energy in motion toward 2030 - gse
TRANSCRIPT
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Antonello Di Pardo Monitoring, studies and statistics unit [email protected]
Energy in motion toward 2030
GSE WE GUARANTEE THE SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT OF OUR COUNTRY. WE PROMOTE RENEWABLE SOURCES AND ENERGY EFFICIENCY.
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• RES ITALIAN TARGETS MONITORING
• RES results and evolution
• RES in electricity sector: main statistics
• OVERVIEW OF SUPPORT SCHEMES
• Support schemes timeline
• Cost and burden of incentives in 2017
• EVOLUTION OF RES: THE ROAD TOWARDS 2030
• Focus on the draft of the new Ministerial Decree “FER1”
Overview of the Italian renewable energy market
AGENDA
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EUROPEAN TARGETS FOR CLIMATE AND ENERGY
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RES TARGET MONITORING: WHERE WE ARE
Observed Renewable share
Renewable National Plan
17,7%
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17,4 16,5 19,6 20,7 20,2 21,3 21,1 21,7
133,3 128,2 127,1 123,9 118,5 121,5 121,1 123,0
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017*
RES Transport RES Heating
RES Electricity Total gross final consumptions
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EVOLUTION OF RES: STATISTICS
(*) preliminary data
* *
*
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*
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RES DISTRIBUTION: PV
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RES DISTRIBUTION: WIND
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RES DISTRIBUTION: HYDROELECTRIC
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RES DISTRIBUTION: BIOENERGIES
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RES DISTRIBUTION: GEOTHERMAL
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• RES ITALIAN TARGETS MONITORING
• RES results and evolution
• RES in electricity sector: main statistics
• OVERVIEW OF SUPPORT SCHEMES
• Support schemes timeline
• Cost and burden of incentives in 2017
• EVOLUTION OF RES: THE ROAD TOWARDS 2030
• Focus on the draft of the new Ministerial Decree “FER1”
Overview of the Italian renewable energy market
AGENDA
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HOW DID WE GET HERE? SUPPORT SCHEMES TIMELINE
CIP 6/92 (Feed in tariff)
Certificati Verdi (Green Certificates)
Conto Energia FTV (Feed in premium)
Tariffe Onnicomprensive (Feed in tariff)
Conto Energia CSP (Feed in premium)
Decreto 6 luglio 2012 (Feed in premium/Feed in tariff)
Decreto 23 giugno 2016 (Feed in premium/Feed in tariff)
19
92
19
93
19
94
19
95
19
96
19
97
19
98
19
99
20
00
20
01
20
02
20
03
20
04
20
05
20
06
20
07
20
08
20
09
20
10
20
11
20
12
20
13
20
14
20
15
20
16
20
17
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EVOLUTION OF RES: DRIVERS
Meccanismo Incentivo medio
Conto Energia FTV 290 €/MWh
TO 210 €/MWh
INCENTIVO EX-CV 104 €/MWh
DM 6/7/2012 74 €/MWh
DM 23/6/2016 49 €/MWh
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EVOLUTION OF RES: IMPACTS ON INVESTMENTS AND JOBS
58
0
78
2
30
9
12
3
11
1
1.9
06
81
5
28
8
90
4
52
4
67
3
67
9
54
3.9
37
-
500
1.000
1.500
2.000
2.500
3.000
3.500
4.000
4.500
Mln
€
Investments
O&M costs
3.9
79
6.1
41
2.9
84
1.1
58
1.1
24
15
.39
5
9.6
77
3.7
19
11
.50
2
6.4
54
3.6
21
1.9
90
68
9
37
.65
2
-
5.000
10.000
15.000
20.000
25.000
30.000
35.000
40.000
JOB
S
Temporary jobs
Permanent jobs
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• RES ITALIAN TARGETS MONITORING
• RES results and evolution
• RES in electricity sector: main statistics
• OVERVIEW OF SUPPORT SCHEMES
• Support schemes timeline
• Cost and burden of incentives in 2017
• EVOLUTION OF RES: THE ROAD TOWARDS 2030
• Focus on the draft of the new Ministerial Decree “FER1”
Overview of the Italian renewable energy market
AGENDA
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EVOLUTION OF RES: THE ROAD TOWARDS 2030
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
20
00
20
02
20
04
20
06
20
08
20
10
20
12
20
14
20
16
20
18
20
20
20
22
20
24
20
26
20
28
20
30
SEN
GW
Hydro Wind
Solar Geothermal
Bioenergy
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
20
00
20
02
20
04
20
06
20
08
20
10
20
12
20
14
20
16
20
18
20
20
20
22
20
24
20
26
20
28
20
30
SEN
TWh Hydro Wind
Solar Geothermal
Bioenergy
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EVOLUTION OF RES: THE M.D. “FER1” DRAFT
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A (Wind, PV)
A-2 (PV substitution
of asbesto)
B (hydro,
sewage gas)
C (refurbished wind,hydro, sewage gas)
770 800 80 80
A (Wind, PV)
B (hydro,
sewage gas)
C (refurbished wind,hydro, sewage gas)
5.600 110 500
Group
Capacity (MW)
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FOCUS ON PAST AND FUTURE WIND AUCTIONS
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?
89 89 89
66
21
127 127 127
110
70
124 115
93
66
96 103
89
75
63 52
43
72
124 124 124
108
69
2012 session 2013 session 2014 session 2016 session 2019 session
€/M
Wh
Possible range Base tariff Min admitted reduction Max admitted reduction Energy price
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RES studies and statistics on the Italian market
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THANK YOU
MOVING ENERGIES