emerging consensus from task force 2 trillions of dollars of private investment needed to reach...

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EMERGING CONSENSUS FROM TASK FORCE 2 Trillions of dollars of private investment needed to reach scale on efficiency and renewables Public funds will never be sufficient, but smart policy can unlock private investment at scale It is deeply challenging to develop and implement smart policy in the energy sector Strategic funding for collaborative technical work, peer-to-peer learning and technical assistance to policy makers could have transformative long-term impact o Policy funds offer extraordinary leverage (e.g. US appliance standards program) o Well-coordinated millions can unleash billions -- Page 1 --

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Page 1: EMERGING CONSENSUS FROM TASK FORCE 2 Trillions of dollars of private investment needed to reach scale on efficiency and renewables Public funds will never

EMERGING CONSENSUS FROM TASK FORCE 2

• Trillions of dollars of private investment needed to reach scale on efficiency and renewables

• Public funds will never be sufficient, but smart policy can unlock private investment at scale

• It is deeply challenging to develop and implement smart policy in the energy sector

• Strategic funding for collaborative technical work, peer-to-peer learning and technical assistance to policy makers could have transformative long-term impact o Policy funds offer extraordinary leverage (e.g. US

appliance standards program)oWell-coordinated millions can unleash billions

-- Page 1 --

Page 2: EMERGING CONSENSUS FROM TASK FORCE 2 Trillions of dollars of private investment needed to reach scale on efficiency and renewables Public funds will never

WHAT CAN SE4ALL DO?

• Bolster efforts of existing fora (e.g. CEM and regional efforts like APEC, B20/G20) to encourage policy progress through collaborative technical work, peer-to-peer exchange, and political dialog

• Catalyze commitments to leverage public and private investment

• Communicate the central role of smart policy to drive private investment in efficiency and renewables

• Engage the private sector, including the investment community, on efficiency and renewables policy design

• On request, help lower-capacity governments improve their clean energy and efficiency policies through targeted technical assistance

-- Page 2 --

Page 3: EMERGING CONSENSUS FROM TASK FORCE 2 Trillions of dollars of private investment needed to reach scale on efficiency and renewables Public funds will never

POSSIBLE IDEAS FOR TF2 ACTION WITHIN SE4ALL

• Encourage self-assessment by MDBs and/or bilateral aid agencies of policy TA efficacy

• Compile policy status information (e.g. bolster Clean Energy Solutions Center effort to establish continuously updated database of national and state level clean energy policy for US, India, etc) o Helps policy makers benchmark their effortso Helps private sector find investment opportunitieso Helps civil society advocate for better policy

• Launch “Doing Business in Clean Energy” report to monitor and recognize clean energy policy progress

• On request, partner with proactive governments to help them reach their policy objectives, e.g. o Minimum standards for lighting or other applianceso Fuel economy standardso Net metering or other policies to enable distributed renewableso Regulatory reforms to enable grid-connected renewables

-- Page 3 --

Page 4: EMERGING CONSENSUS FROM TASK FORCE 2 Trillions of dollars of private investment needed to reach scale on efficiency and renewables Public funds will never

NEXT STEPS

• Draft report by Abu Dhabi meeting

• Assign sub-tasks to develop specific ideas

• Link to WG1 to address efficiency and renewables role in energy access

• Possible interim working group meeting once additional preparatory work completed

-- Page 4 --

Page 5: EMERGING CONSENSUS FROM TASK FORCE 2 Trillions of dollars of private investment needed to reach scale on efficiency and renewables Public funds will never

National Polices

5

Grid Based Business Models

UnconventionalBusiness Models

Global CapitalMarkets

National Banks andFinancial Institutions

Intermediaries,Users & consumers

Host Countries Donors Private

Sector Civil Society

Tech. SupportProfessional

Exchange

Investment, Technology, Good &

Services

Finance, Guarantees,

Insurance

Best Practice: Implementation

Best Practice Regulation

Standards Regulation

Regulation

Professional Exchange

Technical Support,

Feasibility Studies, Training

Capital

Standards Training Services Training

Environmental Impact

Monitoring

Transparency

Accountability

Non-Bank Services, Capital

Services, Distribution,

Quality

NEED TO MODIFY TASK FORCE 1 SLIDES

Page 6: EMERGING CONSENSUS FROM TASK FORCE 2 Trillions of dollars of private investment needed to reach scale on efficiency and renewables Public funds will never

Appendix

-- Page 6 --

Page 7: EMERGING CONSENSUS FROM TASK FORCE 2 Trillions of dollars of private investment needed to reach scale on efficiency and renewables Public funds will never

10 100 1000$100.00

$1,000.00

$10,000.00

U.S. Cumulative Refrigerator Shipments (millions)

Re

frig

era

tor

LC

C in

Re

al D

olla

rs (

20

09

$)

Pre-Standards1947-1978

Historical Standards1978-2010

• Net savings of ~$300 billion cumulative since 1978

• Typical annual budget for entire US minimum standards program ~$30 million

Source: Data from US Bureau of Labor Statistics, US DOE, AHAM Factbooks and Rosenfeld (1999)

MINIMUM PERFORMANCE STANDARDS CAN LEAD TO A SIGNIFICANT DECLINE IN LIFECYCLE COSTS

-- Page 7 --

Page 8: EMERGING CONSENSUS FROM TASK FORCE 2 Trillions of dollars of private investment needed to reach scale on efficiency and renewables Public funds will never

-- Page 8 --

Base

Case

Rules

Effec

tive

1/10

...

Rules

Issu

ed 1

/10-

...

Rules

in d

evelop

men

t

Best P

ract

ices

With

EE

10,000

11,000

12,000

13,000

14,0002030 E

lect

rici

ty C

onsum

pti

on in

SEA

D C

ountr

ies

(TW

h)

ONLY A FRACTION OF THE POTENTIAL FROM MINIMUM PERFORMANCE STANDARDS IS CAPTURED CURRENTLY

Cooperation among SEAD partners’ national standard-setting bodies could save by 2030:• 1,800 terawatt hours per year of electricity = as much as would be

produced by 600 five-hundred megawatt power plants• US$150 billion per year of net energy-related expenditures Leads to

significant energy savings for households (e.g., Existing standards in the U.S. save an average of $285 per household per year )

Page 9: EMERGING CONSENSUS FROM TASK FORCE 2 Trillions of dollars of private investment needed to reach scale on efficiency and renewables Public funds will never

SUPER-EFFICIENT EQUIPMENT AND APPLIANCE DEPLOYMENT INITIATIVE (SEAD)

-- Page 9 --

SEAD aims to coordinate policy for efficient appliances and equipment

• Regular and ongoing contact between partner governments’ standard-setting experts enables greater coverage of product categories at lower public cost

• Harmonizing test procedures reduces trade barriers for efficient products and facilitates comparisons of efficiency programs

• For globally-traded products, coordination of measures such as incentives, procurement, and awards magnifies market transformation benefits

Page 10: EMERGING CONSENSUS FROM TASK FORCE 2 Trillions of dollars of private investment needed to reach scale on efficiency and renewables Public funds will never

CLEAN ENERGY SOLUTIONS CENTER

-- Page 10 --

• Track and share policies, public investment trends, and outcomes

• Identify best practices for clean energy policy and program development

• Engage stakeholders in dialogue about policy and public investment opportunities

• Provide virtual training, including videos and webinars

• Build a user network of policy makers and technical experts