energy statistics challenges in the arab regioncss.escwa.org.lb/sd/3558/escwa1.pdf · gaps in...
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ENERGY STATISTICS CHALLENGES IN THE ARAB REGION NOVEMBER 2014
Wafa Aboul Hosn, Ph.D. Chief, Economic Statistics Section Statistics Division
United Nations Economic and Social
Commission for Western Asia
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• Importance of energy for the economy
• Importance of energy information for
investments and financing in energy efficiency
• Frameworks for compilation of energy statistics
• ESCWA’s work in capacity building
• Challenges for the Arab region and the other
regions
• Recommendations
• Opportunities
Outline
Wafa A. HOSN UNESCWA
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17 countries: Jordan, Iraq,
Kuwait, Bahrain, Qatar, UAE,
Oman, Yemen and Saudi
Arabia; Lebanon, Palestine
Syria, Egypt and Sudan;
3 North African joined in 2012:
Libya, Tunisia and Morocco
Year ESCWA 17
Surface area (millions sq km) 9,707
Population, total (thousand) 2011 316,150
Average Annual Population Growth Rate (%) 2006-11 2,51
Energy Reserves Oil (million barrels) 2013 705,637
Energy Reserves gas (billion cubic meters) 2013 49,766
Production of Oil and Others (000 barrels/day) 2013 26,544
CO2 emissions per capita (metric tons) 2010 4.9
Energy use per capita per year (Kg of oil equivalent) 2013 1,591
Electricity use per capita (KWH) 2013 2,522
Highlights of ESCWA region
42% of
World
50% of
World
27%% of
World
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Electricity Generation by Type (GWh) in ESCWA Countries in 2013
٢٠١٣( س.و.ج)توليد الكهرباء في بلدان االسكوا
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Energy Use (KOE) per $1,000 GDP (constant 2005 PPP $)
(ن.م.ك) حصة الفرد من استهالك الطاقة
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-
100,000
200,000
300,000
400,000
500,000
600,000
700,000
800,000
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013
Electricity consumption by sector in ESCWA countries (GWh) (س.و.ج)استهالك الطاقة الكهربائية في القطاعات االقتصادية لبلدان اإلسكوا
حسب القطاع
Total المجموع
Residential المنزلي
Industrial الصناعي
Commercial التجاري
Other غيره
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20%
43%
16%
21%
Electricity consumption by sector in ESCWA countries (GWh) (س.و.ج)استهالك الطاقة الكهربائية في القطاعات االقتصادية لبلدان اإلسكوا
حسب القطاع % 2013
Industrial الصناعي
Residential المنزلي
Commercial التجاري
Other غيره
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• Input for production processes
•Consumer commodity
•50% of GDP in GCCs
•Stresses on natural environment •CO2 GHG Pollutants •Resources Depletion
Investment and Financing in Energy Efficiency
Decoupling economic and social well-being from
resource use
Improving energy Information for public,
investors and government
Importance of Energy
46.2
41.1
51.5 47.8
29.1 25.5
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
Qatar Oman Kuwait Saudi Arabia UAE Bahrain
% Mining & Quarrying of total GDP at
current prices 2010
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National Economy
Rest of the World
ROW
Rest of the
World
ROW
Industry
Households
Transport
General
Government
SUPPLY
CO2 GHG
Emissions
USE
Depletion of the
resource
Pollution
Energy Information on Flows by
Product between and within
economy and environment
Imperfect information
will hurt public, and
incur costs on investors
and governments
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Framework for Compilation
To further develop the energy statistics in
an efficient manner it is suggested that
the energy statistics should be embedded
in and formed by the framework of an
energy balance and energy accounts.
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Energy Balance Framework
http://www.iea.org/Sankey/
Energy data in common energy unit with products aggregated by category by flow
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A systems model for the interrelations of material and energy flows, economic growth, and social well-being. Source: modified from Fischer-Kowalski
and Haberl, 1998
Energy Accounts Framework (SEEA-CF)
Flows (Monetary and Physical) between Natural
Resources and Economy based on SNA and
International Classifications and
Recommendations (ISIC, IRES) Supply of
primary energy and imports, stocks,
transformation and end use of energy A
1. Coal, coke, gas work gas and peat
a) Coal, coke and peat 2 0,1
b) Gas work gas
2. Oil 34 2
3. Natural Gas 2 30
Own use 28
Reinjection
Flaring and venting
Distribution 2 2
4. Electricity 7 0,3
5. Heat 2 0
6. Renewable fuels and waste
a) Solid biomass and wastes 3 0,1
b) Liquid biofuels and biogas 0,3
Total use of energy 50 32
Use
Intermediate Consumption, Industries by ISIC
Min
ing
an
d q
ua
rryin
g
Ag
ricu
lture
, fore
stry
an
d
fish
ing
TeraJoule
B
18
0,0
382
39
39
34
7
4
0,2
484
Use
Intermediate Consumption, Industries by ISIC
Man
ufa
ctu
ring
TeraJoule
C
223
16
452
452
33
2
68
1,5
795
Use
Intermediate Consumption, Industries by ISIC
Ele
ctric
ity, g
as s
tea
m a
nd
air
co
nd
ition
ing
su
pp
ly
TeraJoule
D H
621
0
0
6
1
628
Use
Intermediate Consumption, Industries by ISIC
TeraJoule
Tra
nspo
rtatio
n a
nd
sto
rag
e
E-G, I-U
243
0,0 0,1
49 1 104
12 535
28
12 507
35 115
29 41
1 75
1,9
127 2 116
Use
Intermediate Consumption, Industries by ISIC
TeraJoule
Total
Total
Indu-
stries
Oth
er in
du
strie
s
1 - 21 1,9 - 19 225 2 227
0,4 0,4 0,5 0 0,5
102 - 3 801 31 900 2 004,5 6 2 011
28 2 201 232 767 40 806
28 28
32 32
7 7
28 2 201 232 739 739
39 49 88 204 8 212
63 63 104 26 130
33 0,3 1 34 110 1 111
1,9 2
267 - 22 1 055 31 1 300 3 415 83 3 498
Use
Final consumtion, inventories and exports Total use
by the
economy
To the
environ-
ment:
Losses and
re-turns
Chan-
ges in
inven-
tories
Exports Total
final con-
sump-
tion,
inven-
tories
and
exports
TeraJoule
of which
sold to non-
residents on
national
territory
Total use
incl.
losses and
returns
Con-
sump-
tion by
house-
holds
Total
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ESCWA Priorities in Statistics
http://www.escwa.un.org/information/publications/edit/upload/sd-09-3.pdf
Wafa A. HOSN UNESCWA
Mandate from Countries:
Recommendations from EGMs and IGMs
Field Work: Needs Assessment of Statistical
Systems at member countries
Technical Assistance requests
Normative Work: ESCWA studies and reports
Indicated interest in Economic Statistics and
National Accounts, Energy and Environment,
Trade and Industry, Prices and Short-Term
Indicators in relation to sustainable
development
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Wafa A. HOSN UNESCWA
Extra Funding : ESCWA’s Projects to Develop
Statistical capacity of countries in specific areas
– DESA-UNSD project -Environment Statistics
2002-5
– Project on Environment Statistics and
Accounts (ESIAP) 2007-2010 with ECLAC 800
k USD
– Project on Energy Statistics and Balance 2011-
2014 in ESCWA 500 k USD
– TC project on 2008 SNA for 4 ESCWA pilot
countries
– Project to fund 3 ESCWA countries to conduct
survey in Islamic Bank and DFID 500k USD
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• Although very important sector in the Arab region,
and in spite of many capacity building projects:
(Medstat, ESCWA), energy statistics is still not
collected, produced and used with the quality,
coverage, periodicity and timeliness required
• Gaps, general and specific, exist in many areas
× Institutional
× Resources
× Data Sources and Metadata
× Technical
× Users -Producers
Energy Statistics Challenges in the Arab Region
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Institutional • Structural: In most Arab NSOs, energy statistics is with industry (Egypt,
Qatar,… ) or environment (UAE) or NA (Tunisia) except in Palestine
• Lack of Coordination: different government entities producing/publishing
energy data
• Reporting:
– In oil exporting Arab countries, oil & gas are owned &
operated by national oil companies and there are no taxes,
the data reporting still not fully developed.
– Customs do not administer trade of oil and gas. (Ministries
of Oil, Finances and central Banks).
– Confidentiality on production and exports data (if only one
company is operating)
– Delays in producing and publishing energy reports
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Resources
• Insufficient staff working on energy statistics
• Lack in understanding the energy processes
and the information required to produce quality
energy data;
• Absence of funding for the establishment of
effective data collecting, handling, and
disseminating systems
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Data Sources • Economic/business /industrial surveys: extraction,
production, manufacturing, transportation and
distribution, and intermediate and final consumption of
fuels and electricity (values and quantities),
• Surveys: Household, Agriculture, Transport for end use
• Administrative records: Business registers, Oil and gas
and electricity companies reports/ government agencies,
on supply and consumption, prices, investments, etc.
• Customs/others on imports and exports
• Environment Survey: expenditures on environmental
Protection
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Metadata
Building metadata and ensuring the quality and
exhaustiveness of already existing statistics for
petroleum, gas and electricity.
Besides being instrumental for the users, it will help
the producers of the statistics to ensure the quality
and comprehensiveness of the data.
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Technical Issues
• Different methodologies used in calculations and
estimations of energy balance not applying
international standards and methodologies
• Units and conversion factors mass/volume to energy.
(Local factors from producers for each product should
be used) Reference to the International Recommendation on Energy Statistics, IRES
http://unstats.un.org/unsd/statcom/doc11/BG-IRES.pdf and the IEA
manuals on energy statistics
• Lack of IT tools for energy data collection and
management and exchange between databases from
producers and users of energy data.
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Gaps in Renewable
• Renewable energy is a fast growing sector
in the region but in most countries ie. UAE,
so far no statistics on renewable energy is
published.
• Difficulties in estimating RE (small scale
use, biomass, etc..)
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Values and Quantities
• Information on energy use is available for either values
or quantities. Need to convert values into quantities and
vice versa. Unit prices (i.e. value per physical unit)
• Unit prices are not always readily available, i.e. because
the energy group in question may be too heterogeneous
to be represented by a single energy product
• Basic information at a sufficient detailed level and for
groups, identifiable or comparable with other groups.
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Specific Issues for Gulf Countries
• Fuel for electricity production and
desalination
• How to allocate the input of natural gas by
ISIC activities for electricity production and
desalination.
• District cooling
• Local sales versus exports (between
emirates)
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Users -Producers
Maintaining good contacts to the producers of
renewable energy are important in order to prepare
energy statistics (including the production of
renewable energy and nuclear energy).
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Development of the energy statistics, balances
and/or accounts
. 1 • Build a flow chart of all energy flows in
the country
2 • Build metadata and documentation for
the existing energy statistics.
3
• Specify organisational and dissemination strategy for the existing and future statistics
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Development of the energy statistics, balances
and/or accounts
4
• Start building an energy balance • a) Start with the existing data on production, imports and exports
data.
• b) Add information on the use of natural gas and petroleum products for the production of electricity and refined oil products.
• c) Add information on the use of electricity and refined oil products by sectors (industries, transport and households, etc.).
• d) Specify inconsistent and missing data to fill the complete balance. Establish estimates for the missing data
5
• Work on streamlining reporting templates and procedures for the energy suppliers (report once - use many times).
6 •Consult with users and data providers
7 • Adjust previous steps as appropriate
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Recommendations a) Provide necessary and appropriate trainings for employees involved
in the collection, analysis and dissemination of energy statistics;
b) Invest in adequate information technology tools;
c) Unify the methodologies, concepts in energy statistics;
d) Establish a coordination mechanism between all energy related
parties to avoid duplication of efforts and other unnecessary financial
and technical implications that affect the quality of produced data;
e) Raise awareness and advocating energy statistics and balances to
get the attention and support from decision makers;
f) Appoint one responsible agency, such as the National Statistical Office
or energy observatory, to lead the process of data collection, analysis
and dissemination of energy statistics and balances and link the
databases of all related parties.
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Opportunities for Arab Countries At the Global
Regional Country levels
Statistical Implications
Links of Energy data
SDGs and Rio plus 20
Climate Change
Compilation of SDG Energy
Indicators
CO2 and GHG Inventories
FDI and ODA for intra
and inter Regional
Integration
Energy Data in external Sector
Investments in Green
Economy and Energy
Efficiency
Integrated economic statistics-
Environmental Economic
Accounting; Links to
employment and environment
Well being and Progress
of societies
Link of investments in energy to
people (Socio-demographic)
Data Revolution Links to IT