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Enrollment Trends in West Virginia West Virginia Higher Education Policy Commission November 20, 2009

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Enrollment Trends in

West Virginia

West Virginia Higher Education

Policy Commission

November 20, 2009

Introduction

West Virginia Higher Education Policy Commission

• Purpose: To situate enrollment figures for 2009-10 within

broader contexts and in light of longitudinal trends

• The recession & enrollments

• A view of the pipeline

• Projections for HS graduates

• College-going in West Virginia

• Enrollment trends in West Virginia

2

The Recession & Enrollment Trends

West Virginia Higher Education Policy Commission

• The National Association for College Admission Counseling

(NACAC) 2008 State of College Admissions survey found that the

current recession has had a number of effects on the enrollment

pipeline nationwide, including:

• Students were more likely to forego ‘dream’ schools in favor of

more affordable options, including reported shifts in preferences

from private to public institutions

• Students applied to more schools and were more likely to

submit financial aid applications

• Institutions admitted a higher proportion of students, but yields

were down

• Students were more likely to turn down offers of acceptance,

citing insufficient aid to attend

3

Cracks in the Pipeline

Source: National Center for Higher Education Management Systems (2004)

State

For every

100 Ninth

Graders

Graduate

from High

School

Enter

College

Still Enrolled

Sophomore

Year

Graduate

within 6

years

South Dakota 100 82 56 36 28

Iowa 100 84 52 33 27

Pennsylvania 100 78 46 35 27

Virginia 100 73 42 31 22

Delaware 100 65 36 26 20

Ohio 100 76 40 28 19

Maryland 100 74 43 30 19

North Carolina 100 64 41 28 19

United States 100 70 39 27 18

West Virginia 100 73 39 26 16

Oklahoma 100 74 39 23 15

Arkansas 100 75 42 27 15

South Carolina 100 52 35 23 15

Florida 100 55 29 21 15

Louisiana 100 69 37 26 14

Georgia 100 54 35 23 14

Alabama 100 60 36 23 14

Texas 100 68 35 22 13

Tennessee 100 63 30 21 13

Kentucky 100 65 34 22 11

Mississippi 100 60 36 23 11

West Virginia Higher Education Policy Commission

4

Public/Nonpublic High School Graduates as

a Proportion of 1999 Graduates

Source: Knocking at the College Door, 2008, Western Interstate Commission for Higher Education

West Virginia Higher Education Policy Commission

5

133%

84%

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

120%

140%

1999

2000

2001

2002

2003

2004

2005

2006

2007

2008

2009

2010

2011

2012

2013

2014

2015

2016

2017

2018

2019

2020

2021

Pro

po

rtio

n

Year

Southern Region

West Virginia

West Virginia Higher Education Policy Commission

College-Going Rate Among Recent High

School Graduates

Sources: Table 200, National Digest of Education Statistics, 2008; West Virginia Higher

Education Policy Commission

6

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007

Pro

po

rtio

n

Year

United States

West Virginia

West Virginia Higher Education Policy Commission

Headcount Enrollment by Institution

Source: West Virginia Higher Education Policy Commission

7

Institution 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2008-09 2004-09

Bluefield State College 1,840 1,710 1,788 1,804 1,868 1,989 6.5% 8.1%

Concord University 2,946 2,958 2,928 2,735 2,812 2,882 2.5% -2.2%

Fairmont State University 4,163 4,710 4,602 4,331 4,546 4,572 0.6% 9.8%

Glenville State College 1,319 1,392 1,381 1,441 1,443 1,721 19.3% 30.5%

Marshall University 13,602 13,805 13,810 13,659 13,282 13,434 1.1% -1.2%

Potomac State College 1,304 1,279 1,485 1,608 1,582 1,810 14.4% 38.8%

Shepherd University 3,682 3,901 4,091 4,119 4,185 4,256 1.7% 15.6%

West Liberty University 2,338 2,246 2,272 2,404 2,500 2,642 5.7% 13.0%

West Virginia School of

Osteopathic Medicine

363 397 503 598 691 778 12.6% 114.3%

WV State University 3,344 3,491 3,502 3,218 3,003 4,003 33.3% 19.7%

West Virginia University 25,255 26,051 27,115 28,113 28,840 28,898 0.2% 14.4%

WVU Institute of Technology 1,685 1,535 1,466 1,445 1,224 1,244 1.6% -26.2%

Total 4 Yr 61,841 63,475 64,943 65,475 65,976 68,229 3.4% 10.3%

Total 2 Yr 21,004 21,238 21,145 21,591 21,827 25,483 16.7% 21.3%

Grand Total 82,845 84,713 86,088 87,066 87,803 93,712 6.7% 13.1%

% Change

Total Headcount

West Virginia Higher Education Policy Commission

Full-Time Equivalent Enrollment

by Institution

Source: West Virginia Higher Education Policy Commission

8

West Virginia Higher Education Policy Commission

First-Time Freshmen Headcount

Enrollment by Institution

Source: West Virginia Higher Education Policy Commission

Institution 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2008-09 2004-09

Bluefield State College 282 251 261 307 283 314 11.0% 11.3%

Concord University 578 653 603 627 719 611 -15.0% 5.7%

Fairmont State University 615 672 649 618 771 820 6.4% 33.3%

Glenville State College 292 304 268 291 303 331 9.2% 13.4%

Marshall University 1,803 1,724 1,549 1,686 1,690 1885 11.5% 4.5%

Potomac State College 434 465 541 616 639 723 13.1% 66.6%

Shepherd University 688 675 699 706 707 801 13.3% 16.4%

West Liberty University 462 402 473 475 507 578 14.0% 25.1%

WV State University 398 381 415 391 372 455 22.3% 14.3%

West Virginia University 4359 4574 4828 4731 5135 4589 -10.6% 5.3%

WVU Institute of Technology 254 182 212 253 232 291 25.4% 14.6%

Total 4 Yr 10,165 10,283 10,498 10,701 11,358 11,398 0.4% 12.1%

Total 2 Yr 3,675 3,723 3,958 3,921 3,928 4,604 17.2% 25.3%

Grand Total 13,840 14,006 14,456 14,622 15,286 16,002 4.7% 15.6%

% Change

Total First-Time Freshmen Headcount

9

West Virginia Higher Education Policy Commission

Gender Composition of Enrollments at BA

Degree Granting Institutions

Source: West Virginia Higher Education Policy Commission

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009

Pro

po

rtio

n

Year

Male

Female

10

West Virginia Higher Education Policy Commission

Female Enrollment in Public

Institutions

Source: West Virginia Higher Education Policy Commission

11

Institution 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2008-09 2004-09

Bluefield State College 1,095 1,021 1,049 1,067 1,117 1,205 7.9% 10.0%

Concord University 1,727 1,742 1,707 1,616 1,639 1,705 4.0% -1.3%

Fairmont State University 2,302 2,650 2,588 2,423 2,562 2,576 0.5% 11.9%

Glenville State College 701 663 662 699 630 743 17.9% 6.0%

Marshall University 8,135 8,283 8,275 8,151 7,942 7,977 0.4% -1.9%

Potomac State College 691 692 812 864 832 952 14.4% 37.8%

Shepherd University 2,124 2,236 2,341 2,374 2,391 2,427 1.5% 14.3%

West Liberty University 1,275 1,289 1,323 1,367 1,412 1,498 6.1% 17.5%

West Virginia School of

Osteopathic Medicine

180 186 241 295 331 369 11.5% 105.0%

WV State University 1,981 2,041 2,061 1,847 1,697 2,400 41.4% 21.2%

West Virginia University 12,310 12,716 13,037 13,710 13,768 13,919 1.1% 13.1%

WVU Institute of Technology 660 648 626 579 461 472 2.4% -28.5%

Total 4 Yr 33,181 34,167 34,722 34,992 34,782 36,243 4.2% 9.2%

Total 2 Yr 12,694 12,895 12,924 13,229 13,556 15,333 13.1% 20.8%

Grand Total 45,875 47,062 47,646 48,221 48,338 51,576 6.7% 12.4%

% Change

Total Headcount

West Virginia Higher Education Policy Commission

Age 24 or Younger Undergraduate

Enrollment in Public Institutions

Source: West Virginia Higher Education Policy Commission

12

Institution 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2008-09 2004-09

Bluefield State College 977 954 990 1,036 1,114 1,169 4.9% 19.7%

Concord University 2,361 2,312 2,293 2,208 2,288 2,221 -2.9% -5.9%

Fairmont State University 2,970 3,281 3,089 2,873 3,001 3,015 0.5% 1.5%

Glenville State College 1,071 1,096 1,114 1,135 1,088 1,175 8.0% 9.7%

Marshall University 8,089 8,018 7,745 7,540 7,372 7,601 3.1% -6.0%

Potomac State College 1,114 1,116 1,274 1,366 1,387 1,549 11.7% 39.0%

Shepherd University 2,634 2,764 2,887 2,911 2,960 3,009 1.7% 14.2%

West Liberty University 1,960 1,894 1,926 2,072 2,197 2,287 4.1% 16.7%

WV State University 2,077 2,181 2,184 1,987 1,932 2,465 27.6% 18.7%

West Virginia University 17,304 18,132 19,182 19,613 20,394 20,208 -0.9% 16.8%

WVU Institute of Technology 1,214 1,093 1,052 1,024 909 967 6.4% -20.3%

Total 4 Yr 41,771 42,841 43,736 43,765 44,642 45,666 2.3% 9.3%

Total 2 Yr 11,757 11,645 11,592 12,159 12,364 13,623 10.2% 15.9%

Grand Total 53,528 54,486 55,328 55,924 57,006 59,289 4.0% 10.8%

% Change

Total Headcount

West Virginia Higher Education Policy Commission

Age 25 or Older Undergraduate

Enrollment in Public Institutions

Source: West Virginia Higher Education Policy Commission

13

West Virginia Higher Education Policy Commission

Age Composition of Undergraduate Students

at Bachelor’s Degree Granting Institutions

Source: West Virginia Higher Education Policy Commission

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009

Pro

po

rtio

n

Year

Age 25 or Older

Age 24 or Younger

14

West Virginia Higher Education Policy Commission

In-State Student Enrollment in Public

Institutions

Source: West Virginia Higher Education Policy Commission

15

Institution 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2008-09 2004-09

Bluefield State College 1,739 1,602 1,663 1,625 1,638 1,753 7.0% 0.8%

Concord University 2,523 2,526 2,462 2,283 2,304 2,371 2.9% -6.0%

Fairmont State University 3,868 4,394 4,326 4,071 4,188 4,237 1.2% 9.5%

Glenville State College 1,196 1,259 1,260 1,281 1,263 1,545 22.3% 29.2%

Marshall University 11,256 11,271 11,165 10,875 10,426 10,390 -0.3% -7.7%

Potomac State College 1,036 1,036 1,155 1,162 1,173 1,379 17.6% 33.1%

Shepherd University 2,243 2,339 2,323 2,309 2,325 2,455 5.6% 9.5%

West Liberty University 1,675 1,626 1,600 1,662 1,708 1,846 8.1% 10.2%

West Virginia School of

Osteopathic Medicine

220 216 217 213 219 221 0.9% 0.5%

WV State University 3,035 3,167 3,143 2,866 2,690 3,575 32.9% 17.8%

West Virginia University 14,917 14,942 15,224 15,709 15,654 15,669 0.1% 5.0%

WVU Institute of Technology 1,483 1,404 1,325 1,292 1,078 1,066 -1.1% -28.1%

Total 4 Yr 45,191 45,782 45,863 45,348 44,666 46,507 4.1% 2.9%

Total 2 Yr 19,218 19,362 19,357 19,867 20,144 23,452 16.4% 22.0%

Grand Total 64,409 65,144 65,220 65,215 64,810 69,959 7.9% 8.6%

Total Headcount

% Change

West Virginia Higher Education Policy Commission

Out-of-State Student Enrollment in

Public Institutions

Source: West Virginia Higher Education Policy Commission

16

Institution 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2008-09 2004-09

Bluefield State College 101 108 125 179 230 236 2.6% 133.7%

Concord University 423 432 466 452 508 511 0.6% 20.8%

Fairmont State University 295 316 276 260 358 335 -6.4% 13.6%

Glenville State College 123 133 121 160 180 176 -2.2% 43.1%

Marshall University 2,346 2,534 2,645 2,784 2,856 3,044 6.6% 29.8%

Potomac State College 268 243 330 446 409 431 5.4% 60.8%

Shepherd University 1,439 1,562 1,768 1,810 1,860 1,801 -3.2% 25.2%

West Liberty University 663 620 672 742 792 796 0.5% 20.1%

West Virginia School of

Osteopathic Medicine

143 181 286 385 472 557 18.0% 289.5%

WV State University 309 324 359 352 313 428 36.7% 38.5%

West Virginia University 10,338 11,109 11,891 12,404 13,186 13,229 0.3% 28.0%

WVU Institute of Technology 202 131 141 153 146 178 21.9% -11.9%

Total 4 Yr 16,650 17,693 19,080 20,127 21,310 21,722 1.9% 30.5%

Total 2 Yr 1,786 1,876 1,788 1,724 1,683 2,031 20.7% 13.7%

Grand Total 18,436 19,569 20,868 21,851 22,993 23,753 3.3% 28.8%

% Change

Total Headcount

West Virginia Higher Education Policy Commission

Residency Composition of Enrollment at

Bachelor’s Degree Granting Institutions

Source: West Virginia Higher Education Policy Commission

17

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009

Pro

po

rtio

n

Year

Out-of-State

In-State

West Virginia Higher Education Policy Commission

Enrollment by Degree Level

Source: West Virginia Higher Education Policy Commission

18

0

10000

20000

30000

40000

50000

60000

70000

1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009

# o

f St

ud

en

ts

Year

Bachelor's

Associate's

Graduate/Professional

West Virginia Higher Education Policy Commission

Intensity of Enrollment Composition at

Bachelor’s Degree Granting Institutions

Source: West Virginia Higher Education Policy Commission

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009

Pro

po

rtio

n

Year

Part-Time

Full-Time

19