ecological theory and literature (LarkinBrulandampZedler2016PickettampCadenasso1995)mdashtherewasno such response by invasive species This suggests that nativespecies were more specialized to depth and light niches withinlakes while invasive species occupied broader niches and werethus able to exploitmoremarginal habitatHowever our analy-seswere limited towater depth and Secchi depth it is possiblethat invadersmayhaveexhibitedgreater responsiveness tohet-erogeneity in other environmental factors Greater responsive-nesstoincreasedresourceavailabilityandbroaderenvironmentaltolerances appear to be attributes of successful invasive plantsin general (Davis Grime amp Thompson 2000 Zedler amp Kercher2004) and global drivers of change reinforce these advantages(ThompsonampDavis2011)Innorthernshallowlakesrecentfind-ings point to persistent anthropogenic shifts to more nutrient-rich turbidalternativestates (RamstackHobbsetal2016)Ourfindingssuggestthatthesechangeswillexacerbateaquaticplantinvasions
42emsp|emspInvasive species win biotic interactions Competitive exclusion but not biotic resistance
How new invasions affect native plant communities depends onbiotic interactions between resident native vegetation and invad-ing speciesWe analysed repeated surveys in the same locations
F IGURE 5emspRelationshipsbetweentheheterogeneityofdepthorSecchidepthinalakeandtherichnessofnativespecies(ac)andinvasivespecies(bd)Pointsarejitteredalongthey-axisforclarityandsolidanddashedlinesindicatethemeanand95confidenceintervaloftheestimatedvalue
0 2 4 6 8 10 12
010
2030
40
Lake depth SD
Nat
ive
spec
ies
richn
ess
0 2 4 6 8 10 12
Lake depth SD
Inva
sive
spe
cies
rich
ness
01
23
0 1 2 3 4
010
2030
40
Lake Secchi depth SD
Nat
ive
spec
ies
richn
ess
0 1 2 3 4
Lake Secchi depth SD
Inva
sive
spe
cies
rich
ness
01
23
(a) (b)
(c) (d)
10emsp |emsp emspenspJournal of Ecology MUTHUKRISHNAN eT Al
toinvestigatebioticinteractionsandfoundmixedsupportfortheirimportanceAftersampling locationswere invadednativespeciesrichness tended to decrease over timewhile uninvaded locationsgained species This supports the competitive exclusion hypoth-esisiethatinvadersreducelocal-scalediversitybydisplacingna-tive species In contrastwhenweevaluatedbiotic resistancewefoundnoevidencethatmore-diversesiteswerelesslikelytobesub-sequently invadedAcaveat is that invasionsarehighlystochasticprocessespunctuatedbyrelativelyfewinvasionevents(Macketal2000Simberloff2009)Furthermoreitisdifficulttoresurveypre-ciselocationsovermultipleyearsandimperfectdetectionmaycon-foundspeciesrsquopresenceabsencerecords(ChenKeacuteryPlattnerMaampGardner2013)ThesefactorscanresultinnoisydatasetsandassuchthelikelihoodoftypeIIerrors(falsenegatives)maybeparticu-larlyhighandtheabilitytodetectasignallowYetourabilitytostillidentifycompetitiveexclusiondespitesuchnoisesuggeststhatourgeneralapproachisvalidandthatbioticresistanceislikelyweakerorpotentiallyabsentinthissystemthoughitisdifficulttomakeadirectcomparisonofprocessstrengthsThuswhilewefoundevi-denceofinfluentialbioticinteractionsatthelocalscaleasexpected(Fridleyetal2007)wedidnotobservebioticresistancewhichisoftenconsideredtobethekeydriverforanegativeNERR(FargioneampTilman2005Levineetal2004) Insteadwefoundstatisticallysignificant evidence for competitive exclusionwhich is less oftencitedasadriverofnegativeNERRsThoughtheeffectsweobservedwererelativelymodestontheorderofonemorespeciesbeinglostper decade in invaded sites relative to uninvaded sites and therewashighvariabilitywithmany individualsitesand lakesexhibitingtheoppositepattern
Overtimebioticresistanceandcompetitiveexclusioncanpro-duce similar negativeNERR patterns Studies inwhich richness isexamined at only a single timepoint are inherently unable todis-criminate these twoprocessesYet the twomechanismshavedif-ferent implications for conservation and management A systemwithstrongbioticresistancewillberesilienttoinvasions(FargioneampTilman2005Naeemetal2000)andmanagingfordiversitycanminimizeriskButwherebioticresistanceisweakandcompetitiveexclusion likely uninvaded communities are vulnerable and biodi-versitywillnotreduceinvasionrisk
Thecombinationofbroaderenvironmentaltoleranceofinvasivespecies and the potential for competitive displacement of nativespeciesmayprovidean importantpathwayfor invasionBytakingadvantageofmarginal habitat fornative species invaders canes-tablishinnewareaswithoutfacingcompetitionOnceestablishedpropagule pressure can then promote spread into nearby habitatpreferredbynativespecies(LockwoodCasseyampBlackburn2005)Propagulepressurefromnearbysourceswill farexceedthatasso-ciatedwith rare long-distance dispersal events (Simberloff 2009)andcouldswampeffectsofbioticresistance(ThomsenDrsquoAntonioSuttleampSousa2006)This ldquoleapfroggingrdquoof invasiveplants frommarginal to preferred habitat has been demonstrated in invasionof EuropeanPhragmites australis inNorthAmericawhich spreadsacross the landscape via highway corridors and anthropogenic
habitat(LelongLavoieJodoinampBelzile2007TaddeoampDeBlois2012)providingpropagulesthatcantheninvadeintactnaturalwet-landsanddisplacenativespecies(FantPriceampLarkin2016PriceFantampLarkin2014)Theimportanceofenvironmentalconditionsin determining native and invasive species richness suggest thatmanagementofthosefactorsmaybeakeystrategyforlimitingin-vaderestablishment
At the larger spatial scale of whole lakes our findings morecloselymatchexpectationsfromothersystems(Daviesetal2005Fridleyetal2007LevineampDrsquoAntonio1999)Ourlake-scaleanal-yses showed no evidence of biotic resistance or competitive ex-clusion instead native and invasive species richness increased inconcert This is consistentwithNERRs not being driven by bioticinteractions at large spatial scales but instead broader environ-mental historical or biogeographic factors (Cavender-Bares etal2009Fridleyetal2007Ricklefs2004)Native species richnessincreasedwithenvironmentalheterogeneitywhichalignswiththeexpectationthattheinclusionofbroaderenvironmentalconditionsdrivesregional-scalediversitypatterns(Daviesetal2005Fridleyetal2007LevineampDrsquoAntonio1999)thoughwedidnotobservea similar pattern for invasive specieswith the environmental fac-torsweevaluatedNonethelessevenifinvasivespecieshavebroadenvironmentaltolerancesandarenotinfluencedbyheterogeneitystochasticprocessescouldstillleadtoincreasedinvaderrichnessatlargerspatialscalesresultinginapositiveNERR(FridleyBrownampBruno2004)
43emsp|emspIs biotic resistance ldquoall dryrdquo
Whileourresultsregardingtherelativeimportanceofbioticinterac-tions vs abiotic drivers run counter to previous findingsmdashparticu-larlywithrespecttotheabsenceofbioticresistancemdashthecauseofthat inconsistency remainsuncertain Itmaybepartlydue to fewstudies simultaneously investigating multiple alternative mecha-nismsofNERRs (but seeFargioneampTilman 2005) or topatternsbeingattributed tomechanisms thatarepresumed tobecommonbuthavenotbeenexplicitlytested
Itisalsopossiblethatthepreponderanceofdiversity-invasibilityresearch that comes from terrestrial systems biases expectationsStrong (1992) asked whether trophic cascades were ldquoall wetrdquo Isbiotic resistance ldquoall dryrdquo Nearly all evidence for local-scale bi-otic resistance comes from grassland or other terrestrial systems(FargioneampTilman2005Fridleyetal 2007 Levineetal 2004Naeemetal2000butseeStachowiczetal1999)Relativelylittleresearchhasbeenconductedinaquaticplantcommunitiesandsomepast findings have run counter to terrestrial expectations Capersetal(2007)foundnoevidenceofbioticresistanceinlakeplantcom-munitiesinthenortheasternUSInlakesacrosstheUSFlemingDibbleMadsen andWersal (2015) testedDarwinrsquos naturalizationhypothesisthatnichesbeingoccupiedbycloserelativeswouldrepelinvaderstheyfoundnoevidenceofsuchresistanceStroumlmJanssonandNilsson (2014) experimentally demonstrated a local-scale butpositiveNERRinborealwetlands
emspensp emsp | emsp11Journal of EcologyMUTHUKRISHNAN eT Al
Why would diversity-invasibility relationships differ betweenland and water There is some evidence that aquatic plant com-munities are more strongly structured by abiotic environmentalconstraints (Heino Soininen Alahuhta Lappalainen amp Virtanen2017 Santamariacutea 2002) Difficult environmental conditions inaquatic communities particularly at higher latitudes may imposesuch a strong filter on the macrophyte habitat species pool thatspeciesinteractionshavelimitedinfluenceoncommunityassembly(Santamariacutea2002)Similarpatternshavebeenobservedinaquaticinvertebratecommunities(MilnerBrittainCastellaampPetts2001PeckarskyHornampStatzner1990) suggesting that thismaybeacommonpatternforfreshwatersystemsIftherelativeimportanceof abiotic andbioticprocesses inNERRs systematically variesbe-tween terrestrial and aquatic systems then the limited researchperformedinthelattercouldbiasourgeneralunderstandingoftheecologicalmechanismscontributingtothesepatterns
44emsp|emspImplications for biodiversity conservation and invasive species management
Invasive species are one of the most important drivers of globalchangeandcandrasticallyrestructureecosystems(TylianakisDidhamBascompteampWardle2008VitousekDrsquoantonioLoopeRejmanekampWestbrooks1997WHMasonBastowWilsonampBSteel2007)Therelationshipbetweendiversity and compositionof native communi-ties and their invasibility has been a fundamental areaof inquiry inecologygoingbacktoElton(1958)andevenDarwin(Daehler2001)Understandingtheconditionsthatallowinvasivespeciestoestablishandthatmediatetheirimpactsremaincriticalissuesforconservationandmanagement(Byersetal2002Macketal2000)Studyingtherelationshipbetweendiversityofnativespeciesandinvasivespeciescanofferimportantinsightsintothesequestionsbyhelpingtoidentifythefactorsthatsupportordeter invasions Inparticular the ideaofbioticresistancesuggestsaldquovirtuouscyclerdquowhereineffortstosupportbiodiversityalsohelprepel invasionsHoweverthepatternsweob-servedsuggestthatwatershedmanagementtosupportwaterqualitymaybeamoreeffectivemeansofmitigatinginvasionsandtheirim-pactsNonethelessitisclearthatdiversity-invasibilitypatternscanbedrivenbymultiplemechanismsand recognizing thecontext-specificimportance of these differentmechanisms can help refinemanage-mentstrategies
Our analysis of alternativemechanisms underlyingNERRs inshallow lakes reveals several concerning trends (1)environmen-tal conditions consistent with broad patterns of anthropogenicchangebenefitinvasivespecies(2)lakeswithhigherbiodiversityvaluearemorelikelytobecomeinvadedand(3)bioticinteractionsrepresentedaldquobadnews-badnewsrdquoscenariowhereinlocal-scalediversitydoesnotconferresistancetoinvasionbutinvasiondoesreduce local-scale diversity via competitive exclusion Howeverour results do support continued effort towards establishedstrategies for invasive speciesmanagement Specifically effortstomaintainor improve lakecondition reducespreadof invasivespecies and restore diverse plant assemblageswhere they have
beenlostareneededtoslowtheerosionofnativeplantdiversityintheseimportantecosystems
ACKNOWLEDG EMENTS
FundingforthisprojectwasprovidedthroughtheMinnesotaAquaticInvasive Species ResearchCenter from theMinnesota Environmentand Natural Resources Trust Fund We thank A Geisen and theShallowLakesProgramstafffortheirextensiveeffortscollectingandorganizing fielddata (whichwassupportedby theMinnesotaGameandFish fundMinnesotaEnvironmentandNaturalResourcesTrustFundandtheOutdoorHeritageFund)andWGlissonMVerhoeven CWagnerandRNewmanforinputonthemanuscriptTheauthorsdeclarenoconflictsofinterest
AUTHORSrsquo CONTRIBUTIONS
NH-W managed data collection RM and DJL designed thestudyandanalysesRManalysedthedataandwrotetheinitialdraftofthemanuscriptAllauthorsparticipatedindatainterpretationandrevisingthemanuscript
DATA ACCE SSIBILIT Y
MacrophytecommunitydataenvironmentaldataandanalysisscriptsforthisstudyareavailablefromtheDryadDigitalRepositoryhttpsdoiorg105061dryad19cf1c2 (Muthukrishnan Hansel-Welch ampLarkin2018)
ORCID
Ranjan Muthukrishnan httporcidorg0000-0002-7001-6249
R E FE R E N C E S
BatesDMaumlchlerMBolkerBampWalkerS(2015)Fittinglinearmixed-effectsmodelsusinglme4Journal of Statistical Software671ndash48
BellardCCasseyPampBlackburnTM(2016)Alienspeciesasadriverof recent extinctions Biology Letters 12 20150623 httpsdoiorg101098rsbl20150623
BeloteRTJonesRHHoodSMampWenderBW(2008)DiversityndashinvasibilityacrossanexperimentaldisturbancegradientinAppalachianforestsEcology89183ndash192httpsdoiorg10189007-02701
ByersJEReichardSRandallJMParkerIMSmithCSLonsdaleW M hellip Hayes D (2002) Directing research to reduce the im-pactsofnonindigenousspeciesConservation Biology16630ndash640httpsdoiorg101046j1523-1739200201057x
Capers R S Selsky R BugbeeG J ampWhite J C (2007) Aquaticplantcommunityinvasibilityandscale-dependentpatternsinnativeand invasive species richnessEcology88 3135ndash3143 httpsdoiorg10189006-19111
CasasGScrosatiRampLuzPirizM(2004)TheinvasivekelpUndaria pinnatifida (Phaeophyceae Laminariales) reduces native seaweeddiversityinnuevogulf(PatagoniaArgentina)Biological Invasions6411ndash416httpsdoiorg101023BBINV00000415552930541
Cavender-Bares J Kozak K H Fine P V A amp Kembel S W(2009) The merging of community ecology and phylogenetic
12emsp |emsp emspenspJournal of Ecology MUTHUKRISHNAN eT Al
biology Ecology Letters 12 693ndash715 httpsdoiorg101111 j1461-0248200901314x
ChenGKeacuteryMPlattnerMMaKampGardnerB(2013)Imperfectdetection is the rule rather than the exception in plant distri-bution studies Journal of Ecology 101 183ndash191 httpsdoiorg1011111365-274512021
Chesson P (2000) General theory of competitive coexistence inspatially-varying environments Theoretical Population Biology 58211ndash237httpsdoiorg101006tpbi20001486
ClelandEESmithMDAndelmanSJBowlesCCarneyKMClaireHorner-DevineMhellipVandermastDB(2004)InvasioninspaceandtimeNon-nativespeciesrichnessandrelativeabundancerespondtointerannualvariationinproductivityanddiversityEcology Letters7947ndash957httpsdoiorg101111j1461-0248200400655x
DaehlerCC (2001)DarwinrsquosnaturalizationhypothesisrevisitedThe American Naturalist158324ndash330httpsdoiorg101086321316
DaviesKFChessonPHarrisonS InouyeBDMelbourneBAampRiceKJ(2005)Spatialheterogeneityexplainsthescaledepen-denceofthenativendashexoticdiversityrelationshipEcology861602ndash1610httpsdoiorg10189004-1196
DaviesKFHarrisonSSaffordHDampViersJH(2007)ProductivityaltersthescaledependenceofthediversityndashinvasibilityrelationshipEcology881940ndash1947httpsdoiorg10189006-19071
DavisMAGrimeJPampThompsonK(2000)FluctuatingresourcesinplantcommunitiesAgeneraltheoryofinvasibilityJournal of Ecology88528ndash534httpsdoiorg101046j1365-2745200000473x
Elton C S (1958) The ecology of invasions by animals and plants Chicago IL University of Chicago Press httpsdoiorg101007 978-1-4899-7214-9
Fant JBPriceA LampLarkinD J (2016)The influenceofhabitatdisturbanceongeneticstructureandreproductivestrategieswithinstandsofnativeandnon-nativePhragmites australis(commonreed)Diversity and Distributions221301ndash1313httpsdoiorg101111ddi12492
FargioneJEampTilmanD(2005)DiversitydecreasesinvasionviabothsamplingandcomplementarityeffectsEcology Letters8604ndash611httpsdoiorg101111j1461-0248200500753x
Fleming J P Dibble E D Madsen J D amp Wersal R M (2015)InvestigationofDarwinrsquosnaturalizationhypothesisininvadedmac-rophyte communities Biological Invasions 17 1519ndash1531 httpsdoiorg101007s10530-014-0812-0
Fridley JDBrownR LampBruno J F (2004)Nullmodels of ex-otic invasion and scale-dependent patterns of native and ex-otic species richness Ecology 85 3215ndash3222 httpsdoiorg10189003-0676
Fridley J D Stachowicz J J Naeem S Sax D F SeabloomE W Smith M D hellip Von Holle B (2007) The invasion par-adox Reconciling pattern and process in species invasionsEcology 88 3ndash17 httpsdoiorg1018900012-9658(2007)88 [3TIPRPA]20CO2
HalekohUampHoslashjsgaardS(2014)AKenward-RogerapproximationandparametricbootstrapmethodsfortestsinlinearmixedmodelsndashTheRPackagepbkrtestJournal of Statistical Software591ndash32
HeinoJSoininenJAlahuhtaJLappalainenJampVirtanenR(2017)MetacommunityecologymeetsbiogeographyEffectsofgeograph-icalregionspatialdynamicsandenvironmentalfilteringoncommu-nitystructureinaquaticorganismsOecologia183121ndash137httpsdoiorg101007s00442-016-3750-y
HenrikssonAWardleDATryggJDiehlSampEnglundG(2016)Strong invaders are strong defenders ndash Implications for the resis-tanceofinvadedcommunitiesEcology Letters19487ndash494httpsdoiorg101111ele12586
HustonMA(1999)LocalprocessesandregionalpatternsAppropriatescalesforunderstandingvariationinthediversityofplantsandani-malsOikos86393ndash401httpsdoiorg1023073546645
Kennedy T A Naeem S Howe KM Knops JM H Tilman DampReich P (2002) Biodiversity as a barrier to ecological invasionNature417636ndash638httpsdoiorg101038nature00776
LarkinDJBrulandGLampZedlerJB(2016)HeterogeneitytheoryandecologicalrestorationInMAPalmerJBZedlerampDAFalk(Eds)Foundations of restoration ecology(pp271ndash300)WashingtonDCIslandPresshttpsdoiorg105822978-1-61091-698-1
LelongBLavoieCJodoinYampBelzileF(2007)Expansionpathwaysoftheexoticcommonreed(Phragmites australis)Ahistoricalandge-netic analysisDiversity and Distributions13 430ndash437 httpsdoiorg101111j1472-4642200700351x
LevineJM(2000)SpeciesdiversityandbiologicalinvasionsRelatinglocalprocesstocommunitypatternScience288852ndash854httpsdoiorg101126science2885467852
LevineJMAdlerPBampYelenikSG(2004)Ameta-analysisofbi-oticresistancetoexoticplantinvasionsEcology Letters7975ndash989httpsdoiorg101111j1461-0248200400657x
LevineJMampDrsquoAntonioCM(1999)EltonrevisitedAreviewofevi-dencelinkingdiversityandinvasibilityOikos8715ndash26httpsdoiorg1023073546992
Lockwood J LCasseyPampBlackburnT (2005)The roleofpropa-gulepressure inexplainingspecies invasionsTrends in Ecology and Evolution20223ndash228httpsdoiorg101016jtree200502004
MackRNSimberloffDLonsdaleWMEvansHCloutMampBazzazF A (2000) Biotic invasions Causes epidemiology global conse-quences and controlEcological Applications10 689ndash710 httpsdoiorg1018901051-0761(2000)010[0689BICEGC]20CO2
Milburn S A BourdaghsM ampHusveth J J (2007)Floristic quality assessment for minnesota wetlandsStPaulMNMinnesotaPollutionControlAgency
Millennium Ecosystem Assessment (2005) Ecosystems and human well-being SynthesisWashingtonDCIslandPress
MilnerAMBrittainJ ECastella EampPettsGE (2001)Trendsofmacroinvertebratecommunitystructureinglacier-fedriversinrelationtoenvironmentalconditionsAsynthesisFreshwater Biology461833ndash1847httpsdoiorg101046j1365-2427200100861x
MuthukrishnanRHansel-WelchNampLarkinDJ(2018)DatafromEnvironmentalfilteringandcompetitiveexclusiondrivebiodiversity-invasibility relationships in shallow lake plant communitiesDryad Digital Repositoryhttpsdoiorg105061dryad19cf1c2
NaeemSKnopsJMHTilmanDHoweKMKennedyTampGaleS(2000)Plantdiversityincreasesresistancetoinvasionintheab-senceofcovaryingextrinsicfactorsOikos9197ndash108httpsdoiorg101034j1600-07062000910108x
NicholsSAampShawBH(1986)Ecologicallifehistoriesofthethreeaquatic nuisance plantsMyriophyllum spicatum Potamogeton cris-pus and Elodea canadensis Hydrobiologia 131 3ndash21 httpsdoiorg101007BF00008319
Olmanson L G Bauer M E amp Brezonik P L (2008) A 20-yearLandsatwater clarity census ofMinnesotarsquos 10000 lakesRemote Sensing of Environment 112 4086ndash4097 httpsdoiorg101016 jrse200712013
OlmansonLGBrezonikPLampBauerME (2014)Geospatialandtemporalanalysisofa20-yearrecordofLandsat-basedwaterclar-ity in Minnesotarsquos 10000 Lakes JAWRA Journal of the American Water Resources Association50 748ndash761 httpsdoiorg101111jawr12138
PaavolaM Olenin S amp Leppaumlkoski E (2005) Are invasive speciesmost successful in habitats of low native species richness acrossEuropeanbrackishwater seasEstuarine Coastal and Shelf Science64738ndash750httpsdoiorg101016jecss200503021
Peckarsky B L Horn S C amp Statzner B (1990) Stonefly preda-tion along a hydraulic gradient A field test of the harshmdashbe-nign hypothesis Freshwater Biology 24 181ndash191 httpsdoiorg101111j1365-24271990tb00317x
emspensp emsp | emsp13Journal of EcologyMUTHUKRISHNAN eT Al
PickettSTAampCadenassoML(1995)LandscapeecologySpatialheterogeneityinecologicalsystemsScience269331ndash333httpsdoiorg101126science2695222331
PriceALFantJBampLarkinDJ(2014)Ecologyofnativevsintro-duced Phragmites australis(commonreed)inChicago-areawetlandsWetlands34369ndash377httpsdoiorg101007s13157-013-0504-z
RCoreTeam(2014)R A language and environment for statistical comput-ingViennaAustriaRFoundationforStatisticalComputing
Ramstack Hobbs J M HobbsW O Edlund M B Zimmer K DTheissenKMHoidalNhellipCotnerJB(2016)ThelegacyoflargeregimeshiftsinshallowlakesEcological Applications262662ndash2676httpsdoiorg101002eap1382
RichardsCLBossdorfOMuthNZGurevitch JampPigliucciM(2006)JackofalltradesmasterofsomeOntheroleofphenotypicplasticityinplantinvasionsEcology Letters9981ndash993httpsdoiorg101111j1461-0248200600950x
Ricklefs R E (2004) A comprehensive framework for global pat-terns in biodiversity Ecology Letters 7 1ndash15 httpsdoiorg101046j1461-0248200300554x
SantamariacuteaL(2002)WhyaremostaquaticplantswidelydistributedDispersalclonalgrowthandsmall-scaleheterogeneityinastressfulenvironmentActa Oecologica23137ndash154httpsdoiorg101016S1146-609X(02)01146-3
SimberloffD(2009)Theroleofpropagulepressureinbiologicalinva-sionsAnnual Review of Ecology Evolution and Systematics40 81ndash102httpsdoiorg101146annurevecolsys110308120304
SimberloffDampVonHolleB(1999)Positiveinteractionsofnonindig-enous species InvasionalmeltdownBiological Invasions1 21ndash32httpsdoiorg101023A1010086329619
Stachowicz J JWhitlatch R BampOsman RW (1999) Species di-versityandinvasionresistanceinamarineecosystemScience2861577ndashLP-1579httpsdoiorg101126science28654441577
StohlgrenTJBinkleyDChongGWKalkhanMASchellLDBullKAhellipSonY(1999)ExoticplantspeciesinvadehotspotsofnativeplantdiversityEcological Monographs6925ndash46httpsdoiorg1018900012-9615(1999)069[0025EPSIHS]20CO2
Stroumlm L Jansson R ampNilsson C (2014) Invasibility of borealwet-landplantcommunitiesJournal of Vegetation Science251078ndash1089httpsdoiorg101111jvs12157
StrongDR (1992)Are trophic cascadesallwetDifferentiationanddonor-controlinspecioseecosystemsEcology73747ndash754httpsdoiorg1023071940154
Taddeo S amp De Blois S (2012) Coexistence of introduced and na-tive common reed (Phragmites australis) in freshwater wetlandsEcoscience1999ndash105httpsdoiorg10298019-2-3468
ThompsonKampDavisMA(2011)WhyresearchontraitsofinvasiveplantstellsusverylittleTrends in Ecology amp Evolution26155ndash156httpsdoiorg101016jtree201101007
ThomsenMADrsquoAntonioCMSuttleKBampSousaWP (2006)EcologicalresistanceseeddensityandtheirinteractionsdeterminepatternsofinvasioninaCaliforniacoastalgrasslandEcology Letters9160ndash170httpsdoiorg101111j1461-0248200500857x
Tilman D (2004) Niche tradeoffs neutrality and community struc-ture A stochastic theory of resource competition invasion and
communityassemblyProceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America 101 10854ndash10861 httpsdoiorg101073pnas0403458101
Tylianakis J M Didham R K Bascompte J amp Wardle D A(2008) Global change and species interactions in terres-trial ecosystems Ecology Letters 11 1351ndash1363 httpsdoiorg101111j1461-0248200801250x
USDA N (2016) The PLANTS Database Retrived from httpplantsusdagov
VazquezDP(2006)ExploringtherelationshipbetweennichebreadthandinvasionsuccessInMWCadotteSMMcmahonampTFukami(Eds)Conceptual ecology and invasion biology Reciprocal approaches to nature (pp307ndash322)DordrechtNetherlandsSpringerhttpsdoiorg1010071-4020-4925-0
Vitousek P M Drsquoantonio C M Loope L L Rejmanek M ampWestbrooksR(1997)IntroducedspeciesAsignificantcomponentofhuman-causedglobalchangeNew Zealand Journal of Ecology211ndash16
WHMasonNBastowWilsonJampBSteelJ(2007)Arealternativestable states more likely in high stress environments Logic andavailable evidencedonot supportDidhamet al 2005Oikos116353ndash357httpsdoiorg101111j0030-1299200715283x
Wardle D A (2001) Experimental demonstration that plant diver-sity reduces invasibilityndashEvidenceof abiologicalmechanismor aconsequence of sampling effect Oikos 95 161ndash170 httpsdoiorg101034j1600-07062001950119x
Woo I amp Zedler J B (2002) Can nutrients alone shift a sedgemeadow towards dominance by the invasive Typha times glaucaWetlands 22 509ndash521 httpsdoiorg1016720277-5212(2002) 022[0509CNASAS]20CO2
YurkonisKAMeinersSJampWachholderBE(2005)Invasionimpactsdiversity through altered community dynamics Journal of Ecology931053ndash1061httpsdoiorg101111j1365-2745200501029x
Zedler J B amp Kercher S (2004) Causes and consequences of in-vasive plants in wetlands Opportunities opportunists and out-comes Critical Reviews in Plant Sciences 23 431ndash452 httpsdoiorg10108007352680490514673
SUPPORTING INFORMATION
Additional Supporting Information may be found online in thesupportinginformationtabforthisarticle
How to cite this articleMuthukrishnanRHansel-WelchNLarkinDJEnvironmentalfilteringandcompetitiveexclusiondrivebiodiversity-invasibilityrelationshipsinshallowlakeplantcommunitiesJ Ecol 2018001ndash13 httpsdoiorg1011111365-274512963
emspensp emsp | emsp7Journal of EcologyMUTHUKRISHNAN eT Al
4emsp |emspDISCUSSION
Theaquaticplantcommunitieswestudiedshowedastrongnega-tive relationshipbetweennativeand invasivespecies richnessatlocal (point) scales but a positive relationship at regional (lake-wide) scales matching patterns observed in numerous systemsHowever when we evaluated mechanisms that could generatethesepatternswefoundvaryinglevelsofsupportindicatingthatnotallmechanismswereofequalimportanceSimilarlynomecha-nismdominatedandanygivenfactorexplainedonlyasmallamountof thepatternsobserved innativeand invasivespecies richnessIn contrast withmany terrestrial systems (Kennedy etal 2002LevineAdlerampYelenik2004Naeemetal2000)wefoundnoevidenceforlocal-scalebioticresistanceOurresultsalsoindicateastronginfluenceofenvironmentalconstraintsonlocal-scalerich-nesspatternscountertogeneralexpectationsthatenvironmental
filteringbecomesmoreimportantatbroaderspatialscales(Fridleyetal 2007) Our findings illustrate that similar NERR patternscanbeproducedbydifferentunderlyingmechanismsthatcanbedifficult todiscriminateThesealternativemechanismsmayhavevery different implications for conservation andmanagement ofaquatic plant communities underscoring the value of applying amechanistic lens to evaluating patterns of community structureanddiversity
41emsp|emspStrong opposing roles of environmental drivers on native and invasive species
ContrastingpatternsofnegativeNERRsatlocalscalesandpositiveNERRsatregionalscaleshavebeenseeninavarietyofsystemswesawsimilarpatternsinMinnesotaaquaticplantcommunitiesWhileitisrecognizedthatmultipleprocessescaninfluenceNERRsthere
F IGURE 2emspRelationshipbetweenrichnessofnativespeciesandinvasivespeciesidentifiedinindividualsamples(a)oraggregatedtothelakelevel(b)Pointsarejitteredalongthey-axistoincreasevisibilityofoverlappingpointsThesolidlinesindicatetheestimatedvalueanddashedlinesarethe95confidenceintervalfortheestimate
0 5 10 15Pointminuslevel native species richness
Inva
sive
spe
cies
rich
ness
01
23
0 10 20 30 40Lakeminuslevel native species richness
Inva
sive
spe
cies
rich
ness
01
23
(a) (b)
F IGURE 3emspBioticresistance(a)isindicatedbyanestimateoftheprobabilityofinvasionofindividualsamplinglocationsasafunctionofnativespeciesrichnessColouredlinesindicatethetrendsforindividuallakeswithpurplelinesindicatinglakeswhereinvasionriskdecreaseswithgreaternativespeciesrichness(indicatingbioticresistance)andgreenlinesindicatinghigherriskofinvasionThedashedportionsoflinesindicateestimatescalculatedfornativespeciesrichnessbeyondtherangewhereactualdatawereobservedThesolidblacklinesindicatetheoverallestimatesafteraccountingforautocorrelationwithinlakesandthedashedlinesindicatethe95confidenceintervalforthoseestimatesCompetitiveexclusion(b)isevaluatedbyacomparisonoftherateofchangeinnativespeciesrichnessbetweenlocationsthatareuninvadedacrossallsamplingtimepointsandthosewhereaninvaderispresentHeregreenlinesindicatelakeswithhighervaluesatinvadedpointswhilepurplelinesarelakeswithlowervaluesatinvadedsitesandtheblacklinesagainshowtheoverallestimateswitha95confidenceinterval
0 2 4 6 8 10 12
00
02
04
06
08
10
Native species richness
Pro
babi
lity
of in
vasi
on
(a)
Invader presence
Cha
nge
in s
peci
es ri
chne
ss p
er y
ear
minus3minus2
minus1minus
50
51
23
Uninvaded Invaded
(b)
8emsp |emsp emspenspJournal of Ecology MUTHUKRISHNAN eT Al
FIGURE 4emspRelationshipsbetweendepth(abef)orSecchidepth(cdgh) andtherichnessofnativespeciesandinvasivespeciesatindividualsamplinglocations(andashd)andaggregatedacrossentirelakes(endashh)Pointsarejitteredalongthey-axisforclarityandsolidanddashedlinesindicatethemeanand95confidenceintervaloftheestimatedvalue
0 5 10 15 20
05
1015
0 5 10 15 20
01
23
0 5 10 15 20
05
1015
0 5 10 15 20
01
23
0 5 10 15
010
2030
40
0 5 10 15
01
23
0 5 10 15
010
2030
40
0 5 10 15
01
23
Nat
ive
spec
ies
richn
ess
(a)
Inva
sive
spe
cies
rich
ness
(b)N
ativ
e sp
ecie
s ric
hnes
s
(c)In
vasi
ve s
peci
es ri
chne
ss(d)
Nat
ive
spec
ies
richn
ess
(e)
Inva
sive
spe
cies
rich
ness
(f)
Nat
ive
spec
ies
richn
ess
(g)
Inva
sive
spe
cies
rich
ness
(h)
Depth Depth
Secchi depth Secchi depth
Lake average depth Lake average depth
Lake average Secchi depth Lake average Secchi depth
emspensp emsp | emsp9Journal of EcologyMUTHUKRISHNAN eT Al
is a general expectation that biotic interactions dominate at localscalesbutaresupplantedbyabioticdeterminantsatbroaderscales(Fridleyetal2007)OurdatadonotsupportthispredictionRatherwefoundthatenvironmentalconditionswere relatively importantpredictorsof richnessat regionaland local scaleswhileeffectsofbiotic interactions were relatively weak However there was stillsubstantialunexplainedvariancethatmaybeinfluencedbyenviron-mentalfactorsnotconsideredaspartofthisstudyorbyalternativeecologicalmechanisms
Nativeandinvasivespeciesweresensitivetodifferentenviron-mentalfactorsinsomecasesevenshowingopposingresponsestothesameenvironmentalgradientsForexamplenativerichnesswasassociated with lower water depth and P while invasive richnesswas associatedwithgreaterdepth andPForwater clarity nativeandinvasivespeciesbothshowedpositiverelationshipsatthelocalscale but the relationshipwasweaker for invasive speciesThesedivergentpreferencessuggestthatnativeandinvasivespeciesoccu-piedsomewhatdifferentnichesSuchnichesegregationalonecouldproduceanegativeNERRwithoutbioticinteractionsbeinginvolved
ThepatternsweobservedindicatethatinvasivespeciesgainedanadvantageovernativespeciesundermoreeutrophicconditionsThis is presumably due to these species being better adapted toexploit higher resource availability and tolerate lower light levels(NicholsampShaw1986WooampZedler2002)Alternativelyitisalsopossible thatpoorwaterquality increasedwithgreaterhumanac-tivityandthathumanactivitywastheproximatecauseofgreaterinvasionratesviaincreasedtransmissionopportunities
Furthermorewhilegreaterenvironmentalheterogeneitywasassociatedwith increased richness of native speciesmdashconsistentwith a large body of ecological theory and literature (LarkinBrulandampZedler2016PickettampCadenasso1995)mdashtherewasno such response by invasive species This suggests that nativespecies were more specialized to depth and light niches withinlakes while invasive species occupied broader niches and werethus able to exploitmoremarginal habitatHowever our analy-seswere limited towater depth and Secchi depth it is possiblethat invadersmayhaveexhibitedgreater responsiveness tohet-erogeneity in other environmental factors Greater responsive-nesstoincreasedresourceavailabilityandbroaderenvironmentaltolerances appear to be attributes of successful invasive plantsin general (Davis Grime amp Thompson 2000 Zedler amp Kercher2004) and global drivers of change reinforce these advantages(ThompsonampDavis2011)Innorthernshallowlakesrecentfind-ings point to persistent anthropogenic shifts to more nutrient-rich turbidalternativestates (RamstackHobbsetal2016)Ourfindingssuggestthatthesechangeswillexacerbateaquaticplantinvasions
42emsp|emspInvasive species win biotic interactions Competitive exclusion but not biotic resistance
How new invasions affect native plant communities depends onbiotic interactions between resident native vegetation and invad-ing speciesWe analysed repeated surveys in the same locations
F IGURE 5emspRelationshipsbetweentheheterogeneityofdepthorSecchidepthinalakeandtherichnessofnativespecies(ac)andinvasivespecies(bd)Pointsarejitteredalongthey-axisforclarityandsolidanddashedlinesindicatethemeanand95confidenceintervaloftheestimatedvalue
0 2 4 6 8 10 12
010
2030
40
Lake depth SD
Nat
ive
spec
ies
richn
ess
0 2 4 6 8 10 12
Lake depth SD
Inva
sive
spe
cies
rich
ness
01
23
0 1 2 3 4
010
2030
40
Lake Secchi depth SD
Nat
ive
spec
ies
richn
ess
0 1 2 3 4
Lake Secchi depth SD
Inva
sive
spe
cies
rich
ness
01
23
(a) (b)
(c) (d)
10emsp |emsp emspenspJournal of Ecology MUTHUKRISHNAN eT Al
toinvestigatebioticinteractionsandfoundmixedsupportfortheirimportanceAftersampling locationswere invadednativespeciesrichness tended to decrease over timewhile uninvaded locationsgained species This supports the competitive exclusion hypoth-esisiethatinvadersreducelocal-scalediversitybydisplacingna-tive species In contrastwhenweevaluatedbiotic resistancewefoundnoevidencethatmore-diversesiteswerelesslikelytobesub-sequently invadedAcaveat is that invasionsarehighlystochasticprocessespunctuatedbyrelativelyfewinvasionevents(Macketal2000Simberloff2009)Furthermoreitisdifficulttoresurveypre-ciselocationsovermultipleyearsandimperfectdetectionmaycon-foundspeciesrsquopresenceabsencerecords(ChenKeacuteryPlattnerMaampGardner2013)ThesefactorscanresultinnoisydatasetsandassuchthelikelihoodoftypeIIerrors(falsenegatives)maybeparticu-larlyhighandtheabilitytodetectasignallowYetourabilitytostillidentifycompetitiveexclusiondespitesuchnoisesuggeststhatourgeneralapproachisvalidandthatbioticresistanceislikelyweakerorpotentiallyabsentinthissystemthoughitisdifficulttomakeadirectcomparisonofprocessstrengthsThuswhilewefoundevi-denceofinfluentialbioticinteractionsatthelocalscaleasexpected(Fridleyetal2007)wedidnotobservebioticresistancewhichisoftenconsideredtobethekeydriverforanegativeNERR(FargioneampTilman2005Levineetal2004) Insteadwefoundstatisticallysignificant evidence for competitive exclusionwhich is less oftencitedasadriverofnegativeNERRsThoughtheeffectsweobservedwererelativelymodestontheorderofonemorespeciesbeinglostper decade in invaded sites relative to uninvaded sites and therewashighvariabilitywithmany individualsitesand lakesexhibitingtheoppositepattern
Overtimebioticresistanceandcompetitiveexclusioncanpro-duce similar negativeNERR patterns Studies inwhich richness isexamined at only a single timepoint are inherently unable todis-criminate these twoprocessesYet the twomechanismshavedif-ferent implications for conservation and management A systemwithstrongbioticresistancewillberesilienttoinvasions(FargioneampTilman2005Naeemetal2000)andmanagingfordiversitycanminimizeriskButwherebioticresistanceisweakandcompetitiveexclusion likely uninvaded communities are vulnerable and biodi-versitywillnotreduceinvasionrisk
Thecombinationofbroaderenvironmentaltoleranceofinvasivespecies and the potential for competitive displacement of nativespeciesmayprovidean importantpathwayfor invasionBytakingadvantageofmarginal habitat fornative species invaders canes-tablishinnewareaswithoutfacingcompetitionOnceestablishedpropagule pressure can then promote spread into nearby habitatpreferredbynativespecies(LockwoodCasseyampBlackburn2005)Propagulepressurefromnearbysourceswill farexceedthatasso-ciatedwith rare long-distance dispersal events (Simberloff 2009)andcouldswampeffectsofbioticresistance(ThomsenDrsquoAntonioSuttleampSousa2006)This ldquoleapfroggingrdquoof invasiveplants frommarginal to preferred habitat has been demonstrated in invasionof EuropeanPhragmites australis inNorthAmericawhich spreadsacross the landscape via highway corridors and anthropogenic
habitat(LelongLavoieJodoinampBelzile2007TaddeoampDeBlois2012)providingpropagulesthatcantheninvadeintactnaturalwet-landsanddisplacenativespecies(FantPriceampLarkin2016PriceFantampLarkin2014)Theimportanceofenvironmentalconditionsin determining native and invasive species richness suggest thatmanagementofthosefactorsmaybeakeystrategyforlimitingin-vaderestablishment
At the larger spatial scale of whole lakes our findings morecloselymatchexpectationsfromothersystems(Daviesetal2005Fridleyetal2007LevineampDrsquoAntonio1999)Ourlake-scaleanal-yses showed no evidence of biotic resistance or competitive ex-clusion instead native and invasive species richness increased inconcert This is consistentwithNERRs not being driven by bioticinteractions at large spatial scales but instead broader environ-mental historical or biogeographic factors (Cavender-Bares etal2009Fridleyetal2007Ricklefs2004)Native species richnessincreasedwithenvironmentalheterogeneitywhichalignswiththeexpectationthattheinclusionofbroaderenvironmentalconditionsdrivesregional-scalediversitypatterns(Daviesetal2005Fridleyetal2007LevineampDrsquoAntonio1999)thoughwedidnotobservea similar pattern for invasive specieswith the environmental fac-torsweevaluatedNonethelessevenifinvasivespecieshavebroadenvironmentaltolerancesandarenotinfluencedbyheterogeneitystochasticprocessescouldstillleadtoincreasedinvaderrichnessatlargerspatialscalesresultinginapositiveNERR(FridleyBrownampBruno2004)
43emsp|emspIs biotic resistance ldquoall dryrdquo
Whileourresultsregardingtherelativeimportanceofbioticinterac-tions vs abiotic drivers run counter to previous findingsmdashparticu-larlywithrespecttotheabsenceofbioticresistancemdashthecauseofthat inconsistency remainsuncertain Itmaybepartlydue to fewstudies simultaneously investigating multiple alternative mecha-nismsofNERRs (but seeFargioneampTilman 2005) or topatternsbeingattributed tomechanisms thatarepresumed tobecommonbuthavenotbeenexplicitlytested
Itisalsopossiblethatthepreponderanceofdiversity-invasibilityresearch that comes from terrestrial systems biases expectationsStrong (1992) asked whether trophic cascades were ldquoall wetrdquo Isbiotic resistance ldquoall dryrdquo Nearly all evidence for local-scale bi-otic resistance comes from grassland or other terrestrial systems(FargioneampTilman2005Fridleyetal 2007 Levineetal 2004Naeemetal2000butseeStachowiczetal1999)Relativelylittleresearchhasbeenconductedinaquaticplantcommunitiesandsomepast findings have run counter to terrestrial expectations Capersetal(2007)foundnoevidenceofbioticresistanceinlakeplantcom-munitiesinthenortheasternUSInlakesacrosstheUSFlemingDibbleMadsen andWersal (2015) testedDarwinrsquos naturalizationhypothesisthatnichesbeingoccupiedbycloserelativeswouldrepelinvaderstheyfoundnoevidenceofsuchresistanceStroumlmJanssonandNilsson (2014) experimentally demonstrated a local-scale butpositiveNERRinborealwetlands
emspensp emsp | emsp11Journal of EcologyMUTHUKRISHNAN eT Al
Why would diversity-invasibility relationships differ betweenland and water There is some evidence that aquatic plant com-munities are more strongly structured by abiotic environmentalconstraints (Heino Soininen Alahuhta Lappalainen amp Virtanen2017 Santamariacutea 2002) Difficult environmental conditions inaquatic communities particularly at higher latitudes may imposesuch a strong filter on the macrophyte habitat species pool thatspeciesinteractionshavelimitedinfluenceoncommunityassembly(Santamariacutea2002)Similarpatternshavebeenobservedinaquaticinvertebratecommunities(MilnerBrittainCastellaampPetts2001PeckarskyHornampStatzner1990) suggesting that thismaybeacommonpatternforfreshwatersystemsIftherelativeimportanceof abiotic andbioticprocesses inNERRs systematically variesbe-tween terrestrial and aquatic systems then the limited researchperformedinthelattercouldbiasourgeneralunderstandingoftheecologicalmechanismscontributingtothesepatterns
44emsp|emspImplications for biodiversity conservation and invasive species management
Invasive species are one of the most important drivers of globalchangeandcandrasticallyrestructureecosystems(TylianakisDidhamBascompteampWardle2008VitousekDrsquoantonioLoopeRejmanekampWestbrooks1997WHMasonBastowWilsonampBSteel2007)Therelationshipbetweendiversity and compositionof native communi-ties and their invasibility has been a fundamental areaof inquiry inecologygoingbacktoElton(1958)andevenDarwin(Daehler2001)Understandingtheconditionsthatallowinvasivespeciestoestablishandthatmediatetheirimpactsremaincriticalissuesforconservationandmanagement(Byersetal2002Macketal2000)Studyingtherelationshipbetweendiversityofnativespeciesandinvasivespeciescanofferimportantinsightsintothesequestionsbyhelpingtoidentifythefactorsthatsupportordeter invasions Inparticular the ideaofbioticresistancesuggestsaldquovirtuouscyclerdquowhereineffortstosupportbiodiversityalsohelprepel invasionsHoweverthepatternsweob-servedsuggestthatwatershedmanagementtosupportwaterqualitymaybeamoreeffectivemeansofmitigatinginvasionsandtheirim-pactsNonethelessitisclearthatdiversity-invasibilitypatternscanbedrivenbymultiplemechanismsand recognizing thecontext-specificimportance of these differentmechanisms can help refinemanage-mentstrategies
Our analysis of alternativemechanisms underlyingNERRs inshallow lakes reveals several concerning trends (1)environmen-tal conditions consistent with broad patterns of anthropogenicchangebenefitinvasivespecies(2)lakeswithhigherbiodiversityvaluearemorelikelytobecomeinvadedand(3)bioticinteractionsrepresentedaldquobadnews-badnewsrdquoscenariowhereinlocal-scalediversitydoesnotconferresistancetoinvasionbutinvasiondoesreduce local-scale diversity via competitive exclusion Howeverour results do support continued effort towards establishedstrategies for invasive speciesmanagement Specifically effortstomaintainor improve lakecondition reducespreadof invasivespecies and restore diverse plant assemblageswhere they have
beenlostareneededtoslowtheerosionofnativeplantdiversityintheseimportantecosystems
ACKNOWLEDG EMENTS
FundingforthisprojectwasprovidedthroughtheMinnesotaAquaticInvasive Species ResearchCenter from theMinnesota Environmentand Natural Resources Trust Fund We thank A Geisen and theShallowLakesProgramstafffortheirextensiveeffortscollectingandorganizing fielddata (whichwassupportedby theMinnesotaGameandFish fundMinnesotaEnvironmentandNaturalResourcesTrustFundandtheOutdoorHeritageFund)andWGlissonMVerhoeven CWagnerandRNewmanforinputonthemanuscriptTheauthorsdeclarenoconflictsofinterest
AUTHORSrsquo CONTRIBUTIONS
NH-W managed data collection RM and DJL designed thestudyandanalysesRManalysedthedataandwrotetheinitialdraftofthemanuscriptAllauthorsparticipatedindatainterpretationandrevisingthemanuscript
DATA ACCE SSIBILIT Y
MacrophytecommunitydataenvironmentaldataandanalysisscriptsforthisstudyareavailablefromtheDryadDigitalRepositoryhttpsdoiorg105061dryad19cf1c2 (Muthukrishnan Hansel-Welch ampLarkin2018)
ORCID
Ranjan Muthukrishnan httporcidorg0000-0002-7001-6249
R E FE R E N C E S
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BellardCCasseyPampBlackburnTM(2016)Alienspeciesasadriverof recent extinctions Biology Letters 12 20150623 httpsdoiorg101098rsbl20150623
BeloteRTJonesRHHoodSMampWenderBW(2008)DiversityndashinvasibilityacrossanexperimentaldisturbancegradientinAppalachianforestsEcology89183ndash192httpsdoiorg10189007-02701
ByersJEReichardSRandallJMParkerIMSmithCSLonsdaleW M hellip Hayes D (2002) Directing research to reduce the im-pactsofnonindigenousspeciesConservation Biology16630ndash640httpsdoiorg101046j1523-1739200201057x
Capers R S Selsky R BugbeeG J ampWhite J C (2007) Aquaticplantcommunityinvasibilityandscale-dependentpatternsinnativeand invasive species richnessEcology88 3135ndash3143 httpsdoiorg10189006-19111
CasasGScrosatiRampLuzPirizM(2004)TheinvasivekelpUndaria pinnatifida (Phaeophyceae Laminariales) reduces native seaweeddiversityinnuevogulf(PatagoniaArgentina)Biological Invasions6411ndash416httpsdoiorg101023BBINV00000415552930541
Cavender-Bares J Kozak K H Fine P V A amp Kembel S W(2009) The merging of community ecology and phylogenetic
12emsp |emsp emspenspJournal of Ecology MUTHUKRISHNAN eT Al
biology Ecology Letters 12 693ndash715 httpsdoiorg101111 j1461-0248200901314x
ChenGKeacuteryMPlattnerMMaKampGardnerB(2013)Imperfectdetection is the rule rather than the exception in plant distri-bution studies Journal of Ecology 101 183ndash191 httpsdoiorg1011111365-274512021
Chesson P (2000) General theory of competitive coexistence inspatially-varying environments Theoretical Population Biology 58211ndash237httpsdoiorg101006tpbi20001486
ClelandEESmithMDAndelmanSJBowlesCCarneyKMClaireHorner-DevineMhellipVandermastDB(2004)InvasioninspaceandtimeNon-nativespeciesrichnessandrelativeabundancerespondtointerannualvariationinproductivityanddiversityEcology Letters7947ndash957httpsdoiorg101111j1461-0248200400655x
DaehlerCC (2001)DarwinrsquosnaturalizationhypothesisrevisitedThe American Naturalist158324ndash330httpsdoiorg101086321316
DaviesKFChessonPHarrisonS InouyeBDMelbourneBAampRiceKJ(2005)Spatialheterogeneityexplainsthescaledepen-denceofthenativendashexoticdiversityrelationshipEcology861602ndash1610httpsdoiorg10189004-1196
DaviesKFHarrisonSSaffordHDampViersJH(2007)ProductivityaltersthescaledependenceofthediversityndashinvasibilityrelationshipEcology881940ndash1947httpsdoiorg10189006-19071
DavisMAGrimeJPampThompsonK(2000)FluctuatingresourcesinplantcommunitiesAgeneraltheoryofinvasibilityJournal of Ecology88528ndash534httpsdoiorg101046j1365-2745200000473x
Elton C S (1958) The ecology of invasions by animals and plants Chicago IL University of Chicago Press httpsdoiorg101007 978-1-4899-7214-9
Fant JBPriceA LampLarkinD J (2016)The influenceofhabitatdisturbanceongeneticstructureandreproductivestrategieswithinstandsofnativeandnon-nativePhragmites australis(commonreed)Diversity and Distributions221301ndash1313httpsdoiorg101111ddi12492
FargioneJEampTilmanD(2005)DiversitydecreasesinvasionviabothsamplingandcomplementarityeffectsEcology Letters8604ndash611httpsdoiorg101111j1461-0248200500753x
Fleming J P Dibble E D Madsen J D amp Wersal R M (2015)InvestigationofDarwinrsquosnaturalizationhypothesisininvadedmac-rophyte communities Biological Invasions 17 1519ndash1531 httpsdoiorg101007s10530-014-0812-0
Fridley JDBrownR LampBruno J F (2004)Nullmodels of ex-otic invasion and scale-dependent patterns of native and ex-otic species richness Ecology 85 3215ndash3222 httpsdoiorg10189003-0676
Fridley J D Stachowicz J J Naeem S Sax D F SeabloomE W Smith M D hellip Von Holle B (2007) The invasion par-adox Reconciling pattern and process in species invasionsEcology 88 3ndash17 httpsdoiorg1018900012-9658(2007)88 [3TIPRPA]20CO2
HalekohUampHoslashjsgaardS(2014)AKenward-RogerapproximationandparametricbootstrapmethodsfortestsinlinearmixedmodelsndashTheRPackagepbkrtestJournal of Statistical Software591ndash32
HeinoJSoininenJAlahuhtaJLappalainenJampVirtanenR(2017)MetacommunityecologymeetsbiogeographyEffectsofgeograph-icalregionspatialdynamicsandenvironmentalfilteringoncommu-nitystructureinaquaticorganismsOecologia183121ndash137httpsdoiorg101007s00442-016-3750-y
HenrikssonAWardleDATryggJDiehlSampEnglundG(2016)Strong invaders are strong defenders ndash Implications for the resis-tanceofinvadedcommunitiesEcology Letters19487ndash494httpsdoiorg101111ele12586
HustonMA(1999)LocalprocessesandregionalpatternsAppropriatescalesforunderstandingvariationinthediversityofplantsandani-malsOikos86393ndash401httpsdoiorg1023073546645
Kennedy T A Naeem S Howe KM Knops JM H Tilman DampReich P (2002) Biodiversity as a barrier to ecological invasionNature417636ndash638httpsdoiorg101038nature00776
LarkinDJBrulandGLampZedlerJB(2016)HeterogeneitytheoryandecologicalrestorationInMAPalmerJBZedlerampDAFalk(Eds)Foundations of restoration ecology(pp271ndash300)WashingtonDCIslandPresshttpsdoiorg105822978-1-61091-698-1
LelongBLavoieCJodoinYampBelzileF(2007)Expansionpathwaysoftheexoticcommonreed(Phragmites australis)Ahistoricalandge-netic analysisDiversity and Distributions13 430ndash437 httpsdoiorg101111j1472-4642200700351x
LevineJM(2000)SpeciesdiversityandbiologicalinvasionsRelatinglocalprocesstocommunitypatternScience288852ndash854httpsdoiorg101126science2885467852
LevineJMAdlerPBampYelenikSG(2004)Ameta-analysisofbi-oticresistancetoexoticplantinvasionsEcology Letters7975ndash989httpsdoiorg101111j1461-0248200400657x
LevineJMampDrsquoAntonioCM(1999)EltonrevisitedAreviewofevi-dencelinkingdiversityandinvasibilityOikos8715ndash26httpsdoiorg1023073546992
Lockwood J LCasseyPampBlackburnT (2005)The roleofpropa-gulepressure inexplainingspecies invasionsTrends in Ecology and Evolution20223ndash228httpsdoiorg101016jtree200502004
MackRNSimberloffDLonsdaleWMEvansHCloutMampBazzazF A (2000) Biotic invasions Causes epidemiology global conse-quences and controlEcological Applications10 689ndash710 httpsdoiorg1018901051-0761(2000)010[0689BICEGC]20CO2
Milburn S A BourdaghsM ampHusveth J J (2007)Floristic quality assessment for minnesota wetlandsStPaulMNMinnesotaPollutionControlAgency
Millennium Ecosystem Assessment (2005) Ecosystems and human well-being SynthesisWashingtonDCIslandPress
MilnerAMBrittainJ ECastella EampPettsGE (2001)Trendsofmacroinvertebratecommunitystructureinglacier-fedriversinrelationtoenvironmentalconditionsAsynthesisFreshwater Biology461833ndash1847httpsdoiorg101046j1365-2427200100861x
MuthukrishnanRHansel-WelchNampLarkinDJ(2018)DatafromEnvironmentalfilteringandcompetitiveexclusiondrivebiodiversity-invasibility relationships in shallow lake plant communitiesDryad Digital Repositoryhttpsdoiorg105061dryad19cf1c2
NaeemSKnopsJMHTilmanDHoweKMKennedyTampGaleS(2000)Plantdiversityincreasesresistancetoinvasionintheab-senceofcovaryingextrinsicfactorsOikos9197ndash108httpsdoiorg101034j1600-07062000910108x
NicholsSAampShawBH(1986)Ecologicallifehistoriesofthethreeaquatic nuisance plantsMyriophyllum spicatum Potamogeton cris-pus and Elodea canadensis Hydrobiologia 131 3ndash21 httpsdoiorg101007BF00008319
Olmanson L G Bauer M E amp Brezonik P L (2008) A 20-yearLandsatwater clarity census ofMinnesotarsquos 10000 lakesRemote Sensing of Environment 112 4086ndash4097 httpsdoiorg101016 jrse200712013
OlmansonLGBrezonikPLampBauerME (2014)Geospatialandtemporalanalysisofa20-yearrecordofLandsat-basedwaterclar-ity in Minnesotarsquos 10000 Lakes JAWRA Journal of the American Water Resources Association50 748ndash761 httpsdoiorg101111jawr12138
PaavolaM Olenin S amp Leppaumlkoski E (2005) Are invasive speciesmost successful in habitats of low native species richness acrossEuropeanbrackishwater seasEstuarine Coastal and Shelf Science64738ndash750httpsdoiorg101016jecss200503021
Peckarsky B L Horn S C amp Statzner B (1990) Stonefly preda-tion along a hydraulic gradient A field test of the harshmdashbe-nign hypothesis Freshwater Biology 24 181ndash191 httpsdoiorg101111j1365-24271990tb00317x
emspensp emsp | emsp13Journal of EcologyMUTHUKRISHNAN eT Al
PickettSTAampCadenassoML(1995)LandscapeecologySpatialheterogeneityinecologicalsystemsScience269331ndash333httpsdoiorg101126science2695222331
PriceALFantJBampLarkinDJ(2014)Ecologyofnativevsintro-duced Phragmites australis(commonreed)inChicago-areawetlandsWetlands34369ndash377httpsdoiorg101007s13157-013-0504-z
RCoreTeam(2014)R A language and environment for statistical comput-ingViennaAustriaRFoundationforStatisticalComputing
Ramstack Hobbs J M HobbsW O Edlund M B Zimmer K DTheissenKMHoidalNhellipCotnerJB(2016)ThelegacyoflargeregimeshiftsinshallowlakesEcological Applications262662ndash2676httpsdoiorg101002eap1382
RichardsCLBossdorfOMuthNZGurevitch JampPigliucciM(2006)JackofalltradesmasterofsomeOntheroleofphenotypicplasticityinplantinvasionsEcology Letters9981ndash993httpsdoiorg101111j1461-0248200600950x
Ricklefs R E (2004) A comprehensive framework for global pat-terns in biodiversity Ecology Letters 7 1ndash15 httpsdoiorg101046j1461-0248200300554x
SantamariacuteaL(2002)WhyaremostaquaticplantswidelydistributedDispersalclonalgrowthandsmall-scaleheterogeneityinastressfulenvironmentActa Oecologica23137ndash154httpsdoiorg101016S1146-609X(02)01146-3
SimberloffD(2009)Theroleofpropagulepressureinbiologicalinva-sionsAnnual Review of Ecology Evolution and Systematics40 81ndash102httpsdoiorg101146annurevecolsys110308120304
SimberloffDampVonHolleB(1999)Positiveinteractionsofnonindig-enous species InvasionalmeltdownBiological Invasions1 21ndash32httpsdoiorg101023A1010086329619
Stachowicz J JWhitlatch R BampOsman RW (1999) Species di-versityandinvasionresistanceinamarineecosystemScience2861577ndashLP-1579httpsdoiorg101126science28654441577
StohlgrenTJBinkleyDChongGWKalkhanMASchellLDBullKAhellipSonY(1999)ExoticplantspeciesinvadehotspotsofnativeplantdiversityEcological Monographs6925ndash46httpsdoiorg1018900012-9615(1999)069[0025EPSIHS]20CO2
Stroumlm L Jansson R ampNilsson C (2014) Invasibility of borealwet-landplantcommunitiesJournal of Vegetation Science251078ndash1089httpsdoiorg101111jvs12157
StrongDR (1992)Are trophic cascadesallwetDifferentiationanddonor-controlinspecioseecosystemsEcology73747ndash754httpsdoiorg1023071940154
Taddeo S amp De Blois S (2012) Coexistence of introduced and na-tive common reed (Phragmites australis) in freshwater wetlandsEcoscience1999ndash105httpsdoiorg10298019-2-3468
ThompsonKampDavisMA(2011)WhyresearchontraitsofinvasiveplantstellsusverylittleTrends in Ecology amp Evolution26155ndash156httpsdoiorg101016jtree201101007
ThomsenMADrsquoAntonioCMSuttleKBampSousaWP (2006)EcologicalresistanceseeddensityandtheirinteractionsdeterminepatternsofinvasioninaCaliforniacoastalgrasslandEcology Letters9160ndash170httpsdoiorg101111j1461-0248200500857x
Tilman D (2004) Niche tradeoffs neutrality and community struc-ture A stochastic theory of resource competition invasion and
communityassemblyProceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America 101 10854ndash10861 httpsdoiorg101073pnas0403458101
Tylianakis J M Didham R K Bascompte J amp Wardle D A(2008) Global change and species interactions in terres-trial ecosystems Ecology Letters 11 1351ndash1363 httpsdoiorg101111j1461-0248200801250x
USDA N (2016) The PLANTS Database Retrived from httpplantsusdagov
VazquezDP(2006)ExploringtherelationshipbetweennichebreadthandinvasionsuccessInMWCadotteSMMcmahonampTFukami(Eds)Conceptual ecology and invasion biology Reciprocal approaches to nature (pp307ndash322)DordrechtNetherlandsSpringerhttpsdoiorg1010071-4020-4925-0
Vitousek P M Drsquoantonio C M Loope L L Rejmanek M ampWestbrooksR(1997)IntroducedspeciesAsignificantcomponentofhuman-causedglobalchangeNew Zealand Journal of Ecology211ndash16
WHMasonNBastowWilsonJampBSteelJ(2007)Arealternativestable states more likely in high stress environments Logic andavailable evidencedonot supportDidhamet al 2005Oikos116353ndash357httpsdoiorg101111j0030-1299200715283x
Wardle D A (2001) Experimental demonstration that plant diver-sity reduces invasibilityndashEvidenceof abiologicalmechanismor aconsequence of sampling effect Oikos 95 161ndash170 httpsdoiorg101034j1600-07062001950119x
Woo I amp Zedler J B (2002) Can nutrients alone shift a sedgemeadow towards dominance by the invasive Typha times glaucaWetlands 22 509ndash521 httpsdoiorg1016720277-5212(2002) 022[0509CNASAS]20CO2
YurkonisKAMeinersSJampWachholderBE(2005)Invasionimpactsdiversity through altered community dynamics Journal of Ecology931053ndash1061httpsdoiorg101111j1365-2745200501029x
Zedler J B amp Kercher S (2004) Causes and consequences of in-vasive plants in wetlands Opportunities opportunists and out-comes Critical Reviews in Plant Sciences 23 431ndash452 httpsdoiorg10108007352680490514673
SUPPORTING INFORMATION
Additional Supporting Information may be found online in thesupportinginformationtabforthisarticle
How to cite this articleMuthukrishnanRHansel-WelchNLarkinDJEnvironmentalfilteringandcompetitiveexclusiondrivebiodiversity-invasibilityrelationshipsinshallowlakeplantcommunitiesJ Ecol 2018001ndash13 httpsdoiorg1011111365-274512963
8emsp |emsp emspenspJournal of Ecology MUTHUKRISHNAN eT Al
FIGURE 4emspRelationshipsbetweendepth(abef)orSecchidepth(cdgh) andtherichnessofnativespeciesandinvasivespeciesatindividualsamplinglocations(andashd)andaggregatedacrossentirelakes(endashh)Pointsarejitteredalongthey-axisforclarityandsolidanddashedlinesindicatethemeanand95confidenceintervaloftheestimatedvalue
0 5 10 15 20
05
1015
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23
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1015
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010
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2030
40
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01
23
Nat
ive
spec
ies
richn
ess
(a)
Inva
sive
spe
cies
rich
ness
(b)N
ativ
e sp
ecie
s ric
hnes
s
(c)In
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ve s
peci
es ri
chne
ss(d)
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ive
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ies
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ess
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Depth Depth
Secchi depth Secchi depth
Lake average depth Lake average depth
Lake average Secchi depth Lake average Secchi depth
emspensp emsp | emsp9Journal of EcologyMUTHUKRISHNAN eT Al
is a general expectation that biotic interactions dominate at localscalesbutaresupplantedbyabioticdeterminantsatbroaderscales(Fridleyetal2007)OurdatadonotsupportthispredictionRatherwefoundthatenvironmentalconditionswere relatively importantpredictorsof richnessat regionaland local scaleswhileeffectsofbiotic interactions were relatively weak However there was stillsubstantialunexplainedvariancethatmaybeinfluencedbyenviron-mentalfactorsnotconsideredaspartofthisstudyorbyalternativeecologicalmechanisms
Nativeandinvasivespeciesweresensitivetodifferentenviron-mentalfactorsinsomecasesevenshowingopposingresponsestothesameenvironmentalgradientsForexamplenativerichnesswasassociated with lower water depth and P while invasive richnesswas associatedwithgreaterdepth andPForwater clarity nativeandinvasivespeciesbothshowedpositiverelationshipsatthelocalscale but the relationshipwasweaker for invasive speciesThesedivergentpreferencessuggestthatnativeandinvasivespeciesoccu-piedsomewhatdifferentnichesSuchnichesegregationalonecouldproduceanegativeNERRwithoutbioticinteractionsbeinginvolved
ThepatternsweobservedindicatethatinvasivespeciesgainedanadvantageovernativespeciesundermoreeutrophicconditionsThis is presumably due to these species being better adapted toexploit higher resource availability and tolerate lower light levels(NicholsampShaw1986WooampZedler2002)Alternativelyitisalsopossible thatpoorwaterquality increasedwithgreaterhumanac-tivityandthathumanactivitywastheproximatecauseofgreaterinvasionratesviaincreasedtransmissionopportunities
Furthermorewhilegreaterenvironmentalheterogeneitywasassociatedwith increased richness of native speciesmdashconsistentwith a large body of ecological theory and literature (LarkinBrulandampZedler2016PickettampCadenasso1995)mdashtherewasno such response by invasive species This suggests that nativespecies were more specialized to depth and light niches withinlakes while invasive species occupied broader niches and werethus able to exploitmoremarginal habitatHowever our analy-seswere limited towater depth and Secchi depth it is possiblethat invadersmayhaveexhibitedgreater responsiveness tohet-erogeneity in other environmental factors Greater responsive-nesstoincreasedresourceavailabilityandbroaderenvironmentaltolerances appear to be attributes of successful invasive plantsin general (Davis Grime amp Thompson 2000 Zedler amp Kercher2004) and global drivers of change reinforce these advantages(ThompsonampDavis2011)Innorthernshallowlakesrecentfind-ings point to persistent anthropogenic shifts to more nutrient-rich turbidalternativestates (RamstackHobbsetal2016)Ourfindingssuggestthatthesechangeswillexacerbateaquaticplantinvasions
42emsp|emspInvasive species win biotic interactions Competitive exclusion but not biotic resistance
How new invasions affect native plant communities depends onbiotic interactions between resident native vegetation and invad-ing speciesWe analysed repeated surveys in the same locations
F IGURE 5emspRelationshipsbetweentheheterogeneityofdepthorSecchidepthinalakeandtherichnessofnativespecies(ac)andinvasivespecies(bd)Pointsarejitteredalongthey-axisforclarityandsolidanddashedlinesindicatethemeanand95confidenceintervaloftheestimatedvalue
0 2 4 6 8 10 12
010
2030
40
Lake depth SD
Nat
ive
spec
ies
richn
ess
0 2 4 6 8 10 12
Lake depth SD
Inva
sive
spe
cies
rich
ness
01
23
0 1 2 3 4
010
2030
40
Lake Secchi depth SD
Nat
ive
spec
ies
richn
ess
0 1 2 3 4
Lake Secchi depth SD
Inva
sive
spe
cies
rich
ness
01
23
(a) (b)
(c) (d)
10emsp |emsp emspenspJournal of Ecology MUTHUKRISHNAN eT Al
toinvestigatebioticinteractionsandfoundmixedsupportfortheirimportanceAftersampling locationswere invadednativespeciesrichness tended to decrease over timewhile uninvaded locationsgained species This supports the competitive exclusion hypoth-esisiethatinvadersreducelocal-scalediversitybydisplacingna-tive species In contrastwhenweevaluatedbiotic resistancewefoundnoevidencethatmore-diversesiteswerelesslikelytobesub-sequently invadedAcaveat is that invasionsarehighlystochasticprocessespunctuatedbyrelativelyfewinvasionevents(Macketal2000Simberloff2009)Furthermoreitisdifficulttoresurveypre-ciselocationsovermultipleyearsandimperfectdetectionmaycon-foundspeciesrsquopresenceabsencerecords(ChenKeacuteryPlattnerMaampGardner2013)ThesefactorscanresultinnoisydatasetsandassuchthelikelihoodoftypeIIerrors(falsenegatives)maybeparticu-larlyhighandtheabilitytodetectasignallowYetourabilitytostillidentifycompetitiveexclusiondespitesuchnoisesuggeststhatourgeneralapproachisvalidandthatbioticresistanceislikelyweakerorpotentiallyabsentinthissystemthoughitisdifficulttomakeadirectcomparisonofprocessstrengthsThuswhilewefoundevi-denceofinfluentialbioticinteractionsatthelocalscaleasexpected(Fridleyetal2007)wedidnotobservebioticresistancewhichisoftenconsideredtobethekeydriverforanegativeNERR(FargioneampTilman2005Levineetal2004) Insteadwefoundstatisticallysignificant evidence for competitive exclusionwhich is less oftencitedasadriverofnegativeNERRsThoughtheeffectsweobservedwererelativelymodestontheorderofonemorespeciesbeinglostper decade in invaded sites relative to uninvaded sites and therewashighvariabilitywithmany individualsitesand lakesexhibitingtheoppositepattern
Overtimebioticresistanceandcompetitiveexclusioncanpro-duce similar negativeNERR patterns Studies inwhich richness isexamined at only a single timepoint are inherently unable todis-criminate these twoprocessesYet the twomechanismshavedif-ferent implications for conservation and management A systemwithstrongbioticresistancewillberesilienttoinvasions(FargioneampTilman2005Naeemetal2000)andmanagingfordiversitycanminimizeriskButwherebioticresistanceisweakandcompetitiveexclusion likely uninvaded communities are vulnerable and biodi-versitywillnotreduceinvasionrisk
Thecombinationofbroaderenvironmentaltoleranceofinvasivespecies and the potential for competitive displacement of nativespeciesmayprovidean importantpathwayfor invasionBytakingadvantageofmarginal habitat fornative species invaders canes-tablishinnewareaswithoutfacingcompetitionOnceestablishedpropagule pressure can then promote spread into nearby habitatpreferredbynativespecies(LockwoodCasseyampBlackburn2005)Propagulepressurefromnearbysourceswill farexceedthatasso-ciatedwith rare long-distance dispersal events (Simberloff 2009)andcouldswampeffectsofbioticresistance(ThomsenDrsquoAntonioSuttleampSousa2006)This ldquoleapfroggingrdquoof invasiveplants frommarginal to preferred habitat has been demonstrated in invasionof EuropeanPhragmites australis inNorthAmericawhich spreadsacross the landscape via highway corridors and anthropogenic
habitat(LelongLavoieJodoinampBelzile2007TaddeoampDeBlois2012)providingpropagulesthatcantheninvadeintactnaturalwet-landsanddisplacenativespecies(FantPriceampLarkin2016PriceFantampLarkin2014)Theimportanceofenvironmentalconditionsin determining native and invasive species richness suggest thatmanagementofthosefactorsmaybeakeystrategyforlimitingin-vaderestablishment
At the larger spatial scale of whole lakes our findings morecloselymatchexpectationsfromothersystems(Daviesetal2005Fridleyetal2007LevineampDrsquoAntonio1999)Ourlake-scaleanal-yses showed no evidence of biotic resistance or competitive ex-clusion instead native and invasive species richness increased inconcert This is consistentwithNERRs not being driven by bioticinteractions at large spatial scales but instead broader environ-mental historical or biogeographic factors (Cavender-Bares etal2009Fridleyetal2007Ricklefs2004)Native species richnessincreasedwithenvironmentalheterogeneitywhichalignswiththeexpectationthattheinclusionofbroaderenvironmentalconditionsdrivesregional-scalediversitypatterns(Daviesetal2005Fridleyetal2007LevineampDrsquoAntonio1999)thoughwedidnotobservea similar pattern for invasive specieswith the environmental fac-torsweevaluatedNonethelessevenifinvasivespecieshavebroadenvironmentaltolerancesandarenotinfluencedbyheterogeneitystochasticprocessescouldstillleadtoincreasedinvaderrichnessatlargerspatialscalesresultinginapositiveNERR(FridleyBrownampBruno2004)
43emsp|emspIs biotic resistance ldquoall dryrdquo
Whileourresultsregardingtherelativeimportanceofbioticinterac-tions vs abiotic drivers run counter to previous findingsmdashparticu-larlywithrespecttotheabsenceofbioticresistancemdashthecauseofthat inconsistency remainsuncertain Itmaybepartlydue to fewstudies simultaneously investigating multiple alternative mecha-nismsofNERRs (but seeFargioneampTilman 2005) or topatternsbeingattributed tomechanisms thatarepresumed tobecommonbuthavenotbeenexplicitlytested
Itisalsopossiblethatthepreponderanceofdiversity-invasibilityresearch that comes from terrestrial systems biases expectationsStrong (1992) asked whether trophic cascades were ldquoall wetrdquo Isbiotic resistance ldquoall dryrdquo Nearly all evidence for local-scale bi-otic resistance comes from grassland or other terrestrial systems(FargioneampTilman2005Fridleyetal 2007 Levineetal 2004Naeemetal2000butseeStachowiczetal1999)Relativelylittleresearchhasbeenconductedinaquaticplantcommunitiesandsomepast findings have run counter to terrestrial expectations Capersetal(2007)foundnoevidenceofbioticresistanceinlakeplantcom-munitiesinthenortheasternUSInlakesacrosstheUSFlemingDibbleMadsen andWersal (2015) testedDarwinrsquos naturalizationhypothesisthatnichesbeingoccupiedbycloserelativeswouldrepelinvaderstheyfoundnoevidenceofsuchresistanceStroumlmJanssonandNilsson (2014) experimentally demonstrated a local-scale butpositiveNERRinborealwetlands
emspensp emsp | emsp11Journal of EcologyMUTHUKRISHNAN eT Al
Why would diversity-invasibility relationships differ betweenland and water There is some evidence that aquatic plant com-munities are more strongly structured by abiotic environmentalconstraints (Heino Soininen Alahuhta Lappalainen amp Virtanen2017 Santamariacutea 2002) Difficult environmental conditions inaquatic communities particularly at higher latitudes may imposesuch a strong filter on the macrophyte habitat species pool thatspeciesinteractionshavelimitedinfluenceoncommunityassembly(Santamariacutea2002)Similarpatternshavebeenobservedinaquaticinvertebratecommunities(MilnerBrittainCastellaampPetts2001PeckarskyHornampStatzner1990) suggesting that thismaybeacommonpatternforfreshwatersystemsIftherelativeimportanceof abiotic andbioticprocesses inNERRs systematically variesbe-tween terrestrial and aquatic systems then the limited researchperformedinthelattercouldbiasourgeneralunderstandingoftheecologicalmechanismscontributingtothesepatterns
44emsp|emspImplications for biodiversity conservation and invasive species management
Invasive species are one of the most important drivers of globalchangeandcandrasticallyrestructureecosystems(TylianakisDidhamBascompteampWardle2008VitousekDrsquoantonioLoopeRejmanekampWestbrooks1997WHMasonBastowWilsonampBSteel2007)Therelationshipbetweendiversity and compositionof native communi-ties and their invasibility has been a fundamental areaof inquiry inecologygoingbacktoElton(1958)andevenDarwin(Daehler2001)Understandingtheconditionsthatallowinvasivespeciestoestablishandthatmediatetheirimpactsremaincriticalissuesforconservationandmanagement(Byersetal2002Macketal2000)Studyingtherelationshipbetweendiversityofnativespeciesandinvasivespeciescanofferimportantinsightsintothesequestionsbyhelpingtoidentifythefactorsthatsupportordeter invasions Inparticular the ideaofbioticresistancesuggestsaldquovirtuouscyclerdquowhereineffortstosupportbiodiversityalsohelprepel invasionsHoweverthepatternsweob-servedsuggestthatwatershedmanagementtosupportwaterqualitymaybeamoreeffectivemeansofmitigatinginvasionsandtheirim-pactsNonethelessitisclearthatdiversity-invasibilitypatternscanbedrivenbymultiplemechanismsand recognizing thecontext-specificimportance of these differentmechanisms can help refinemanage-mentstrategies
Our analysis of alternativemechanisms underlyingNERRs inshallow lakes reveals several concerning trends (1)environmen-tal conditions consistent with broad patterns of anthropogenicchangebenefitinvasivespecies(2)lakeswithhigherbiodiversityvaluearemorelikelytobecomeinvadedand(3)bioticinteractionsrepresentedaldquobadnews-badnewsrdquoscenariowhereinlocal-scalediversitydoesnotconferresistancetoinvasionbutinvasiondoesreduce local-scale diversity via competitive exclusion Howeverour results do support continued effort towards establishedstrategies for invasive speciesmanagement Specifically effortstomaintainor improve lakecondition reducespreadof invasivespecies and restore diverse plant assemblageswhere they have
beenlostareneededtoslowtheerosionofnativeplantdiversityintheseimportantecosystems
ACKNOWLEDG EMENTS
FundingforthisprojectwasprovidedthroughtheMinnesotaAquaticInvasive Species ResearchCenter from theMinnesota Environmentand Natural Resources Trust Fund We thank A Geisen and theShallowLakesProgramstafffortheirextensiveeffortscollectingandorganizing fielddata (whichwassupportedby theMinnesotaGameandFish fundMinnesotaEnvironmentandNaturalResourcesTrustFundandtheOutdoorHeritageFund)andWGlissonMVerhoeven CWagnerandRNewmanforinputonthemanuscriptTheauthorsdeclarenoconflictsofinterest
AUTHORSrsquo CONTRIBUTIONS
NH-W managed data collection RM and DJL designed thestudyandanalysesRManalysedthedataandwrotetheinitialdraftofthemanuscriptAllauthorsparticipatedindatainterpretationandrevisingthemanuscript
DATA ACCE SSIBILIT Y
MacrophytecommunitydataenvironmentaldataandanalysisscriptsforthisstudyareavailablefromtheDryadDigitalRepositoryhttpsdoiorg105061dryad19cf1c2 (Muthukrishnan Hansel-Welch ampLarkin2018)
ORCID
Ranjan Muthukrishnan httporcidorg0000-0002-7001-6249
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BellardCCasseyPampBlackburnTM(2016)Alienspeciesasadriverof recent extinctions Biology Letters 12 20150623 httpsdoiorg101098rsbl20150623
BeloteRTJonesRHHoodSMampWenderBW(2008)DiversityndashinvasibilityacrossanexperimentaldisturbancegradientinAppalachianforestsEcology89183ndash192httpsdoiorg10189007-02701
ByersJEReichardSRandallJMParkerIMSmithCSLonsdaleW M hellip Hayes D (2002) Directing research to reduce the im-pactsofnonindigenousspeciesConservation Biology16630ndash640httpsdoiorg101046j1523-1739200201057x
Capers R S Selsky R BugbeeG J ampWhite J C (2007) Aquaticplantcommunityinvasibilityandscale-dependentpatternsinnativeand invasive species richnessEcology88 3135ndash3143 httpsdoiorg10189006-19111
CasasGScrosatiRampLuzPirizM(2004)TheinvasivekelpUndaria pinnatifida (Phaeophyceae Laminariales) reduces native seaweeddiversityinnuevogulf(PatagoniaArgentina)Biological Invasions6411ndash416httpsdoiorg101023BBINV00000415552930541
Cavender-Bares J Kozak K H Fine P V A amp Kembel S W(2009) The merging of community ecology and phylogenetic
12emsp |emsp emspenspJournal of Ecology MUTHUKRISHNAN eT Al
biology Ecology Letters 12 693ndash715 httpsdoiorg101111 j1461-0248200901314x
ChenGKeacuteryMPlattnerMMaKampGardnerB(2013)Imperfectdetection is the rule rather than the exception in plant distri-bution studies Journal of Ecology 101 183ndash191 httpsdoiorg1011111365-274512021
Chesson P (2000) General theory of competitive coexistence inspatially-varying environments Theoretical Population Biology 58211ndash237httpsdoiorg101006tpbi20001486
ClelandEESmithMDAndelmanSJBowlesCCarneyKMClaireHorner-DevineMhellipVandermastDB(2004)InvasioninspaceandtimeNon-nativespeciesrichnessandrelativeabundancerespondtointerannualvariationinproductivityanddiversityEcology Letters7947ndash957httpsdoiorg101111j1461-0248200400655x
DaehlerCC (2001)DarwinrsquosnaturalizationhypothesisrevisitedThe American Naturalist158324ndash330httpsdoiorg101086321316
DaviesKFChessonPHarrisonS InouyeBDMelbourneBAampRiceKJ(2005)Spatialheterogeneityexplainsthescaledepen-denceofthenativendashexoticdiversityrelationshipEcology861602ndash1610httpsdoiorg10189004-1196
DaviesKFHarrisonSSaffordHDampViersJH(2007)ProductivityaltersthescaledependenceofthediversityndashinvasibilityrelationshipEcology881940ndash1947httpsdoiorg10189006-19071
DavisMAGrimeJPampThompsonK(2000)FluctuatingresourcesinplantcommunitiesAgeneraltheoryofinvasibilityJournal of Ecology88528ndash534httpsdoiorg101046j1365-2745200000473x
Elton C S (1958) The ecology of invasions by animals and plants Chicago IL University of Chicago Press httpsdoiorg101007 978-1-4899-7214-9
Fant JBPriceA LampLarkinD J (2016)The influenceofhabitatdisturbanceongeneticstructureandreproductivestrategieswithinstandsofnativeandnon-nativePhragmites australis(commonreed)Diversity and Distributions221301ndash1313httpsdoiorg101111ddi12492
FargioneJEampTilmanD(2005)DiversitydecreasesinvasionviabothsamplingandcomplementarityeffectsEcology Letters8604ndash611httpsdoiorg101111j1461-0248200500753x
Fleming J P Dibble E D Madsen J D amp Wersal R M (2015)InvestigationofDarwinrsquosnaturalizationhypothesisininvadedmac-rophyte communities Biological Invasions 17 1519ndash1531 httpsdoiorg101007s10530-014-0812-0
Fridley JDBrownR LampBruno J F (2004)Nullmodels of ex-otic invasion and scale-dependent patterns of native and ex-otic species richness Ecology 85 3215ndash3222 httpsdoiorg10189003-0676
Fridley J D Stachowicz J J Naeem S Sax D F SeabloomE W Smith M D hellip Von Holle B (2007) The invasion par-adox Reconciling pattern and process in species invasionsEcology 88 3ndash17 httpsdoiorg1018900012-9658(2007)88 [3TIPRPA]20CO2
HalekohUampHoslashjsgaardS(2014)AKenward-RogerapproximationandparametricbootstrapmethodsfortestsinlinearmixedmodelsndashTheRPackagepbkrtestJournal of Statistical Software591ndash32
HeinoJSoininenJAlahuhtaJLappalainenJampVirtanenR(2017)MetacommunityecologymeetsbiogeographyEffectsofgeograph-icalregionspatialdynamicsandenvironmentalfilteringoncommu-nitystructureinaquaticorganismsOecologia183121ndash137httpsdoiorg101007s00442-016-3750-y
HenrikssonAWardleDATryggJDiehlSampEnglundG(2016)Strong invaders are strong defenders ndash Implications for the resis-tanceofinvadedcommunitiesEcology Letters19487ndash494httpsdoiorg101111ele12586
HustonMA(1999)LocalprocessesandregionalpatternsAppropriatescalesforunderstandingvariationinthediversityofplantsandani-malsOikos86393ndash401httpsdoiorg1023073546645
Kennedy T A Naeem S Howe KM Knops JM H Tilman DampReich P (2002) Biodiversity as a barrier to ecological invasionNature417636ndash638httpsdoiorg101038nature00776
LarkinDJBrulandGLampZedlerJB(2016)HeterogeneitytheoryandecologicalrestorationInMAPalmerJBZedlerampDAFalk(Eds)Foundations of restoration ecology(pp271ndash300)WashingtonDCIslandPresshttpsdoiorg105822978-1-61091-698-1
LelongBLavoieCJodoinYampBelzileF(2007)Expansionpathwaysoftheexoticcommonreed(Phragmites australis)Ahistoricalandge-netic analysisDiversity and Distributions13 430ndash437 httpsdoiorg101111j1472-4642200700351x
LevineJM(2000)SpeciesdiversityandbiologicalinvasionsRelatinglocalprocesstocommunitypatternScience288852ndash854httpsdoiorg101126science2885467852
LevineJMAdlerPBampYelenikSG(2004)Ameta-analysisofbi-oticresistancetoexoticplantinvasionsEcology Letters7975ndash989httpsdoiorg101111j1461-0248200400657x
LevineJMampDrsquoAntonioCM(1999)EltonrevisitedAreviewofevi-dencelinkingdiversityandinvasibilityOikos8715ndash26httpsdoiorg1023073546992
Lockwood J LCasseyPampBlackburnT (2005)The roleofpropa-gulepressure inexplainingspecies invasionsTrends in Ecology and Evolution20223ndash228httpsdoiorg101016jtree200502004
MackRNSimberloffDLonsdaleWMEvansHCloutMampBazzazF A (2000) Biotic invasions Causes epidemiology global conse-quences and controlEcological Applications10 689ndash710 httpsdoiorg1018901051-0761(2000)010[0689BICEGC]20CO2
Milburn S A BourdaghsM ampHusveth J J (2007)Floristic quality assessment for minnesota wetlandsStPaulMNMinnesotaPollutionControlAgency
Millennium Ecosystem Assessment (2005) Ecosystems and human well-being SynthesisWashingtonDCIslandPress
MilnerAMBrittainJ ECastella EampPettsGE (2001)Trendsofmacroinvertebratecommunitystructureinglacier-fedriversinrelationtoenvironmentalconditionsAsynthesisFreshwater Biology461833ndash1847httpsdoiorg101046j1365-2427200100861x
MuthukrishnanRHansel-WelchNampLarkinDJ(2018)DatafromEnvironmentalfilteringandcompetitiveexclusiondrivebiodiversity-invasibility relationships in shallow lake plant communitiesDryad Digital Repositoryhttpsdoiorg105061dryad19cf1c2
NaeemSKnopsJMHTilmanDHoweKMKennedyTampGaleS(2000)Plantdiversityincreasesresistancetoinvasionintheab-senceofcovaryingextrinsicfactorsOikos9197ndash108httpsdoiorg101034j1600-07062000910108x
NicholsSAampShawBH(1986)Ecologicallifehistoriesofthethreeaquatic nuisance plantsMyriophyllum spicatum Potamogeton cris-pus and Elodea canadensis Hydrobiologia 131 3ndash21 httpsdoiorg101007BF00008319
Olmanson L G Bauer M E amp Brezonik P L (2008) A 20-yearLandsatwater clarity census ofMinnesotarsquos 10000 lakesRemote Sensing of Environment 112 4086ndash4097 httpsdoiorg101016 jrse200712013
OlmansonLGBrezonikPLampBauerME (2014)Geospatialandtemporalanalysisofa20-yearrecordofLandsat-basedwaterclar-ity in Minnesotarsquos 10000 Lakes JAWRA Journal of the American Water Resources Association50 748ndash761 httpsdoiorg101111jawr12138
PaavolaM Olenin S amp Leppaumlkoski E (2005) Are invasive speciesmost successful in habitats of low native species richness acrossEuropeanbrackishwater seasEstuarine Coastal and Shelf Science64738ndash750httpsdoiorg101016jecss200503021
Peckarsky B L Horn S C amp Statzner B (1990) Stonefly preda-tion along a hydraulic gradient A field test of the harshmdashbe-nign hypothesis Freshwater Biology 24 181ndash191 httpsdoiorg101111j1365-24271990tb00317x
emspensp emsp | emsp13Journal of EcologyMUTHUKRISHNAN eT Al
PickettSTAampCadenassoML(1995)LandscapeecologySpatialheterogeneityinecologicalsystemsScience269331ndash333httpsdoiorg101126science2695222331
PriceALFantJBampLarkinDJ(2014)Ecologyofnativevsintro-duced Phragmites australis(commonreed)inChicago-areawetlandsWetlands34369ndash377httpsdoiorg101007s13157-013-0504-z
RCoreTeam(2014)R A language and environment for statistical comput-ingViennaAustriaRFoundationforStatisticalComputing
Ramstack Hobbs J M HobbsW O Edlund M B Zimmer K DTheissenKMHoidalNhellipCotnerJB(2016)ThelegacyoflargeregimeshiftsinshallowlakesEcological Applications262662ndash2676httpsdoiorg101002eap1382
RichardsCLBossdorfOMuthNZGurevitch JampPigliucciM(2006)JackofalltradesmasterofsomeOntheroleofphenotypicplasticityinplantinvasionsEcology Letters9981ndash993httpsdoiorg101111j1461-0248200600950x
Ricklefs R E (2004) A comprehensive framework for global pat-terns in biodiversity Ecology Letters 7 1ndash15 httpsdoiorg101046j1461-0248200300554x
SantamariacuteaL(2002)WhyaremostaquaticplantswidelydistributedDispersalclonalgrowthandsmall-scaleheterogeneityinastressfulenvironmentActa Oecologica23137ndash154httpsdoiorg101016S1146-609X(02)01146-3
SimberloffD(2009)Theroleofpropagulepressureinbiologicalinva-sionsAnnual Review of Ecology Evolution and Systematics40 81ndash102httpsdoiorg101146annurevecolsys110308120304
SimberloffDampVonHolleB(1999)Positiveinteractionsofnonindig-enous species InvasionalmeltdownBiological Invasions1 21ndash32httpsdoiorg101023A1010086329619
Stachowicz J JWhitlatch R BampOsman RW (1999) Species di-versityandinvasionresistanceinamarineecosystemScience2861577ndashLP-1579httpsdoiorg101126science28654441577
StohlgrenTJBinkleyDChongGWKalkhanMASchellLDBullKAhellipSonY(1999)ExoticplantspeciesinvadehotspotsofnativeplantdiversityEcological Monographs6925ndash46httpsdoiorg1018900012-9615(1999)069[0025EPSIHS]20CO2
Stroumlm L Jansson R ampNilsson C (2014) Invasibility of borealwet-landplantcommunitiesJournal of Vegetation Science251078ndash1089httpsdoiorg101111jvs12157
StrongDR (1992)Are trophic cascadesallwetDifferentiationanddonor-controlinspecioseecosystemsEcology73747ndash754httpsdoiorg1023071940154
Taddeo S amp De Blois S (2012) Coexistence of introduced and na-tive common reed (Phragmites australis) in freshwater wetlandsEcoscience1999ndash105httpsdoiorg10298019-2-3468
ThompsonKampDavisMA(2011)WhyresearchontraitsofinvasiveplantstellsusverylittleTrends in Ecology amp Evolution26155ndash156httpsdoiorg101016jtree201101007
ThomsenMADrsquoAntonioCMSuttleKBampSousaWP (2006)EcologicalresistanceseeddensityandtheirinteractionsdeterminepatternsofinvasioninaCaliforniacoastalgrasslandEcology Letters9160ndash170httpsdoiorg101111j1461-0248200500857x
Tilman D (2004) Niche tradeoffs neutrality and community struc-ture A stochastic theory of resource competition invasion and
communityassemblyProceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America 101 10854ndash10861 httpsdoiorg101073pnas0403458101
Tylianakis J M Didham R K Bascompte J amp Wardle D A(2008) Global change and species interactions in terres-trial ecosystems Ecology Letters 11 1351ndash1363 httpsdoiorg101111j1461-0248200801250x
USDA N (2016) The PLANTS Database Retrived from httpplantsusdagov
VazquezDP(2006)ExploringtherelationshipbetweennichebreadthandinvasionsuccessInMWCadotteSMMcmahonampTFukami(Eds)Conceptual ecology and invasion biology Reciprocal approaches to nature (pp307ndash322)DordrechtNetherlandsSpringerhttpsdoiorg1010071-4020-4925-0
Vitousek P M Drsquoantonio C M Loope L L Rejmanek M ampWestbrooksR(1997)IntroducedspeciesAsignificantcomponentofhuman-causedglobalchangeNew Zealand Journal of Ecology211ndash16
WHMasonNBastowWilsonJampBSteelJ(2007)Arealternativestable states more likely in high stress environments Logic andavailable evidencedonot supportDidhamet al 2005Oikos116353ndash357httpsdoiorg101111j0030-1299200715283x
Wardle D A (2001) Experimental demonstration that plant diver-sity reduces invasibilityndashEvidenceof abiologicalmechanismor aconsequence of sampling effect Oikos 95 161ndash170 httpsdoiorg101034j1600-07062001950119x
Woo I amp Zedler J B (2002) Can nutrients alone shift a sedgemeadow towards dominance by the invasive Typha times glaucaWetlands 22 509ndash521 httpsdoiorg1016720277-5212(2002) 022[0509CNASAS]20CO2
YurkonisKAMeinersSJampWachholderBE(2005)Invasionimpactsdiversity through altered community dynamics Journal of Ecology931053ndash1061httpsdoiorg101111j1365-2745200501029x
Zedler J B amp Kercher S (2004) Causes and consequences of in-vasive plants in wetlands Opportunities opportunists and out-comes Critical Reviews in Plant Sciences 23 431ndash452 httpsdoiorg10108007352680490514673
SUPPORTING INFORMATION
Additional Supporting Information may be found online in thesupportinginformationtabforthisarticle
How to cite this articleMuthukrishnanRHansel-WelchNLarkinDJEnvironmentalfilteringandcompetitiveexclusiondrivebiodiversity-invasibilityrelationshipsinshallowlakeplantcommunitiesJ Ecol 2018001ndash13 httpsdoiorg1011111365-274512963
emspensp emsp | emsp9Journal of EcologyMUTHUKRISHNAN eT Al
is a general expectation that biotic interactions dominate at localscalesbutaresupplantedbyabioticdeterminantsatbroaderscales(Fridleyetal2007)OurdatadonotsupportthispredictionRatherwefoundthatenvironmentalconditionswere relatively importantpredictorsof richnessat regionaland local scaleswhileeffectsofbiotic interactions were relatively weak However there was stillsubstantialunexplainedvariancethatmaybeinfluencedbyenviron-mentalfactorsnotconsideredaspartofthisstudyorbyalternativeecologicalmechanisms
Nativeandinvasivespeciesweresensitivetodifferentenviron-mentalfactorsinsomecasesevenshowingopposingresponsestothesameenvironmentalgradientsForexamplenativerichnesswasassociated with lower water depth and P while invasive richnesswas associatedwithgreaterdepth andPForwater clarity nativeandinvasivespeciesbothshowedpositiverelationshipsatthelocalscale but the relationshipwasweaker for invasive speciesThesedivergentpreferencessuggestthatnativeandinvasivespeciesoccu-piedsomewhatdifferentnichesSuchnichesegregationalonecouldproduceanegativeNERRwithoutbioticinteractionsbeinginvolved
ThepatternsweobservedindicatethatinvasivespeciesgainedanadvantageovernativespeciesundermoreeutrophicconditionsThis is presumably due to these species being better adapted toexploit higher resource availability and tolerate lower light levels(NicholsampShaw1986WooampZedler2002)Alternativelyitisalsopossible thatpoorwaterquality increasedwithgreaterhumanac-tivityandthathumanactivitywastheproximatecauseofgreaterinvasionratesviaincreasedtransmissionopportunities
Furthermorewhilegreaterenvironmentalheterogeneitywasassociatedwith increased richness of native speciesmdashconsistentwith a large body of ecological theory and literature (LarkinBrulandampZedler2016PickettampCadenasso1995)mdashtherewasno such response by invasive species This suggests that nativespecies were more specialized to depth and light niches withinlakes while invasive species occupied broader niches and werethus able to exploitmoremarginal habitatHowever our analy-seswere limited towater depth and Secchi depth it is possiblethat invadersmayhaveexhibitedgreater responsiveness tohet-erogeneity in other environmental factors Greater responsive-nesstoincreasedresourceavailabilityandbroaderenvironmentaltolerances appear to be attributes of successful invasive plantsin general (Davis Grime amp Thompson 2000 Zedler amp Kercher2004) and global drivers of change reinforce these advantages(ThompsonampDavis2011)Innorthernshallowlakesrecentfind-ings point to persistent anthropogenic shifts to more nutrient-rich turbidalternativestates (RamstackHobbsetal2016)Ourfindingssuggestthatthesechangeswillexacerbateaquaticplantinvasions
42emsp|emspInvasive species win biotic interactions Competitive exclusion but not biotic resistance
How new invasions affect native plant communities depends onbiotic interactions between resident native vegetation and invad-ing speciesWe analysed repeated surveys in the same locations
F IGURE 5emspRelationshipsbetweentheheterogeneityofdepthorSecchidepthinalakeandtherichnessofnativespecies(ac)andinvasivespecies(bd)Pointsarejitteredalongthey-axisforclarityandsolidanddashedlinesindicatethemeanand95confidenceintervaloftheestimatedvalue
0 2 4 6 8 10 12
010
2030
40
Lake depth SD
Nat
ive
spec
ies
richn
ess
0 2 4 6 8 10 12
Lake depth SD
Inva
sive
spe
cies
rich
ness
01
23
0 1 2 3 4
010
2030
40
Lake Secchi depth SD
Nat
ive
spec
ies
richn
ess
0 1 2 3 4
Lake Secchi depth SD
Inva
sive
spe
cies
rich
ness
01
23
(a) (b)
(c) (d)
10emsp |emsp emspenspJournal of Ecology MUTHUKRISHNAN eT Al
toinvestigatebioticinteractionsandfoundmixedsupportfortheirimportanceAftersampling locationswere invadednativespeciesrichness tended to decrease over timewhile uninvaded locationsgained species This supports the competitive exclusion hypoth-esisiethatinvadersreducelocal-scalediversitybydisplacingna-tive species In contrastwhenweevaluatedbiotic resistancewefoundnoevidencethatmore-diversesiteswerelesslikelytobesub-sequently invadedAcaveat is that invasionsarehighlystochasticprocessespunctuatedbyrelativelyfewinvasionevents(Macketal2000Simberloff2009)Furthermoreitisdifficulttoresurveypre-ciselocationsovermultipleyearsandimperfectdetectionmaycon-foundspeciesrsquopresenceabsencerecords(ChenKeacuteryPlattnerMaampGardner2013)ThesefactorscanresultinnoisydatasetsandassuchthelikelihoodoftypeIIerrors(falsenegatives)maybeparticu-larlyhighandtheabilitytodetectasignallowYetourabilitytostillidentifycompetitiveexclusiondespitesuchnoisesuggeststhatourgeneralapproachisvalidandthatbioticresistanceislikelyweakerorpotentiallyabsentinthissystemthoughitisdifficulttomakeadirectcomparisonofprocessstrengthsThuswhilewefoundevi-denceofinfluentialbioticinteractionsatthelocalscaleasexpected(Fridleyetal2007)wedidnotobservebioticresistancewhichisoftenconsideredtobethekeydriverforanegativeNERR(FargioneampTilman2005Levineetal2004) Insteadwefoundstatisticallysignificant evidence for competitive exclusionwhich is less oftencitedasadriverofnegativeNERRsThoughtheeffectsweobservedwererelativelymodestontheorderofonemorespeciesbeinglostper decade in invaded sites relative to uninvaded sites and therewashighvariabilitywithmany individualsitesand lakesexhibitingtheoppositepattern
Overtimebioticresistanceandcompetitiveexclusioncanpro-duce similar negativeNERR patterns Studies inwhich richness isexamined at only a single timepoint are inherently unable todis-criminate these twoprocessesYet the twomechanismshavedif-ferent implications for conservation and management A systemwithstrongbioticresistancewillberesilienttoinvasions(FargioneampTilman2005Naeemetal2000)andmanagingfordiversitycanminimizeriskButwherebioticresistanceisweakandcompetitiveexclusion likely uninvaded communities are vulnerable and biodi-versitywillnotreduceinvasionrisk
Thecombinationofbroaderenvironmentaltoleranceofinvasivespecies and the potential for competitive displacement of nativespeciesmayprovidean importantpathwayfor invasionBytakingadvantageofmarginal habitat fornative species invaders canes-tablishinnewareaswithoutfacingcompetitionOnceestablishedpropagule pressure can then promote spread into nearby habitatpreferredbynativespecies(LockwoodCasseyampBlackburn2005)Propagulepressurefromnearbysourceswill farexceedthatasso-ciatedwith rare long-distance dispersal events (Simberloff 2009)andcouldswampeffectsofbioticresistance(ThomsenDrsquoAntonioSuttleampSousa2006)This ldquoleapfroggingrdquoof invasiveplants frommarginal to preferred habitat has been demonstrated in invasionof EuropeanPhragmites australis inNorthAmericawhich spreadsacross the landscape via highway corridors and anthropogenic
habitat(LelongLavoieJodoinampBelzile2007TaddeoampDeBlois2012)providingpropagulesthatcantheninvadeintactnaturalwet-landsanddisplacenativespecies(FantPriceampLarkin2016PriceFantampLarkin2014)Theimportanceofenvironmentalconditionsin determining native and invasive species richness suggest thatmanagementofthosefactorsmaybeakeystrategyforlimitingin-vaderestablishment
At the larger spatial scale of whole lakes our findings morecloselymatchexpectationsfromothersystems(Daviesetal2005Fridleyetal2007LevineampDrsquoAntonio1999)Ourlake-scaleanal-yses showed no evidence of biotic resistance or competitive ex-clusion instead native and invasive species richness increased inconcert This is consistentwithNERRs not being driven by bioticinteractions at large spatial scales but instead broader environ-mental historical or biogeographic factors (Cavender-Bares etal2009Fridleyetal2007Ricklefs2004)Native species richnessincreasedwithenvironmentalheterogeneitywhichalignswiththeexpectationthattheinclusionofbroaderenvironmentalconditionsdrivesregional-scalediversitypatterns(Daviesetal2005Fridleyetal2007LevineampDrsquoAntonio1999)thoughwedidnotobservea similar pattern for invasive specieswith the environmental fac-torsweevaluatedNonethelessevenifinvasivespecieshavebroadenvironmentaltolerancesandarenotinfluencedbyheterogeneitystochasticprocessescouldstillleadtoincreasedinvaderrichnessatlargerspatialscalesresultinginapositiveNERR(FridleyBrownampBruno2004)
43emsp|emspIs biotic resistance ldquoall dryrdquo
Whileourresultsregardingtherelativeimportanceofbioticinterac-tions vs abiotic drivers run counter to previous findingsmdashparticu-larlywithrespecttotheabsenceofbioticresistancemdashthecauseofthat inconsistency remainsuncertain Itmaybepartlydue to fewstudies simultaneously investigating multiple alternative mecha-nismsofNERRs (but seeFargioneampTilman 2005) or topatternsbeingattributed tomechanisms thatarepresumed tobecommonbuthavenotbeenexplicitlytested
Itisalsopossiblethatthepreponderanceofdiversity-invasibilityresearch that comes from terrestrial systems biases expectationsStrong (1992) asked whether trophic cascades were ldquoall wetrdquo Isbiotic resistance ldquoall dryrdquo Nearly all evidence for local-scale bi-otic resistance comes from grassland or other terrestrial systems(FargioneampTilman2005Fridleyetal 2007 Levineetal 2004Naeemetal2000butseeStachowiczetal1999)Relativelylittleresearchhasbeenconductedinaquaticplantcommunitiesandsomepast findings have run counter to terrestrial expectations Capersetal(2007)foundnoevidenceofbioticresistanceinlakeplantcom-munitiesinthenortheasternUSInlakesacrosstheUSFlemingDibbleMadsen andWersal (2015) testedDarwinrsquos naturalizationhypothesisthatnichesbeingoccupiedbycloserelativeswouldrepelinvaderstheyfoundnoevidenceofsuchresistanceStroumlmJanssonandNilsson (2014) experimentally demonstrated a local-scale butpositiveNERRinborealwetlands
emspensp emsp | emsp11Journal of EcologyMUTHUKRISHNAN eT Al
Why would diversity-invasibility relationships differ betweenland and water There is some evidence that aquatic plant com-munities are more strongly structured by abiotic environmentalconstraints (Heino Soininen Alahuhta Lappalainen amp Virtanen2017 Santamariacutea 2002) Difficult environmental conditions inaquatic communities particularly at higher latitudes may imposesuch a strong filter on the macrophyte habitat species pool thatspeciesinteractionshavelimitedinfluenceoncommunityassembly(Santamariacutea2002)Similarpatternshavebeenobservedinaquaticinvertebratecommunities(MilnerBrittainCastellaampPetts2001PeckarskyHornampStatzner1990) suggesting that thismaybeacommonpatternforfreshwatersystemsIftherelativeimportanceof abiotic andbioticprocesses inNERRs systematically variesbe-tween terrestrial and aquatic systems then the limited researchperformedinthelattercouldbiasourgeneralunderstandingoftheecologicalmechanismscontributingtothesepatterns
44emsp|emspImplications for biodiversity conservation and invasive species management
Invasive species are one of the most important drivers of globalchangeandcandrasticallyrestructureecosystems(TylianakisDidhamBascompteampWardle2008VitousekDrsquoantonioLoopeRejmanekampWestbrooks1997WHMasonBastowWilsonampBSteel2007)Therelationshipbetweendiversity and compositionof native communi-ties and their invasibility has been a fundamental areaof inquiry inecologygoingbacktoElton(1958)andevenDarwin(Daehler2001)Understandingtheconditionsthatallowinvasivespeciestoestablishandthatmediatetheirimpactsremaincriticalissuesforconservationandmanagement(Byersetal2002Macketal2000)Studyingtherelationshipbetweendiversityofnativespeciesandinvasivespeciescanofferimportantinsightsintothesequestionsbyhelpingtoidentifythefactorsthatsupportordeter invasions Inparticular the ideaofbioticresistancesuggestsaldquovirtuouscyclerdquowhereineffortstosupportbiodiversityalsohelprepel invasionsHoweverthepatternsweob-servedsuggestthatwatershedmanagementtosupportwaterqualitymaybeamoreeffectivemeansofmitigatinginvasionsandtheirim-pactsNonethelessitisclearthatdiversity-invasibilitypatternscanbedrivenbymultiplemechanismsand recognizing thecontext-specificimportance of these differentmechanisms can help refinemanage-mentstrategies
Our analysis of alternativemechanisms underlyingNERRs inshallow lakes reveals several concerning trends (1)environmen-tal conditions consistent with broad patterns of anthropogenicchangebenefitinvasivespecies(2)lakeswithhigherbiodiversityvaluearemorelikelytobecomeinvadedand(3)bioticinteractionsrepresentedaldquobadnews-badnewsrdquoscenariowhereinlocal-scalediversitydoesnotconferresistancetoinvasionbutinvasiondoesreduce local-scale diversity via competitive exclusion Howeverour results do support continued effort towards establishedstrategies for invasive speciesmanagement Specifically effortstomaintainor improve lakecondition reducespreadof invasivespecies and restore diverse plant assemblageswhere they have
beenlostareneededtoslowtheerosionofnativeplantdiversityintheseimportantecosystems
ACKNOWLEDG EMENTS
FundingforthisprojectwasprovidedthroughtheMinnesotaAquaticInvasive Species ResearchCenter from theMinnesota Environmentand Natural Resources Trust Fund We thank A Geisen and theShallowLakesProgramstafffortheirextensiveeffortscollectingandorganizing fielddata (whichwassupportedby theMinnesotaGameandFish fundMinnesotaEnvironmentandNaturalResourcesTrustFundandtheOutdoorHeritageFund)andWGlissonMVerhoeven CWagnerandRNewmanforinputonthemanuscriptTheauthorsdeclarenoconflictsofinterest
AUTHORSrsquo CONTRIBUTIONS
NH-W managed data collection RM and DJL designed thestudyandanalysesRManalysedthedataandwrotetheinitialdraftofthemanuscriptAllauthorsparticipatedindatainterpretationandrevisingthemanuscript
DATA ACCE SSIBILIT Y
MacrophytecommunitydataenvironmentaldataandanalysisscriptsforthisstudyareavailablefromtheDryadDigitalRepositoryhttpsdoiorg105061dryad19cf1c2 (Muthukrishnan Hansel-Welch ampLarkin2018)
ORCID
Ranjan Muthukrishnan httporcidorg0000-0002-7001-6249
R E FE R E N C E S
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ByersJEReichardSRandallJMParkerIMSmithCSLonsdaleW M hellip Hayes D (2002) Directing research to reduce the im-pactsofnonindigenousspeciesConservation Biology16630ndash640httpsdoiorg101046j1523-1739200201057x
Capers R S Selsky R BugbeeG J ampWhite J C (2007) Aquaticplantcommunityinvasibilityandscale-dependentpatternsinnativeand invasive species richnessEcology88 3135ndash3143 httpsdoiorg10189006-19111
CasasGScrosatiRampLuzPirizM(2004)TheinvasivekelpUndaria pinnatifida (Phaeophyceae Laminariales) reduces native seaweeddiversityinnuevogulf(PatagoniaArgentina)Biological Invasions6411ndash416httpsdoiorg101023BBINV00000415552930541
Cavender-Bares J Kozak K H Fine P V A amp Kembel S W(2009) The merging of community ecology and phylogenetic
12emsp |emsp emspenspJournal of Ecology MUTHUKRISHNAN eT Al
biology Ecology Letters 12 693ndash715 httpsdoiorg101111 j1461-0248200901314x
ChenGKeacuteryMPlattnerMMaKampGardnerB(2013)Imperfectdetection is the rule rather than the exception in plant distri-bution studies Journal of Ecology 101 183ndash191 httpsdoiorg1011111365-274512021
Chesson P (2000) General theory of competitive coexistence inspatially-varying environments Theoretical Population Biology 58211ndash237httpsdoiorg101006tpbi20001486
ClelandEESmithMDAndelmanSJBowlesCCarneyKMClaireHorner-DevineMhellipVandermastDB(2004)InvasioninspaceandtimeNon-nativespeciesrichnessandrelativeabundancerespondtointerannualvariationinproductivityanddiversityEcology Letters7947ndash957httpsdoiorg101111j1461-0248200400655x
DaehlerCC (2001)DarwinrsquosnaturalizationhypothesisrevisitedThe American Naturalist158324ndash330httpsdoiorg101086321316
DaviesKFChessonPHarrisonS InouyeBDMelbourneBAampRiceKJ(2005)Spatialheterogeneityexplainsthescaledepen-denceofthenativendashexoticdiversityrelationshipEcology861602ndash1610httpsdoiorg10189004-1196
DaviesKFHarrisonSSaffordHDampViersJH(2007)ProductivityaltersthescaledependenceofthediversityndashinvasibilityrelationshipEcology881940ndash1947httpsdoiorg10189006-19071
DavisMAGrimeJPampThompsonK(2000)FluctuatingresourcesinplantcommunitiesAgeneraltheoryofinvasibilityJournal of Ecology88528ndash534httpsdoiorg101046j1365-2745200000473x
Elton C S (1958) The ecology of invasions by animals and plants Chicago IL University of Chicago Press httpsdoiorg101007 978-1-4899-7214-9
Fant JBPriceA LampLarkinD J (2016)The influenceofhabitatdisturbanceongeneticstructureandreproductivestrategieswithinstandsofnativeandnon-nativePhragmites australis(commonreed)Diversity and Distributions221301ndash1313httpsdoiorg101111ddi12492
FargioneJEampTilmanD(2005)DiversitydecreasesinvasionviabothsamplingandcomplementarityeffectsEcology Letters8604ndash611httpsdoiorg101111j1461-0248200500753x
Fleming J P Dibble E D Madsen J D amp Wersal R M (2015)InvestigationofDarwinrsquosnaturalizationhypothesisininvadedmac-rophyte communities Biological Invasions 17 1519ndash1531 httpsdoiorg101007s10530-014-0812-0
Fridley JDBrownR LampBruno J F (2004)Nullmodels of ex-otic invasion and scale-dependent patterns of native and ex-otic species richness Ecology 85 3215ndash3222 httpsdoiorg10189003-0676
Fridley J D Stachowicz J J Naeem S Sax D F SeabloomE W Smith M D hellip Von Holle B (2007) The invasion par-adox Reconciling pattern and process in species invasionsEcology 88 3ndash17 httpsdoiorg1018900012-9658(2007)88 [3TIPRPA]20CO2
HalekohUampHoslashjsgaardS(2014)AKenward-RogerapproximationandparametricbootstrapmethodsfortestsinlinearmixedmodelsndashTheRPackagepbkrtestJournal of Statistical Software591ndash32
HeinoJSoininenJAlahuhtaJLappalainenJampVirtanenR(2017)MetacommunityecologymeetsbiogeographyEffectsofgeograph-icalregionspatialdynamicsandenvironmentalfilteringoncommu-nitystructureinaquaticorganismsOecologia183121ndash137httpsdoiorg101007s00442-016-3750-y
HenrikssonAWardleDATryggJDiehlSampEnglundG(2016)Strong invaders are strong defenders ndash Implications for the resis-tanceofinvadedcommunitiesEcology Letters19487ndash494httpsdoiorg101111ele12586
HustonMA(1999)LocalprocessesandregionalpatternsAppropriatescalesforunderstandingvariationinthediversityofplantsandani-malsOikos86393ndash401httpsdoiorg1023073546645
Kennedy T A Naeem S Howe KM Knops JM H Tilman DampReich P (2002) Biodiversity as a barrier to ecological invasionNature417636ndash638httpsdoiorg101038nature00776
LarkinDJBrulandGLampZedlerJB(2016)HeterogeneitytheoryandecologicalrestorationInMAPalmerJBZedlerampDAFalk(Eds)Foundations of restoration ecology(pp271ndash300)WashingtonDCIslandPresshttpsdoiorg105822978-1-61091-698-1
LelongBLavoieCJodoinYampBelzileF(2007)Expansionpathwaysoftheexoticcommonreed(Phragmites australis)Ahistoricalandge-netic analysisDiversity and Distributions13 430ndash437 httpsdoiorg101111j1472-4642200700351x
LevineJM(2000)SpeciesdiversityandbiologicalinvasionsRelatinglocalprocesstocommunitypatternScience288852ndash854httpsdoiorg101126science2885467852
LevineJMAdlerPBampYelenikSG(2004)Ameta-analysisofbi-oticresistancetoexoticplantinvasionsEcology Letters7975ndash989httpsdoiorg101111j1461-0248200400657x
LevineJMampDrsquoAntonioCM(1999)EltonrevisitedAreviewofevi-dencelinkingdiversityandinvasibilityOikos8715ndash26httpsdoiorg1023073546992
Lockwood J LCasseyPampBlackburnT (2005)The roleofpropa-gulepressure inexplainingspecies invasionsTrends in Ecology and Evolution20223ndash228httpsdoiorg101016jtree200502004
MackRNSimberloffDLonsdaleWMEvansHCloutMampBazzazF A (2000) Biotic invasions Causes epidemiology global conse-quences and controlEcological Applications10 689ndash710 httpsdoiorg1018901051-0761(2000)010[0689BICEGC]20CO2
Milburn S A BourdaghsM ampHusveth J J (2007)Floristic quality assessment for minnesota wetlandsStPaulMNMinnesotaPollutionControlAgency
Millennium Ecosystem Assessment (2005) Ecosystems and human well-being SynthesisWashingtonDCIslandPress
MilnerAMBrittainJ ECastella EampPettsGE (2001)Trendsofmacroinvertebratecommunitystructureinglacier-fedriversinrelationtoenvironmentalconditionsAsynthesisFreshwater Biology461833ndash1847httpsdoiorg101046j1365-2427200100861x
MuthukrishnanRHansel-WelchNampLarkinDJ(2018)DatafromEnvironmentalfilteringandcompetitiveexclusiondrivebiodiversity-invasibility relationships in shallow lake plant communitiesDryad Digital Repositoryhttpsdoiorg105061dryad19cf1c2
NaeemSKnopsJMHTilmanDHoweKMKennedyTampGaleS(2000)Plantdiversityincreasesresistancetoinvasionintheab-senceofcovaryingextrinsicfactorsOikos9197ndash108httpsdoiorg101034j1600-07062000910108x
NicholsSAampShawBH(1986)Ecologicallifehistoriesofthethreeaquatic nuisance plantsMyriophyllum spicatum Potamogeton cris-pus and Elodea canadensis Hydrobiologia 131 3ndash21 httpsdoiorg101007BF00008319
Olmanson L G Bauer M E amp Brezonik P L (2008) A 20-yearLandsatwater clarity census ofMinnesotarsquos 10000 lakesRemote Sensing of Environment 112 4086ndash4097 httpsdoiorg101016 jrse200712013
OlmansonLGBrezonikPLampBauerME (2014)Geospatialandtemporalanalysisofa20-yearrecordofLandsat-basedwaterclar-ity in Minnesotarsquos 10000 Lakes JAWRA Journal of the American Water Resources Association50 748ndash761 httpsdoiorg101111jawr12138
PaavolaM Olenin S amp Leppaumlkoski E (2005) Are invasive speciesmost successful in habitats of low native species richness acrossEuropeanbrackishwater seasEstuarine Coastal and Shelf Science64738ndash750httpsdoiorg101016jecss200503021
Peckarsky B L Horn S C amp Statzner B (1990) Stonefly preda-tion along a hydraulic gradient A field test of the harshmdashbe-nign hypothesis Freshwater Biology 24 181ndash191 httpsdoiorg101111j1365-24271990tb00317x
emspensp emsp | emsp13Journal of EcologyMUTHUKRISHNAN eT Al
PickettSTAampCadenassoML(1995)LandscapeecologySpatialheterogeneityinecologicalsystemsScience269331ndash333httpsdoiorg101126science2695222331
PriceALFantJBampLarkinDJ(2014)Ecologyofnativevsintro-duced Phragmites australis(commonreed)inChicago-areawetlandsWetlands34369ndash377httpsdoiorg101007s13157-013-0504-z
RCoreTeam(2014)R A language and environment for statistical comput-ingViennaAustriaRFoundationforStatisticalComputing
Ramstack Hobbs J M HobbsW O Edlund M B Zimmer K DTheissenKMHoidalNhellipCotnerJB(2016)ThelegacyoflargeregimeshiftsinshallowlakesEcological Applications262662ndash2676httpsdoiorg101002eap1382
RichardsCLBossdorfOMuthNZGurevitch JampPigliucciM(2006)JackofalltradesmasterofsomeOntheroleofphenotypicplasticityinplantinvasionsEcology Letters9981ndash993httpsdoiorg101111j1461-0248200600950x
Ricklefs R E (2004) A comprehensive framework for global pat-terns in biodiversity Ecology Letters 7 1ndash15 httpsdoiorg101046j1461-0248200300554x
SantamariacuteaL(2002)WhyaremostaquaticplantswidelydistributedDispersalclonalgrowthandsmall-scaleheterogeneityinastressfulenvironmentActa Oecologica23137ndash154httpsdoiorg101016S1146-609X(02)01146-3
SimberloffD(2009)Theroleofpropagulepressureinbiologicalinva-sionsAnnual Review of Ecology Evolution and Systematics40 81ndash102httpsdoiorg101146annurevecolsys110308120304
SimberloffDampVonHolleB(1999)Positiveinteractionsofnonindig-enous species InvasionalmeltdownBiological Invasions1 21ndash32httpsdoiorg101023A1010086329619
Stachowicz J JWhitlatch R BampOsman RW (1999) Species di-versityandinvasionresistanceinamarineecosystemScience2861577ndashLP-1579httpsdoiorg101126science28654441577
StohlgrenTJBinkleyDChongGWKalkhanMASchellLDBullKAhellipSonY(1999)ExoticplantspeciesinvadehotspotsofnativeplantdiversityEcological Monographs6925ndash46httpsdoiorg1018900012-9615(1999)069[0025EPSIHS]20CO2
Stroumlm L Jansson R ampNilsson C (2014) Invasibility of borealwet-landplantcommunitiesJournal of Vegetation Science251078ndash1089httpsdoiorg101111jvs12157
StrongDR (1992)Are trophic cascadesallwetDifferentiationanddonor-controlinspecioseecosystemsEcology73747ndash754httpsdoiorg1023071940154
Taddeo S amp De Blois S (2012) Coexistence of introduced and na-tive common reed (Phragmites australis) in freshwater wetlandsEcoscience1999ndash105httpsdoiorg10298019-2-3468
ThompsonKampDavisMA(2011)WhyresearchontraitsofinvasiveplantstellsusverylittleTrends in Ecology amp Evolution26155ndash156httpsdoiorg101016jtree201101007
ThomsenMADrsquoAntonioCMSuttleKBampSousaWP (2006)EcologicalresistanceseeddensityandtheirinteractionsdeterminepatternsofinvasioninaCaliforniacoastalgrasslandEcology Letters9160ndash170httpsdoiorg101111j1461-0248200500857x
Tilman D (2004) Niche tradeoffs neutrality and community struc-ture A stochastic theory of resource competition invasion and
communityassemblyProceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America 101 10854ndash10861 httpsdoiorg101073pnas0403458101
Tylianakis J M Didham R K Bascompte J amp Wardle D A(2008) Global change and species interactions in terres-trial ecosystems Ecology Letters 11 1351ndash1363 httpsdoiorg101111j1461-0248200801250x
USDA N (2016) The PLANTS Database Retrived from httpplantsusdagov
VazquezDP(2006)ExploringtherelationshipbetweennichebreadthandinvasionsuccessInMWCadotteSMMcmahonampTFukami(Eds)Conceptual ecology and invasion biology Reciprocal approaches to nature (pp307ndash322)DordrechtNetherlandsSpringerhttpsdoiorg1010071-4020-4925-0
Vitousek P M Drsquoantonio C M Loope L L Rejmanek M ampWestbrooksR(1997)IntroducedspeciesAsignificantcomponentofhuman-causedglobalchangeNew Zealand Journal of Ecology211ndash16
WHMasonNBastowWilsonJampBSteelJ(2007)Arealternativestable states more likely in high stress environments Logic andavailable evidencedonot supportDidhamet al 2005Oikos116353ndash357httpsdoiorg101111j0030-1299200715283x
Wardle D A (2001) Experimental demonstration that plant diver-sity reduces invasibilityndashEvidenceof abiologicalmechanismor aconsequence of sampling effect Oikos 95 161ndash170 httpsdoiorg101034j1600-07062001950119x
Woo I amp Zedler J B (2002) Can nutrients alone shift a sedgemeadow towards dominance by the invasive Typha times glaucaWetlands 22 509ndash521 httpsdoiorg1016720277-5212(2002) 022[0509CNASAS]20CO2
YurkonisKAMeinersSJampWachholderBE(2005)Invasionimpactsdiversity through altered community dynamics Journal of Ecology931053ndash1061httpsdoiorg101111j1365-2745200501029x
Zedler J B amp Kercher S (2004) Causes and consequences of in-vasive plants in wetlands Opportunities opportunists and out-comes Critical Reviews in Plant Sciences 23 431ndash452 httpsdoiorg10108007352680490514673
SUPPORTING INFORMATION
Additional Supporting Information may be found online in thesupportinginformationtabforthisarticle
How to cite this articleMuthukrishnanRHansel-WelchNLarkinDJEnvironmentalfilteringandcompetitiveexclusiondrivebiodiversity-invasibilityrelationshipsinshallowlakeplantcommunitiesJ Ecol 2018001ndash13 httpsdoiorg1011111365-274512963
10emsp |emsp emspenspJournal of Ecology MUTHUKRISHNAN eT Al
toinvestigatebioticinteractionsandfoundmixedsupportfortheirimportanceAftersampling locationswere invadednativespeciesrichness tended to decrease over timewhile uninvaded locationsgained species This supports the competitive exclusion hypoth-esisiethatinvadersreducelocal-scalediversitybydisplacingna-tive species In contrastwhenweevaluatedbiotic resistancewefoundnoevidencethatmore-diversesiteswerelesslikelytobesub-sequently invadedAcaveat is that invasionsarehighlystochasticprocessespunctuatedbyrelativelyfewinvasionevents(Macketal2000Simberloff2009)Furthermoreitisdifficulttoresurveypre-ciselocationsovermultipleyearsandimperfectdetectionmaycon-foundspeciesrsquopresenceabsencerecords(ChenKeacuteryPlattnerMaampGardner2013)ThesefactorscanresultinnoisydatasetsandassuchthelikelihoodoftypeIIerrors(falsenegatives)maybeparticu-larlyhighandtheabilitytodetectasignallowYetourabilitytostillidentifycompetitiveexclusiondespitesuchnoisesuggeststhatourgeneralapproachisvalidandthatbioticresistanceislikelyweakerorpotentiallyabsentinthissystemthoughitisdifficulttomakeadirectcomparisonofprocessstrengthsThuswhilewefoundevi-denceofinfluentialbioticinteractionsatthelocalscaleasexpected(Fridleyetal2007)wedidnotobservebioticresistancewhichisoftenconsideredtobethekeydriverforanegativeNERR(FargioneampTilman2005Levineetal2004) Insteadwefoundstatisticallysignificant evidence for competitive exclusionwhich is less oftencitedasadriverofnegativeNERRsThoughtheeffectsweobservedwererelativelymodestontheorderofonemorespeciesbeinglostper decade in invaded sites relative to uninvaded sites and therewashighvariabilitywithmany individualsitesand lakesexhibitingtheoppositepattern
Overtimebioticresistanceandcompetitiveexclusioncanpro-duce similar negativeNERR patterns Studies inwhich richness isexamined at only a single timepoint are inherently unable todis-criminate these twoprocessesYet the twomechanismshavedif-ferent implications for conservation and management A systemwithstrongbioticresistancewillberesilienttoinvasions(FargioneampTilman2005Naeemetal2000)andmanagingfordiversitycanminimizeriskButwherebioticresistanceisweakandcompetitiveexclusion likely uninvaded communities are vulnerable and biodi-versitywillnotreduceinvasionrisk
Thecombinationofbroaderenvironmentaltoleranceofinvasivespecies and the potential for competitive displacement of nativespeciesmayprovidean importantpathwayfor invasionBytakingadvantageofmarginal habitat fornative species invaders canes-tablishinnewareaswithoutfacingcompetitionOnceestablishedpropagule pressure can then promote spread into nearby habitatpreferredbynativespecies(LockwoodCasseyampBlackburn2005)Propagulepressurefromnearbysourceswill farexceedthatasso-ciatedwith rare long-distance dispersal events (Simberloff 2009)andcouldswampeffectsofbioticresistance(ThomsenDrsquoAntonioSuttleampSousa2006)This ldquoleapfroggingrdquoof invasiveplants frommarginal to preferred habitat has been demonstrated in invasionof EuropeanPhragmites australis inNorthAmericawhich spreadsacross the landscape via highway corridors and anthropogenic
habitat(LelongLavoieJodoinampBelzile2007TaddeoampDeBlois2012)providingpropagulesthatcantheninvadeintactnaturalwet-landsanddisplacenativespecies(FantPriceampLarkin2016PriceFantampLarkin2014)Theimportanceofenvironmentalconditionsin determining native and invasive species richness suggest thatmanagementofthosefactorsmaybeakeystrategyforlimitingin-vaderestablishment
At the larger spatial scale of whole lakes our findings morecloselymatchexpectationsfromothersystems(Daviesetal2005Fridleyetal2007LevineampDrsquoAntonio1999)Ourlake-scaleanal-yses showed no evidence of biotic resistance or competitive ex-clusion instead native and invasive species richness increased inconcert This is consistentwithNERRs not being driven by bioticinteractions at large spatial scales but instead broader environ-mental historical or biogeographic factors (Cavender-Bares etal2009Fridleyetal2007Ricklefs2004)Native species richnessincreasedwithenvironmentalheterogeneitywhichalignswiththeexpectationthattheinclusionofbroaderenvironmentalconditionsdrivesregional-scalediversitypatterns(Daviesetal2005Fridleyetal2007LevineampDrsquoAntonio1999)thoughwedidnotobservea similar pattern for invasive specieswith the environmental fac-torsweevaluatedNonethelessevenifinvasivespecieshavebroadenvironmentaltolerancesandarenotinfluencedbyheterogeneitystochasticprocessescouldstillleadtoincreasedinvaderrichnessatlargerspatialscalesresultinginapositiveNERR(FridleyBrownampBruno2004)
43emsp|emspIs biotic resistance ldquoall dryrdquo
Whileourresultsregardingtherelativeimportanceofbioticinterac-tions vs abiotic drivers run counter to previous findingsmdashparticu-larlywithrespecttotheabsenceofbioticresistancemdashthecauseofthat inconsistency remainsuncertain Itmaybepartlydue to fewstudies simultaneously investigating multiple alternative mecha-nismsofNERRs (but seeFargioneampTilman 2005) or topatternsbeingattributed tomechanisms thatarepresumed tobecommonbuthavenotbeenexplicitlytested
Itisalsopossiblethatthepreponderanceofdiversity-invasibilityresearch that comes from terrestrial systems biases expectationsStrong (1992) asked whether trophic cascades were ldquoall wetrdquo Isbiotic resistance ldquoall dryrdquo Nearly all evidence for local-scale bi-otic resistance comes from grassland or other terrestrial systems(FargioneampTilman2005Fridleyetal 2007 Levineetal 2004Naeemetal2000butseeStachowiczetal1999)Relativelylittleresearchhasbeenconductedinaquaticplantcommunitiesandsomepast findings have run counter to terrestrial expectations Capersetal(2007)foundnoevidenceofbioticresistanceinlakeplantcom-munitiesinthenortheasternUSInlakesacrosstheUSFlemingDibbleMadsen andWersal (2015) testedDarwinrsquos naturalizationhypothesisthatnichesbeingoccupiedbycloserelativeswouldrepelinvaderstheyfoundnoevidenceofsuchresistanceStroumlmJanssonandNilsson (2014) experimentally demonstrated a local-scale butpositiveNERRinborealwetlands
emspensp emsp | emsp11Journal of EcologyMUTHUKRISHNAN eT Al
Why would diversity-invasibility relationships differ betweenland and water There is some evidence that aquatic plant com-munities are more strongly structured by abiotic environmentalconstraints (Heino Soininen Alahuhta Lappalainen amp Virtanen2017 Santamariacutea 2002) Difficult environmental conditions inaquatic communities particularly at higher latitudes may imposesuch a strong filter on the macrophyte habitat species pool thatspeciesinteractionshavelimitedinfluenceoncommunityassembly(Santamariacutea2002)Similarpatternshavebeenobservedinaquaticinvertebratecommunities(MilnerBrittainCastellaampPetts2001PeckarskyHornampStatzner1990) suggesting that thismaybeacommonpatternforfreshwatersystemsIftherelativeimportanceof abiotic andbioticprocesses inNERRs systematically variesbe-tween terrestrial and aquatic systems then the limited researchperformedinthelattercouldbiasourgeneralunderstandingoftheecologicalmechanismscontributingtothesepatterns
44emsp|emspImplications for biodiversity conservation and invasive species management
Invasive species are one of the most important drivers of globalchangeandcandrasticallyrestructureecosystems(TylianakisDidhamBascompteampWardle2008VitousekDrsquoantonioLoopeRejmanekampWestbrooks1997WHMasonBastowWilsonampBSteel2007)Therelationshipbetweendiversity and compositionof native communi-ties and their invasibility has been a fundamental areaof inquiry inecologygoingbacktoElton(1958)andevenDarwin(Daehler2001)Understandingtheconditionsthatallowinvasivespeciestoestablishandthatmediatetheirimpactsremaincriticalissuesforconservationandmanagement(Byersetal2002Macketal2000)Studyingtherelationshipbetweendiversityofnativespeciesandinvasivespeciescanofferimportantinsightsintothesequestionsbyhelpingtoidentifythefactorsthatsupportordeter invasions Inparticular the ideaofbioticresistancesuggestsaldquovirtuouscyclerdquowhereineffortstosupportbiodiversityalsohelprepel invasionsHoweverthepatternsweob-servedsuggestthatwatershedmanagementtosupportwaterqualitymaybeamoreeffectivemeansofmitigatinginvasionsandtheirim-pactsNonethelessitisclearthatdiversity-invasibilitypatternscanbedrivenbymultiplemechanismsand recognizing thecontext-specificimportance of these differentmechanisms can help refinemanage-mentstrategies
Our analysis of alternativemechanisms underlyingNERRs inshallow lakes reveals several concerning trends (1)environmen-tal conditions consistent with broad patterns of anthropogenicchangebenefitinvasivespecies(2)lakeswithhigherbiodiversityvaluearemorelikelytobecomeinvadedand(3)bioticinteractionsrepresentedaldquobadnews-badnewsrdquoscenariowhereinlocal-scalediversitydoesnotconferresistancetoinvasionbutinvasiondoesreduce local-scale diversity via competitive exclusion Howeverour results do support continued effort towards establishedstrategies for invasive speciesmanagement Specifically effortstomaintainor improve lakecondition reducespreadof invasivespecies and restore diverse plant assemblageswhere they have
beenlostareneededtoslowtheerosionofnativeplantdiversityintheseimportantecosystems
ACKNOWLEDG EMENTS
FundingforthisprojectwasprovidedthroughtheMinnesotaAquaticInvasive Species ResearchCenter from theMinnesota Environmentand Natural Resources Trust Fund We thank A Geisen and theShallowLakesProgramstafffortheirextensiveeffortscollectingandorganizing fielddata (whichwassupportedby theMinnesotaGameandFish fundMinnesotaEnvironmentandNaturalResourcesTrustFundandtheOutdoorHeritageFund)andWGlissonMVerhoeven CWagnerandRNewmanforinputonthemanuscriptTheauthorsdeclarenoconflictsofinterest
AUTHORSrsquo CONTRIBUTIONS
NH-W managed data collection RM and DJL designed thestudyandanalysesRManalysedthedataandwrotetheinitialdraftofthemanuscriptAllauthorsparticipatedindatainterpretationandrevisingthemanuscript
DATA ACCE SSIBILIT Y
MacrophytecommunitydataenvironmentaldataandanalysisscriptsforthisstudyareavailablefromtheDryadDigitalRepositoryhttpsdoiorg105061dryad19cf1c2 (Muthukrishnan Hansel-Welch ampLarkin2018)
ORCID
Ranjan Muthukrishnan httporcidorg0000-0002-7001-6249
R E FE R E N C E S
BatesDMaumlchlerMBolkerBampWalkerS(2015)Fittinglinearmixed-effectsmodelsusinglme4Journal of Statistical Software671ndash48
BellardCCasseyPampBlackburnTM(2016)Alienspeciesasadriverof recent extinctions Biology Letters 12 20150623 httpsdoiorg101098rsbl20150623
BeloteRTJonesRHHoodSMampWenderBW(2008)DiversityndashinvasibilityacrossanexperimentaldisturbancegradientinAppalachianforestsEcology89183ndash192httpsdoiorg10189007-02701
ByersJEReichardSRandallJMParkerIMSmithCSLonsdaleW M hellip Hayes D (2002) Directing research to reduce the im-pactsofnonindigenousspeciesConservation Biology16630ndash640httpsdoiorg101046j1523-1739200201057x
Capers R S Selsky R BugbeeG J ampWhite J C (2007) Aquaticplantcommunityinvasibilityandscale-dependentpatternsinnativeand invasive species richnessEcology88 3135ndash3143 httpsdoiorg10189006-19111
CasasGScrosatiRampLuzPirizM(2004)TheinvasivekelpUndaria pinnatifida (Phaeophyceae Laminariales) reduces native seaweeddiversityinnuevogulf(PatagoniaArgentina)Biological Invasions6411ndash416httpsdoiorg101023BBINV00000415552930541
Cavender-Bares J Kozak K H Fine P V A amp Kembel S W(2009) The merging of community ecology and phylogenetic
12emsp |emsp emspenspJournal of Ecology MUTHUKRISHNAN eT Al
biology Ecology Letters 12 693ndash715 httpsdoiorg101111 j1461-0248200901314x
ChenGKeacuteryMPlattnerMMaKampGardnerB(2013)Imperfectdetection is the rule rather than the exception in plant distri-bution studies Journal of Ecology 101 183ndash191 httpsdoiorg1011111365-274512021
Chesson P (2000) General theory of competitive coexistence inspatially-varying environments Theoretical Population Biology 58211ndash237httpsdoiorg101006tpbi20001486
ClelandEESmithMDAndelmanSJBowlesCCarneyKMClaireHorner-DevineMhellipVandermastDB(2004)InvasioninspaceandtimeNon-nativespeciesrichnessandrelativeabundancerespondtointerannualvariationinproductivityanddiversityEcology Letters7947ndash957httpsdoiorg101111j1461-0248200400655x
DaehlerCC (2001)DarwinrsquosnaturalizationhypothesisrevisitedThe American Naturalist158324ndash330httpsdoiorg101086321316
DaviesKFChessonPHarrisonS InouyeBDMelbourneBAampRiceKJ(2005)Spatialheterogeneityexplainsthescaledepen-denceofthenativendashexoticdiversityrelationshipEcology861602ndash1610httpsdoiorg10189004-1196
DaviesKFHarrisonSSaffordHDampViersJH(2007)ProductivityaltersthescaledependenceofthediversityndashinvasibilityrelationshipEcology881940ndash1947httpsdoiorg10189006-19071
DavisMAGrimeJPampThompsonK(2000)FluctuatingresourcesinplantcommunitiesAgeneraltheoryofinvasibilityJournal of Ecology88528ndash534httpsdoiorg101046j1365-2745200000473x
Elton C S (1958) The ecology of invasions by animals and plants Chicago IL University of Chicago Press httpsdoiorg101007 978-1-4899-7214-9
Fant JBPriceA LampLarkinD J (2016)The influenceofhabitatdisturbanceongeneticstructureandreproductivestrategieswithinstandsofnativeandnon-nativePhragmites australis(commonreed)Diversity and Distributions221301ndash1313httpsdoiorg101111ddi12492
FargioneJEampTilmanD(2005)DiversitydecreasesinvasionviabothsamplingandcomplementarityeffectsEcology Letters8604ndash611httpsdoiorg101111j1461-0248200500753x
Fleming J P Dibble E D Madsen J D amp Wersal R M (2015)InvestigationofDarwinrsquosnaturalizationhypothesisininvadedmac-rophyte communities Biological Invasions 17 1519ndash1531 httpsdoiorg101007s10530-014-0812-0
Fridley JDBrownR LampBruno J F (2004)Nullmodels of ex-otic invasion and scale-dependent patterns of native and ex-otic species richness Ecology 85 3215ndash3222 httpsdoiorg10189003-0676
Fridley J D Stachowicz J J Naeem S Sax D F SeabloomE W Smith M D hellip Von Holle B (2007) The invasion par-adox Reconciling pattern and process in species invasionsEcology 88 3ndash17 httpsdoiorg1018900012-9658(2007)88 [3TIPRPA]20CO2
HalekohUampHoslashjsgaardS(2014)AKenward-RogerapproximationandparametricbootstrapmethodsfortestsinlinearmixedmodelsndashTheRPackagepbkrtestJournal of Statistical Software591ndash32
HeinoJSoininenJAlahuhtaJLappalainenJampVirtanenR(2017)MetacommunityecologymeetsbiogeographyEffectsofgeograph-icalregionspatialdynamicsandenvironmentalfilteringoncommu-nitystructureinaquaticorganismsOecologia183121ndash137httpsdoiorg101007s00442-016-3750-y
HenrikssonAWardleDATryggJDiehlSampEnglundG(2016)Strong invaders are strong defenders ndash Implications for the resis-tanceofinvadedcommunitiesEcology Letters19487ndash494httpsdoiorg101111ele12586
HustonMA(1999)LocalprocessesandregionalpatternsAppropriatescalesforunderstandingvariationinthediversityofplantsandani-malsOikos86393ndash401httpsdoiorg1023073546645
Kennedy T A Naeem S Howe KM Knops JM H Tilman DampReich P (2002) Biodiversity as a barrier to ecological invasionNature417636ndash638httpsdoiorg101038nature00776
LarkinDJBrulandGLampZedlerJB(2016)HeterogeneitytheoryandecologicalrestorationInMAPalmerJBZedlerampDAFalk(Eds)Foundations of restoration ecology(pp271ndash300)WashingtonDCIslandPresshttpsdoiorg105822978-1-61091-698-1
LelongBLavoieCJodoinYampBelzileF(2007)Expansionpathwaysoftheexoticcommonreed(Phragmites australis)Ahistoricalandge-netic analysisDiversity and Distributions13 430ndash437 httpsdoiorg101111j1472-4642200700351x
LevineJM(2000)SpeciesdiversityandbiologicalinvasionsRelatinglocalprocesstocommunitypatternScience288852ndash854httpsdoiorg101126science2885467852
LevineJMAdlerPBampYelenikSG(2004)Ameta-analysisofbi-oticresistancetoexoticplantinvasionsEcology Letters7975ndash989httpsdoiorg101111j1461-0248200400657x
LevineJMampDrsquoAntonioCM(1999)EltonrevisitedAreviewofevi-dencelinkingdiversityandinvasibilityOikos8715ndash26httpsdoiorg1023073546992
Lockwood J LCasseyPampBlackburnT (2005)The roleofpropa-gulepressure inexplainingspecies invasionsTrends in Ecology and Evolution20223ndash228httpsdoiorg101016jtree200502004
MackRNSimberloffDLonsdaleWMEvansHCloutMampBazzazF A (2000) Biotic invasions Causes epidemiology global conse-quences and controlEcological Applications10 689ndash710 httpsdoiorg1018901051-0761(2000)010[0689BICEGC]20CO2
Milburn S A BourdaghsM ampHusveth J J (2007)Floristic quality assessment for minnesota wetlandsStPaulMNMinnesotaPollutionControlAgency
Millennium Ecosystem Assessment (2005) Ecosystems and human well-being SynthesisWashingtonDCIslandPress
MilnerAMBrittainJ ECastella EampPettsGE (2001)Trendsofmacroinvertebratecommunitystructureinglacier-fedriversinrelationtoenvironmentalconditionsAsynthesisFreshwater Biology461833ndash1847httpsdoiorg101046j1365-2427200100861x
MuthukrishnanRHansel-WelchNampLarkinDJ(2018)DatafromEnvironmentalfilteringandcompetitiveexclusiondrivebiodiversity-invasibility relationships in shallow lake plant communitiesDryad Digital Repositoryhttpsdoiorg105061dryad19cf1c2
NaeemSKnopsJMHTilmanDHoweKMKennedyTampGaleS(2000)Plantdiversityincreasesresistancetoinvasionintheab-senceofcovaryingextrinsicfactorsOikos9197ndash108httpsdoiorg101034j1600-07062000910108x
NicholsSAampShawBH(1986)Ecologicallifehistoriesofthethreeaquatic nuisance plantsMyriophyllum spicatum Potamogeton cris-pus and Elodea canadensis Hydrobiologia 131 3ndash21 httpsdoiorg101007BF00008319
Olmanson L G Bauer M E amp Brezonik P L (2008) A 20-yearLandsatwater clarity census ofMinnesotarsquos 10000 lakesRemote Sensing of Environment 112 4086ndash4097 httpsdoiorg101016 jrse200712013
OlmansonLGBrezonikPLampBauerME (2014)Geospatialandtemporalanalysisofa20-yearrecordofLandsat-basedwaterclar-ity in Minnesotarsquos 10000 Lakes JAWRA Journal of the American Water Resources Association50 748ndash761 httpsdoiorg101111jawr12138
PaavolaM Olenin S amp Leppaumlkoski E (2005) Are invasive speciesmost successful in habitats of low native species richness acrossEuropeanbrackishwater seasEstuarine Coastal and Shelf Science64738ndash750httpsdoiorg101016jecss200503021
Peckarsky B L Horn S C amp Statzner B (1990) Stonefly preda-tion along a hydraulic gradient A field test of the harshmdashbe-nign hypothesis Freshwater Biology 24 181ndash191 httpsdoiorg101111j1365-24271990tb00317x
emspensp emsp | emsp13Journal of EcologyMUTHUKRISHNAN eT Al
PickettSTAampCadenassoML(1995)LandscapeecologySpatialheterogeneityinecologicalsystemsScience269331ndash333httpsdoiorg101126science2695222331
PriceALFantJBampLarkinDJ(2014)Ecologyofnativevsintro-duced Phragmites australis(commonreed)inChicago-areawetlandsWetlands34369ndash377httpsdoiorg101007s13157-013-0504-z
RCoreTeam(2014)R A language and environment for statistical comput-ingViennaAustriaRFoundationforStatisticalComputing
Ramstack Hobbs J M HobbsW O Edlund M B Zimmer K DTheissenKMHoidalNhellipCotnerJB(2016)ThelegacyoflargeregimeshiftsinshallowlakesEcological Applications262662ndash2676httpsdoiorg101002eap1382
RichardsCLBossdorfOMuthNZGurevitch JampPigliucciM(2006)JackofalltradesmasterofsomeOntheroleofphenotypicplasticityinplantinvasionsEcology Letters9981ndash993httpsdoiorg101111j1461-0248200600950x
Ricklefs R E (2004) A comprehensive framework for global pat-terns in biodiversity Ecology Letters 7 1ndash15 httpsdoiorg101046j1461-0248200300554x
SantamariacuteaL(2002)WhyaremostaquaticplantswidelydistributedDispersalclonalgrowthandsmall-scaleheterogeneityinastressfulenvironmentActa Oecologica23137ndash154httpsdoiorg101016S1146-609X(02)01146-3
SimberloffD(2009)Theroleofpropagulepressureinbiologicalinva-sionsAnnual Review of Ecology Evolution and Systematics40 81ndash102httpsdoiorg101146annurevecolsys110308120304
SimberloffDampVonHolleB(1999)Positiveinteractionsofnonindig-enous species InvasionalmeltdownBiological Invasions1 21ndash32httpsdoiorg101023A1010086329619
Stachowicz J JWhitlatch R BampOsman RW (1999) Species di-versityandinvasionresistanceinamarineecosystemScience2861577ndashLP-1579httpsdoiorg101126science28654441577
StohlgrenTJBinkleyDChongGWKalkhanMASchellLDBullKAhellipSonY(1999)ExoticplantspeciesinvadehotspotsofnativeplantdiversityEcological Monographs6925ndash46httpsdoiorg1018900012-9615(1999)069[0025EPSIHS]20CO2
Stroumlm L Jansson R ampNilsson C (2014) Invasibility of borealwet-landplantcommunitiesJournal of Vegetation Science251078ndash1089httpsdoiorg101111jvs12157
StrongDR (1992)Are trophic cascadesallwetDifferentiationanddonor-controlinspecioseecosystemsEcology73747ndash754httpsdoiorg1023071940154
Taddeo S amp De Blois S (2012) Coexistence of introduced and na-tive common reed (Phragmites australis) in freshwater wetlandsEcoscience1999ndash105httpsdoiorg10298019-2-3468
ThompsonKampDavisMA(2011)WhyresearchontraitsofinvasiveplantstellsusverylittleTrends in Ecology amp Evolution26155ndash156httpsdoiorg101016jtree201101007
ThomsenMADrsquoAntonioCMSuttleKBampSousaWP (2006)EcologicalresistanceseeddensityandtheirinteractionsdeterminepatternsofinvasioninaCaliforniacoastalgrasslandEcology Letters9160ndash170httpsdoiorg101111j1461-0248200500857x
Tilman D (2004) Niche tradeoffs neutrality and community struc-ture A stochastic theory of resource competition invasion and
communityassemblyProceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America 101 10854ndash10861 httpsdoiorg101073pnas0403458101
Tylianakis J M Didham R K Bascompte J amp Wardle D A(2008) Global change and species interactions in terres-trial ecosystems Ecology Letters 11 1351ndash1363 httpsdoiorg101111j1461-0248200801250x
USDA N (2016) The PLANTS Database Retrived from httpplantsusdagov
VazquezDP(2006)ExploringtherelationshipbetweennichebreadthandinvasionsuccessInMWCadotteSMMcmahonampTFukami(Eds)Conceptual ecology and invasion biology Reciprocal approaches to nature (pp307ndash322)DordrechtNetherlandsSpringerhttpsdoiorg1010071-4020-4925-0
Vitousek P M Drsquoantonio C M Loope L L Rejmanek M ampWestbrooksR(1997)IntroducedspeciesAsignificantcomponentofhuman-causedglobalchangeNew Zealand Journal of Ecology211ndash16
WHMasonNBastowWilsonJampBSteelJ(2007)Arealternativestable states more likely in high stress environments Logic andavailable evidencedonot supportDidhamet al 2005Oikos116353ndash357httpsdoiorg101111j0030-1299200715283x
Wardle D A (2001) Experimental demonstration that plant diver-sity reduces invasibilityndashEvidenceof abiologicalmechanismor aconsequence of sampling effect Oikos 95 161ndash170 httpsdoiorg101034j1600-07062001950119x
Woo I amp Zedler J B (2002) Can nutrients alone shift a sedgemeadow towards dominance by the invasive Typha times glaucaWetlands 22 509ndash521 httpsdoiorg1016720277-5212(2002) 022[0509CNASAS]20CO2
YurkonisKAMeinersSJampWachholderBE(2005)Invasionimpactsdiversity through altered community dynamics Journal of Ecology931053ndash1061httpsdoiorg101111j1365-2745200501029x
Zedler J B amp Kercher S (2004) Causes and consequences of in-vasive plants in wetlands Opportunities opportunists and out-comes Critical Reviews in Plant Sciences 23 431ndash452 httpsdoiorg10108007352680490514673
SUPPORTING INFORMATION
Additional Supporting Information may be found online in thesupportinginformationtabforthisarticle
How to cite this articleMuthukrishnanRHansel-WelchNLarkinDJEnvironmentalfilteringandcompetitiveexclusiondrivebiodiversity-invasibilityrelationshipsinshallowlakeplantcommunitiesJ Ecol 2018001ndash13 httpsdoiorg1011111365-274512963
emspensp emsp | emsp11Journal of EcologyMUTHUKRISHNAN eT Al
Why would diversity-invasibility relationships differ betweenland and water There is some evidence that aquatic plant com-munities are more strongly structured by abiotic environmentalconstraints (Heino Soininen Alahuhta Lappalainen amp Virtanen2017 Santamariacutea 2002) Difficult environmental conditions inaquatic communities particularly at higher latitudes may imposesuch a strong filter on the macrophyte habitat species pool thatspeciesinteractionshavelimitedinfluenceoncommunityassembly(Santamariacutea2002)Similarpatternshavebeenobservedinaquaticinvertebratecommunities(MilnerBrittainCastellaampPetts2001PeckarskyHornampStatzner1990) suggesting that thismaybeacommonpatternforfreshwatersystemsIftherelativeimportanceof abiotic andbioticprocesses inNERRs systematically variesbe-tween terrestrial and aquatic systems then the limited researchperformedinthelattercouldbiasourgeneralunderstandingoftheecologicalmechanismscontributingtothesepatterns
44emsp|emspImplications for biodiversity conservation and invasive species management
Invasive species are one of the most important drivers of globalchangeandcandrasticallyrestructureecosystems(TylianakisDidhamBascompteampWardle2008VitousekDrsquoantonioLoopeRejmanekampWestbrooks1997WHMasonBastowWilsonampBSteel2007)Therelationshipbetweendiversity and compositionof native communi-ties and their invasibility has been a fundamental areaof inquiry inecologygoingbacktoElton(1958)andevenDarwin(Daehler2001)Understandingtheconditionsthatallowinvasivespeciestoestablishandthatmediatetheirimpactsremaincriticalissuesforconservationandmanagement(Byersetal2002Macketal2000)Studyingtherelationshipbetweendiversityofnativespeciesandinvasivespeciescanofferimportantinsightsintothesequestionsbyhelpingtoidentifythefactorsthatsupportordeter invasions Inparticular the ideaofbioticresistancesuggestsaldquovirtuouscyclerdquowhereineffortstosupportbiodiversityalsohelprepel invasionsHoweverthepatternsweob-servedsuggestthatwatershedmanagementtosupportwaterqualitymaybeamoreeffectivemeansofmitigatinginvasionsandtheirim-pactsNonethelessitisclearthatdiversity-invasibilitypatternscanbedrivenbymultiplemechanismsand recognizing thecontext-specificimportance of these differentmechanisms can help refinemanage-mentstrategies
Our analysis of alternativemechanisms underlyingNERRs inshallow lakes reveals several concerning trends (1)environmen-tal conditions consistent with broad patterns of anthropogenicchangebenefitinvasivespecies(2)lakeswithhigherbiodiversityvaluearemorelikelytobecomeinvadedand(3)bioticinteractionsrepresentedaldquobadnews-badnewsrdquoscenariowhereinlocal-scalediversitydoesnotconferresistancetoinvasionbutinvasiondoesreduce local-scale diversity via competitive exclusion Howeverour results do support continued effort towards establishedstrategies for invasive speciesmanagement Specifically effortstomaintainor improve lakecondition reducespreadof invasivespecies and restore diverse plant assemblageswhere they have
beenlostareneededtoslowtheerosionofnativeplantdiversityintheseimportantecosystems
ACKNOWLEDG EMENTS
FundingforthisprojectwasprovidedthroughtheMinnesotaAquaticInvasive Species ResearchCenter from theMinnesota Environmentand Natural Resources Trust Fund We thank A Geisen and theShallowLakesProgramstafffortheirextensiveeffortscollectingandorganizing fielddata (whichwassupportedby theMinnesotaGameandFish fundMinnesotaEnvironmentandNaturalResourcesTrustFundandtheOutdoorHeritageFund)andWGlissonMVerhoeven CWagnerandRNewmanforinputonthemanuscriptTheauthorsdeclarenoconflictsofinterest
AUTHORSrsquo CONTRIBUTIONS
NH-W managed data collection RM and DJL designed thestudyandanalysesRManalysedthedataandwrotetheinitialdraftofthemanuscriptAllauthorsparticipatedindatainterpretationandrevisingthemanuscript
DATA ACCE SSIBILIT Y
MacrophytecommunitydataenvironmentaldataandanalysisscriptsforthisstudyareavailablefromtheDryadDigitalRepositoryhttpsdoiorg105061dryad19cf1c2 (Muthukrishnan Hansel-Welch ampLarkin2018)
ORCID
Ranjan Muthukrishnan httporcidorg0000-0002-7001-6249
R E FE R E N C E S
BatesDMaumlchlerMBolkerBampWalkerS(2015)Fittinglinearmixed-effectsmodelsusinglme4Journal of Statistical Software671ndash48
BellardCCasseyPampBlackburnTM(2016)Alienspeciesasadriverof recent extinctions Biology Letters 12 20150623 httpsdoiorg101098rsbl20150623
BeloteRTJonesRHHoodSMampWenderBW(2008)DiversityndashinvasibilityacrossanexperimentaldisturbancegradientinAppalachianforestsEcology89183ndash192httpsdoiorg10189007-02701
ByersJEReichardSRandallJMParkerIMSmithCSLonsdaleW M hellip Hayes D (2002) Directing research to reduce the im-pactsofnonindigenousspeciesConservation Biology16630ndash640httpsdoiorg101046j1523-1739200201057x
Capers R S Selsky R BugbeeG J ampWhite J C (2007) Aquaticplantcommunityinvasibilityandscale-dependentpatternsinnativeand invasive species richnessEcology88 3135ndash3143 httpsdoiorg10189006-19111
CasasGScrosatiRampLuzPirizM(2004)TheinvasivekelpUndaria pinnatifida (Phaeophyceae Laminariales) reduces native seaweeddiversityinnuevogulf(PatagoniaArgentina)Biological Invasions6411ndash416httpsdoiorg101023BBINV00000415552930541
Cavender-Bares J Kozak K H Fine P V A amp Kembel S W(2009) The merging of community ecology and phylogenetic
12emsp |emsp emspenspJournal of Ecology MUTHUKRISHNAN eT Al
biology Ecology Letters 12 693ndash715 httpsdoiorg101111 j1461-0248200901314x
ChenGKeacuteryMPlattnerMMaKampGardnerB(2013)Imperfectdetection is the rule rather than the exception in plant distri-bution studies Journal of Ecology 101 183ndash191 httpsdoiorg1011111365-274512021
Chesson P (2000) General theory of competitive coexistence inspatially-varying environments Theoretical Population Biology 58211ndash237httpsdoiorg101006tpbi20001486
ClelandEESmithMDAndelmanSJBowlesCCarneyKMClaireHorner-DevineMhellipVandermastDB(2004)InvasioninspaceandtimeNon-nativespeciesrichnessandrelativeabundancerespondtointerannualvariationinproductivityanddiversityEcology Letters7947ndash957httpsdoiorg101111j1461-0248200400655x
DaehlerCC (2001)DarwinrsquosnaturalizationhypothesisrevisitedThe American Naturalist158324ndash330httpsdoiorg101086321316
DaviesKFChessonPHarrisonS InouyeBDMelbourneBAampRiceKJ(2005)Spatialheterogeneityexplainsthescaledepen-denceofthenativendashexoticdiversityrelationshipEcology861602ndash1610httpsdoiorg10189004-1196
DaviesKFHarrisonSSaffordHDampViersJH(2007)ProductivityaltersthescaledependenceofthediversityndashinvasibilityrelationshipEcology881940ndash1947httpsdoiorg10189006-19071
DavisMAGrimeJPampThompsonK(2000)FluctuatingresourcesinplantcommunitiesAgeneraltheoryofinvasibilityJournal of Ecology88528ndash534httpsdoiorg101046j1365-2745200000473x
Elton C S (1958) The ecology of invasions by animals and plants Chicago IL University of Chicago Press httpsdoiorg101007 978-1-4899-7214-9
Fant JBPriceA LampLarkinD J (2016)The influenceofhabitatdisturbanceongeneticstructureandreproductivestrategieswithinstandsofnativeandnon-nativePhragmites australis(commonreed)Diversity and Distributions221301ndash1313httpsdoiorg101111ddi12492
FargioneJEampTilmanD(2005)DiversitydecreasesinvasionviabothsamplingandcomplementarityeffectsEcology Letters8604ndash611httpsdoiorg101111j1461-0248200500753x
Fleming J P Dibble E D Madsen J D amp Wersal R M (2015)InvestigationofDarwinrsquosnaturalizationhypothesisininvadedmac-rophyte communities Biological Invasions 17 1519ndash1531 httpsdoiorg101007s10530-014-0812-0
Fridley JDBrownR LampBruno J F (2004)Nullmodels of ex-otic invasion and scale-dependent patterns of native and ex-otic species richness Ecology 85 3215ndash3222 httpsdoiorg10189003-0676
Fridley J D Stachowicz J J Naeem S Sax D F SeabloomE W Smith M D hellip Von Holle B (2007) The invasion par-adox Reconciling pattern and process in species invasionsEcology 88 3ndash17 httpsdoiorg1018900012-9658(2007)88 [3TIPRPA]20CO2
HalekohUampHoslashjsgaardS(2014)AKenward-RogerapproximationandparametricbootstrapmethodsfortestsinlinearmixedmodelsndashTheRPackagepbkrtestJournal of Statistical Software591ndash32
HeinoJSoininenJAlahuhtaJLappalainenJampVirtanenR(2017)MetacommunityecologymeetsbiogeographyEffectsofgeograph-icalregionspatialdynamicsandenvironmentalfilteringoncommu-nitystructureinaquaticorganismsOecologia183121ndash137httpsdoiorg101007s00442-016-3750-y
HenrikssonAWardleDATryggJDiehlSampEnglundG(2016)Strong invaders are strong defenders ndash Implications for the resis-tanceofinvadedcommunitiesEcology Letters19487ndash494httpsdoiorg101111ele12586
HustonMA(1999)LocalprocessesandregionalpatternsAppropriatescalesforunderstandingvariationinthediversityofplantsandani-malsOikos86393ndash401httpsdoiorg1023073546645
Kennedy T A Naeem S Howe KM Knops JM H Tilman DampReich P (2002) Biodiversity as a barrier to ecological invasionNature417636ndash638httpsdoiorg101038nature00776
LarkinDJBrulandGLampZedlerJB(2016)HeterogeneitytheoryandecologicalrestorationInMAPalmerJBZedlerampDAFalk(Eds)Foundations of restoration ecology(pp271ndash300)WashingtonDCIslandPresshttpsdoiorg105822978-1-61091-698-1
LelongBLavoieCJodoinYampBelzileF(2007)Expansionpathwaysoftheexoticcommonreed(Phragmites australis)Ahistoricalandge-netic analysisDiversity and Distributions13 430ndash437 httpsdoiorg101111j1472-4642200700351x
LevineJM(2000)SpeciesdiversityandbiologicalinvasionsRelatinglocalprocesstocommunitypatternScience288852ndash854httpsdoiorg101126science2885467852
LevineJMAdlerPBampYelenikSG(2004)Ameta-analysisofbi-oticresistancetoexoticplantinvasionsEcology Letters7975ndash989httpsdoiorg101111j1461-0248200400657x
LevineJMampDrsquoAntonioCM(1999)EltonrevisitedAreviewofevi-dencelinkingdiversityandinvasibilityOikos8715ndash26httpsdoiorg1023073546992
Lockwood J LCasseyPampBlackburnT (2005)The roleofpropa-gulepressure inexplainingspecies invasionsTrends in Ecology and Evolution20223ndash228httpsdoiorg101016jtree200502004
MackRNSimberloffDLonsdaleWMEvansHCloutMampBazzazF A (2000) Biotic invasions Causes epidemiology global conse-quences and controlEcological Applications10 689ndash710 httpsdoiorg1018901051-0761(2000)010[0689BICEGC]20CO2
Milburn S A BourdaghsM ampHusveth J J (2007)Floristic quality assessment for minnesota wetlandsStPaulMNMinnesotaPollutionControlAgency
Millennium Ecosystem Assessment (2005) Ecosystems and human well-being SynthesisWashingtonDCIslandPress
MilnerAMBrittainJ ECastella EampPettsGE (2001)Trendsofmacroinvertebratecommunitystructureinglacier-fedriversinrelationtoenvironmentalconditionsAsynthesisFreshwater Biology461833ndash1847httpsdoiorg101046j1365-2427200100861x
MuthukrishnanRHansel-WelchNampLarkinDJ(2018)DatafromEnvironmentalfilteringandcompetitiveexclusiondrivebiodiversity-invasibility relationships in shallow lake plant communitiesDryad Digital Repositoryhttpsdoiorg105061dryad19cf1c2
NaeemSKnopsJMHTilmanDHoweKMKennedyTampGaleS(2000)Plantdiversityincreasesresistancetoinvasionintheab-senceofcovaryingextrinsicfactorsOikos9197ndash108httpsdoiorg101034j1600-07062000910108x
NicholsSAampShawBH(1986)Ecologicallifehistoriesofthethreeaquatic nuisance plantsMyriophyllum spicatum Potamogeton cris-pus and Elodea canadensis Hydrobiologia 131 3ndash21 httpsdoiorg101007BF00008319
Olmanson L G Bauer M E amp Brezonik P L (2008) A 20-yearLandsatwater clarity census ofMinnesotarsquos 10000 lakesRemote Sensing of Environment 112 4086ndash4097 httpsdoiorg101016 jrse200712013
OlmansonLGBrezonikPLampBauerME (2014)Geospatialandtemporalanalysisofa20-yearrecordofLandsat-basedwaterclar-ity in Minnesotarsquos 10000 Lakes JAWRA Journal of the American Water Resources Association50 748ndash761 httpsdoiorg101111jawr12138
PaavolaM Olenin S amp Leppaumlkoski E (2005) Are invasive speciesmost successful in habitats of low native species richness acrossEuropeanbrackishwater seasEstuarine Coastal and Shelf Science64738ndash750httpsdoiorg101016jecss200503021
Peckarsky B L Horn S C amp Statzner B (1990) Stonefly preda-tion along a hydraulic gradient A field test of the harshmdashbe-nign hypothesis Freshwater Biology 24 181ndash191 httpsdoiorg101111j1365-24271990tb00317x
emspensp emsp | emsp13Journal of EcologyMUTHUKRISHNAN eT Al
PickettSTAampCadenassoML(1995)LandscapeecologySpatialheterogeneityinecologicalsystemsScience269331ndash333httpsdoiorg101126science2695222331
PriceALFantJBampLarkinDJ(2014)Ecologyofnativevsintro-duced Phragmites australis(commonreed)inChicago-areawetlandsWetlands34369ndash377httpsdoiorg101007s13157-013-0504-z
RCoreTeam(2014)R A language and environment for statistical comput-ingViennaAustriaRFoundationforStatisticalComputing
Ramstack Hobbs J M HobbsW O Edlund M B Zimmer K DTheissenKMHoidalNhellipCotnerJB(2016)ThelegacyoflargeregimeshiftsinshallowlakesEcological Applications262662ndash2676httpsdoiorg101002eap1382
RichardsCLBossdorfOMuthNZGurevitch JampPigliucciM(2006)JackofalltradesmasterofsomeOntheroleofphenotypicplasticityinplantinvasionsEcology Letters9981ndash993httpsdoiorg101111j1461-0248200600950x
Ricklefs R E (2004) A comprehensive framework for global pat-terns in biodiversity Ecology Letters 7 1ndash15 httpsdoiorg101046j1461-0248200300554x
SantamariacuteaL(2002)WhyaremostaquaticplantswidelydistributedDispersalclonalgrowthandsmall-scaleheterogeneityinastressfulenvironmentActa Oecologica23137ndash154httpsdoiorg101016S1146-609X(02)01146-3
SimberloffD(2009)Theroleofpropagulepressureinbiologicalinva-sionsAnnual Review of Ecology Evolution and Systematics40 81ndash102httpsdoiorg101146annurevecolsys110308120304
SimberloffDampVonHolleB(1999)Positiveinteractionsofnonindig-enous species InvasionalmeltdownBiological Invasions1 21ndash32httpsdoiorg101023A1010086329619
Stachowicz J JWhitlatch R BampOsman RW (1999) Species di-versityandinvasionresistanceinamarineecosystemScience2861577ndashLP-1579httpsdoiorg101126science28654441577
StohlgrenTJBinkleyDChongGWKalkhanMASchellLDBullKAhellipSonY(1999)ExoticplantspeciesinvadehotspotsofnativeplantdiversityEcological Monographs6925ndash46httpsdoiorg1018900012-9615(1999)069[0025EPSIHS]20CO2
Stroumlm L Jansson R ampNilsson C (2014) Invasibility of borealwet-landplantcommunitiesJournal of Vegetation Science251078ndash1089httpsdoiorg101111jvs12157
StrongDR (1992)Are trophic cascadesallwetDifferentiationanddonor-controlinspecioseecosystemsEcology73747ndash754httpsdoiorg1023071940154
Taddeo S amp De Blois S (2012) Coexistence of introduced and na-tive common reed (Phragmites australis) in freshwater wetlandsEcoscience1999ndash105httpsdoiorg10298019-2-3468
ThompsonKampDavisMA(2011)WhyresearchontraitsofinvasiveplantstellsusverylittleTrends in Ecology amp Evolution26155ndash156httpsdoiorg101016jtree201101007
ThomsenMADrsquoAntonioCMSuttleKBampSousaWP (2006)EcologicalresistanceseeddensityandtheirinteractionsdeterminepatternsofinvasioninaCaliforniacoastalgrasslandEcology Letters9160ndash170httpsdoiorg101111j1461-0248200500857x
Tilman D (2004) Niche tradeoffs neutrality and community struc-ture A stochastic theory of resource competition invasion and
communityassemblyProceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America 101 10854ndash10861 httpsdoiorg101073pnas0403458101
Tylianakis J M Didham R K Bascompte J amp Wardle D A(2008) Global change and species interactions in terres-trial ecosystems Ecology Letters 11 1351ndash1363 httpsdoiorg101111j1461-0248200801250x
USDA N (2016) The PLANTS Database Retrived from httpplantsusdagov
VazquezDP(2006)ExploringtherelationshipbetweennichebreadthandinvasionsuccessInMWCadotteSMMcmahonampTFukami(Eds)Conceptual ecology and invasion biology Reciprocal approaches to nature (pp307ndash322)DordrechtNetherlandsSpringerhttpsdoiorg1010071-4020-4925-0
Vitousek P M Drsquoantonio C M Loope L L Rejmanek M ampWestbrooksR(1997)IntroducedspeciesAsignificantcomponentofhuman-causedglobalchangeNew Zealand Journal of Ecology211ndash16
WHMasonNBastowWilsonJampBSteelJ(2007)Arealternativestable states more likely in high stress environments Logic andavailable evidencedonot supportDidhamet al 2005Oikos116353ndash357httpsdoiorg101111j0030-1299200715283x
Wardle D A (2001) Experimental demonstration that plant diver-sity reduces invasibilityndashEvidenceof abiologicalmechanismor aconsequence of sampling effect Oikos 95 161ndash170 httpsdoiorg101034j1600-07062001950119x
Woo I amp Zedler J B (2002) Can nutrients alone shift a sedgemeadow towards dominance by the invasive Typha times glaucaWetlands 22 509ndash521 httpsdoiorg1016720277-5212(2002) 022[0509CNASAS]20CO2
YurkonisKAMeinersSJampWachholderBE(2005)Invasionimpactsdiversity through altered community dynamics Journal of Ecology931053ndash1061httpsdoiorg101111j1365-2745200501029x
Zedler J B amp Kercher S (2004) Causes and consequences of in-vasive plants in wetlands Opportunities opportunists and out-comes Critical Reviews in Plant Sciences 23 431ndash452 httpsdoiorg10108007352680490514673
SUPPORTING INFORMATION
Additional Supporting Information may be found online in thesupportinginformationtabforthisarticle
How to cite this articleMuthukrishnanRHansel-WelchNLarkinDJEnvironmentalfilteringandcompetitiveexclusiondrivebiodiversity-invasibilityrelationshipsinshallowlakeplantcommunitiesJ Ecol 2018001ndash13 httpsdoiorg1011111365-274512963
12emsp |emsp emspenspJournal of Ecology MUTHUKRISHNAN eT Al
biology Ecology Letters 12 693ndash715 httpsdoiorg101111 j1461-0248200901314x
ChenGKeacuteryMPlattnerMMaKampGardnerB(2013)Imperfectdetection is the rule rather than the exception in plant distri-bution studies Journal of Ecology 101 183ndash191 httpsdoiorg1011111365-274512021
Chesson P (2000) General theory of competitive coexistence inspatially-varying environments Theoretical Population Biology 58211ndash237httpsdoiorg101006tpbi20001486
ClelandEESmithMDAndelmanSJBowlesCCarneyKMClaireHorner-DevineMhellipVandermastDB(2004)InvasioninspaceandtimeNon-nativespeciesrichnessandrelativeabundancerespondtointerannualvariationinproductivityanddiversityEcology Letters7947ndash957httpsdoiorg101111j1461-0248200400655x
DaehlerCC (2001)DarwinrsquosnaturalizationhypothesisrevisitedThe American Naturalist158324ndash330httpsdoiorg101086321316
DaviesKFChessonPHarrisonS InouyeBDMelbourneBAampRiceKJ(2005)Spatialheterogeneityexplainsthescaledepen-denceofthenativendashexoticdiversityrelationshipEcology861602ndash1610httpsdoiorg10189004-1196
DaviesKFHarrisonSSaffordHDampViersJH(2007)ProductivityaltersthescaledependenceofthediversityndashinvasibilityrelationshipEcology881940ndash1947httpsdoiorg10189006-19071
DavisMAGrimeJPampThompsonK(2000)FluctuatingresourcesinplantcommunitiesAgeneraltheoryofinvasibilityJournal of Ecology88528ndash534httpsdoiorg101046j1365-2745200000473x
Elton C S (1958) The ecology of invasions by animals and plants Chicago IL University of Chicago Press httpsdoiorg101007 978-1-4899-7214-9
Fant JBPriceA LampLarkinD J (2016)The influenceofhabitatdisturbanceongeneticstructureandreproductivestrategieswithinstandsofnativeandnon-nativePhragmites australis(commonreed)Diversity and Distributions221301ndash1313httpsdoiorg101111ddi12492
FargioneJEampTilmanD(2005)DiversitydecreasesinvasionviabothsamplingandcomplementarityeffectsEcology Letters8604ndash611httpsdoiorg101111j1461-0248200500753x
Fleming J P Dibble E D Madsen J D amp Wersal R M (2015)InvestigationofDarwinrsquosnaturalizationhypothesisininvadedmac-rophyte communities Biological Invasions 17 1519ndash1531 httpsdoiorg101007s10530-014-0812-0
Fridley JDBrownR LampBruno J F (2004)Nullmodels of ex-otic invasion and scale-dependent patterns of native and ex-otic species richness Ecology 85 3215ndash3222 httpsdoiorg10189003-0676
Fridley J D Stachowicz J J Naeem S Sax D F SeabloomE W Smith M D hellip Von Holle B (2007) The invasion par-adox Reconciling pattern and process in species invasionsEcology 88 3ndash17 httpsdoiorg1018900012-9658(2007)88 [3TIPRPA]20CO2
HalekohUampHoslashjsgaardS(2014)AKenward-RogerapproximationandparametricbootstrapmethodsfortestsinlinearmixedmodelsndashTheRPackagepbkrtestJournal of Statistical Software591ndash32
HeinoJSoininenJAlahuhtaJLappalainenJampVirtanenR(2017)MetacommunityecologymeetsbiogeographyEffectsofgeograph-icalregionspatialdynamicsandenvironmentalfilteringoncommu-nitystructureinaquaticorganismsOecologia183121ndash137httpsdoiorg101007s00442-016-3750-y
HenrikssonAWardleDATryggJDiehlSampEnglundG(2016)Strong invaders are strong defenders ndash Implications for the resis-tanceofinvadedcommunitiesEcology Letters19487ndash494httpsdoiorg101111ele12586
HustonMA(1999)LocalprocessesandregionalpatternsAppropriatescalesforunderstandingvariationinthediversityofplantsandani-malsOikos86393ndash401httpsdoiorg1023073546645
Kennedy T A Naeem S Howe KM Knops JM H Tilman DampReich P (2002) Biodiversity as a barrier to ecological invasionNature417636ndash638httpsdoiorg101038nature00776
LarkinDJBrulandGLampZedlerJB(2016)HeterogeneitytheoryandecologicalrestorationInMAPalmerJBZedlerampDAFalk(Eds)Foundations of restoration ecology(pp271ndash300)WashingtonDCIslandPresshttpsdoiorg105822978-1-61091-698-1
LelongBLavoieCJodoinYampBelzileF(2007)Expansionpathwaysoftheexoticcommonreed(Phragmites australis)Ahistoricalandge-netic analysisDiversity and Distributions13 430ndash437 httpsdoiorg101111j1472-4642200700351x
LevineJM(2000)SpeciesdiversityandbiologicalinvasionsRelatinglocalprocesstocommunitypatternScience288852ndash854httpsdoiorg101126science2885467852
LevineJMAdlerPBampYelenikSG(2004)Ameta-analysisofbi-oticresistancetoexoticplantinvasionsEcology Letters7975ndash989httpsdoiorg101111j1461-0248200400657x
LevineJMampDrsquoAntonioCM(1999)EltonrevisitedAreviewofevi-dencelinkingdiversityandinvasibilityOikos8715ndash26httpsdoiorg1023073546992
Lockwood J LCasseyPampBlackburnT (2005)The roleofpropa-gulepressure inexplainingspecies invasionsTrends in Ecology and Evolution20223ndash228httpsdoiorg101016jtree200502004
MackRNSimberloffDLonsdaleWMEvansHCloutMampBazzazF A (2000) Biotic invasions Causes epidemiology global conse-quences and controlEcological Applications10 689ndash710 httpsdoiorg1018901051-0761(2000)010[0689BICEGC]20CO2
Milburn S A BourdaghsM ampHusveth J J (2007)Floristic quality assessment for minnesota wetlandsStPaulMNMinnesotaPollutionControlAgency
Millennium Ecosystem Assessment (2005) Ecosystems and human well-being SynthesisWashingtonDCIslandPress
MilnerAMBrittainJ ECastella EampPettsGE (2001)Trendsofmacroinvertebratecommunitystructureinglacier-fedriversinrelationtoenvironmentalconditionsAsynthesisFreshwater Biology461833ndash1847httpsdoiorg101046j1365-2427200100861x
MuthukrishnanRHansel-WelchNampLarkinDJ(2018)DatafromEnvironmentalfilteringandcompetitiveexclusiondrivebiodiversity-invasibility relationships in shallow lake plant communitiesDryad Digital Repositoryhttpsdoiorg105061dryad19cf1c2
NaeemSKnopsJMHTilmanDHoweKMKennedyTampGaleS(2000)Plantdiversityincreasesresistancetoinvasionintheab-senceofcovaryingextrinsicfactorsOikos9197ndash108httpsdoiorg101034j1600-07062000910108x
NicholsSAampShawBH(1986)Ecologicallifehistoriesofthethreeaquatic nuisance plantsMyriophyllum spicatum Potamogeton cris-pus and Elodea canadensis Hydrobiologia 131 3ndash21 httpsdoiorg101007BF00008319
Olmanson L G Bauer M E amp Brezonik P L (2008) A 20-yearLandsatwater clarity census ofMinnesotarsquos 10000 lakesRemote Sensing of Environment 112 4086ndash4097 httpsdoiorg101016 jrse200712013
OlmansonLGBrezonikPLampBauerME (2014)Geospatialandtemporalanalysisofa20-yearrecordofLandsat-basedwaterclar-ity in Minnesotarsquos 10000 Lakes JAWRA Journal of the American Water Resources Association50 748ndash761 httpsdoiorg101111jawr12138
PaavolaM Olenin S amp Leppaumlkoski E (2005) Are invasive speciesmost successful in habitats of low native species richness acrossEuropeanbrackishwater seasEstuarine Coastal and Shelf Science64738ndash750httpsdoiorg101016jecss200503021
Peckarsky B L Horn S C amp Statzner B (1990) Stonefly preda-tion along a hydraulic gradient A field test of the harshmdashbe-nign hypothesis Freshwater Biology 24 181ndash191 httpsdoiorg101111j1365-24271990tb00317x
emspensp emsp | emsp13Journal of EcologyMUTHUKRISHNAN eT Al
PickettSTAampCadenassoML(1995)LandscapeecologySpatialheterogeneityinecologicalsystemsScience269331ndash333httpsdoiorg101126science2695222331
PriceALFantJBampLarkinDJ(2014)Ecologyofnativevsintro-duced Phragmites australis(commonreed)inChicago-areawetlandsWetlands34369ndash377httpsdoiorg101007s13157-013-0504-z
RCoreTeam(2014)R A language and environment for statistical comput-ingViennaAustriaRFoundationforStatisticalComputing
Ramstack Hobbs J M HobbsW O Edlund M B Zimmer K DTheissenKMHoidalNhellipCotnerJB(2016)ThelegacyoflargeregimeshiftsinshallowlakesEcological Applications262662ndash2676httpsdoiorg101002eap1382
RichardsCLBossdorfOMuthNZGurevitch JampPigliucciM(2006)JackofalltradesmasterofsomeOntheroleofphenotypicplasticityinplantinvasionsEcology Letters9981ndash993httpsdoiorg101111j1461-0248200600950x
Ricklefs R E (2004) A comprehensive framework for global pat-terns in biodiversity Ecology Letters 7 1ndash15 httpsdoiorg101046j1461-0248200300554x
SantamariacuteaL(2002)WhyaremostaquaticplantswidelydistributedDispersalclonalgrowthandsmall-scaleheterogeneityinastressfulenvironmentActa Oecologica23137ndash154httpsdoiorg101016S1146-609X(02)01146-3
SimberloffD(2009)Theroleofpropagulepressureinbiologicalinva-sionsAnnual Review of Ecology Evolution and Systematics40 81ndash102httpsdoiorg101146annurevecolsys110308120304
SimberloffDampVonHolleB(1999)Positiveinteractionsofnonindig-enous species InvasionalmeltdownBiological Invasions1 21ndash32httpsdoiorg101023A1010086329619
Stachowicz J JWhitlatch R BampOsman RW (1999) Species di-versityandinvasionresistanceinamarineecosystemScience2861577ndashLP-1579httpsdoiorg101126science28654441577
StohlgrenTJBinkleyDChongGWKalkhanMASchellLDBullKAhellipSonY(1999)ExoticplantspeciesinvadehotspotsofnativeplantdiversityEcological Monographs6925ndash46httpsdoiorg1018900012-9615(1999)069[0025EPSIHS]20CO2
Stroumlm L Jansson R ampNilsson C (2014) Invasibility of borealwet-landplantcommunitiesJournal of Vegetation Science251078ndash1089httpsdoiorg101111jvs12157
StrongDR (1992)Are trophic cascadesallwetDifferentiationanddonor-controlinspecioseecosystemsEcology73747ndash754httpsdoiorg1023071940154
Taddeo S amp De Blois S (2012) Coexistence of introduced and na-tive common reed (Phragmites australis) in freshwater wetlandsEcoscience1999ndash105httpsdoiorg10298019-2-3468
ThompsonKampDavisMA(2011)WhyresearchontraitsofinvasiveplantstellsusverylittleTrends in Ecology amp Evolution26155ndash156httpsdoiorg101016jtree201101007
ThomsenMADrsquoAntonioCMSuttleKBampSousaWP (2006)EcologicalresistanceseeddensityandtheirinteractionsdeterminepatternsofinvasioninaCaliforniacoastalgrasslandEcology Letters9160ndash170httpsdoiorg101111j1461-0248200500857x
Tilman D (2004) Niche tradeoffs neutrality and community struc-ture A stochastic theory of resource competition invasion and
communityassemblyProceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America 101 10854ndash10861 httpsdoiorg101073pnas0403458101
Tylianakis J M Didham R K Bascompte J amp Wardle D A(2008) Global change and species interactions in terres-trial ecosystems Ecology Letters 11 1351ndash1363 httpsdoiorg101111j1461-0248200801250x
USDA N (2016) The PLANTS Database Retrived from httpplantsusdagov
VazquezDP(2006)ExploringtherelationshipbetweennichebreadthandinvasionsuccessInMWCadotteSMMcmahonampTFukami(Eds)Conceptual ecology and invasion biology Reciprocal approaches to nature (pp307ndash322)DordrechtNetherlandsSpringerhttpsdoiorg1010071-4020-4925-0
Vitousek P M Drsquoantonio C M Loope L L Rejmanek M ampWestbrooksR(1997)IntroducedspeciesAsignificantcomponentofhuman-causedglobalchangeNew Zealand Journal of Ecology211ndash16
WHMasonNBastowWilsonJampBSteelJ(2007)Arealternativestable states more likely in high stress environments Logic andavailable evidencedonot supportDidhamet al 2005Oikos116353ndash357httpsdoiorg101111j0030-1299200715283x
Wardle D A (2001) Experimental demonstration that plant diver-sity reduces invasibilityndashEvidenceof abiologicalmechanismor aconsequence of sampling effect Oikos 95 161ndash170 httpsdoiorg101034j1600-07062001950119x
Woo I amp Zedler J B (2002) Can nutrients alone shift a sedgemeadow towards dominance by the invasive Typha times glaucaWetlands 22 509ndash521 httpsdoiorg1016720277-5212(2002) 022[0509CNASAS]20CO2
YurkonisKAMeinersSJampWachholderBE(2005)Invasionimpactsdiversity through altered community dynamics Journal of Ecology931053ndash1061httpsdoiorg101111j1365-2745200501029x
Zedler J B amp Kercher S (2004) Causes and consequences of in-vasive plants in wetlands Opportunities opportunists and out-comes Critical Reviews in Plant Sciences 23 431ndash452 httpsdoiorg10108007352680490514673
SUPPORTING INFORMATION
Additional Supporting Information may be found online in thesupportinginformationtabforthisarticle
How to cite this articleMuthukrishnanRHansel-WelchNLarkinDJEnvironmentalfilteringandcompetitiveexclusiondrivebiodiversity-invasibilityrelationshipsinshallowlakeplantcommunitiesJ Ecol 2018001ndash13 httpsdoiorg1011111365-274512963
emspensp emsp | emsp13Journal of EcologyMUTHUKRISHNAN eT Al
PickettSTAampCadenassoML(1995)LandscapeecologySpatialheterogeneityinecologicalsystemsScience269331ndash333httpsdoiorg101126science2695222331
PriceALFantJBampLarkinDJ(2014)Ecologyofnativevsintro-duced Phragmites australis(commonreed)inChicago-areawetlandsWetlands34369ndash377httpsdoiorg101007s13157-013-0504-z
RCoreTeam(2014)R A language and environment for statistical comput-ingViennaAustriaRFoundationforStatisticalComputing
Ramstack Hobbs J M HobbsW O Edlund M B Zimmer K DTheissenKMHoidalNhellipCotnerJB(2016)ThelegacyoflargeregimeshiftsinshallowlakesEcological Applications262662ndash2676httpsdoiorg101002eap1382
RichardsCLBossdorfOMuthNZGurevitch JampPigliucciM(2006)JackofalltradesmasterofsomeOntheroleofphenotypicplasticityinplantinvasionsEcology Letters9981ndash993httpsdoiorg101111j1461-0248200600950x
Ricklefs R E (2004) A comprehensive framework for global pat-terns in biodiversity Ecology Letters 7 1ndash15 httpsdoiorg101046j1461-0248200300554x
SantamariacuteaL(2002)WhyaremostaquaticplantswidelydistributedDispersalclonalgrowthandsmall-scaleheterogeneityinastressfulenvironmentActa Oecologica23137ndash154httpsdoiorg101016S1146-609X(02)01146-3
SimberloffD(2009)Theroleofpropagulepressureinbiologicalinva-sionsAnnual Review of Ecology Evolution and Systematics40 81ndash102httpsdoiorg101146annurevecolsys110308120304
SimberloffDampVonHolleB(1999)Positiveinteractionsofnonindig-enous species InvasionalmeltdownBiological Invasions1 21ndash32httpsdoiorg101023A1010086329619
Stachowicz J JWhitlatch R BampOsman RW (1999) Species di-versityandinvasionresistanceinamarineecosystemScience2861577ndashLP-1579httpsdoiorg101126science28654441577
StohlgrenTJBinkleyDChongGWKalkhanMASchellLDBullKAhellipSonY(1999)ExoticplantspeciesinvadehotspotsofnativeplantdiversityEcological Monographs6925ndash46httpsdoiorg1018900012-9615(1999)069[0025EPSIHS]20CO2
Stroumlm L Jansson R ampNilsson C (2014) Invasibility of borealwet-landplantcommunitiesJournal of Vegetation Science251078ndash1089httpsdoiorg101111jvs12157
StrongDR (1992)Are trophic cascadesallwetDifferentiationanddonor-controlinspecioseecosystemsEcology73747ndash754httpsdoiorg1023071940154
Taddeo S amp De Blois S (2012) Coexistence of introduced and na-tive common reed (Phragmites australis) in freshwater wetlandsEcoscience1999ndash105httpsdoiorg10298019-2-3468
ThompsonKampDavisMA(2011)WhyresearchontraitsofinvasiveplantstellsusverylittleTrends in Ecology amp Evolution26155ndash156httpsdoiorg101016jtree201101007
ThomsenMADrsquoAntonioCMSuttleKBampSousaWP (2006)EcologicalresistanceseeddensityandtheirinteractionsdeterminepatternsofinvasioninaCaliforniacoastalgrasslandEcology Letters9160ndash170httpsdoiorg101111j1461-0248200500857x
Tilman D (2004) Niche tradeoffs neutrality and community struc-ture A stochastic theory of resource competition invasion and
communityassemblyProceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America 101 10854ndash10861 httpsdoiorg101073pnas0403458101
Tylianakis J M Didham R K Bascompte J amp Wardle D A(2008) Global change and species interactions in terres-trial ecosystems Ecology Letters 11 1351ndash1363 httpsdoiorg101111j1461-0248200801250x
USDA N (2016) The PLANTS Database Retrived from httpplantsusdagov
VazquezDP(2006)ExploringtherelationshipbetweennichebreadthandinvasionsuccessInMWCadotteSMMcmahonampTFukami(Eds)Conceptual ecology and invasion biology Reciprocal approaches to nature (pp307ndash322)DordrechtNetherlandsSpringerhttpsdoiorg1010071-4020-4925-0
Vitousek P M Drsquoantonio C M Loope L L Rejmanek M ampWestbrooksR(1997)IntroducedspeciesAsignificantcomponentofhuman-causedglobalchangeNew Zealand Journal of Ecology211ndash16
WHMasonNBastowWilsonJampBSteelJ(2007)Arealternativestable states more likely in high stress environments Logic andavailable evidencedonot supportDidhamet al 2005Oikos116353ndash357httpsdoiorg101111j0030-1299200715283x
Wardle D A (2001) Experimental demonstration that plant diver-sity reduces invasibilityndashEvidenceof abiologicalmechanismor aconsequence of sampling effect Oikos 95 161ndash170 httpsdoiorg101034j1600-07062001950119x
Woo I amp Zedler J B (2002) Can nutrients alone shift a sedgemeadow towards dominance by the invasive Typha times glaucaWetlands 22 509ndash521 httpsdoiorg1016720277-5212(2002) 022[0509CNASAS]20CO2
YurkonisKAMeinersSJampWachholderBE(2005)Invasionimpactsdiversity through altered community dynamics Journal of Ecology931053ndash1061httpsdoiorg101111j1365-2745200501029x
Zedler J B amp Kercher S (2004) Causes and consequences of in-vasive plants in wetlands Opportunities opportunists and out-comes Critical Reviews in Plant Sciences 23 431ndash452 httpsdoiorg10108007352680490514673
SUPPORTING INFORMATION
Additional Supporting Information may be found online in thesupportinginformationtabforthisarticle
How to cite this articleMuthukrishnanRHansel-WelchNLarkinDJEnvironmentalfilteringandcompetitiveexclusiondrivebiodiversity-invasibilityrelationshipsinshallowlakeplantcommunitiesJ Ecol 2018001ndash13 httpsdoiorg1011111365-274512963