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Energy Efficiency Market Outlook for Bangladesh Approximately 40% of the GHG emission reductions required by 2050 to limit global temperature increase to less than 2 degrees centigrade would potentially come from energy efficiency alone. It is the key for cost effective energy transition and the one hidden energy resource that all countries, including Bangladesh possess in abundance. Stronger policy development and implementation focusing on technology leapfrogging, demand aggregation, new financing mechanisms and innovative business models is essential if the current level of efficiency gains is to be maintained or accelerated. Manufacturing, commercial buildings and appliances are the major markets for energy efficiency investments with tremendous potential for energy savings, industrial productivity, and multiple other economic and social benefits for the foreseeable future.

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Page 1: Energy Efficiency Market Outlook for Bangladeshidcol.org/bces-2019/assets/newsevents/knowledgepapers/Energy Effi… · Fuel economy standards for ICE vehicles, public transport systems,

Energy Efficiency Market

Outlook for Bangladesh

Approximately 40% of the GHG emission reductions required by 2050 to limit global temperature increase to less

than 2 degrees centigrade would potentially come from energy efficiency alone. It is the key for cost effective

energy transition and the one hidden energy resource that all countries, including Bangladesh possess in

abundance. Stronger policy development and implementation focusing on technology leapfrogging, demand

aggregation, new financing mechanisms and innovative business models is essential if the current level of

efficiency gains is to be maintained or accelerated. Manufacturing, commercial buildings and appliances are the

major markets for energy efficiency investments with tremendous potential for energy savings, industrial

productivity, and multiple other economic and social benefits for the foreseeable future.

Page 2: Energy Efficiency Market Outlook for Bangladeshidcol.org/bces-2019/assets/newsevents/knowledgepapers/Energy Effi… · Fuel economy standards for ICE vehicles, public transport systems,

7

The primary energy intensity in Bangladesh has been

improving at a rate over 11% since 2005 and this is on par

with the global energy intensity trend. This means, energy

use and economic development have been decoupling

with gross domestic product (GDP) growing at a faster

pace than primary energy use.

Recognising the need for strong energy efficiency policy to

realise national energy goals, the government has set

targets and laid out a clear roadmap for market

transformation. The EE&C master plan aims to achieve

global best energy intensity in manufacturing and building

sectors by 2025 and accelerated penetration of high efficient

and super efficient appliances in the residential sector by

2030.

Policy driven actions and innovation will be key to unlock the potential for energy efficiency. Streamlined implementation and enforcement can further boost the progress and accelerate market transformation.

Source: IEA

0.23 0.22 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.18 0.180.15 0.15 0.14 0.13 0.12 0.11 0.11

0.470.43

0.38 0.370.33

0.3 0.290.3 0.3 0.28 0.27 0.26 0.24 0.24

1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2016

Total Primary Energy Supply (TPES)/GDP (toe/thousand 2010 USD)

World OECD Non-OECD Bangladesh

2019 2021-25 2016-302020

Primary Energy

Consumption /

GDP

EE&C

implementation

and investments

Industry /

Manufacturing

Services /

Buildings

Residential

15% improvement by

2021

20% improvement by

2030

Policy driven programs Market driven and PPP

Achieve global best energy intensity

by 2025

Achieve global best energy intensity

by 2025

Penetration of high

efficient appliances

Penetration of super efficient

appliances

EE&C Roadmap for 2030Source: SREDA

Page 3: Energy Efficiency Market Outlook for Bangladeshidcol.org/bces-2019/assets/newsevents/knowledgepapers/Energy Effi… · Fuel economy standards for ICE vehicles, public transport systems,

7

A range of direct and indirect economic benefits can flow from improving energy efficiency, including for

employment, productivity, and the incomes of individuals and businesses. Increased energy efficiency can also improve

access to energy. Particularly in Bangladesh, where large parts of the population continue to lack access to energy

services, efficiency can help increase energy access by ensuring a greater level of energy service per unit of energy

consumed. Integrating energy efficiency with energy access interventions can optimise energy system capacity, defer

capital expenditure and bring significant economic benefits.

2 billion USD investment opportunity in Manufacturing sector alone. Enabling investment at scale is critical to deliver on the promise of energy efficiency.

Source: SREDA

Industry / Manufacturing

48%Residential31%

Transport11%

Agriculture5%

Commercial5%

Primary energy use in Bangladesh

50%

30%

30%

36%

NA

Agriculture

High efficiency

pumps, motors,

solar PV pumps,

varable speed

drives etc.

Commercial

buildings /

Services

Building retrofits,

High COP Air

Conditioning,

LED lighting,

occupancy &

daylight sensor

etc.

Residential

LED lighting, high

efficiency water

pumps, motors for

fans, variable

speed compressor

for refrigerators

and ACs, heat

pumps, solar water

heaters, LED back

light TVs,

Transport

Fuel economy

standards for ICE

vehicles, public

transport systems,

electric mobility,

etc.

Industry /

Manufacturing

High efficiency

machines, motors,

air compressors,

once-through

boilers,

regenerative,

burners, variable

speed drives,

waste heat

recovery, CHP,

combustion

controls etc.

There is huge potential for end use energy efficiency gains in the

manufacturing, residential appliances and commercial buildings.

EE&C measures deployed at scale could deliver peak shaving,

complement load shedding and minimize negative impact on the

economy. Energy savings from efficiency improvements can reduce

the burden of energy subsidies and improve fiscal deficit scenario.

RMG Textile Cement GlassSteelRe-

rolling

Pulp andPaper

Chemicals

Plastics

EE&C invetsment Potential (BDT Million) 88,534 46,540 24,050 4,350 3,773 1,503 1,075 928

Energy Savings Potential 32% 32% 23% 24% 41% 24% 24% 24%

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

30%

35%

40%

45%

0102030405060708090

100

EE

&C

Investm

ent

Thousands

EE&C Potential in Manufacturing sub-sectors of Bangladesh

Energy saving potential from EE&C Interventions

Source: SREDA 2015

Source: IFC 2012; SREDA 2015

Page 4: Energy Efficiency Market Outlook for Bangladeshidcol.org/bces-2019/assets/newsevents/knowledgepapers/Energy Effi… · Fuel economy standards for ICE vehicles, public transport systems,

7

1.6 Billion USD investment opportunity in RMG & textile sub-sector alone. Energy efficiency is indispensable to improve productivity, gain competitive edge and better the working environment.

Spinning

Carding machines

Roving frames with pneuma-less waste

Ring spinning frames with PM motor

Autoconer with balloon controller

Air jet spinning machines

Weaving / Knitting

Air-jet loom with adjustable air

consumption and pressure.

Warper & sizer with inverter

control and IE2 / IE3 motor

Circular knitting machine with

less air consumption

Jacquard knitting machine with

less air consumption

Dyeing, printing and finishing

Dyeing machine and stenter with

built-in waste heat recovery

Stenter controlled by inverter and

adjustable air volume, nozzle width

Washing machine using indirect

steam and built in heat recovery

Steam dryer with built in waste

heat recovery

Sewing & cutting

Machines with direct drive

servo motors

IE2 / IE3 motors

Pressing

Automatic vacuum iron

table

Production floor

Enhanced productivity Superior product quality and value Competitive edge

Lower production costs (energy,

labour raw material etc.)Enhanced asset value Increased disposable income

Operation and maintenance

Extended life-time for plant &

machineryReduced process / plant downtime

Deferred capital costs towards

replacing plant and machinery

Working environment

Improved thermal comfort and

lighting

Increased worker safety and well-

beingRetain and attract skilled staff

Reduced health insurance costs

and medical expensesImproved labour productivity Reduced noise levels

Environmental

Reduced compliance costs, fines

etc.

Reduced hazardous waste, dust

etc.

Reduced CO, CO2, NOx, SOx

emissions

Other economic

Decreased liability/risksRe-investment of

savings/disposable income

New income streams; increased

production capacity

250-300

333

Average SEC of textileindustry (International

Best Practice)

Average SEC inBangladesh

TO

E p

er

mill

ion u

nits

pro

duced

Source: ADB, 2014

EE&C

Interventions

in RMG &

Textile

Industrial

Sub sector

National Energy

Consumption

(thousand toe)

National EE&C

potential

(thousand toe)

EE&C

saving

(%)

Textile and

garment3740 1159 31%

Utility

Once through boiler

Screw compressor with

inverter control

Cogeneration with gas

engine generator

Source: SREDA, 2015

Business case for industrial energy efficiency: the multiple benefits

Page 5: Energy Efficiency Market Outlook for Bangladeshidcol.org/bces-2019/assets/newsevents/knowledgepapers/Energy Effi… · Fuel economy standards for ICE vehicles, public transport systems,

7

SREDA has notified the draft regulations for appliance standards

& labelling in 2018. Soon after, these regulations take effect, the

voluntary phase for complying with minimum energy performance

standards and labelling will commence for ceiling fans, LED

lamps, room air conditioners and refrigerators. Together these four

appliance categories account for 75% (approx.) of electricity

consumption in the residential sector.

In the commercial building space, the Building Energy &

Environment Rating for Design and Construction of Buildings

(Draft) was published in 2018. Further, Bangladesh’s Ministry of

Housing and Public Works is currently developing Green Buildings

Guidelines. These standards along with existing independent

green building rating mechanisms (e.g. LEED) will go a long way

in unlocking the potential for energy efficiency in buildings.

Technology leapfrogging is vital to accelerate energy efficiency in buildings and appliances. Building codes and appliance standards are key policy measures for driving adoption. Demand aggregation can help achieve economies of scale and improve cost effectiveness of adopting super efficient technologies.

Water pumps

25% energy savings

from high efficiency

pumps and motors

4

5

6

7

3

2

1

Air conditioner

50% energy savings from

High COP with large heat

exchanging coil and variable

speed compressor

Refrigerator / freezer

55% energy savings from

variable speed compressor,

high performance heat

insulation

Fans

50% energy savings

from electronically

commuted high

efficiency motors

(brushless DC motors)

Lighting

50% energy savings

from LED technology

Television

25% energy savings

from LCD with LED back

light

Water heater

60% energy savings

from heat pumps

Lighting15%

Fan29%

Refrigerator18%

Air conditioner

12%

Television12%

Water pumping

6%Others

8%

Residential electricity consumption in Bangladesh

EE&C potential

in appliances

Page 6: Energy Efficiency Market Outlook for Bangladeshidcol.org/bces-2019/assets/newsevents/knowledgepapers/Energy Effi… · Fuel economy standards for ICE vehicles, public transport systems,

7

New financing mechanisms (e.g. ESCOs, green banks and

green bonds) are essential to further accelerate market

transformation. The policy should focus on creating public

sector institutional capacity to lead initial investments,

aggregate demand and demonstrate proof of concept.

For accelerating private sector participation, it is crucial to

establish trust and confidence in the capabilities and

capacity among private players. Innovation in establishing

robust payment security mechanisms and established

structures for adopting legal recourse of payment defaults

can further go a long way in creating self sustaining markets

for these alternate financing mechanisms.

New financing mechanisms and innovative business models are vital to delivering the investment opportunity in energy efficiency. Enabling policies should focus on creating self sustaining markets for these alternative mechanisms such as energy service companies (ESCOs), green banks, green bonds etc.

Project financing (ESCOs)

Vendor credit, leasing

Commercial financing, bonds

Partial risk (first loss) guarantees

Credit line with commercial bank

Credit line with development bank

Public ESCOs

Revolving funds from budgetary support

Utility “on-bill” financing

Grants / subsidies from budgetary support

Market maturity Commercial financing

Public financing

Energy Efficiency Financing Ladder

Typical design of energy efficiency credit line

Preferential lending from local financial institutions

supported by low cost credit lines from international

development finance institutions is the dominant

mechanism for energy efficiency financing in the currently

scenario. JICA, World Bank, ADB, KfW, AfD and many

other development finance institutions are actively

operating / designing such credit lines to accelerate

investment in niche energy efficiency markets. The

Energy Efficiency and Conservation Promotion Financing

Project (EECPF) is a 100 Mn USD JICA credit line

administered by SREDA and IDCOL is one of the

participating financial institutions for further on-lending this

fund at preferential rates to eligible projects based on a

predefined criteria.

Source: World Bank

DonorInternational

Development

Finance

Institution

Public

agencyGovernment

Local

Financial

InstitutionLender

BorrowerIndustry / End

user

External financing –

foreign currency

Repayment

Low interest rate

Credit line

Repayment

Credit line / Co-financing

with own funds

Repayment

Concessional rate

Low interest rate

Page 7: Energy Efficiency Market Outlook for Bangladeshidcol.org/bces-2019/assets/newsevents/knowledgepapers/Energy Effi… · Fuel economy standards for ICE vehicles, public transport systems,

Ernst & Young LLP

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About IDCOL

Infrastructure Development Company Limited

(IDCOL) was established on 14 May 1997 by the

Government of Bangladesh. Since its inception,

IDCOL is playing a major role in developing and

financing infrastructure, renewable energy and

energy efficiency projects in Bangladesh. Today the

company stands as the market leader in private

sector energy and infrastructure financing in

Bangladesh.

What IDCOL offers:

• Long Term Local and Foreign Currency

Loan for Infrastructure Projects

• Agency services

• Debt and Equity Arrangements

• Corporate Advisory Services

• Training and Capacity Building Services

• Soft Loan and Grant for Renewable Energy

Projects

Page 8: Energy Efficiency Market Outlook for Bangladeshidcol.org/bces-2019/assets/newsevents/knowledgepapers/Energy Effi… · Fuel economy standards for ICE vehicles, public transport systems,

46 Electric mobility in India: Leveraging collaboration and nascency

Somesh Kumar

EY India Power and Utilities Leader

Tel: +91 11 6671 8270

E-mail: [email protected]

Sanjoy K Gupta

EY Bangladesh Managing Partner

Tel: +88 028835513

E-mail: [email protected]

Ashish Kulkarni

Executive Director – Power & Utilities, India

Tel: +91 124 464 4000

E-mail: [email protected]

Mohammad Saif

Director, Power and Utilities,

India Tel: +91 124 46 18134

E-mail: [email protected]

Kanv Garg

Director, Renewables & Electric Mobility,

India Tel: +91 124 671 4000

Email: [email protected]

Rahul S Agnihotri

Senior Manager, Power and Utilities

India Tel: +91 9867334415

Email: [email protected]

Shuboday Ganta

Manager, Power and Utilities

Bangladesh Tel: +88 1904667282

Email: [email protected]

Shikhar Gupta

Assistant Director, Knowledge - Power & Utility

Tel: +91 124 470 1233

E-mail: [email protected]

EY

co

nta

cts

EY office

Ernst & Young Advisory

Services Bangladesh Limited

Gulshan Pink City, Suite 6/A,

Level–7, Plot no 15, Road no

103, Block- CEN(C), Gulshan

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Tel: +88 01611275705

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