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Enterprise Map Project
The aim is to provide a uniform and complete account of a country’s industrial capabilities
Users : Governments , Firms , Investment Agencies , Domestic Content Offices
Volumes available : Ethiopia , Ghana , Tanzania Zambia ,Mozambique
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What are the industries we see (almost) everywhere?
Food , Drink : Wide range , Sugar , Beer
Metals: Drawn Wire, Galvanized Sheet.
Plastics : Moulded Products, Heavy Pipes
Building Materials : Cement ,Bricks , Tiles
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Ethiopia’s Traders
Tanzania: why do we have 5 dominant diversified
companies?
Ghana: How Aquafresh moved from Textiles to Soft Drinks
Mozambique : Three phases of industrial Development
Zambia : Downstream Copper ?
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Re-capturing the domestic markets for soft drinks
How to make drawn wire
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What are the industries we see (almost) everywhere? Food , Drink : Wide range , Sugar , Beer Metals: Drawn Wire, Galvanized Sheet. Plastics : Moulded Products, Heavy Pipes Building Materials : Cement ,Bricks , Tiles
Within this range of Industries , there are some really excellent companies …
Bakhressa Flour Mills , Tanzania
Lafarge Cement , Zambia
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Selling to a ‘safe’ local market
High transport costs or tariffs protect from imports
Entry is ‘safe’ and low productivity and quality does not preclude viability
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There is no international supply chain with other firms whose quality standards you must meet
It is this last point that looms largest as we move to mid-ground manufacturing
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Where do you want to be in 20 years time?
Who exports what?
An (arbitrary) definition of core manufactured exports …
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The Lesson
You Don’t have to advance to mid-level manufacturing to become a mid-income country …
But all those countries that have made this transition are at least mid-income countries
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Question 1: who’s doing what?
Question 3: what barriers are they facing?
Question 2: where will advancing capabilities come from?
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Not primarily a question of technological know-how
Where is Auto Components?
Working Practices
Technical Know-How
Level of sophistication
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A Tanzanian Story: Access to Land
Anna Temu of Power Foods Industries Ltd
Gagan Gupta of Kamal Steels Ltd
Firms are inventive; no barrier is absolute; but mid-size firms with growth potential suffer
Ethiopian Priorities
A good environment in many ways
But FDI opportunities may be lost
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1. Reforming Investment Agencies
2. Integrating Domestic Firms into Oil and Gas Industry Supply Chains
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Ethiopia’s growth will not continue without a deepening of industrial capabilities
This requires a major surge of FDI
No agency has a more important role in employment creation than the EIA
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Most Investment Agencies , including EIA , are focussed on licencing, regulating, informing and monitoring
The small minority of highly successful agencies have a different approach
EIA can become a top class agency within two years
The first step is to shift the focus from licences to employment creation
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EIA emphasises the monitoring of all firms who obtain licences(Is this wise?)
It offers help on request to all firms (Good!)
It does not actively seek prospects
It does not follow firms that are operational
It does not emphasise relationship building
This means it is exploiting only one of the 4 channels of job creation
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Prime Minister level
Head of Agency level
Professional staff level
The key is Leverage : under the pre-reform model , the number of firms with which the agency could interact is very restricted
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The new Director General Mr Fitzum Arega is personally very active in relationship building
The issue is how to get leverage, going from 20 firms to 200 or 300
This requires a major organizational and cultural change in the Agency
How can this be achieved
My role and modus operandi
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The key to expanding, reshaping and focusing on relationship building is:
1. A drastic re-assessment of priorities
2. New staff hires, and training
3. A cultural shift in the approach to relations: “anticipating problems” versus “putting out fires”
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Of the 1,353 licence holders in the 2007 cohort , there were 168 firms of size 50+
Just 37 of these became operational
They account for 9,468 projected jobs , or 75% of all projected jobs from operational firms
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Only 23% of Firms of size 10+ have become operational
Changing this to 50% would double the number of jobs created
The best way to do this is by relationship building: Catch them before they cry for help
The critical time is 1 year post licence
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Appointment of new Director General Fitsum Arega
Mr Arega’s initiatives on salaries and on a major recruitment drive
The building
Information and image
Mr Arega’s re-organization of the industry groups
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Select the ones with most potential
Understand their situation - where they are in the process of becoming operational
Identify any obstacles or problems
Agree how EIA can try to help
Build personal relationships
Keep in regular contact
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A Window of Opportunity
A Bargaining Power Reversal
Building Industrial Capabilities through integration in the Supply Chain
Learning from Global Best practice
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The Columbian Experience
The role of technical Services
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Narrow Focus
Unrealistic Expectations
Futile businesses (Petro chem)
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Tullow Oil in Ghana and Uganda
BP in Azerbaijan
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The role and nature of a Local Content Unit
The initial Phase: Takoradi Port
Understanding the huge breadth of opportunities
The Offshore Phase
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Using the Enterprise Map volume in Ghana
Training centres (Business and Technical)
The role of private and public agencies in firm training
A 2 year timescale
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How they work
Open recruitment by firms
Possible scale
Payoffs
Pitfalls
spinoffs
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How to build university faculties and programs
Timescales and opportunities
Long run prospects
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How to avoid favouritism and corruption
Open processes but realistic targets
Misconceptions in International Agencies
Getting real with governments: understanding what is feasible (a lot !)
Reacting effectively to standard put-downs from (some) Multinationals
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Knowing local capabilities (The Enterprise Map volume)
The concept of Approved Vendor Status
How firms become approved Vendors
The open tender for Approved Vendors
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A lead local contractor (by sector)
Building the supplier base via the lead local contractor
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Construction
Services (helicopter leasing)
Retail(port development)
Catering ( Safety Standards)
General manufacturing (furniture)
Engineering (lessons from Ghana; Finding foreign partners for local firms in the chain)
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Domestic Content Rules and how MNCs can circumvent them
A win-win negotiation approach
Partnering with host governments
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Setting up the Unit
Appointing training partners
Two models of training : in-house secondment versus centre-based courses
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