emerging risks - europa · efsa 2020 strategy prioritise public ... intelligent packaging...
TRANSCRIPT
![Page 1: Emerging Risks - Europa · EFSA 2020 STRATEGY Prioritise public ... intelligent packaging •‘-omics’, less animal testing Chemical mixtures/ combined toxicity of substances in](https://reader034.vdocuments.site/reader034/viewer/2022043016/5f38ce23b2fc2812236da64f/html5/thumbnails/1.jpg)
Parma Summer School 201815-17 May 18, Parma
Emerging Risks
Ana AfonsoScientific Committee and Emerging Risks Unit
![Page 2: Emerging Risks - Europa · EFSA 2020 STRATEGY Prioritise public ... intelligent packaging •‘-omics’, less animal testing Chemical mixtures/ combined toxicity of substances in](https://reader034.vdocuments.site/reader034/viewer/2022043016/5f38ce23b2fc2812236da64f/html5/thumbnails/2.jpg)
2
Expectations
Communication
Effectiveness
EFSA, mission and tasks
Objectives
Emerging risks definition
Drivers
Examples
ERI procedure
What works
What is important
![Page 3: Emerging Risks - Europa · EFSA 2020 STRATEGY Prioritise public ... intelligent packaging •‘-omics’, less animal testing Chemical mixtures/ combined toxicity of substances in](https://reader034.vdocuments.site/reader034/viewer/2022043016/5f38ce23b2fc2812236da64f/html5/thumbnails/3.jpg)
3
Experience has shownthat it is necessary toadopt measures aimed atguaranteeing that unsafefood is not placed on themarket
FOOD LAW
![Page 4: Emerging Risks - Europa · EFSA 2020 STRATEGY Prioritise public ... intelligent packaging •‘-omics’, less animal testing Chemical mixtures/ combined toxicity of substances in](https://reader034.vdocuments.site/reader034/viewer/2022043016/5f38ce23b2fc2812236da64f/html5/thumbnails/4.jpg)
4
EFSA 2020 STRATEGY
Prioritise public engagement in the process ofscientific assessment
Widen EFSA’s evidence base and maximise accessto its data
Build the EU’s scientific assessment capacity andknowledge community
Prepare for future risk assessment challenges
Create an environment and culture that reflectsEFSA’s values
![Page 5: Emerging Risks - Europa · EFSA 2020 STRATEGY Prioritise public ... intelligent packaging •‘-omics’, less animal testing Chemical mixtures/ combined toxicity of substances in](https://reader034.vdocuments.site/reader034/viewer/2022043016/5f38ce23b2fc2812236da64f/html5/thumbnails/5.jpg)
5
Anticipation of future risk assessment needs
Data / Knowledge
Risk assessment methods
Help risk manager anticipate and even preventfuture safety challenges
EMERGING RISKS – WHY ARE WE INTERESTED?
![Page 6: Emerging Risks - Europa · EFSA 2020 STRATEGY Prioritise public ... intelligent packaging •‘-omics’, less animal testing Chemical mixtures/ combined toxicity of substances in](https://reader034.vdocuments.site/reader034/viewer/2022043016/5f38ce23b2fc2812236da64f/html5/thumbnails/6.jpg)
6
A function of theprobability of an adversehealth effect and theseverity of that effect,consequential to a hazard;
RISK
![Page 7: Emerging Risks - Europa · EFSA 2020 STRATEGY Prioritise public ... intelligent packaging •‘-omics’, less animal testing Chemical mixtures/ combined toxicity of substances in](https://reader034.vdocuments.site/reader034/viewer/2022043016/5f38ce23b2fc2812236da64f/html5/thumbnails/7.jpg)
7
an emerging risk to human, animaland/or plant health is understood as arisk resulting from a newly identifiedhazard to which significant exposuremay occur or from an unexpectednew or increased significantexposure and/or susceptibility to aknown hazard” (EFSA 2007).
EMERGING RISK
![Page 8: Emerging Risks - Europa · EFSA 2020 STRATEGY Prioritise public ... intelligent packaging •‘-omics’, less animal testing Chemical mixtures/ combined toxicity of substances in](https://reader034.vdocuments.site/reader034/viewer/2022043016/5f38ce23b2fc2812236da64f/html5/thumbnails/8.jpg)
8
NEW CHALLENGES AND THREATS
Environmental risks e.gmultiple stressors and bees
Evaluation of the safety ofnew products
•e.g. novel foods
Development of newassessment methods:
•nanotechnology, active andintelligent packaging
•‘-omics’, less animal testing
Chemical mixtures/ combinedtoxicity of substances in food
Antimicrobial resistance
Hazards linked toglobalisation: plant pests,animal diseases, vector-borne diseases
![Page 9: Emerging Risks - Europa · EFSA 2020 STRATEGY Prioritise public ... intelligent packaging •‘-omics’, less animal testing Chemical mixtures/ combined toxicity of substances in](https://reader034.vdocuments.site/reader034/viewer/2022043016/5f38ce23b2fc2812236da64f/html5/thumbnails/9.jpg)
9
Drivers
Pathways
Sources
Outcome
WHY DO THINGS CHANGE?
![Page 10: Emerging Risks - Europa · EFSA 2020 STRATEGY Prioritise public ... intelligent packaging •‘-omics’, less animal testing Chemical mixtures/ combined toxicity of substances in](https://reader034.vdocuments.site/reader034/viewer/2022043016/5f38ce23b2fc2812236da64f/html5/thumbnails/10.jpg)
10
DRIVERS OF INFECTIOUS DISEASE THREAT EVENTS
Foodborne and waterborne IDTEs (Semenza et al 2016)
![Page 11: Emerging Risks - Europa · EFSA 2020 STRATEGY Prioritise public ... intelligent packaging •‘-omics’, less animal testing Chemical mixtures/ combined toxicity of substances in](https://reader034.vdocuments.site/reader034/viewer/2022043016/5f38ce23b2fc2812236da64f/html5/thumbnails/11.jpg)
11
EMERGING RISK DRIVERS
How do we recognise changes?
How can we anticipate changes? Is predictionpossible?
What are the implications of changes formanaging risk?
Can we learn from the past?
![Page 12: Emerging Risks - Europa · EFSA 2020 STRATEGY Prioritise public ... intelligent packaging •‘-omics’, less animal testing Chemical mixtures/ combined toxicity of substances in](https://reader034.vdocuments.site/reader034/viewer/2022043016/5f38ce23b2fc2812236da64f/html5/thumbnails/12.jpg)
12
Micro-organisms, pests, parasitesand prions having a direct or indirectimpact on the safety of the food and feedsupply chains, animal health and welfare,and plant health
EMERGING BIOLOGICAL RISKS
![Page 13: Emerging Risks - Europa · EFSA 2020 STRATEGY Prioritise public ... intelligent packaging •‘-omics’, less animal testing Chemical mixtures/ combined toxicity of substances in](https://reader034.vdocuments.site/reader034/viewer/2022043016/5f38ce23b2fc2812236da64f/html5/thumbnails/13.jpg)
13
Q FEVER
![Page 14: Emerging Risks - Europa · EFSA 2020 STRATEGY Prioritise public ... intelligent packaging •‘-omics’, less animal testing Chemical mixtures/ combined toxicity of substances in](https://reader034.vdocuments.site/reader034/viewer/2022043016/5f38ce23b2fc2812236da64f/html5/thumbnails/14.jpg)
14
CULTURAL AND METHODOLOGICAL CHALLENGES
Emerging disease risk is a local issue with aglobal dimension.
The emergence of a pathogen involves acombination of changes in key drivers.
Most drivers for emerging issues are common tohuman, veterinary, plant and ecosystem health
Pathogen discovery - Pathway discovery
![Page 15: Emerging Risks - Europa · EFSA 2020 STRATEGY Prioritise public ... intelligent packaging •‘-omics’, less animal testing Chemical mixtures/ combined toxicity of substances in](https://reader034.vdocuments.site/reader034/viewer/2022043016/5f38ce23b2fc2812236da64f/html5/thumbnails/15.jpg)
15
ERI PROCEDURE
Identificationof priorityemerging
issues
Informationsources and
data collection
Evaluation toidentify
emerging risks
![Page 16: Emerging Risks - Europa · EFSA 2020 STRATEGY Prioritise public ... intelligent packaging •‘-omics’, less animal testing Chemical mixtures/ combined toxicity of substances in](https://reader034.vdocuments.site/reader034/viewer/2022043016/5f38ce23b2fc2812236da64f/html5/thumbnails/16.jpg)
16
ACCESSIBLE DATA
![Page 17: Emerging Risks - Europa · EFSA 2020 STRATEGY Prioritise public ... intelligent packaging •‘-omics’, less animal testing Chemical mixtures/ combined toxicity of substances in](https://reader034.vdocuments.site/reader034/viewer/2022043016/5f38ce23b2fc2812236da64f/html5/thumbnails/17.jpg)
17
TEXT MINING: “EMERGING RISK FOOD”
false negatives
noise avoided noise
Flagged Overlooked
spot on
![Page 18: Emerging Risks - Europa · EFSA 2020 STRATEGY Prioritise public ... intelligent packaging •‘-omics’, less animal testing Chemical mixtures/ combined toxicity of substances in](https://reader034.vdocuments.site/reader034/viewer/2022043016/5f38ce23b2fc2812236da64f/html5/thumbnails/18.jpg)
18
PRIORITIZATION
Novelty
Soundness
Severity
Imminence
Scale
UNCERTAINTY
AMBIGUITY
RISKPERCEPTION
![Page 19: Emerging Risks - Europa · EFSA 2020 STRATEGY Prioritise public ... intelligent packaging •‘-omics’, less animal testing Chemical mixtures/ combined toxicity of substances in](https://reader034.vdocuments.site/reader034/viewer/2022043016/5f38ce23b2fc2812236da64f/html5/thumbnails/19.jpg)
19
Where is the life we have lost in living?
Where is the wisdom we have lost inknowledge?
Where is the knowledge we have lostin information?
T. S. Eliot
![Page 20: Emerging Risks - Europa · EFSA 2020 STRATEGY Prioritise public ... intelligent packaging •‘-omics’, less animal testing Chemical mixtures/ combined toxicity of substances in](https://reader034.vdocuments.site/reader034/viewer/2022043016/5f38ce23b2fc2812236da64f/html5/thumbnails/20.jpg)
20
EFSA SCIENTIFIC PANELS
Plant protection
GMO
Plant health
Animal health & welfare
Nutrition
Food Packaging
Animal feed
Biological hazards
Chemical contaminants
Food additives
![Page 21: Emerging Risks - Europa · EFSA 2020 STRATEGY Prioritise public ... intelligent packaging •‘-omics’, less animal testing Chemical mixtures/ combined toxicity of substances in](https://reader034.vdocuments.site/reader034/viewer/2022043016/5f38ce23b2fc2812236da64f/html5/thumbnails/21.jpg)
21
WITHIN EUROPE...
National food safety agencies
from 28 EU Member States
400 research institutes
EU Agencies
![Page 22: Emerging Risks - Europa · EFSA 2020 STRATEGY Prioritise public ... intelligent packaging •‘-omics’, less animal testing Chemical mixtures/ combined toxicity of substances in](https://reader034.vdocuments.site/reader034/viewer/2022043016/5f38ce23b2fc2812236da64f/html5/thumbnails/22.jpg)
22
OUTSIDE EUROPE...
Partners
Establishedcooperation
IPA/ENP countries
![Page 23: Emerging Risks - Europa · EFSA 2020 STRATEGY Prioritise public ... intelligent packaging •‘-omics’, less animal testing Chemical mixtures/ combined toxicity of substances in](https://reader034.vdocuments.site/reader034/viewer/2022043016/5f38ce23b2fc2812236da64f/html5/thumbnails/23.jpg)
23
NETWORKS OF KNOWLEDGE
![Page 24: Emerging Risks - Europa · EFSA 2020 STRATEGY Prioritise public ... intelligent packaging •‘-omics’, less animal testing Chemical mixtures/ combined toxicity of substances in](https://reader034.vdocuments.site/reader034/viewer/2022043016/5f38ce23b2fc2812236da64f/html5/thumbnails/24.jpg)
![Page 25: Emerging Risks - Europa · EFSA 2020 STRATEGY Prioritise public ... intelligent packaging •‘-omics’, less animal testing Chemical mixtures/ combined toxicity of substances in](https://reader034.vdocuments.site/reader034/viewer/2022043016/5f38ce23b2fc2812236da64f/html5/thumbnails/25.jpg)
25
Identification of relevant issues
Expertise and networking are a vital part ofthe process, particularly for filtering signals
Sharing information without creatingunnecessary scares
Focused monitoring and follow-up activities
WHAT HAS WORKED
![Page 26: Emerging Risks - Europa · EFSA 2020 STRATEGY Prioritise public ... intelligent packaging •‘-omics’, less animal testing Chemical mixtures/ combined toxicity of substances in](https://reader034.vdocuments.site/reader034/viewer/2022043016/5f38ce23b2fc2812236da64f/html5/thumbnails/26.jpg)
26
IDENTIFICATION OF EMERGING ISSUES
![Page 27: Emerging Risks - Europa · EFSA 2020 STRATEGY Prioritise public ... intelligent packaging •‘-omics’, less animal testing Chemical mixtures/ combined toxicity of substances in](https://reader034.vdocuments.site/reader034/viewer/2022043016/5f38ce23b2fc2812236da64f/html5/thumbnails/27.jpg)
27
Evaluation of the collected information andidentification of emerging risks
Avoided risks are often “invisible”
EVALUATION
![Page 28: Emerging Risks - Europa · EFSA 2020 STRATEGY Prioritise public ... intelligent packaging •‘-omics’, less animal testing Chemical mixtures/ combined toxicity of substances in](https://reader034.vdocuments.site/reader034/viewer/2022043016/5f38ce23b2fc2812236da64f/html5/thumbnails/28.jpg)
28
Aim (and defining success)
How to handle uncertainty
It is not only risk assessment
IMPORTANT
![Page 29: Emerging Risks - Europa · EFSA 2020 STRATEGY Prioritise public ... intelligent packaging •‘-omics’, less animal testing Chemical mixtures/ combined toxicity of substances in](https://reader034.vdocuments.site/reader034/viewer/2022043016/5f38ce23b2fc2812236da64f/html5/thumbnails/29.jpg)
29
![Page 30: Emerging Risks - Europa · EFSA 2020 STRATEGY Prioritise public ... intelligent packaging •‘-omics’, less animal testing Chemical mixtures/ combined toxicity of substances in](https://reader034.vdocuments.site/reader034/viewer/2022043016/5f38ce23b2fc2812236da64f/html5/thumbnails/30.jpg)
30
SCER- ER Team
Caroline Merten, RaquelGarcia Mata, AngeloMaggiore, Agnes Rortais,Tilemachos Goumperi,Tobin Robinson
EFSA Staff
EFSA experts
Emerging Risks Exchange Network
Stakeholders discussion group
JRC
DG SANTE
ECDC
FAO……..
ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS
![Page 31: Emerging Risks - Europa · EFSA 2020 STRATEGY Prioritise public ... intelligent packaging •‘-omics’, less animal testing Chemical mixtures/ combined toxicity of substances in](https://reader034.vdocuments.site/reader034/viewer/2022043016/5f38ce23b2fc2812236da64f/html5/thumbnails/31.jpg)
31
THANK YOU