energy defecit & future of pakistan 011

8/3/2019 Energy Defecit & Future of Pakistan 011

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Pakistan

Energy Deficit&

Future

by Engr. Khurram Hashmi


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Generation vs. Demand

21002 MW

18219 MW

14299 MW

20151 MW

0

5000

10000

15000

20000

25000

2009-2010

MW

Installed and Available capacitiy & peak Demand

Installed Capacity

Available capability(summer)

Available Capability (winter)

Peak Current Demand

Short fallSummer: 5852 MWWinter: 1932MW


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Energy Future 2030

0

20000

40000

60000

80000

100000

120000

2010 2015 2020 2025 2030

MW

Year

Generation vs. Demand

Generation Capability Peak Demand


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Power Generation


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Power Generation mix 2008

Oil32.10%

Gas

34.30%Coal0.10%

Hydel

29.90%

Nuclear &Imprt 3.4%


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Agencies Producing Electricity

WAPDA11327 MW

58%

KESC1756 MW

9%

PAEC462 MW

2%

IPPs5977 MW

31%

Data: 2008


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Power Generation Mix 2030

Oil12%

Gas25%

Coal25%

Hydel30%

Nuclear5% Renewable

3%

2030

Oil32.10%

Gas34.30%

Coal0.10%

Hydel29.90%

Nuclear &

Imprt3.4%

2008

137130 MW

19951 MW


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Generation Efficiency


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Efficiencies: Generation Units

33%

54%

65%

44%

16%

%Efficiency

Thermal Open Cycle IGCC Hydro Combustion engine Solar PV

IGCC: Integrated Gas Combined Cycle


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Energy Consumption


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Power Consumption Mix

Domestic,42.50%

Commercial,

6.45%

Insdustrial,23.92%

Agriculture,14.03%

BulkSupply&Publiclighting, 5.49%

Traction, 0.01%


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Energy Consumption of a home

Summer

CFL7%

AC (split 1.5ton)24%

Fridge14%

Deep Frz14%

desert cooler

0%

Fan

24%

Iron3%

heater

0%

Toaster

0%

Microwave0%

PC4%

TV4%

Washingmachine

4%

Waterpump (.5

hp)2%

Domestic Consumption July


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Energy Consumption of a home -

Winter

CFL10%

AC (split 1.5ton)

0%

Fridge13%

Deep Frz13%

desert cooler0%

Fan

0%Iron5%

heater37%

Toaster1%

Microwave0%

PC6%

TV6%

Washing machine6%

Water pump (.5hp)3%

Domestic ConsumptionDecember


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Short term

&

Long term

Solutions


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Short Term Solutions

Demand side Load Management Curtailing the AC load

Efficient Consumption Compact Fluorescent Lamps (CFL) LED energy savers

Capacity development

Increasing generation efficiency.

Consumer End generation Renewable energy resources


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Long Term Solutions

Developing Hydro power

Total potential of 40,000 MW

Thar Coal reserve 175bn tones

Underground Coal Gasification

Non-Hydro Renewables Solar Photovoltaic

Wind


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Investment / kW

709 6741063 1010

20002560

1911

6390

3500

2500

3700

4501

$/kW


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Generation Costs (Levelized)

0.5

3

7.5

4

9.5

4

0

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

8

9

10

Generation Costs

PakRs.

per kWh

Hydro

Wind

Coal

Natural Gas

Furnace Oil

UCG based IGCC


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Reduce your Carbon Footprint

Counter Climate Change

CO2 Emissions


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CO2 emissions in a Life Cycle


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Pakistan Power Sector CO2

Emissions


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Green Energy

Hydro Power 40,000 MW

Wind Power (Gharo Keti Bunder Corridor)

Clean Development Mechanism (CDM)

Non Hydro-Renewable Energy Resources Wind

Solar Photo voltaic


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U.S. Solar (PV) Power Sales Price


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U.S. Wind Power Sales Price


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Let there be light

Questions are welcome..

energy defecit & future of pakistan 011

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