enlargement and enhanced engagement: the impact on oecds trade statistics

STD/PASS/TAGS – Trade and Globalisation StatisticsSTD/PASS/TAGS – Trade and Globalisation StatisticsSTD/SES/TAGS – Trade and Globalisation StatisticsSTD/SES/TAGS – Trade and Globalisation Statistics

AgendaAgendaItem 3 bItem 3 bAgendaAgendaItem 3 bItem 3 b

Enlargement and Enhanced Enlargement and Enhanced Engagement: the impact on Engagement: the impact on

OECDs trade statistics OECDs trade statistics

Andreas Lindner

Head,

Trade and Globalisation Statistics

AgendaAgendaItem 3 bItem 3 bAgendaAgendaItem 3 bItem 3 b

……, STD/SES/TAGS; 1, STD/SES/TAGS; 1stst WPTGS Meeting 22.-24.09.2008, Paris WPTGS Meeting 22.-24.09.2008, Paris


IntroductionIntroduction

• Heiligendamm Process (G8 2007 mandate) for OECD to act as hub for globalization analysis and advise G8

• Horizontal activity at OECD with central guidance from the Cabinet of the SG

• The 5 enlargement countries will allow more global coverage of OECD per se

• Increasing inclusion of the additional 5 Enhanced Engagement countries are prerequisite for global analysis carried out by OECD

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EnlargementEnlargement

• Structured approach with coordination for statistics to ensure synergies and avoid overlap

• STD has a statistical coordination group, headed by Tim Davis

• Each OECD activity manager will contact accession countries and also tie closer relations with enhanced engagement countries

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Statistical MandateStatistical Mandate

• The Chief Statisticians of the candidate countries have asked that the OECD organise its reviews in a coordinated way within the OECD and within the countries themselves.

• All candidate countries have named a central contact person to deal with the OECD on statistical reviews and these individuals will also help to coordinate communications with relevant officials outside the NSOs.

• The Committee on Statistics has been assigned an overall coordination role and the Statistics Directorate has put a coordination team in place to assist the process.

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Statistical requirementsStatistical requirements

• One of the tools that will be used to facilitate coordination is the Statistical Requirements Paper which includes. – Topics to be covered in the OECD statistical assessments;– Detailed statistical items on which countries are required to

report;– Method of collection used by the OECD (i.e. questionnaire or

other vehicle);– Relevant concepts and standards or other metadata;– The specific experts or reviewers involved within the OECD;– The names and details about any outside consultants or peer

reviewers involved;– The schedule and process to be followed for each subject area;

and,– Plans for missions, meetings and other logistical arrangements

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List of STD statistics covered:List of STD statistics covered:

• STD Activities and Topics• 1. Coordination, Accession Country Statistics (CACS)• 2. Review of Legal and Institutional Framework for Statistics• 3. Classifications• 4. National Accounts, including:• (i) Purchasing Power Parities (PPPs)• (ii) Productivity• 5. Financial Statistics• 6. Business Statistics• 7. International Trade in Goods and Services• 8. Annual Labour Force Survey (ALFS)• 9. Main Economic Indicators (MEI)• 9.1. MEI-Production & Demand• 9.2. MEI-Business Tendency Surveys & Composite Leading Indicators• 9.3. MEI-Employment• 9.4. MEI-Labour compensation• 9.5. Prices• 9.6. MEI-Short-term financial statistics• 9.7. Balance of payments

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Enhanced Engagement Enhanced Engagement countriescountries

• While accession countries are considered near future OECD countries…

• Enhanced Engagement countries are hoped to become future members

• The mechanisms in place are different for these two groups,

• But OECD is putting in place closer ties in many areas ( of which statistics is one) with Enhanced Engagement countries

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So we have a 30 + 5 = 5 country constellation. What does So we have a 30 + 5 = 5 country constellation. What does this mean for GDP coverage?this mean for GDP coverage?

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……Dynamic, growing economiesDynamic, growing economies

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And for trade? OECD lost by -7%, while AC’s And for trade? OECD lost by -7%, while AC’s increased their share by+1%, and EEC’s by +4%increased their share by+1%, and EEC’s by +4%

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AC’s and EEC’s are more dynamic trading AC’s and EEC’s are more dynamic trading countries than the 30 OECD countriescountries than the 30 OECD countries

Export growth G+S 2000-2006

Import growth G+S 2000-2006

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Thank you!Thank you!

[email protected]

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enlargement and enhanced engagement: the impact on oecds trade statistics

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