employment needs & labor market data vactea 2010

Employment Needs & Labor Market Data

VACTEA2010

DEMOGRAPHICS & WORKFORCE GROUP, WELDON COOPER CENTER University of Virginia

CTE Planning Requires Employment Data

Administrators need employment data to complete many VDOE documents.

•Labor Market Needs

•Employment Data

•Employment Needs


Labor Market Data For New Courses

New Course Forms ask for Data on labor market and/or employment needs.


Labor Market Data For Local Plans

Schedule 9 asks for labor market analysis

Schedule 12 asks for employment counseling

Schedule 14 asks for employment needs review


Labor Market Data For Plans of Study

Plans of Study ask for Sample Occupations.


Local Knowledge Is Key

•Maintaining good communication with your local business community is the best way to keep up with local labor market needs.

•You can also find other ways to keep up with local trends. For example, one school division analyzed local want ads to find out about demand for a new program.

Your local Economic Development Department, and Virginia

Department of Business Assistance staff working in your area are great

resources.


Official Statistics Are Also Valuable

Occupational Demand Supply System (OSDS) has occupation data you can use.


Occupational Supply Demand System

Including data related to specific CTE courses


Occupational Supply Demand System

OSDS contains many data elements


Call for help finding and using labor market data

•Don’t waste time searching the internet for labor market data.

•We can help you find, understand, and use the data relevant to Virginia’s CTE courses.


Virginia Workforce Connection

•Run by the Virginia Employment Commission

•VWC contains employment projections and other data.

•New local projections will be released in October.


What Data Are Available, (and what do they tell us about Virginia)

•Population

•Poverty

•Educational attainment

•Occupations and employment

•And many more topics


•Virginia’s Population

Population is concentrated in the north and east.


Poverty

Poverty is concentrated in the south and west.


High School Graduation

Like poverty, low rates of education are concentrated in the south and west.

Source: American Community Survey, 2006-08


Educational Attainment


Educational Attainment,

Virginians 24-64

About a third of working-age Virginians have a bachelor’s degree or higher.


Gender Differences, Age 18-24

Virginia Educational Attainment, Age 18-24


Younger men are falling behind


Gender Differences Are Increasing

Source: USDOE, NCES


•Occupational Employment Data


Virginia Occupational Employment

Source: Virginia

Workforce Connection

Office

Sales

Business

Food


Virginia’s Largest Occupations

The Top 20 in 2008

The Bottom 500

Source: Virginia Workforce Connection


The Recession in Virginia



Virginia Employment Projections 2008-18


Projections, 2008-18


Projection Details, Virginia 2008-18


Most New Jobs

Most Job Openings


Occupational Education Levels and Openings

Occupations Primarily Hiring Workers at These Education Levels

Source: U.S. BLS


Learn More, Earn More

Source: U.S. BLS


Real Wages Are Falling For Most

Source: Monthly Labor Review, June 2009


How Wages Are Changing

Source: Monthly Labor Review, June 2009


New Projections from Georgetown University


Demand for Postsecondary is Rising

Source: Help Wanted, June 2010

+290K

+110K

+38K


High-Paying Jobs Need More Education

Source: Help Wanted, June 2010


Licenses & Certificates

Source: Valuing Certificates, 2009

Earnings vary substantially within degree levels. There is substantial earnings overlap across degree

levels.


What does this mean for CTE?

• Job openings will return across the occupational spectrum, eventually. Help Wanted predicts return to job growth in 2011-2012.

• BUT recessions squeeze out inefficiency and pump up demand for skills. Educational and certification requirements will continue to rise (Wages probably won’t.).

• Qualifications matter. Postsecondary education and industry certifications are essential for most good jobs.

• The cost of education is rising. Students should aim for degrees and certifications they can complete; a 2 year college graduate with certifications is more employable than a 4-year college dropout.

• Workplace Readiness Skills and work experience matter. Students will need to prove they can fit in to the workplace.


CTE Follow-up Survey—How We We Doing?

•Each school division must do a follow-up survey of CTE completers each spring.

•Schools collect data on completers’:

a)Transition to postsecondary, employment, or the military

b)Satisfaction with CTE programs


How is CTE Doing

•94% transition to employment, the military or postsecondary education

•77% received postsecondary education in the year after graduation

•6% were unemployed.

2009 follow-up of 2008 graduates

2010 follow-up of 2009 graduates•Results are not ready for release yet.

•Preliminary results are very similar to last year’s. CTE students continue to do well in work and at school.


Online Results

Results should be available online in late October. You will be able to receive raw data files if you need them.


Mark Your Calendar for Next Year

•The survey begins in March.

•The deadline for responses isJuly 1.

•We will send all the instructions, information, and tools that you need to conduct the survey.

•We anticipate significant improvements. We would like to hear more from you about what you need.


Make a Note

•[email protected]

•434-982-5582

Contact Us for Help Any Time


Contact Information

Achsah Carrier

Demographics & Workforce GroupWeldon Cooper Center for Public Service

University of Virginia

434-825-3298

[email protected]

www.coopercenter.org/demographics

employment needs & labor market data vactea 2010

Documents

demographics workforce

virginia source

bls slide

nces slide

topics slide

employment needs review

employment data administrators

job openings slide